Reform Options for the EU Own Resources System Philipp Mohl Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) Conference: „The Future of the EU Budget“ Budapest, 30 May 2008 Assessing the Status quo Development of EU Own Resources 100,000 GNP/GNI own resource VAT own resource 80,000 traditional own resources in million EUR other payments 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Incentives of Budgetary Players & the Common Pool Problem • Provision of European goods suffers from asymmetric cost-benefit analysis • Council members represent national electorates • Enlargement and unanimity rule force the common pool problem • Small countries in particular face almost zero marginal costs in financing pork barrels Incentives of Budgetary Players & the Common Pool Problem (contd.) Country Germany France Italy UK Spain The Netherlands Belgium Sweden Austria Denmark Greece Finland Portugal Share in % 20.1 17.9 14.1 11.1 9.7 5.1 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.6 Country Irland Poland Czech Republic Hungary Slovak Republic Slovenia Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Cyprus Estonia Malta Share in % 1.5 2.4 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 The Driving Forces of Redistribution • Expenditure side: – Large redistributional effect – Structural funds: progressive redistribution pattern – Agricultural policy: arbitrary redistribution pattern • Revenue side: – Relative small redistributional effect – Largest redistributional effects: UK‘s rebate – The revenue side counteracts the expenditure side redistribution to a small extent Conclusion: Strengths and Weaknesses of the Status quo + Link between national budgets and the EU budget + Ceiling of the EU budget + Member States can decide on their own how to finance the EU budget + Increasing relevance of GNI resources – Common Pool Problem – Long list of special provisions ZEW Reform Proposal ZEW Reform Proposal • Complete phasing-out of the VAT resource • Focus on the GNI resource • Establishing a generalised but limited correction mechanism (GLCM) – Generalised, i.e. no single country would be priveleged – Limited, i.e. not all allocatable expenditures are taking into account in the correction ZEW Reform Proposal (contd.) Idea: Split the EU budget in two baskets: • Basket 1: – Includes policies whose distributive effects are either not measurable or are politically accepted – Financed by GNI resources – Eurostat might calculate the level of contributions ZEW Reform Proposal (contd.) • Basket 2: – Includes policies whose distributive effects are not regarded as acceptable – Financed by a generalised correction mechanism – Option to phase out Basket 2 of the EU budget Distribution pattern of various EU taxes VAT tax 70% 60% 50% Deviation from GNI proportionality 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% DE FR UK IT ES NL EL PT BE SE AT DK FI IE LU PL CZ HU SK LT LV SL EE CY MT CO2 tax 500% Deviation from GNI proportionality 400% 300% 200% 100% 0% -100% DE FR UK IT ES NL EL PT BE SE AT DK FI IE LU PL CZ HU SK LT LV SL EE CY MT RO BU
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