Limnol. Oceanogr., 58(3), 2013, 1035–1047 2013, by the Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography, Inc. doi:10.4319/lo.2013.58.3.1035 E Wintertime controls on summer stratification and productivity at the western Antarctic Peninsula Hugh J. Venables,* Andrew Clarke, and Michael P. Meredith British Antarctic Survey, Madingley Road, Cambridge, United Kingdom Abstract We report results collected year-round since 1998 in northern Marguerite Bay, just inside the Antarctic Circle. The magnitude of the spring phytoplankton bloom is much reduced following winters with reduced sea-ice cover. In years with little winter sea-ice the exposed sea surface leads to deep mixed layers in winter, and reduced watercolumn stratification the following spring. Summer mixed-layer depths are similar, however, so the change is not in overall light availability but toward a less stable water column with greater vertical mixing and increased variability in the light conditions experienced by phytoplankton. Macronutrient concentrations are replete at all times, but the increased vertical mixing likely reduces iron availability. The timing of bloom initiation is similar between heavy and light ice years, occurring soon after light returns in early spring, at a mixed-layer averaged light level of , 1 mol photon m22 d21. Ongoing regional climate change in the WAP area, and notably the ongoing loss of winter sea-ice, is likely to drive a downward trend in the magnitude of phytoplankton blooms in this region of the Antarctic Peninsula. Within the Southern Hemisphere, the region that is changing most rapidly is the western Antarctic Peninsula (WAP), which has experienced one of the strongest warmings of anywhere in the world (King 1994; Vaughan et al. 2003). The annual mean atmospheric warming at the WAP is 3.7 6 1.6uC century-1 unweighted, or 3.4uC century-1 when weighted by length of record (Vaughan et al. 2003). This warming is most pronounced in austral autumn and winter (Turner et al. 2005). Although the full mechanisms controlling the warming have not yet been elucidated, it has been linked to atmospheric circulation changes. Warm winters at the WAP are associated with more cyclonic circulation and increased warm air advection. Increased precipitation at the WAP in recent decades (Thomas et al. 2008) is consistent with the hypothesis that the warming trend is accompanied by a shift toward more cyclonic conditions. Increased temperatures and shifts in the wind pattern have affected the length of the sea-ice season along the WAP. Sea-ice duration has declined significantly to the west of the Antarctic Peninsula. Changes in duration show a strong trend toward a later advance in autumn and a weaker trend toward an earlier retreat in spring (Stammerjohn et al. 2008). Superimposed on this trend are anomalous years of more extreme conditions that are linked to variations in coupled modes of climate variability, such as the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon (Meredith et al. 2004; Massom et al. 2006). In addition to reduced sea-ice extent, 80% of glaciers on the Antarctic Peninsula are retreating, and retreat rates are accelerating (Cook et al. 2005). This retreat includes the Sheldon Glacier that flows into Ryder Bay at the northern edge of Marguerite Bay (Fig. 1; Peck et al. 2010). * Corresponding author: [email protected] The ocean also affects regional warming via the on-shelf flow of Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) from the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, which lies immediately adjacent to the continental shelf break (Klinck 1998) at the WAP. The CDW water mass is warmer than surface water, being initially < 2uC before modification by mixing with cooler shelf water. Because of strengthening westerly winds associated with an increasing trend in the SAM, it is likely that the on-shelf flow of warm CDW has increased in recent decades, with an associated rise in heat flux (Martinson et al. 2008). The effects of reducing sea-ice cover on local hydrography and productivity have been studied at various locations in the Arctic and Antarctic (Clarke et al. 2007; Tremblay et al. 2008). The effect on productivity can be both positive and negative, depending on the local conditions and the date of ice breakup. A shift to open water from permanent ice cover removes the shading effect of ice and can lead to a significant increase in productivity (Arrigo et al. 2008; Montes-Hugo et al. 2009). If, however, the presence of ice early in the growth season increases stratification, then a reduction in productivity can result (Vernet et al. 2008; Montes-Hugo et al. 2009). Changes in salinity, from changes in sea ice or glacial melt, can also affect phytoplankton community composition (Moline et al. 2004). The relationship between sea-ice dynamics and biological productivity is thus complex. Changes in ice cover also have implications for higher trophic levels (Ducklow et al. 2007; Schofield et al. 2010). Zooplankton, especially krill, are dependent on sea ice (Atkinson et al. 2004) and highly sensitive to sea-ice changes (Wiedenmann et al. 2009). However, consequences of altered sea-ice conditions on zooplankton populations are extremely hard to predict with any accuracy. This potential for change along the Antarctic Peninsula highlights the importance of long-term studies of the phytoplankton community (Schloss et al. 2012) and the export 1035 1036 Venables et al. Fig. 1. Map of sampling area: (a) the position of Rothera research station on Adelaide Island, Antarctic Peninsula, with the 1000 m contour marked; and (b) the sampling site in Ryder Bay close to the base. from the surface layers (Ducklow et al. 2008) because these may change rapidly, with effects on carbon sequestration and higher trophic levels. The extreme seasonal cycle in light availability in northern Marguerite Bay (Fig. 1), which is within the Antarctic Circle, provides an opportunity to study bloom initiation in a system that must be light-limited for the 3 weeks when the sun does not rise. That is, when light is zero the growth rate must be less than or equal to zero. Following this period, the growth rate must increase through zero, taken to be the point of bloom initiation. Classically, bloom initiation occurs when shoaling mixed-layer depths and increasing irradiance lead to phytoplankton photosynthesis exceeding total system respiration, including zooplankton grazing of phytoplankton (Sverdrup 1953). This theory leads to the definition of a ‘critical depth,’ such that net phytoplankton growth occurs only if the mixed-layer depth is shallower than the critical depth. The derivation of the critical depth includes the incoming irradiance and therefore varies seasonally with changing light levels. This view is modified by the fact that a drop in mixed-layer turbulence must precede restratification (Townsend et al. 1992; Huisman et al. 1999). Accordingly, processes that act to increase early season stratification are predicted to lead to an earlier start to a phytoplankton bloom (Long et al. 2012). An alternative view of bloom initiation has been proposed that considers seasonal changes in phytoplankton losses to be more significant than light-driven increases in phytoplankton-specific growth rates (i.e., cell divisions per d) in setting the net phytoplankton growth rate (Behrenfeld 2010). According to this view, referred to as the ‘dilutionrecoupling hypothesis,’ physical processes in early winter (in particular, mixed-layer deepening) disrupt the balance between phytoplankton growth and losses, thereby allowing net biomass accumulation despite maximum mixing depths and low light. During subsequent mixed-layer stratification, phytoplankton growth and loss rates become increasingly similar (i.e., ‘recoupled’), such that springtime increases in net population growth rates are not proportional to light-driven increases in specific growth rates (Behrenfeld 2010; Boss and Behrenfeld 2010). In the open Southern Ocean, high-nutrient low-chlorophyll (HNLC) conditions prevail in most areas due to iron limitation (De Baar et al. 2005; Jickells et al. 2005). These HNLC conditions likely favor phytoplankton of small cell size that are more easily grazed by zooplankton (Morel et al. 1991). Chlorophyll concentrations in these areas are consistently below 0.5 mg m23. It is less clear which factors control the upper limit to bloom magnitude (i.e., maximum phytoplankton concentration) in areas where iron limitation is lifted, such as downstream of some Sub-Antarctic islands or during iron addition experiments. Possible controlling factors include light limitation through selfshading (De Baar et al. 2005), photoinhibition (Alderkamp et al. 2010), or the return of iron stress due to phytoplankton uptake (Venables and Moore 2010). In this paper, we use a 14 yr record of water-column measurements and sea-ice observations to investigate the processes linking sea-ice cover, stratification, and summer chlorophyll at a WAP site (Fig. 1). The importance of wintertime sampling is that it allows full investigation of the preconditioning processes that can influence the timing and magnitude of the subsequent spring bloom, including assessment of the effects of light limitation and mixed-layer processes on phytoplankton. Methods Oceanographic sampling has been undertaken from the British Antarctic Survey’s Rothera Research Station Wintertime controls on spring bloom (Fig. 1) since 1998, as part of the Rothera oceanographic and biological time series (RaTS; Clarke et al. 2008). The primary RaTS site at 67.570uS 68.225uW (Fig. 1) is located in Ryder Bay, < 4 km from Rothera base. Water depth at the RaTS site is 520 m. The south-facing aspect of the bay makes it particularly sensitive to northerly winds blowing ice away from the coast (Meredith et al. 2004, 2008, 2010). Sampling is undertaken from a small boat, or through a hole cut in fast ice. Sampling is targeted to be twice weekly in summer and weekly in winter, although weather conditions sometimes prevent this being achieved. There are two large gaps in the 14 yr time series. The first major gap in late 2000 was caused by persistent unworkable ice (too heavy to allow passage by boat, but not passable on foot). This problem is also responsible for a number of other smaller gaps in the time series, unfortunately often in early spring. The second major gap occurred when equipment was lost in a fire in September 2001. All gaps of . 30 d duration are considered here as breaks in the time series. When the standard RaTS site cannot be occupied (e.g., due to partial sea-ice cover), a secondary site is used that has a depth of 300 m and is located at 67.581uS 68.156uW. During each RaTS sampling time point, vertical profiling measurements are made using a SeaBird 19+ conductivity temperature depth instrument (CTD), a WetLabs in-line fluorometer, and a LiCor photosynthetically available radiation (PAR) sensor. Two replicate profiling packages are used to support the time-series measurements, with one package being deployed in the field while the other is being serviced and recalibrated. Prior to January 2003, a Chelsea Instruments Aquapak CTD and fluorometer were used. During this period, profiling was limited to the top 200 m by the pressure rating of the instrument. Vertical profile sampling consists of a full-depth CTD and discrete water sample collection at 15 m. Continuous profile data are collected for temperature, conductivity, pressure, fluorescence and PAR. An annual joint cast is also made with the RaTS profiling system and the SeaBird 911+ CTD package on the R/V Laurence M. Gould during the Palmer Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) grid survey (Ducklow et al. 2007). Instrument offsets identified during these joint casts are applied to the RaTS salinity data to reconcile them with the LTER 142 data and our water samples. Given the range of offsets found and the accuracy of the SeaBird 911+ CTD package, we estimate that the temperature is accurate to 0.002uC and salinity to 0.005. The discrete water samples collected at 15 m depth are used for salinity calibration and measurement of chlorophyll, macronutrients, and a range of other properties (Clarke et al. 2008). Chlorophyll data presented in the current paper are derived from the CTD fluorescence sensor data calibrated against the 15 m extracted chlorophyll sample values. These chlorophyll profile data have been reprocessed due to the discovery of a nonlinear sensor response at high values. Thus, the current data are slightly different from those presented previously (Clarke et al. 2008), but exhibit the same qualitative patterns. Additional details regarding 1037 RaTS sampling are described in Clarke et al. (2008). Relevant to the current study, the RaTS site is always replete in macronutrients and seasonally persistent high chlorophyll concentrations observed in some years strongly suggest a seasonally persistent iron supply. A likely source for this enhanced iron is from glacial melt, as observed in the Amundsen Sea (Alderkamp et al. 2012; Gerringa et al. 2012). Mixed-layer depths, unless otherwise stated, are taken as the depth where the density difference (Ds) relative to the surface is 0.05 kg m23. Stratification is quantified here as the potential energy required to be added to homogenize the water column from the surface to a given depth or between two depths. This metric of stratification is the negative of the potential energy anomaly (Simpson et al. 1978) and has units of joules. Sea-ice coverage and type is characterized each day in the three bays around the Rothera station. Sea-ice coverage has been previously discussed in relation to assessing freshwater inputs into Ryder Bay (Meredith et al. 2008, 2010). The characterization of sea ice is undertaken by a series of marine assistants and thus is, inevitably, somewhat subjective. However, the seasonal and interannual changes in sea-ice coverage are far greater than the inter-investigator differences in assessment and the Rothera records agrees well with wider scale satellite-derived trends (Wallace 2007). Daily PAR data for our 14 yr time series are estimated from a Bentham spectroradiometer, with major data gaps during 2002, 2012, and most of 2003. Days with partial data are excluded. Bentham spectroradiometer data are only for the wavelength interval 400–600 nm and are recorded in W m22. Irradiance in units of mol photons m22 d21 was calculated for each wavelength (0.5 nm resolution) and 30 min resolution data integrated to create daily values. To achieve PAR estimates for the full 400– 700 nm range, the 600–700 nm photon flux was estimated from the measured flux at 500–600 nm. The sunlight energy spectrum is relatively flat between 500 and 700 nm (Gueymard et al. 2003); therefore, this was done by multiplying the 500–600 nm range by 1.18 to account for the reduction in energy per photon at higher wavelengths. This value was then added to create an estimate for the full 400–700 nm photon flux. Downwelling diffuse attenuation was calculated as the coefficient that gave the same depthintegrated PAR as was observed in the profile. This largely (though not completely) accounts for the through-ice profiles, where ice shading is significant. Any light that passes through the deployment hole cut in the ice is included, and this leads to water-column light estimates being slightly higher than they would be without the hole. When sampling is from a boat, this method agrees very closely with the standard method of estimating attenuation from fitting a regression line to the logarithm of the PAR profile. From daily PAR data and estimated values for the mean diffuse attenuation coefficient for the water column, the vertically averaged light availability for the surface (Ī S) was calculated for each cast. For the calculation of Ī S, depthresolved light values were averaged over the greater of 1038 Venables et al. either the mixed-layer depth or the top 20 m, because the mixed layer is often very shallow but enhanced chlorophyll concentrations always extent to 20 m deep, and normally deeper. This process makes no difference compared with just using the mixed-layer depth during bloom initiation because mixed-layer depths are . 20 m, but makes the surface light availability more comparable later in the season when the mixed-layer depth can be completely absent. Growth rates were calculated largely following Behrenfeld (2010), although no attempt was made to convert to carbon units. To calculate the net rate of chlorophyll accumulation, the rate of change of either vertically integrated chlorophyll (when the maximum of the mixedlayer depth [MLD] and photic zone depth [PZD] deepens) or surface chlorophyll concentration (when the mixed-layer shallows). This approach accounts for dilution of the phytoplankton population over an increasing water volume during mixing events and for phytoplankton being left below the mixed layer when stratification increases. The vertical integration is over the maximum of the MLD and PZD. The PZD was defined as the depth that received a daily averaged light of 0.2 mol photons m22 d21 because this was the best match to the vertical extent of phytoplankton in stratified periods, but the results are very insensitive to this number. Our data are taken during daylight and are therefore affected by quenching of the fluorescence, so the surface value used is the 10–20 m mean chlorophyll concentration. This process calculates the net rate of chlorophyll accumulation, r, which is the difference between the specific growth rate (cell divisions per d) and the specific loss rate (phytoplankton respiration plus grazing and viral losses). The vertical integration depth for both profiles was the depth from the second cast. This depth is, by construction, deeper (if it was shallower, then the chlorophyll concentration would be used rather than the depth-integrated chlorophyll) and so accounts for entrainment of deep chlorophyll from the first cast. It is particularly important when there is a shallow mixed layer that then deepens again into the remains of the previous deeper mixed layer that still has enhanced chlorophyll concentrations. The effects of advection of spatially varying chlorophyll concentrations past the sampling site contribute to noise in r. This effect is an inevitable feature of all time-series sites, but the length of the series means that the positive and negative effects should largely compensate. Results Physical changes—Figure 2a shows the time series of ice cover in Ryder Bay together with the MLD. Figure 3a shows that reduced duration of fast ice for some part of the winter (especially yr 1998, 2003, 2008–2011) leads to deep mixed-layer depths during the period the bay is ice-free. The reduction of the ice cover is discussed in detail by Meredith et al. (2010), who showed that this related largely to an increase in northerly winds blowing ice out of the south-facing bay. This change in the winds is partly linked to the intensification of the SAM, which has a mainly zonal structure over the Southern Ocean but includes nonzonally symmetric components, including in the region of the WAP (Thompson and Solomon 2002; Lefebvre et al. 2004). ENSO is also noted to have a marked effect on meridional winds in this region (Meredith et al. 2010). On the local scale, persistent northerly winds lead to the area close to Rothera taking the characteristics of a small polynya, with the surface of the water exposed to cold air temperatures and strong winds. This increased air–sea flux of heat and mechanical energy leads to the mixed layer deepening through three interlinked processes at the sea surface: loss of buoyancy through cooling, brine rejection from ice formation, and mechanical mixing due to the wind stress (Wallace et al. 2008; Meredith et al. 2010). Figure 2b,c show the full time series of potential temperature and salinity at the RaTS site down to 200 m. The effect of the deep mixed layers and enhanced watercolumn cooling are evident. Surface salinity is lower in high-ice years because the brine released from sea-ice formation is distributed vertically over a large depth range, where the subsequent ice melt is retained initially in a shallow stratified layer at the surface (Meredith et al. 2008). Figure 2b,c show the full time series of potential temperature and salinity at the RaTS site down to 200 m. The deep mixing events can be seen because they cool the water down to depths of 150–200 m and also homogenize the salinity in these depths as well. Salinity dominates density at these low temperatures, so the increased mixing of salinity significantly reduces the stratification in the upper 200 m during the winter. Stratification is returned to the system in the spring and summer through melting sea ice, glacial freshwater runoff (Meredith et al. 2008), and surface warming (Fig. 2b). The spring increase in stratification is from a lower winter baseline, so there is reduced stratification during the spring and summer following deep winter mixing (Fig. 3b). In order to analyze the time series, it has been split into deep winter mixing (DWM) years, with maximum winter MLD . 100 m, and shallow winter mixing (SWM) years. The deep winter mixed layers are due to significantly reduced ice extent (Fig. 3a), and so categorizing years on the basis of the depth of mixing also largely categorizes them on the basis of ice extent in spring. One partial exception to this is 2004, which had very deep mixed-layer depths in midwinter, but during which fast ice and shallower mixed-layer depths had returned by early spring. In this analysis, 2004 is included in the DWM years, but the following results are qualitatively unchanged if it is included with SWM years. The annual cycle of stratification (Fig. 4) shows the lower winter stratification (mean 5 19J for d of yr 150–250) in years with DWM, due to reduced ice cover. This is significantly different from years with SWM and extended periods of fast ice in winter (mean 5 84 J for d of yr 150– 250, t 5 4.5, p , 0.0005). The increase in stratification in November and December (d of yr 305–365) is similar (3.3 6 1.2 J d21 in DWM yr, 2.7 6 2.2 J d21 in SWM yr), though from the different winter levels, showing that changes in winter strongly affect the summer conditions. There is a noticeable, though not statistically significant, divergence in the SWM and DWM stratification in January Wintertime controls on spring bloom Fig. 2. 1039 Time series of (a) ice (not including brash ice) and mixed-layer depth, (b) potential temperature, and (c) salinity in Ryder Bay. (3.7 6 4.2 J d21 in DWM yr, 10.7 6 7.3 J d21 in SWM yr). Reduced stratification leads to the near-surface layer being preconditioned toward greater vertical mixing for the same energy input from wind stress and tides. Bloom initiation—The Rothera time series, with frequent measurements through the winter from within a polar circle, provides a unique opportunity to assess the annual cycle of phytoplankton net growth rate, r, in a region that must be light-limited for some period during the year. The two regimes of winter MLD (deep and shallow) provide a further opportunity to assess the role of the mixed-layer depth changes in the start and early phases of the phytoplankton bloom. DWM years have maximum winter mixed layer depths . 100 m and mean winter mixed-layer depths . 60 m, significantly deeper than the vertical extent of summertime enhanced chlorophyll. The MLD then shoals through spring. This is similar to open-ocean conditions. In contrast, years with fast ice cover and SWM have winter mixed-layer depths of 10–50 m, approximately the same depth as the depth of enhanced chlorophyll in the summer. However, despite the shallow mixed-layer depths, shading by the ice reduces light availability so that mixed-layer averaged light availability is very similar to DWM years. Figure 5b shows that r becomes positive in very early spring. Both DWM and SWM years show a very similar date (d of yr 228; 16 August) at Ī S < 0.6 mol photon m22 d21. We note that the mixed layers are close to maximal in both high and low ice regimes at this point, but the increase in incoming irradiance is sufficient to increase light availability. The data are unfortunately most sparse at this point in the year (Fig. 5a) because of the difficult ice conditions 1040 Venables et al. Fig. 3. (a) Relationship between winter fast ice and winter MLD. The 2000 and 2001 seasons are plotted as open circles and not included in the regression because there was no water-column sampling between late August and early December in either year (n 5 12, r2 5 0.87, p , 0.001). (b) Relationship between winter MLD and subsequent summer stratification (strat.; n 5 14, r2 5 0.51, p , 0.01). often encountered. The linear trend in r gives extra confidence in the timing found, but there are few data until d of yr 253. On this date, the light levels, Ī S, for SWM and DWM were 1.0 and 1.8 mol photon m22 d21, respectively. These levels are an upper bound to the light levels that lead to bloom initiation. Chlorophyll concentrations are similar between DWM and SWM years for < 3 months after r become positive. In this period, the deep mixed layers in DWM years mean that the depth-integrated chlorophyll concentrations are higher than in SWM years (Fig. 6, top panel). There is, however, no statistically significant difference in r between regimes at this time. It has been suggested that bloom initiation will occur when turbulent overturning in the mixed layer declines, which must precede water-column stratification (Townsend et al. 1992; Huisman et al. 1999). Light estimates from the MLD may therefore underestimate the effective light experienced by the phytoplankton at the time of bloom initiation. Inspection of the time series and each individual profile suggested that the mixed-layer depth used was often a good match for the depth of enhanced chlorophyll. For some casts, using Ds 5 0.02 kg m23 as a MLD criterion led to a closer match between MLD and the vertical extent of enhanced chlorophyll. Using these shallower MLDs, the light availability at the time of initiation increased slightly, to Ī S < 0.75 mol photon m22 d21. The growth rate r continues to rise with increasing light and water-column stability for about 6 weeks after bloom initiation. This is consistent with the increased specific growth rate possible from increased incoming irradiance, which initially more than compensates for any increase in loss terms due to the shallowing mixed layers and seasonal increase in zooplankton grazing. Bloom magnitude—Figure 7 shows the time series for 15 m chlorophyll. It is clear that during recent summers (2008–2010 especially) and the early part of 1998 show much lower chlorophyll concentrations than other years. Figure 6 (bottom panel) shows this, split between the DWM and SWM years, and Fig. 6 (top panel) shows a similar pattern in depth-integrated chlorophyll from d of yr Fig. 4. Annual cycle of near-surface stratification split between years with deep and shallow winter mixing. The lines are 30 d running means. Wintertime controls on spring bloom 1041 Fig. 5. Seasonal cycle of (a) net growth rate, r, at Ryder Bay, calculated from chlorophyll measurements, and (b) mixed-layer light availability (Ī S), growth rate, and mixed-layer depth with a 30 d running mean. In both plots, data are split between seasons preceded by either deep or shallow winter mixing. 340 onward. It therefore seems very likely that either the change in ice cover or MLDs has affected the phytoplankton in Ryder Bay (Fig. 8). Ice can affect phytoplankton in a range of ways. It can hold a population of ice algae, which could seed the bay in spring (Ackley and Sullivan 1994). Loss of the ice could therefore lead to a reduction in this process. This would not, however, explain the prolonged seasonal shift, especially given that there are some short-term increases in chlorophyll that could act in a similar manner. It is also not consistent with the observed shifts in dominant species within a season (Annett et al. 2010). Another possibility is that the presence or absence of ice significantly changes the light availability. The presence of ice cover in spring initially reduces Ī S, through shading of the water column (Fig. 5b), and then increases Ī S through creating a shallow mixed layer on melting. Due to the reduced self-shading by phytoplankton, the light availability, Ī S, in low chlorophyll years is higher than in high chlorophyll years (Fig. 9a). The lower chlorophyll years have higher light; therefore, low light availability cannot explain the low chlorophyll conditions. The coastal nature of the site means that there is a supply of glacial meltwater throughout the season, which acts to add at least as much freshwater as sea-ice melt (Meredith et al. 2008). This means that the MLDs quickly reduce in the spring in all years to the point where they are much shallower than the photic zone. Indeed, in many summer casts, there is no mixed layer readily observable at the surface of the water column. 1042 Venables et al. Fig. 6. Seasonal cycle of chlorophyll at RaTS split between years with deep winter mixing (limited ice cover) and shallow winter mixing (prolonged ice cover). (top panel) Vertically integrated chlorophyll, over the deeper of the mixed-layer and photic zone depths, and mixed-layer depth; (bottom panel) near-surface chlorophyll concentrations and photic zone depth. Despite the effect of meltwater, there is a prolonged effect of deep winter mixed layer into the summer. Figure 9b shows the stratification in the upper 30 m and the chlorophyll concentrations. A reduction in stratification leads to a more unstable water column, preconditioned toward greater vertical mixing for the same energy input. Greater vertical mixing will have two significant effects. The iron supply is likely to have a significant component entering directly into the photic zone, from both glacial meltwater (Alderkamp et al. 2012; Gerringa et al. 2012) and Fig. 7. the nearshore zone (Planquette et al. 2007). Increased mixing will dilute this supply and transport some of it downward, out of the photic zone. The decreased watercolumn stability also increases the variability in the depth of phytoplankton and so reduces their ability to fully adapt to the light level they are exposed to. Overall, there is a significant relationship of increasing summer chlorophyll with increasing stratification (Fig. 10). Figure 6 (top panel) shows that the low chlorophyll years have the highest short-term net growth rates, but also the greatest net loss Time series of 15 m chlorophyll and mixed-layer depth. Wintertime controls on spring bloom Fig. 8. Relationship between winter mixed-layer depth and summer chlorophyll concentrations. 2000 and 2001 are shown as open circles (and excluded from the regression) because there were only two winter casts in each year, all in August. (n 5 12, r2 5 0.62, p , 0.005). rates. The variances of r are significantly different between DWM and SWM years (p , 0.05) but the means are not significantly different. This greater spread of net growth rates is indicative of the more unstable and variable conditions experienced. 1043 Fig. 10. Relationship between summer stratification and summer chlorophyll (n 5 14, r2 5 0.59, p , 0.005). The higher integrated chlorophyll in DWM years may also affect the subsequent bloom magnitude. Assuming that the increased chlorophyll is indicative of increased biomass, there is the potential for an earlier increase in zooplankton populations within the mixed layer. This allows extra time for zooplankton growth; and through the spring, the zooplankton (capable of vertical movement) will Fig. 9. Time series of 15 m chlorophyll concentrations with (a) mixed-layer average light availability, and (b) stratification strength in the top 30 m. 1044 Venables et al. concentrate in the shallowing mixed-layer depth and thus lead to an increased grazing pressure (Boss and Behrenfeld 2010). This effect would be of greater importance if iron levels were also reduced, because this may also lead to smaller average cell sizes and thus greater potential for grazing loss (Morel et al. 1991). The low r observed around midsummer in high chlorophyll years (Fig. 6, bottom panel) masks significant cellular growth within the community structure. There are many shifts in the dominant species during this time (Annett et al. 2010), showing that some species must be growing while others are declining due to grazing or viral losses or naturally due to their reproductive cycle. Discussion Through the 14 yr of sampling at RaTS, there have been significant changes in the duration of fast sea ice in the winter. Low sea-ice years lead to deep winter mixed-layer depths, which are in turn followed by summers with lower nearsurface stratification. The variations in the physical conditions observed through the time series, combined with the extreme seasonality due to the location within the Antarctic Circle, provide a valuable test of the effect of mixed-layer depth, light availability, and dilution on bloom initiation. In contrast to the theory (Sverdrup 1953) that net phytoplankton growth rates are controlled in spring by increasing light availability increasing the specific growth rate, it has been proposed recently that bloom initiation is driven more by changes in phytoplankton loss rates (Behrenfeld 2010; Boss and Behrenfeld 2010). This study, based on data from the North Atlantic, builds on the work of (Evans and Parslow 1985) in focusing on the effects that mixed-layer deepening have on the concentration of plankton and thus grazing losses relative to the effects of light availability on specific growth rates. The data show that bloom initiation occurs at approximately the same time and light levels in each of the two winter regimes, despite the very different mixed-layer depths. The increase in light is also driven mainly by the increase in incoming irradiance rather than changes in mixed-layer depth within a year or between years with significantly different mixed-layer depth cycles. The light availability is thus not strongly connected to changing loss terms, as suggested in (Behrenfeld 2010). Overall the classical model for bloom initiation being driven by increased light availability (Sverdrup 1953) appears to hold in this circumstance. In this extremely seasonal location, it is the incoming irradiance that drives a deepening of the critical depth with time until it is deeper than the mixedlayer depths. The mixed-layer depths themselves stay relatively constant at the time of bloom initiation, but then shallow with the input of meltwater. Areas with higher midwinter light availability or more active frontal structures (Huisman et al. 1999; Taylor and Ferrari 2011a) may have different controls. The light level associated with an increase in chlorophyll is very low, suggesting that there is no significant delay from other processes limiting the response of phytoplankton to increased irradiance. It is lower than the lowest light level recorded in the North Atlantic (48–52uN; Boss and Behrenfeld 2010) but higher than midwinter light levels recorded in the some parts of the Southern Ocean in midwinter (Venables and Moore 2010). It is also about half the value found in a study of the North Atlantic bloom from satellite data (Siegel et al. 2002), though these comparisons with other locations are limited by lack of knowledge about potential differences in loss terms between these location. There is enhanced chlorophyll throughout the mixed layer in early spring, even when mixed layers are deep (. 80 m). This suggests that reduction in turbulence within the mixed layer or minor restratification events below the mixed-layer depth density threshold are not key for setting the timing of bloom initiation in this location (Taylor and Ferrari 2011b). It should be noted that it is chlorophyll that has been measured and there can be significant changes in chlorophyll : carbon ratios in phytoplankton (Landry et al. 2000; De Baar et al. 2005); hence, the early positive net growth rates calculated may actually reflect (at least partly) synthesis of new chlorophyll from internal reserves within phytoplankton cells rather than a net uptake of energy. Chlorophyll can presumably serve little or no function to a phytoplankton cell in the middle of a polar winter when the sun does not rise. The more stable environments are closer to optimal conditions for phytoplankton growth, leading to the very high concentrations and significant reduction in light availability through self-shading. The less stable conditions, preconditioned to a greater extent of vertical mixing for the same energy input, are similar to open-ocean conditions and the ‘low’ chlorophyll concentrations in this study are comparable with ‘high’ concentrations found in iron-fertilized regions of the Southern Ocean such as South Georgia (Park et al. 2010), Kerguelen (Mongin et al. 2008), or Crozet (Venables et al. 2007). The limitation of bloom magnitude discussed here is therefore qualitatively different from the limitation of phytoplankton to the HNLC conditions prevalent across most of the Southern Ocean (Platt et al. 2003; Alderkamp et al. 2010; Venables and Moore 2010). For coastal waters, the question is thus what processes set an upper limit to chlorophyll concentrations in significant blooms (Vernet et al. 2008). The links to spring mixed-layer depth and summer chlorophyll have been demonstrated here and further research is underway to assess the contribution of each to setting the bloom magnitude. A further question relating to seasonal cycle is the cause of the decline of the phytoplankton bloom in autumn. The greatest loss rates are while the MLD is deepening to about 30 m. This depth is similar to the depth of the enhanced chlorophyll through the summer, and mixed-layer averaged light levels are considerably higher than levels observed at the start of the spring bloom. This suggests the declines, which are similar in chlorophyll concentrations and in the depth-averaged chlorophyll (Fig. 6) cannot be explained simply through dilution or light limitation. Possibilities for the decline include seasonally changing grazing rates with maxima late in season before winter diapauses, viral infections of cells, or a reduction in iron supply due to the reduced melting and freshwater input. These, and other Wintertime controls on spring bloom aspects of the seasonal cycle, will be studied over the coming seasons. The year-round sampling of the marine environment close to the Antarctic Peninsula has allowed a unique assessment of the full annual cycle of phytoplankton in one of the most climatically sensitive regions of the world. It has shown that bloom initiation, defined as the start of a net positive increase in chlorophyll, occurs at extremely low light levels very early in the season (0.6 mol photon m22 d21, 16 Aug on average), and is linked to increasing light availability after the polar winter. The long-term sampling has also captured significant variability in the bloom strength linked to changes in the ice extent and winter mixed-layer depths. Deep winter mixing and limited sea-ice melt in spring lead to reduced water-column stratification in the surface 50 m. This does not lead to a reduction in light availability because there is still sufficient glacial meltwater to create very shallow mixed layers. Instead, it most likely acts by reducing the stability of the water column and therefore increasing its propensity to vertical mixing. The increased vertical mixing will dilute iron added at the surface in glacial meltwater and reduces the efficiencies of phytoplankton present by increasing the range of light levels they are exposed to. In this way, the effects of changes in winter meteorological conditions persist through the summer. This is significant because it is winter changes (to ice, winds, and temperatures) in the WAP region that are most pronounced. The climatic drivers for these changes (including an intensification of the SAM) are predicted to persist and intensify for some time yet, so these changes are likely to continue. Acknowledgments We thank the series of Marine Assistants who spent a year or two on base collecting these data and the other support staff that made this possible, especially during the austral winter. We also thank the anonymous reviewers for their useful input into the final version of this paper. References ACKLEY, S. F., AND C. W. SULLIVAN. 1994. Physical controls on the development and characteristics of Antarctic sea ice biological communities—a review and synthesis. Deep-Sea Res. Part I 41: 1583–1604, doi:10.1016/0967-0637(94)90062-0 ALDERKAMP, A.-C., H. J. W. DE BAAR, R. J. W. VISSER, AND K. R. ARRIGO. 2010. Can photoinhibition control phytoplankton abundance in deeply mixed water columns of the Southern Ocean? Limnol. Oceanogr. 55: 1248–1264, doi:10.4319/lo.2010.55.3.1248 ———, AND OTHERS. 2012. Iron from melting glaciers fuels phytoplankton blooms in the Amundsen Sea (Southern Ocean): Phytoplankton characteristics and productivity. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 71–76: 32–48, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.03.005 ANNETT, A. L., D. S. CARSON, X. CROSTA, A. CLARKE, AND R. J. GANESHRAM. 2010. Seasonal progression of diatom assemblages in surface waters of Ryder Bay, Antarctica. Polar Biol. 33: 13–29, doi:10.1007/s00300-009-0681-7 ARRIGO, K. R., G. VAN DIJKEN, AND S. PABI. 2008. Impact of a shrinking Arctic ice cover on marine primary production. Geophys. Res. Lett. 35, doi:10.1029/2008GL035028 1045 ATKINSON, A., V. SIEGEL, E. PAKHOMOV, AND P. ROTHERY. 2004. Long-term decline in krill stock and increase in salps within the Southern Ocean. Nature 432: 100–103, doi:10.1038/ nature02996 BEHRENFELD, M. 2010. Abandoning Sverdrup’s critical depth hypothesis on phytoplankton blooms. Ecology 91: 977–989, doi:10.1890/09-1207.1 BOSS, E., AND M. BEHRENFELD. 2010. In situ evaluation of the initiation of the North Atlantic phytoplankton bloom. Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, doi:10.1029/2010GL044174 CLARKE, A., M. P. MEREDITH, M. I. WALLACE, M. A. BRANDON, AND D. N. THOMAS. 2008. Seasonal and interannual variability in temperature, chlorophyll and macronutrients in northern Marguerite Bay, Antarctica. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 1988– 2006, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.04.035 ———, E. J. MURPHY, M. P. MEREDITH, J. C. KING, L. S. PECK, D. K. A. BARNES, AND R. C. SMITH. 2007. Climate change and the marine ecosystem of the western Antarctic Peninsula. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 362: 149–166, doi:10.1098/rstb.2006. 1958 COOK, A. J., A. J. FOX, D. G. VAUGHAN, AND J. G. FERRIGNO. 2005. Retreating glacier fronts on the Antarctic Peninsula over the past half-century. Science 308: 541–544, doi:10.1126/ science.1104235 DE BAAR, H. J. W., AND OTHERS. 2005. Synthesis of iron fertilization experiments: From the Iron Age in the Age of Enlightenment. J. Geophys. Res. 110, doi:10.1029/ 2004JC002601 DUCKLOW, H. W., AND OTHERS. 2007. Marine pelagic ecosystems: The West Antarctic Peninsula. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 362: 67–94, doi:10.1098/rstb.2006.1955 ———, AND OTHERS. 2008. Particle export from the upper ocean over the continental shelf of the west Antarctic Peninsula: A long-term record, 1992–2007. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 2118–2131, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.04.028 EVANS, G. T., AND J. S. PARSLOW. 1985. A model of annual plankton cycles. Biol. Oceanogr. 3: 327–347. GERRINGA, L. J. A., AND OTHERS. 2012. Iron from melting glaciers fuels the phytoplankton blooms in Amundsen Sea (Southern Ocean): Iron biogeochemistry. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 71–76: 16–31, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.03.007 GUEYMARD, C. A., D. MYERS, AND K. EMERY. 2003. Proposed reference irradiance spectra for solar energy systems testing. Solar Energy 73: 443–467, doi:10.1016/S0038-092X(03)00005-7 HUISMAN, J., P. VAN OOSTVEN, AND F. J. WEISSING. 1999. Critical depth and critical turbulence: Two different mechanisms for the development of phytoplankton blooms. Limnol. Oceanogr. 44: 1781–1787, doi:10.4319/lo.1999.44.7.1781 JICKELLS, T. D., AND OTHERS. 2005. Global iron connections between desert dust, ocean biogeochemistry, and climate. Science 308: 67–71, doi:10.1126/science.1105959 KING, J. C. 1994. Recent climate variability in the vicinity of the Antarctic Peninsula. Int. J. Climatol. 14: 357–369, doi:10.1002/joc.3370140402 KLINCK, J. M. 1998. Heat and salt changes on the continental shelf west of the Antarctic Peninsula between January 1993 and January 1994. J. Geophys. Res. 103: 7617–7636, doi:10.1029/ 98JC00369 LANDRY, M. R., AND OTHERS. 2000. Biological response to iron fertilization in the eastern equatorial Pacific (IronEx II). I. Microplankton community abundances and biomass. Mar. Ecol.-Prog. Ser. 201: 27–42, doi:10.3354/meps201027 LEFEBVRE, W., H. GOOSSE, R. TIMMERMAN, AND T. FICHEFET. 2004. Influence of the Southern Annular Mode on the sea ice–ocean system. J. Geophys. Res. 109, doi:10.1029/2004JC002403 1046 Venables et al. LONG, M. C., L. N. THOMAS, AND R. B. DUNBAR. 2012. Control of phytoplankton bloom inception in the Ross Sea, Antarctica, by Ekman restratification. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 26, doi:10.1029/2010GB003982 MARTINSON, D. G., S. E. STAMMERJOHN, R. A. IANNUZZI, R. C. SMITH, AND M. VERNET. 2008. Western Antarctic Peninsula physical oceanography and spatio-temporal variability. DeepSea Res. Part II 55: 1964–1987, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.04.038 MASSOM, R. A., AND OTHERS. 2006. Extreme anomalous atmospheric circulation in the West Antarctic Peninsula region in austral spring and summer 2001/02, and its profound impact on sea ice and biota. J. Clim. 19: 3544–3571, doi:10.1175/ JCLI3805.1 MEREDITH, M. P., AND OTHERS. 2008. Variability in the freshwater balance of northern Marguerite Bay, Antarctic Peninsula: Results from d18O. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 309–322, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2007.11.005 ———, I. A. RENFREW, A. CLARKE, J. C. KING, AND M. A. BRANDON. 2004. Impact of the 1997/98 ENSO on upper ocean characteristics in Marguerite Bay, western Antarctic Peninsula. J. Geophys. Res. 109, doi:10.1029/2003JC001784 ———, AND OTHERS. 2010. Changes in the freshwater composition of the upper ocean west of the Antarctic Peninsula during the first decade of the 21st century. Prog. Oceanogr. 87: 127–143, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2010.09.019 MOLINE, M. A., H. CLAUSTRE, T. K. FRAZER, O. SCHOFIELD, AND M. VERNET. 2004. Alteration of the food web along the Antarctic Peninsula in response to a regional warming trend. Glob. Change Biol. 10: 1973–1980, doi:10.1111/j.13652486.2004.00825.x MONGIN, M., E. MOLINA, AND T. W. TRULL. 2008. Seasonality and scale of the Kerguelen plateau phytoplankton bloom: A remote sensing and modeling analysis of the influence of natural iron fertilization in the Southern Ocean. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 880–892, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2007.12.039 MONTES-HUGO, M., S. C. DONEY, H. W. DUCKLOW, W. FRASER, D. G. MARTINSON, S. E. STAMMERJOHN, AND O. SCHOFIELD. 2009. Recent changes in phytoplankton communities associated with rapid regional climate change along the western Antarctic Peninsula. Science 323: 1470–1473, doi:10.1126/ science.1164533 MOREL, F. M. M., J. G. RUETER, AND N. M. PRICE. 1991. Iron nutrition of phytoplankton and its possible importance in the ecology of ocean regions with high nutrient and low biomass. Oceanography 4: 56–61, doi:10.5670/oceanog.1991.03 PARK, J., I.-S. OH, H.-C. KIM, AND S. YOO. 2010. Variability of SeaWiFs chlorophyll a in the southwest Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean: Strong topographic effects and weak seasonality. Deep-Sea Res. Part I 57: 604–620, doi:10.1016/ j.dsr.2010.01.004 PECK, L. S., D. K. A. BARNES, A. J. COOK, A. H. FLEMING, AND A. CLARKE. 2010. Negative feedback in the cold: Ice retreat produces new carbon sinks in Antarctica. Global Change Biology 16: 2614–2623, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02071.x PLANQUETTE, H., AND OTHERS. 2007. Dissolved iron in the vicinity of the Crozet Islands, Southern Ocean. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 54: 1999–2019, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2007.06.019 PLATT, T., D. S. BROOMHEAD, S. SATHYENDRANATH, A. M. EDWARDS, AND E. MURPHY. 2003. Phytoplankton biomass and residual nitrate in the pelagic ecosystem. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A 459: 1063–1073, doi:10.1098/rspa.2002.1079 SCHLOSS, I. R., D. ABELE, S. MOREAU, S. DEMERS, A. V. BERS, O. GONZALEZ, AND G. A. FERREYRA. 2012. Response of phytoplankton dynamics to 19-year (1991–2009) climate trends in Potter Cove (Antarctica). J. Mar. Syst. 92: 53–66, doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2011.10.006 SCHOFIELD, O., H. W. DUCKLOW, D. G. MARTINSON, M. P. MEREDITH, M. A. MOLINE, AND W. FRASER. 2010. How do polar marine ecosystems respond to rapid climate change? Science 328: 1520–1523, doi:10.1126/science.1185779 SIEGEL, D. A., S. C. DONEY, AND J. A. YODER. 2002. The North Atlantic spring phytoplankton bloom and Sverdrup’s critical depth hypothesis. Science 296: 730–733, doi:10.1126/science.1069174 SIMPSON, J. H., C. M. ALLEN, AND N. C. G. MORRIS. 1978. Fronts on the continental shelf. J. Geophys. Res. 83: 4607–4614, doi:10.1029/JC083iC09p04607 STAMMERJOHN, S. E., D. G. MARTINSON, R. C. SMITH, AND R. A. IANNUZZI. 2008. Sea ice in the western Antarctic Peninsula region: Spatio-temporal variability from ecological and climate change perspectives. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 2041–2058, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.04.026 SVERDRUP, H. U. 1953. On conditions for the vernal blooming of phytoplankton. J. du Conseil Perm. Int. l’Exploration Mer 18: 287–295. TAYLOR, J. R., AND R. FERRARI. 2011a. The role of density fronts in the onset of phytoplankton blooms. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38: L23601, doi:10.1029/2011GL049312 ———, AND ———. 2011b. Shutdown of turbulent convection as a new criterion for the onset of spring phytoplankton blooms. Limnol. Oceanogr. 56: 2293–2307, doi:10.4319/lo.2011.56.6. 2293 THOMAS, E. R., G. J. MARSHALL, AND J. R. MCCONNELL. 2008. A doubling in snow accumulation in the western Antarctic Peninsula since 1850 Geophys. Res. Lett. 35: L01706, doi: 10.1029/2007GL032529 THOMPSON, D. W. J., AND S. SOLOMON. 2002. Interpretation of recent Southern Hemisphere climate change. Science 296: 895–899, doi:10.1126/science.1069270 TOWNSEND, D. W., M. D. KELLER, M. E. SIERACKI, AND S. G. ACKLESON. 1992. Spring phytoplankton blooms in the absence of vertical water column stratification. Nature 360: 59–62, doi:10.1038/360059a0 TREMBLAY, J.-E., K. SIMPSON, J. MARTIN, L. MILLER, Y. GRATTON, D. BARBER, AND N. M. PRICE. 2008. Vertical stability and the annual dynamics of nutrients and chlorophyll fluorescence in the coastal, southeast Beaufort Sea. J. Geophys. Res. 113, doi:10.1029/2007JC004547 TURNER, J., AND OTHERS. 2005. Antarctic climate change during the last 50 years. Int. J. Climatol. 25: 279–294, doi:10.1002/ joc.1130 VAUGHAN, D. G., AND OTHERS. 2003. Recent rapid regional climate warming on the Antarctic Peninsula. Climatic Change 60: 243–274, doi:10.1023/A:1026021217991 VENABLES, H. J., AND C. M. MOORE. 2010. Phytoplankton and light in the Southern Ocean: Learning from high nutrient high chlorophyll areas. J. Geophys. Res. 115: C02015, doi:10.1029/ 2009JC005361 ———, R. T. POLLARD, AND E. E. POPOVA. 2007. Physical conditions controlling the early development of a regular phytoplankton bloom north of the Crozet Plateau, Southern Ocean. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 54: 1949–1965, doi:10.1016/ j.dsr2.2007.06.014 VERNET, M., AND OTHERS. 2008. Primary production within the sea-ice zone west of the Antarctic Peninsula: I—Sea ice, summer mixed layer, and irradiance. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 2068–2085, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.05.021 WALLACE, D. W. R., M. P. MEREDITH, M. A. BRANDON, T. J. SHERWIN, A. DALE, AND A. CLARKE. 2008. On the characteristics of internal tides and coastal upwelling behaviour in Marguerite Bay, west Antarctic Peninsula. Deep-Sea Res. Part II 55: 2023–2040, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.04.033 Wintertime controls on spring bloom WALLACE, M. I. 2007. Ocean circulation in Marguerite Bay. Ph.D. thesis. The Open Univ., UK. WIEDENMANN, J., K. A. CRESSWELL, AND M. MANGEL. 2009. Connecting recruitment of Antarctic krill and sea ice. Limnol. Oceanogr. 54: 799–811, doi:10.4319/lo.2009.54.3.0799 1047 Associate editor: Heidi M. Sosik Received: 08 March 2012 Accepted: 17 December 2012 Amended: 12 December 2012
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz