Cognitive Networks: Autonomous Customer Experience and Resource Management Péter Szilágyi, Nokia BUTE 5G Technologies 25th April, 2017 1 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Today’s challenge: massive growth of mobile Internet traffic Main characteristics € $ f Diversity and massive volume From VoIP through social networking to high resolution multimedia. Uniqueness and personalization Context, location, time, device, OS, load, user specific content. Always on (never sleeps) Continuous demand and dynamic load. Photos shared by Facebook Messenger Service Quality sensitiveness Poor service deteriorates business. Users don’t accept bad quality. 216,302 Encryption – Data Never Sleeps 4.0, https://www.domo.com/blog/2015/08/data-never-sleeps-4-0/ 1 2 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 The amount of encrypted content has an increasing trend. The importance of customer experience (Quality of Experience, QoE) How do people experience latency? 1 ☺ 0.1 second Feeling of immediate response 1 second 10 seconds 3 75% OF AUDIENCE ENDURES 17% 4% OF AUDIENCE ENDURES OF AUDIENCE ENDURES 5-9 10-29 0-4 MINS MINS MINS 4% OF AUDIENCE ENDURES 30+ MINS How patient are people with poor video streaming experiences? 2 Feeling at the mercy of the system 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Amazon: every 100 ms latency: -1% in sales. 3 Bing. 2 second slowdown: queries per user -1.8%, revenue per user -4.3%. 4 Shopzilla: performance hike (from ~7 to ~2 seconds): +25% in page views, +7-12% in revenue, -50% hardware need. 4 No. 1 CHOICE Sensing delay but still in control How does user experience impact business? 1– Usability Engineering, Jakob Nielsen, 1993 – How Consumers Judge Their Viewing Experience, Conviva, 2015 2 THE VIDEO SERVICE INTERNET SERVICE CONTENT DELIVERY Who do users blame after poor video streaming experiences? 2 3 – G. Linden, Amazon, Make Data Useful; 4 – O’Reilly Velocity 2009 Conference QoE management: needed already for today’s Internet applications End-user lifestyle Application diversity Available resources Revenue impact • ubiquitous Internet access via mobile devices • highly dynamic and versatile traffic profiles (per session) • over-provisioning is not economical or feasible • good QoE is revenue generator • expectation: seamless Quality of Experience • resource requirements for good QoE span a wide scale • congestion may occur on the radio interface or at the mobile backhaul • subscribers mandate high quality services and react to degradations Requirements for network side QoE management: real time 4 context based 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 target individual application sessions (granularity) actions are based on the resource requirement of each application session Cognitive stress by QoE degradation Acute stress 47% of smartphone users loose focus Cognitive load/stress Dorsolateral prefrontal cortex EEG technology to record brain activity Orbitofrontal cortex 70% loose focus 30% rise in stress even at 1 second delay 0 1 2 3 peak in stress 4 5 6 81% loose focus critical delay: all users lose interest 7 8 9 10 Streaming video delay [seconds] 5 +44% 30% 72% increased heart rate by a 2 second delay in selfie upload frustrated by 1st occasion of delay while uploading pictures to Facebook millennial video users lose interest after 4 seconds of delay 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 EXIT Source: Content in the blink of an eye, Ericsson & Vodafone, 2017 +10% ! increased stress in age group 18-24 compared to 35+ Future service verticals and applications AUGMENTED Augmented gaming INTERCONNECTED Personal robot 8k Video beamer Real time work in cloud REDEDICATED Work & game while traveling Assisted driving Augmented dashboard 4k Video Smart watch VR gaming People & Things 6 Remote Diagnosis Real-time remote control 3D 3Dprinting printing Advanced monitoring Touch & steer TACTILE Industry 4.0 Traffic Mgmt. Smart grids Safety & Security HD Cams NW Real-time remote control REVOLUTIONIZED Traffic steering & management Connected home Health 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Tracking / inventory systems Factory automation Toll collection Real time cloud access VIRTUAL Maintenance optimization Logistics Travel & commute Virtual 3D presence Automotive Smart clothes Mobile living Communication Time shift Augmented shopping AUTONOMOUS Self driving Waste mgmt. Utility & Energy Reliable emergency communications SUPEREFFICIENT Future service verticals and applications – disruption from Internet traffic Communication patterns may be fundamentally different from currently known applications Vehicular Tactile/AR/VR M2M, IoT • car to car / roadside communication • remote object manipulation • massive number of distributed devices • self-driving cars • remote surgery • smart metering • platoon steering • robotics/control • security/surveillance • crossroad coordination • virtual/augmented reality • sensor networks Future ? New requirements include: availability, reliability, multi-/local-connectivity, ultra-low latency, security, etc. 7 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Challenges and requirements Challenges to overcome Future proof system Do not consider today’s applications only – adaptation to new use cases should not require a major redesign or a new telco generation Dynamic and adaptive Do not trust QoE and service quality to always having plenty of bandwidth – resources should be managed and used on demand, even under limitations Programmable Reduce system defaults – pre-defined configurations and static actions lack the flexibility needed for optimal operation 8 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Real Time Self-learning Embed cognitive functions in the system that are capable of autonomous self-measuring/monitoring, self-learning and selfprogramming (parameterization, configuration, optimization). Cognitive network concept Autonomous Network & Service Optimization/Management Dynamic & Adaptive Customer Experience Mgmt Autonomous Network & Service Optimization/Mgmt Dynamically adapt the network to the actual or predicted demand/context. Dynamic & Adaptive Customer Experience Management Use the available resources better to maximize the customer experience and system efficiency in real time. Physical/virtual infrastructure and resources 9 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Optimal network operation from both end-to-end performance and customer experience point of view Motivation for autonomous cognitive functions also at the RAN Application detection and packet marking CORE it is YouTube... Content servers UE CORE RAN ...but how to serve it? still need to infer the specific requirements of this particular video session RAN – Radio Access Network UE – User Equipment 10 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 RAN the traffic may be routed locally to keep it physically close to the communicating devices – but it may need dynamic and adaptive service specific to the use case, content, application / vertical Autonomous cognitive functions Content servers UE CORE RAN Cognitive resource (radio, physical/virtual) and QoE management V2V V2V RAN Cognitive resource (DC, transport, physical/virtual) and QoE management Embedded cognitive decision and action functions Self-configuration, -optimization, -learning, -monitoring RAN – Radio Access Network UE – User Equipment 11 25/04/2017 © Nokia 2016 Disruption from GPRS/EPC paradigm: CFs are deployed through the e2e system (not limited to the core).
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