J U LY 2 0 1 2 Real Numbers: How Much You Need to Save for Retirement How much money does a typical worker need to save every month in order to have a reasonable chance of financing a secure retirement? New analysis from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College (CRR) came up with a broad overview of the rates needed by different age groups and income levels. To estimate necessary savings rates, the researchers first sought to determine what level of retirement income would provide an equivalent standard of living to a retiree’s final year of preretirement income. After they took account of changes in various tax burdens, commuting expenses, housing costs, and other factors, they estimated that a single worker earning $20,000 prior to retirement (the CRR study’s “low” income) would need about $17,600 afterwards, including Social Security benefits calculated according to the current formulas. Someone earning $50,00 (“medium” income) would need about $40,000 after retirement, and someone earning $90,000 (“high” income) would need about $73,000. Both of these estimates also assume the current levels or Social Security benefits. Here’s how the projected savings rates work out for a consumer at each level, assuming a normal retirement age (67) and an average annual investment return of 4% after inflation is taken into account: A low income retirement saver would need to set aside 8% of income each year starting at age 25. If the same person were to wait until age 35 to start, they rate would go up to 12% of income per year. If the same person were to wait until age 45, the necessary savings rate would rise to 20% per year. A medium income retirement saver starting at age 25 would need to set aside 12% per year. Waiting to start until age 35 to start the savings program boosts the rate to 18%. Waiting until 45 pushes it to 31%. A high earnings saver would have to set aside 15% per year starting at 25. If he or she waited to start until age 35, the rate would increase to 25%. Waiting until 45 causes the required savings rate to rise to 42%. Keep in mind that if Social Security were to be cut back, savings rates would increase proportionately to cover any reductions in anticipated benefits. Also keep in mind that if real investment returns average higher than 4% in the future, the amount of savings can be reduced somewhat. But the researchers noted that ”...the effect of the rate of return on required savings rates, for workers at all earnings levels, is smaller than the effect of the age at which saving starts and, especially, the age of retirement.” In other words, starting your savings program earlier and then working longer could have the greatest impact on your financial readiness for retirement. To see the CRR analysis and view the recommended savings rate for your situation go to http:// bc/edu/briefs/how-much-to-savefor-a-secure-retirement.html. Of course, every situation is different, give us a call and we can help you determine a savings rate that corresponds to your unique situation. March 2012 — This column is provided through the Financial Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial planning community, and is brought to you by Paul Light, CFP®, a local member of FPA. Tidbits… $904 Billion...Total of U.S. education loans outstanding in the first quarter, up 3.4% while mortgage and credit card debt were falling. Student loan delinquencies rose 8.69%, up from 6.13% in 2003. (Bloomberg Source: Investment News June 4, 2012) Paul Light, CFP® Mid-Year Reality Check: Covering Your Bases in Uncertain Times Imagine playing a complicated game, but the rules of the game are changing, and the new rules have yet to be announced. That’s what income tax planning is like this year. In fact, if there was ever a year to spend some quality time with your financial professional, this is it. Here are a few items to discuss. How will higher rates next year affect you? Federal income tax rates are scheduled to jump in 2013, with the bottom (10%) rate disappearing, and the top rate increasing from 35% to 39.6%. Starting in 2013, high wage earners — those with wages exceeding $200,000 ($250,00 for married couples filing jointly and $125,000 for married individuals filing separately) — will also have to pay an additional 0.9% in the hospital insurance (HI) portion of their payroll tax, commonly referred to as the Medicare portion. Of course, the current federal income tax rates may be extended again, but it’s far from a certain bet, and the odds are that any action would not take -28.4…Percentage decline in the fastest-shrinking U.S. industry over the last five years — newspapers. Online publishing, however, increased 24.3 percent. (Council of Economic Advisors, LinkedIn) Source: Journal of Financial Planning May2012 87… Percentage of adults who changed their spending and/or saving behavior in 2011 to have more money available for emergencies. (AARP) Source: Journal of Financial Planning April 2012 Investment Advisory Services offered through Light Financial Services, Inc. a Registered Investment Advisor. Log on to www.lightfinancialservices.com Quick links to your accounts Up to date investment news On-line documents Archives of past newsletters And much more!! place until after the presidential election. That means any financial plan you put in place has to account for this uncertainty. And the uncertainty extends beyond just tax rates, because a number of popular tax breaks are also scheduled to expire at the end of the year, while others have already expired. 1220 Main Ave, Ste 225 Fargo, ND 58103 Phone: 701-356-5106 Toll Free: 1-888-246-1397 Fax: 701-356-4301 E-mail: [email protected] Potential investment moves Tax rates that apply to long-term capital gain and qualifying dividends are scheduled to increase in 2013. The maximum rate on long-term capital gains will jump from 15% to 20%. And while qualifying dividends currently benefit from being taxed at the rates that apply to long-term capital gain, in 2013 they’ll be taxed at ordinary income tax rates. Potentially higher rates in 2013 could be a motivating factor in your investment strategy. For example, you might want to consider selling investments that have appreciated in value to recognize the long-term capital gain in 2012, before the maximum rate is scheduled to increase. Alternatively, you might want to consider timing the sale of an investment to postpone the recognition of a capital loss until 2013, when it could be more valuable. Thank You for Your Business! Inside this issue: Mid-Year Reality Check: Covering Your Bases in Uncertain Times 1 How Can I Reduce Debt From Outstanding Medical Bills? 2 Stock Market Update 3 Roth conversion — is this the Real Numbers: How year? Much You Need to Save 4 for Retirement Continued on Page 3... The information contained in this newsletter is derived from sources believed to be accurate. You should discuss any legal, tax or financial matters with the appropriate professional. Neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. How Can I Reduce Debt From Outstanding Medical Bills? Millions of working-age Americans from all income groups are struggling to pay medical bills and manage accumulated medical debt. Many will continue to face problems with medical bills for years after their care was provided. If you have been hit with unexpected, costly medical expenses, consider some of these tips for coping with your situation. Talk to your provider. health care If you find your medical bills are piling up faster than you can pay them, don’t hesitate to call your service provider and be honest about your situation. Ask for a reduction in fees or discuss setting up a payment plan that is satisfactory to both of you. It never hurts to ask, and you may be pleasantly surprised to find that it is not difficult to negotiate a solution. Avoid using credit cards or bank loans to finance debt. Perhaps the only positive aspect of medical debt is that health care professionals rarely report payment information to credit monitoring bureaus unless the debt has been passed off to a collection agency. On the other hand, credit card and installment loan data is routinely reported. So the wiser strategy may be to deal directly with the doctor or hospital to work out a payment plan, especially if you are concerned about maintaining a healthy credit score. Review your bills carefully. Medical bills typically arrive long after the service was rendered and they are notoriously complex, including multiple line items for physician time, laboratory tests, radiology, etc. Take time when the bills arrive to read through them and make sure you agree not only with the services performed, but also the details of how much coverage is provided by your health insurance. Tap into your emergency fund. cover your entire debt, they can help finance a payment plan that enables you to chip away at the debt a little each week, each month, etc. Obtain disability insurance Disability insurance is critical safety net to deploy in the event that you become ill and cannot work. This type of policy, which is available through employers, will pay you a portion of your salary for a predetermined period of time, depending on the type of policy. For additional help with your medical debt, contact The Access Project at www.accessproject.com or call 617-654-9911. The Access Project provides free counseling to people with medical debt, regardless of their income This column is provided through the Financial Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial planning community, and is brought to you by Paul Light, CFP®, a local member of FPA. If there ever was a good argument for maintaining an emergency fund, an unexpected medical bill it is. While emergency funds may not "According to data compiled by Jeremy Siegel of the University of Pennsylvania, stocks have provided average annual real returns (after inflation) of 6.66% for all 10-year periods going back to 1871…There have been 14 10-year periods where stock returns have been negative, including this one. In every one of the previous 13, the subsequent returns have exceeded 10% real, about 50% more than average, and more than double the return of government bonds. So every time stocks have performed poorly for 10 years, they have performed better than average for the next 10 years, and they have beaten bonds every time by an average of 2 to 1, yet investors can't put money in bond funds fast enough, and continue to redeem equity funds." A strong finish in June couldn’t overcome equities’ difficulties earlier in the quarter as Greece narrowly avoided a shutdown with its Eurozone peers. The Dow and the S&P 500 held up the best, while the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 saw bigger quarterly losses. Nevertheless, the previous quarter’s performance means that all four domestic indices still have strong gains year-to-date. Anxiety about Europe also led to skyrocketing demands for U.S. Treasuries; as prices rose, the 10-year yield hit a historic low in June. As the global economy showed signs of slowing, oil prices fell dramatically, ending at roughly $85/barrel. governments have struggling to assist such as Spain. Quarterly Economic Perspective Under pressure from Italy and Spain, European Union leaders agreed that a single body —possibly the European Central Bank— should oversee banks in all 17 Eurozone countries, and that details should be finalized by year’s end. Once that is in place, the current bailout fund and its replacement, the European Stability Mechanism, will be able to lend directly to struggling banks in countries whose been them, Unemployment remain stalled at 8.2%, partly because more people are once again trying to reenter the workforce, and the first-quarter economic growth of 1.9% was substantially lower than the previous quarter’s 3%. Implementation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Health Care Act will proceed in the wake of the Supreme Court’s ruling that the health-care reform legislation is constitutional. The 5-4 decision held that the penalty be paid by those who chose not to buy health insurance as required by the law is constitutional as part of Congress’s power to tax and spend. There was a glimpse of good news in the housing market. The Commerce Department said new home sales shot up in May to their highest level in more than two years, and the S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices ended the quarter with gains in 19 of the index’s 20 cities and slowing year-over-year declines. Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said construction spending was up from last year. The Federal Reserve will extend its “Operation Twist” bond purchases through the end of the year. The program, which will use the proceeds from sales of short-term Treasury bonds to buy longer maturities, is intended to stimulate the economy by keeping long-term interest rates low. Though durable goods orders were up in May, manufacturing data from the Institute for Supply Management and the Federal Reserve’s industrial production number showed some slowing. Meanwhile, retail sales were up 5.3% from last May, with nonstore retailers showing the biggest gains. The silver lining to a sluggish global economy was moderate inflation at both the consumer and wholesale levels. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said the Consumer Price Index was 2.3% higher than last May, while wholesale prices were up less than 1% in a year. Mid-Year Reality Check: Covering Your Bases in Uncertain Times, Cont from page 1 If you’ve been on the fence about converting traditional IRA funds to a Roth account, you ought to give the matter one last hard look before the year ends. That’s because when you convert a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA the converted funds are subject to federal income tax in the year you —Bill Miller, in a market commentary dated October 17, 2009 Light Financial Services, Inc. Stock Market Update Page 2 Light Financial Services, Inc. make the conversion. If tax rates go up next year, so will the effective cost of doing a Roth conversion. Additionally, qualified distributions from Roth IRA are free from federal income tax. That could make a big difference in retirement if you’re paying tax at a higher rate at the time. Whether a Roth conversion is right for you depends on a number of factors. If it makes sense to you, though, it might pay to think about acting now, rather than later. As always, feel free to call or schedule an appointment if you have any questions or concerns regarding your financial situation. Page 3
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