CHAPTER - 8 Optimization of Strategic Bidding to maximize Profit through Double side Action in Electricity Market using Firefly Algorithm 8.1 Introduction The reconstruction of the electric power industry creates a significant effect on issues pertaining to the economic and reliable operation of the electric power system. The generation companies and large consumers experience a different task of designing the bidding methodologies. Therefore the systematic development of optimal bidding strategy becomes a major concern of Generation companies and power consumers. An innovative approach for defining optimal bidding strategy is presented as a multi objective stochastic optimization problem and solved by Firefly Algorithm (FA). The Firefly Algorithm is introduced for the bidding problem for both Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and large consumers (Double side action) to obtain the global optimal solution. It effectively maximizes the IPPs profit for the benefit of large consumers. A numerical example with six suppliers and two large consumers is considered to illustrate the prominent features of the proposed method and the test results presented. The simulation result shows that this approach effectively maximize the profit and benefit of power suppliers and large consumers, converge much faster and more reliable when compared with available methods [133]. 118 8.2 Problem Formulatio Formulation 8.2.1 Mathematical Model In the competitive Electricity market, the Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and large consumers participat participate in bidding methodologies for their own benefits. The mathematical model of Pool based Electricity Market is presented in Fig 8.1. Fig. 8.1. Mathematical model of electricity market for Double side action Let the system consist of ‘ m ’ generators in the power network managed by an ISO, an aggregated consumer load which may not participate in the demand side bidding but remain inaccessible to the price elasticity, and ‘ n ’ large consumers who participate in demand side bidding. The power suppliers and large consumers need to bid a linear non- decreasing supply and non non-increasing increasing demand from PX, in the form of a linear supply curve. by The m Independent Power Producers bid a Linear supply curve mentioned mentio R = ai + bi Pi where i=1, =1, 2….. m and n large consumers bid a linear demand curve denoted by R = c j − d j L j where j=1, 2….. n . In the above equation Pi represents the real power output of i th generator, ai , bi the bidding co-efficient efficient of i th supplier, L j the load demand of j th consumer, and c j , d j the bidding co-efficient efficient of j th large consumer. The co-efficient ai , bi , c j and d j are non-negative numbers. 119 The power exchange perform performs the generation scheduling and demand dispatch management while satisfying the security and reliability constraints using unique dispatch procedure, with the objective of maximizing pay pay-off. off. Hence power exchange manipulates the system output and demand of large consumers so as to improve the profit of GENCOs. This process is graphically explained using Fig 8.2. Fig. 8.2. 2. Market Equilibrium Point for Double side action The auction based electricity market, data for the successive bidding period is unknown and therefore the suppliers/large consumers may not have substantial information to evolve a solution for this optimization problem. However, the prior bidding allows the he chance for estimating the bidding co-efficient efficient of the rival as a possibility. The objective of independent power producers is to maximize their profit. The cost function of ith power supplier is given by the equation (8.1) 2 Ci (Pi ) = ei Pi + fi Pi (8.1) The objective function of independent power producer can be defined as in equation (8.2) m m i =1 i =1 Max : F ( a i , b i ) = ∑ RPi − ∑ C i ( Pi ) (8.2) 120 Similarly, the objective of large consumer is to maximize their benefit. The Revenue function jth large consumer is expressed as in equation (8.3) B j (L j ) = g j L j − h j L j 2 (8.3) The objective function of large consumer can be written as in equation (8.4) n n j =1 j =1 Max : G (c j , d j ) = ∑ B j ( L j ) − ∑ R j L j (8.4) The Market Clearing Price (R) is defined as ratio of bidding co-efficient of power suppliers (ai , bi ) and large consumers (c j , d j ) with aggregated load demand and represented by the equation (8.5) n c ai +∑ j i =1 bi j =1 d j R= m n 1 1 K +∑ +∑ i =1 bi j =1 d j m Q0 + ∑ (8.5) The aggregated load demand is formulated as in equation (8.6) Q( R) = Qo − KR (8.6) Where Q o = Constant number. K = Coefficient of the price elasticity of the aggregate demand. Constraints 2. Power balance constraints: m n i =1 j =1 ∑ Pi = Q( R) + ∑ Li pi = R − ai bi (8.7) i =1,2.......... ...m 121 (8.8) Lj = cj − R j = 1,2.......... ...n dj (8.9) 2. Power generation limit constraints: pi min ≤ pi ≤ pi max i = 1,2.......... ...m (8.10) 3. Power consumption limit constraints: L j min ≤ L j ≤ L j max j = 1,2.......... ...n (8.11) Once the problem is analyzed from the pth (p=1,2,……,n + m) participant, the bidding coefficients of the jth (j=1,2,…..,n and j≠p supplier, aj and bj ,follows a joint normal distribution with the following probability density function ( pdf ). pdf ( a j , b j ) = 1 2Π σ (j a )σ (jb ) 1 − ρ 2j × a j − µ j ( a ) 1 exp − 2 σ (j a ) ρ − 2 ( 1 ) j 2 (b ) 2 ρ j ( a j − µ (j a ) )(b j − µ j ) b j − µ (jb ) − + ( a ) (b ) σ (b ) σ σ j j j 2 (8.12) (b ) Where ρ j is the correlation co-efficient between aj and bj .The mean µ (j a ) , µ j and standard deviation σ (j a ) , σ (bj ) are the parameters of the joint distribution. The marginal (b ) distribution of a j , bj are normal with mean values µ (j a ) ), µ j and standard deviations σ (j a ) , σ (bj ) respectively. Similarly, the above probability density function ( pdf ) is also used for finding the bidding coefficients of the large consumers. Based on historical bidding data these distributions can be determined. Using probability density function (8.12) for suppliers as well as large consumers the joint distribution between aj , bj , and between c j , d j the optimal bidding problem with objective functions given in equation (8.2)and (8.4) and constraints (8.7) to (8.11) becomes optimization problem. 122 a stochastic 8.3 Implementation of Firefly algorithm to solve Bidding Strategies for Double side action By the way of its global searching behavior, the power producers and consumers need exclusive bidding strategies that require to consider constraints such as Power balance, Generator limits and Load consumption limits of market participants. The Firefly Algorithm can directly solve the optimal bidding problem by way of which the electric power can be sold at optimal prices and enable to have maximized profit. The flow chart of proposed method is shown in fig. 8.3. The Firefly Algorithm entails four essential parameters, Population size (n), Attractiveness ( β ), randomization parameter ( a ) and Absorption coefficient ( γ ).The feasible parameters obtained by iterative processes are as follows. α = 0.2 – 0.9, β = 0.2 – 1.0, γ = 0.1– 10 and n = 25 – 50. The solution of the optimal bidding problem of six independent power producers and two large consumers is obtained using the following parameter setting. Where n = 30, β = 0.20, α = 0.25, γ = 1 and maximum number of iterations = 5000. Owing to the random nature of the FA, their performance cannot be judged by the result of a single run. Many trials with independent population initializations are made to obtain a useful conclusion of the performance of the approach. The superiority of the proposed FA is established by comparing the results with those already reported by the most recently published methods such as PSO, GA and Monte Carlo method for solving the bidding problem. The study is programmed in MATLAB 9.0 and simulation carried out on a computer with a Pentium IV, Intel Dual core 2.2 GHz, 2 GB RAM. 123 Start Read system data, Power suppliers data (Cost Coefficients, Generator limits), Consumer data (Revenue coefficients, load limits), Aggregated load and Price Elasticity Initialize the FA parameters: Population size (n). Attractiveness ( β ), randomization parameter ( α ), Absorption coefficient ( γ ) and number of iterations Create the initial random population of bidding coefficients (bi , d j ) By using bidding co-efficient calculate Market Clearing Price ( R ) using the equation n c ai j +∑ b d j =1 i =1 j i R= m n 1 1 K +∑ +∑ i =1 bi j =1 d j m Q0 + ∑ By using MCP calculate fitness of each population using the equation Maximize: F (ai , bi ) = RPi − Ci ( Pi ) & Maximize : B (c j , d j ) = B j ( L j ) − RL j Apply FA parameters to obtain the optimal solution (Max profit and benefit) No Whether optimal solution is reached Yes Print the profits of power suppliers and benefits of large consumers. Stop Fig.8.3. Flow chart for Profit and Benefit Maximization of Market Participants by Proposed method 124 8.4 Case study and Results The proposed Firefly approach is applied to a test system given in reference [103] which consists of Six Independent power Producers (GENCOs) and two large consumers. The cost coefficients of power generation and maximum/ minimum limits of six Independent power Producers are given in appendix A.11 (Table A.11.1). Similarly the revenue cost coefficients and load consumption limits of two large consumers are listed in Appendix A.11 (Table A.11.2). The fuel cost function of each generator and revenue cost function of consumers is expressed in the form of a quadratic equation. The parameters associated with the load characteristics are considered from the same reference [103] where in the aggravated load Q0 equals to 300 MW and the price elasticity K equals to 5. Table 8.1 Simulation Results for Six Power suppliers 1 2 3 Bidding Strategy ($/MW) 0.0656 0.1214 0.2647 Bidding Power (MW) 160.00 122.50 51.00 Revenue ($) 2637.120 1524.585 840.502 Fuel Cost ($) 1248.00 934.828 510.637 Profit ($) 1389.120 589.756 329.945 4 5 0.0834 0.1716 112.50 41.25 1384.488 679.880 987.668 496.867 396.820 183.013 6 0.1716 41.25 679.880 496.867 183.013 GENCOs Total Profit Market clearing price ($/MWh) 3071.667 16.482 Table 8.2 Simulation Results for Two Large Consumers Large Bidding Strategy Bidding Load Consumers ($/MW) (MW) 1 0.0876 169.00 2 0.0706 141.95 Total Benefit ($) 125 Revenue ($) 3927.56 2944.42 Marginal Cost ($) 2775.458 2339.780 Benefit ($) 1152.102 604.636 1756.738 Table 8.3 Comparison of Bidding Strategies of Sis Power suppliers GENCOs 1 2 3 4 5 6 FA (Proposed) PSO [118] GA [118] Monte Carlo [103] bi bi bi bi 0.0656 0.1214 0.2647 0.0834 0.1716 0.1716 0.062 0.079 0.243 0.046 0.124 0.124 0.058 0.101 0.221 0.035 0.116 0.116 0.0297 0.124 0.092 0.074 0.170 0.170 Table 8.4 Comparison of Bidding Strategies of Two Large Consumers Large Consumers FA (Proposed) dj PSO [118] dj GA [118] dj Monte Carlo [103] dj 1 2 0.0876 0.0706 0.072 0.0514 0.064 0.049 0.097 0.077 The simulation results of Independent power Producers and large consumers are presented in Table 8.1 and Table 8.2. The graphical representation of revenue, fuel cost and profit of independent power Producers are shown in Fig.8.4. The comparative studies with Particle Swarm Optimization [118], Genetic Algorithm [118] and Monte Carlo method [103] are part of the investigation to analyze the bidding coefficients of market participants and displayed in Tables 8.3 and 8.4. The Bidding power of independent power producers and large consumers are shown in Fig. 8.5. It is seen from Fig.8. 6, the total profits and benefits of the proposed method is improved than the other available methods. 126 Table 8.5 Comparison of Bidding Power and Profits of Six Power suppliers GENCOs FA (Proposed) PSO [118] GA [118] Monte Carlo [103] P(MW) Profit($) P(MW) Profit($) P(MW) Profit($) P(MW) Profit($) 1 160.00 1389.120 156.00 1320.3 152.00 1310.1 160.00 1368 2 122.50 589..756 104.38 574.1 102.83 504 89.4 572.7 3 51.00 329.945 47.271 316.2 41.921 291.8 45.7 322.9 4 112.50 396.82 119.380 416.1 116.28 384.7 88.8 386.4 5 41.25 183.010 48.762 178.4 46.025 165.8 43.1 177.5 6 41.25 183.010 48.762 178.4 46.025 165.8 43.1 177.5 3000 Revenue ($) Fuel cost ($) Profit ($) !"#$%&'( 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1 2 3 4 Power suppliers 5 6 Fig. 8.4. Revenue, Fuel cost and Profit of Six Power suppliers Table 8.6 Comparison of Bidding load and Benefits of Two large Consumers Large Consumers FA (Proposed) PSO GA [118] [118] Monte Carlo [103] L (MW) Benefit ($) L (MW) Benefit ($) L (MW) Benefit ($) L (MW) Benefit ($) 1 169.00 1152.102 168.97 1146 162.61 1135.6 139.70 1126.3 2 141.95 604.636 140.92 611.8 139.95 596.4 112.10 592.6 127 Table 8.7 Comparison of MCP, Total profits and Computational time of Market participants MCP ($/hr) Total Profits ($) Computational time (sec) FA (Proposed) 16.482 PSO [118] 16.47 GA [118] 15.81 Carlo [103] 4828.405 4741.3 4554.2 4723.9 3.65 6.24 12.28 -- Monte 16.35 Fig 8.5. Comparison of Bidding Power of Market participants It is because the FA algorithm plays a vital role to obtain of the global optimal solution. The Table 8.5 and 8.6 throw bright on the Bidding power, Bidding load, Profit and Benefit of six Independent power producers and two large consumers. Fig.8.6. Comparison of Profit of Market participants 128 Fig.8.7. .7. Comparison of Total profits of Proposed with Existing methods for Market participants The comparison omparison of market clearing price (MCP), total profits and computational time of market participants are presented in Table 8.7. The total profits of market participants are compared with proposed and existing methods in Fig .8.7. It is clear that the proposed oposed method provides improved profits and benefits compared to existing methods. The computational time is also seems to be lower than the other available methods. 8.5 Summary The Firefly Algorithm has been applied to solve bidding strategy problem in orderr to improve the profit and benefit of Independent power Producers and two large consumers in an open Electricity market. The simulation result ha have been compared with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Monte Carlo method. The performance has been able to confirm the feasibility and reliability of FA algorithm as an efficient methodology in analyzing the optimal bidding strategy of market participants. The studies have been able to showcase promising nature of the Firefly algorithm thm for solving complicated power system optimization problem under deregulated environment. 129
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