McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Valuing Bonds A bond is a debt instrument issued by governments or corporations to raise money The successful investor must be able to: • • • • Understand bond structure Calculate bond rates of return Understand interest rate risk Differentiate between real and nominal returns 6-2 Bond Basics When governments or companies issue bonds, they promise to make a series of interest payments and then repay the debt.  Bond • Security that obligates the issuer to make specified payments to the bondholder.  Face Value • Payment at the maturity of the bond.  Coupon • The interest payments paid to the bondholder.  Coupon Rate • Annual interest payment as a percentage of face value. 6-3 Bond Pricing: Example Treasury bond prices are quoted in 32nds rather than in decimals. Example: For a $1000 face value bond with a bid price of 103:05 and an asked price of 103:06, how much would an investor pay for the bond? 103% + (06/32) = 103.1875% of face value (1.031875) * ($1,000) = $1,031.875 6-4 Bond Pricing coupon coupon (coupon  par ) PV    ....  1 2 t (1  r ) (1  r ) (1  r ) 6-5 Bond Pricing: Example What is the price of a 9% annual coupon bond with a par value of $1,000 that matures in 3 years? Assume a required rate of return of 4%. 6-6 Bond Pricing A bond is a package of two investments: an annuity and a final repayment. PVBond  PVCoupons  PVParValue PVBond  coupon  ( Annuity Factor )  par value  ( Discount Factor ) 1  (1  r )  t where Annuity Factor  r 1 and Discount Factor  (1  r )t 6-7 Bond Pricing: Example What is the value of a 3-year annuity that pays $90 each year and an additional $1,000 at the date of the final repayment? Assume a discount rate of 4%. PVBond 1  (1  .04) 3 1  $90   $1, 000  .04 (1  .04)3  $1,138.75 6-8 Bond Prices & Interest Rates As interest rates change, so do bond prices. What is the present value of a 4% coupon bond with face value $1,000 that matures in 3 years? Assume a discount rate of 5%. What is the present value of this same bond at a discount rate of 2%? 6-9 Bond Yields To calculate how much we earn on a bond investment, we can calculate two types of bond yields:  Current Yield  Yield to Maturity 6-10 Current Yield: Example Suppose you spend $1,150 for a $1,000 face value bond that pays a $60 annual coupon payment for 3 years. What is the bond’s current yield? 6-11 Yield to Maturity Yield to Maturity: coupon coupon (coupon  par ) PV    ....  1 2 (1  r ) (1  r ) (1  r )t 6-12 Yield to Maturity: Example Suppose you spend $1,150 for a $1,000 face value bond that pays a $60 annual coupon payment for 3 years. What is the bond’s yield to maturity? $60 $60 ($60  $1,000) $1,150    1 2 (1  r ) (1  r ) (1  r ) 3 6-13 Rate of Return 6-14 Rate of Return: Example Suppose you purchase a 5% coupon bond, par value $1,000, with 5 years until maturity, for $975.00 today. After one year you sell the bond for $965.00. What was the rate of return during the period? 6-15 The Yield Curve: Example 6-16 Interest Rates & Inflation In the presence of inflation, an investor’s real interest rate is always less than the nominal interest rate. 6-17 Interest Rates & Inflation If you invest in a security that pays 10% interest annually and inflation is 6%, what is your real interest rate? 6-18 Interest Rates & Inflation: Example Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) Example: If you invest in 5% coupon, 3 year TIPS and inflation is 3% each year, what are your real annual cash flows? Year 1 2 3 Real cash flows $50 $50 $1,050 6-19 The Risk of Default When investing in bonds, there is always the risk that the issuer may default.  Default risk  Default premium 6-20 The Risk of Default Bonds come in many categories, with returns commensurate with risk.  Credit agency  Investment-grade bonds  Junk bonds 6-21 Types of Corporate Bonds Zero-Coupon Bonds Floating-Rate Bonds Convertible Bonds 6-22 Appendix A: Treasury Bond Rates 10-year U.S. Treasury bond interest rates, 1900-2010 6-23 Appendix B: Real vs. Nominal Yields Red line – Real yield on long-term UK indexed bonds Blue line – Nominal yield on long-term UK bonds 6-24 Appendix C: Credit Ratings 6-25
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