Competitive Market Activity Robert Gessner President, Massillon Cable TV, Inc. System Information Massillon Cable TV Two counties in NE Ohio 68,250 Homes Passed 46,900 Homes Served 43,325 Video 20,675 2-way Digital HH 14,500 HD HH 33,325 HSD 15,075 Phone Lines Massillon Cable TV, Inc. Two service areas Consolidated headend All-Digital/No-Analog Typical HFC Plant Redundant Fiber Interconnect 1,500 plant miles 750 MHz Competitors DBS AT&T U-Verse (60%) Embarq (35%) Frontier/Verizon (5%) System Details Wayne County Stark County Wooster Vicinity Massillon Vicinity COUNTY HOMES PASSED VIDEO % of HP DATA % of HP VOICE % of HP Stark 45,529 65.1% 50.6% 20.9% Wayne 22,718 60.2% 48.8% 24.9% Service Area Observations Wayne County has lower video penetration The result of more rural demographic and consistently greater activity by satellite providers over the years. Stark County has lower voice penetration AT&T is a stronger competitor than Embarq. AT&T record of consistently better service and lower rates. Active marketing programs Aggressive win-back programs Massive direct mail budget Widely varying offers Low-priced, entry-level service. Embarq has history of lower quality service, higher rates and, until recently, a weak win-back program. Status of Competitors Stark County has more competition is all service types AT&T serves most of the Stark County area Verizon (now Frontier) serves only small portions of Stark County. Actively building and marketing U-Verse. High recognition due to AT&T overbuild of Time Warner North East Ohio (1.5 million customers in Cleveland, Akron, Youngstown, Mansfield areas). Provides data and voice only. Virtually no competitive presence. Wayne County has one competitor Embarq Provides data and voice only. Legacy of United Telephone, high rates and moderate service, coupled with the Sprint/Embarq divestiture allowed us a very open market for quite some time. Recent improvements in Embarq’s efforts. Past Competitive Efforts Past Competitive Efforts Carefully examined competitive landscape in 2007. Three product lines had different needs: Video – flat to slightly falling penetration to satellite and the prospect of U-Verse required action to maintain our market share. Data –clear market leader. We needed to continue to innovate but could do so from a position of strength. Voice – Growing steadily. Typical bundle marketing was serving us well. Past Competitive Efforts - Video Battle for video success framed by HD. Competitors were defining the battleground. Not just DirecTV & Dish. AT&T appearance imminent. We launched our DTV Rollout to minimize the competitive advantage enjoyed by satellite in terms of the “hot item,” HD. Obtained an FCC waiver to use integrated security converters. Developed low-cost DTA (Digital-To-Analog) with no-cost guide. Deployed 100,000 converters in 10 months. Three free per customer. Eliminated all analog video signals. Launched 65+ additional HD signals to reach 95. Past Competitive Efforts - Video Did it work? Don’t know. We lost some video customers due to the requirement of a converter on every set. We don’t know how many customers we did not lose because we launched so much more HD. Finished our project just as the economic recession became big news (Q3 2009). Some level of losses to vacant homes, lost jobs, “right sizing” household budgets, etc. More DTV Rollout Information FCC Waiver First Interim Report First Interim Report Survey Second Interim Report Final Report Past Competitive Efforts - Video Competitive Difference Trade-Off Gave up our competitive difference as “whole house” provider in this effort to equalize our video product with satellite in terms of HD. With analog, consumers have complex decision when considering video providers. They must ask themselves if they want converters on every set. They can choose different providers depending on the answer. That may be an advantage. When all digital, consumers no longer have that factor in the decision. They simply ask whose converters I prefer. Certainly, we can give people converters, but that is not the same thing. I will return to this topic later. Recent Competitive Efforts - Video HD/DVR Survey Recent survey of HD/DVR subs (1,500 responses). Despite almost 100 HD networks, they want more. 42% about right, 57% not nearly enough, 1% too many However, when challenged to name HD nets we don’t carry, they have difficulty doing so. Perhaps reached point of diminishing returns, but can we stop adding and lose ground in advertising battle? HD/DVR Survey Recent Competitive Efforts - Video Availability of HD is working Door-to-door survey team results show customers are aware of broad HD selection even if they don’t use it. 77% are aware we have 90+ HD networks. Recent Competitive Efforts - Video Same survey showed very high interest in Increased DVR storage space 34% - Always enough storage 37% - Adequate 29% - Never enough storage space Planning launch of 1000GB SATA drives in July. We will sell (rather than rent) for about $100. MRDVR No specific question, but very frequently noted among respondents. Waiting for guide and converter suppliers to offer MRDVR. Recent Competitive Efforts - Video First Door-To-Door effort AT&T Inoculation Team Built upon idea from NPG with very similar results. Small team that works just ahead of AT&T to assure satisfaction of current customers. Goal is not sales, but verification that all services are working properly. About 10% of homes surveyed need a service call. About 15% have some type of issue resolved at the door (remote control programming, batteries, Internet questions, etc.). Recent Competitive Efforts - Video AT&T Inoculation Team (cont) Also using weekly reports to identify area signal issues. Technical SWAT response to resolve very quickly. Collecting information about non-subs Current provider If/why they left us Likelihood of remaining with current provider Test Results Test Area Control Areas Base Accounts 920 % Change 3277 % Change Change in Base Accounts -4 -0.43% -31 -0.95% Digital HH 10 1.09% 17 0.52% Phone HH 0 0.00% 10 0.31% HSD HH 19 2.07% 13 0.40% Total Unit Change 25 2.72% 9 0.27% Recent Competitive Efforts - HSD DOCSIS 3.0 Transition to all-digital/no-analog created bandwidth to offer DOCSIS 3.0 throughout the system. Four downstream channels operating in all areas. Working to recover DOCSIS 1.0 modems before increasing upstream bandwidth to 6.4MHz (underway). Seen benefits from DOCSIS 3.0 without new, higher bandwidth packages. Auto load balancing Multiple return paths Better performance for all customers. Planning new DOCSIS 3.0 packages in near future. Recent Competitive Efforts - Voice Challenge same as for all Began commercial sales in early 2009 Slow sales Cord cutting Reasonably good results to date. Question whether we need a cell phone element to make our phone offering complete. Certainly seems to be the case, but no winning combination of providers. Recent Competitive Efforts - Voice Stark County Recognize need for low-cost, entry-level phone service to meet AT&T with competitive offers. Creates problem of margin due to Sprint partnership. Testing price points and response rates now. Competitive Efforts - Other System reliability Allowed to slip during year we worked on DTV Rollout. Currently primary operational focus Deliver higher quality technical signal with greater reliability. Still do as well as others technically and better from customer service, but need to focus on absolute performance. New monitoring tools New workforce distribution New employee dedication Competitive Efforts - Other Current enhancement products Carbonite IT Guys Hosted application for off-site backup. Need to make concerted effort to evaluate Great service to customers. Keeps them coming back to our HSD. Planned enhancement product Home Security Broadband based Hope for new entrants due to “widgets” and other flexibility. My Competitive Crusade Digital TV without a Digital Box Magid Study – October 2009 42% of these sideliners admit that "options are not worth the fees." One-third cite cost and affordability as the primary reasons for not buying HD service. 34% of HD households do not subscribe to HD programming. Magid Study HDTV Sets without HD Service Despite economic recession, consumers replacing analog TV sets at a rapid pace. A large percentage are choosing not to add any HD programming. Our experience as an all-digital/no-analog system provides a unique perspective into consumer use of digital TV sets. We really did not know how they were using HDTV sets until we removed all analog signals. HDTV Sets without HD Service What are they watching? Our experience from our DTV Rollout says ANALOG. Why are they watching poor quality analog? Only know this if you have eliminated analog signals. Poor quality compared to digital signals (satellite or telco) You aren’t making it possible for them to watch digital. They don’t know how to use their digital TV set and you aren’t teaching them. What will they do when they notice? Maybe they will subscribe to your HD service. Maybe they will switch to another provider because they assume analog quality is the best you can deliver. HDTV Sets without HD Service Not just replacing the “BIG” TV anymore. Since Digital TV Transition, all TV sets are digital. Stand at Wal-Mart, Best Buy or HHGregg and watch the number of small digital TV sets streaming out the door. Many homes have replaced all analog TV sets with digital. They may equip the “BIG” TV with a converter, but the others are simply connected to the coax system. HDTV Sets without HD Service Why don’t they have converters. Magid Study says cost, affordability, options not worth the cost. Perhaps more factors, especially for AOs. Cost Complexity Comfort Aesthetics Convenience Stubbornness HDTV Sets without HD Service Wouldn’t it be better if we could deliver digital quality signals to digital TV sets without a converter? WE CAN! PSIP – Add small amount of data to SD signals so digital TV sets can easily tune to them. ClearQAM – Maintain a robust lineup of unencrypted SD signals (including PSIP). Consumer Continuum of Choice Consumer Continuum of Choice Legacy Analog TV * Monthly Cost = $0.00 * 100+ linear TV Networks *45 Music Networks * Limited guide (better than what they now have) Stand-alone Digital TV * Monthly Cost = $0.00 * 100+ linear TV Networks (Lifeline & Basic) * 12 HD Networks * 45 Music Networks * Channel number same as converter. *On screen labels for Network and Channel number, but no guide. Low-cost, limited functionality HD Converter * Monthly Cost = $2.00 * 200+ linear TV Networks (All linear services) * 100+ HD Networks * 45 Music Networks * Limited Guide (Full program information, but not interactive). Full-featured HD Converter * Monthly Cost = $7.00 - $12.00 * 200+ linear TV Networks (All linear services) * 100+ HD Networks * 45 Music Networks * All Interactive Services (VOD, PPV, etc.) * MRDVR * Online Integration *Fully Integrated Interactive Program Guide Consumer Continuum of Choice Why is this important? It is what customers want. Choice Value Friendly Our HDTV registry already tracks more than 5% of our HHs who use at least one digital TV set without a converter. Grows every day. We are the only platform that can deliver it. Competitive difference Delivers digital quality at analog price Affords easy migration path to other services. Consumer Continuum of Choice My proposal Primarily status quo Lifeline & Basic SD signals should be encrypted at the operator’s election. SD no different than analog in terms of signal quality and need to secure from copying and illegal distribution. All HD and premium SD signals should be encrypted at the programmer’s election. Recognizes need to secure HD content from copying and illegal distribution. Allows programmer flexibility (QVC, HSN) Consumer Continuum of Choice Needs both PSIP and ClearQAM PSIP-Program and System Information Protocol ATSC protocol for metadata in an MPEG stream. Available and, within limits, works well. TV compatibility issues Requires new discipline regarding spectrum utilization Being resolved with practice. ClearQAM Required to maintain robust offering directly to digital TV sets. Consumer Continuum of Choice Threats Industry support Comcast has no interest. Want to encrypt everything to reduce truck rolls and theft. Not sure of other MSOs NCTA unwilling to consider in light of Comcast desire. Not all systems in same situation as Comcast. Fully support Comcast’s right to encrypt based on their specific needs. Problem - Comcast (due to their dominant position) precludes my right to choose not to fully encrypt. Consumer Continuum of Choice Threats (continued) Program Networks No clear reason why they want us to encrypt SD. Possible negotiating tactic – trade for something else. Should not put program networks in position to determine our capital expenditures They don’t care what it costs us to secure their signals. Consider that you must eventually replace every DTA and non-HD STB with a new one. The cost is staggering. Probably 3x the number of STBs today. Consumer Continuum of Choice My crusade may be more like Quixote’s than Lancelot’s, but still worth the attempt. Creates a competitive difference. Presents friendly, consumer-oriented options. Appeals to an activist FCC that will offer many opportunities to raise the issue. QUESTIONS? Robert Gessner Massillon Cable TV, Inc. Email: [email protected] Voice: 330-833-5509 Fax: 330-833-7522
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