Effect of aged-sorption parameters on calculated leaching Jos Boesten & Sabine Beulke Outline Introduction Procedure Effect of aged-sorption parameters on DegT50 Effect of aged-sorption parameters on leaching Effect of uncertainty in aged-sorption parameters on leaching Introduction project: guidance aged sorption for leaching assessment previous presentation: criteria based on assumption that error of 25% in desorption rate coefficient, kd , and the factor fNE is acceptable aim of this part: what is effect of uncertainty of 25% in kd and fNE on leaching concentrations ? only a few calculations available in literature on sensitivity to aged sorption parameters (Boesten 1990; Boesten & van der Linden, 2001) Procedure : scenario characteristics FOCUS_PEARL v3.3.3 + Okehampton scenario annual application of 1 kg/ha on 16 October in winter wheat for five KOM – DegT50 combinations kd range: 0 - 0.05 d-1 fNE range: 0 – 1.2 Procedure: the five KOM – DegT50 combinations DegT50 = 20 L/kg Contour plot of FOCUS leaching concentration (μg/L) not considering aged sorption 0.1 1 10 100 KOM = 35 L/kg Procedure: complication of change in DegT50 due to aged sorption Pesticide molecules sorbed at long-term sorption sites not degraded, so definition of DegT50 changes: conventional DegT50 is called DegT50TOT new DegT50 is called DegT50EQ Hypothetical example case: Assume furthermore: at start of this day 50% of all molecules degrades in 1 day so conventional DegT50TOT = 1 d 80% of molecules in equilibrium part 20% of molecules sorbed at long-term site So 80% of molecules decreases to 30% of molecules in 1 day this gives revised DegT50EQ = 0.7 d Procedure: how to keep DegT50TOT constant when including aged sorption ? dossier: good description of overall degradation rate in laboratory studies is boundary condition all calculations based on a ‘reference’ degradation rate study in the laboratory Okehampton top soil at 20oC and field capacity calculate decline from 10 mg/kg to 1 mg/kg with Single First-Order model fit daily SFO values to model including aged sorption (PEARLNEQ) with DegT50EQ as the only adjustable parameter Procedure: example of comparison between conventional SFO model and model including aged sorption DegT50TOT = 39 d DegT50EQ = 30 d So lines very similar while DegT50 values differ significantly Effect of aged sorption parameters on DegT50EQ KOM = 35 L/kg DegT50TOT = 20 d DegT50EQ in most extreme case almost two times shorter than DegT50TOT clear need to include this effect Effect of aged sorption parameters on leaching effect larger at larger kd effect larger at larger KOM ∞ equilibrium runs for infinite kd Effect of aged sorption parameters on leaching effect larger at larger kd effect usually larger at shorter DegT50TOT ∞ Effect of aged sorption parameters on leaching effect larger at larger fNE effect larger at larger KOM Effect of aged sorption parameters on leaching effect larger at larger fNE effect of DegT50TOT variable Effect of aged sorption parameters on leaching Summary of results: effect increases with increasing kd and fNE effect increases with increasing KOM no clear trend for effect of DegT50TOT including aged sorption may decrease leaching concentrations by one or two orders of magnitude Effect of uncertainty in aged-sorption parameters on leaching effect increases both with kd and fNE so perhaps unique relationship with product of kd and fNE ? FOCUS leaching concentration ( g/L) KOM = 35 L/kg PEARL calculations fitted exponential line 1 DegT50TOT = 20 d reasonable fit: c0 = 1.56 μg/L 0.1 b = 56.9 d 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 Product of kd and fNE (d-1) 0.05 0.06 Effect of uncertainty in aged-sorption parameters on leaching Contour diagram of FOCUS leaching concentration (μg/L) for DegT50TOT = 20 d and KOM = 35 L/kg based on fitted exponential equation previous presentation: error of 25% in kd or fNE is OK Monte Carlo simulations assuming normally distributed kd or fNE with CV of 12.5% Effect of uncertainty in aged-sorption parameters on leaching frequency distribution of FOCUS leaching concentration 5 Frequency (L/ g) 4 deviations from true value are limited to about 25% 3 true value 2 1 0 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 FOCUS leaching concentration ( g/L) 1.1 Conclusions significant effect of aged sorption parameters on DegT50EQ leaching concentration decreases continuously with increasing kd and fNE effect of kd and fNE on leaching concentration is larger at larger KOM including aged sorption may decrease leaching concentrations by one or two orders of magnitude; so accurate assessment of kd and fNE needed however, exploratory calculation showed that error of less than 25% in kd and fNE seems accurate enough for leaching assessment Thank you for your attention ! © Wageningen UR
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