More Than Thirty Years of Innovative Thought and Accelerated Results 18–21 January 2016 Dubai, UAE Chairpersons: Marko Maucec Saudi Aramco Ahmed Hutheli Saudi Aramco Committee: Next Generation of Smart Reservoir Management: The Eminent Role of Big Data Analytics Application Deadline: 18 December 2015 As asset yields are becoming harder to assess and even harder to forecast, oil and gas operating companies and services providers must enable real-time decisions to better predict business outcomes that drive improved efficiencies and utilisation in order to achieve improved bottom line results and profitability. Arun Kumar ADCO With the continued world-wide expansion of Intelligent Digital Oilfield (DOF) assets and projects, coupled with the exponential growth in the volume and complexity of acquired data, the industry needs to rapidly adapt to a new generation of “digital transformation” technology and processes including: Ayman Mohamed ADMA-OPCO • Implementation of large-scale, big data-driven advanced analytics integrated into role-centric, relevant time workflows • Delivery of holistic ability for capture, classification, integration and interpretation of ALL relevant data (geological, engineering, production, equipment, performance, etc.) to a high degree of accuracy and precision • Ability to understand advanced analytical trends and correlation models to quickly and efficiently unlock the “hidden” knowledge from ALL datasets; from small data to large-scale and complex data Mohamed Al Marzouqi ADNOC Chris Lenzsch EMC Dave Stern ExxonMobil Luigi Saputelli Frontender Morgan Eldred Gartner Stan Cullick Greenway Energy Transformations It is imperative that we simultaneously advance science-driven as well as data-driven technologies and processes that enable companies to capture and transform ALL data into actionable insight. Our ultimate goals are to: • Improve asset value and returns • Enhance safe and environmental-friendly operations • Improve production and recovery rates, as well as facilities and manufacturing efficiency • Increase efficiencies and productivity across major business units • Optimise global operations The proposed Forum is designed to address the technologies, methods, solutions, and best practices for improved data management and data utilisation in core business processes leveraging “big data and advanced analytics” in the oil and gas industry and aims to deliver value to exploration, drilling, and production operations. Some of the challenges to address: • How to collect, classify, integrate and maintain data efficiently? • Automation in big data and analytics: Is it feasible, when and how? Tony Milan IBM • What are some of the predicaments of selecting the “fit-for-purpose” tools? • Does big data necessarily mean big uncertainty? Serkan Dursun Independent Consultant • What are the pros and cons of big data driven analytics? • How to incorporate and utilise data driven solutions with science driven solutions? Huda Jassem Ibrahim Al-Aradi Kuwait Oil Company • How to enable change and increased capacity in people, processes, and technology to ensure success? • How can this impact HSE and social responsibility? Lapi Dixit Halliburton Nasser Mahrooqi Petroleum Development Oman Sebastien Matringe Quantum Reservoir Impact Who will the Forum Appeal to? • Managers/Directors CIOs, COOs • HSE Managers Parijat Mukerji Schlumberger • IT Managers/Directors • Other C-Level Executives • Business Intelligence/Development Managers • Academics, Researchers Steve Matthews Teradata • Data Warehouse Managers and Regulators • • Project Managers Engineers and Geoscientists: Users/Practitioners of Predictive Data-Driven Analytics • Technical Professionals in Predictive Data-Driven Analytics Forum Series Liaison: Abdullatif Omair Saudi Aramco Birol Demiral Schlumberger What is a Forum? SPE Forums offer an exclusive opportunity to interact with innovators, foremost professionals, and leading technologists. The objective is to create a collaborative, idea-generating forum that stimulates new ideas and innovation about future challenges facing the E&P industry. Participants at SPE Forums are selected by the Forum Steering Committee based on their ability to contribute to facilitated discussions of the topic. Participants are encouraged to come prepared to contribute their experience and knowledge, rather than be spectators or students. If you have a role to play in meeting the challenges of tomorrow head-on, apply today. Benefits to You and Your Organisation • Gain insight and perspective through conversations with peers who share your same interests. • Enjoy the relaxed atmosphere of learning through one-on-one interaction. • Meet with other experts from international companies, research institutes, and universities in an off-the-record format. • Form professional relationships that will continue after the forum has ended. www.spe.org/events/15fme1 18–21 January 2016 Dubai, UAE Next Generation of Smart Reservoir Management: The Eminent Role of Big Data Analytics These exciting topics will be discussed in an open setting designed for optimal input from all participants. Sunday, 17 January 2016 1830–1930 hours Monday, 18 January 2016 1830–2030 hours Welcome Reception Group Dinner Monday, 18 January 2016 0900–1230 hours Tuesday, 19 January 2016 0900–1230 hours Session I: Data Quality, Validation, and Standardisation Session Managers: Serkan Dursun, Independent Consultant; Ahmed Hutheli, Saudi Aramco Session III: Data Mining, Statistics, and Predictive Modelling Session Managers: Luigi Saputelli, Frontender; Marko Maucec, Saudi Aramco With the implementation of intelligent fields and state-of-the-art technologies for best-in-class reservoir management practices, data quality assurance and standardisation become imperative. Recently, the pursuit of excellence in the upstream petroleum area has been reinforced by data-driven sciences such as descriptive statistics, automatic-process-control theory, data mining, and predictive-analyticsmodelling techniques. The development and production of oil and gas resources supported by continuous real-time data entail learning and knowledge search over a relatively long period of time. As we drill more wells and produce for various decades we acquire more data and information, progressively reduce the uncertainty in production forecasts and continuously improve the economic value of oil and gas fields. However, challenges persist in identifying and characterising the basic modelling elements affecting petroleum production forecasts in a multidisciplinary fashion. This opening session examines the key factors for establishing a robust and reliable data management system that has the resilience and scalability to handle and deliver consistent data. We believe such a system should have the following factors: data standardisation, data quality control, data filtration, data access and visualisation, and system reliability and availability. In the context of each factor, associated challenges will be identified and assessed. Moreover, the session will discuss how the actual impact of each factor on data quality assurance depends on the conditions of any particular case. For instance real-time downhole sensor capture undergoes through data quality assurance processes that are different than manual data capture processes. Hence, only a subset of the mentioned factors may be relevant in that scenario. Therefore, it is important to understand the risks to data quality in each specific case. Implementing and understanding such systems will provide reliable and consistent data which will result in fast and optimised decision making and ultimately will contribute significantly in increasing production potential, recovery factor, and efficiency. Monday, 18 January 2016 1400–1730 hours Session II: Integration of Disparate Data Sources Regardless of Origin, Time Scale, or Structure Session Managers: Steve Matthews, Teradata Every well planned, drilled, completed, put into production, and later abandoned, generates a huge amount of data at every stage of the process. Upscale to the field level and terabytes of data is available to engineers and scientists, and it seems likely that the future of field development will continue to drive the collection of ever more varied data—especially with the growth of automation and advanced analytics. Increasingly, such operations are characterised not only by the size, but also the variety of the associated datasets: not all data is in structured rows and columns, but in unstructured images, video, text, work logs, streams, and more. The full value of these disparate datasets can be significant, but is only realised when data is integrated and seen in context of each other and in context of relevant time, role-centric workflows. The opposite is also true: unless usable information is produced, data collection can be seen as a burden and waste of time and company budgets. The discussion in this session will focus on the techniques and processes that business professionals will need to develop and employ to properly capture and transform complex, multi-timescale, structured and unstructured, and other highly variable data into reliable information that can be used to create insight in taking profitable actions. This session will explore the cross-link between fundamental sciences and rapidly changing digital-information technologies in the area of hybrid approaches to oilfield-knowledge management by addressing questions like: • How could data analysis refine physical models and determine values or related parameters so robust that reliable predictions can be made? • How data are validated and interpreted and how results are communicated fast enough to make the right decisions at the right time in the right context? • How can we more efficiently analyse existing and new data using cross-validation approaches and dimensionality-reduction modelling to uncover patterns, useful for predictions on production and recovery? • How can we adopt and implement best-practice technologies from fellow industries and create a game-changing momentum for the oil and gas business? Tuesday, 19 January 2016 1400–1730 hours Session IV: Scalable Big Data Analytics for Production and Operational Excellence Session Managers: Stan Cullick, Greenway Energy Transformations; Sebastien Matringe, Quantum Reservoir Impact The session will focus on production: surveillance, diagnostics, optimisation and operations, failure tracking and analysis, systems and equipment reliability, EH&S, and field execution. Real-time production instrumentation, i.e. pressure, multi-phase flow, temperature, vibration, erosion, pump performance, power, etc., from the entire value chain of completions, well heads, flow lines, batteries, separators, etc., is loading databases with terabytes of data. In addition to this real-time data, massive operational historic data, operational engineering models, digital and non-digital context unstructured data, and event data from across the well/field life cycle must be integrated for full utilisation with this high density digital data. www.spe.org/events/15fme1 The analytics tools of the future must be able to scale the data for production decisions, and engineers must be able to fully analyse all of these data elements with highly advanced analytics and models to better understand correlations and inter-dependencies that will enable a more proactive, predictive, and prescriptive operations environment. The future of operations will require advanced analytics for equipment tracking and reliability statistics and predictive analytics to improve operational efficiencies. Operations will be advancing to use of extensive automation, closed loop control, and even robotics to operate equipment, service wells, etc. which will require new ways of looking at and using the data and analytics in a highly proactive and predictive manner. This session will discuss technologies to advance production and operations as described above. Wednesday, 20 January 2016 0900–1230 hours Session V: Large-Scale Data Analytics for Portfolio Management Session Managers: Serkan Dursun, Independent Consultant; Steve Matthews, Teradata As competition for scarce resources intensifies, portfolio management is becoming one of the most critical analytical exercises in our industry. For some companies, a strategic shift from an integrated business model to a pure-play E&P operations model gives sharper focus to the imperative of developing high-performing assets, while uncertainty persists in how to optimise their portfolio from harder to reach and harder to manage assets in mature fields, offshore fields, and unconventional plays. More data and analytical modelling techniques are available to portfolio managers than ever before. New technologies are delivering new measurement and modelling techniques, the data growth trend is set to continue, and these managers are expected to utilise all of this data to make faster, better decisions on company portfolios and investments that can have business impact for years if not decades. This session will explore the techniques that analysts will need to master in order to: • Leverage advanced analytics and other methodologies to derive the best possible information from available data • Use that information in decision analysis regarding portfolio investment and which assets to acquire, develop, retain, or sell Wednesday, 20 January 2016 1400–1730 hours Session VI: Potential of Big Data Analytics throughout the Asset Life Cycle Session Managers: Arun Kumar, ADCO; Parijat Mukerji, Schlumberger Historically, large amounts of data are generated throughout the life cycle of hydrocarbon assets, and the amount of generated data usually correlates with the size of the recoverable reserves. With the increase in continuous monitoring of vital signs of wells and surveillance techniques used in an asset, the amount of generated data has shown multi-fold growth. Can “big data” be referred to as the existing volume of data in many mature assets? When would it be justified, if ever, to incorporate this terminology in the upstream oil and gas industry? Is data-driven analytics only applicable to “big data”? Can data-driven analytics meaningfully contribute to the asset life cycle with current data volumes? Where in the asset life cycle is data-driven analytics most applicable? This session, attempts to shed light on these types of issues. Wednesday, 20 January 2016 1830–2030 hours Group Dinner Thursday, 21 January 2016 0900–1230 hours Session VII: Advances in Data Visualisation Session Managers: Dave Stern, ExxonMobil; Stan Cullick, Greenway Energy Transformations A critical challenge in applying advanced analytics to reservoir management is developing tools that can be used by practicing reservoir engineers and geoscientists to understand the results of analysis, and ultimately use those results to make decisions to optimise reservoir performance. Current 2D and 3D visualisations and dashboards may evolve to much higher dimensional interactive visualisations in the future. Key features of these tools are the ability to visualise disparate and dense, sometimes high frequency data, to easily qualify and to see trends in high-dimensional parameter space, find anomalous results, integrate disparate data types, and visualise predicted scenarios with associated uncertainties. This session will explore avenues for development of new tools to enable more efficient and effective utilisation of big data and to provide visualisations of “what-if predictive modelling”. Thursday, 21 January 2016 1400–1730 hours Session VIII: Impact of Access to All the Data All the Time to All the Stakeholders Session Managers: David Holmes, EMC; Nasser Mahrooqi, Petroleum Development Oman According to IDC, “The 3rd Platform is built on the technology pillars of mobile computing, cloud services, big data and analytics, and social networking. Adoption is being driven by business requirements for mobile access by a distributed workforce, enhanced collaboration, and predictive analytics to anticipate issues and prioritise decisions for resolution—made available for cloud-agnostic deployment to mitigate implementation complexity and risk.” The objective of this session is to understand the 3rd Platform, its potential impact on our industry and this forum’s focus areas, and to discuss and develop ideas on how to harness the power and potential of the 3rd Platform to maximise results. With the promise and the premise that all data will be available to all users and stakeholders in all of its forms (from raw to interpreted to real-time to correlated models to advanced analytics to beyond) to generate more proactive insight and make better decisions faster, how will our industry need to “change” to be able to truly utilise all the data in the context of: • Individual contributors, core workflows, and activities • Cross functional, cross discipline teams, and assets • Improved collaboration and collaborative decision making • Real-time and relevant time predictive and prescriptive analytics • Advanced monitoring and control, including closed-loop control • Operational technology, data management, and user experience requirements to reach the potential “connected decisions” model • Improved business impact and bottom line results resulting from such approach Next Generation of Smart Reservoir Management: The Eminent Role of Big Data Analytics 18–21 January 2016 Dubai, UAE Forum Guidelines • Participants are expected to attend every session. • Slides are limited, allowing maximum time for informal discussions and exchange of experience. • Conducted off the record to support the free interchange of information and ideas. • Extensive note taking is not allowed. • Recording of any forum session is prohibited. • Information disclosed at a forum may not be used publicly without the originator’s permission. • articipants are requested to omit reference to forum proceedings in any subsequent published work or P oral presentation. • A written summary may be prepared and distributed to attendees after the forum with unanimous attendee agreement and at the discretion of the steering committee and SPE approval. • No commercialism. Application Information APPLY TODAY! Participants at SPE Forums are selected by the Forum Steering Committee based on the ability to contribute to the discussion of the topic. Attendance is limited to maximise each person’s opportunity to contribute. Accepted applicants will receive their registration form and other materials within two weeks of the application deadline. For those requiring visas to attend the forum, please ensure that you leave sufficient time for your visa to be processed. Online:www.spe.org/events/15fme1 Mail: SPE Middle East, PO Box 215959, Dubai, UAE Fax:+971.4.457.3164 An electronic version of the printed application form is available for downloading and printing at www.spe.org/events/14fme1. You may also contact SPE at +971.4.457.5800 or [email protected] to receive a printed application form via mail, fax, or email. If the committee accepts your application, you will receive registration materials, including more detailed information on housing, transportation, and fees. If your application is placed on a waiting list, you will receive notification of that fact. After notification of acceptance, your registration form with payment must be returned by 18 December 2015 to ensure your place in the forum. Forum Registration Fee: E arly Bird: USD 2,800 (Before 18 December 2015) Late Fee: USD 3,100 (After 18 December 2015) Includes the following for the forum participant • • • • Registration to attend all seven forum sessions. Four nights of hotel accommodation including breakfast based on single occupancy. Welcome reception on Sunday, 17 January 2016. Scheduled Meals Please note: Attendees are expected to attend the full forum and the fee is a fixed full registration fee. The base registration fee does not include accompanying persons. Details of accommodation and rates for spouses and family members will be sent with the registration packet that will be emailed to each delegate upon acceptance. www.spe.org/events/15fme1
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