Anita. Behav., 1990,39, 338-345 Risk-sensitivity: ambient temperature affects foraging choice T H O M A S C A R A C O , W O L F U. B L A N C K E N H O R N , G I N A M. G R E G O R Y , J O N A T H A N A. N E W M A N , G R E G G M. R E C E R & S U S A N M. Z W I C K E R Behavioral Ecology Group, Department of Biological Sciences, State University of New York, Albany, NY12222, U.S.A. Abstract. Short-term physiological requirements strongly constrain some foragers. During the limited time available for foraging, they must consume sufficient food to meet all energetic expenditures for 24 h. Models for risk-sensitive decision-making predict that such a forager should be risk-averse toward reward variance when the animal expects to meet its requirement, and should be risk-prone toward reward variance when expecting an energetic deficit. Some previous demonstrations of this shift from risk-averse to risk-prone behaviour relied on differences in both pre-experimental deprivation and inter-trial delays within an experiment to vary the subjects' energy budgets, and these differences have allowed an alternate interpretation of observed preferences. Therefore, earlier work on risk-sensitive foraging in small birds was complemented by manipulating ambient temperature to induce positive and negative expected energy budgets. For a given mean reward, the inter-trial delay was the same, constant length at both temperatures. When subjects experienced a positive energy budget (warm temperature), risk-aversion exceeded preference for risk strikingly; the opposite occurred when the subjects could anticipate a negative energy budget (cold temperature). Variation in inter-trial delays could not have influenced the change in preference reported here. Short-term energy requirements physiologically constrain many birds and mammals, especially those with relatively high metabolic rates (Barnard & Brown 1985). When subject to such a physiological requirement, an animal should respond to the inevitable stochastic variation in the energetic value of the food rewards in a labile, risk-sensitive manner (e.g. Caraco 1980; Stephens 1981; McNamara & Houston 1982). More specifically, the animal should forage in a risk-averse manner when expecting an energy intake exceeding its physiological requirement (a positive energy budget). But the animal should forage in a risk-prone manner when expecting an energy intake less than its physiological requirement (a negative energy budget), Stephens & Krebs (1986) call this the energy-budget rule. The predictions are deduced from the assumption that an efficient forager's behaviour will reduce the probability of failing to meet the animal's energetic requirement (e.g. Caraco 1987). The terms risk-averse and risk-prone refer to preferences over probability distributions (see Caraco & Chasin 1984). A risk-averse forager's preference for a probability distribution increases as the mean reward increases or the reward variance decreases. A risk-prone forager's preference for a probability distribution increases as either the 0003-3472/90/020338 + 08503.00/0 mean reward or the reward variance increases. Several studies have induced positive and then negative energy budgets, and found that foragers behaved in a risk-averse and then a risk-prone manner toward variation in reward-size, as predicted by the energy-budget rule (reviewed by Real & Caraco 1986; Stephens & Krebs 1986; also see Moore & Simm 1986; Ekman & Hake 1988). However, negative energy budgets do not induce risk-prone behaviour in all animals (Battalio et al. 1985; Wunderle et al. 1987; see Discussion). Most ecological analyses of risk-sensitivity concern distributions of reward amounts. We may also apply the concepts to distributions of time elapsing until specified events occur. Some models allow the length of the foraging day to vary randomly and calculate the distribution of time a forager needs to achieve a required energy intake (e.g. Caraco 1981, 1987; Pulliam & Caraco 1984; Clark & Mangel 1986). Other models fix the length of the foraging period (or simply ignore it) and consider how energy budgets might influence preference over random delays between choice and consumption of a particular food reward (e.g. Fantino & Abarca 1985; McNamara & Houston 1987; Zabludoffet al. 1988; Stephens, in press). A number of studies in operant psychology report preference for variable 9 1990The Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour 338 Caraco et al.: Risk-sensitive foraging over fixed delays; see review and interpretation by Kagel et al (1986a), Fantino (1987) and Staddon & Reid (1987). None of these studies estimates subjects' energy budgets, but clearly some animals can prefer a variable delay with mean t over a fixed delay of t time units between choice and consumption of a given food reward. Staddon & Reid's (1987) model of foraging choice assumes a decision-maker will attempt to regulate its feeding rate as close to some target as is possible. A slightly oversimplified, but commonly assumed, interpretation of their model predicts that animals should be ri.sk-averse toward random variation in reward size and risk-prone toward random variation in temporal delays. These predictions follow from the assumption that costs increase with the squared deviation about the hypothesized target rate of energy intake. Staddon & Reid (1987) suggest that apparent empirical support for the energy-budget model might just as strongly support their rate-regulation hypothesis. To summarize their argument, consider the study by Caraco et al. (1980). Yellow-eyed juncos, Junco phaeonotus, chose between simultaneously available constant and variable rewards in a discrete trial procedure. They fed ad libitum for the first 1-5 h in the morning, and then experienced a period of food deprivation. Caraco et al. (1980) induced positive energy budgets by depriving the birds for 1 h prior to an experiment and feeding them at an average rate of 1 seed/30 s during an experiment. They induced negative expected energy budgets by depriving the birds for 4 h prior to an experiment and feeding them at an average rate of 1 seed/60 s. Hence the time of day and mean inter-trial interval differed between treatments. Furthermore, the inter-trial interval covaried positively with realized reward size to avoid satiation effects during the positive energybudget treatment. That is, bigger rewards were followed by longer inter-trial intervals (this is not the same as the delay between choice and consumption). Staddon & Reid (1987; similarly Kagel et al. 1986b) suggested that risk-aversion at positive energy budgets was a response to reward-size stochasticity, and that risk-prone behaviour at negative energy budgets was a response to delay variation. Therefore, to complement the Caraco et al. (1980) study, we need a procedure that still avoids satiation during experiments and (1) controis for possible time-of-day effects, (2) uses constant inter-trial intervals and (3) uses the same 339 inter-trial interval for both positive and negative energy budgets. To meet these criteria we conducted choice experiments that always began at the start of the day (lights on). This controlled for possible time-of-day effects and averted satiation during preference tests. F o r a given mean reward, our experiments used the same, constant inter-trial interval throughout; we manipulated expected energy budgets by varying ambient temperature (i.e. by varying the costs of homeothermy). Our results associate risk-aversion with positive energy budgets and risk-proneness with negative energy budgets, as the energy-budget rule predicts. METHODS We studied yellow-eyed juncos foraging in a laboratory environment. During the first year of the study (September 1986 to August 1987), all subjects were adults. During the second year (September 1987 to June 1988), we studied juveniles captured in August just after leaving their parents' territory (see Sullivan 1988). By the time we began experimenting with juveniles, they had attained adult coloration and body mass. Hence our juveniles were individuals facing their first winter. We planned our experiments based on estimates of food intake at three different ambient temperatures, Therefore, we present our analysis of energy consumption in full and then detail the methods of our choice experiments. Energy Budgets We maintained each junco in a separate cage measuring 1 m long x 0-8 m wide x 0.7 m high. All sides were opaque except for a hardware cloth bottom. One-way glass mounted in front of each cage allowed us to observe the birds unobtrusively. We determined temperatures by reading a thermometer mounted on the rear wall of each cage. In each of two walk-in coolers equipped with reliable temperature control, we placed two cages (each on supporting legs). Automatic timers maintained a 10:14h light:dark cycle; a small bulb mounted in the top of each cage provided the light. Grit and water were always available. We provided mealworms as a dietary supplement, except when we used a bird in an experiment. We installed a feeding apparatus at the midpoint of the front of each cage. To measure food consumption at a given temperature we presented a known number of millet seeds, Panicum miliaceum, 340 Animal Behaviour, 39, 2 and counted the number remaining (in the apparatus or collected after falling through the hardware cloth). We repeated this process periodically over the course of a 10-h day and so obtained an observation of an individual's daily seed consumption (see Caraco 1981, 1983). We used daily food intake as a proxy for existence metabolism, since we needed only to discriminate positive and negative energy budgets. We estimated seed consumption at three different temperatures: 1~ 10~ and 19~ When we shifted a bird from one temperature to another, we did so in 3~ per day differences and then waited 1 week before collecting any data at the new temperature. One week is more than enough time for a nonbreeding granivore to adjust its metabolism and feeding behaviour to the demands of the new temperature (Sprenkle & Blem 1984). During the first year we twice sampled daily seed consumption for each of five adult males and five adult females at all three temperatures. We used a logarithmic transform to homogenize variances and subjected the data to an ANOVA. We took temperature and gender as treatments, and noted effects of individuals within gender. Neither the interaction between temperature and gender (F2.20= 1"58, Ns) nor the interaction between temperature and individuals within gender (Fi6,20 ~1.86, Ns) induced significant variation. We did not detect a significant difference between males and females (Fl,10=0.09), but variation in ambient temperature induced significant variation in daily seed consumption (F2,20=115-4, P < 10-4). We additionally noted significant variation among individuals within gender (F8,10=4.63, P<0.05). A Tukey's test indicated that mean seed consumption at I~ averaged over the 10 individuals, exceeded mean consumption at 10~ significantly, and mean food consumption at 10~ exceeded the mean at 19~ significantly. Table I shows the mean levels of daily seed comsumption at each of the three temperatures. Since males and females did not differ in this analysis, we did not attempt to identify individuals by gender during the rest of the study. The effect of temperature dominated these results; eaeh temperature clearly imposed a different energetic requirement. At a given ambient temperature average energy requirements should not differ between independent juveniles and adult juncos (see Sullivan 1988). In any case, during the second year we sampled daily seed consumption of four juveniles until we Table I. Mean daily seed consumption (__+s~) at different ambient temperatures Subjects Adults* Juveniles I~ 10~ 19~ 1219-2 (33.7) 940'7(28-4) 611'4(25.4) 1111.5(64.3) 994.5 (57.0) 605.5(26.7) *Each entry for adult birds is a mean of 20 observations; 10 birds were each sampled twice at all three temperatures. Four juveniles were sampled. We collected 10 observations at I~ and 10~ and collected 19 observations at 19~ accumulated at least 10 observations at each temperature. Thirty of the 39 total observations were split between two juvenile males. After a logarithmic transformation we subjected the data for these two birds to a two-way ANOVA; the treatments were individual and temperature. The interaction was not significant (F2,24= 1-0, Ns), and we did not find a significant difference between individuals (F1,24= 1.33, rqs). Variation in ambient temperature induced significant variation in daily seed consumption (F2.24= 25"2, P < 10- 3). Table I shows the overall mean levels of daily food consumption; adults and juveniles exhibit a similar pattern of temperature-dependent food intake. The preceding analyses indicated that both adults' and juveniles' energy budgets vary significantly across temperature. In our choice experiments we let the birds feed at an expected rate equal to the average consumption rate we observed at 10~ We conducted the experiments at I~ and 19~ Hence, the otherwise identical experiments implied a significantly negative expected energy budget at I~ and a significantly positive energy budget at 19~ We regressed the mean cumulative seed consumption for adults at 10~ on hour of the foraging day (i.e. the time elapsed since the lights came on and the birds began feeding). With y representing accumulated seed consumption and t representing time of day (0 < t ~<10 h), we obtained y = 13.25 + 90.98t; r~0= 0.997, P<0.001. The slope has units of seed/time; inverting we obtain time/seed. The result is an expected energy intake of one millet seed every 40 s. We used this figure in designing our choice experiments. Choice Experiments We used colour as the cue associated with levels of reward variance. We attached a plastic track Caraco et al.: Risk-sensitive foraging measuring 7cm wide outside each cage at the middle of the front panel; the track extended into the cage through a small port. We mounted a feeding device with two removable, opaque plastic covers on the track. At the back of the device were three handles. An experimenter pushed the middle handle to move the device along the track into the cage. Pulling either of the other two handles retracted the associated cover, so a bird could consume the seeds in a well measuring 2.5 cm 2 below the cover. We placed a piece of coloured adhesive tape on top of each cover. One of the two colours indicated a constant (i.e. certain) reward during a choice experiment. The other colour indicated a variable reward with a mean equalling the constant reward. During an experiment we assigned colours randomly to the left and right sides of the feeding apparatus, subject to the constraint that each colour appeared on each side an equal number of times each day. The juncos quickly learned to approach the feeding device and peck the coloured tape. For a given subject, an experimental test of preference between a reward distribution and its mean took 7 days. On day 1 we tested for colour bias. Choice of either colour produced the same constant reward in this test. We required that the subject exhibit indifference to colour before proceeding to the test of risk-sensitivity. We used a total of seven colours throughout and never presented any colour in consecutive experiments with a given bird. Ifa subject proved indifferent to colour on day 1, we gave it the next day off. We then performed the same series of 40 trials on days 3, 4 and 5. The first 16 trials were forced-choice, where we presented only one colour per trial. When the bird pecked the coloured tape, it gained access to the reward. Each colour appeared eight times, divided evenly between the left and right sides of the feeding device. Forced-choice trials allowed the subject to associate reward characteristics with colour, and gave the animal an estimate of the experimental feeding rate. These 16 trials began at the onset of the foraging day (t = 0). Following the forced-choice training trials, we presented 24 two-choice preference trials. The juncos would approach the feeding device from the rear of the cage and peck one of the coloured pieces of tape. As soon as a bird pecked a colour, the experimenter retracted the cover. When the bird had eaten any seeds available and left the front of the cage, the feeding device was withdrawn. All of 341 the juncos learned that pecking the remaining colour, after finishing the seeds, would not yield a reward. We provided supplemental food 1 h after completion of a day's preference trials. At each preference trial we recorded whether a bird chose the constant reward or the variable reward. We pooled an individual's 72 preference trials from days 3, 4 and 5 and calculated that subject's p~, the proportional choice of the constant reward. We used the normal approximation to the binomial distribution to categorize each Pc value as risk-averse, indifferent or risk-prone toward reward variance. Similarly, we tested for position bias. We did not test a subject on day 6 of an experiment. On day 7 we performed a colour-reversal test. The certain and variable rewards were the same as day 3 through 5, but the colour association was reversed. The 16 training trials and 24 preference trials were conducted as above. Ifthepc estimate indicated a significant preference, we required that the subject prefer the same variance (hence, the other colour) or show indifference during the colour-reversal test. If the Pc estimate indicated indifference, we required that the subject not exhibit a preference in the colour-reversal test. A 'failure' on the colour-reversal suggested greater colour preference than risk preference, resulting in rejection of the Pc estimate and repetition of the experiment. Fortunately, only three of 65 experiments ended with a failure of the colour-reversal test. We used two-point distributions to generate variable rewards. If the constant reward was x seeds, the variable reward provided either ( x - a) or (x + a) seeds with equal probability. Hence the variable reward had mean x and variance a 2. During training and during preference trials, the larger and smaller values of the variable reward occurred equally often. Furthermore, we scheduled both larger and smaller values an equal number of times at the left and right sides of the feeding device. Recall that the observed rate of seed consumption was essentially one seed every 40 s at 10~ Therefore, we set the constant inter-trial interval within any experiment, in seconds, at 40x. That is, the delay did not vary with temperature; so the delay was a constant (for a given x) independent of the forager's expected energy budget. We divided the choice experiments into two sets, depending on~ the variance of the variable reward. In the first set of choice experiments the variable reward provided either ( x - 3 ) or (x+3) seeds on Animal Behaviour, 39, 2 342 every preference trial. We used two levels of mean reward, x = 3 and 4. We tested four adults and four juveniles. The design was a three-way ANOVA with treatments temperature (I~ and 19~ age (adults and juveniles) and mean reward level. We used a balanced, randomized-block design with individuals as blocks. Two of the four individuals of a given group were assigned randomly to a sequence of low and then high temperature; the other two subjects in the same age group experienced high and then low temperature. Within each pair of individuals experiencing the same sequence of temperatures, we assigned one to a sequence of lower and then higher mean reward; the other bird experienced the opposite sequence. In the second set of choice experiments the vari: able reward provided either ( x - 2 ) or (x + 2) seeds 'at every choice trial. We used three levels of mean reward, x = 2, 3 and 4. We tested two adults and three juveniles. Each of these birds had previously completed the first set (a2=9) before beginning these experiments. Individuals chosen for the second set were the birds that had first completed all experiments at the higher reward-variance level. We tested fewer individuals in the second set since the clarity of the first set's results indicated that a smaller sample would be sufficient. The design was a three-way ANOVA adjusted for unequal sample size. Treatments were temperature, age and mean reward level. Again, we assigned individuals across sequences of temperature and mean-reward treatment combinations in a randomized-block fashion. RESULTS We observed that a single experiment's choice probabilities usually did not vary much among the 3 days of preference testing. However, in a few cases, a bird would choose both levels of variance nearly equally on the first test day (day 3 of the experiment) and then exhibit a risk-sensitive preference the next 2 days. In 16 of 62 (25.8%) experiments, risk-indifference resulted primarily because the bird exhibited a position bias. Even though the two colour cues were only 2 cm apart, all of the birds showed a preference for the left or right side of the feeding device in at least one experiment. We conservatively leave these indifferences in the data, since we predicted significant preferences. We present the results of the two sets of experiments separately. Table II. Proportional choice of constant reward (Pc) when variance of variable reward was 9 I~ Mean reward (x) Adults A1 A2 A3 A4 Juveniles Jl J2 J3 J4 19~ 3 4 3 4 0.44 0.42 0"10t 0"33t 0.40 0.47 0.40 0'33t 0.75* 0.60 0-64* 0.69* 0.72* 0.63* 0.71" 0.69* 0.33~ 0'29t 0.43 0.34t 0.39 0"36t 0.39 0.72* 0.51 0.36t 0.51 0.94* 0.69* 0.59 0.68* 0.79* *Significantrisk-aversion, P < 0.05. tSignificant risk-proneness,P < 0.05. High Variance Table II shows the p~ values for all experiments where the variance of the variable reward was 9. For each entry the table identifies the result as indicating significant risk-aversion (standard normal z>1-96), risk-proneness ( z < - 1 - 9 6 ) or indifference to reward variance. Temperature was associated with a clear qualitative difference. The distributions of the number of results in the three categorical outcomes differed significantlybetween temperatures (g2= 14.17, df=2, P<0-005). At I~ risk-aversion occurred only once and risk-prone behaviour was common. At 19~ risk-proneness occurred only once and 69% of the experiments resulted in risk-aversion. We transformed the Pc values according to arcsine x/Pc and assumed homogeneous variances. Then we conducted a three-way ANOVA on the transformed data. Neither the three-way interaction (mean reward-age-temperature: Fi,24= 0.61, NS) nor any of the two-way interactions (mean reward-age: F~,z4=0.01, NS; mean rewardtemperature: FI,24=0-01, Ns; age-temperature: F1,24= 0.25, Ns) induced significant variation in the choice probabilities. Among the main effects, neither mean reward (Ft.24= 1-24, Ns) nor age (Fl,24=0.06, NS) proved significant. However, the temperature effect was highly significant (F~.24= 41.42, P < 10-4). Both the qualitative and quantitative results clearly indicate risk-sensitivity differed between temperatures, that is, between negative and positive Caraco et al.: Risk-sensitive foraging 343 Table Ill. Proportional choice of constant reward (Pc)when variance of variable reward was 4 I~ Mean reward (x) Adults A1 A3 Juveniles J2 J3 J4 19~ 2 3 4 2 3 4 0"51 0"217 0'47 0"33? 0'61 0.35? 0.51 0.75* 0.60 0.74* 0.67* 0.68* 0.43 0.58 0.29? 0.47 0.50 0.46 0.39 0.35? 0.29? 0.63* 0.40 0.85* 0.65* 0.39 0.88* 0.60 0.40 0.51 *Significantrisk-aversion, P < 0.05. "['Significantrisk-proneness, P < 0.05. expected energy budgets. The pattern in the incidence of preference for and aversion to variance in reward size supports the energy-budget rule. Low Variance Table III shows the Pc values for all experiments where the variance of the variable reward was 4. The table identifies each result as indicating riskaversion, risk-proneness or risk-indifference. Riskaversion did not occur at I~ and preference for risk did not occur at 19~ The distributions of the number of results in the three categorical outcomes differed significantly between temperatures (Z2= 14.25, dr= 2, P < 0"005). We transformed the Pc values as above and conducted a three-way ANOVA. Neither the threeway interaction (mean reward-age-temperature: F2,1s=0.02, MS) nor any of the two-way interactions (mean reward-age: F2,18= 1.14, NS) mean reward-temperature: F2,~8=0.09, NS; agetemperature: F1,18=0"33, MS) induced significant variation in preference behaviour. Among the main effects, neither mean reward (F2,18=0.47, MS) nor age (Fl,~8= 0'22, NS) proved significant. Temperature again induced a significant difference in choice probabilities (FI,24=12.76, P<0-01), so that preference behaviour again varied between energy budgets. DISCUSSION Our results support the energy-budget rule and exclude explanations involving response to delay. When expected energy budgets were negative, we noted only one case of preference for low variance and recorded significant preference for high reward variance in 42% of those experiments. When expected energy budgets were positive, we noted only one case of preference of high variance and recorded significant preference for low variance in 61% of those experiments. This phenotypically plastic shift between risk-prone and risk-averse behaviour occurred in response to a temperature change, hence a change in energy budgets; we held every other aspect of a particular experiment constant. Neither mean reward level nor age (adult versus juvenile) influe/nced preference significantly. Individual vari~fi.on in choice probabilities (Pc values) was slightly greater among juveniles than among adults, although adults showed significant individual variation (within gender) in daily food consumption. Even if variation in food consumption implied variation in required energy budgets, the difference between our levels of ambient temperature assured positive energy budgets at 19~ and negative energy budgets at 1~ The energy-budget rule makes intuitive sense when a non-breeding forager must meet a shortterm physiological requirement. When an animal's expected rate of energy intake exceeds the minimally required level, a low intake variance assures survival, but a high variance may increase the probability of starvation. When the expected rate of energy intake falls below the required level, low intake variance may assure starvation, but a high variance provides a chance of survival (Caraco 1981, 1982). 344 Animal Behaviour, 39, 2 The energy-budget rule applies directly to variance in reward amount. However, preferences over random delays appear more complex. Our results, as intended by the experimental design, do not address responses to variation in random delays associated with foraging options. Ecological analogies to delay variance are more tenuous than analogies to variation in reward size (Kagel et al. 1986a) but animals clearly respond consistently to delay patterns (reviewed in Staddon 1983; Fantino & Abarca 1985; Staddon & Reid 1987). Minimizing the probability of failing to achieve a physiologically required food intake can predict aversion to, or preference for, delay variance (McNamara & Houston 1987; Zabludoff et al. 1988). Alternatively, if the future is always more uncertain than the present, a larger reward in the future might be less preferred than a smaller, more immediate reward (Logue 1988). An economic model that discounts future rewards according to a 'variable-time bias' formula does a good job of explaining observed empirical results concerning preference over delay variance (Kagel et al. 1986a), and the reader may wish to consult McNamara & Houston's (1987) model where both reward sizes and delays vary randomly. The energy-budget rule arises whether we treat foraging as (1) a daily process leading to physiological success or failure (e.g. survival or starvation), or (2) a process where fitness increases as a convexconcave function of energy intake during the foraging period. Several logical approaches lead to these conclusions (Caraco et al. 1980; McNamara & Houston 1982; Stephens & Charnov 1982; Stephens & Krebs 1986; Gillespie & Caraco 1987). In either case, fitness is a function of only total energy intake, and does not depend on the pattern of energy accumulation during the day. That is, survival depends most on the forager's ability to acquire enough energy to meet its overnight costs. As body size increases, short-term energetic requirements no longer impose a significant threat to survival. For example, larger passerine birds should survive longer than small birds when food is not available. Metabolic costs per unit body mass decline as body size increases, so a given percentage of body mass devoted to energy storage lasts longer in a larger bird (see Downhower 1976; Caraco 1982). Once short-term requirements become unimportant, risk-prone foraging strategies will seldom enhance survivorship. Houston & McNamara (1986) discuss the 'continuous forager'; the model animal has no short-term requirements and attempts to maximize the expected time until its energy reserves disappear and the animal starves. In this model an efficient forager always responds to reward-size variance in a risk-averse manner. Some animals do exhibit consistent risk-aversion toward reward variance independently of their energetic status (Battalio et al. 1985; Wunderle et al. 1987). Interesting empirical patterns may underlie the distinction between those organisms that follow the energy-budget rule and those that do not. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We are particularly indebted to R. Holberton and K. A. Sullivan, whose help made the study possible. C. P. L. Barkan and F. Stollnitz provided valuable advice on experimental design. M. D. Withiam helped with the statistics, and B. V. White typed the manuscript. We thank Kelly Kreiger for technical assistance. We conducted the research in accordance with published guidelines on animal welfare, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Scientific Collecting Permits PRT-674696 and PRT-702946, and New York State Department of Environmental Conservation license SCL88-188. 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(Received 17 January 1989; initial acceptance 29 March 1989;final acceptance 26 April 1989; MS. number: A5465)
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