EC381/MN308 Probability and Some Statistics Lecture 9 - Outline 1. Functions of Random Variables Yannis Paschalidis 2. A Unified View of Discrete and Continuous Random Variables [email protected], http://ionia.bu.edu/ Dept. of Manufacturing Engineering Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering Center for Information and Systems Engineering 1 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 3.5 Functions of Continuous RVs Discrete-to-Discrete Transformations A random variable X is transformed by a specified function g(X) into a random variable: If X is a discrete RV taking on values x1, x2, … , xn, …, then Y must also be a discrete RV with values y1 = g(x1), y2 = g(x2), … , yn = g(xn), … Y = g(X) . What are the statistical properties of Y? discrete → discrete continuous → continuous Some of these values may be the same, i.e., g(xi) = g(xj) for some values of i and j and this will, of course, be reflected in the probabilities associated with Y continuous → mixed The PMF of Y is readily obtained via: continuous → discrete Types of Transformations: In any of these cases, the expected value of Y, or of functions of Y, can be readily determined, but the PMF/ PDF are harder to determine pY(yj) = P{Y = yj} = ∑ pX(xi), where the sum is over all i such that g(xi) = yj . E [Y2] = E [g2(X)] Var[Y] = E [g2(X)] – {E [g(X)]}2 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 3 2 g(x) = n, for n – 0.5 < x ≤ n + 0.5, n = integer EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 –1.5 –0.5 In 0.5 1.5 x 2.5 –1 –2 PY(n) = P [Y = n] yn y2 1 –2.5 g(x) y1 g(x) g(•) is a staircase function If the range of X can be partitioned into a (countable) set of intervals I1, I2, … In, … such that g(x) has a constant value yj for all x ∈ Ij, Then Y is a discrete RV taking values y1, y2, …, yn, … with probabilities P{X ∈ I1}, P{X ∈ I2}, … , P{X ∈ In}, …, respectively as shown in the figure below: respectively, I2 4 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Example: A quantizer function Continuous-to-Discrete Transformations I1 2 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 = P [n – 0.5 < X ≤ n + 0.5] = area under PDF fX(x) from x = n – 0.5 to x = n + 0.5 x = FX(n + 0.5) – FX(n – 0.5) 5 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 fX(x) x 6 1 Example: A quantizer function transforms an exponential Continuous RV into a Geometric Discrete RV If X is an exponential RV with parameter λ and its derivative g′(x) is not zero on any interval (this restriction simply avoids “flat spots” in g(•) that would give rise to mixed or discrete RVs, although Y = ⎡X⎤ (smallest integer greater than or equal to x) allowing g′(x) = 0 for some values of x is acceptable), Then Y is a geometric random variable with parameter p = 1 – exp(–λ) since ∫01 λ exp(–λx) dx = 1 – exp(–λ) , so Then, Y = g(X) is a continuous RV. P Procedure d tto determine d t i th the PDF off Y, Y given i th the PDF off X PY(n) = [1 – exp(–λ)]•[exp(–λ)] n–1 for n ≥ 1 1) Sketch the function y = g(x) so that you can determine the range of values of X that correspond to any range of values of Y g(x) y 2 1 0 1/λ x 2) Determine the CDF of Y in terms of the CDF of X: PY(n) 0 1 2 x y n 1 2 3 7 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Special Case: Y = g(X) is a continuous monotonic increasing function for the entire range of X. Given fX(x), determine fY(y). y P [y ≤ Y ≤ y + Δy] = P [x ≤ X ≤ x + Δx] fY ( y ) Δy = f X ( x ) Δx dy fY ( y ) = fX ( x ). dx dy = f ( x ). dx X Example: Range x x x2 8 Y = c X + d, y where c > 0 g(x) x x Δx Since g(X) is continuous and monotonic, we have fY ( y ) dy = fX ( x ) dx X is an exponential RV: f X ( x ) = λ exp( −λ x ), x ≥ 0 x1 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Given fX(x), determine fY(y). Δy So, for any monotonic function: fY ( y ) = (d/dy)FY(y) Special Case: Linear Transformations g(x) Similarly, for a monotonic decreasing function −fY ( y ) 3) Differentiate to get the PDF: fY(y) Range y fX(x) λ Continuous-to-Continuous Transformations If X is a continuous RV and g(x) is a continuous function of x such that and Y = X 2 , dy = f X ( x ) ⇒ fY ( y ) c = f X ( x ) dx fY ( y ) = X ≥0 dy = f X ( x ) ⇒ fY ( y ) ⋅ 2 x = f X ( x ) dx f ( x ) fX y λ = = exp −λ y fY ( y ) = X 2x 2 y 2 y 1 ⎛y−d⎞ f c X ⎜⎝ c ⎟⎠ fY ( y ) ( ) EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 fY ( y ) = If d = 0, then, ( ) 9 1 ⎛ y⎞ f c X ⎜⎝ c ⎟⎠ Example: Linear Transformation of a Gaussian RV Thus, the function fY(y) has the same shape as fX(x), but is stretched out by a factor of c (if c > 1) or squeezed down by a factor of c (if c < 1) If X is a Gaussian RV, N(μ, σ 2), then Y = cX + d is also a Gaussian RV, N(cμ+d, c2σ 2). If the horizontal scale expands by a factor c, the vertical scale must compress by the same factor to maintain the area at unity c=2 fX(x) If d ≠ 0, then as before: fY ( y ) = Proof: fY(y) x y 1 ⎛y−d⎞ f c X ⎜⎝ c ⎟⎠ i.e., fY(y) is a scaled version of fX(x) that is translated rightward by d. EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 10 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 11 fX ( x ) = ⎡ ( x − μ )2 ⎤ exp ⎢ − ⎥ 2σ 2 ⎦ σ 2π ⎣ fY ( y ) = 1 1 ⎛ y−d⎞ f c X ⎜⎝ c ⎟⎠ 2 ⎡ ⎛⎛ y − d ⎞ ⎞ ⎤ ⎢ ⎜⎜ ⎟−μ⎟ ⎥ ⎡ ( y − d − μ c )2 ⎤ 1 1 1 ⎢ ⎝⎝ c ⎠ ⎥ ⎠ ⎢ ⎥ fY ( y) = exp ⎢− ⎥ = c σ 2π exp ⎢ − 2σ 2 2c 2σ 2 c σ 2π ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ ⎢ ⎥ ⎣⎢ ⎦⎥ EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 = N(cμ + d, c2σ 2) 12 2 3.6 Conditional Probability for General RVs Continuous-to-Mixed Transformations If X is a continuous RV and g(x) is a continuous function of x with zero derivative on one or more intervals then Y = g(X) is a mixed (or hybrid) RV Review: for random events g(x) y1 0 fX(x) FY(y) A x A−B A∩B B x CDF 0 y1 y y1 y fY(y) PDF/ PMF 0 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 13 Review: for Discrete RVs: 14 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Conditional Probability for Arbitrary RVs Conditional CDF: Special case: B ⊂ SX p. 83 Conditional PDF: PX|B(x) is a probability mass function with the usual properties: •Special case: B ⊂ SX –Truncate and rescale! 15 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Example: Exponential RV truncated and rescaled 16 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 3.7 Unified View of Continuous & Discrete RVs Discrete RV X is exponential, parameter λ = 0.5; CDF B = {X > 6} (we know the RV > 6) Continuous RV FX(x) = P [X ≤ x] CDF FX(x) = P [X ≤ x] 1 1 P [xk] 0 P(B) = e-3 since area under fX(x) from x = 6 to x = ∞ = FX(∞) – FX(6) = 1 – FX(6) = e-0.5 x 6 = e-3 x xk 0 x PDF fX(x) = (d/dx) FX(x) PMF P [xk] For exponential RVs (and also Geometric RVs): residual life Xr is exponentially distributed, i.e., xk P{Xr > b | X > a} = P {X > b}, so that these RVs are “memoryless.” EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 17 x x Let’s bring both of these under the same view. EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 18 3 PDF versus PMF Define PDF functions for Discrete RVs using the concept of the impulse (delta) function • Discrete RV defines a set of point masses on the axis, with total mass =1 – PMF PX(x) = mass at x = probability that x occurs PDF = fX(x) = (d/dx) FX(x) for both discrete & continuous RVs • Continuous RV defines a spread of the total unity probability mass along the axis Differentiate the “stairs” function using the unit step function – There is no probability mass at any point u(x) and the delta function δ(x): • PDF of a continuous RV tells the density of the mass at each point u(x) – PDF is measured in units of probability mass/length 1 – PDF is analogous to mass density, charge density, etc. 0 x 0 x δ (x) 19 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Properties of the Impulse Function Unit impulse looks like a probability density! • The unit impulse is a “generalized function” • It is nonnegative – In principle it’s not a proper function, as it has an infinite value – But, we can integrate against it – From a mathematician’s perspective, it is a “distribution” or “generalized function” • It integrates to 1: • So, we will use it to describe PDFs for RVs with CDFs that are discontinuous • Given any well-behaved function f(.) (e.g., bounded and measurable), – Discrete RVs – Mixed (or hybrid) RVs 21 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Random Variable Discrete RV Continuous RV 22 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 Unified View of the Expectation of a Function of an RV ∞ E [g ( X )] = Both: CDF FX(x) = P [X ≤ x] 1 20 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 ∫ g ( x )f X ( x )d x for both continuous & discrete −∞ 1 If the RV is discrete: P [xk] f X ( x ) = ∑ P [ xk ]δ ( x − xk ) k 0 xk x 0 ∞ E [g ( X )] = x ∫ g ( x )∑ P [ x ]δ ( x − x k −∞ Both: PDF fX(x) = (d/dx) FX(x) k )d x k ∞ = ∑ P [ xk ] ∫ g ( x )δ ( x − xk )d x P [xk]δ(x-xk) k −∞ = ∑ P [ xk ]g ( xk ) k xk x fX ( x ) = ∑ P[ xk ]δ ( x − xk ) i.e., E [g ( X )] = ∑ g ( xk )P [ x k ] as it should x k k EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 23 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 24 4 Example Mixed RVs X is discrete RV, with P [X = 1] = 0.6, P [X = 2] = 0.3, P [X = 3] = 0.1 Determine the PDF and second moment E [X 2]. Example (admittedly somewhat artificial): CDF (use unit step function): • Experiment: FX ( x ) = 0.6u ( x − 1) + 0.3u ( x − 2 ) + 0.1u ( x − 3 ) – 2 cashiers. Cashier 1 is “sloppy,” cashier 2 is “meticulous.” Meticulous one services customers exactly on the minutes. – Pick cashier 1 with probability 1/3 and cashier 2 with probability 2/3. – If cashier 1 is picked, generate delay X as an exponential RV with parameter λ = 0.5. 0 If cashier hi 2 iis picked, i k d generate d delay l X as geometric i RV with parameter p = 0.5. Differentiate to get PDF (use delta function): f X ( x ) = 0.6δ ( x − 1) + 0.3δ ( x − 2 ) + 0.1δ ( x − 3 ) Compute E [X2] using old way (PMF): • What is CDF of X? – Event A: cashier 1 picked. – Event B: cashier 2 picked. – Use Total Probability Theorem. Compute via integral of PDF using new way: EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 25 EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 26 CDF PDF EC381/MN308 – 2007/2008 27 5
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