ICES Journal of Marine Science, 53: 589–595. 1996 Assessment of eutrophication in Skagerrak coastal waters using oxygen consumption in fjordic basins Jan Aure, Didrik Danielssen, and Roald Sætre Aure, J., Danielssen, D., and Sætre, R. 1996. Assessment of eutrophication in Skagerrak coastal waters using oxygen consumption in fjordic basins. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 53: 589–595. The mean rates of oxygen consumption have been estimated for 9 different fjordic sill basins in 1990 on the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. The mean oxygen consumption rate was about 50% higher than in similar basins on the west coast of Norway. The observations are in accordance with an empirical model from the Norwegian west coast, where mean oxygen consumption rate in sill basins is derived as a function of sill depth and mean basin depth. Historical oxygen observations suggest that increased oxygen consumption occurred in the first part of the 1980s. Due to intensive water exchange above sill level and insignificant influence of local inputs of anthropogenic nutrients, increased oxygen consumption in the sill basins is most likely to be related to increased large scale eutrophication of the Skagerrak coastal waters. The natural low oxygen concentrations in many sill basins along the Skagerrak coast make them particular sensitive to increased oxygen consumption. ? 1996 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea Key words: coastal eutrophication, fjordic sill basins, oxygen. Received 22 December 1994; accepted 27 July 1995. J. Aure and R. Sætre: Institute of Marine Research, PO Box 1870 N-5024 Bergen, Norway. D. Danielssen: Institute of Marine Research, Flødevigen Marine Research Station, N-4817 His, Norway. Introduction Input of anthropogenic nutrients and eutrophication of coastal areas were identified as issues of concern in the Quality Status Report for the North Sea presented at the ministerial conference in 1987 (Anon., 1987). Several authors have later contributed to the discussion on these matters and more recently e.g. Skjoldal (1993). There is growing concern about an apparent increase in eutrophication in the eastern part of the Skagerrak and in the Kattegat. During the last 15–20 years, reduced growth depth of macroalgae and an increasing biomass and change in species composition have been reported in benthic communities (Anon., 1993). Reduced oxygen concentrations and increased oxygen consumption in the basin water of some Swedish fjords (Rosenberg, 1990) and in the Kattegat deep water (Andersson and Rydberg, 1988, 1993) have been observed during the same period. Increased organic load in the upper layer due to eutrophication, and thereby an increase in the vertical flux of organic matter, has been suggested as the main driving mechanism for these changes (Anon., 1993). The role of input from local sources as compared to the long-distant transport of nutrients and organic 1054–3139/96/030589+07 $18.00/0 matter from the southern North Sea and Kattegat/Baltic Sea is not clear. In order to assess the effects of the increase in the riverine nutrient load on the North Sea, there has been a tendency to focus on nutrient concentrations in the sea. The historical nutrient data have been examined in search of a temporal trend. This search has focused on winter data to avoid the effect of biological production. For monitoring purposes we should be looking for a more direct connection between nutrient input and eutrophication effects. If the increased input of nutrient to the North Sea results in increased new production, there should also be an increase in sedimentation of biogenic material in deposition sites. Such sediment accumulation sites for the North Sea are found, among others, in the Skagerrak. Consequently, it may be appropriate to look for evidence of an increased supply of organic matter to these areas. There are several methods to determine large scale eutrophication, but in this work we will try to use coastal, near-fjordic sill basins as ‘‘sediment traps’’ and use oxygen budgets to calculate the of supply of organic matter other than that permanently buried and the exported fractions. One great advantage of using oxygen ? 1996 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 590 J. Aure et al. budgets is that oxygen is measured using a standard method with great accuracy and at low cost. In addition, there are much more useful historical data for the application of oxygen methods than for the application of other methods. Thus, historical data usually permit the establishment of better averages with higher spatial resolution. In many areas, trends for the last several decades may be established. We assume that in fjords with extensive water exchange above the sill levels the concentrations of organic matter at the sill level will be approximately the same as in coastal water (Aure and Stigebrandt, 1989). The combination of low sinking velocity for particulate organic matter, as compared to advection and short residence time for water above sill level, creates small effects in sill basins of local primary production. Most particles will probably be transported out of the fjord before having sunk to the sill level. Sill basin water, with its content of different substances, is exchanged both by advective and by diffusive transport processes. Advective exchange occurs when sufficiently dense water appears outside and above the sill. If dense water is present in this position for a sufficiently long period, water exchange may be quite extensive and much of the old basin water can be flushed out of the basin. The inflowing ‘‘new’’ water has a high content of dissolved oxygen. However, exchange of basin water may also involve smaller volumes and partial exchanges. Due to turbulence, the water in a sill basin is mixed with less dense water from higher levels. Diffusive vertical exchange is supposed to be a continuous process and implies a rate of decrease in the density of the basin water which, in turn, is a prerequisite for future advective water exchange. During stagnant periods, i.e. periods when no advective water exchange takes place in the sill basin, the biochemical decomposition of organic matter is usually the main process changing oxygen and nutrient concentrations of basin water. However, vertical diffusive fluxes may also contribute. In this study, we present estimates of volume mean rates of oxygen consumption of nine selected fjordic sill basins on the Norwegian Skagerrak coast during a stagnation period in 1990. From this we compute the associated supply of organic matter to the basins. The results will be compared to a similar investigation on the Norwegian west coast in 1986 (Aure and Stigebrandt, 1989). Historical oxygen data from some of the sill basins will be examined to look at long term oxygen trends and, finally, the effect of changed oxygen consumption on the oxygen minimum level will be discussed. Materials, method, and area description From April to December in 1990, temperature, salinity, oxygen, and inorganic nutrients were observed from surface to maximum depth by monthly cruises in nine selected fjordic sill basins along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast (Fig. 1). Profiles of oxygen, temperature, and salinity have been observed in Østerfjord (Stn R2) in late autumn since the late 1920s. In the coastal sill basin, Stn Æ1, oxygen, profiles of oxygen, temperature, and salinity were regularly recorded during 1975–1979 and after 1990. From 1987, temperature and salinity were observed by a CTD-sonde (Neill Brown) and from 1975–1987 by high precision thermometer and salinometer (Guildline instrument). Before 1975, salinity was analysed by titration and temperature by high precision thermometer. Accuracy of both temperature and salinity was about 0.01 units. All oxygen values since 1925 have been determined by the Winkler method. The investigated basins had sill depths between 12–30 m, the mean basin depths varied between 10–57 m, and surface area between 1.5–20 km2 (Table 1). The sills were located 0–15 km from the coast. The freshwater supply was greatest in fjord S1–2, with 2.3 m3 sec "1, km "2 and smallest in fjord T3, with 0.2 m3 sec "1 km "2. The input of anthropogenic nutrients to the fjords was small and was not considered to have any local effects (Baalsrud et al., 1991). The coastal basin, Stn Æ1, had a sill depth of 50–60 m and a mean basin depth of about 30 m (Fig. 1). Results and discussion The mean rate of oxygen consumption in 1990 Organic matter, produced locally in the euphotic zone and imported from the coast, sinks down into the basin water (Fig. 2). Some is broken down in the water column and excess organic matter settles on the bottom. There it is consumed by the benthic community, respired by micro-organisms or buried permanently in the sediments. For stationary conditions, the volume mean rate of oxygen consumption in the basin water, including oxygen consumption in the water column and sediment, should correspond to the mean rate of supply of organic matter, minus the buried and exported fractions. Export is, for example, by fish which feed but do not decompose in the basin water and re-suspended organic matter advected out of the basin during inflow periods. During stagnation periods in the basin, the overall oxygen budget for the basin is Where O2 =O2 (z,t) is the oxygen concentration at level z and time t. The first term on the left side of Equation (1) is the rate of depletion of oxygen stored in the basin water, where dO2/dt is the local rate of decrease of dissolved oxygen. A(z) is the horizontal surface area of the basin at level z and zs (b) is the vertical coordinate Eutrophication assessment of coastal waters N R3 R4 591 R2 R5 S2 RISOR 0 5 10 Km R1 S1 58°40' L1 TVEDESTRAND T3 T2 2° T4 64° Norwegian Sea 30' A1 T1 More and Romsdal 62° ARENDAL Torungen 60° SW ST AD 12° 5° IM GR 8°40' 50' 9° North Sea 10' EN 58° ED Æ1 Skagerrak Kattegat 9°20' 58°20' N W Figure 1. Location of sampling stations at the Skagerrak coast and the Møre and Romsdal region. Table 1. Sill depth (Ht), mean basin depth (Hb), surface area (Af), and fresh water supply (Qf) of the sill basin fjords (Fig. 1 for location). Sill basin Ht (m) Hb (m) Af (km2) Qf (m3 s "1 km "2) R2-3 R5 R4 S1-2 L1 A1 T4 T2 T3 28 20 27 30 24 22 12 30 15 57 12 21 15 16 10 13 12 18 20.0 1.3 6.6 4.4 2.1 2.0 1.8 3.3 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.1 2.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 The terms to the left of the equality sign in Equation (1) are evaluated for stagnant conditions and there should be no advective exchange of basin water in the selected period of oxygen observations. Utilizing the hydrographic and oxygen data it would seem that there were well-defined stagnation periods in the observed sill basins during summer and autumn 1990. The results may be written Vb · DEPL where DEPL is the average (volume mean) rate of oxygen depletion. Conditions just below sill level usually change a great deal due to occasional inflows. The upper integration level was therefore chosen 5–10 m below the sill level. The volume mean oxygen consumption rate, CONS, is then: CONS=DEPL+DIFF of the upper (lower) boundary of the basin water. The second term on the left side of Equation (1) is the vertical diffusive oxygen flux into the basin water, where As is the horizontal area, Ks is the eddy diffusivity, and (dO2/dz)s is the vertical gradient of dissolved oxygen at the upper integration level. The oxygen consumption rate is equal to the sum of the two terms on the left side of Equation (1). On the right side of the equation, CONS is the volume mean oxygen consumption rate and Hb is the mean depth defined by Vb=A(s) Hb, where Vb is the volume of the basin water. (ml l "1 month "1) (2) DIFF is the contribution from the diffusive flux of oxygen into the basin water (where DIFF can be written DIFF=Ks (dO2/dz)s/Hb) and can be estimated from our data provided the vertical diffusivity (Ks) and the vertical oxygen gradient (dO2/dt)s close to sill level are known. Ks was determined using the density decrease during stagnation periods, applying an equation for density analogous to Equation (1). The density decrease during stagnation periods is assumed to be due solely to vertical diffusion. DIFF is estimated to be lesser than 10% of CONS. 592 J. Aure et al. Qf Coast Fjord Brackish water Fc (fjord) Coastal water Intermediate water Fc (coast) Fc (coast) Sill depth (Ht) Stagnant basin water Oxygen consumption Figure 2. Schematic diagram of circulation and fluxes of organic matter in a fjord with extensive water exchange above the sill depth. Table 2. The observed volume mean oxygen consumption (CONSobs) and calculated by Equation (3) (CONSEq3). Ratio between CONSobs and CONSEq3 (Cobs/CEq3). Sill basin CONSobs (ml l "1 month "1) CONSEq3 (ml l "1 month "1) Cobs/CEq3 R2-3 R-5 R4 S1-2 L1 A1 T4 T2 T3 0.21 1.15 0.63 0.78 1.0 1.35 1.28 1.0 0.94 0.15 0.81 0.4 0.53 0.56 0.93 0.85 0.66 0.58 1.4 1.42 1.57 1.47 1.78 1.45 1.51 1.51 1.62 In Table 2 we have listed the observed volume mean oxygen consumption rates during summer and autumn 1990, after correction by DIFF. There are several possible error sources influencing our determination of the mean oxygen consumption. The hypsographic function may have some error. Water samples may be taken from slightly erroneous depths due to ship drift, and internal waves may distort the property fields at the point of sampling. The analyses of water samples have errors and small, undetected advective exchanges of basin water which violate our requirement of stagnation may have occurred. A rough estimate of the magnitude of error in CONS indicates that it may be of the order of 15%. An empirical model developed by Aure and Stigebrandt (1989), based on observations from 30 different sill basins of fjords located at the Norwegian west coast (Møre and Romsdal), gives the relationship between the volume mean oxygen consumption rate (CONS) in sill basins, the supply of organic matter minus the buried and exported fractions (Fc), and the mean basin depth (Hb). Fc decreases with increasing sill depth (Ht) and the relationship was shown to be approximated by: Fc =(a"b)Ht (g C m "2 month "1) (4) a=5.4 (g C m "2 month "1) and b=0.07 (g C m "2 month "1 m "1) (Ht<50 m) ì=2.43 [ml O2 g "1 C] is the conversion factor, ì, for complete oxidation of organic matter composed according to the Redfield ratios. In low oxygen water, denitrification may reduce the effective value of ì. All calculations of oxygen consumption is based on oxygen concentrations above 2 ml l "1 to avoid effects of denitrification. Figure 3a shows a high linear correlation between the observed versus the calculated mean oxygen consumption rate given by Equation (3), but the mean oxygen consumptions in the sill basins along the Skagerrak coast appeared to be about 1.5 higher (S.D.=0.11) than at the Norwegian west coast (Table 2). The observed Fc (a) 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 R = 0.98 a = 0.05 b = 1.43 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 CONS (Eq 3) (ml l–1 month–1) 593 0.22 0.20 Stn R2 100 m 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 Year Figure 4. Oxygen consumption rate (dO2/dt) at 100 m depth in the sill basin R2 (Fig. 1) from 1930–1994. 8 (b) Fc (g C m–2 month–1) Oxygen consumption (ml–1 month–1) CONS observed (ml l–1 month–1) Eutrophication assessment of coastal waters R = 0.88 a = 8.47 b = 0.11 7 C m "2 yr "1 at the Norwegian west coast and PT =187 g C m "2 yr "1 at the Skagerrak coast. These calculations indicate that the observed difference in PE could be explained by PT which is some 40% higher at the Skagerrak coast. 6 5 Long term variations 4 3 0 5 10 15 20 25 Ht (m) 30 35 40 Figure 3. (a) Observed volume mean oxygen consumption rate (dO2/dt) in the fjordic sill basins at the Norwegian Skagerrak coast plotted against volume mean oxygen consumption rate computed from Equation (3); (b) Fc in the fjordic sill basins at the Norwegian Skagerrak coast plotted against sill depth (Ht). values, as at the Norwegian west coast (Equation 4), decrease linearly with increasing sill depth (Fig. 3b). The empirical constants a and b in Equation (4) for the Skagerrak coast in 1990 were, respectively, 8.5 (g C m "2 month "1) and 0.1 (g C m "2 month "1 m "1). The new or export production (PE) is often defined as the weight per unit surface area of particulate organic matter sinking out of the photic zone during the production season. Wassman (1990) showed that the flux of carbon into the aphotic zone in the boreal coastal zone increases with increasing total primary production (PT) by the power of 1.41: PE =0.049 PT1.41 PT =8.49 PE0.71 (g C m "2 yr "1), or (g C m "2 yr "1) (5a) (5b) By using Equation (4) and if, for instance, the depth of the photic zone (H=Zp) is 20 m, PE in the observed fjordic basins at the Norwegian west coast and Skagerrak coast is calculated to be, respectively, 48 and 78 g C m "2 yr "1. Equation (5b) gives PT =132 g In Østerfjord (Stn R2–3) oxygen, temperature, and salinity have been observed every autumn since the late 1920s. The basin water at Stn R2–3 normally has a stagnation period of several years (Aure and Danielssen, 1993) and yearly observations of oxygen are often sufficient to compute the oxygen consumption rate in the basin water. The sill of this basin is situated close to the coast (Fig. 1). The oxygen consumption at 100 m depth in the period from 1930 to about 1980, 70 m below sill depth, had a mean value of 0.13 ml l "1 month "1 and a standard deviation of 0.02 (Fig. 4). After 1980, an abrupt 50–60% increase in the oxygen consumption rate to about 0.21 ml l "1 month "1 was observed. A similar 50% increase in the oxygen consumption rates seems to have occurred after 1979 in the coastal basin Ærøydypet (Stn Æ1) (Fig. 1). The mean oxygen consumption rate at 100 m depth, about 50 m below sill depth, increased from 0.31 ml l "1 month "1 between 1975 and 1979 to about 0.46 ml l "1 month "1 after 1990 (no observations were available in the 1980s). The calculated new production of 78 g C m "2 yr "1 in 1990 was also about 50% higher than the average new production of 50 g C m "2 yr "1 in the inner Skagerrak for the period 1957–1982, as presented by Stigebrandt (1991). In German Bight waters the nitrate concentrations increased by about 100% during the 1980s compared to the long term average of the decade before. Phosphate concentrations increased in the sixties and seventies, plateauing to about twice their former level, and then, contrary to the nitrate pattern, decreased after about 1982 (Hickel et al., 1993). Due to the general cyclonic J. Aure et al. nature of water circulation in the North Sea, much of the anthropogenic nutrients in the German Bight are transported into the Skagerrak and Kattegat by the Jutland coastal current. Estimates of the annual transport of total anthropogenic nitrogen into Skagerrak from the southern North Sea, Baltic Sea, Kattegat, and local sources are of the order of 600–700 000 tonnes (Anon., 1993). In relation to the estimated natural nitrogen transport of about 1.7 million tonnes yr "1 in the upper 50 m along the Skagerrak coast, anthropogenic input has increased annual nitrogen transport by about 40%. According to Andersson and Rydberg (1993), an increase in oxygen consumption greater than 100% has occurred in the Kattegat deep water since 1971 and has reduced its mean oxygen concentration during late summer from approximately 4.5 ml l "1 in 1971 to about 3 ml l "1 in the period 1985–1990. Reduced annual minimum oxygen concentrations and increased oxygen consumptions have also been observed in the basin water of some Swedish fjords in Skagerrak (Rosenberg, 1990). Increased large scale eutrophication was suggested as the reason for these changes. The significant influence of mean basin depths and sill depths on the volume mean rate of oxygen consumption (and Fc), and the general 50% increase in oxygen consumption in the observed fjordic sill basins after 1980, indicate that the volume mean rate of oxygen consumption in the basins was dominated by the trophic state of the Skagerrak coastal water. There may be several reasons for the relatively small influence of local factors on oxygen consumption in the basin waters. The main reasons are the short distance from the coast to the sills (Fig. 1), the relatively small surface areas and volumes above sill level (Table 1), and an intensive water exchange between the fjords and the coastal area, enhanced by intermediate water exchange mainly driven by large fluctuations in the density field along the Skagerrak coast (Stigebrandt, 1990). These factors result in a short residence-time of water above sill levels which tend to make conditions above the sill levels similar to those outside the coastal water. The influence of anthropogenic nutrients in the observed fjords is too small to cause any significant local effects (Baalsrud et al., 1991). The increase in eutrophication in the Kattegat and in the inner Skagerrak, which can be related to an increase in anthropogenic nutrient input (Anon., 1993), seems to have also increased oxygen consumption and transport of organic matter into the fjordic sill basins along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. Calculations indicate that this increase could be explained by a 40% increase in total primary production in the Skagerrak coastal zone. The calculated 40% increase in primary production is in accordance with the estimated increase of nutrient transport along the Skagerrak coast due to anthropogenic input. Reduction in oxygen minimum (ml l–1) 594 0.0 –0.5 –1.0 –1.5 –2.0 –2.5 –3.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 Oxygen minimum (ml l–1) Figure 5. Reduction in the oxygen minimum concentration (DO2min) as a function of the original oxygen minimum concentration, with 50% increased oxygen consumption and O2i =7 ml/l. Effect of increased oxygen consumption on minimum oxygen concentration The minimum oxygen concentration attained in a sill basin, O2min, depends on the oxygen concentration, O2i, of the renewed basin water, the time scale for basin water exchange, Te, and the time required to reduce the oxygen concentration to zero in the basin water, To. According to Aure and Stigebrandt (1990) O2min is given by: Where dO2/dt is the mean oxygen consumption rate (Equation 3). From Equation (6a) it follows that when To >Te, O2min will be greater than zero and when To <Te the oxygen content in the basin water will at times be exhausted and hydrogen sulphide (H2S) will appear. Using the observed 50% increase in mean oxygen consumption, the reduction in minimum oxygen consumption (DO2min) is expressed as: DO2min = "0.5 (O2i "O2min) "1 (ml l "1) (7) where O2i (~7 ml l ) is the oxygen concentration of the renewed basin water and O2min is the originally minimum oxygen concentration. Equation (7) and Figure 5 show that the decrease in the minimum oxygen concentration is greatest in sill basins with naturally low minimum oxygen concentrations. Such natural low levels in many of the sill basins along the Skagerrak coast make them very sensitive to increased oxygen consumption. After a 50% increase in oxygen Eutrophication assessment of coastal waters consumption, sill basins with minimum oxygen concentrations originally between 3.6 and 2.0 ml l "1 will reach minimum oxygen concentrations below about 2.0 ml l "1, which is thought to be the lower tolerance limit for fish and benthic infaunal species. Conclusions The volume mean rate of oxygen consumption of nine coastal close fjordic sill basins at the Norwegian Skagerrak coast in 1990 was about 50% higher than in similar basins along the Norwegian west coast. This indicates approximately a 40% higher level of total primary production at the Skagerrak coast. The observations are in accordance with an empirical model developed for the Norwegian west coast, where the volume mean oxygen consumption rate in sill basins is derived as a function of sill depth and mean basin depth. The dependence on topographical factors and the general 50% increase in the level of oxygen consumption indicate that the rate of oxygen consumption in the observed sill basins is determined essentially by the trophic state of the Skagerrak coastal water. The short residence time of water above sill level in the observed fjords, due to intensive water exchange between the fjords and the Skagerrak coast, and small influence of local anthropogenic nutrients, support this assumption. Long-term observations of oxygen in sill basins bordering the Skagerrak coastal water suggest that increased oxygen consumption occurred during the first part of the 1980s and seems to have been related to increased large scale eutrophication in the Kattegat and the inner Skagerrak during this period. Reduction in minimum oxygen concentrations due to increased oxygen consumption is shown to be greatest in sill basins with naturally low minimum oxygen concentrations. The naturally low concentrations in many of the sill basins along the Skagerrak coast make them particularly sensitive to the observed increase in oxygen consumption. 595 References Anon. 1987. Quality status of the North Sea—summary. Second International Conference on the Protection of the North Sea. September 1987. 25 pp. Anon. 1993. North Sea—Sub-region 8. Assessment Report 1993. North Sea Task Force. State Pollution Control Authority (SFT), Norway. 79 pp. Andersson, L. and Rydberg, L. 1988. 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