JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine PERIODIC JI MONITORING REPORT FROM PRIMLIGHT LLC For the period from 01.01.2008 to 31.12.2011 (for the part performed by PRIMLIGHT LLC) Version 4 The 25th of September, 2012 “Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine” CONTENTS A. General project and monitoring information B. Key monitoring activities C. Calculation of GHG emission reductions JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 2 Key Abbreviations/Terminologies AIE Accredited Independent Entity CFL Compact Fluorescent Lamp ERU Emission Reduction Unit GHG Greenhouse Gas JI Joint Implementation PDD Project Design Document PSG Project Sample Group SECTION A. General project and monitoring information A.1. Title of the project: Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine A.2. JI registration number: JI 0254 ITL Project ID: UA1000299 A.3. Sectoral scope: 3: Energy demand A.4. Short description of the project activity: The proposed joint implementation (JI) project involves distribution of energy efficient light bulbs to various customers from public and private sectors. The project is conducted within the geographical boundaries of Ukraine and it will be implemented and managed by PRIMLIGHT, LLC. JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 3 The goal of the project is to enhance the energy efficiency of Ukraine’s lighting stock by distributing over a period of 14 years up to 210,926,791 compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) to Ukrainian customers from private, as well as from public sectors. By doing so, the project abates greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through avoided electricity usage, significantly reduces national electricity demand and stress on energy infrastructure, and saves customer’s money on their electricity bills. Although CFLs were introduced to the Ukrainian market as early as 2004, they have failed to replace incandescent lamps as the largest component of the Ukrainian lighting stock. Moreover, the sales of incandescent lamps accelerated during 2009 and 2010. The ubiquity of incandescent lamps is attributed to their low cost combined with the relatively low wealth level of an average Ukrainian citizen (in 2010, the average consolidated financial wealth per Ukrainian legally employable person was equal to 947 USD)1. Under the proposed JI project scheme, quality self-ballasted CFLs are distributed to residential households, as well as to industrial, commercial and government organizations. Once the CFLs have reached their end of life, or any CFLs which have failed prematurely during the project period, the project team would arrange for the collection and disposal of CFLs as per applicable environmental norms. In order to create a rapid uptake of CFL use, the proposed JI project utilises one of two types of incentives or their combination: 1) Discount; The customers receive CFLs free of charge or at a heavily discounted price. 2) Rebate; The customers pay full price of CFLs upfront and then are reimbursed gradually after certain time periods in several instalments. The incentives can vary for different types of consumers according to the marketing policies of the project, and can be up to 50% or free of charge. In any case, the average (of all CFLs distributed within the project for any given year) incentive will be no less than 20% of the average market price of a CFL for that particular year. If in the future this condition is not met, the project owner will re-evaluate the additionality of the project. To bridge the cost differential between the market price of the CFLs and the price at which they are distributed to the consumers, the JI mechanisms of Kyoto Protocol are harnessed. The project owner covers the project cost through sale of GHG emission reductions. Apart from the direct financial benefit to the project participants in terms of savings on their electricity bills each year, the proposed JI project activity will also generate a range of less tangible social outcomes in education, awareness and collateral energy saving measures. This 1 Global Wealth Databook, Research Institute of Credit Suisse, 2010, p. 72. JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 4 energy efficiency project will create an opportunity for collective action on climate change, enhancing a sense of responsibility for the future of our planet. A.5. Monitoring period: Monitoring period starts on 01.01.2008 at 00:00 (for the part performed by PRIMLIGHT LLC) Monitoring period ends on 31. 12. 2011 at 00:00 (for the part performed by PRIMLIGHT LLC) A.6. Intended deviations or revisions to the determined PDD There have been no revisions to the determined PDD. A.7. Intended deviations or revisions to the determined monitoring plan Based on the principles of conservatism in the calculation of GHG emission reductions under the project was submitted coefficient which equals 0,889 taking into account the demand for CFL in the absence of the project activity. The study, conducted by the project participant showed distribution by types of lamps in Ukraine, the results of which are presented in Appendix 2 of the PDD version 1.5 and in Table 1. Table 1: Distribution by types of lamps Type Incandescent Compact fluorescent lamps High pressure gas discharge lamps Other (not compact fluorescent, LED, etc) Percentage 80% 10% 2% 8% As the high pressure gas discharge lamps and other lamps (industrial spotlights, LED bulbs, etc.) have a different cartridge and require additional hardware to install compared to an incandescent lamp they cannot be considered in the process of baseline forming. Eliminating the lamp provided above, we obtain the following ratio for the types of lamps in Ukraine without the JI project: Incandescent - 88.9%, CFL - 11.1%. This ratio can draw the following conclusions: - in the distribution of CFLs based on the needs of light, both in private and in the commercial and public sectors, 11.1% of lamps that were installed before the project and were replaced under the project activity was CFL or similar lamps; JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine - page 5 in case of absence of the JI project, which provided favorable conditions for purchasing a CFLs for consumers - 11.1% of lighting power are still amounted the CFL or similar lamps. From the above it follows that the reduction of GHG emissions occur only at 88.9% set by the project activity CFL. Since the activities under this project will definitely affect statistics Market lighting equipment Ukraine, this factor is taken unchanged during the term of the project, and is equal to 0.889. A.8. Implementation status of the project Distribution to the households has been delayed due to time consuming infrastructure development. The total number of the distributed CFLs is presented in the following table and graph Table 1: Yearly distributions of CFLs Year Planed Fact (Gazotron) Fact (Primlight) Fact (total) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total (pieces) 1 078 644 1 140 776 707 371 8 000 000 10 926 791 (pieces) 152 254 112 785 129 011 394 050 (pieces) 1 089 143 1 901 839 680 146 3 671 128 (pieces) 1 241 397 2 014 624 809 157 4 065 178 Figure 1: Estimate and factual CFL distributions (millions) JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 6 The monitoring for the above mentioned period (01.01.2008 - 31.12.2011) has been conducted by two entities, namely “Primlight LLC” and “Gazotron –Lux” Ltd. The CFLs from their databases clearly traceable and totally different which excludes double counting. The first periodic monitoring report for the period from 01.01.2008 to 31.12.2010 was based on the data from “Gazotron –Lux” Ltd. And it was submitted on the 19th of September 2011. The present monitoring report is based on the data from “Primlight” LLC with a separate database which is an essential part of the report. Primlight electronic database is supported by corresponding paper documentation such as invoices, contracts, etc. The CFLs reflected in this monitoring report are only those installed until the end of 2010. A.9. Changes since last verification Not applicable A.10. Person(s) responsible for the preparation and submission of the monitoring report Table 2: Responsible for the preparation and submission of the monitoring report PRIMLIGHT, LLC Organisation: Street/P.O.Box: Shkilna Street Building: 25-A, Office #10-A City: Petropavlivska Borschagivka State/Region: Kiev Region Postal code: 08130 Country: Ukraine Phone: 38 067 231 19 29 Fax: E-mail: URL: JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine Represented by: George Tikhonov Title: Vice – CEO Salutation: Last name: George Middle name: Andrianovich First name: Tikhonov Department: Phone (direct): Fax (direct): Mobile: 38 067 231 19 29 Personal e-mail: [email protected] page 7 JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 8 SECTION B. Key monitoring activities B. 1. Project implementation status The project activity started on 26.11.2007. The project currently at the phase of distribution of CFLs, combined with monitoring activity (please see PDD section A.4.2. and corresponding diagram – figure2). Apart from overlapping described in section A.7. of this report, there have been no special events or amendments to project activities. B. 2. Monitoring plan The key points of monitoring plan are listed below. Collection of CFL Nameplate Data The project coordinator keeps a record of the power rating of the CFLs distributed during the project activity and uses this to determine the weighted average power rating for the project devices. CFLs distributed under the JI project are marked with a logo to ensure that they can be unambiguously differentiated from other light bulbs. Monitoring Use of Project Devices Monitoring a sample of distributed CFLs to determine average hours of utilisation or total energy consumption has been undertaken by installing metering equipment to consumers belonging to the Project Sample Group (PSG). PSG size is 100 participants. The annual operating hours of monitored devices are used to determine the energy baseline. The average hours of use of light bulbs found in the PSG are directly extrapolated to all consumers involved in the project. The purpose of establishing the PSG is to create a representative sample of all other project consumers. It is not possible to monitor all consumers involved in the project, and it is a fundamentally agreed scientific and statistical procedure to apply mean values obtained through sampling to the broader population. Therefore, for each monitoring period a mean value is obtained for the time of use t yon then statistically corrected to a confidence level of 95% (similar to AM0046 version 2), and extrapolated across the total number of bulbs Q j , y operating during that monitoring period. This is used in the calculations of emission reductions as stipulated in the equations provided in section C below. Establishment of Project Sample Group The procedure to determine the sample of CFLs ensures that they adequately represent the broader population, minimizing sampling error. Given that participation in the project is voluntary, determination of the exact population of participating consumers prior to establishment of the PSG is not possible. In addition, because the project coordinator cannot force consumers to participate in sample groups, the devices monitored in the resulting sample JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 9 are to a degree, self-selected rather than purely random. Despite these limitations, the project owner ensures that devices sampled are representative of the broader population of measures in participating consumers. As discussed above, the results obtained from the sampling process are directly extrapolated across the entire population of consumers participating in the project. Therefore, the proportion of CFLs installed at PSG and continuing to function as determined through the check is taken to be representative of the pattern occurring to all consumers. Project Database The project owner develops and manages a project database that records all information relevant to project activities and monitoring, including: - A list of participating consumers, including information to identify consumers by name and address. - A record of the CFLs (date, number, type and power) provided to each consumer. - A list of participants included in the PSG, including information to identify participants (name, address and date added to the sample group). - The following data relating to monitored CFLs and equipment: o Identification number for each piece of equipment; o Type of monitoring equipment and date of installation; o Confirmation at each check that monitoring equipment is functioning; o Confirmation at each check that the monitored CFL is functioning; o Utilization data (hours of use and/or electricity consumption). All current equipment was initially provided with international certification from manufacturer2. Ukrainian National Center of Standardization, Metrology, Certification and Consumer Right Protection confirmed compliance issuing Certificate of State Metrological Attestation on 08.07.20113 2 Certificate of conformity with compliance standards EN 61326:2002 for equipment for measure control and laboratory use. 3 Certificate of State Metrological Attestation N 11-00/206 d.d.08.07.2011 JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 10 B.3. Responsibilities of the monitoring team Responsibilities of the monitoring team are presented in the following table. Table 3: Personnel responsible for monitoring Responsibility Staff General guidance George Tikhonov Vice- CEO (Primlight) Selection & recruitment of sample groups Irina Kapinis, Liliya Slivchenko, Aleksey Ivanov, Leonid Nevedomsky, Sergey Korniets Sales managers (Primlight) Periodic collection of monitoring data Irina Kapinis, Liliya Slivchenko, Aleksey Ivanov, Leonid Nevedomsky, Sergey Korniets Sales managers (Primlight) Data base supervision Miroslav Rudich Financial Director (Primlight and Lummax) Preparation of monitoring reports for emission reduction verification Alexander Alexandrov Head Analyst (Primlight) Apart from monitoring activities the project involves a range of other operational activities. These operations have been divided into seven broad categories and defined the management responsibilities for each as detailed in the table below: Table 4: Operational categories and management responsibilities of the project Operational Category Management Responsibilities and Arrangements JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine Product Supply page 11 - Ensure timely production and supply of CFLs for the project (responsible: George Tikhonov, Vice CEO, Primlight, Sergei Pateichuk, Supply Director, Primlight) Transport and Storage Logistics - Arrange transport of CFLs from the supply partner - Arrange storage prior to distribution - Delivery of CFLs to distribution hubs (Yanislav Patsevich, Logistic Director, Primlight) Distribution to Households - Management of distribution points; stock; customer transactions and staff - Household data collection (Oleg Timenko, Director of Sales, Primlight) Distribution to Legal Entities - Management of stock and customer transactions - Company data collection (Oleg Timenko, Director of Sales, Primlight) Data Management - Management of the database of distributed CFLs (Nina Shashkina, Administrative Assistant, Primlight) Monitoring Emission Reductions - Selection & recruitment of sample groups (Irina Kapinis Manager of Regional Development, Primlight) - Periodic collection of monitoring data (Liliya Slivchenko, Sales Manager, Freelance) Aleksey Ivanov, Leonid Nevedomsky, Sergey Korniets, Sales Managers, Primlight) - Preparation of monitoring reports for emission reduction verification (Alexander Alexandrov, Head Analyst, Primlight) JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine End-of-life Product Disposal - Arrangement and management of proper bookkeeping and disposal of end-of-life CFLs Primlight) Legal support page 12 (Vice CEO, George Tikhonov - Monitoring consistency of contracts and legal documentation with Ukrainian laws and general commercial practice (Constantine Kravchenko, Head of Legal Department, Primlight). JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 13 SECTION C. Calculation of GHG emission reductions The GHG reduction emissions are achieved due t o difference in energy consumption between CFLs and incandescent lamps. Power consumption conversion table presented below: Table 5: Conversion table between incandescent and fluorescent lamp power outputs Incandescent CFL (Watts) (Watts) Wattage difference (Watts) 500 300 200 150 120 105 68 55 40 30 32 20 23 16 18 13 15 9 11 5 7 395 232 145 110 90 88 80 77 59 57 47 45 31 29 20 18 100 75 60 40 25 JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 14 The lumen outputs of the CFLs that are used within the project are equal or exceed the corresponding lumen outputs of incandescent lamps (as per table above). This means that the CFL that changes an incandescent lamp has the same or better “brightness”. This is confirmed by CFL certificates and is a part of the project database presented in the Excel file which accompanies this report . The GHGs included in the project boundary are summarised in the following table. Table 6: Summary of gases and sources included in the project boundary and justification / explanation where gases and sources are not included Baseline Power plants servicing the electricity grid Project Activity Source Power plants servicing the electricity grid Gas Included Justification / Explanation ? CO2 Yes Major source. CH4 No Minor source. N2O No Minor source. CO2 Yes Major source. CH4 No Minor source. N2O No Minor source. If electricity demand drops, the first power plants that reduce production are the fossil fuels burning plants. By burning fossil fuels, power plants emit CO2 as the main product of combustion process. Other GHGs are only emitted in relatively small quantities or not emitted at all. Advocating conservative approach, the project team is not taking into consideration reductions of the GHGs other from CO2. The data variables used for emission reductions are presented in the following table: JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 15 Table 7: Data variables Data Source of variable data Data unit Measured (m), calculated (c), estimated (e) Recording frequency Proportion of data to be monitored How is the data be archived? (electronic/ paper) Comment S Project data base pieces M Real time continuous recording 100% Electronic Direct counting Metering devices of the sample group hours M Monitored continuously with annual recording and aggregation Project sample group Electronic and paper Checks of the pieces sample group and distribution functions of different types of CFLs M Monitored continuously with annual recording and aggregation Project sample group Electronic and paper Total number of CFLs distributed tˆ on Average operating hours Q The number of operational CFLs JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine k Wattage difference between CFL and corresponding incandescent lamps EFCO 2, ELEC Emission factor 4 Direct counting Watts m/e State Environmenta l Investment Agency of Ukraine tons of CO2 Not applicable equivalent / megawatt hours http://www.neia.gov.ua/nature/doccatalog/document?id=127171 page 16 Real time continuous recording 100% Electronic and paper Please refer to table #3 Published annually by State Environmental Investment Agency of Ukraine Not applicable Electronic For the year 2008 4 -1,219 For the year 2009 5 - 1,237 For the year 2010 6 - 1,225 For the year 2011 7 - 1,227 As soon as a new baseline emission factor of the Ukrainian electricity system is published, the project owner will make appropriate modifications of emission reduction calculations at the stage of monitoring repot development JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine Calculations of GHG emission reductions is divided in three steps: 5 http://www.neia.gov.ua/nature/doccatalog/document?id=127172 6 http://www.neia.gov.ua/nature/doccatalog/document?id=126006 http://www.neia.gov.ua/nature/doccatalog/document?id=127498 7 page 17 JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 18 Step1 Calculation of hours of utilization t ion, y tˆion ,y z i, y ni , y y ; (1) Where t ion, y - average operating time of CFLs in buildings of type i during period y , adjusted to 95% confidence interval and measurement error (hours); y - the time interval. For the first periodic monitoring report y =1(first time interval, starting on 01.01.2008 ending 31.12.2010); z - standard normal for confidence level (z =1,96 for 95% confidence); y - average error of metering equipment for period y (hours); tˆson, y - average operating time of CFLs in buildings of type i, during period y , from metering devices readings (hours); ni , y ol , i , y l 1 ni , y tˆion ,y (2) ; Where ni,y is the number of metering devices for monitoring period y in buildings of type i; oi , y - readings from the metering devices in period y in buildings of type i. o 2 ni , y i, y l 1 l ,i , y tˆ ni , y on i, y ; (3) Where i, y is standard deviation of CFL’s operating time for period y in building i . JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine ny l, y l 1 ny y page 19 (4) ; Where l , y maximum error of metering device l. Step 2 Calculation of net electricity saving ny NES y i 1 my Q j 1 i, j, y k j t ion, y / 1,000,000 ; (5) Where my number of types of CFLs; k j wattage difference between CFL and corresponding incandescent lamp (as per conversion table 2) i.e. difference between project and baseline scenario (Watts); t yon average operating time of CFLs during period y (hours); Qi , j , y number of operational CFLs of type j in buildings of type i during monitoring period y. The detailed calculation of the electricity saving is presented in the Excel file which accompanies this report. The final electricity saving for the monitoring report is: NES 2 = 2 278 071 megawatt-hours Step 3 Calculation of total emission reductions ERy 0,889 NES y EFCO 2, ELEC , y Where NES y - net electricity saving for period y (megawatt* hours), JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 20 0,889 - correction factor for baseline share CFL which were installed outside the project activity EFCO 2, ELEC, y - emission factor (tons of CO2 equivalent /megawatt* hours). The following three values of emission factors for years 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011 according to the data from the National Environmental Investment Agency of Ukraine are: EFCO 2, ELEC ,1 = 1,219 (tonnes CO2 еq /MW*h) for 2008 EFCO 2, ELEC, 2 = 1,237 - for 2009 EFCO 2, ELEC,3 = 1,225 - for 2010 EFCO 2,ELEC, 4 = 1,227 - for 2011 The detailed calculation of the emission reduction is presented in the Excel file which accompanies this report. The final emission reduction for this monitoring report is: ER 2 = 2 486 627 tons of CO2 equivalent With the yearly breakdown : Table 9: Emission reductions for the period from 01.01.2008 to 31.12.2011 Year Ex-ante Reductions (tons of CO2 equivalent) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total 57 689 178 997 275 432 741 088 1 253 206 Monitored reductions 1st report (tons of CO2 equivalent) 30 596 69 846 107 478 207 920 Monitored reductions present report (tons of CO2 equivalent) 144 652 495 455 830 079 1 016 442 2 486 627 Total monitored reductions for the period from 01.01.2008 to 31.12.2011 175 248 565 301 937 557 1 016 442 2 694 547 JOINT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MONITORING REPORT Distribution of energy efficient light bulbs in public and private sectors of Ukraine page 21 There is a relatively large discrepancy between the ex ante emission reductions and the monitored reductions (by both the first and the second reports). This discrepancy is attributed to the difference between the theoretical hours of utilization and real ones. The default value for exante calculations was 3,7 operating hours (highly conservative), while monitored average value was 8,43 operating hours. It can also be explained by the fact that during this period of distribution mostly legal entities (offices, commercial buildings, manufacturing facilities, etc.) were targeted, rather than individual households.
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