QMM 280 - Example Test 2 MULTIPLE CHOICE: 1. As the confidence level increases from 95% to 99%, the width of the confidence interval a. increases b. decreases 2. The probability of a Type I error and a Type II error are related as follows: a. b. c. d. > > as increases decreases as decreases decreases 3. Which of the following statements is true? a. b. c. d. e. A parameter is the best estimate of . , ² and are all statistics. A statistic estimates a parameter. All parameters can function as a random variable. None of the above. 4. The theorem which assures us that the distribution of the sample mean approaches the normal distribution as the sample size increases is called the a. b. c. d. Central Limit Theorem. Normal Probability Theorem random selection process. theorem of abnormality. 5. If we use = .05 for a hypothesis test a. the probability we b. the probability we hypothesis is true c. the probability of d. = .95. make an error is .025. reject the null hypothesis when the null is .95. committing a Type I error is.05. 6. What are the two parameters for the population Regression Model? a. b. c. d. α and β µ and σ β0 and β1 b1 and b2 7. A national standardized math test is know to have a mean score of 73 and standard deviation of 8.5. If all 33 students in your QMM 280 class take this test, what is the probability the class average will be less than 71? P ( X 71 ) P ( X 73 8 .5 33 71 73 8 .5 ) P ( Z 1 . 35 ) . 5 . 4115 . 0885 33 8. OK-Mart is considering adding shopping carts for their retail stores. Since you are the new management trainee, you have been instructed to gather some sample data on the number of items a customer buys while shopping at OK-mart. You randomly sample 40 customers and compute a sample mean of 5.47 and a standard deviation of 3.18. a. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean number of items purchased. X t n 1 sx n 5 . 47 2 . 576 3 . 18 5 . 47 1 . 2952 40 I am 99% Confident the actual value of μx is in the interval [4.1748,6.7652] b. Management is upset with the width of the interval in part a. They send you back to your office with an order to come up with a smaller interval. How would you accomplish this with the information you have? Lower the confidence level (increase α) c. What trade off have you made? We have a more precise estimate but we are less confident that the interval will contain μx d. How could you retain the same confidence level and decrease the width of the interval? Increase the sample size 9. Use the same data from problem 3; a. x = 5 .4 7 , s = 3 .1 8 , n = 4 0 . Management would like you to test the hypothesis Ho: = 6.2. They decree an level of .01. Show all steps. Step I Ho: = 6.2 Ha: ≠ 6.2 Step II TS X 0 sx t n 1 n Step III α = .01. Using the critical value approach: Accept Ho if (-2.576 TS 2.576) Reject Ho otherwise Step IV TS = -1.45 Step V Decision: Do not Reject Ho. Conclusion: There is NOT sufficient evidence to conclude the number of items customers buy at OK Mart is different from 6.2.
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