Why We Made the Decisions We Made and Where We Are in Building New Generation February 17, 2005 Prepared by Nilaksh Kothari, P.E. General Manager Manitowoc Public Utilities OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION OVERVIEW OF THE SYSTEM THE PROBLEM/CONCERNS POWER SUPPLY OPTIONS CONSIDERED BENEFITS OF OWNING GENERATION PROJECT STATUS QUESTIONS February 17, 2005 2 Facts in Brief-2003 Electric Utility Water Utility Revenues $35,140,092 $4,748,813 Number of Customers 17,502 13,540 Units sold 522,931 MWhs 2,917,478 kgals Miles of Line/Mains 222.5 174.3 Average Net Investment $54,242,542 $20,450,225 February 17, 2005 3 Sources of Capacity Sources of Capacity -122 MW Total in 2004 Steam Generating Plant Diesel Combustion Turbine (Gas) Market Purchases 70.0 MW 11.0 MW 21.0 MW 20.0 MW Age of Facilities / Capacity Boiler #5 Boiler #6 Boiler #7 Boiler #8 Diesel Combustion Turbine Steam Turbine Generator #2 Steam Turbine Generator #3 Steam Turbine Generator #4 Steam Turbine Generator #5 Steam Turbine Generator #6 50 Years / 15.0 MW 46 Years / 17.5 MW 38 Years / 17.5 MW 12 Years / 21.0 MW 17 Years / 11.0 MW 3 Years (Refurbished) /20.5 MW 67 Years 62 Years 51 Years 46 Years 38 Years February 17, 2005 4 Sources of Energy Sources of Energy – 2003 MPU Generation – Steam – Natural Gas – Diesel 292,133 MWH (55%) 291,070 36 1,027 Market Purchases – – – – WPPI WPS WE Energies Alliant 242,392 MWH (45%) 91,149 148,633 2,588 22 Purchased vs. Produced Energy (MWH): 2002 2001 2000 1999 Purchased / Generated 266,573 / 293,477 292,769 / 264,189 286,502 / 294,157 302,768 / 255,168 February 17, 2005 5 48/52 53/47 49/51 54/46 THE PROBLEM MPU System Demand vs. Supply Historical 180.0 Projected 160.0 MWs 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 Year Total System Demand February 17, 2005 6 Total Supply 2018 2014 2010 2006 2002 1998 1994 1990 1986 60.0 Concerns Age of the existing facilities Boiler and generators > 50 years as compared to expected life of 40-50 years Increased down time of equipment for maintenance Boiler #5 Environmental concerns- notice of violation from DNR Requires special fuel, and is relatively expensive to operate Transmission constraints limit import capability Regional and Statewide Interconnect through the Shoto Substation limited to 55 MW (summer) Wholesale purchased capacity not reasonably available MPU’s average cost of generation is higher than the cost of purchased power February 17, 2005 7 Energy Production Costs - Existing Equipment Operating Cost Variable Operating Cost($/MWH) $70.00 $60.00 $50.00 $40.00 Weighted Average Generation Cost = $34.94 $30.00 $60.38 2001 Purchased Power Cost = $30.93 $54.21 $20.00 $32.08 $10.00 $20.78 $23.54 $23.54 Boiler 8 Boiler 6 Boiler 7 $0.00 February 17, 2005 8 Boiler 5 Recip Generator Combustion Turbine Power Supply Options Considered (2000-2002) Existing Generation Resources Potential Lease Options MPU Steam Plant Improvements 11. Edison Mission 2. MPU Steam Plant Package Boiler 12. FPLE/Tenaska 3. MPU Peakers 13. Dominion Thermal 1. Capacity and Energy Proposed to MPU 4. McCartin Group Manitowoc steam plant Potential Self Build Options 14. 34 MW combustion turbine(CT) 15. 80 MW combustion turbine(CT) 5. Dominion Evantage peakers 16. 80 MW combined-cycle unit 6. Dynegy 17. MPU Plant Expansion 7. Xcel Energy 18. Other Independent Power Producers 8. Dairyland Cooperative 9. WE Energies 10. Capacity and Energy Proposals to GLU February 17, 2005 9 Factors Considered in Evaluation of Options Demand and energy forecast Assessment of existing facilities Management/diversification of power supply portfolio Capital, operating and maintenance costs Minimize MPU’s generation costs/competitive electric rates Maximize use of existing site Financing feasibility Account for uncertainties/trends Retail deregulation Environmental regulations Transmission constraints Role of Regional Transmission Organizations Wholesale market transition February 17, 2005 10 $ per Megawatt-hour Projected Energy Cost Saving 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Average Purchased Power Cost (2003 $) = $38.97 Average cost of generation (2006 $) = $24.73 Boiler 9 Boiler 8 Boiler 6 Boiler 7 February 17, 2005 11 Boiler 5 Recip C.T. Benefits of Power Plant Expansion The 63.3 MW expansion at the existing site results in the lowest rate impact to MPU’s customers of all alternatives Reduces air emissions per megawatt produced by one-third Utilizes existing CFB technology (same as Boiler 8): With Boiler 8, provides all of MPU’s baseload energy requirements at an average variable cost of $15-18 per MWH Like Boiler 8, burns a wide range of fuels allowing more options to stabilize operating costs Minimizes reliance on wholesale electricity markets that experience price volatility due to forces outside MPU’s control Removes reliance on transmission system for power imports Keeps money from MPU’s ratepayers in Manitowoc Significantly increases MPU’s payment in lieu of taxes Maintains jobs in Manitowoc and provides infrastructure for economic development February 17, 2005 12 PROJECT STATUS Power Plant prior to demolition (Looking South) February 2004 Foundation for Boiler Building in progress April 2004 Steel erection of Boiler Building July 2004 Boiler and Turbine Building (Looking Southeast) January 2005 Boiler Building (Looking Northwest) January 2005 Turbine Building Operating Deck Turbine Foundation Preps January 2005 QUESTIONS
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