Environmental links to pelagic fish life cycle, abundance, and distribution: determining governing factor (LMR/PEL/09-03&04) PI: DAWIT YEMANE AND JANET COETZEE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY & FISHERIES BRANCH: FISHERIES MANAGEMENT Talk structure • Background • Objectives • Results – Angola – Namibia – South Africa • Current state of the project • Next step 2 Background • It is widely known that environmental variables do influence the distribution and abundance of pelagic fishes • However the extent, the direction of the influence, and its temporal consistency is still the topic various studies both at the regional level and globally • Environmental variables influence distribution directly and indirectly 3 4 Spatial dynamics of the bearded goby and its key predators off Namibia varies with climate and oxygen availability (Salvanes et al. in press) 5 Background • Considering the long-term changes observed both globally and regionally and the relevance of pelagic fishes in the BCLME it becomes important that we study the influence of environmental variables on pelagic fish distribution, and abundance • There a number of ways the effect of environmental variables on pelagic fish distributions/abundance can be studied 6 7 Approach •Selection of species •The following species were included in this study: Anchovy, Sardine, Round herring, and cape horse mackerel [South Africa]; cape horse mackerel [Namibia]; Sardinella and horse mackerel [Angola]. These species were included in the study as they spend most/all of their life cycle in the pelagic system. •Data sources: biological •All of the biological data used in this study were obtained from routine biomass assessment surveys conducted off the coast of the three countries in the BCLME: Angola, Namibia, and South Africa. •Data comes from the two types of surveys that are commonly carried out in the three countries: the pelagic hydro-acoustic survey and the demersal trawl survey. 8 Approach cont… •Data sources: environmental •Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and Sea Surface Chlorophyll (SSChl) data corresponding to the spatial domain of each of the three countries were extracted as the mean per pixel over the two to three month during surveys in each country •Data analysis •Different types of statistical models are commonly used in link the distribution and abundance of pelagic fish species to the prevailing environmental condition: In this talk results from Generalized Additive Model (GAM) will be presented. 9 Result: South Africa 10 Result: South Africa 11 Result: South Africa 12 Result: South Africa 13 Result: South Africa 14 Result: Namibia (horse mackerel) 15 Result: Angola (horse mackerel) 16 Result: Angola (Sardinella) 17 Summary •Summary: –The result of this study demonstrate the potential use of remote sensing data, combined with various novel statistical tools, to understand habitat preference of pelagic fishes in the BCLME region. –The result of this preliminary analysis also shows the difference in the direction of influence of the different environmental variables (as deduced from the response curves) 18 Current state • Country specific updates • South Africa (most of the remaining work is write up of the papers and the report) • Namibia (remaining work download the new sst, update analysis and write up) • Angola (same as for Namibia) 19 Acknowledgement All collaborators on Benguela Current Commission (BCC) funded project Collaborators on a NANSCLIM project Branch Fisheries Management of the Department of Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 20
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