1 Preliminary version 03-06-2013 After the end of work: Self employment as a keystone of an innovative society? ILERA Symposium 2013 Towards sustainable labour market participation Dutch employers’ association AWVN Arjen Verhoeff PhD (contact e-mail: [email protected], or via Researchgate) 2 Introduction In terms of socio-economic policy ‘the Netherlands is expected to see growth resume only slowly, implying further increases in unemployment in the short term’, according to the recent OECD country report (2012). The report concluded that in the medium term the Dutch economy faces serious challenges because of continued globalisation and ageing of the labor force. In order to face the socio-economic challenges in spring 2013, the ‘Sociaal Akkoord’ has been concluded - a social pact between the government and social partners on a central level. The social pact was initiated after a decade absence of polder pacts, as the author has analyzed in a separate ILERA-paper. The pact includes many elements that are assumed to improve the labor market. Before presenting a statement for this symposium, some preliminary remarks are relevant. The fact that the measures of the recent social pact will take several years to be executes illustrates the labor market is perceived as rather complex in terms of policy impact. As a representative of employers it would be easy to explain what are the interests of employers to cooperate in the making of the social pact. However, such a focus on the short term might contribute little to a debate on sustainable labor market participation. On the other end, a labor market exhibits too many deficiencies to assume that in the long term unemployment will be solved only by an invisible hand. A final preliminary remark regards the debate whether or not there will be a shortage of the labor market within a foreseeable future (De Beer, 2009). If not in general, the labor market will be facing partial shortages in course of time. The Dutch definition of gross participation indicates the percentage of the potential labor force (population of 15-64) executing paid work, or with the ambition to work at least 12 hours a week. The net participation expresses the number of persons having paid work of 12 3 hours/week or more (as a percentage of the gross participation). For 2011 the net participation is illustrated in Figure 1. Figure 1: Net participation in the Netherlands in 2011 (blue = men, orange = women). Source: CBS. In the future, due to recent changes in government policy the net participation will be calculated up to 67 years. For employers, sustainability of talent comprises the development of individual persons in (un)paid working relations leading to continuity in added value for companies or society (Verhoeff, 2007). Manifest ‘Towards new labor relations’ In 2011, employers’ association AWVN - together with trade unions FNV Bondgenoten, CNV Vakmensen and De Unie - has published a Manifest ‘Towards new labor relations: people make the difference, people achieve growth’ (Van der Steen, 2012). The vision as contained in the Manifest of social partners comprises the following elements: 4 - Sustainable entrepreneurship is a must in modern society, given important global challenges in food, energy and socio-economic issues. - Society will draw attention for the effort of people in personal care of family. Paid and unpaid work will compete in the labor market - Sustainable employability of employees is important because of the structurally changing labor market In the operationalization of the manifest these elements will requires not only the market mechanism, but also organizational qualities and social structure. At the moment, AWVN is discussing the options for implementation in the perspective of scenario’s for 2025. For this occasion, an evaluation of the structural changes in employment in society is explored using a framework a la Ouchi (1980). Market, Bureaucracy and Clan Ouchi (1980) departs from the assumption that an organization aims to operate in the most efficient way. In addition to the economic models of market and bureaucracy, Ouchi has identified the clan as a third model. Although the framework of Ouchi has been developed for the analysis of individual companies, his concept will now freely be applied on the labour market. Labour market In a market model the value of a product or service is set by the interaction between supply and demand, resulting in a price. A price conveys clear and simple information for stakeholders, so the market model is efficient regarding the low performance ambiguity and an absence of goal incongruence. The commitment of stakeholders to act is based on self 5 interest. In addition to this original explanation of a market, the imperfections of a labour market will impose transaction costs. Effect of the change in market structure About fifty years ago the average lifespan of companies was 60 years, while today it is less than 15 years (Foster and Kaplan, 2000). This rapid decline implies that a longer careers at the same company will be less and less likely to occur. For persons active on the labor market this implies a autonomous higher level of mobility. This will bring along extra transaction costs for individuals and firms. Bureaucracy When market competition is low, a price is difficult to establish. A bureaucracy is an administrative model which controls by a hierarchical structure and a set of rules and procedures. The bureaucracy model is efficient at the expense of a relatively high goal incongruence and performance ambiguity. It requires an activity of the employer to satisfy the employee for the exchange of his or her labor value. An agreement between employer and employees expresses the value of the transaction as equitable. The commitment in a bureaucracy is induced by supervision, requiring a limited amount of information. In more general terms, transaction costs comprise the efforts to mediate exchanges between stakeholders. Although a contract in a hierarchical system is incomplete by definition, a trustful working climate may contribute that goals are in line between an organization and its employee. 6 Effect of changes in organizing work After Rifkin (1995) proclaimed the end of work, indeed life time employment has diminished at a rapid pace in organizations in the Netherlands. The changing context for work was a cocktail of globalization, ICT and open innovation (Chessbrough, 2003). As a major effect this changing context required flexibility of employees. This implied also a challenge to sustain the employability of an ageing workforce. Recent studies illustrate that older workers have a higher risk on loosing their job (CPB, 2013). Moreover, a fixed contract might seem normal in the Netherlands (or Europe), but within the global economy it is rather unique institution (Van der Linden, 2012). Clan A clan can be seen as a social group by those who share, for instance, the same commitment in a long term perspective. In a clan evaluation of efforts of their members is not necessary because it has socialized its members beforehand to accept the goals of an organization. The members of a clan identify with the values and beliefs through mutual acquaintance. An example of a clan is professional craftsmanship, including the typical master –apprentice relation. An apprentice would be socialized into the traditions of the trade. Socializing requires a high investment in the exchange of information compared to a market or a bureaucracy. Commitment of the members stems from self interest in common values. When the members of a clan are involved in a transaction then goal incongruence and performance ambiguity is low. 7 Effect of change in societal values The concept of ‘master-apprentice ‘ has been a tradition for many centuries in the Netherlands. It was part of a corporatistic society with, for instance, many kinds of religious pillars. In the last decades, this closed society has become open, under the influence of individualization, internet, social media, and the like. An open society requires individuals to explore their options to sustain employability themselves in their own networks. Implications for sustainability This birds eye view on the changing structure of labor market by Ouchi’s framework yields three key words: mobility, flexibility and networks. These words have a common ground that Rifkin (1995) has already pointed out long ago when he maintained the end of work was reached: the employee with a fixed contract is in danger. In the past decades, in the Netherland not only parttime work has flourished, but also many employed have decided to become self employed (zelfstandige zonder personeel, zzp). The following Figure 2. Illustrates this latter development in comparison with other European countries. Figure 2: Development of self employment in European countries (CPB, 2011) 8 In total nowadays one out of three persons active in the labor market has some form of flexible working arrangement or is self employed. In the framework of Ouchi efficient transactions can be obtained by balancing two factors, performance ambiguity and goal congruence. Performance ambiguity implies a lack of clarity in how a task or a product is valued. How exact is the way in which the value of labor or a product is established? Goal incongruence occurs when the behavior of the stakeholders is inconsistent with a goal. For instance, when stakeholders are not committed to the same objective they will act more according to their own interest than a common interest. A symptom of incongruence is a lack of cooperation among the stakeholders. When these two criteria for efficiency are applied for self employment, then they indicate in an interesting direction. Of course, this light exercise with the framework of Ouchi is merely a thinking aloud. But only think back some ten years ago: has the world of work structurally changed since then? Our little experiment does point in that direction. So it is not merely daydreaming that the Dutch working panorama might change in the next ten years fundamentally in the direction of self employment. This might even be one of the scenario’s in the project on labor relations 2025 that AWVN currently is executing. Scenario’s are projections of a future that might become reality, even if nobody – inclusive employers - would embrace such a world. This brings me to a statement. Statement Promoting and supporting self-employment will lead to a society with sustainable work arrangements. 9 At the symposium several angles might be relevant for debate, such as: - Why is self employment important for (social) innovation? - What are the necessary conditions for an individualized society to coordinate the sustainability of common economic and social interests? - How to cope with a risk of free riders when pursuing sustainability for all? References CBS (2013). Bescheiden krimp economie. Retrieved on May 15 from: www.cbs.nl/nl-NL/menu/themas/macro-economie/publicaties/artikelen/archief/2013/2013034-pb.htm CPB (2011). Older workers often self-employed. CPB (2013). Labour-market outcomes of older workers in the Netherlands: Measuring job prospects using the occupational age structure. Chesbrough, H. (2003). Open Innovation: The New Imperative for Creating and Profiting from Technology. Boston: Harvard Business School Press. De Beer, P. (2009). Krapte arbeidsmarkt verdwijnt uit zicht, ESB, 94(4566), 21. 504-506. Foster, R.N. en Kaplan, S. (2000). Creative Destruction: Why Companies that are Built to Last Underperform the Market - And how to Successfully Transform Them. Currency publisher. OECD (2012). OECD Economic Surveys: Netherlands 2012. Ouchi, W.G. (1980). Markets, Bureaucracies, and Clans. Administrative Science Quarterly 25 (1), 129-41. Rifkin, J. (1995). The End of Work: The Decline of the Global Labor Force and the Dawn of the Post-Market Era. Putnam Publishing Group. 10 Van der Linden (2012). Het Nieuwe Werken en Flexibilisering van Arbeidsrelaties. Twee observaties en een vermaning. In Verhoeff and De Bruin, Ontwerpers in Arbeidsverhoudingen. AWVN: Den Haag. Van der Steen, H. (2012). Naar nieuwe arbeidsverhoudingen; Mensen maken het verschil,, mensen realiseren groei. In Verhoeff, A.A. and De Bruin, G. (2012). Ontwerpers in Arbeidsverhoudingen. AWVN: Den Haag. Verhoeff, A.A. (2007). Handboek Levensfasebeleid [Handbook Sustainable employability]. AWVN. Verhoeff, A.A. and De Bruin G. (2012). Ontwerpers in Arbeidsverhoudingen. AWVN: Den Haag.
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