Table of Contents 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1-1 2. Problem Statement ...................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 Regulatory Background ......................................................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.1 Beneficial Uses and Water Quality Objectives ................................................................................ 2-1 2.1.2 Basis for Adoption of 2004 Nutrient TMDL ..................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.2.1 Lake Elsinore ................................................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.2.2 Canyon Lake .................................................................................................................................... 2-2 2.1.2.3 2004 TMDL Adoption .................................................................................................................. 2-2 2.1.3 Basis for TMDL Revision .......................................................................................................................... 2-3 2.2 Characteristics of Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake..................................................................................... 2-3 2.2.1 San Jacinto River Watershed .................................................................................................................. 2-3 2.2.2 Lake Elsinore................................................................................................................................................. 2-4 2.1.3 Canyon Lake .................................................................................................................................................. 2-5 2.3 Historical and Current Conditions..................................................................................................................... 2-6 2.3.1 Lake Elsinore................................................................................................................................................. 2-6 2.3.1.1 Monitoring History ....................................................................................................................... 2-6 2.3.1.2 Water Quality .................................................................................................................................. 2-8 2.3.1.3 Aquatic Biology ............................................................................................................................2-12 2.3.2 Canyon Lake ................................................................................................................................................2-15 2.3.2.1 Monitoring History .....................................................................................................................2-15 2.3.2.2 Water Quality ................................................................................................................................2-26 2.3.2.3 Aquatic Biology ............................................................................................................................2-20 2.3.3 Sensitivity of Biological Communities to Proximate Stressors .............................................2-21 2.3.3.1 Conductivity...................................................................................................................................2-22 2.3.3.2 Dissolved Oxygen ........................................................................................................................2-22 2.3.3.3 Ammonia .........................................................................................................................................2-23 2.3.3.4 Zooplankton Food Sources ......................................................................................................2-24 2.4 Unique Characteristics of Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake...................................................................2-24 2.4.1 Extended Drought .....................................................................................................................................2-25 2.4.2 Sediment and Nutrient Retention ......................................................................................................2-26 2.2.2.1 Lake Elsinore .................................................................................................................................2-26 2.2.2.2 Canyon Lake ..................................................................................................................................2-27 2.4.3 Watershed Soil Erosion ..........................................................................................................................2-28 2.4.4 Canyon Lake Dynamics ...........................................................................................................................2-28 2.5 Summary ....................................................................................................................................................................2-28 2.6 References (to be moved to Chapter 9 in Final TMDL Report) ...........................................................2-29 3. Numeric Targets .......................................................................................................... 3-1 4. Source Assessment ...................................................................................................... 4-1 5. Linkage Analysis........................................................................................................... 5-1 6. Wasteload Allocations and Load Allocations ................................................................ 6-1 i Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake TMDL Revision Table of Contents 7. Implementation Plan ................................................................................................... 7-1 8. Monitoring Requirements ............................................................................................ 8-1 9. References................................................................................................................... 9-1 List of Figures Figure 2-1. Location of Lake Elsinore Sample Locations .............................................................................. 2-38 Figure 2-2. Total Phosphorus Concentrations in Lake Elsinore - 2002-2016 ..................................... 2-39 Figure 2-3. Total Nitrogen Concentrations in Lake Elsinore - 2002-2016 ........................................... 2-39 Figure 2-4. Nitrogen to Phosphorus Ratios in Lake Elsinore - 2002-2016........................................... 2-40 Figure 2-5. Total Ammonia Concentrations in Lake Elsinore - 2002-2016.......................................... 2-40 Figure 2-6. Un-ionized Ammonia Concentrations in Lake Elsinore - 2002-2016.............................. 2-41 Figure 2-7. Chlorophyll a Concentrations (Depth Integrated) in Lake Elsinore - 2002-2015 ..... 2-41 Figure 2-8. Dissolved Oxygen Concentrations (Depth Integrated) in Lake Elsinore 2002-2016 ................................................................................................................................................. 2-42 Figure 2-9. Dissolved Oxygen Concentrations (1-m from Bottom) in Lake Elsinore 2002-2016 ................................................................................................................................................. 2-42 Figure 2-10. TDS Concentrations in Lake Elsinore - 2003-2016 .............................................................. 2-43 Figure 2-11. Location of Canyon Lake Sample Locations ............................................................................. 2-44 Figure 2-12. Total Phosphorus Concentrations in Canyon Lake - 2001-2016 .................................... 2-45 Figure 2-13. Total Nitrogen Concentrations in Canyon Lake - 2001-2016 .......................................... 2-45 Figure 2-14. Nitrogen to Phosphorus Ratios in Canyon Lake - 2001-2016.......................................... 2-46 Figure 2-15. Total Ammonia Concentrations in Canyon Lake - 2007-2016......................................... 2-46 Figure 2-16. Un-ionized Ammonia Concentrations in Canyon Lake - 2007-2016............................. 2-47 Figure 2-17. Chlorophyll a Concentrations (Depth Integrated) in Canyon Lake 2001-2015............................................................................................................................................. 2-47 Figure 2-18. Dissolved Oxygen Concentrations in Canyon Lake (Main Basin) – 2007-2016............................................................................................................................................. 2-48 Figure 2-19. Dissolved Oxygen Concentrations in Canyon Lake (East Basin) – 2002-2016............................................................................................................................................. 2-48 Figure 2-20. TDS Concentrations in Canyon Lake - 2001-2016 ................................................................ 2-49 Figure 2-21. 10-Year Rolling Average Annual Runoff Inflow to Lake Elsinore from San Jacinto River watershed ................................................................................................................................. 2-49 Figure 2-22. Cumulative Delivery of Runoff Volume to Lake Elsinore from the San Jacinto River (1964-2016)............................................................................................................................. 2-50 Figure 2-23. Modeled water level in Lake Elsinore for Scenarios with and without Supplemental Water Additions .................................................................................................... 2-50 Figure 2-24. Estimated Concentration of Mobile-P in Canyon Lake Bottom Sediments Based on 2014 Hydroacoustic Survey .................................................................................................... 2-51 Figure 2-25. Annual Runoff Volume into Canyon Lake and Overflow to Lake Elsinore ................. 2-51 ii Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake TMDL Revision Table of Contents List of Tables Table 2-1. Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake Beneficial Uses and Water Quality Objectives............2-31 Table 2-2. Summary of Fish Kills in Lake Elsinore, 1915 - Present ..........................................................2-33 Table 2-3. 2004 TMDL Numeric Compliance Targets ....................................................................................2-33 Table 2-4. Canyon Lake Water Depth and Secchi Depth ...............................................................................2-34 Table 2-5. Historical Dissolved Oxygen, Nutrient, Chlorophyll a, and TDS Summary for Lake Elsinore between 2002 and 2016 (TMDL Compliance Monitoring).................................2-34 Table 2-6. EPA 1975 Eutrophic Survey Results of Lake Elsinore ..............................................................2-35 Table 2-7. Nutrient and Chlorophyll a Concentrations in Canyon Lake between 2000 and 2001 ..............................................................................................................................................................2-35 Table 2-8. Historical Dissolved Oxygen, Nutrient, Chlorophyll a, and TDS Summary for Canyon Lake between 2002 and 2016 - Sites CL-07 and CL-08 (Main Basin) (TMDL Compliance Monitoring) ......................................................................................................2-36 Table 2-9. Historical Dissolved Oxygen, Nutrient, Chlorophyll a, and TDS Summary for Canyon Lake between 2002 and 2016 - Sites CL-09 and CL-10 (East Basin) (TMDL Compliance Monitoring) Table 2-10. Years with Reported Drought Conditions or Completely Dry Lakebed .........................2-36 Table 2-11. Sediment Accumulation in Canyon Lake since 1986 ..............................................................2-37 Table 2-12. Key Differences between Canyon Main Lake and East Bay .................................................2-37 iii Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake TMDL Revision Table of Contents Appendices Appendix A Supporting Biological Data Appendix B Historical Overview of Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake Region (TBD) Appendix C TBD Appendix D TBD Etc. iv Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake TMDL Revision Table of Contents Acronyms AgNMP Alum Basin Plan BMP BOD °C CAFO CDFG cfs CNRP COD DO DOC DYRESM-CAEDYM EPA EVWMD ft in/yr LA LEAMS LEMA LEMP LID mL mg/mL µg/L µS/cm MS4 MUN NAWQA NPDES Org/L Ortho-P POA RCFCWCD REC1 REC2 Santa Ana Water Board SAWPA SMAV SSD Task Force TKN TDS TOC TN TP State Water Board TMDL UCR USGS Agricultural Nutrient Management Plan Aluminum sulfate Water Quality Control Plan for the Santa Ana River Basin best management practice Biological Oxygen Demand degrees Celsius Concentrated Animal Feeding Operation California Department of Fish and Game cubic feet per second Comprehensive Nutrient Reduction Plan Chemical Oxygen Demand Dissolved Oxygen Dissolved Organic Carbon Dynamic Reservoir Simulation Model - Computational Aquatic Ecosystem Dynamics Model Environmental Protection Agency Elsinore Valley Water Management District feet Inch/year Load allocation Lake Elsinore Aeration and Mixing System Lake Elsinore Management Authority Lake Elsinore Management Plan Low Impact Development milliliters milligrams/milliliter Micrograms/liter microSiemens/centimeter Municipal Separate Storm Sewer System Municipal and Domestic Water Supply National Water Quality Assessment National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System Organisms/Liter Organic Phosphorus Property Owners Association Riverside County Flood Control and Water Conservation District Water Contact Recreation Non-Contact Water Recreation Santa Ana Regional Water Quality Control Board Santa Ana Watershed Protection Authority Species Mean Acute Value Species Sensitivity Distribution Lake Elsinore/Canyon Lake Task Force Total Kjeldahl Nitrogen Total Dissolved Solids Total Organic Carbon Total Nitrogen Total Phosphorus State Water Resources Control Board Total Maximum Daily Load University of California, Riverside U.S. Geological Survey v Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake TMDL Revision Table of Contents WARM WLA WRCAC vi Warm Freshwater Aquatic Habitat Wasteload Allocation Western Riverside County Agricultural Coalition Lake Elsinore and Canyon Lake TMDL Revision Table of Contents This page intentionally left blank. vii
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