MST 326 Lecture 7 Project planning John Summerscales School of Engineering University of Plymouth Golden rule: “A golden rule in terms of estimating the time required is to assume people are only productive four out of five days” C Sheldon and M Yoxon, Environmental Management Systems – third edition, Earthscan, London and Sterling VA, 2006. Lecture outline Gantt charts Project Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) Critical Path Analysis/Method (CPA/CPM) Technology Road Maps (TRM) What is a project ? a group of people brought together to achieve a defined objective in a defined period of time and with defined resources Measuring success? deliverables: what will be achieved deadlines: when will it happen milestones: end of each significant stage are there quantitative parameters ? Success or failure ? • deadline achieved or if not then why? • budgets met or reasons for variances • acceptability of the finished item match to specification/customer expectations • consequences culture change or new strategic alliances Project management develops innovative, creative and committed managers provides a vehicle for measurement of resource effectiveness and for optimisation permits strategic accountability Henry Laurence Gantt • graphical representation of the duration of tasks plotted vs time • e.g. student timetable • load chart shows workload relative to capacity • one row per person vs hours in the day • progress chart shows succession of tasks from start to finish Gantt chart: progress chart 2002 Code Title Funding B480 B539 B440 B359 B520 B508 B522 B533 B180 B481 Remote technol DERA IGDS module U Bristol Research Inst CASE Finite element NFFRI SperBoy DTI Improves EPSRC Hammerhead EPSRC Doctoral Trg EPSRC Al welding Corus IJ Fatigue Elsevier Bob Allen self Chiew S Tan HEFCE Sii Pin Ting GR/Corus Port Elizabeth Technikon HEFCE Stefanos Mintsis self PI Ja Fe Mr Ap My Je Jl 2003 Au Se Oc No De Ja Fe Mr Ap My Je Jl 2004 Au Se Oc No De Ja Fe Mr Ap My Je Jl Faculty of Technology B180 JC JC RS MNJ JC RS RS JS MNJ MNJ MAB RS MNJ MNJ YMD 3482 3316 3888 Teaching Company Schemes Centrax 2 TCD RSB Harlequin TCD Moate Move Virgo TCD JS 3116 2783 3106 3161 3216 3078 3067 3482 3067 3067 3720 3223 3819 4198 4274 Pump International Teignbridge 1 M4 Data Teignbridge 2 Smart Mfg Plastech GKN TCA Lara Centrax 1 GKN TCA Iosif GKN TCA Robert Vortok Derlite Bakare Plastech Dowty Propellers TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TCD TTI TTI DJG Childe RSB MEM DJG SMG JS RS SMG TJS JS JWB JWB SMG TJS Ended May 2000 Ended July 2000 From March 1999 From August 1998 From May 2001 From April 2001 From September 2001 From October 2001 From September 1996 From October 1999 Matthew Knight LiWu Wei Fraser Johnson/Nicky Harper Sarvat Ahmad Dedy Loebis/Wasif Naeem Chris Leavey Until September 2004 Until September 2004 Bob Allen Chiew S Tan Sii Pin Ting Hannalie Lombard Stefanos Mintsis Not taken up Not taken up Not taken up From July 2000 From July 2000 From January 2001 From August 2000 From October 2000 From January 2001 From May 2001 From June 2001 From October 2001 From November 2001 From November 2001 From November 2001 Keith Menadue Stewart Kelly Steven Watts Sarah Dransfield Craig Yeo Leslie Bond Lara Attridge Andrew Barrington Iosif Progoulakis Robert Blackburn Alan Sleith Adrian Popovici Kevin Brooker Stephen Walden Robert Witik Au Se Oc No De Gantt chart: CFD of RIFT research Computational Fluid Dynamics Modelling of the Resin Infusion Under Flexible Tooling Process Quarter commencing Apr-02 Jul-02 Oct-02 Jan-03 Apr-03 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 University of Plymouth ~~~~~ RA1 ~~~~~ Plain Twill Satin Permeability measurements by RTM Plain Permeability-volume fraction relationships Twill Plain Satin Twill Compressibility of fabrics Milestone 1 Biaxial M1 Biaxial Satin Milestone 2 Deliverable 1 Plain Section laminates Characterisation of fabric structure Biaxial M2 Twill D1 Satin Plain Biaxial Twill Satin Milestone 3 Mechanical Properties Biaxial M3 Plain Twill Satin Biaxial Satin Deliverable 2 ~~~~~ RA2 ~~~~~ RIFT of composite panels Familiarisation with CFD package Macro-CFD of permeability expts Plain Twill Satin Biaxial Plain Twill Satin Biaxial D2 Biaxial Milestone 4 Deliverable 3 M4 D3 Plain Micro-CFD of permeability expts Milestone 5 Deliverable 4 Twill M5 D4 University of Bristol Familiarisation with CFD package Identify repeat cells Undertake simple calculations Plain Milestone 6 Twill Plain Satin Twill Biaxial Satin M6 Biaxial Slip-boundary condition Undertake permeability calculations Milestone 7 Deliverable 5 M7 D5 Compare/coupling 1st and 2nd calculations Develop adaptive grids Deliverable 6 D6 Variable thickness cavity models Solutions for non-uniqueness problem Milestone 8 Deliverable 7 Deliverable 1 Deliverable 2 Deliverable 3 Deliverable 4 Deliverable 5 Deliverable 6 Deliverable 7 Deliverable 8 (both Partners) M8 D7 Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth Bristol Bristol Bristol All Permeability/volume fraction relationships including validation of Kozeny-Carman model or alternatives Structure-process-property relationships for the four fabrics Macroscopic CFD models of the permeability experiments Microscopic CFD models of the permeability experiments Model for slip-boundary conditions implemented in CFD Moving and adaptive grids implemented in CFD code Modelling of the resin infusion process by computational fluid dynamics software Correlation of results into Final Report MS Project ... formats • • • • • • • • Calendar Gantt chart Network diagram Task usage Resource graph Resource sheet Resource usage Report Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) graphic representation of schedule for project – developed by USN for Polaris missile programme shows – sequence of tasks – which tasks can be performed simultaneously – permits determination of the critical path for the individual tasks to be completed on time in order for the project to meet its completion deadline Critical Path Analysis/Method developed by the private sector at the time that PERT was started – has become synonymous with PERT – referred to as any of CPM, PERT or PERT/CPM critical path is the set of individual tasks (each dependent on the preceding one) which taken together require the longest time to complete (i.e. minimum time) can be much more difficult to interpret than a Gantt chart. Node in a PERT chart Network diagram for printer Figure 10.1 from Curtis book Activity on node structure Figure 10.2 from Curtis book Printer project activity on node activity times Figure 10.3 from Curtis book Printer project activity on node earliest start times Figure 10.4 from Curtis book Printer project activity on node latest finish times Figure 10.5 from Curtis book Float for manufacture of the prototype Figure 10.6 from Curtis book Bar chart for printer project Figure 10.7 from Curtis book Projects and resource loading Figure 10.8 from Curtis book Resource levelling Figure 10.9 from Curtis book Basic CPM diagram Figure 3-18 from Hicks book CPM Diagram with timings Figure 3-20 from Hicks book Tabular analysis Table 3-8 from Hicks book Time-scaled CPM network Figure 3-21 from Hicks book A beta distribution in PERT Figure 3-22 from Hicks book Beta distribution calculation A = most optimistic time M = most likely time B = most pessimistic time X = mean = (A + 4M +B)/6 S2 = variance = [(B - A)/6]2 Times A and B expected to occur only 1% of the time Density function for project completion time Figure 3-23 from Hicks book References Tony Curtis, Business and Marketing for Engineers and Scientists, McGraw-Hill, Maidenhead, 1993. ISBN 0-07-707-868-3. Philip E Hicks, Industrial Engineering and Management - a new perspective, McGraw-Hill, 1994. ISBN 0-07-028807-0. Richard Pettinger, Introduction to Management, Macmillan, Basingstoke, 1994. ISBN 0-333-59769-9. Technology Road Maps (TRM) the most basic form can be considered as a time-based chart consisting of a number of layers – commercial, – technological, – legislative, and – environmental perspective Technology Road Maps (TRM) Developing a Technology Road Map requires three steps: – Market requirements forecast, – Product implications forecast, and – Technology implications forecast.
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