8 GREATER MANCHESTER HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP BOARD Date: 29 July 2016 Subject: Update on development of GM Outcomes Framework Report of: Wendy Meredith, GM Director of Population Health Transformation – GM Health and Social Care Partnership PURPOSE OF REPORT Previous papers have described the background and process used to develop the headline outcome indicators for the GM health and social care devolution plan. This paper presents a further update on this process. RECOMMENDATIONS: The Strategic Partnership Board is asked to: i. Note the development of a draft dashboard to measure the progress towards the outcomes of the GM “Taking Charge” Health and Social Care Plan. Senior leaders are invited to comment on the format so far, and to discuss how this might be used in the governance processes being developed. ii. Note the draft outcomes framework and headline indicator set to be used in a dashboard and scorecard. This was designed to balance breadth with coverage of key areas. iii. Note that this work has been discussed at a GM task and finish group (lead by New Economy) to align outcomes frameworks for the Greater Manchester Strategy, Health and Social Care, Work and Skills, PSR and Life Chances work streams. CONTACT OFFICERS: Wendy Meredith, GM Director of Population Health Transformation Email: [email protected] 1 1. Background 1.1. Initial outcomes for the “Taking Charge” Health and Social Care Plan, published at the end of 2015, were developed as indicative measures across the “Start/Live/Age Well” themes of the plan. Projections about the rate of improvement needed to narrow the gap between England and GM were made. 1.2. Further to this, it was agreed that there was a need to turn these overarching indicators into a broader framework that would talk to both the GM Health and Social Care Partnership Plan, and the Greater Manchester Strategy “Stronger Together”. 1.3. A working group was formed including representatives from New Economy, AQuA, Salford City Council and the Health and Social Care Partnership to develop a headline outcomes framework that would cover population, quality and economic/financial outcomes. Sub-indicators were also proposed. This was developed through use of a logic model that would link the Health and Social Care Outcomes to the wider GM Strategy outcomes. 1.4. A headline logic model was developed to link the Health and Social Care Outcomes to the wider GM Strategy outcomes. This is designed to show the “golden thread” between the overarching GM Strategy vision and objectives, and the Health and Social Care plan. Three specific logic maps underpin this – one for population outcomes, one for quality of services (health and social care outcomes) and one for economic / financial outcomes (See example below). 1.5. A workshop was held in April to consult partners of the approach, and the indicators and sub-indicators have been refined further and a proposed headline outcomes and indicator set was developed (Appendix 1) 2 Example of Greater Manchester Health and Social Care Logic Map, linking HSCP to GM Strategy GM Strategy vision & objectives H&SC devolution objectives GM is a fairer, healthier, safer & more inclusive place to live All GM residents are able to contribute to & benefit from sustained prosperity & a good quality of life Reform health & social care – improved access to quality, integrated services; greater independence, improved wellbeing & stronger communities Improve early years – support parents to give children the best start in life, & help workless parents towards work All people are valued & able to fully participate in & benefit from the city region’s success – support unemployed residents into work & enable progression into higher skilled & higher paid roles Start Well Transforming community based care & support Live Well GM is known for excellent, efficient, value for money services – encourage selfreliance & reduce demand Create the conditions for growth & place GM at the leading edge of science & technology – expand & accelerate the commercialisation of research Collaboration & partnerships – strong collective & individual leadership Radical upgrade in population health prevention School readiness; prevention & early intervention; behaviour change; ‘missing thousands’; addressing CVD, diabetes & dementia; healthy workforce & supporting older people into work Standardising acute & specialist care Care closer to home; LCOs, to integrate provision across the system; case management; alternatives to A&E; effective discharge Standardising clinical support & back office services Services delivered at the right level (GM, cluster, local); consistent, efficient, evidencebased pathways Enabling better care Age Well … supported by these activities A financially sustainable health & social care system GM level shared service model; GM care co-ordination system; shared clinical support services New organisational, contracting & payment models; investment in innovation & technology; rationalised H&SC estate … leading to these outcomes … impacting on wider conditions (GMS indicators) Population health outcomes Increased no. of children achieving a good level of development (EYFS attainment) Increased employment (no. of FTE jobs) Clinical outcomes Reduced no. of people reliant on out-of-work benefits Increased median salary levels Economic & financial outcomes Increased GVA growth rate Decreased all-age, allcause mortality rates 2. Update on Progress 2.1. Further work has been completed on the sub-indicators to support the headline indicators for the Health and Social Care Outcomes framework. This has included further feedback from partners, and alignment to the Theme 2 work on outcomes. 2.2. A draft dashboard has been developed (see Appendix 2) for the Population strand of the outcomes framework, which incorporates all of the headline and sub indicators. However, this is very much a work in progress and needs further refinement to be usable by senior leadership. It is presented here as a starting point for discussion and consideration by senior leaders on the usability, usefulness and presentation of this information, as well as how it might be used in governance processes moving forward. An example of how this might also be presented in an overall scorecard is also presented (Appendix 3) 2.3. A working group was formed at the end of June, lead by New Economy, to begin to align the Greater Manchester Strategy outcomes framework to the frameworks that have begun to develop across the Health and Social Care, Work and Skills, PSR and Life Chances programmes of work. There will be an overarching framework developed which will set the logic map framework for all of the programme specific frameworks to feed into. This will create a “golden thread” from the Greater Manchester Strategy through into each devolution programme. Further work that 3 the group might complete includes developing support for measurement and monitoring of the frameworks (including a consistent approach to dashboards) and potentially guidance to support commissioners on how to show that services will meet the GM outcomes. 3. Next Steps 3.1. The next steps are to: a. Further develop the dashboard for each domain of the Health and Social Care Outcomes framework (population, quality, economic). b. Ensure that each theme of the Health and Social Care Partnership work is aligned to the framework. c. Senior leaders to consider the usability and usefulness of the framework , the dashboard, and the scorecard, as well as the appropriate governance route for these. d. Further GM work to ensure that the Health and Social Care Outcomes align to the Greater Manchester Strategy Outcomes and to other programmes of devolution work. 4. Conclusion 4.1. There has been further progress in developing the GM outcomes for the GM health and social care devolution plan. Work will continue to align this both to the Health and Social Care Themes and to the GM Strategy outcomes. 5. Recommendations 5.1. The Strategic Partnership Board is asked to: a. Note the development of a draft dashboard to measure the progress towards the outcomes of the GM “Taking Charge” Health and Social Care Plan. Senior leaders are invited to comment on the format so far, and to discuss how this might be used in the governance processes being developed. b. Note the draft outcomes framework and headline indicator set to be used in a dashboard and scorecard. This was designed to balance breadth with coverage of key areas. c. Note that this work has been discussed at a GM task and finish group (lead by New Economy) to align outcomes frameworks for the Greater Manchester Strategy, Health and Social Care, Work and Skills, PSR and Life Chances work streams. 4 Appendix 1: Draft Outcomes and Headline Indicators to form a dashboard for Greater Manchester Health and Social Care Plan Domain Population health outcomes GM Headline Outcomes Headline Indicator (for Dashboard) More GM Children will reach a good level of development cognitively, socially & emotionally A1 Percentage of children achieving a good level of development Fewer GM babies will have a low birth weight resulting in better outcomes for the baby & less cost to the health system A2 Low Birth Weight of Term Babies More GM families will be economically active and family incomes will increase A3 Children in poverty (under 16s) A4 A5 A6 Under 75 mortality rate (disease considered preventable) from • cardiovascular disease • respiratory disease • cancer More people will be supported to stay well and live at home for as long as possible A7 Injuries due to falls in people aged 65 and over Reduced non-elective hospital admissions / readmissions B1 Number of admissions Due to Long Term Conditions and as rate per 100,000. Reduced length of stay, emergency hospital admissions B2 Reduced average length of stay for emergency admissions Improved transition of care across health and social care B3 Number of Delayed Transfers of Care Reduced all cause mortality rates B4 Standardised mortality rates for all causes Increased cancer survival rates / reduced years of life lost from causes considered amenable to healthcare B5 Cancer survival rates after one year and five years from diagnosis Increased proportion of deaths occurring in (patient / carers’) place of choice B6 Proportion dying in preferred place of death Decreased variation in health outcomes across GM localities B7 Improved Psychological Treatment recovery rates. Improved outcomes for people with learning disabilities / mental health needs B8 Patients with long term conditions feeling more supported to manage condition. Improved patient / carer experience of care and increased patient empowerment B9 Place Holder A workforce based survey to assess the barriers and engagement with service transformation. A healthy, happy workforce, fit for practice B10 Percentage of care providers rated as good or outstanding. More people will be in employment, with an increasing proportion in 'good work' C1 Employment rate, resident population aged 16-64 More people will be able to stay in work for longer C2 Employment rate, resident population aged 50-64 Reduced sickness absence, lower staff turnover and increased productivity, contributing to increased economic growth C3 (no robust headline indicator identified - sickness absence measure might be appropriate - see the 'Related / subsidiary measures' column - but need to consider timeliness of reporting) Reduced demand for reactive health and social care services and a shift in spend to proactive provision C4 (engage with finance colleagues to develop an appropriate headline indicator) Accelerated development and implementation of new health and social care innovations, leading to increased economic growth C5 (engage with Health Innovation Manchester to develop an appropriate headline indicator) Increased inward investment related to health innovation C6 (engage with Health Innovation Manchester to develop an appropriate headline indicator) Fewer people will die early from: cardio-vascular disease (CVD); cancer; and respiratory disease Quality Economic / financial outcomes 5 Appendix 2: Draft Dashboard for Population Domain of GM HSC Outcomes Framework Below is an example of the Population Domain dashboard for the Health and Social Care Devolution Plan. This shows a worked example for Stockport LA. This will be developed to include the sub-indicators for each of the headline indicators – e.g. for A2 a sub indicator is number of women smoking in pregnancy. An overarching GM combined dashboard will also be created. 6 Appendix 3: Example Scorecard for All Domains of GM HSC Outcomes Framework This shows an example of how an overarching scorecard for all domains might be presented: 7 8
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