Future energy carriers and propulsion systems for buses and long distance trucks Göran Wirmark, et al Senior Vice President Volvo Technology AB Welcome to Volvo Group Volvo Group is one of the world's leading suppliers of transport solutions for commercial use. We also provide complete solutions for financing and service. Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 2 Date Volvo Corporate Values Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 3 Date Current global issues 200 Oil Price Global Warming Global economy 180 160 $ per barrel 140 Actual basket price Forecast Term. Forecast consensus Trend (2004-2008) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Peak Oil Fuel/Food New technology Energy Reserves Oil Gas Coal Growing cities Raw material price Business Cycles Example: HD Truck registrations in the EU and NAFTA 700 650 (thousands) 600 600 550 550 500 CAGR = 5% 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 10 year cycle Eur + NA FCST JD Power-LMC FCST Global Insight Polyn. trend (EU+NAFTA) 100 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 4 Date Exhaust Emission Regulations On Road US 0.20 Tier 2 -01 Particulates (g/kWh) Tier 3 -06 (05) On Road Japan Non Road EU+US 0.15 s e d u it n g a m EU-II 95/96 US’02 0.10 0.05 Tier 4A 1- f o r e rd o 2 EU-III 00/01 Japan NST 05 Japan NLT 05 0.02/0.0 3 US’10 On Road EU EU-IV 05/06 US’07 Tier 4B Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 5 Date 2.0 EU-V 08/09 3.5 5.0 7.0 NOx (g/kWh) European road transport advisory council Guiding objectives for 2030 Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 6 Date Biofuels will cover some of the demand • Targets and current status in EU – 10% renewable fuels for road transport 2020 – 2:nd generation technologies needed in order to reach 10% without compromising sustainability* 2050 – 4% in EU-27 2009, indicative target 2010 5.75% 2020 • Vision for EU 2010 – 25% renewable fuels 2030 2005 Integrated biorefineries Ethanol, synthetic diesel, methanol, DME, SNG (Generation 2) Improvement of current processes (Generation 1) Ethanol, ETBE, FAME, FAEE Source: www.biofuelstp.eu *IFPRI report 2010 Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 7 Date - Field test • BioDME project demonstrates full chain from production of fuel from biomass to the utilisation in vehicles • 14 Volvo DME trucks in customer operation • Demonstrate and verify DME technology in real applications • Planned yearly distance 100 000 km per truck (average) Piteå Field test Stockholm Göteborg Jönköping Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 8 Date Volvo’s position on Future Fuels • Diesel fuel, increasingly from biomass resources, will remain the dominant fuel for at least two decades • Natural gas and biogas will be used regionally • DME is a strong candidate for a more long-term future fuel: – CO2 neutral if produced from biomass • All fuels can be combined with hybrid drivelines Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 9 Date Technology is there - Fuel availability a problem Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 10 Date Energy efficient R&D LH technology solutions Powetrain efficiency •Energy efficiency •Energy saving •Energy recuperation Vehicle efficiency • Total vehicle energy management • Efficient & functional Aerodynamics • Reduced friction and low friction tiers • GPS based energy usage rout planning • Driver utilization of vehicle FE potential Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 11 Date • Efficient energy conversion • Efficient powertrain utilization • Reduced friction • Waste heat energy recovery • Brake energy recovery What happens to energy in the fuel? 19% Air Drag 38% 100% Fuel Energy 8% Charge Air Cooling 15% Heat to Coolant 29% Exhaust Gases From GIB-T fuel economy task force (M. Lejeune) Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 12 Date 4% Engine Friction 3% Accessories 3% Driveline Friction 19% Rolling Resistance 40-ton EU long-haul truck at 90 km/h on a flat road Improving combustion effiency Efficiency - Meas & Ideal γ=1.3 1 A100 - 1200rpm/2400Nm 60 Compr Ratio 58 42 40 Meas Ind Eff (gross) 44 Meas Ind Eff (net) 46 Meas Brake Eff 48 189 171 165 g/kWh Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 13 Date 158 146 Ideal Cycle Eff - 18:1 Gas Ex 50 Ideal Cycle Eff with actual RoHR Heat Loss 52 Mech Losses Efficiency [%] 54 Ideal Cycle Eff - 16:1 Potential Faster Comb 56 142 Advanced Combustion Concepts HCCI PPC Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 14 Date Waste Heat Recovery • Turbo-compounding: – Mechanic – Electric – Electro-mechanic • Bottoming cycling (Rankine system) • Thermo-electric solutions • Heat-to-Cool Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 15 Date Rankine Waste Heat Recovery • Rankine WHR: Potential 4-8% on long haul • Working fluid depending on heat source • Piston, turbine or scroll expander • Mechanical or electric coupling Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 16 Date Thermoelectric power generation N-type conductors have negative electrons as majority carriers P-type conductors have positive holes as majority carriers TE generator Positive characteristics Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 17 Date Solid-state devices Simple set-up No moving parts No greenhouse gases High reliability Low maintenance Long lifetime Thermoelectric materials n-Ba8Ga16Ge30 Saramat, A., Svensson, G., Palmqvist, A.E.C. et al. J. Appl. Phys. 99, (2006), 023708. Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 18 Date Hybrid Bus - launched at IAA September 2008 Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 19 Date Our parallel hybrid system - ISAM • Electric launch and acceleration to traffic speed El-motor Gear box • Smooth transition to diesel engine power • Electric recuperation of brake energy • Li-Ion energy storage Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 20 Date Power Electronic Converter Lithium Ion Battery Electric Motors Tmax [Nm/kg] Torque [Nm] PM 8.0 PM 6.0 4.0 2.0 AC (IM) AC (IM) DC MD13 1.0 2.0 Pcontinuous [kW/kg] Speed [rpm] Permanent Magnet Motors offers best opportunity for automotive applications; weight, low speed performance and best tolerance for misalignment in system assembly. Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 21 Date Energy Storage for HEV [W/kg] (SOC) 1600 1200 S-Cap(100%) Li-Ion(50%) Dual Storage System Combining Super Capacitors and Energy storage allows for lower cost combinations. 800 400 NiMH(35%) Lead-Acid (5%) 10 Li-Ion Possibilities for significant cost reduction. 20 30 [Wh/kg] NiMH Today’s industrial standard for Hybrid Vehicles. Traditional lead-acid battery 100 kW / 30 sec >>> ~1500 kg weight Li-Ion cell-stack 100kW / 30sec >>> ~100 kg weight Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 22 Date Most challenging issues for advanced ESS Estimation of • SOC State of Charge • SOH State of Health Life cycle Cost Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 23 Date Hybrid technology Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 24 Date Volvo 7700 Hybrid -Analysing Success Factors 35% 30% 25% 20% Electrification of Auxilliaries Utilising I-Shift gear box Stop & Go (idle shut down) Cost reduction of 15% Downsizing of engine / speed range complete system! 10% 5% Brake energy recuperation 0% City centre 12 km/h Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 25 Date City 18 km/h Suburban 25 km/h Summary • ICE fuelled with Diesel, increasingly from biomass resources, will remain the dominant propulsion system for at least two decades. • Natural gas and biogas will be used regionally, DME is a strong candidate for the future. • Improved efficiency in the complete powertrain is of vital importance – Future combustion systems – Energy management – Waste energy recovery • HD hybrids are on the market to stay – Energy storage system key barrier – Cost is in focus Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 26 Date Volvo Technology A3PS, Vienna November 18, 2010 27 Date
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