Cognitive and Behavioral Adaptations To Perceived Crowding: A Panel Study of Coping and Displacement Walter F. Kuentzel Department of Rural Sociology University of Wisconsin-Madison Thomas A. Heberlein Department of Rural Sociology Center for Resource Policy Studies and Programs University of Wisconsin-Madison This paper uses panel data of boaters at the Apostle Islands National Lakeshore to test the relationship of perceived crowding in 1975 to attitude changes (cognitive coping strategies), and behavioral shifts (intrasite displacement and discontinued participation at the Apostle Islands) in the following decade, based on a hierarchical coping model. Those feeling less crowded in 1975 should use either no coping strategies or cognitive coping strategies in the face of increasing use. Those participants feeling more crowded in 1975 should be more likely to shift to less used locations within the same site when visitation increases. Finally, the model proposes that chose who feel most crowded will quit boating at the Apostle Islands. The panel data failed to support the model. Those who felt most crowded in 1975 avoided the more crowded islands on subsequent trips. The crowding scores of those who did not use cognitive coping strategies were not significantly different from those who did. Those who stopped boating at the Apostle Islands did not do so because they felt most crowded in 1975. These findings indicate that intrasite displacement provides an adequate coping strategy for boaters at the Apostle Islands. The notion that increasing use levels will necessarily drive the most sensitive users away is not supported among boaters at the Apostle Islands. The social and physical impacts of increasing visitor numbers at a recreational site are assumed to present a negative stimulus (Manning & Ciali, 1980; Stankey & McCool, 1984) that motivates various coping strategies (Gramman, 1982). Participants who feel crowded may employ (1) cognitive coping mechanisms such as product shift, altered expectations and preferences, or dissonance reduction (Chambers & Price, 1986; Shelby & Heberlein, 1986), or (2) behavioral coping mechanisms such as encounter avoidance (Hammitt & Patterson, 1991), intrasite displacement to an alternate location at a single site with lower use levels (Anderson & Brown, 1984), or intersite displacement-i.e., leaving the area, presumably to participate in the activity elsewhere (Becker, 1981). This prevailing approach to social carrying capacity assumes a situation evaluated as crowded produces a tension that drives a person toward some preferred baseline state considered “normal.” Our goal in this paper is to explore further these coping phenomena using panel data. At least two theoretical approaches detail the coping process. First, Gratiann’s (1982) social agitation framework relies primarily on sociological principles derived from the classic urban crowding studies of the Chicago School (Park, Burgess & McKenzie, 192511984), and highlights stimulus 378 KUENTZEL AND HEBERLEIN overload and social interference traditions. Stimulus overload refers to the negative affect people experience when density in a social setting constrains one’s behavioral options and “the individual is unable to reduce the stimulation through adaptive strategies” (p. 111). He cites urban crowding models (Simmel, 1901/1964; Wirth, 1938) that characterize stimulus overload as the product of diverse and rapid spatial mobility that encourages the substitution of primary social interaction (family and friendship groups), with secondary social interaction (functional mean/ends relationships). The secondary social interaction that accompanies greater social density produces an increased potential for social interference. Social interference implies that people will feel crowded when the behavior (conflict oriented crowding effects) or presence (spatial crowding effects) of others “is incompatible with an important goal and thus interferes with its attainment” (Gramman, 1982; p. 112). The collective work of Shelby, Heberlein, and Vaske (Heberlein, 19’77; Shelby, Heberlein, Vaske, & Alfano, 1983; Shelby & Heberlein, 1986; Shelby, Vaske, & Heberlein, 1989) employs a normative approach to crowding. While the social agitation framework focuses more on the behavioral origins of crowding, research in the social norms framework focuses more on the cognitive elements that constitute crowding. This approach empahsizes the participant’s normative evaluations (Shelby & Heberlein, 1986) that derive from the perceived use value of a given resource, where specific conventions of activity and behavior are socially generated. Each evaluation relates to a socially prescribed expectation of appropriate use of the resource. Crowding, then, is not purely a question of density, but is contingent on evaluations about appropriate use levels in conjunction with specific activities and settings. People perceive that an area is crowded when the number of actual encounters exceeds the number of contacts expected and/ or the number of contacts preferred (Shelby et al., 1983). Expectations and preferences, however, are bounded by the context of the situation. Thus, the social norm framework’s emphasis on cognitive evaluation highlights its relativity across situations and people. Coping With Crowding If recreationists consider crowding an adverse condition encountered in the environment, how does this affect their experience! Researchers consistently find low correlations between perceived crowding and overall satisfaction with their experience (Graefe, Vaske, & Kuss, 1984; Shelby & Heberlein, 1986). People have positive experiences in the face of steadily increasing use. Therefore, does crowding indeed produce a drive to reduce the tension caused by this allegedly negative’condition? Researchers (Shelby & Heberlein, 1986; Chambers & Price, 1986) account for this discrepancy between crowding and satisfaction by suggesting at least four common strategies that participants use to adapt to the negative impacts of perceived ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING 379 crowding-site succession, product shift, dissonance reduction, and displacement. The first three strategies approximate cognitive coping mechanisms suggested by the social norms framework, while the last strategy is a behavioral coping mechanism implied by the social agitation framework. Site succession refers to the way appropriate use values shift and evolve over time at a particular site, given changes in use levels, activities, and styles of participation. This approach asserts that use levels encountered during one’s first visit constitute the normative expectations for future encounters (Nielsen & Endo, 1977). Coping with increased use requires one to alter previously established evaluative standards to correspond with the successional forces of an area. The product shift strategy involves moving beyond changes in one’s evaluative expectations, to changing the label applied to the experience. Participants, in effect, “change (their) mind about the product (they) are getting” (Shelby & Heberlein, 1986; p. 56). This relabeling process adjusts the encounter norms, and restructures the context of the situation such that the participant minimizes or eliminates the negative effects of perceived crowding, and thereby makes the best of unexpected conditions. The dissonance reduction coping strategy suggests a tendency for individuals to maintain a state of cognitive consistency or balance (Festinger, 1957; Heider, 1958). Two dissonant cognitions produce a state of tension that the individual endeavors to alleviate by (1) seeking new, consonant information, (2) discounting the importance of a cognition, (3) changing one’s attitudes, or (4) changing one’s situation. Recreationists cope with the negative impacts of crowding by a rationalizing process that minimizes the dissonance caused by crowding and augments the positive aspects of the experience. Finally, the displacement hypothesis suggests that people will choose to alter their participation patterns and seek more remote, less used areas (Nielsen & Endo, 1977). They may (1) actively avoid encounters with others (Hammitt & Patterson, 1991), (2) shift their activity to less dense areas of a single location (Anderson & Brown, 1984), or (3) shift participation to a different location (Becker, 1981, Shelby et al, 1988). These adaptive strategies suggest a hierarchical structure to the way people cope with increased use levels and perceived crowding. People who feel most crowded are presumed to be most prone to leaving the area (Becker, 1981). Thus, at lower levels of perceived crowding, participants may only require a cognitive reappraisal (Lazarus, Kanner, & Folkman, .1980) to diminish the negative effects of crowding. Shelby, Bregenzer, and Johnson’s (1988) study of product shift and displacement implies a hierarchical structure to coping. They measured product shift by asking users if they would change their attitudes before becoming dissatisfied or displaced to another area. Where cognitive coping strategies fail, recreationists may then need to use behavioral coping measures such as intralocational movement to less crowded places, or leaving an area. For those who are displaced elsewhere, no cognitive coping mechanism may be sufficient to alleviate the negative impacts, and leaving the’area may be the only perceived option to deal with crowding. 380 KUENTZEL AND HEBERLEIN Empirical Tests Tests of the coping process in a recreational setting are sparse, and the results are mixed. Nielsen and Endo (1977) and Vaske, Donnelly, and Heberlein (1980) test the succession model and demonstrate that visitors with more experience at an area do indeed feel more crowded. They do not, however, test for altered normative expectations, but instead implicitly assume that contact expectations and preferences change by virtue of the fact that people continue to visit the area. Manning and Ciali (1980) and Chambers and Price (1986) found no support for the dissonance reduction hypothesis. Isolating two dissonant cognitions in a field setting is, however, extremely difficult from a methodological standpoint. Shelby et al’s (1988) test of the product shift hypothesis found that 34% of the users on the Rogue River in Oregon said they would change the way they thought about the river before becoming displaced because of unexpected encounters on the river. Their question, however, was phrased hypothetically and does not reflect how people actually coped. Tests of the intersite displacement hypothesis have shown mixed results. Nielsen and Endo (1977) looking at the history of river runners, found that only 30% of their sample moved to areas of declining densities over time. They did not, however, measure respondent’s perceptions of crowding, and cannot conclude any causal link between crowding and displacement. Becker (1981) found indications of a displacement effect among river users from the St. Croix river to the Upper Mississippi. Of 3364 users surveyed, however, only 46 (or 3%) indicated the St. Croix was too crowded. Finally, Shelby et al’s (1988) study showed that as many as 22% of the users on the less crowded Illinois River in Oregon had been displaced from the nearby Rogue River. Tests of the intrasite displacement hypothesis are more convincing. Vaske et al (1980) found that more experienced boaters at the Apostle Islands in 1975 altered their itinerary to avoid more crowded islands. Anderson and Brown (1984) found that 70% of the more frequent visitors to the Boundary Waters Canoe Area altered their entry points because of anticipated crowds along certain routes. They conceded numerous factors that were not controlled in their analysis such as lifestyle changes, knowledge of alternatives, propensity to explore, leisure time, and changes in economic status. Hammitt & Patterson (1991) showed that backpackers at the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, who were most sensitive to encounters, were more likely to camp out of sight of others, avoid the park at peak use times, and plan trips at times when fewer encounters are expected. Further, they were more likely to avoid talking to others along the trail, and less likely to initiate contact with others. Their study, however, only tested coping behaviors motivated by the desire for privacy and solitude. They did not directly test whether these displacement behaviors are reactive responses to perceived crowding. ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING 381 Time Series Analysis These studies offer mixed support for the notion that people change their attitudes about a resource and are displaced from an area because of perceived crowding. Each of these studies, however, used a cross sectional analysis that implicitly asked the respondent to link cognitive or behavioral change to perceived crowding. The crucial test of a coping model requires the use of panel data that can observe attitudinal and behavioral changes among a sample over time. This allows the measurement of the negative stimulus (crowding) at time one, and then the observation of cognitive and/ or behavioral change that takes place over the ensuing time period. This paper uses data from a panel study of overnight sail boaters at the Apostle Islands National Lakeshore on the coast of Lake Superior in Northern Wisconsin. The sample was first contacted in 1975, and followed up again in 1985. Each time, respondents were asked questions pertaining to crowding, satisfaction, resource degradation, motives, commitment to boating, life course changes, and use patterns. This paper investigates the behavioral and attitudinal consequences of perceived crowding and asks if perceived crowding in 1975 produces observable coping behavior over the next ten years. A Hierarchical Coping Model This paper extends the collective crowding research by (1) testing a crowding model using panel data, and (2) by testing a heirarchical coping model that hypothesizes different coping strategies corresponding to different levels of perceived crowding in an area with increasing use. Thus, how does the participant manage his or her level of perceived crowding within normatively appropriate latitudes of acceptance in the face of increasing use over time? Figure 1 models this hierarchical coping hypothesis. The X-axis of this graph represents perceived crowding at time one, while the Y-axis reflects the attitudinal or behavioral response to crowding observed at time two. This hierarchical model hypothesizes four discrete responses to perceived crowding that are dependent on the severity of a participant’s negative evaluation. Corresponding to different levels of perceived crowding, boaters can (1) maintain their attitudinal and behavioral status quo about the area, (2) change their attitudes about an area, (3) shift participation within the same site to less crowded places, or (4) leave the area. Thus, those who leave an area should feel most crowded at time 1, and should feel that the other options are not adequate coping options. Formally stated, this analysis tests the hypothesis that the perceived crowding scores at time 1 for each coping group should be aligned as follows: no cope < cognitive coping < intrasite displacement < intersite displacement. We argue for the hierarchical primacy of cognitive coping mechanisms over behavioral coping mechanisms for two reasons. First, perceived crowd- KUENTZEL AND HEBERLEIN 382 R e ; 0 n s e A t t 1 t u d e s Perceived Crowding Figure I, Hierarchical Coping Model ing is a psychological evaluation related as much to expectations and preferences as physical contacts (Shelby et al., 1983). Changing one’s mind seems an easier and more specific form of adjustment than altering one’s trip. Festinger (1957) points out that it is easier to alter one’s evaluations about the new car he or she just purchased given new dissonant information, than to get rid of the car and buy a different one. Similarly, at the Apostle Islands, it is more expedient to change one’s evaluations about unexpected encounters than to make behavioral adaptations, given the time, effort, and expense of choosing this particular experience. Second, research in the emotion literature shows that people tend to cognitively manage their emotions in highly charged situations through the use of display rules and feeling rules appropriate to the situation (Hochschild, 1979). Thus, the personal and economic commitment required of an Apostle Islands boating trip should encourage people to manage the emotion caused by perceived crowding such that it does not conflict with the image and expectation of a quality trip. This point of view is consistent with the low correlations found between satisfaction and crowding (Shelby & Heberlein, 1986). Given this participatory commitment, behavioral adaptations should occur only at more extreme levels of crowding. Methods Study Area The Apostle Island National Lakeshore offers a unique recreational opportunity for boaters interested in a wilderness like experience. The area ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING 383 contains 2 1 differ-ent islands and 12 miles of Lake Superior coastline along the mainland of Northern Wisconsin. The topology of the islands features heavily forested islands with brown sandstone cliffs and long sandy beaches. Many of the islands have developed campsites with outhouses, docks and protected anchorages, ranger stations, and lighthouses. Though nearly two thirds of the visitors are overnight boaters (90% of these visit the islands in sailboats and 10% in motorboats), the islands offer many other overnight and day use recreational opportunities for a variety of people. Some of these activities include camping, backpacking, hiking, swimming, sunbathing, lighthouse tours, and narrated boat tours. Testing a hierarchical model requires that use levels increase over time. Boater use of the Apostle Islands more than doubled between 1975 and 1985. Park Service records report 7,082 user days among boat campers in 1976, and 15,828 user days in 1985. Heberlein and Vaske estimate that 1723 boaters used the islands in 1975, while McKinnell (1988) estimates that 7,342 boaters used the islands in 1985. Further, boaters in 1975 reported seeing 6.8 other boaters moored overnight with them, while a different sample of 1985 boaters reported seeing 8.8 other boaters moored with them (t = 5.9, P = .OO; McKinnell & Heberlein, 1987). Data for this study were taken from a panel study administered to Apostle Islands users first in 1975, and to the same group again in 1985. The 1975 survey sampled boaters, campers and day users by setting up self-registration stands at Stockton Island, the most popular of the islands in the area. Each person over the age of 14 was instructed to fill out a registration card. Observation at the registration stands showed that 94% of the campers and day users filled out a card while only 38% of the boaters filled one out. To reach the boaters missed in the self-registration process, four Bayfield area marinas were asked to provide names and addresses of people who rented a boat or put in at marina slips during the season. Three of the four marinas provided the requested information. Registration cards were then sent to this group so the names of all people on board could be compiled. These combined sampling strategies provided a list of 2253 individuals over the age of 14 who visited the Apostle Islands in 1975.’ A systematic random sample of 1200 was then selected from this list. A total of 846 questionnaires were returned out of this list. When excluding 56 undeliverable surveys, the response rate was 74%. Of those who responded ‘Heberlein and Vaske (1979) conclude that this number is a good representation of the Apostle Island user population in 1975. This number was slightly lower than the user number generated by Wisconsin Department of Natural Resource overflight surveys. The three marinas provided a total of 723 names to the total list of users. Given the one marina that did not provide names, Heberlein and Vaske (1979) are confident that the total number could not have exceeded 3000. 384 KUENTZEL AND HEBERLEIN 647 boaters at the Apostle Islands. Only the boaters were included in the 1985 follow-up survey. In 1985, an initial letter was mailed to the addresses of all 647 boaters asking them to confirm their address. If they sent no reply another letter was sent to a friend or relative (provided in the 1975 questionnaire) asking for a current address for the respondent. Of the original 647 boaters, 500 were located, 13 had died, and 134 were not found. Follow-up questionnaires were then sent to each of the 500 respondents that had been successfully located. Out of that group, 397 people responded representing a 79.4% response rate. The response rate in 1985 from the original 647 boaters was 61.4%. Analysis of the 1975 data showed that nonrespondents (those unable to locate and those who did not return a 1985 survey) differed significantly from respondents on only 1 of 20 variables used in this analysis. Nonrespondents in 1985 were less likely to agree that the Apostle Islands were a wilderness in 1975. Crowding scores did not differ between respondents and nonrespondents. Measurment The analysis divided the sample into four discrete groups that reflect the coping hierarchy: (1) no-coping respondents who did not avoid the crowded Islands, and did not change their opinions about the islands over the ten year period, (2) cognitive copers who did not avoid the crowded islands, but changed their opinions about the islands, (3) behavioral copers who avoided the more crowded islands during the ten year periocl, and (4) those who stopped boating at the Apostle Islands between 1975 and 1985. Among those who had stopped boating at the Apostle Islands, only 38 out of 245 had ceased boating altogether. This group’s crowding scores did not differ significantly from those who had stopped boating at the Apostle Islands, but still boated elsewhere. Thus, we combined these two groups in subsequent analysis. Discontinued participation was measured as a dichotomous variable by asking what year the respondent last took a boating trip to the Apostle Islands. Those responding from 1975 to 1984 were coded 1 for having stopped boating at the islands. Two thirds of the sample quit boating at the Apostle Islands during the ten year period (n = 245). Those responding 1985 were coded 0 for still boating (n = 152). Seventeen people in the sample indicated their last trip to the islands was prior to 1985, but they still planned to return in future years. These people were coded 0 for still boating. The avoidance of crowded islands variable was also measured as a dichotomous yes/no variable. Eighty three of the 152 people still boating in 1985 had avoided the more crowded islands at sometime during the ten year period. This analysis measured cognitive coping by the tendency to “change one’s mind” about the physical and social impacts on a resource over time, as suggested by the product shift phenomenon (Shelby et al., 1988). Its ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING 385 premise maintains thnt crowding facilitates change in user evaluations of an area. A user, who feels that an area is wilderness like initially, may attenuate that evaluation ten years later given increased use. Similarly, a person who disagrees that the campsites are overused may be less inclined to disagree with this statement, given a threefold increase in use over a ten year period. Changing one’s mind about an area means a person shifts their attitude in a direction inconsistent with increased use. A person who felt the area was wilderness like at time one shifts his or her definitional criterion of wilderness and continues to label the area a wilderness in spice of increased use. Similarly, the person who initially disagreed that the campsites were overused alters his or her evaluation of appropriate campsite impact and continues to feel that the campsites are not overused in spite of real increases over time. Thus, we measured cognitive coping by the tendency to change one’s attitude in a direction inconsistent with increased use of an area. If a boater felt the islands were being damaged by overuse in 1975, they should agree with this statement even more strongly in 1985 given the increase in use at the Apostle Islands. If a boater’s score on this question remained the same, or moved toward the disagree end of the scale, we presumed the respondent had employed a cognitive coping strategy, in the face of increased use. Table 1 shows the four different social evaluations and six different physical evaluations used to measure cognitive coping. The social items were measured on a five point scale where 1 was strongly disagree, 3 was neutral, and 5 was strongly agree. The physical items were measured with a four point scale where 1 was strongly disagree, 2 was probably disagree, 3 was probably agree, and 4 was strongly disagree. Table 1 summarizes the expected direction of attitude change given increased use of the Apostle Islands, and the direction of change that opposes these expectations if cognitive coping mechanisms were used. If the respondent’s attitudes changed in the expected direction between 1975 and 1985, they were coded as 0 for no-coping. If their attitudes remained the same, or changed in the unexpected direction over the ten year period, they were coded 1 for having used a cognitive coping strategy. We then added the four dummy responses for the social variables to create a social coping scale (Cronbach’s o( = .31), and the six dummy responses for the physical variables to create a physical coping scale (Cronbach’s c1 = .89). Because the reliability of the social coping scale was so low, we also used changes in contact preference and contact expectations as alternate single item measures of cognitive coping. Preferences and expectations were measured by a ten item response scale where 0 through 5 were single categories followed by “6-10,” “11-15,” “ 16-20,” and “greater than 20.” The strategy of using changes in contact preferences and expectations as a measure of cognitive coping is suggested by the site succession literature (Nielsen & Endo, 1977). As use levels increase, people who initially feel more crowded must increase expectations and preferences for the number of other people they will encounter to attenuate the negative impacts of 386 KUENTZEL AND HEBERLEIN TABLE 1 Direction of Attitude Change Over Time for Copers and No-Coping Respondents Given the Increase in Use at the Apostle Islands COPING SCALES CHANGE IN ATTITUDE BETWEEN 1975 AND 1985 Expected Change (Given Increased Use) Copin g Response Social Coping The islands would be more desirable if use were limited The islands are not being damaged by overuse A reservation system should be adopted for the islands I would consider the Apostle Islands a wilderness The degree you feel the following environmentally damaging conditions exist at the Apostle Islands: Excessive litter Trampling of vegetation Overuse of campsites Overuse of trails Overuse of docks Poor water quality Increase Same or Decrease Decrease Same or Increase Increase Same or Decrease Decrease Same 01‘ Increase Increase Increase ItlCI%iSe InCreaSe Increase InClXlS~ Same Same Same Same Same Same or or or or or or Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease increased contacts. This point of view assumes that those whose encounter expectations and/or preferences remain the same or even decrease are not initially bothered by crowding and feel no need to use a coping strategy. Cognitive coping from this perspective entails a redefinition of appropriate use levels. Those whose expectations increase have redefined the number of contacts they feel is appropriate at a certain area. Those whose preferences increase have redefined their encounter norms (Shelby & Heberlein, 1986) to accommodate increased use of a resource. Perceived crowding was measured with an index of four different variables. The 1975 questionnaire was constructed prior to the time when the nine point crowding scale became a convention for measuring perceived crowding (Shelby et al, 1989). Consequently, this paper follows McKinnell and Heberlein (1987) by measuring crowding as an index of four different items, including, “the places we stopped were often too crowded,” “it bothered me to see so many people using the islands,” “I think we met too many 387 ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING people during our trips to the islands and “it bothered me more people were not using the islands” (this item was reverse coded). These items were each measured with a five point Likert scale from “strongly disagree” to “strongly agree,” and added to create a perceived crowding scale ranging from 1 to 20 (M = 11.09, Std. Dev. = 3.05; Cronbach’s (Y = .66). Results The results, shown in Table 2, generally did not support the hierarchical coping model. Analysis of variance shows that those who did not use any cognitive coping mechanisms did not feel the least crowded in 1975. No-coping respondents did not feel less crowded in 1975 than those who did use cognitive coping strategies. Among all four coping measures, nocoping respondent’s crowding scores did not differ significantly from the crowding scores of those who did use coping strategies. Further, no-coping respondents did not feel less crowded than those who stopped boating at the Apostle Islands. Thus, the 1975 crowding scores for three groups of boaters-no-coping respondents, cognitive copers, and those who stopped boating-did not differ significantly from each other. Intrasite displacement was the only coping strategy where crowding scores differed significantly from other strategies. Those who reported avoiding the crowded islands in the post 1975 period felt significantly more crowded in 1975 than those who used cognitive coping strategies on two of the four coping measures (physical evaluations and contact preference). Those who avoided the crowded islands also felt more crowded than those TABLE 2 Mean Crowding Scores Among Boaters Using Four Types of Coping Strategies COGNITIVE COPING MEASURES Social Coping Scale Physical Coping Scale Contact Expectations Contact Preferences COPING STRATEGIES COGNITIVE BEHAVIORAL ADAPTATIONS ADAPTATIONS Cognitive Avoid Leave Apostle No Coping Islands Islands Respondents Coping 9.63, (25) 10.24, (29) 10.12, (57) 10.70,,, (46) 10.67,, (44) 10.45. (40) 1 1 .%I,, (12) 9.70, P (23) 11.88, (83) 11.8X,, (83) 11.88, (83) 11 .a, (83) 10.94,,, (245) 10.94, (245) 10.94,,, (245) 10.94,,,, (245) NOIP. Subscripts compare crowding scores of the four coping strategies for each coping scale using Analysis of Variance. Different subscripts differ at the .05 level. ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING 389 Discussion Cognitive Coping vs. Bchavioral Coping The results did not support the hierarchical coping model proposed in this paper. Crowding at time 1 did not predict whether one would stop boating at the Apostle Islands. Further, crowding at time 1 did not predict whether one would either change their mind about the resource, or change their contact expectations and preferences. Crowding at time 1 did predict redistribution to less popular locations within the Apostle Islands. These findings replicate the findings of’ Anderson and Brown (1984) and Hammitt and Patterson (1991). These people who avoided the more crowded islands were equally as likely to use some form of cognitive coping as those who did not avoid the more crowded islands. That is, among those still boating in 1985, the avoiders were just as likely to recognize social and physical degradation of’ the islands associated with increased use as those who dicl not avoid the crowded islands. They were also just as likely to change their contact preferences (and more likely to change their contact expectations). These avoiders, however, were more sensitive to crowding. This finding suggests that cognitive coping is not a discrete strategy, but that all users make some degree of’ cognitive adjustment when confronted with negative pel-ceptions of’ crowding. Those most sensitive to crowding, however, are more likely to make behavioral adjustments-i.e. intrasite displacement. Three points may help explain this finding. First, intrasite displacement correlates significantly with boat olvnership (r = .25; #J = .OO), suggesting that those who avoided the more crowded islands did so because they coulcl. Boat owner-s, also, r\.ere more likely to take charge of the navigational chores. Hoat ownership correlates positively with being the pilot, rather than passenger on a boat (t- = .Sl; p = .OO). Thus, those w,ho owned and pilotecl their own boats avoided the more crowded islands because they were more likely to influence the itinerary of the trip. Further, Vdske et al. (1980) slhow that among this same sample of boaters, those with more experience felt more crowded. Similarly, Nielsen and Enclo’s (1977) notion of the “last settler syndrome” predicts that less experienced users are more tolerant of crowds. Consequently, experienced boaters may also be the crowded boat owners who avoid the more crowded islands. Second, the hierarchical model may not be valid because some boaters may be committed to boating in the Apostle Islands as a wilderness like resource. This experience may be tied to a person’s identity as a boater and as a wilderness user. Thus, to cognitively change one’s mind about the islands, or to cognitively adapt to increased use of the Islands may negate the image of the Apostle Islands as a wilderness, and thereby nqgate the person’s identlty as a boater in a wilderness setting. Thus, the only coping alternative available is to behaviorally seek out the remaining wilderness like locations left within the Island complex. Further research is needed to explore this identity/coping lit&,. CoCgnilive Coping. Third, the lack of difference between the 1’475 crowding scores of the no-coping respondents and those that used a cognitive coping strategy may reflect limitations of the coping meas,ures. Certainly, the reliability of the social copmg scale is problematic. The validity of these measures, however, may be the /tl/msi/r Displucemen~. 390 KUENTZEL AND HERERLEIN mol-e vexing problem. The social coping and physical coping measures wcrc de- veloped with the product shift phenomenon in mind. These measures, however, in no way indicate whether people actually “changed their mind” about the Apostle Islands. They only indicate that people noticed physical and social changes over time that may, or may not, have been related to one’s overall image of the area. The use of contact expectations and preferences as measures of coping was also troubling. These measures reflected the site succession framework that suggests people increase their contact expectations and preferences to cope with increasing use of an area. However, only 12 out of 69 people who did not use an intrasite displacement strategy changed their contact expectations over the ten year period, suggesting that the majority of the sample may not have been aware of increasing use of the islands. Similarly the minority (n = 23) of people, who used a cognitive coping strategy by adjusting their preferences to account for increased use, had a lower crowding score in 1975 (A4 = 9.70) than those whose preferences stayed the same (M = 10.70), although this difference was not significant at the .05 level. These inconclusive findings indicate the need for a better measure of cognitive coping. The items used by Hammitt & Patterson (199 1) measure coping at a more specific level, and are a step in the right direction. Future research should continue developing better coping measures, and should address the issue of whether cognitive coping is a discrete coping strategy, or one used to varying degrees by all participants at a particular location. Intersite Displacement Our results did not support the intersite displacement hypothesis, that those most sensitive to increasing use of a resource become crowded out, and must find alternate locations to pursue their recreational interests. There are two plausible explanations for this. First, the area may not be crowded enough to produce a stimulus overload or a social interference condition (Gramman, 1982). Only 42% of the boaters in 1985 stated they felt some level of crowding during their visit (a score of 3 or higher on a nine point crowding scale). When compared to the same measure of perceived crowding at 59 samples of recreationists throughout the United States (Shelby et al, 1989), this level of perceived crowding classifies the Apostle Islands on the low normal end of the crowding distribution. For areas at this level of perceived crowding, Shelby et al (1989) state that a “problem situation does not exist at this time,” and the area “offer(s) unique low-density experiences” (p. 285). Even though Apostle Islands boaters felt some level of crowding, they were not driven away by a sufficiently powerful stimulus. The intrasite shifting behavior suggests that there are enough locations within the Apostle Island complex that offer low-density wilderness like experiences even on days of most intense use. Second, the questionnaire did not ask if the respondents had been displaced because of crowding. This assumes, however, that people have many more reasons besides crowding that determine whether or not they will return to the area. Heberlein and Ervin (1990) describe the structural effects of life course changes on discontinued participation, such as marital ADAPTATIONS TO PERCEIVED CROWDING 391 changes (marriage, divorce, widowed), and the birth of children or children leaving home. Again, these data show that boat ownership correlates significantly with continued participation (r = .33; p = .OO). This suggests that purchase price, maintenance, and year round storage of a boat require a substantial investment and on going commitment to its upkeep and use. Boat owners are therefore more likely to seek out boating opportunities than nonowners. Conversely, participants who either rent boats, or go boating with friends have many more reasons and constraints against continued boating. Thus boat owners may have established vacation traditions and leisure lifestyles surrounding their boating participation that become reinforced over time and somewhat obligatory in their ritualistic practice. Finally, the mid west region of the United States offers no real boating alternatives for the wilderness like experience provided by the Apostle Islands. Door county on Lake Michigan in Northeast Wisconsin provides a somewhat similar environment. This area, however, is far more crowded than the Apostle Islands falling in the “more than capacity” range of Shelby et al’s (1989) analysis of crowding. Further, many Apostle Islands users come from the Minneapolis area. No other area in the Lake Superior region offers a similar island complex and accompanying marina system. Consequently, there are no apparent local alternatives for boating in an island like setting. Conclusion This paper has shown that (1) people most sensitive to crowding at the Apostle Islands in 1975 were more likely to visit less popular areas within the island complex on subsequent visits. (2) Those who stopped boating at the Apostle Islands between 1975 and 1985, did not do so because they felt too crowded in 1975. (3) Changing one’s attitudes about the social or physical characteristics of the islands, or changing one’s contact expectations and preferences was not related to perceived crowding in 1975. These findings deal a blow to the intersite displacement concept. People were not willing to give up boating at the Apostle Islands because of crowding. Those who were most crowded in our study area did not leave the area but adjusted their activity patterns within the site. Further, those who felt more crowded were no more likely than anyone else to make cognitive adjustments to perceived crowding. Instead, behavioral adaptations worked effectively. In sum, a four fold increase in boating use between 1975 and 1985 did not appear to be a troublesome phenomenon among most boaters at the Apostle Islands. For those boaters who did feel more crowded, intrasite displacement was an expedient way to deal with the problem. Thus, the stimulus overload model is an overstated metaphor for boaters at the Apostle Islands. At current use levels, Apostle Islands boaters are able to maintain their perceptions of crowding within latitudes of normative acceptance, and able to adapt behaviorally when encounters do become problematic. 392 KUENTZEL AND HEBERLEIN References Anderson, D. H., & Brown, P. J. (1984). The displacement process in recreation. Jourrux1 of Leisure Research, 16, 61-73. Becker, K. H. (1981). Displacement of recreational users between the Lower St. Croix and Upper Mississippi Rivers, Journal o/Environmerrtnl Mnnagemenl, 13, 259-267. Chambers, T. W., & Price, C. (1986). 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