31 Plant Ecology 135: 31–41, 1998. c 1998 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in Belgium. Natural pasture community response to enriched carbon dioxide atmosphere Liette Vasseur1;2 & Catherine Potvin2 1 Department of Biology, Saint-Mary’s University, Halifax, Nova-Scotia B3H 3C3 Canada; 2 Department of Biology, McGill University, 1205 Dr. Penfield, Montréal, Québec H3A 1B1 Canada Received 3 December 1996; accepted 29 October 1997 Key words: Canonical correspondence analysis, CO2 , Multivariate analysis, Open-top chambers, Plant community, Succession Abstract We examined the response of a pasture community in southern Quebec (Canada) to long-term exposure of enriched atmospheric CO2 conditions. The study was conducted using open-top growth chambers directly placed on top of the natural pasture community. To investigate the change in the overall species composition in time and space, we used canonical correspondence analysis, a direct ordination method. Over the three years, the overall community responded significantly to enriched CO2 . The analyses show that, after three years, CO2 was the most important environmental variable affecting the species composition. Initially the presence of the wall of the chambers influenced the composition but CO2 became more important by the third year. Soil and air temperatures only slightly influenced the community composition. The first two axes of the canonical correspondence analysis explained a large proportion of the variation in the three years and these trends appeared to increase with time. Species such as Agropyron repens appeared to be positively influenced by the presence of the wall (slightly warmer conditions). However, the analyses suggest that Phleum pratense and Trifolium repens, for example, were favored by the increase in atmospheric CO2 . The variation in species composition in enriched versus ambient CO2 chambers suggests that the effect of the environmental factors, particularly CO2 , were important in affecting the rate and pattern of succession. Furthermore, the temporal increase in importance of the variable CO2 in the present analyses indicates that there might be a time-lag in response to atmospheric enrichment. Introduction It is well known that because of human activities, the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is increasing and may double within the next century (Schneider 1989; Houghton et al. 1990). Besides potential effects on climatic conditions, specifically temperature and precipitation, this atmospheric enrichment is known to directly affect plants. Positive effects of elevated CO2 concentrations on plant growth have been reported in other experiments (Kimball 1983; Bazzaz 1990). However, most experiments have been conducted in controlled environments (greenhouse or growth chambers) and at the individual species level (Lagauderie et al. 1988; Overdieck 1986; Hocking & Meyer 1991; Korner 1993a). Recently with the development of new in situ technologies, open-top chambers and Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) systems, experiments on plant communities are becoming possible. Several of these in situ experiments have examined the responses of short stature communities such as alpine tundra (Korner et al. 1996) or salt marsh (Drake et al. 1996). Of most interest to us, a number of experiments have been conducted in grassland ecosystem. The longest running grassland CO2 experiment was established by Owensby and co-workers (1996) in the tallgrass prairies of Kansas. Two experiments in Switzerland examined the responses of either calcareous grassland (Luscher et al. 1996) or grassland species (Leadley & Korner 1996) to elevated CO2 . Finally, the Jasper Ridge experiment (Field et al. 1996) was conducted in a serpentine Mediterranean grassland. The vegetation 32 at our field site bears more resemblance with the Kansas tallgrass prairies that the other sites. Our results therefore will be compared with those of Owensby et al. (1996). The main objective of community ecology is to document and understand spatial and temporal patterns of species occurrence and abundance. In this study, we examine the impact of CO2 enrichment on a grassland community. The present paper is part of a larger study that examines community response of a natural pasture to long-term CO2 exposure (Stewart & Potvin 1996; Potvin & Vasseur 1997; Taylor & Potvin submitted). In the first paper of this series (Potvin and Vasseur 1997), we show that, after 3 years of monitoring, species richness is significantly higher in the elevated CO2 open-top chambers than in the ambient environment. We suggest that it is largely due to the persistence in the high CO2 environment of dicot species such as, Taraxacum officinale and Plantago major. CO2 enrichment apparently may slow down the natural succession pattern of our pasture (Potvin & Vasseur 1997). A limitation of our work is that inferences about the community were based on either general indices, such as species richness, or individual species responses. Therefore, they do not address the impact of enriched CO2 on the community as a whole. To complement our first study (Potvin & Vasseur 1997), the present paper examines the multivariate nature of community-environment relationships. Here, we focus on two questions: (1) how does the complexity of the community change through time and (2) which environmental variables (in this case, CO2 level, presence of the wall, soil and air temperature) best correlate with community changes. Direct ordination methods actually represent some of the best tools to understand species-environment relationships (ter Braak 1995). Consequently, we use canonical correspondence analyses, to examine the changes in plant community in relation to CO2 enrichment. Specifically, we determine the linear combinations of environmental variables best describing the observed changes in the community. the site had been grazed by cows. To characterize the experimental site, in 1991, a preliminary vegetation survey was carried out. Some 11 C3 species were identified, the most abundant being Poa pratensis, Phleum pratense, Agropyron repens, Plantago major, Polygonum spp, Taraxacum officinale and Trifolium repens. In order to examine the effects of increased CO2 on the pasture, we built four open top chambers, 3 m in diameter and 2.4 m high. We also set-up two controlled field plots of the same diameter but without wall (labeled hereof C1 and C2). The design of the open top chambers was similar to that described by Rogers et al. (1983) and Reeves et al. (1994) and is detailed in Potvin and Vasseur (1997). Two of the open-top chambers were kept at the ambient CO2 concentration of 350 60 l l,1 CO2 (labeled hereof A1 and A2). The two other chambers were enriched to 650 50 l l,1 CO2 (labeled hereof H1 and H2) during the entire course of the growing season. Throughout each growing season, from 1992 to 1994, average daily temperatures were recorded in each environment using air and soil temperature probes. Rainfall was collected after each rain event in each chamber by 2 rainguages. Vegetation surveys Vegetation mapping started soon after snowmelt in May 1992 and continued thereafter every three to four weeks during three growing seasons. In the present analyses, we used surveys of May, July and September for 1992 to 1994. Three quadrats of 0.3 m 0.3 m were permanently installed in each chamber. A total of 18 quadrats was therefore monitored. To account for the light and rain shadow effects of the chambers’ wall, the quadrats were located in a triangular array. At each mapping, the cover surface occupied by each species was drawn on a map. Surface area was later estimated using an AgVisionTM Scientific image analyzer (Version 1.2 Decagon Devices Inc., Pullman WA, USA). Species identification and distribution at the cover level were verified by photographs. Data analyses Materials and methods Study site The study site was located in Farnham, an agricultural region in southern Quebec, Canada (45 170 N, 72 590 W). Before the beginning of the experiment, To analyze cover data, we used two different but related multivariate methods. First, a correspondence analysis (CA) was performed for May 1992 to examine the initial difference in community composition in the three environments considered: field controls, ambient and high CO2 open top chambers. Canonical correspondence analyses (CCA) were used to analyze the relation- 33 ships between community composition and environmental factors in each of the three years of monitoring. In the analyses, we pooled the three quadrats of each chamber to estimate cover area per species. Specific cover area per chamber was used as our variable in the analysis. Because the cover data were normally distributed, untransformed data were used. In the CCA, the environmental factors studied were concentrations of CO2 , average air and soil temperatures, and presence of wall. The month variable was included as a covariable to account for seasonal fluctuations in species importance. Both CA and CCA were performed using the computer program CANOCO (version 3.12, ter Braak 1991) which selects the linear combination of environmental variables giving the smallest total residual sum of squares (ter Braak 1995). Monte Carlo simulations, using 7500 random permutations were used to test the null hypothesis that the variation found in the plant community was unrelated to variation measured in the environmental data (ter Braak 1995). Results This first vegetation survey was done, in May 1992, a week before the beginning of the experiment. These results were used as a baseline to examine the initial community structure. To assess initial spatial heterogeneity, we performed a correspondence analysis (CA) on cover data. CA eigenvalues indicated how much variation in community structure was due to the importance values of each species. The eigenvalues of the first and second axes had values of 0.36 and 0.24, indicating little heterogeneity in species composition. The ambient (A1) and high (H) chambers were dominated by Polygonum sp. and Taraxacum officinale while in the controls (C) Phleum pratense and Poa pratensis were dominant (Figure 1). The ambient chamber A2 presented a different community structure, mostly dominated by Agropyron repens. Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) was used to follow up changes in the relationship between community composition and environmental factors over the course of three growing seasons. In CCA, eigenvalues indicate how much variation in community structure is explained by both species composition and species-environment interaction. From 1992 to 1994, the eigenvalues of axis 1 increased in importance from 0.289 to 0.413 (Table 1). On the second axis, however, values decreased from 0.164, in 1992, to 0.094, in 1994. Species-environment correlations were used to measure the strength of the relationship between species composition and environmental factors. For axis 1, these correlations became gradually more important over time in explaining the variation in community pattern (Table 1). A reverse pattern was observed for axis 2. Similar trends in eigenvalues and speciesenvironment from 1992 to 1994 suggest that changes in community structure were mainly explained by the first axis. Monte Carlo permutation tests for repeated measures indicated that axis representations were significant at p = 0:01 indicating that observed patterns did not arise by chance. In 1992, of all the environmental factors, wall was most correlated to axis 1, followed by air and soil temperatures (Table 1). Axis 2 correlated mostly with CO2 concentration and to a lesser extent with wall. In 1993, CO2 concentration showed a strong negative correlation with axis 1 while both CO2 and wall had similar correlation with axis 2. In 1994, wall and CO2 were the most important environmental variables correlated to axis 1 but their effects were almost in opposite directions suggesting a possible counteracting effect. As in 1993, the CO2 inter-set correlation coefficient was negative. None of the predictor variables showed any important correlation with axis 2 suggesting that other factors not accounted for here were coming into play. Thus, with time, the loading of CO2 in the canonical correspondence analysis, moved from axis 2 to axis 1, increased in value indicating that its role in shaping the pattern of the community became gradually more important. Conversely, the wall effect on axis 1 slightly decreased in importance and temperature effect gradually disappeared (Table 1). Therefore, by the end of the three years, these two variables played a lesser role in explaining the CCA axes than CO2 . The cumulative percentage of the variance explained by species composition increased constantly through time, and this was true for both axes (Table 1). In 1992, species were clearly partitioned by the CCA. Agropyron repens, Polygonum spp. and Capsella bursa-pastoris had high scores on axis 1 (Figure 2). These species were apparently favored by warm temperatures and by the presence of a wall. Conversely, Phleum pratense, Poa pratensis and Trifolium repens showed negative scores on axis 1. On axis 2, Phleum pratense and Plantago major were the only species showing relatively high scores. Consequently they would be expected to show the largest response to elevated CO2 . Conversely, Trifolium repens, Acer negundo, Capsella bursa-pastoris, and Leontodon automnale 34 Figure 1. CA ordination diagram of the initial species composition in the chambers of the pasture community of Farnham (spring 1992). The chambers are identified by the letters A for ambient, H for high CO2 and C for control, the number is the chamber number and the letter s is for the spring survey. The species names are identified as follow: ar Agropyron repens, pm Plantago major, po Polygonum sp., poa Poa pratensis, pp Phleum pratense, to Taraxacum officinale and tr Trifolium repens. (Variation explained by axis 1 36% and axis 2 24%). = = = had very low values on axis 2. In 1993, species also partitioned clearly along axis 1. Quadrats on the positive side of axis 1 were dominated by Agropyron repens and Plantago major while Phleum pratense, Poa pratensis and Taraxacum officinale dominated quadrats on the negative side of axis 1 (Figure 3). The strong negative correlation of CO2 with axis 1 suggests that, in 1993, = = = = = = species clustered in two groups regarding that environmental factor. After 3 years of monitoring, in 1994, one species, Agropyron repens, stood isolated on the positive side of axis 1 (Figure 4). That species was apparently dominant in the ambient CO2 chambers. Phleum pratense, Taraxacum officinale, Trifolium repens and 35 Table 1. Eigenvalues and inter-set correlations of standardized environmental variables with the first two CCA axes, for the three years of the experiment, using plant cover surface areas. Year Axis Eigenvalue Species-environment correlations Cumulative percent of variance (%) – of species data – of species-environment relation Inter-set correlations – Treatment – Wall – Air temperature – Soil temperature 1992 1 0.289 0.925 26.3 56.5 ,0.060 0.724 0.235 0.205 to some extend Poa pratensis were the most abundant species in communities in the other quadrats. As for species variance, we observed a progression in the cumulative proportion of the variance explained by the species-environment interaction for both axes (Table 1). Looking jointly at mappings of May, July and September 1992, the three different environments were clearly classified by CCA into distinct groups along the two axes (Figure 2). The ambient environments showed positive values on axis 1 and did not move on axis 2. On the other hand, the quadrats from the high CO2 open top chambers had negative values on axis 1 and positive values on axis 2. Finally, the control quadrats had negative values on both axes. For 1993, the biplot of CCA showed two distinct clusters of quadrats with the ambient chambers on the positive side of the X-axis and the control and high CO2 chambers on the negative side (Figure 3). This polarization of ambient and high CO2 quadrats along axis 1 was coherent with the strong negative inter-set correlation for the CO2 environmental factor (,0.429, Table 1). The control and high CO2 environments further separated along axis 2 with high CO2 quadrats having positive values along that axis. In 1994, as in 1993, quadrats clustered on either side of axis 1 with positive values for the ambient environment (Figure 4). The other group of quadrats included those of the control and high CO2 environments. This pattern of separation was consistent with the negative correlation found for the CO2 factor (,0.337, Table 1). Quadrats from both the high CO2 and control environments extended along axis 2 without easy clustering. 2 0.164 0.838 41.2 88.5 0.834 0.447 0.104 0.141 1993 1 0.319 0.950 29.2 62.5 ,0.536 0.396 0.138 0.056 2 0.132 0.813 42.1 88.5 0.460 0.545 0.114 0.168 1994 1 0.413 0.898 32.1 75.0 ,0.348 0.382 0.077 0.041 2 0.111 0.453 40.7 92.1 0.061 ,0.038 ,0.096 ,0.032 Discussion This study documents community trajectories following in situ CO2 enrichment of a natural pasture. It was designed to monitor community changes through time and to assess the importance of various environmental factors in causing such changes. Correspondence analysis (CA) indicated some initial weak spatial heterogeneity among the chambers in 1992. Except for chamber A2, species composition in the ambient and high CO2 environments was relatively similar. Since our goal was to monitor and compare changes in community composition under ambient and elevated CO2 , it was essential to start with comparable communities. It is noteworthy to note that Polygonum sp. was initially more frequent in open-top chambers than in controls probably mainly due to the disturbance of the site during the installation of the chambers. Environmental factors The independent CCAs performed for each year showed that CO2 and wall effects had the largest contribution of all experimental factors. Community structure varied in time and was more and more affected by CO2 . This observation is interesting given the contention in the literature that CO2 might have short-term effects that would disappear through time (Reynolds et al. 1996). This contention came from the study of individual species grown in pots that often show more CO2 enrichment effects early than late in the life cycle (Saebo & Mortensen 1995, Potvin & Tousignant 1996). This damping off of CO2 fertilizing effect has been hypothesized to be due to root binding in pots (Bazzaz 1990). The fact that soil volume was not lim- 36 Figure 2. Biplot based on the canonical correspondence analysis, done for 1992, of the species composition of the chambers exposed to ambient (A1 and A2), high CO2 (H1 and H2) or control (C1 and C2) conditions with respect to the environmental conditions: CO2 treatment (treat), wall effect (wall), soil (soiltemp) and air (airtemp) temperatures (each represented by an arrow). The three surveys are represented by s for spring, m for mid-summer and f for fall and they are labeled with the chambers (e.g. A1s represents the survey done in chamber A1 in the spring). The species names are identified as follow: ar Agropyron repens, pm Plantago major, po Polygonum sp., poa Poa pratensis, pp Phleum pratense, to Taraxacum officinale, tr Trifolium repens, cb Capsella bursa-pastoris, la Leontodon automnale, and an Acer negundo. (Variation explained by: axis 1 28.9% and axis 2 16.4%, scaling 1). = = = = = = = ited in the field might explain the difference in results. The increased importance through time of CO2 as an environmental factor suggests that its impact on natural systems will be gradual and might not be detected in the short-term. This calls for more long-term studies. = = = = = = The CCA indicated that the strength of the response to high CO2 was related to a shift in community composition. We hypothesized that long-lived ecosystems, like forests, would respond more slowly than ecosys- 37 Figure 3. Biplot based on the canonical correspondence analysis, done for 1993, of the species composition of the chambers exposed to ambient (A1 and A2), high CO2 (H1 and H2) or control (C1 and C2) conditions with respect to the environmental conditions: CO2 treatment (treat), wall effect (wall), soil (soiltemp) and air (airtemp) temperatures (each represented by an arrow). The three surveys are represented by s for spring, m for mid-summer and f for fall and they are labeled with the chambers (e.g. A1s represents the survey done in chamber A1 in the spring). Refer to Figure 2 for the names of the species. (Variation explained by: axis 1 31.9% and axis 2 13.2%, scaling 1). = tems having a more rapid species turn-over, such as grasslands. Not surprisingly, the presence of a wall was the second most important environmental factor. Open top chambers are known to be affecting light availability, water availability, wind pattern, air and soil temperatures (Drake & Leadley 1991). At the onset of this = = experiment, we expected that air and soil temperatures would have been significant environmental factors and they were included in the CCAs. While in the first year, air and soil temperatures had significant effects on plant communities, these effects were much smaller than the wall effect itself. In later years, the effect of temperature became negligible. The wall effect was appar- 38 Figure 4. Biplot based on the canonical correspondence analysis, done for 1994, of the species composition of the chambers exposed to ambient (A1 and A2), high CO2 (H1 and H2) or control (C1 and C2) conditions with respect to the environmental conditions: CO2 treatment (treat), wall effect (wall), soil (soiltemp) and air (airtemp) temperatures (each represented by an arrow). The three surveys are represented by s for spring, m for mid-summer and f for fall and they are labeled with the chambers (e.g. A1s represents the survey done in chamber A1 in the spring). Refer to Figure 2 for the names of the species. (Variation explained by: axis 1 41.3% and axis 2 11.1%, scaling 1). = ently related to either light, wind or water availability not necessarily to temperature. The presence of a wall may also limit phenomena as herbivory, seed dispersal, species migration and establishment. Other studies (Owensby et al. 1996) have reported that the restriction of herbivores in the chambers and their limited effects on carbon acquisition and community structure may = = bias the actual changes observed under elevated CO2 levels. In our study, field observations and data collection indicate that herbivores were equally present in open top chambers and control plots (Wilsey et al., in prep.). The absence of strong temperature effect itself is most interesting because temperature has always been 39 considered as a critical environmental factor. Predictive scheme for community composition, such as the Holdridge classification, uses temperature as one of three determining environmental characteristics. In the present study, we know that air and soil temperatures were warmer in the open top chambers than in the field plot. Temperature increment due to the chambers was on average 1–3 C and peaked at noon in warm days with differentials as high as 3–5 C. However, despite this important warming effect, temperature was far less important than CO2 level at explaining changes in community structure. Shifts in community composition In all the plots, early successional species characteristic of recent disturbance such as Polygonum spp. were rapidly replaced by late successional species. But since all this replacement occurred in the first experimental year, no relation can be made to the increase of CO2 . Parallel experiments have shown that the early successional species were responsive to disturbance (Taylor & Potvin, in press). In the next two experimental years, late successional species colonized the pasture in all the different treatments. However, a most rapid change in community structure occurred in ambient CO2 chambers. In fact, the biplot of CCA suggests that the quadrats of the ambient open top chambers rapidly became depleted in species. Conversely, the quadrats of high CO2 chambers and control plots still appeared diversified in 1994. These findings support our earlier observations on changes in species richness and dominance that high CO2 concentration apparently slowed down the natural succession patterns of our pasture community (Potvin & Vasseur 1997). However, the multivariate approach used in this study sheds new light on the processes that may be occurring. The CCA biplots for 1994 provide us with clearer understanding of the community response to elevated CO2 . Three species were found to respond negatively to high CO2 concentration: Agropyron repens, Phleum pratense and Taraxacum officinale. On the other hand, Plantago major, Poa pratense and Trifolium repens responded positively. Except for Plantago, the classification regarding CO2 sensitivity was identical in 1993. The positive response of Poa pratensis uncovered by our CCA was, a priori, surprising in view of earlier results published by Owensby et al. (1996). They reported that the abundance of P. pratensis declined under elevated CO2 while that of C3 forbs increased. The authors however explained these results as a response to the lack of grazing which favors C4 grasses. The different response to elevated CO2 observed in the present study can, in part, be explained by the absence of C4 grasses in that community. In the analysis, we fail to see a sharp distinction between monocots and dicots. The observed changes in succession patterns related to a differential species sensitivity to CO2 . This observation appears to be supported by results of Solomon (1986). In his study, he suggested that mid-successional red oak drastically responded to CO2 , influencing successional patterns and community structure. Claims have been made repeatedly in the literature that functional grouping should be used to predict community responses. The argument is that grouping brings species diversity at a manageable level and allows one to identify trends otherwise difficult to detect (Korner 1993b). The absence of clear functional or taxonomic grouping in response to CO2 would diminish the predictability of community studies. Our earlier study had looked at species singly and attempted to identify key species responsible for shifts in community composition under enriched CO2 (Potvin & Vasseur 1997). Considering these results, we had predicted that dicots might benefit from high CO2 concentration more than monocots. The present data failed to support that prediction. However, an effective grouping may exist regarding successional status. Two of the species showing negative responses to high CO2 , Agropyron and Phleum are considered as capable to survive in late succession (Taylor & Aarssen 1988, 1989). These two species are usually better competitors against Poa and Trifolium (Taylor & Aarssen 1989). 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