Optimizing the Use of Spectrum Released by

Optimizing the Use of Spectrum
Released by Incentive Auctions
Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas
www.4gamericas.org
4th Annual Americas Spectrum Management Conference | November 12–13, 2014 | Washington Plaza Hotel | Washington D.C
4G Americas Board of Governors
www.4gamericas.org
4G AMERICAS — AREAS OF CONTRIBUTION
Technical
Facilitation and
Coordination
Regulatory
Policy
www.4gamericas.org
Educational
Outreach
3
Global Mobile Connections
Growth through 2019
Networks
9.2 Billion
Connections
6.7 Billion
Connections
HSPA & HSPA+ = 556
LTE = 323 Source: 4G Americas
Countries
HSPA & HSPA+ = 203
LTE = 111 Source: 4G Americas
Devices
HSPA & HSPA+ = 6,000+
LTE = 1,889
Source: GSA, Sept 2014
2014
2015
2016
LTE
TD-SCDMA
2017
2018
HSPA
2019
GSM
CDMA
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, June 2014
www.4gamericas.org
Global Connectivity Growth
Connected Car
62%
Wearables
78%
M2M
24%
Of new cars sold worldwide will
have embedded connectivity by
2018 – Analysys Mason
Annual increase forecast
until 2018 – IDC
Compound Annual Growth
Rate until 2018 to reach 185
million units – Berg Insight
www.4gamericas.org
Traffic Growth for Voice and Data
Key industry sources indicate
growth from 26 to 58X by 2020
• Mobile traffic growth
expected to continue at
around 50–70% CAGR.
Total: (uplink + downlink) monthly traffic (Petabytes)
• Video is driving the growth,
already more than 50% is
video-related.
• New capabilities, such as
LTE and HD video, drive the
growth even further.
Source Ericsson (2014)
20
15.98
Exabytes per month
10.8
• More connections per
person, large number of
M2M type Intelligent things
connected to the Internet
10
7
1.5
0
2013
2.6
2014
4.4
2015
2016
2017
2018
Source: Cisco (2014)
www.4gamericas.org
Meeting demands today with LTE
1/3
144 Million
Connections
in
North America
Source: Ovum, WCIS+, September 2014 and 4G Americas
Of all mobile
connections
in U.S. and
Canada
www.4gamericas.org
U.S. Leads the world in LTE subscriptions
346 million
global LTE
subscriptions
U.S. = 140 million
connections
40% of global LTE
totals
www.4gamericas.org
Spectrum requirements for mobile
broadband
Total Spectrum
requirements
Traffic growth ratio
in 2020 compared
to 2010
Lower user
density settings
1 340 MHz
44-fold
Higher user
density settings
1 960 MHz
80-fold
www.4gamericas.org
Source: ITU-R
Maximizing spectrum is a key tenant of
the mobile broadband industry
Auction Revenues
Auction 66
2006
AWS-1
$13,879,110,200
Auction 73
2008
700MHz
$19,120,378,000
www.4gamericas.org
U.S. Spectrum Considerations
Very few countries follow
the 700MHz U.S. Plan
700 MHz spectrum challenges
 Bolivia
 Caribbean Region
 Canada
Small slices of spectrum
Technical Innovation
Combining disparate spectrum bands for faster speeds
• Impressive increases in downlink
throughput
LTE Carrier
• Peak theoretical throughput up to
150 Mbps
LTE Carrier
LTE Carrier
• Significant reduction in latency
• CA devices increasing rapidly
• Devices expected to proliferate in
2014, 2015
Aggregated Data
Pipe
Increased
speeds
LTE Carrier
LTE
Carrier #5
LTE Carrier
www.4gamericas.org
Technology Evolution to LTE-Advanced
www.4gamericas.org
Maximizing Spectrum Utilization
Requires Managing Networks
Cell Towers
Self-Optimizing
Networks
www.4gamericas.org
Small Cells
EiCIC
Heterogeneous
networks
600 MHz can be successful
if we solve the Rubik’s cube
1st Time in the world for this kind of auction
“It’s a Rubik’s Cube!”
FCC Chairman
Tom Wheeler
Reverse auction
Re-purposing and
re-banding new spectrum
Forward Auction
www.4gamericas.org
600 MHz Band Plan – Pre and Post-Auction
14
TV Channel
TV
Channels
X cleared
Frequencies in MHz
470
Contiguous 
608x
608 614
Upper Guard
Band
TV CHANNELS
600
MHz
Downlink
Channel 37
Potential
Post-auction
Land
Mobile
Radio
700
MHz
Uplink
TV CHANNELS
TV CHANNELS
Lower Guard
Band
Pre-auction
Land
Mobile
Radio
51
37
600
MHz
Uplink
700
MHz
Uplink
Y cleared
698-Y
698
Wider Channels  Low band Spectrum
The incentive auction in early 2016 is expected to repurpose a large
amount of UHF spectrum in the 600MHz band from broadcast to
mobile use
www.4gamericas.org
Broadcasters – One of the Keys to the Auction!
We Want
YOU!
SEATTLE
U.S. broadband subscribers will surpass
pay-TV subscribers by mid-2015
www.4gamericas.org
SEATTLE
Solving the Rubik’s cube
www.4gamericas.org
The U.S. is a leader in innovation  The 600 MHz auction is innovative!
The mobile broadband industry will use spectrum efficiently.
After the Auction:
Evangelize the Spectrum Band Plan
Brazil
Argentina
Encourage global
regulators to consider
adoption of 600 MHz
Mexico
Venezuela
Uruguay
Peru
Optimizing Economies of
Scale and Roaming
Chile
www.4gamericas.org
Colombia
Ecuador
Dominican Republic
Thank you!
Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas
www.4gamericas.org
4th Annual Americas Spectrum Management Conference | November 12–13, 2014 | Washington Plaza Hotel | Washington D.C