General Enquiries on the form should be made to: Defra, Procurements and Commercial Function (Evidence Procurement Team) E-mail: [email protected] Evidence Project Final Report Note In line with the Freedom of Information Act 2000, Defra aims to place the results of its completed research projects in the public domain wherever possible. The Evidence Project Final Report is designed to capture the information on the results and outputs of Defra-funded research in a format that is easily publishable through the Defra website An Evidence Project Final Report must be completed for all projects. This form is in Word format and the boxes may be expanded, as appropriate. ACCESS TO INFORMATION The information collected on this form will be stored electronically and may be sent to any part of Defra, or to individual researchers or organisations outside Defra for the purposes of reviewing the project. 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Project title FO0430 Evidence to define the sustainability of a healthy diet 3. Contractor organisation(s) Institute of Food Research University of East Anglia SIK – the Swedish Institute of Food and Biotechnology Gene Rowe Evaluations University of Kent 54. Total Defra project costs (agreed fixed price) 5. Project: EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 1 of 27 £ 86,591 start date ................ October 2010 end date ................. November 2011 6. It is Defra’s intention to publish this form. Please confirm your agreement to do so. ................................................................................... YES NO (a) When preparing Evidence Project Final Reports contractors should bear in mind that Defra intends that they be made public. They should be written in a clear and concise manner and represent a full account of the research project which someone not closely associated with the project can follow. Defra recognises that in a small minority of cases there may be information, such as intellectual property or commercially confidential data, used in or generated by the research project, which should not be disclosed. In these cases, such information should be detailed in a separate annex (not to be published) so that the Evidence Project Final Report can be placed in the public domain. Where it is impossible to complete the Final Report without including references to any sensitive or confidential data, the information should be included and section (b) completed. NB: only in exceptional circumstances will Defra expect contractors to give a "No" answer. In all cases, reasons for withholding information must be fully in line with exemptions under the Environmental Information Regulations or the Freedom of Information Act 2000. (b) If you have answered NO, please explain why the Final report should not be released into public domain Executive Summary 7. The executive summary must not exceed 2 sides in total of A4 and should be understandable to the intelligent non-scientist. It should cover the main objectives, methods and findings of the research, together with any other significant events and options for new work. Main findings This project has collated and evaluated numerically and qualitatively the nature, quality and robustness of a large amount of evidence relevant to assessing the sustainability of a healthy diet, as described by the eatwell plate. A much greater volume and depth of robust evidence appears to be available with respect to environmental sustainability than for economic and social sustainability. o This reflects the development of life cycle assessment (LCA) and related research activities, the four most commonly evaluated attributes being global warming potential (GWP), eutrophication (EP), acidification (AP) and reported energy (RE). Additionally, the environmental evidence predominantly relates to the production end of the food chain (prefarm gate). o Evidence for economic attributes (see Methodology below) is also much greater at the production end of the chain, with limited evidence downstream. The evidence that does exist is also highly aggregated and of variable robustness in terms of methodological and analytical rigour. o The indicators of social sustainability are also not particularly product specific and at a higher level than the environmental and economic indicators. The eatwell groups are, by their very nature, heterogeneous in composition and therefore broad in impact. o As an example, the ‘Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein’ sector includes vegetable protein such as pulses but also red meat (with relatively greater impacts in global warming potential per kg). o The variation in reported environmental impacts between food types within each eatwell food group is further compounded by variation in reported impacts observed within the food production chains of specific foods or food types (e.g. tomatoes, fish, etc.). o Given these variations, it may be concluded that the groups in the eatwell plate are too broad particularly for comparing environmental sustainability and probably for the other Pillars, and will create significant challenges in communicating appropriate information on sustainability to the consumer. The current topical focus on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions may promote behaviour change which is environmentally beneficial from the GHG emissions viewpoint, but unintentionally overlook other very important impacts, both positive and negative. Hence, a “consequential” approach to life cycle analysis is considered to be the most appropriate route to evaluating the impact of dietary change, EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 2 of 27 augmented by using a “checklist” to ensure that change between elements of the diet does not lead to unintended consequences in other attributes of sustainability e.g. changes in biodiversity or working conditions. A consequential lifecycle assessment approach is best used if the goal is to understand the impact (or consequences) of a change in consumer diet, i.e. not the total (attributional) impact of a static characterised set of food chains. Where a whole set of foods are to be promoted by policy (such as eat more pulses and vegetables) over another set (e.g. reduce meat consumption), an assessment of the impact of the change in the demand for their respective food chains will be very complex. The impacts may result from consequences that are both direct and indirect. For example, substantial changes in the demands for these foods could alter direct land and resource use, but also changes in market price signals may indirectly impact upon commodity demand and land use resources elsewhere as a consequence. These indirect environmental impacts are not captured by attributional methods. Characterising and evaluating the marginal difference in impacts from many individual food chains even if crudely grouped into various ‘eat less’ and ‘eat more’ (‘meats’, ‘vegetables’, etc.) scenarios, to estimate the cumulative impact would be very time demanding and not without significant methodological challenges. Finally, it is imperative to ensure that food losses and waste disposal impacts along the food chain are accounted for in all life cycle studies of food products particularly in the light of the recent FAO (Gustavsson et al, 2011) and WRAP (Waste & Resources Action Programme, 2009; 2010 a&b) reports, which highlight the high proportion of food wasted. Introduction Our food system and diet strongly influence our health and the environment and there is great pressure to ensure that our food production and consumption is both health-promoting and sustainable. It is also necessary to provide consumers clear and consistent information on the impact of our food choices. Although there is no clear cut definition of “sustainability”, it is generally accepted that there are three “pillars” of importance: environmental, economic and social. A sustainable diet has many attributes across these pillars and there may be synergies and trade-offs between them. Policies on sustainable consumption need to be underpinned by research to provide the necessary evidence base. The aim of this study has been to identify gaps in the knowledge base by defining and evaluating food chains that contribute to healthy diets (as described by the eatwell plate) and to evaluate the nature, extent and robustness of evidence for their attributes of sustainability. Methodology The Project Consortium and an external panel of experts have reviewed information sources to identify evidence, data, guidance and metrics readily available to define the environmental, social and economic sustainability attributes of a healthy diet (as represented by the eatwell plate). Sources included academic theses, reviews and reports, book chapters and company information/websites as well as personal communications. [It is important to note that the project was not evaluating established guidance on healthy eating]. On the basis of published literature and expert opinion from members of the steering group and members of the project team’s research experience, the following sustainability attributes were chosen for consideration: Sustainability attributes examined Environmental Economic Social Global warming potential Land use Health and welfare (perceived and real), with Eutrophication potential respect to a) food safety and Production Acidification potential b) nutrition Ozone depletion potential Ethics, with respect to a) Prices Photochemical ozone creation inequity (amongst social potential groups) and b) animal Value of output Biotic resource use / depletion health/welfare Abiotic resource use / Working conditions, with Employment depletion respect to employment Ecotoxicity potential conditions and worker safety Trade Human toxicity potential Societal dynamics, with Land use respect to community Reported energy cohesion, education, Water resource landscape Biodiversity EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 3 of 27 Results and discussion Evidence relevant to assessing the environmental sustainability of a healthy diet The study focused predominantly on evaluating evidence from life cycle assessment studies, a large and growing body of evidence. The results demonstrate that for all eatwell food groups, the system boundaries are generally positioned towards the farm gate, and very few studies extend down the supply chain as far as the consumer. There is a shortage of food specific LCA studies which extend the boundary to include information on distribution, retail and consumption and waste as part of a full life cycle of a food product. Data on food losses at retail and consumer habits specific to food types would be useful in understanding the impacts of 1kg of food type consumed, rather than just 1kg food type produced. The four most commonly evaluated attributes were GWP, EP, AP and RE. The widest consideration of attributes was evident in the “Fruit and Vegetables” food group. The results are consistent with a commonly accepted view that generally larger values are reported by studies on red meat production for GWP than those reported for vegetable production. However, since each food group in the Eatwell Plate contains a considerable diversity of food products, a considerable range in the reported values of environmental burdens are evident in the eatwell food groups. This is most apparent in the non dairy protein food group. To add another layer of complexity, wide ranges in reported values were found in studies on specific foods, this is apparent for meats but also some examples are evident in fruit and vegetables. The lack of transparency of the studies – details of methodologies and data sources etc. - made exact reasons for variations in reported values difficult to interpret but some of the key reasons are summarised below. Variation in reported burdens for specific food commodities The relatively large variation in reported burdens for specific meats appear to be due to methodological factors. For example, variations within the impact values reported for studies on beef production were due to differences in how burdens were allocated to expensive cuts of meat, whilst some studies use methodologies for soil emissions that are not used by other studies. The range would make conclusions for quantifying environmental burdens of meat in healthy diets problematic. In fruits and vegetables however, though some variation is still likely to be caused by differences in the goals and scopes of the studies, methodologies, the setting of boundaries, assumptions, and data quality, relatively greater GWP reported appear to be from differences in production systems (e.g. comparing seasonal production with the growing fruits out of season under glass or air freighting fresh produce). Variation in reported burdens within food groups In addition to methodological differences the relatively large differences in reported burdens between some types of meat & meat products (e.g. for chicken and beef) would appear to be explained by intrinsic differences in animal species production characteristics, (i.e. extensive vs. intensive production, ruminants vs. non ruminants, different feed conversion ratios and different feed components and their production impacts). It is important to reiterate that the inherent variation within the eatwell plate food groups regardless of methodological issues. The eatwell groups are too broad in their compositions to quantify and convey the relative levels of environmental sustainability. Aligning dietary intake to the proportions of the broad food groups recommended by the eatwell plate allows for a multitude of different food options and therefore a potentially wide variation in the environmental burden of a healthy diet. This issue along with the lack of studies following a consistent or harmonised LCA methodology in reporting environmental burdens of specific food chains within the eatwell plate (i.e. most foods) will create significant challenges in communicating environmental information to the consumer. Evidence relevant to assessing the Social sustainability of a healthy diet Apart from a few exceptions, investigations indicated that there was a paucity of research on social sustainability in relation to specific food chains. Indeed, social sustainability indicators are linked mostly to how a food product is produced, processed, distributed and consumed, rather than the specific type of food. This is a very different approach to that used in LCAs and other methods for assessing environmental sustainability, and hence there may be a need to approach and conceptualise social sustainability in a different way. Therefore, information searches on each dimension were targeted generically towards each of the components in the food chain, from which findings could subsequently be considered in relation to the different eatwell plate food groups. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 4 of 27 Unsurprisingly, the most highly informed dimension was that of health, reflecting the enormous effort and interest in supplying the population with safe, health–promoting nutrition. The ethical dimension was also highly informed, particularly regarding the impact of biotechnology e.g. GM for both plant- and animalbased foods, animal (including fish) welfare through to the knowledge base concerning social inequality in relation to consumption. In contrast, the other two dimensions (working conditions and societal dynamics) appear to be much less informed. Evidence relevant to assessing the Economic sustainability of a healthy diet The literature is of a generic nature, not specific to food group or to stage of the supply chain. Very few studies that explore the impact of shifting towards a healthy diet were identified which corroborated the indicators chosen for this study. It is evident that data availability is concentrated at the production end of the chain and, for value, the retail/consumption end. For storage, transport and distribution, data is fragmented at best. Of particular significance is the observation that food supply chains are highly differentiated in their structure and operations – between food groups and distribution channels – and thus much more complex, in terms of impact analysis, than the generic production – to – consumption chains that are typically assumed in LCA studies. This makes the comparison and integration of economic analysis with environmental analysis particularly difficult as the former is highly context-specific and descriptive whilst the latter tends to be more generalised and prescriptive. The healthy diet and interrelationships between attributes from across the three pillars Recent high level reports and publications that consider food consumption and sustainability issues tend to focus on the opportunities for reducing GHG in the food chain (Garnett 2011), and the impact of changing diet on GHG emissions (Audsley et al 2009; MacDiarmid et al, 2011). Whilst this undoubtedly reflects the topical interest in climate change, it also reflects the limitations in evidence across the other environmental attributes as well as the lack of readily available evidence from the economic and social directions. This may promote behaviour change which is environmentally beneficial from the GHG emissions viewpoint, but unintentionally overlook other very important impacts, both positive and negative (as acknowledged by Garnett 2011). The eatwell plate gives a visual representation of the types and proportions of foods needed for a healthy and well balanced diet. This suggests the consumption of more vegetables, fruits and starchy foods, and less meat / dairy foods compared with current UK dietary behaviour. A significant reduction in the demand for meat and dairy products by UK consumers might be expected to result in a decline in UK meat production, assuming that the current output could not be supported by demand from overseas. This, in turn, would be expected to reduce the environmental impacts of cattle production (namely methane emissions) and of importing feed. However, increased consumption of vegetables and fruits may result in increased imports to provide supplies out of season. It may also lead to changes in land use in order to increase the production of food crops such as fruits and vegetables, although it might also lead to a reduction in area of crops used in animal feed or perhaps energy crops. From the social perspective, the changes in landscape may be deleterious if cattle husbandry was to be replaced by monotonous crop monocultures. From an economic perspective, such changes would have substantially negative impacts on the meat and dairy food chains, reducing commercial and employment opportunities in these sectors particularly in agronomy, processing, transport and distribution and retail. There would also be an associated impact on supply and employment related to non-food industries using by-products from livestock. Increased unemployment would be expected to have negative social connotations. From the environmental perspective, changes in land-use would be expected to have significant impacts on biodiversity. Hence consuming less meat and dairy products may have positive benefits to health and to some environmental attributes, but may result in numerous changes to impacts on other environmental, economic and social sustainability attributes which need to be considered. The current study demonstrates that for such an evaluation there is probably sufficient information to evaluate the economic impacts, for example, on employment and production and prices. From the social perspective, there is probably sufficient information to evaluate aspects of health but little on societal impacts or working conditions. From the environmental perspective, it is clear that from LCA reports, only three of the attributes (GWP, AP & EP) are adequately covered. However, there may be sufficient nonLCA information concerning biodiversity, water footprint, and reports on UK food waste to be able to make a reasonable inference as to the effects of dietary change. In conclusion This project has collated and evaluated a large amount of evidence on attributes relevant to the sustainability of food & drink consumption (Annexes A, B & C). 1) A much greater volume and depth of robust evidence appears to be available with respect to environmental sustainability than for economic and social sustainability. This reflects the development of LCA and related research activities, the four most commonly evaluated attributes being GWP, EP, AP and RE. These generally relate to the production end of the food chain. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 5 of 27 Evidence for economic attributes is also much greater at the production end of the chain, with limited evidence downstream. The evidence that does exist is also highly aggregated and of variable robustness in terms of methodological and analytical rigour. 2) The indicators of social sustainability are not particularly product specific and at a different level than the environmental and economic indicators (the focus being on processes rather than food types). The definition of social sustainability is also more uncertain than for the other sustainability types, and it is important to derive a more coherent and acceptable definition of this. 3) There is a pressing need to evaluate the above information in relation to UK consumption data with particular reference to the most commonly consumed foods. Furthermore, additional studies are required which adopt a more targeted and consequential approach as follows: a. It is necessary to objectively prioritise a list of key sustainability attributes across the three pillars. This is because the perceived importance of these attributes may differ according to, for example, their topicality (e.g. climate change is much more heavily featured in the press than other environmental attributes such as water use or resource depletion) or the country of production where working conditions, employment or local biodiversity (e.g. farmland birds) may be an issue. b. Secondly, using the agreed key sustainability attributes and selected, commonly-consumed products, to examine in detail a change in consumption from one commonly-consumed product to another. Indeed, the current Defra project FO0427 ‘Future implications of trends in healthy eating on existing food production and manufacture’ will model possible future UK diet scenarios and determine their environmental, social and economic impacts. Such a study should assess the potential impact on the agreed sustainability attributes across all three pillars and then evaluate how and where changes measured by the environmental attributes might impact on the social and economic attributes (and vice versa). The approach should also include assessing the possibility of “spillover” where sustainability associated with production and consumption activity is displaced into other sectors. For example, as pointed out by Garnett (2011), even if consumers change to eating less meat, any financial savings made may just be used to carry out other GHG-emitting activities such as recreation and travel. Furthermore, since the food supply is global, impacts of changing UK dietary patterns may influence food production in other countries. It may also be appropriate to extend studies such as the Livewell study (Macdiarmid et al, 2011) to evaluate and as far as possible estimate the impacts of dietary change on a greater range of sustainability attributes than just greenhouse gas emissions. This approach may be augmented by using a “checklist” to ensure that change between elements of the diet does not lead to unintended consequences in other attributes of sustainability e.g. changes in biodiversity or working conditions. c. Finally, it is imperative to ensure that food losses along the food chain are accounted for in all life cycle studies of food products because they are often missed out. The importance of this is given weight by the recent FAO (Gustavsson et al, 2011) and WRAP (Waste & Resources Action Programme, 2009; 2010 a&b) reports which highlight the high proportion of food wasted. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 6 of 27 Project Report to Defra 8. As a guide this report should be no longer than 20 sides of A4. This report is to provide Defra with details of the outputs of the research project for internal purposes; to meet the terms of the contract; and to allow Defra to publish details of the outputs to meet Environmental Information Regulation or Freedom of Information obligations. This short report to Defra does not preclude contractors from also seeking to publish a full, formal scientific report/paper in an appropriate scientific or other journal/publication. Indeed, Defra actively encourages such publications as part of the contract terms. The report to Defra should include: the objectives as set out in the contract; the extent to which the objectives set out in the contract have been met; details of methods used and the results obtained, including statistical analysis (if appropriate); a discussion of the results and their reliability; the main implications of the findings; possible future work; and any action resulting from the research (e.g. IP, Knowledge Exchange). 1.0 Introduction Our food system and diet have a huge impact on our health and the environment and there is great pressure to ensure that our food production and consumption is both health-promoting and sustainable. In order to give consumers clear, consistent information on the impact of our food choices, we will need to develop a robust definition of a diet that is both healthy and sustainable. Indeed there has been an explosion of policies, instruments and initiatives during the past decades (from both governmental and market actors) to achieve sustainable development outcomes across a broad range of economic sectors, including food supply chains. The most widely quoted definition of sustainable development is probably that of the Bruntland Commission, namely “Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”. Although there remains no clear cut definition - it is generally accepted that there are three areas of importance: environmental sustainability, economic sustainability and social sustainability. A sustainable diet has many attributes (attributing factors) and there will be synergies and trade-offs between these. The subsequent development of detailed policies must also be underpinned by research to provide the necessary evidence base. This report provides an overview and brief evaluation of the nature and extent of evidence that may be used in defining the sustainability of a healthy diet. The information within this report was compiled as part of a Defra-funded study between August 2010 and July 2011. The objectives of the study, as agreed with Defra and the Project Steering Group, were: 1) To define and evaluate food chains underpinning healthy diets which are described by current Government guidelines with special reference to the eatwell plate. 2) To develop, where possible, a matrix approach and classify attributes of sustainability (social, economic, and environmental) in relation to key parts of the representative food chains identified in Step 1. 3) To integrate and evaluate the robustness of evidence from a broad range of disciplines with expert opinion from an invited group, identify gaps in our knowledge, and provide recommendations to inform advice to consumers and identify further research required to characterise a sustainable healthy diet. Data, evidence, metrics and guidance concerning the sustainability attributes of a healthy diet are presented in relation to the component food chains. 2.0 Methodology The Project Consortium and an external panel of experts have reviewed information sources to identify evidence, data, guidance and metrics readily available to define the environmental, social and economic sustainability attributes of a healthy diet. Information sources included academic theses, reviews and reports (both peer and non-peer reviewed, from the public and private sector), book chapters and company information / websites as well as personal communications. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 7 of 27 2.1 Food chains underpinning healthy diets: the eatwell plate In accordance with the Project Specification, the study has used the Department of Health’s eatwell plate and food groups therein as a basis for the composition of a healthy diet and has not attempted to reexamine this. Figure 1. The eatwell plate. Image: Crown Copyright. Department of Health in association with the Welsh Assembly Government, the Scottish Government and the Food Standards Agency in Northern Ireland. The eatwell plate is a policy tool that defines the Government’s recommendations on healthy diets. It makes healthy eating easier to understand by giving a visual representation of the types and proportions of foods needed for a healthy and well balanced diet. The eatwell plate is based on the five food groups: Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta and other starchy foods Fruit and vegetables Milk and dairy foods Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein Foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar The eatwell plate encourages the choice of different foods from the first four groups every day, to help ensure the population obtains a wide range of nutrients needed to remain healthy. Choosing a variety of foods from within each group will add to the range of nutrients consumed. Foods in the fifth group – foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar are not essential to a healthy diet. In each case, and for each pillar of sustainability, the food chains were generically considered as comprising: Agronomy / production Processing Storage and Transport (throughout the chain) Distribution and Retail Consumption EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 8 of 27 The methodologies associated with evaluating the evidence base were tailored to suit the different sustainability attributes associated with the three pillars. 2.2 Classification of attributes of sustainability (social, economic, and environmental) in relation to key parts of the representative food chains and the evaluation of evidence. 2.2.1 Environmental Sustainability The evaluation of environmental sustainability is a broad and rapidly growing field of scientific research. Over the last 25 years, a wide range of methods and attributes have been developed and explored in relation to environmental impact of human and other activities. On the basis of published literature and expert opinion, the following sustainability attributes were chosen for consideration: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. global warming potential (GWP) eutrophication potential (EP) acidification potential (AP) ozone depletion potential (ODP) photochemical ozone creation potential (POCP) biotic resource use / depletion (BRD) abiotic resource use / depletion (ARD) ecotoxicity potential (ETP) human toxicity potential (HTP); land use (LU) reported energy (RE) water use (WU) biodiversity (BD) Whilst no one method for evaluating environmental impact is all encompassing, there is no doubt that the most common approach involves the use of life cycle assessment (LCA), underpinned by a growing number of software tools and databases e.g. SimaPro (Pré Consultants), Ecoinvent (ecoinvent Centre) & GaBi (PE International). Therefore, for the purposes of this study, published LCAs (mostly attributional) were chosen as the most robust sources of evidence for quantifying environmental attributes of specific foods. LCA results of all food items found in extensive literature searches were recorded, where applicable, for comparison under categories of the eatwell plate food groups along with other data on: The food product; The kind of production system; The functional unit reported; The data source and country of study; The extent of the food chain covered (system boundaries); The reported results and metrics of environmental impact. Where possible the impacts reported were converted to common units of impact characterisation and scaled to functional units of 1kg of food product. A summary of this evidence is presented in Annex A. In addition to LCA, there are additional sources of data that can provide evidence for evaluating the environmental sustainability of a healthy diet. These have also been considered and the findings summarised. 2.2.2 Social Sustainability Unfortunately, ‘social sustainability’ has no fixed, universally accepted definition. Further, the evaluation of social sustainability is more qualitative in nature when compared with the quantitative methodology associated with environmental evaluation and economic evaluation. When social sustainability has been defined, it has tended to be according to the immediate and diverse needs of different practitioners. As such, numerous indicators / attributes have been alluded to, for example, “internal social sustainability” (relating to working conditions) and “External social sustainability” (relating to food safety, animal welfare and animal health), by Van Calker et al (2005). In contrast Olesen, Groen and Gjerde (2000) in their definition of sustainability, included social viability, and ethical aspects. Some studies have focused on individual issues, for example, Broom (2010) has stated that ‘a system that results in poor (animal) welfare is unsustainable because it is unacceptable to many people’. More recently the FAO (2011) highlighted ‘social well-being’ as including labour rights, non-discrimination and equity, education, health and safety, nutritional products and safe working conditions while including ‘good governance’ as a fourth pillar of social sustainability. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 9 of 27 Therefore, after consultation with the Expert Group, the following four key “dimensions” (broad attributes) were selected: Health and welfare (perceived and real), with respect to a) food safety and b) nutrition Ethics, with respect to a) inequity (amongst social groups) and b) animal health/welfare Working conditions, with respect to employment conditions and worker safety Societal dynamics, with respect to community cohesion, education, landscape Initial investigations indicated that there was, apart from a few exceptions, relatively little research on social sustainability elements in relation to specific food products. Indeed, social sustainability indicators are linked mostly to how a food product is produced, processed, distributed and consumed, rather than the specific type of food. This is a very different approach to that used in LCAs and other methods for assessing environmental sustainability, and hence there may be a need to approach and conceptualise social sustainability in a different way. For present purposes, information searches on each dimension were targeted generically towards each of the components in the food chain, from which findings could subsequently be considered in relation to the different eatwell plate food groups. Evidence was gathered through international web-based databases (Web of Science; mostly peer-reviewed articles) and expert recommendations from the Steering Group and Expert Panel. Information was compiled in tabular form (Annex B) and a subjective judgement on the level of knowledge for each food component was scored numerically. 2.2.3 Economic sustainability As a starting point, the basic factors of production (land, labour and capital) were selected and then other possible dimensions added, these being trade, pricing and managerial capacity. After preliminary literature studies, the following list was created: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade Information on the availability of information and evidence for these indicators was obtained through the evaluation of published literature, and guidance from contact with organisations and individuals with expertise. This was performed for selected products and their food chains within each of the five food food groups of the eatwell plate. Whilst it is recognised that there may be some gaps, some of the data sources identified will be common to other products within each food group. Table 1: Food products chosen to represent different food groups of the eatwell plate eatwell plate food group Product(s) chosen to represent food group Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta and other starchy foods Potatoes, cereals, flour, bread Fruit and vegetables Carrots, lettuce, strawberries, dessert apples Milk and dairy foods Milk, cheese (Cheddar) Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein Red meat Foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar Ice cream, biscuits For each of the five food groups, an attempt was made to identify data sources for each of the six economic indicators. This information was compiled in tabular form (Annex C) and a subjective judgement on the level of readily available knowledge for each food component was scored numerically. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 10 of 27 3.0 Results 3.1 Evidence relevant to assessing the environmental sustainability of a healthy diet A comprehensive synopsis of all the LCA and related literature evaluated was compiled (over 180 published articles). A simple numerical quantification of incidences (i.e. a count of all occurrences of all attributes in all references) was graphically presented across the food chain for each of the five eatwell plate food groups (Figure 2). An additional food chain step, “post-consumer disposal”, was included in this analysis. Figure 2. Comparative frequencies of incidences of environmental evaluation for different stages of the food chain Incidence frequency 300 250 Agronomy impacts 200 Processing impacts Distribution / transport Retail 150 Consumption Post-consumer disposal 100 50 0 Bread & starchy foods Foods high in fat and/or sugar Fruit and vegetables Milk and dairy Meat, fish etc The results demonstrate that for all food groups, the system boundary is generally positioned towards the farm gate end of the food supply chain, and very few incidences extend as far as the consumer. There is a shortage of studies which include information on distribution, retail and consumption and waste. The summarised information on all the literature was further evaluated in order to assess the availability and quality of the information in more depth with reference to the individual sustainability attributes. A list of food products for which evidence on environmental sustainability was found is shown in Table 2. The overall assessment of the evidence relevant to all selected sustainability attributes versus the eatwell plate food groups is shown in Figure 3, whilst a more detailed assessment of each food group examining the attributes against food product is shown in Annex A. The four most commonly evaluated attributes were GWP, EP, AP and RE. The widest consideration of attributes was evident in the “Fruit and Vegetables” food group. Table 2. List of foods organised by eatwell plate food group for which evidence of environmental sustainability was found. Food group Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta and other starchy foods Fruit and vegetables Products for which evidence was found Bread Potatoes Oat flakes Pasta Rice Apples Pineapple Strawberries Carrots & root vegetables Brassicas Lettuce & cucumber Tomatoes Citrus fruits & juices Alliums Milk and dairy foods Milk Cheese Yoghurt EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 11 of 27 Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein Beef Pork Lamb Chicken White fish Oily fish Shellfish Eggs Legumes & pulses Mycoprotein & processed meat analogues Foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar Cakes, biscuits & pastries Sugary drinks Chocolate & sweets Ice cream Jam & honey Crisps Butter, margarine & spreads Cream Edible oils Sugar Figure 3: Overall assessment of quality and robustness of environmental attribute data (mostly from LCA) for all eatwell plate food groups. Key: GREEN ORANGE or RED Good evidence available for the majority of food products in food group. No gaps in coverage of food group in terms of the most commonly consumed products. Some evidence / limited evidence across food group although coverage of some products may be very good. Gaps in coverage of food group in terms of consumption of products. Insufficient evidence / no evidence on majority of food products in food group. Attribute Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta & other starchy foods Fruit & vegetables eatwell plate food group Milk & dairy Meat, fish, foods eggs, beans and other sources of non-dairy protein Foods and drinks high in fat and / or sugar GWP EP AP POCP ODP HTP ETP ARD BRD RE LU BD WU Abbreviations: GWP, global warming potential; EP, eutrophication potential; AP, acidification potential; POCP, photochemical ozone creation potential; ODP, ozone depletion potential; HTP, human toxicity potential; ETP, ecotoxicity potential; ARD, abiotic resource depletion; BRD, biotic resource depletion; RE, reported energy; LU, land use; BD, biodiversity; WU, water use. Even though there would appear to be a good level of evidence for these four attributes (shown by the green highlighted boxes), considerable variation was often found within the published data, and between data from different eatwell plate food groups. In order to present this variation as clearly as possible, the data from all the identified literature for these four attributes has been graphically presented (Figure 4). EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 12 of 27 Figure 4: Plots of reported values for the four most commonly reported attributes for main categories of foods within each food group of the eatwell plate. Eutrophication Potential g PO43- eq. kg-1 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 2 Pork 3 4 5 6 7 8 Sheep Poultry Farmed Farmed Wild Wild meat Oily Fish White White Oily fish Fish Fish 9 10 Farmed Wild Shell Shell Fish Fish 11 12 13 Non- Eggs Meat Protein Eutrophication Potential g PO43- (ATTRIBUTIONAL) 14 15 Cheese Yoghurt Milk 16 Fruit 17 18 19 Bread Potatoes Eutrophication Potential g PO43- (CONSEQUENTIAL) EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 13 of 27 20 21 Pasta 22 Rice High in fat and sugar 1 Beef Whole grains (oats and wheat) 0 Vegetables 0 23 Acidification Potential g SO2 eq. kg-1 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 Sheep Poultry Farmed Farmed Wild Wild meat Oily Fish White White Oily fish Fish Fish 9 10 Farmed Wild Shell Shell Fish Fish 11 12 Non- Eggs Meat Protein Acidification Potential gSO2eq (ATTRIBUTIONAL) 13 14 15 Cheese Yoghurt Milk 16 Fruit 17 18 19 Bread Potatoes 20 21 22 Pasta Rice 23 High in fat and sugar 2 Pork Whole grains (oats and wheat) 1 Beef Vegetables 0 Acidification Potential gSO2eq (CONSEQUENTIAL) Reported Energy MJ kg-1 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 Sheep Poultry Farmed Farmed Wild Wild meat Oily Fish White White Oily fish Fish Fish 9 10 Farmed Wild Shell Shell Fish Fish 11 12 Non- Eggs Meat Protein Energy Use MJ kg-1 (ATTRIBUTIONAL) 13 14 15 Cheese Yoghurt Milk 16 Fruit 17 18 Energy Use MJ kg-1 (CONSEQUENTIAL) EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 14 of 27 19 Bread Potatoes 20 21 Pasta 22 Rice 23 High in fat and sugar 2 Pork Whole grains (oats and wheat) 1 Beef Vegetables 0 The results are consistent with generally accepted conclusions. For example, the production of red meat often exhibits a much higher GWP than production of vegetables. However, an important observation was that each food category had a considerable range of data, highlighting problems in making general comparisons between specific food types (beef, pork, etc.) or food groups. Such wide ranges were due to a number of factors. For instance, the main variation in reported burdens within the meat food chains were often due to differences in life cycle assessment methodology and boundaries, (for example economic allocation of GWP emissions to expensive cuts of meat at the retail stage, whilst other studies include methodologies for soil emissions not commonly included in other studies). In addition, there are wide differences in the values reported for specific burdens between different types of meat & meat products. It should be stressed that there is also inherent variation in the environmental impact data within the eatwell plate food groups regardless of methodological issues. In fruits and vegetables, very high GWP reported for some products resulted from production system characteristics, (e.g. growing fruits out of season under glass, longer cold storage compared to importing in-season produce, or air freighting fresh produce). The eatwell groups are, by their very nature, wide – for instance, the ‘Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein’ food group includes a wide range of interchangeable products which vary in their impact from very low to very high. . So, a key conclusion is that the groups in the eatwell plate are too wide for this purpose and will provide significant challenges in facilitating communication of environmental information to the general public. In addition, variation was also due to the differences in the goals and scopes of the different studies, the methodological approaches, the setting of boundaries and assumptions as well as data quality & availability. It is likely that they were not designed with such comparative evaluation with other studies of similar or different food products in mind. Other review papers have compared different lifecycle assessments, often highlighting methodological differences. Transparency of studies, data and methods were also an issue in this respect – many studies did not give enough details to allow studies to be repeated. This is partly because of the widespread use of commercial databases but also because journals do not always provide enough space for all details. In addition, some data are provided by commercial operators on a confidential basis. Further differences arise between studies according to whether they apply attributional or consequential analysis. Attributional (or “accounting”) LCA describes an existing supply chain; it is used, for example, in estimating the “carbon footprint” of a product. Consequential (or “prospective”) LCA attempts to explore the system effects of changes in economic activities; a conspicuous use of consequential LCA is in exploring the effects of changes in land use due to switching from production of food to fuel crops in one location, compensated by increased food production elsewhere. The methodological differences between the two forms of LCA are a matter of current debate but, for food products, consequential LCA usually gives significantly higher impacts, particularly for climate change, because it includes changes in carbon stock resulting from indirect land use change. In order to provide a basis for comparison of evidence and data between the three pillars of sustainability, the availability of environmental data (i.e. a count of all occurrences of the four most commonly reported attributes) in relation to the eatwell plate food groups and component food chains is provided in Figure 5. The colour scheme adopted is not judgemental, but provides a graduated indication of the extent of the information. The “robustness” of the information is presented in Annex A. The results are consistent with the conclusions above, and additionally demonstrate that most LCA-related studies concern GWP reported to the farm gate. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 15 of 27 Figure 5. Comparative frequencies of incidences of the four most commonly reported attributes of environmental sustainability as a function of stage of the food chain for the food products investigated within different eatwell plate food groups, and for the total eatwell plate. Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta & other starchy foods Fruit and vegetables Milk and dairy foods Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein Foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar Total eatwell plate GWP AP EP RE Agronomy 97 46 47 37 Processing 80 36 32 31 Distribution & transport 72 30 26 29 Retail 45 28 24 22 Consumer 49 22 18 24 Post consumer disposal 14 3 2 0 Agronomy 181 84 80 103 Processing 108 43 37 52 Distribution & transport 108 46 40 57 Retail 22 3 3 8 Consumer 17 0 0 3 Post consumer disposal 9 0 0 0 Agronomy 52 31 28 21 Processing 29 14 15 6 Distribution & transport 18 7 8 5 Retail 16 7 8 5 Consumer 12 4 5 4 Post consumer disposal 8 1 2 2 Agronomy 229 132 135 115 Processing 113 52 52 42 Distribution & transport 64 38 40 28 Retail 39 25 27 16 Consumer 21 6 8 15 Post consumer disposal 8 5 7 3 Agronomy 83 40 48 28 Processing 67 24 32 19 Distribution & transport 53 16 20 14 Retail 30 5 9 7 Consumer 20 1 1 3 Post consumer disposal 27 8 8 8 Agronomy 642 333 338 304 Processing 397 169 168 150 Distribution & transport 315 137 134 133 Retail 152 68 71 58 Consumer 119 33 32 49 Post consumer disposal 66 17 19 13 Additional sources of evidence Whilst LCA data provides the most comprehensive evidence base for most of the sustainability attributes investigated, notwithstanding the limitations identified, there are also a number of other key sources that may provide supplementary data. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 16 of 27 The following topics are discussed in Annex A: 1) Biodiversity 2) Waste 3) Alternative methods of environmental assessment. a. Ecological footprinting b. Water footprinting. Food production systems and marques Many management or product standards exist for stages of the food chain, though chiefly they are more applicable to the food production stage. A substantial number of UK farm assurance schemes have been carefully considered by Lewis et al (2010) as part of a Defra-funded study. The study concludes that the proportion of content that sets out to seriously tackle environmental issues is very limited in all but a few of the schemes considered, although it should be recognised that this was not necessarily the focus of the schemes. There is often a mismatch between the most commonly-reported attributes in LCA studies (e.g. GWP above) and those addressed by farm assurance schemes (e.g. food safety, quality & traceability / animal welfare / high production standards). Few sources of independent research were found specifically evaluating the environmental attributes of management standards and marques from a lifecycle perspective. Where such studies were found, these were not UK management standards (Cederberg & Stadig, 2003; Basset-Mens & van der Werf, 2005; Basset-Mens et al, 2007; KRAV, 2010). 3.2 Evidence relevant to assessing the Social sustainability of a healthy diet The evidence that has been obtained reflects that which can be readily identified. As some social science provide qualitative data there may be significant additional relevant data that will not have been recognised within the confines of this study. Furthermore, there are several caveats that should be borne in mind: First, within the Social Sustainability Pillar, the potential sustainability of any one attribute may potentially conflict with that of another, making it difficult to state with any clarity the overall social sustainability of a healthy diet, or component thereof. Second, even one attribute may be affected in conflicting ways by a specific action or behaviour. For example, increasing transport might be seen to have a negative impact on human health as a result of greater traffic pollution; on the other hand, such increased transport might also increase the availability of healthy foods thereby having a positive impact on health. This issue reflects the limitations of a relatively high-level evaluation of Social Sustainability in this study. Third, papers relevant to social sustainability can be found in sources ranging from medical and nutrition journals to those on psychology, sociology, geography, law and occupational matters (to name but a few). This project has not been able to evaluate fully the plethora of research from all of these social science disciplines. The key findings have been summarised in tabular form, and numerically scored on the basis of simple criteria to reflect the availability and robustness of the information. A major caveat is needed here, however, which is that considerable interpretation has taken place in order to discriminate the relevance of the identified data to the different eatwell plate food groups. It may well be that this interpretation is suspect, given that the data on social sustainability does not generally speak to specific food products themselves, but rather to how the food is produced, with academic interest being in broader questions about food processes and their effects on people and society. This data is presented in detail in Annex B along with a detailed critique. It is summarised here in Figure 6, colour coded according to the key. In evaluating evidence relevant to social sustainability, the extra component of the food chain, “breeding and genetic modification”, was included (as this was a stage identified in the initial project proposal). EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 17 of 27 Figure 6. Schematic representation of the availability of evidence concerning the social sustainability of foods within the different eatwell plate food groups. Key: GREEN ORANGE RED TOTAL Good evidence available for the sector in the form of 3 or more reliable publications. Evidence is relevant across the sector. Some evidence / limited evidence across sector (e.g. 1-2 reliable publications). Insufficient evidence / no readily identifiable evidence in sector. Health Ethical Working conds. Societal Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta and other starchy foods Breeding Breeding Agronomy Agronomy Processing Storage & Transport Distribution & Retail Processing Storage & Transport Distribution & Retail Consumption Consumption Fruit and vegetables Health Ethical Working conds. Societal Milk and dairy foods Breeding Breeding Agronomy Agronomy Processing Storage & Transport Distribution & Retail Processing Storage & Transport Distribution & Retail Consumption Consumption Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein Health Ethical Working conds. Societal Foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar Breeding Breeding Agronomy Agronomy Processing Storage & Transport Distribution & Retail Processing Storage & Transport Distribution & Retail Consumption Consumption Health Health Health Ethical Working conds. Societal Ethical Working conds. Societal Ethical Working conds. Societal 3.2.1. Health and Welfare dimension: Unsurprisingly, the most highly informed dimension was that of health, reflecting the enormous effort and interest in supplying the population with safe, health–promoting nutrition. At the breeding and production end of the food chain, genetic modification (GM) provides much discourse with a large body of evidence to show that GM processes do not pose a risk to human health even though a significant proportion of UK consumers believe they do. The reverse situation is presented for organic production. There is limited evidence that differing food processing methods have, or are perceived to have, more or less health impacts. Regarding distribution and retail, and consumption, there EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 18 of 27 is evidence that better access to supermarkets relates to better access to fruit and vegetables, hence greater consumption and hence better health. Generally access to supermarkets is more limited for certain disadvantaged communities (see ethical dimension). Many consumers believe they eat healthily enough and do not need to change their diets, and they are motivated by price and taste rather than claims of the healthiness of foods. Impact on health is one aspect on which there is liable to be food-specific evidence, and there is indeed a growing body of research that does identify the necessary components and proportions of a healthy diet. 3.2.2. The Ethical dimension: This was also highly informed, particularly regarding the impact of biotechnology e.g. GM for both plant- and animal-based foods, animal (including fish) welfare through to the knowledge base concerning social inequality in relation to consumption. However, there appears to be a paucity of information concerning aspects of processing, distribution and retail although the concept of food miles has emerged as an issue (although considered to be utterly flawed as an indicator of environmental sustainability). Social inequality is relevant with regards distribution and retail and consumption, with evidence of reduced availability of fruit and vegetables in various disadvantaged communities, and that a healthy diet is more expensive than an unhealthy one, so also impacting poorer communities. In contrast, the other two dimensions (working conditions and societal) appear to be much less informed. 3.2.3. Working conditions dimension: This seems to be relatively devoid of information. However, it is likely that since they are probably dominated by legal requirements such as health and safety, working hours directives etc., little funding would be forthcoming in this area for research. Furthermore, this attribute is dependent on country of origin and, therefore, possibly more relevant for imported products than those produced in the UK and Europe. 3.2.4. The societal dynamics dimension: This contains only limited evidence of relevance (which is not to say that there isn’t a lot of published literature on aspects of the problem: there is, but little of this is empirical or quantitative, and much is qualitative and open to interpretation), with the main contributing knowledge relating to agriculture and employment and landscape. There are claims that organic farming employs more workers than conventional farming, and so has potential sustainability benefits for employment. Employment seems to cross social sustainability dimension boundaries, related to working conditions too. There are also claims that organic farming appears better for biodiversity and landscape diversity (positive social attributes). Interestingly, if the public do prefer patchwork landscapes over uniformity, this suggests a more acceptable approach might be to have a mixture of eatwell components produced in a particular landscape, rather than replacing one uniform component with another. Regarding retail and distribution, it is claimed that farmers’ markets can help foster feelings of ‘community’ (though evidence is weak). And regarding consumption, it has been demonstrated that decreased meat consumption can increase available land for other activities – such as leisure. 3.3 Evidence relevant to assessing the Economic sustainability of a healthy diet To examine the economic sustainability of ‘healthier’ diets, indicators were used to describe current resource allocations and the impact of changes in demand. The indicators researched were land (area), production, prices, value of output, employment and trade. This was carried out for selected products within each of the five food groups on the eatwell plate. Products were selected to represent each group but in many cases, the data sources identified would be relevant to other foods in the same group. An extensive literature search was carried out to look for research on the economic impact of a shift to more healthy diet, using key economic indicators identified above to measure impact effects. All databases were searched according to product group. However, of around 65 references recorded in the initial sifting, only 14 were product specific (of which 6 related to studies on fruit and vegetables). Generally speaking, the literature is of a generic nature, not specific to food group or to stage of the supply chain. The list of 65 references that appeared relevant at first glance was then siphoned down to only 14 that examine the effect of a shift to more healthy diets on specific economic indicators. A further 8 references were selected that examine the economic effect of a shift in diets, but are less specific regarding the impact on economic indicators. Reasons for exclusion included: studies published prior to 2000 that might otherwise have been considered more relevant, studies that are related to the project but not necessarily to the economics component, or studies that have a geographic basis considered less relevant to the UK context. The 14 specific references are summarised in Annex C. Those with more general findings regarding the impact of a shift in diets are also summarised here. Where economic indicators were used in the studies EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 19 of 27 to measure impact, these are recorded in the Annex C. These tended to vary around the six indicators identified earlier, namely land (area), production, prices, value of output, employment and trade. As regards the selected economic impacts, our literature search revealed very few studies looking specifically at the economic impacts of a shift in food consumption patterns. The key findings from the most useful and methodologically robust studies, the majority of which focus on the United States, are summarised in Annex C. For each of the five food groups, an attempt was made to identify data sources for each of the six economic indicators. The results of this search are tabulated in the main report. A summary of the availability and robustness of the evidence is shown in Figure 7, colour coded according to the key. 3.3.1. Stage of supply chain It is evident from Figure 7 that data availability is concentrated at the production end of the chain and, for value, the retail/consumption end. For storage, transport and distribution, the majority of cells contain sparse or no data sources. It would need specific research to calculate the product specific costs and labour input for transporting a load of carrots, for example, from A to B. This then opens the debate as to whether there is anything to gain from the calculation of some indicators for some stages of the chain. 3.3.2. Economic Indicators 3.3.2.1. Land (area) and production: Defra holds much of the data on the economic indicators specified for the production stage of the chain. Contact with the relevant individuals at Defra also suggested that in some cases it might be possible to draw on primary data sets to select data more specific to research needs. 3.3.2.2. Prices: For prices, some data is available from Defra and for some products this is available from the various representative trade associations or the ONS Focus on Consumer Prices publication. Whereas data further back in the chain and for certain indicators is available at the product group level only, prices tend to be product/variety/season/quality specific. Defra made reference to an indicator “price per calorie” of food as a useful measure of comparing “healthy” with “less healthy” foods. This indicator is referred to in The Food Statistics Pocketbook 2009, p. 42 (“Healthy foods often cost more per calorie”). Sufficient information is available to calculate price per calorie. 3.3.2.3. Value of output: Value of output for the production stage of the chain is largely given in Defra’s annual publication, “Agriculture in the United Kingdom”. For other stages of the chain, this data is largely absent, except for consumption where value of consumption for some product groups is available from the various representative bodies (e.g. AHDB, EBLEX, etc.). 3.3.2.4. Employment: Employment data is available from the Business Register and Employment Survey (previously from the Annual Business Survey) specified by industry. It is difficult to break this down to employment at the product level. 3.3.2.5. Trade: For trade, the primary source is HM Customs and Revenue. The difficulty here with specifying products is that these are often grouped together. For example, while strawberries are separately specified, lettuce is grouped with endive, making it difficult to give an exact figure for lettuce imports and exports. 3.3.3. Product Groups: Product groups were specified as in the eatwell plate food groups. A random selection of products within each food group was selected to use as a basis for retrieving data. For some indicators, the data source would apply to all products within the group (such as trade, employment), whereas for the more diverse eatwell plate food groups such as “Meat, fish, eggs, beans and other non-dairy sources of protein”, for some indicators the data sources were more varied. In addition, supply chains were found to be much more complex than the basic production through to consumption chain used as a basis for research. For a product such as potatoes there will be various branches to the chain for seed potatoes, main crop, earlies, potatoes for processing, potatoes for fresh consumption. With cereals, supply chains are even more diverse. In addition, there can be several different types or varieties of the same product. Dessert apples are a good example, white or brown bread is another. There is a need to specify the product carefully, bearing in mind the purpose of the data collection exercise. Whilst data specific to the UK is usually available from government and trade association sources, there are a number of well known multilateral agencies providing data at a macro-level at the individual country EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 20 of 27 level as well as across groups of nations. This often draws on data available from individual nations. Some of these sources include Eurostat, FAO, World Bank, IMF, OECD, UNCTAD and WTO. Figure 7. Schematic representation of the availability of evidence concerning the economic sustainability of the different eatwell plate food groups (based on the representative products shown in Table1). Key: GREEN ORANGE RED GREY Food group Bread, rice, potatoes, pasta and other starchy foods Production Processing Transport & Storage Distribution & Retail Consumption Good evidence available in the form of generic comprehensive reports and refereed papers Some evidence / limited evidence across sector Insufficient evidence / no evidence on sector Not applicable Economic sustainability indicator Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade Fruit and Vegetables Production Processing Transport & Storage Distribution & Retail Consumption Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade Milk and dairy foods Production Processing Transport & Storage Distribution & Retail Consumption Meat, fish, eggs, beans, etc. Production Processing Transport & Storage Distribution & Retail Consumption Foods and drinks high in fat and/or sugar Production Processing Transport & Storage Distribution & Retail Consumption Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade Total eatwell plate Production Processing Transport & Storage Distribution & Retail Consumption Land (area) Production Prices Value of output Employment Trade EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 21 of 27 4.0 The healthy diet and interrelationships between attributes from across the three pillars Sections 3.1, 3.2 and 3.3 reveal that whilst some attributes are seemingly specific to each pillar, there may be close interrelationships with attributes in other pillars. For example, the “Human toxicity potential” and “ecotoxicity potential” attributes within the environmental sustainability pillar might well be expected to have close associations with the “Health and welfare” attribute in the social pillar. It is also the case that some attributes directly overlap. For example the “land use” attribute in the environmental sustainability pillar would have a direct relationship with the “land (area)” attribute in the economic sustainability pillar and landscape which falls within the “societal dynamics” attribute in the social sustainability pillar. Hence, one would expect that any changes in the food supply chain that affect attributes of sustainability in one pillar may well have related as well as separate impacts on attributes within the other pillars, either positively or negatively. It is not surprising, therefore, that changes in diet could have a number of possible effects on attributes across the pillars. Recent examples of high level reports and publications that consider food consumption and sustainability issues include a consideration of the opportunities for reducing GHG in the food chain (Garnett 2011), and the impact of changing diet on GHG emissions (Audsley et al 2009; MacDiarmid et al, 2011). In all of these publications, the focus has been predominantly on GHG emissions. Whilst this undoubtedly reflects the generic interest in GHG emissions from a climate change viewpoint, it also reflects the limitations in evidence across the other environmental attributes highlighted in Figures 2-4 as well as the lack of precise evidence from the economic and social directions. The lack of readily available evidence and metrics relevant to these other attributes means that such studies may highlight certain behaviour change as environmentally beneficial from the GHG emissions viewpoint, but overlook other very important impacts, both positive and negative (as acknowledged by Garnett 2011). For example, the eatwell plate promotes the consumption of more vegetables, fruits and starch-based products, and a reduction in meat and dairy consumption compared with current UK dietary behaviour. A significant reduction in the demand for meat and dairy products by UK consumers might be expected to result in a decline in UK demand for meat production (assuming that the current output could not be supported by demand from overseas). This, in turn, would be expected to reduce the environmental impacts of cattle production (Figure 4) and of importing feed. However, increased consumption of vegetables and fruits might require increased imports to provide supplies out of season. There would also be accompanying changes in land use which might involve the increased production of food crops, maybe fruits and vegetables, or perhaps energy crops. From the social sustainability viewpoint, the changes in landscape may be deleterious if cattle husbandry was to be replaced by monotonous crop monocultures (indeed, it may be that people would prefer a mixed landscape over any singular usage). From the economic sustainability viewpoint, such changes would have substantially negative impacts on the meat and dairy food chains, reducing commercial and employment opportunities in these sectors particularly in the agronomy, processing, transport and distribution and retail sectors. There would also be an associated impact on supply and employment related to non-food industries using by-products from livestock (e.g. adhesives, leather, gelatine etc). Increased unemployment would be expected to have negative social connotations. From the environmental perspective, significant impacts on biodiversity would also be expected. Thus, consuming less meat and dairy products may have positive benefits to health and to some environmental attributes, but may result in negative impacts on other environmental, economic and social sustainability attributes. The current study demonstrates that for such an evaluation, there is probably sufficient information to evaluate the economic impacts, for example, on employment and production and prices. From the social perspective, there is probably sufficient information to evaluate aspects of health but little on cultural impacts or working conditions. From the environmental perspective, it is clear that from LCA reports, only a limited number of attributes are covered as shown in Figure 3. However, there may be sufficient nonLCA information concerning biodiversity, water footprint, and reports on UK food waste to be able to make a reasonable inference as to the effects of dietary change. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 22 of 27 5.0 Conclusions 1) There is a need to produce a more coherent definition of ‘sustainability’. This is particularly true in the case of ‘social sustainability’. One way to do this might be to convene an expert workshop to debate and decide an appropriate definition – for Defra or more widely. Perhaps as part of this process, a number of case studies could be considered/worked through to crystalize the definitions and how these might be measured. Existing tools for measuring sustainability in different (e.g. non-food) contexts might also be worth considering, such as Social Lifecycle Analysis, and frameworks and guidelines such as the UN’s Sustainable Reporting Guideline and Sustainable Development Indicators (e.g. see Annex B). 2) The evidence base for evaluating the sustainability implications of changing to a healthy diet predominantly relates to environmental impacts (with some caveats) and relatively less to economic and social impacts: a. Evidence for attributes of environmental sustainability: i. ii. iii. There is sufficient robust evidence concerning three out of thirteen recognised environmental sustainability attributes particularly at the farm gate end of the production chain. These attributes are GWP, EP & AP. There is also limited information on the following five attributes: POCP, ODP, RE, LU & WU. This conclusion has been readily drawn by evaluating a large number of high quality LCA studies. However, the remaining five sustainability attributes receive little or no attention in the LCA literature for food & drinks (except for selected products). The gaps in knowledge associated with these attributes include impacts on human toxicity (HTP), ecotoxicity (ETP), abiotic / biotic resource depletion (ARD, BRD) and biodiversity (BD). There is a large, knowledge base in the scientific literature which is not integrated with LCA which provides additional information of relevance to sustainability (e.g. fisheries statistics, water footprint studies). b. Evidence for attributes of economic sustainability: i. ii. This is also biased towards production, but is more generic and robustness is patchy. The literature is of a generic nature, and most is not specific to food food group or to stage of the supply chain. c. Evidence for attributes of social sustainability i. These are not particularly product specific and at a higher level than the environmental and economic indicators. That is, indicators are linked mostly to how a food product is produced, processed, distributed and consumed, rather than the specific type of food. There may thus be a need to approach social sustainability in a different way to the other sustainability types. 3) There is a pressing need to evaluate the above information in relation to UK consumption data with particular reference to the most commonly consumed foods. 4) Additional studies are required which adopt a more targeted and consequential approach as follows: a. It is necessary to prioritise a list of key sustainability attributes across the three pillars. The relative importance of these attributes may differ according to, for example, their topicality (e.g. climate change is much more heavily featured in the press than other environmental attributes such as water use or resource depletion) or the country of production where working conditions, employment or local biodiversity (e.g. farmland birds) may be an issue. b. Using the agreed key sustainability attributes, to examine in detail a change in consumption from one commonly-consumed product to another. Such a study should begin with a detailed change in the total quantities of food products consumed in the UK and then: i. ii. iii. Consider alternatives for how the additional quantities of products consumed are produced (and where they will come from); together with assumptions about how the reduced quantities of consumption of other specific food products are now being produced (and where they come from). This allows incorporation of social sustainability. Assess the potential impact on the agreed sustainability attributes across all three pillars. Evaluate how and where changes measured by the key environmental attributes might impact on the social and economic attributes (and vice versa).Understanding the trade-offs between the three pillars will be crucial in determining the ultimate sustainability of a healthy diet. Linked to this, future research could be undertaken into potential metrics that might be used to assess overlaps and tensions between the three pillars of sustainability and the EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 23 of 27 impact these have on overall sustainability. The Scottish Government’s forthcoming Health and Environmental Sustainability Framework for Food and Drink could be a useful tool to examine here, for example, and the Swedish and Dutch governments also seem to be making some headway in this area. The aim of this framework is to help guide decision makers at all stages of the food and drink supply chain (and right across it) in how to integrate their thinking about health and environmental sustainability, so that they can prevent actions taken to address one of these considerations having an adverse effect on the other. The Framework is focused on decision makers in both the public and private sector, but does not include consumers. The approach should also include assessing the possibility of “spillover” where sustainability associated with production and consumption activity is displaced into other sectors. For example, as pointed out by Garnett (2011), even if consumers change to eating less meat, any financial savings made may just be used to carry out other GHG-emitting activities such as recreation and travel. This re-bound effect has also been identified in energy efficiency behaviour change. However, few studies are able quantify this satisfactorily due to the complexity of understanding the environmental impact of people’s behaviour resulting from a relatively small increase in wealth due to energy savings, (Sorrell 2007). Furthermore, since the food supply is global, impacts of changing UK dietary patterns may influence food production in other countries. Indeed, the current Defra project FO0427 ‘Future implications of trends in healthy eating on existing food production and manufacture’ will model possible future UK diet scenarios and determine their environmental, social and economic impacts. c. It may also be appropriate to extend studies such as the Livewell study (Macdiarmid et al, 2011) to evaluate and as far as possible estimate the impacts of dietary change on a greater range of sustainability attributes than just greenhouse gas emissions. This could provide much greater insight into the impacts of change than focusing on numerous low level studies. This approach may be augmented by using a “checklist” to ensure that change between elements of the diet does not lead to unintended consequences in other attributes of sustainability e.g. changes in biodiversity, working conditions or through deforestation. A checklist approach might be especially apt for considering social sustainability, for example, enabling comparison of the impacts of different production / processing / distribution / consumption methods on low income groups, ethnic minorities, the mobility impaired, rural communities and other vulnerable social groups (for which tools such as the Index of Multiple Deprivation might be useful, as one aspect considered is ‘access to food shops’ – see, e.g., http://www.communities.gov.uk/communities/research/indicesdeprivation/). It could also be used as a way of documenting social attitudes to how different elements of a healthy diet are produced / processed / distributed / consumed. 5) Food losses along the food chain should be intrinsically accounted for as part of good life cycle assessment practice, (where the goals of the assessments demand), particularly in the light of the recent FAO (Gustavsson et al, 2011) and WRAP (Waste & Resources Action Programme, 2009; 2010 a&b) reports. However, the boundaries of many of the studies found in this review do not consider the impact of food waste at the end of the food chain for specific foods. Understanding differences in food waste behaviour for specific foods may add a significant multiplier effect and few data sources were found that quantified this. More research to understand domestic food waste factors could inform life cycle assessment of foods where impacts may then be reported per kg actually eaten, which more precisely defines the function of food. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 24 of 27 Acknowledgement The Project Team wish to express their thanks and gratitude to the following members of the Project Steering Group and Expert Panel for their guidance, assistance, constructive criticism & comment throughout the course of this Project. Steering Group Name Institution Roland Clift Helena Crow Paul Finglas Lucy Foster Janice Kerr Sonia Molnar Thomas Ohlsson Christopher Ritson Bruno Viegas University of Surrey Scottish Government Institute of Food Research Defra Defra Defra SIK – the Swedish Institute for Food and Biotechnology University of Newcastle Defra Expert Panel Name Institution Eric Audsley Simon Bell Dylan Bradley Mary Brennan Judy Buttriss Ashok Chapagain Peter Dennis Elizabeth Dowler Georg Engelhard Tara Garnett David Harvey Mark Holmes Robert Lillywhite Tom MacMillan Stephen Morse Nigel Mortimer Richard Murphy Richard Pywell David Tickner Bruce Traill Kairsty Topp Angela Tregear Wim Verbeke Bill Vorley Peter Whitehead Adrian Williams Jeremy Wiltshire Cranfield University Open University Agra CEAS Consulting University of Newcastle British Nutrition Foundation WWF University of Aberystwyth University of Warwick cefas Food & Climate Research Network University of Newcastle ADAS University of Warwick Food Ethics Council University of Surrey North Energy Associates Imperial College Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Head of Freshwater Programmes, WWF University of Reading Scottish Agricultural College Edinburgh University University of Ghent International Institute for Environment and Development IGD Cranfield University ADAS EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 25 of 27 References to published material 9. This section should be used to record links (hypertext links where possible) or references to other published material generated by, or relating to this project. Audsley, E., Chatterton, J., Graves, A., Morris, J., Murphy-Bokern, D., Pearn, K., Sanders, D. and Williams, A. (2010). Food, land and greenhouse gases: the effects of changes in UK food consumption on land requirements and greenhouse gas emissions. Report prepared for the United Kingdom’s Government’s Committee on Climate Change, available online at http://downloads.theccc.org.uk.s3.amazonaws.com/4th%20Budget/fourthbudget_supporting_research_cran field_dietsGHGLU_agriculture.pdf, accessed 17 May 2011. Bassett-Mens, C. & van der Werf, H.M.G. (2005). Scenario-based environmental assessment of farming systems: the case of pig production in France, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 105, 127-144. Bassett-Mens, C., van der Werf, H.M.G., Robin, P., Morvan, Th., Hassouna, M., Paillat, J.-M. & Vertès F. (2007). Methods and data for the environmental inventory of contrasting pig production systems, Journal of Cleaner Production, 15, 1395-1405. Broom, D.M. (2010) Animal Welfare: An Aspect of Care, Sustainability, and Food Quality Required by the Public, Journal of Veterinary Medical Education, 37(1), 83-88. Cederberg, C. & Stadig, M. (2003). System expansion and allocation in life cycle assessment of milk and beef production, International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 8 (6), 350-356. eatwell plate, http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publichealth/Nutrition/DH_126493 , accessed 26 July 2011. Ecoinvent Centre, Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland, www.ecoinvent.org FAO, (2011) Background document to E-Forum on Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA), see http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/suistainability/docs/Background_Document_01.pdf , last accessed 22 March 2011. FSA, 2002, McCance and Widdowson’s The Composition of Foods, Sixth summary edition. Cambridge: Royal Society of Chemistry Garnett, T. (2011). Where are the best opportunities for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the food system (including the food chain)?. Food Policy, 36, S23-S32. Gustavsson J., Cederberg C., Sonesson U., van Otterdijk R. & Meybeck A., (2011), Global food losses and food waste: extent, causes and prevention, Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations, Rome, Italy. KRAV, (2010). Climate Smart KRAV Fish: Emissions of greenhouse gases from a 400g pack of cod. A comparison of KRAV-approved cod and average cod, available online at http://www.krav.se/Documents/Engelska%20sidor/20100528%20Climate%20Smart%20Fish%20Report%2 0-%20final.pdf, (accessed 15 June 2011). Lewis K.A., Green A., Tzilivakis J. & Warner D.J. (2010). The contribution of UK farm assurance schemes towards desirable environmental policy outcomes, International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability, 8, 4, 237-249. Macdiarmid, J., Kyle, J., Horgan, G., Loe, J., Fyfe, C., Johnstone, A. & McNeill, G. (2011). Livewell: a balance of healthy and sustainable food choices. WWF-UK. Olesen, I., Groen, A.F. & Gjerde, B. (2000) Definition of animal breeding goals for sustainable production systems, Journal of Animal Science, 78 (3), 570-582. PE International, Leinfelden-Echterdingen, Germany, www.gabi-software.com, (accessed 14 June 2011) Pré Consultants bv, Amersfoort, The Netherlands, www.pre.nl, (accessed 14 June 2011) Sorrell, S. (2007) The rebound effect: an assessment of the evidence for economy-wide energy savings from improved energy efficiency http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/support/tiki-index.php?page=ReboundEffect Van Calker K.J., Berentsen P.B.M., Romero C., Giesen G.W.J. & Huirne R.B.M., Development and application of a multi-attribute sustainability function for Dutch dairy farming systems, Ecological Economics, (2006), 57, 640-658. WRAP, (2009), Household Food and Drink Waste in the UK, Report prepared by WRAP, Banbury, UK. WRAP, (2010a), Waste arisings in the supply of food and drink to households in the UK, Report prepared for WRAP, Banbury, UK. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 26 of 27 WRAP, (2010b), Reducing food waste through the chill chain. Part 1: Insights around the domestic refrigerator, Report prepared for WRAP, Banbury, UK. EVID4 Evidence Project Final Report (Rev. 06/11) Page 27 of 27
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