COPERT 4 Training 4. NOx Emissions Projected emission factors • Emission reductions for future vehicle technologies generally follow the rule: EFFuture ES Future EFCurrent ES Current • Limitation: – Real-world behaviour does not (always) follow emission standards COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 2 Learning from our past… Removal efficiency (%) CO 90 Removal efficiency (%) HC Removal efficiency (%) NOx Removal efficiency (%) PM 70 100 80 Actual 80 Copert 2 70 60 80 70 60 50 60 50 60 40 50 40 40 40 30 30 30 20 20 COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 3 HD Euro II HD Euro I D Euro 3 D Euro 2 G Euro 3 -20 0 G Euro 2 HD Euro II HD Euro II HD Euro I D Euro 3 D Euro 2 G Euro 3 G Euro 2 HD Euro II HD Euro I D Euro 3 D Euro 2 G Euro 3 G Euro 2 0 HD Euro I 0 D Euro 3 0 10 D Euro 2 10 G Euro 3 10 20 G Euro 2 20 Runs executed (Germany) • Run 1: Original RAINS calculation • Run 2: COPERT 2 + RAINS Input • Run 3: COPERT 2 + EC4MACS Input • Run 4: COPERT 4 + RAINS Input • Run 5: COPERT 4 + EC4MACS Input COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 4 Fuel consumption - France COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 5 NOx Emissions - France COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 6 EGR Technology Image taken from Volvo Trucks 1. Part of the exhaust is drawn through a bleed-off valve 2. This is cooled down in a heat exchanger 3. It is fed back to the intake air as an inert gas to absorb combustion heat, decrease T and decrease NOx concentration COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 7 SCR Technology Image taken from Bosch 1. Injection of urea (NH2)2CO upstream of a hydrolysis catalyst 2. Urea hydrolysis (NH2)2CO +H2O2NH3 +CO2 3. NOx reduction through ammonia to form N2+H2O COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 8 Heavy duty vehicles • Emission Level NOx (g/km) 20,0 SCR EGR Emission Standard 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 • EF over ES ratios (Euro V over Euro IV) EF Euro V / EF Euro IV Speed (km/h) 1,6 1,4 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 Real SCR/EGR Mix Emission Standard 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Speed (km/h) COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 9 70 80 90 100 How this is modelled with COPERT • Both EGR and SCR considered in COPERT for Euro V • The user needs to provide the %EGR for Euro V trucks • Calculation: EFEUROV = %EGR × EFEGR + (100-EGR%) × EFSCR • Remarks – SCR is the dominant technology in the market (75% of sales) – EGR in principle only selected by Scania, although Scania Euro V trucks with SCR have appeared – Euro VI trucks will be all equipped with SCR. Large ones will be equipped with SCR+EGR – No reliable Euro VI emission factors still in COPERT 4 COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 10 EGR vs SCR penetration • Some values have been already filled in. • These values originate from market surveys and sales of Euro V trucks in 2008, 2009 and first quarter of 2010. These values therefore reflect our best knowledge for the year 2010. • The user may change these values if better information is available. • On the basis of the this analysis, the EGR ratio for 2008 was 26.6% and 24.6% for 2009. COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 11 Impact over previous version HDT Emissions NOx Total Emissions NOx 140 90 80 Old Estimate 70 New Estimate 100 80 50 kt kt 60 40 30 60 40 20 20 10 0 2000 Old Estimate New Estimate 120 2010 2020 2030 0 2000 2010 Example: Austria Max Effect 2015 HDTs: 15% Road Transport: 7% National Total: 3,8% COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 12 2020 2030 Light Duty Vehicles • • • Graph obtained by TUG (S. Hausberger) study Euro 5 based on limited sample (7 cars) Not yet included in COPERT 4 COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 13 Impact on emission factors Percentage difference over previous step 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 -40.0 -50.0 COPERT Emission Standard First results -60.0 • Much larger impact expected than correction for HDVs!!!! COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 14 Summary • HDVs – COPERT emission factors reliable up to Euro V – Euro V trucks need EGR/SCR ratio for accurate prediction – No indications yet on Euro VI trucks • LDVs – COPERT emission factors reliable up to Euro 4 – Indications on Euro 5 diesel cars emitting much more NOx than expected – Euro 5 car emission factors expected summer 2012 – First indications on demo Euro 6 show much better performance overall compared to Euro 5 COPERT 4 Training (4. NOx) 15
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