Asia Economic Weekly 亚洲经济周报 Issue No. 10 (2013.03.08-2013.03.15) Highlights: In the round of China’s new pattern urbanization, we have to confront the problem of reasonable overall arrangement in the cities. There’re existed many disputes on which model we should choose in the future development of cities, the big cities, small and medium-size cities or small towns. From the current analysis on different factors, we find the main platform of China’s urbanization would be super-city clusters in the future to achieve reasonable layout of China’s cities. Research and Training Institute Boao Forum for Asia 博鳌亚洲论坛研究院 1 【Weekly Review】 Experts of National Development and Reform Commission: City clusters will be the important platform of China’s urbanization In the round of China’s new pattern urbanization, we have to confront the problem of reasonable overall arrangement in the cities. There’re existed many disputes on which model we should choose in the future development of cities, the big cities, small and medium-size cities or small towns. From the current analysis on different factors, we find the main platform of China’s urbanization would be super-city clusters in the future to achieve reasonable layout of China’s cities. 【Economic Developments】 OECD: Economic growth of ASEAN keeps strong while it slow down in China Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released the latest Asian Business Cycle Indicators (ABCIs) on March 11, London time, said that although the global economy shows uncertainty, the ASEAN economy keeps resilient. Meanwhile, the economic growth of China and India slows down. China: February scale of social financing amounted to 1.07 trillion yuan China: New foreign exchange registered 683.59 billion yuan in January with an annual increase According to data released by China central bank on Mar.5th, new foreign exchange of Chinese financial institutions registered 683.659 billion yuan, climbing for two consecutive months. 2 China: February CPI up 3.2 percent on year, jumped to a ten-month high Data from China's National Bureau of Statistics showed the consumer price index rose 3.2 percent in February from a year ago, the highest level in ten months, gained 1.2 percentage points from January. On a month-on-month basis, February's consumer price index (CPI) up 1.1 percent, gained 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. Japan: Haruhiko Kuroda says Bank of Japan will consider buying derivatives Bank of Japan governor nominee Haruhiko Kuroda said that the central bank will consider buying derivatives if he’s confirmed as governor and signaled a readiness for a quick expansion in monetary stimulus. Japan: BOJ for the first time upgrade the assessment for the third consecutive month Bank of Japan upgraded its assessment of Japan economy for the first time since the end of 2009, for the third consecutive month. More and more signs shows Japan’s economy has recovered from the brief recession. Japan: Final last quarter GDP shows Japan’s economy has gradually recovering from recession Japan: February service sector sentiment rose for four consecutive months Japan: Posts record current account deficit in January for three consecutive months 3 South Korea: Excessive-priced housing cause young people put off marriage, the market grounds to a halt The real estate market of South Korea is heading down. Influenced by the world financial crisis in 2008, the market is almost stagnant. Singapore: Predict average economic growth in next decade would slow to half of last decade Australia: GDP increased 3.1 percent last quarter on yearly basis The data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistic showed that the gross domestic product (GDP) in Australia expanded to 0.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012 over the previous quarter, up 3.1 percent year-on-year, rose for the seventh consecutive quarter. Australia: January budget deficit widened to $ 1.09 billion Russia: Russia’s state foreign debt substantial increased by 41.8 percent According to data released by Russian Finance Ministry on Mar.11th, the state foreign debt sharply increased by 41.8 percent. The State Customs Committee of the Russian Federation: Trade surplus drops 14.5 percent in January U.S.: Unemployment rate edged down to 7.7 percent in February and the lowest level in four years Data from the Labor Department reported on Mar. 8th showed that the unemployment rate of non-agricultural sectors drops to 7.7 percent, the lowest level in four years. 4 U.S.: Household wealth increased by 9 percent last year to the highest level in five years The Federal Reserve reported a few days ago that U.S. household’s net worth rose by $1.17 trillion in the fourth quarter to the highest level since the end of 2007, propelled by a gain in increasing home prices and stock holdings boosted household balance sheets. 【Trade & Investment】 Japan: Plans to promote wind power through offshore wind turbines Japan: Extracted for the first time gas from "combustible" ocean ice Thailand: Start to impose provisional security tax of imported chromed steel plate Indian Ambassador to China: Boost the share of manufacturing, welcome Chinese investment Dr. S Jaishankar, India’s ambassador attended the China-India Investment Forum in Beijing on Feb.27th and he said Indian government plans to increase the share of manufacturing in domestic economy and stressed that the country would welcome Chinese investment. Myanmar: Plans to put over 20 oil and gas exploration blocks up for attracting foreign investment by April Myanmar Oil & Gas Upstream Summit was held in Yangon on Mar. 4. The official said Myanmar plans to put over 20 offshore oil and gas exploration blocks up for auction by April to attract foreign investment and expertise to help overhaul the management of oil and gas resource. 5 Official of Indonesia Ministry of Commerce: Non oil and gas products sold in China will rise 10 percent 【Regional Cooperation】 Double a currency swap agreement between China and Singapore: To 300 billion yuan China: Zhejiang Export Commodities Fair will be held in Vietnam in May China: Boycott to Japanese goods being weaken, Japanese cars sale recover Although the boycott to Japanese goods has been weakened, Japanese firms still face many challenges. Thailand: To invest $ 67.3 billion in transport facilities, 80% for railway Officials of Department of Land Transportation said on Mar.11 that the government will boost and improve the transport system, aimed to build modern transport facilities as high-speed train. Philippines: Hope to have each year 1 million Chinese tourists to the Philippines by 2016 【Authoritative Forecasts】 World Bank: Africa’s agricultural production set to top $ 1 trillion by 2030 6 Asian Development Bank report: Economies are increasingly integrated within Asia over the past decade A report released by ADB said because of the growing trade and tourism, the number of Asian free trade agreements has increased from 70 in 2002 to 257 by January 2013, over triple in the past decade. Shanghai International Shipping Institute: 2013 growth of Asian ports throughput may return to more than 7 percent According to 2012 Global Port Development Report (hereinafter referred to as ’report’) released by Shanghai International Shipping Institute on Mar. 5, hopefully the global port industries will accelerate the coming of recovery, even the growth of Asian ports throughput may regains more than 7 percent. Japan Venture Capital Association (JVCA): Number of IPO may rise by two-thirds to 80 this year Morgan Stanley: Price of iron ore has peaked, may decline 15 percent by the end of 2013 Morgan Stanley has reported that the price of iron ore would decline this year with increasing supplies and diminishing demand. Report expects the price may falls to $133 a ton from $159 a ton over 2013, dropped 15 percent. Grant Thornton International: Above-average percentage of women in Singapore in senior management roles Heavy Reading: Global mobile payment transactions may hit $1tr by 2015 According to the latest report released by Heavy Reading, mobile payments continues to grow to provide solutions of income generation for the whole markets and the global mobile payment industry may hit $1 trillion by 2015. 7
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