Applied Energy Group –
DR, EE and DG
Assumptions for MTEP 19
– Study Kick off
Planning Advisory Committee
January 15, 2017
1
Overview
2
Objective
• Inform stakeholders on
AEG – DR, EE and DG
refresh
Key Takeaways
• This refresh follows
2014-15 for the most part
• Stakeholder workshop –
Feb 24, 2017
Acronyms - Applied Energy Group (AEG); Demand Response (DR); Energy Efficiency (EE); Distributed Generation (DG)
Business Needs
•
•
Ongoing
•
Order 1000 and MTEP Protocols require non-transmission
alternatives
•
MISO MTEP Futures development requires projections and
capital costs for DR and EE
Emerging Business Needs
•
3
DG is becoming prominent as a result of emerging state
policies, and downward cost pressure for rooftop based solar
Acronyms - MISO Transmission Expansion Plan (MTEP) Demand Response (DR); Energy Efficiency (EE); Distributed
Generation (DG)
Background
•
This is a refresh of a MISO 2014-15 Demand Response and
Energy Efficiency study
•
Applied Energy Group conducted 2014-15 study; and has been
retained for this analysis
•
Stakeholder comments indicate there is a need to have better
EE/DR info and modeling
•
A gap in data requirements and data reported by Load Serving
Entities still exists and will continue for the foreseeable future
•
Recognize EE/DR programs are state programs
4
•
Not intended for MISO to analyze specific EE/DR programs
•
Only gather data on capacity/energy savings from programs
Project Deliverables
•
A 20 year forecast for Demand Response/Energy
Efficiency/Distributed Generation (DR/EE/DG), and their associated
costs to install in MISO and the Eastern Interconnection
•
EGEAS resource models to represent specific types of DR/EE/DG
programs
•
Deliverables will feed:
5
•
MTEP 19 Futures development (stakeholder comment period built in)
•
SUFG Independent Load Forecast (stakeholder comment period built
in) – pending outcome of stakeholder input
Acronyms - Electric Generation Expansion Analysis System (EGEAS); Demand Response (DR); Energy Efficiency (EE);
Distributed Generation (DG); State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)
MISO Value Based Planning
DR/EE/DG forecast
•
6
Objective of value based
planning is to develop the
most robust plan under a
variety of scenarios – not
the least-cost plan under
a single scenario
•
The “best” transmission
plan may be different in
each policy-based
future scenario
•
The transmission plan
that is the best-fit (most
robust) against all these
scenarios should offer
the most future value in
supporting the future
resource mix
Illustrative Process Flow
7
What’s new this time?
•
For MISO region, AEG will start with secondary data collection instead of a survey
of utilities.
•
Secondary data sources are all public information sources which can be obtained through
public record searches and are not confidential. Examples of secondary sources include
EIA Form 861, publically posted integrated resource plans, etc.
•
This allows AEG to use complete, consistent secondary data sources
•
Takes the pressure off of LSEs to develop the required data, but they will have the
opportunity to review and confirm or make adjustments
•
Allows AEG to freely share the data among MISO and stakeholders
•
Increased transparency into the estimates
•
Active engagement with various stakeholders from the beginning
•
Changes to programs
•
Separate out utility-incentivized distributed generation from customer-driven distributed
generation
•
Separate out demand response into utility-driven demand response programs and
wholesale DR programs run at the ISO/RTO level.
•
Consider adding a new program that combines solar PV and battery storage, both utilitysponsored and customer-driven.
•
Changes to market characterization
8
•
Create a separate segment for multifamily customers in the residential sector
Project Schedule
•
Duration – Jan – Dec 2017
•
Quarterly stakeholder workshops (at a
min)
•
9
Detailed Project schedule will be presented
at workshop
Monthly Project Status
www.misoenergy.org > Planning >
Monthly Transmission Planning
Reports
10
Next Steps
•
11
Details to be discussed by AEG at
stakeholder workshop on Feb 24
Rao Konidena
[email protected]
651 632 8401