GAP Workshop An Empirical Assessment of Aviation Charges in Germany Based on Diploma Thesis of Chi Wah Li, 2007 Presented by Plamena Ivanova (HU) Marius Barbu (FHW) David Hörnle (FHW) Berlin 10th April, 2008 Outline • Methodology • Development of Charges, Passengers and Revenues, Timeline • Airplane Related Charges in 2007 • Share of Passenger Charges in Airside Charges, 1998-2007 • Airside Charges in 2007 • Fixed vs. Variable Charges in 2007 • What is the Welfare Effect? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 2 I. Methodology Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 3 Methodology of benchmarking Airport Landing fee 2007 A320200 BRE 653,42 CGN 732,89 DRE 548,31 DUS 380,12 FMO 671,79 FRA 278,23 HAM 615,34 MUC 653,39 STR 409,95 1. What do these numbers mean? 2. Can we rank the airports based on these fees? 3. What further assumptions are necessary? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 4 Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 5 Methodology of benchmarking 1. Step Identify the charges you are going to compare Landing fee Passenger fee Security fee Noise fee Central Infrastructure Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 6 Methodology of benchmarking 2. Step Identify the fleet mix Helpful: use similar types of airports which serve the same fleet mix, otherwise might be difficult to compare. The results obtained are vaild only for one airport Is the fleet mix changing over time? Shall it be adjusted over the period under consideration? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 7 Methodology of benchmarking 3. Step Make specific assumptions about the types of passengers Domestic EU NON EU TransitTransfer Düsseldorf (2008): Domestic: 13,45 EUR EU: 14,55 EUR Non EU: 14,60 EUR Transit/ Transfer 8,25 EUR Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 8 Methodology of benchmarking 4. Step Determine the load factor – might be useful to obtain the data in the future directly from the airports Differenciate low cost airlines vs. „traditional“ airlines Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 9 Methodology of benchmarking 5. Step Charges we ignored (Groundhandling) Ramp equipment and Aircraft handling charges (fueling) Transportation charges (crew, passengers, baggage) Security, x-ray charges Customs reporting systems Others Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 10 Methodology of benchmarking Having determined the previous components, we can now proceed with computing the charges according to: 4. Step Choose a time period – time changes and all parameters too 5. Step Choose a currency – domestic, specific or artificial Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 11 Methodology of benchmarking 6. Further assumptions Time of the day – day or night Peak or off-peak periods Parking time for aircrafts As this is the most sensitive point within the analysis, the assumptions concerning these issues should be based on actual empirical data or substantiated through interviews. Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 12 II. Some preliminary results and further research questions Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 13 Charges, Passengers, Revenues Development, Timeline 5.000,00 € Airside real charges for Turnaround-Flight (given assumptions) 4.500,00 € 4.000,00 € 3.500,00 € 3.000,00 € ~ -17% 2.500,00 € 2.000,00 € 1.500,00 € 1.000,00 € 500,00 € - € Millionen 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total PAX in Germany 180 160 140 120 100 ~ +34% 80 60 Total real revenues of all German Airports (incl. non-aviation) 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 40 ~ +43% Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 14 Research Question • Airside prices are falling but total revenues are increasing – Increase in passengers – Increase in nonaviation • Assumptions: – Either fleet mix has changed or – airports discount charges or – loading factor changed or – increase in landside revenues? Or.... Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 15 Airplane Related Charges, in 2007 Average Level of Charges for a Turnaround Flight, in 2007 Charges per Turnaround Flight According to Airplane Size, in 2007 Big Airplanes Medium Airplanes Small Airplanes Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 16 Research Question • Why is the slope of big-airplane-charges not increasing steadily? • Does FRA‘s monopoly position play a role in it‘s charges structure? • How about Dresden? • Are airports trying to increase their traffic with low charges? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 17 Airside Charges, in 2007 Share of Passenger Charges in Airside Charges (§43), in 2007: 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% FMO STR HAM BRE NUE CGN SXF DRS Variable Charges of §43a LuftVZO LEJ HAJ THF MUC TXL DUS FRA Fix Charges of §43a fLuftVZO 100 Share of Airside Charges (§43) in Total Charges, in 2007: 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 FMO STR HAM BRE NUE CGN Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle SXF DRS LEJ HAJ THF MUC TXL DUS FRA 18 Fixed vs Variable Charges of Total Charges (§43 + ZI), in 2007 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% DUS TXL THF FRA HAJ SXF HAM Fixed Charges STR MUC FMO BRE CGN NUE LEJ DRS Variable Charges How is the share of variable charges influencing airports performance? How about the allocation of risks? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 19 Share of Passenger Charges in Airside Charges, 1998 - 2007 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 There is an increase of aprox. 65 % over the period 1998-2007 Does this also increase the risk of airports? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 20 What is the Welfare Effect for… • • • • Airports (Income and Risk)… Airlines (Income and Risk)… Passengers (Prices)… Society (Quality of Transport Services, Risks)? Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 21 Thank you for your attention! GERMAN AIRPORT PERFORMANCE A Joint Project of: Berlin School of Economics (FHW) University of Applied Sciences Bremen Int. University of Applied Sciences Bad Honnef Plamena Ivanova, Marius Barbu, David Hörnle 22
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