Year TWO Report Crossing Bridge: the GED Credentials and Postsecondary Educational Outcomes Crossing the Bridge: GED Credentials and Postsecondary Educational Outcomes Year Two Report Jizhi Zhang Anne Guison-Dowdy Margaret Becker Patterson Wei Song © 2011 American Council on Education. All rights reserved. No part of this report may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission from the American Council on Education. ACE, American Council on Education, GED, and GED Testing Service are registered trademarks of the American Council on Education and may not be used without express written permission. The GED® and GED Testing Service® brands are used by GED Testing Service LLC under license from the American Council on Education. Table of Contents Acknowledgments................................................................................................ vi A B ST R A CT .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v i i E x e c u t i v e S u m m ar y . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i x Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix Postsecondary Enrollment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . x Persistence and Graduation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Postsecondary Institutions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xii Educational Background and Postsecondary Experiences. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiv C h a p t e r I : Cr o s s i n g t h e B r i d g e . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Literature Review. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Postsecondary Enrollment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Postsecondary Persistence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Postsecondary Graduation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 METHODOLOGY. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Analyses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 C h a p t e r II : Tra n s i t i o n s t o P o s t s e c o n d ar y E d u c a t i o n .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 POSTSECONDARY ENROLLMENT OF GED TESTS PASSERS AND NON-PASSERS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 WHO TRANSITIONED TO POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Characteristics of GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled in Postsecondary Education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Demographic Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Academic Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Social Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Postsecondary Enrollment Rates by Characteristics of GED Tests Passers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates by Demographic Status. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates by Academic Status. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates by Social Status. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 TIME TO TRANSITION TO POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION AND INITIAL ENROLLMENT STATUS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 WHERE AND IN WHAT TYPES OF POSTSECONDARY INSTITUTIONS DID 2004 GED TESTS PASSERS ENROLL? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Enrollment Rates for GED Tests Passers and Non-passers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Who Transitioned to Postsecondary Education?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Time to Transition to Postsecondary Education and Initial Enrollment Status. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 C h a p t e r i i i : P e r s i s t e n c e a n d D e g r e e A t t a i n m e n t i n P o s t s e c o n d ar y E d u c a t i o n . . . . . . . . . 1 5 POSTSECONDARY PERSISTENCE PATTERNS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Retention Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Graduation Rates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Dropout Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Transfer Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 COMPARING CHARACTERISTICS OF SINGLE-SEMESTER AND MULTIPLE-SEMESTER ENROLLEES’ POSTSECONDARY PERSISTENCE PATTERNS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Demographic Characteristics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Academic Characteristics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Social Characteristics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 COMPARING CHARACTERISTICS OF SINGLE-SEMESTER AND MULTIPLE-SEMESTER ENROLLEES’ POSTSECONDARY PERSISTENCE PATTERNS, BY GRADUATION STATUS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Single-semester Completers and Non-completers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Multiple-semester Completers and Non-completers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 CHARACTERISTICS OF GED POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION GRADUATES BASED ON TYPES OF DEGREE . . . . 23 Demographic Characteristics by Types of Degree. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Academic Characteristics by Types of Degree. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Social Characteristics by Types of Degree. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Majors of Graduates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Persistence and Degree Attainment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Single-semester Enrollees and Multiple-semester Enrollees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 GED Postsecondary Graduates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 C h a p t e r i v : P o s t s e c o n d ar y I n s t i t u t i o n s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 0 POSTSECONDARY INSTITUTIONS IN WHICH GED TESTS PASSERS FIRST ENROLLED. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Institutional Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Institution Sector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Geographic Location. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Enrollment Size and Tuition. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Selected Instructional/Program Offering and Special Learning Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Student Demographics and Financial Aid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Postsecondary Admission, Retention, and Graduation Rate. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Selected Services. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Instructional Staff. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Top 10 Institutions by 2004 GED Tests Passer Enrollment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 DISCUSSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 c h a p t e r v : GED C R EDENTI A L R ECIPIENTS ’ A ND T R A DITION A L HIGH SCHOOL G R A DU A TES ’ B A CKG R OUNDS A ND POSTSECOND A R Y EXPE R IENCES .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1 Data Source: BPS:04/09. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Methodology, Sample, and Research Questions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Demographic and Background Characteristics of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Gender . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Age at Enrollment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Ethnic Origin. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Parents’ Highest Level of Education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Wherewithal of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . 43 Employment Status in 2003–04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Years to Enrollment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Student Financial Aid Received in 2003–04. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Highest Degree Expected in 2003–04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Risk Index in 2003–04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 First Postsecondary Institution Attended, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Level of First Institution Attended. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Tuition and Fees of First Institution Attended. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Region of First Institution Attended . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Postsecondary Experiences and Outcomes, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Attendance Intensity in 2003–04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Remedial Courses in 2003–04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Number of Institutions Attended Through 2006 and 2009. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Number of Stopouts Through 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Persistence and Degree Attainment Through 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Major Pursued During the First Year of Enrollment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Reasons for Leaving Postsecondary Education in 2004 and in 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Discussion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Demographic and Background Characteristics of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Wherewithal of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 First Postsecondary Institution Attended, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Postsecondary Experiences and Outcomes, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 CONCLUSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1 R e f e r e n c e s .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2 Appendix............................................................................................................ 54 Enrollment and Graduation Rates for GED Tests Passers, by State: 2004 Cohort . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 LIST OF T A B LES Table 2.1. Postsecondary Enrollment Status of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers and Non-passers: 2004–10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Table 2.2.Demographic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled and Did Not Enroll in Postsecondary Education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Table 2.3.Academic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled and Did Not Enroll in Postsecondary Education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Table 2.4.Social Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled and Who Did Not Enroll in Postsecondary Education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Table 2.5. Postsecondary Enrollment of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Year: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Table 3.1. Postsecondary Enrollment of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Semester: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . 16 Table 3.2. Postsecondary Enrollment of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Total Number of Semesters Enrolled: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Table 3.3.Demographic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in a Single Semester or in Multiple Semesters: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Table 3.4.Academic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in a Single Semester or in Multiple Semesters: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Table 3.5.Social Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in a Single Semester or in Multiple Semesters: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Table 3.6.Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in a Single Semester or Multiple Semesters, by Postsecondary Program Completion Status: 2004–10. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Table 3.7.Demographic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Graduated, by Degree Type. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Table 3.8.Academic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Graduated, by Degree Type. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Table 3.9.Social Characteristics of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Graduated, by Degree Type. . . . . . . 27 Table 3.10.Most Common Postsecondary Majors of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Graduated, by Degree Type. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Table 4.1.Sector of Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Table 4.2.Regional Distribution of Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Table 4.3.Enrollment and Tuition at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Table 4.4.Selected Instructional/Program Offering and Special Learning Opportunities at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Table 4.5. Gender and Ethnicity Distribution at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Table 4.6.Undergraduates’ Age Distribution at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category and Attendance Status. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Table 4.7.Student Financial Aid at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Table 4.8. Institutions with Open Admissions Policies for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Table 4.9.Student Retention and Graduation Rates at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Table 4.10.Selected Services at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Table 4.11. Instructional Staff and Student-Faculty Ratio at the Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Table 4.12. Top 10 Postsecondary Institutions for 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Institutional Category. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Table 5.1. Gender, Age, Ethnic Group, and Parents’ Highest Level of Education of Beginning Postsecondary Students Who Enrolled in 2003–04, by Educational Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Table 5.2. Highest Degree Ever Expected by Beginning Postsecondary Students Who Enrolled in 2003–04, by Educational Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Table 5.3. First-Year Remedial or Developmental Courses Taken by Beginning Postsecondary Students Who Enrolled in 2003–04, by Educational Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Table 5.4. Persistence and Highest Degree/Certificate Attained for Beginning Postsecondary Students First Enrolled in 2003–04, by Educational Background: 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Table 5.5.Reasons for Leaving Postsecondary Education of Students First Enrolled in 2003–04 Reported in 2004 and in 2006, by Educational Background.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 LIST OF FIGU R ES Figure 2.1. Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Demographic Characteristic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Figure 2.2. Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Academic Characteristic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Figure 2.3. Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates of 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers, by Social Characteristic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Figure 2.4. Postsecondary Enrollment Status of 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers for First Semester. . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Figure 3.1. Postsecondary Education Enrollment of the 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers, by Semester: 2004–10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Figure 3.2. First- to Second-Semester Retention Rates and First- to Second-Year Retention Rates of 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers, by Multiple-Semester Enrollment Status and Graduation Status. . . . . . . . 18 Figure 3.3. Postsecondary Education Graduation Rates, by Demographic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled, as of October 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Figure 3.4. Postsecondary Education Graduation Rates, by Academic Characteristics of 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled, as of October 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Figure 3.5. Postsecondary Education Graduation Rates, by Social Characteristics of 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled, as of October 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Figure 3.6. Highest Postsecondary Education Degrees of 2004 Cohort GED Tests Passers Who Graduated, as of October 2010. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Figure 5.1.Educational Background of Beginning Postsecondary Students, by Region of Institution Where First Enrolled in 2003–04. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Acknowledgments T his report is the second-year report from a multiyear longitudinal study, Crossing the Bridge. The authors thank all the people who asked thought-provoking questions about the first-year findings, especially members of the GED Testing Service Research Advisory Panel, jurisdictional GED Administrators, and adult educators. The authors extend thanks to Adora Beard at GED Testing Service for her administrative efforts to make this project a reality. The staff at National Student Clearinghouse coordinated data matching, and the authors greatly appreciate their assistance. A special thank you goes to Daphne Atkinson of GED Testing Service, B. Allan Quigley of St. Francis Xavier University (retired), and Mikyung Ryu of the American Council on Education’s Center for Policy Analysis, for reviewing earlier drafts of the report and for their invaluable comments. Additional thanks go to American Council on Education colleagues who edited and designed this report. For more information on Crossing the Bridge research work and this paper, please contact Margaret Patterson at [email protected]. ac k n o w l edg m e n t s c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s vi Abstract D o adults without a high school diploma pursue postsecondary education? A majority of adults who pass the GED® Tests (65.1 percent in 2009) indicate further education as a reason for testing. While the United States continues to recover from an economic recession, the need for adults to be prepared for family-sustaining careers, and the need for employers to have employees with postsecondary education– level skills, is acute for national economic recovery as well as for the success of individuals and employers. To gain those necessary skills, adults can no longer end their educational experiences with a secondary credential (or less). About 43 percent of 2004 GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education. The enrollment rate decreased as test passers’ age increased. Even so, staying longer in secondary education may positively relate to entering postsecondary education, and higher GED Tests battery scores seemed to increase GED Tests passers’ tendencies to transition to postsecondary education. Moreover, approximately 40 percent enrolled full time and 31.8 percent enrolled half time for their first semester of postsecondary education. Just 28.7 percent of all postsecondary enrollees continued directly from their first year to the second year. For multiple-semester enrollees, 42.7 percent successfully finished their first year of college and continued to a second year. The first-year to secondyear retention rate for multiple-semester graduates was 72.6 percent, indicating that if a postsecondary enrollee with a GED credential makes it through the second year of college, the probability of graduation from postsecondary education is much higher. Of all enrollees, approximately 62 percent were no longer enrolled by 2010, and 26 percent were still enrolled within the period of study. The graduation rate for c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t A second type of analysis focused on the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (GED 50-plus institutions) in order to better profile the institutions that most attract the GED Tests passers. At these institutions, 83.7 percent had open admissions policies, almost doubling the percentage of non-GED institutions with such a policy. However, the student retention rates and graduation rates at the GED 50-plus institutions were lower than those at the non-GED institutions; particularly for graduation rates—the GED 50-plus institutions had significantly lower graduation rates when compared to the non-GED institutions. The postsecondary institutions that GED Tests passers most often chose were large, inexpensive, public two-year colleges. The gender and ethnicity distribution at the GED 50-plus institutions was very comparable with those at the non-GED institutions. In addition, the student-to-faculty ratio was higher at the GED 50-plus institutions, and the percentage of students receiving financial aid was lower at the GED 50-plus institutions. Finally, comparisons by educational background showed that GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates shared similar demographic and background characteristics. However, GED Tests passers tended to be older when they first enrolled in postsecondary education, and their parents had a lower level of education than did parents of traditional high school graduates. GED Tests passers generally appeared to be exposed to a higher number of risk factors during their first year of enrollment than were traditional high school graduates. GED Tests passers received about 20 percent less in financial aid for their first-year studies than did traditional high school graduates. Comparable proportions of GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates received remedial instruction. While G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s vii a b s t r ac t The purpose of this report is to describe which adults with GED credentials pursued postsecondary education, when and where they enrolled, and how they persisted, in the context of results for individuals, within institutional settings, and by educational background. postsecondary enrollees with GED credentials was approximately 11.6 percent, and most of these graduates (93.5 percent) earned a multiple-semester postsecondary credential. over three-fifths of GED Tests passers in 2003–04 ultimately expected a bachelor’s or master’s degree, the educational expectations of GED Tests passers seemed somewhat lower compared with those of traditional high school graduates. Nearly all GED Tests passers who graduated five years later ended up with a postsecondary certificate or associate degree; about two-thirds of traditional high school graduates tended to follow the bachelor’s degree path they predicted. Approximately half of GED Tests passers had no postsecondary credential nor were enrolled as of June 2009, versus about 35 percent of traditional high school graduates. a b s t r ac t c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s viii Executive Summary Introduction D While the United States continues to recover from an economic recession, the need for adults to be prepared for family-sustaining careers, and the need for employers to have employees with postsecondary education–level skills, is acute for national economic recovery as well as for the success of individuals and employers (Council for Advancement of Adult Literacy [CAAL], 2008; Reder, 2007 and 2010; SREB, 2010). To gain those necessary skills, adults can no longer end their educational experiences with a secondary credential (or less). In order to reach more of the nearly 40 million adults without a high school credential, and to encourage those with GED credentials to continue their education, the American Council on Education is launching the GED 21st Century Initiative. This scalable initiative has three key components: (1) a national preparation program based on a multi-platform, accelerated approach; (2) a new GED assessment aligned with Common Core national standards and that certifies high school equivalency as well as career and college readiness; and (3) a postcredential transition network for successful transition to postsecondary education and career opportunities (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y o adults without a high school diploma pursue postsecondary education? More than 18 million GED credentials have been awarded in the more than 65 years of the GED testing program, as adults without high school credentials made a decision to take the GED Tests (American Council on Education [ACE], 2010). Moreover, before testing, a majority of adults who later passed the GED Tests in 2009 (ACE, 2010) indicated further education as a reason for testing, and nearly 43 percent of the 2003 population of GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education by 2009 (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). The GED credential is now a significant gateway to postsecondary education (Reder, 2007) in the United States. Data on postsecondary experiences of GED credential recipients are key to ACE’s planning of the GED 21st Century Initiative. Continuing a multiyear study of the effect of the GED credential on postsecondary enrollment, persistence, and completion, this report presents the second-year findings for the 2004 population of GED test-takers—particularly GED Tests passers—and is designed to add to the evidence base. The purpose of this Crossing the Bridge, Year Two report is to describe which adults with GED credentials pursued postsecondary education, when and where they enrolled, and how they persisted, in the context of results for individuals, within institutional settings, and by educational background. Our review of literature assisted us in determining the focus for the Crossing the Bridge study, as well as its methodology. Adults with GED credentials represent a vital proportion of nontraditional adult students in postsecondary education. And yet individuals with this credential need sufficient time after testing to enroll in postsecondary programs. This need must be acknowledged when considering time to enrollment and retention rate. Enrollment of GED Tests passers in postsecondary education also may vary demographically. The literature also has much to offer about persistence and completion as it debates how closely related secondary preparation, family characteristics such as income and parental education, and student characteristics are to whether and when students complete a postsecondary credential. Understanding how GED credential recipients compare with traditional high school graduates in remedial course taking is of great consequence. Identifying GED credential recipients’ length of enrollment, as well as degree type, is a first step to estimating how economically beneficial short-term postsecondary experiences are. A number of characteristics—including nontraditional age, parental status, full-time employment, and their own self-expectations—could put GED credential recipients at risk of dropping out of postsecondary education. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s ix In addition, postsecondary attendance rates—whether full time or part time—may be an important indicator of persistence. Institutional characteristics, such as institutional selectivity and available resources per student, may also be associated with time to degree. Recent reports about the role of open admissions, college costs, and financial aid raise questions that could easily apply to adult students with GED credentials. Postsecondary Enrollment In the second chapter we provide a comprehensive picture of who the population of 2004 GED Tests passers are, as well as when and where they transitioned to postsecondary education. The 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education at more than twice the rate (42.8 percent) of non-passers (17.1 percent) by October 2010. Approximately 79 percent of enrollees were between 16 and 24 years old and 14.6 percent were 25 to 34 years old. Only 6.4 percent were older than 35 years. percentage distributions for gender, ethnicity, and primary language were similar between postsecondary enrollees and non-enrollees. Academic characteristics contained variables of GED Tests battery score, taking Official GED Practice Tests, and highest education level. Enrollees had a higher percentage of GED Tests passers (24.5 percent) who scored above the 80th percentile on the GED Tests compared to non-enrollees (16.6 percent). Of 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled, 63.8 percent reported taking the Official GED Practice c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Social characteristics comprised reasons for testing and employment status. GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education more frequently indicated an education reason of entering a two-year or four-year college for taking the GED Tests at time of testing than non-enrollees. Enrollees and nonenrollees reported a similar employment status when testing. After identifying primary characteristics for 2004 GED Tests passers by their postsecondary enrollment status, we investigated enrollment rates for key demographic, academic, and social status subgroups. Female GED Tests passers had a higher enrollment rate compared with male GED Tests passers. No significant differences in enrollment rates for 2004 GED Tests passers occurred among ethnic groups. GED Tests passers whose primary language was English had similar enrollment rates to those who primarily spoke other languages. e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y Like the first-year report, the Crossing the Bridge, Year Two report considers the spectrum of postsecondary educational outcomes of adults with GED credentials, from passing the GED Tests through postsecondary graduation. In general, our findings in the second-year report were highly comparable to the first-year report. For both the 2003 and 2004 cohorts, approximately 43 percent of adults with GED credentials enrolled in postsecondary education; of those enrollees, 62 percent were no longer enrolled by the final year of the study, 26 percent were still enrolled within the period of study, and 12 percent graduated. We also recognized the importance of examining institutional settings in more detail and comparing data on GED credential recipients with data on traditional high school graduates. Therefore, after examining our GED Testing Service data, we framed the remaining chapters in the context of comparing postsecondary outcomes and institutional settings by educational background. Tests. Enrollees had a higher proportion of GED Tests passers who completed 11th and 12th grade (43.1 percent) than non-enrollees (36.5 percent). The postsecondary enrollment rate decreased as GED Tests passers’ age increased. For age, 2004 GED Tests passers between 16 and 24 years old had the highest enrollment rate, at 46.8 percent. GED Tests passers who were aged 35 years and older tended to enroll least often, with an enrollment rate of 26.7 percent. This finding was in line with other research about participation and barriers to participation for older adults compared to younger ones (Maralani, 2006; Reder, 2007; Tyler, 2003). GED Tests passers’ secondary education level and GED testing performance seemed to have a positive relationship with their postsecondary enrollment (as previously found in Chimka, Reed-Rhoads, & Barker, 2007; Murtaugh, Burns, & Schuster, 1999). Higher GED Tests battery scores seemed to increase GED Tests passers’ tendency to transition to postsecondary education. Close to 53 percent of GED Tests passers in the highest GED Tests scores group (above the 80th percentile) enrolled in postsecondary education, while about 38 percent of those in the lowest scores group (below the 20th percentile) transitioned to postsecondary education. Adult educators must encourage GED candidates to prepare thoroughly for the GED Tests, not simply to achieve high scores but also to gain skills needed to demonstrate a high level of education and preparedness for postsecondary work. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s x More than half (53.5 percent) of 2004 GED Tests passers who indicated “enter two-year college” and 59.7 percent who indicated “enter four-year college” as reasons for testing later enrolled. These comparisons suggested that GED credential recipients with the goal of enrolling in a two-year college or a fouryear college when testing were more likely to actually do so, compared with GED credential recipients who did not state these goals. Educators need to continue to advocate for postsecondary education for all learners and help them understand the benefits of getting a postsecondary credential. Adult educators need to discuss postsecondary education as an option for incoming adult learners, encourage their commitment to further educational goals, and help them realize the connection between committing to their goals and persistence to completion. Where did GED Tests passers enroll in postsecondary education? More than three-quarters of students (76.5 percent) who passed the GED Tests initially enrolled in colleges that offer programs of up to two years; 22.9 percent attended four-year institutions initially. Also, 87.3 percent of GED Tests passers enrolled in public institutions and 12.7 percent registered at private institutions, typically in the state where they took the GED Tests (83.3 percent). Lastly, approximately 40 percent of GED Tests passers enrolled full time and 31.8 percent enrolled half time for their first semester of postsecondary education. Full- or part-time enrollment status appeared to be related to postsecondary enrollees’ persistence (Patterson, Song, Zhang, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010; Reder, 2007). Less than half of GED postsecondary enrollees enrolled for full-time attendance, which might relate, at least in part, to the low graduation rates for GED postsecondary enrollees. Future studies need to examine details of GED Tests passers’ postsecondary education experiences, including their financial status, credits taken each year, their c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Persistence and Graduation In the third chapter we focus on the persistence and postsecondary credential attainment of the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers through October 2010. Based on total number of semesters enrolled, we divided GED Tests passers into two groups: (1) single-semester enrollees and (2) multiple-semester enrollees. We reported first-semester to secondsemester and first-year to second-year retention rates. Graduation rates were calculated as measures of postsecondary credential attainment. We then compared graduation rates by demographic, academic, and social subgroups to examine how individual characteristics may play a role in postsecondary credential attainment for GED Tests passers. Moreover, we distinguished postsecondary graduates by types of degree. Males tended to enroll in a single semester more frequently, and females for multiple semesters; otherwise, single and multiple-semester enrollees were very similar. Enrollment peaked at more than 52,200 in 2005, gradually decreased to just over 41,500 through 2006, and remained steady around 37,000 for several years, with slight increases in 2009 and 2010. Half of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education continued from their first semester to the second semester without stopping out, which indicated that the first semester may play a key role in GED Tests passers’ persistence in postsecondary education. But about 65 percent enrolled for only one or two semesters. The median number of semesters enrolled was two semesters, barely long enough to complete a short-term program. Moreover, the first-year to second-year retention rate was even lower, which suggested that the majority of GED Tests passers started to have doubts about their postsecondary education at a very early stage, and left soon after they had a taste of postsecondary education. This finding added to previous evidence on low retention (Duke & Ganzglass, 2007; Patterson, Song, & Zhang, 2009; Tinto, Russo, & Kadel, 1994; Tyler, 2003). It was unclear whether type of course taken, counseling services, support services, or nonacademic factors played a role in low retention. Dropouts were defined as 2004 GED Tests passers who made a transition to postsecondary education, but hadn’t obtained a postsecondary credential as of G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s xi e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y Our data analysis showed that the decision to enroll in postsecondary education after GED testing was generally not immediate but tended to occur within three years of passing the GED Tests. The median number of months from completion of the GED Tests through enrollment in postsecondary education was 15, with a range of one to 80 months. Do adults with GED credentials need additional time to prepare emotionally, financially, or organizationally for postsecondary work? These findings indicated that allowing enough time to elapse before expecting entry into postsecondary programs is important (Boudett, Murnane, & Willett, 2000; Ou, 2008; Reder, 2007). academic performance, and relationships with peers and instructors. October 2010 and hadn’t enrolled in 2010. We found that 26 percent of GED postsecondary enrollees still took courses in 2010. While nearly 12 percent of GED Tests passers who transitioned to postsecondary education eventually earned a postsecondary credential, the dropout rate was as high as 62 percent for the 2004 cohort, even higher than the 25 percent first-year dropout cited in the Tinto, Russo, and Kadel study (1994). What led to the high postsecondary dropout rate for GED credential recipients who already displayed educational resilience by passing the GED Tests and enrolling in postsecondary education? What barriers prevented GED Tests passers from being successful in postsecondary education? Did perceptions of college or themselves (Behal, 1983), low skill levels (Reder, 2007), or strong negative life experiences (Tyler & Loftstrum, 2008) influence non-persistence? Other barriers could reflect practicalities such as full-time work, financial need, illnesses, or family responsibilities (Reder, 2007). To what extent the barriers they faced were dispositional, institutional, or the result of everyday situations and circumstances (Quigley, 1997) remained unclear. Tests scores above the 80th percentile (30 percent), compared with non-completers (20.9 percent). Overall, the postsecondary graduation rate was approximately 11.6 percent.1 Of 20,299 graduates, 6.5 percent completed single-semester programs, and 93.5 percent of those who graduated did so with a postsecondary credential after multiple semesters of enrollment. Female GED Tests passers had a slightly higher graduation rate (13.4 percent) than that of male GED Tests passers (10.5 percent). The older GED Tests passers were, the higher their graduation rates were. The oldest age group (35 years and older) had the highest graduation rate (20 percent) among the age groups, which was almost twice that of the 16- to 24-year-old age group (10.5 percent). In the final part of Chapter III, we focus on the types of degrees earned by GED Tests passers who successfully graduated from postsecondary education. Approximately 40 percent of all postsecondary credentials they earned were associate degrees. About one-third of postsecondary credentials were certificates (31.7 percent) and another one-fourth were bachelor’s degrees (26.3 percent). Approximately 62 percent of associate degree holders were female, compared with 53.4 percent of bachelor’s degree holders. 1 Postsecondary Institutions The fourth chapter aims to describe the characteristics of postsecondary institutions in which 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled. In order to profile more clearly the institutions that most attract GED Tests passers, we focused our analysis on the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and compared their institutional characteristics with the institutions where 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the non-GED institutions). National Student Clearinghouse indicated that graduation may be underreported by some postsecondary institutions. However, only 2 percent of institutions in our dataset had more than 50 GED Tests passers as students (a number at which we could reasonably expect at least some graduates) yet reported no graduates. Therefore, we concluded that any graduation underreporting was likely random and limited in scope. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s xii e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y GED Tests passers whose primary language was not English had a higher graduation rate (19 percent) than those reporting English as their primary language (11.5 percent). GED Tests passers whose highest grade level was 12th grade were almost twice as likely to graduate from postsecondary education as the rest of GED Tests passers. GED passers whose scores were above the 80th percentile had the highest graduation rate compared to GED passers in other percentile groups. Also, more GED Tests passers among postsecondary completers had GED These findings on dropout and graduation rates indicated a need for further analysis of graduation patterns across time and across postsecondary credential types. Adult students who approach educational attainment one step at a time, stepping from certificate to diploma to associate degree and beyond, could find themselves in postsecondary education programs for many years as they build academic confidence. Extending their time to graduation heightens a potential risk for GED credential recipients to drop out because of issues such as burnout, affordability, or need for full-time employment. Do they need more support from their institutions or others to complete (Reder, 2007)? Do they need more time to finish as well as more support (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner; 2010)? A better understanding would benefit not only those who don’t persist, but also the remaining one-fourth of GED Tests passers who are still working toward a postsecondary credential and haven’t graduated yet. We extracted data from the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (NCES/IPEDS, 2005). The data from IPEDS allowed us to describe institutional characteristics; student characteristics, admission, retention and graduation; and special learning opportunities and services offered in the postsecondary institutions in which GED credential recipients first enrolled. In total, 175,382 2004 GED Tests passers attended 2,451 institutions between 2004 and October 2010. Among these institutions 1,371 are four-year institutions and 1,032 are two-year institutions, which are about half of all IPEDS four-year and two-year institutions. We also found that GED Tests passers first enrolled in 897 GED 50-plus institutions during 2004 through 2010, which included over 89 percent of all GED Tests passer enrollees. Among the GED 50-plus institutions, 81.8 percent were public two-year institutions, 11 percent were public four-year institutions, and 4.3 percent were for-profit four-year institutions. The average student enrollment at the GED 50-plus institutions was 8,014, which is significantly higher than 938, the count of the non-GED institutions. Tuition and fees at the GED 50-plus institutions were $3,122, which is significantly lower than $11,113, the tuition and fees at the non-GED institutions. Given that the institutions most frequently attended by GED Tests passers were public two-year colleges, it was not surprising that overall average student enrollment and tuition at GED 50-plus institutions were close to those of public two-year colleges (7,521 students and $2,062, respectively). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t At GED 50-plus institutions, on average, 64.8 percent of fall 2005 students were white, 14.1 percent were black, and 9.9 percent were Hispanic; 58.6 percent of the students were women. These percentages are comparable to those of non-GED institutions. The percentage of women students (59.9 percent) enrolled at the GED 50-plus institutions was slightly higher than at non-GED institutions (54.8 percent). The percentage of undergraduates younger than 20 was higher at GED 50-plus institutions (27.8 percent versus 18.6 percent at non-GED institutions). How much do gender, ethnicity, and age distribution at an institution affect the choices of a GED Tests passer who might have a different demographic background from the main student body? We examined the open admissions policy and financial aid at the GED 50-plus institutions. A total of 83.7 percent of GED 50-plus institutions had open admissions policies (versus only 43.2 percent of nonGED institutions). A smaller proportion of the students at the GED 50-plus institutions received financial aid or student loan aid, which may be the result of lower tuition cost at these institutions We then examined the retention rates and graduation rates at the GED 50-plus institutions and the non-GED institutions. At GED 50-plus institutions, the median full-time retention rate was 59 percent, the mean part-time retention rate was 41 percent, and the graduation rate for the most recent cohort was 25 percent; all these percentages are lower than those of the non-GED institutions. Except for retention and graduation rates, we found very few indicators of the institutions’ quality. Despite the shorter, two-year education programs and support services provided, the GED 50-plus institutions still G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s xiii e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y A majority (83.3 percent) of the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers first attended a postsecondary institution in the same state where they passed the GED Tests. Twenty-six percent of the institutions in which the GED Tests passers first enrolled were in the Southeast, and 16.8 percent were in the Mideast. Geographically, the institutions in which the GED Tests passers first enrolled were generally representative of all IPEDS institutions. Did GED Tests passers enroll in a nearby institution for convenience? Particularly for those who prepared for the GED Tests through a community college, would it be logical or convenient for them to stay in the same college for a postsecondary credential? Or may they simply follow the pattern of postsecondary enrollees nationally to enroll in their state of residence (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner; 2010)? Our findings suggest that the postsecondary institutions GED Tests passers most likely chose are large, inexpensive, public two-year colleges. The relatively wide availability of adult basic education programs and of remedial services at most of these institutions may help transition the GED Tests passers into postsecondary education. Many of these institutions also may offer more flexibility and support, such as distance learning opportunities and on-campus daycare, to accommodate the students’ needs, which in turn could relate to persistence (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner; 2010). However, without further individual-level study on the GED Tests passers’ decisionmaking process, we cannot determine if these factors played a key role in the GED Tests passers’ decision when they made their first choices of postsecondary institutions. face challenges of retaining and graduating their students as a whole. What can be done at GED 50-plus institutions, or public two-year colleges in general, to help students graduate is a very important and urgent education policy issue. Educational Background and Postsecondary Experiences In the final chapter, our longitudinal comparison of students’ backgrounds, postsecondary experiences, and outcomes expands our insights into the GED Tests passer population (from Chapters II and III) and the institutions they attended (from Chapter IV). The data were from the 2004/2006 and 2004/2009 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, a large-scale, longitudinal study of first-year freshmen, sponsored by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). Our analyses used all three waves of data collection, namely 2003–04 baseyear, 2005–06 first follow-up, and 2008–09 second follow-up data. Remedial course taking was also similar for both groups. This finding contradicts the literature suggesting GED credential recipients need more remedial courses (CAAL, 2008; Duke & Ganzglass, 2007; Wirt et al., 2004) and deserves further study. The outcomes of developmental instruction for both groups should also receive further investigation. Are first-year retention rates and graduation rates comparable when both educational background groups received remedial education? Does it take longer for students (from either group) who receive remedial instruction to graduate (Chimka, Reed-Rhoads, & Barker, 2007; Duke & Ganzglass, 2007; Reder, 2007; Wirt et al., 2004)? Differences among the two groups included age, parents’ highest level of education, employment status while enrolled, time to enrollment, risk index, and amount of financial aid. GED credential recipients’ parents had a lower level of education than parents 2 Among all postsecondary enrollees who waited at least one year to enroll in postsecondary education, traditional high school graduates tended to wait longer to enroll than GED Tests passers did. This finding might be indicative of the role of the GED credential as a gateway to further education, as reflected on passer-reported statistics on reasons for taking the GED Tests.2 GED credential recipients tended to have moderate to high degree expectations for themselves, though lower than those of traditional high school graduates; more than three-fifths of GED Tests passers in 2003–04 ultimately expected a bachelor’s or master’s degree. GED Tests passers’ somewhat lower expectations may be linked to the lower educational attainment of their parents. Another explanation could be the fact that a substantial portion of credential recipients are working and are slightly older. They may expect to further their education but cannot afford to stay in school for long, therefore choosing a shorter route to advance their skills for the labor market. Alternatively, psychological attributes, such as comfort level with postsecondary studies, self-efficacy, locus of control, or self-confidence, could also contribute to educational expectations. Becoming academically confident may require setting a series of educational goals—do GED credential recipients tend to set final educational expectations from the beginning? Consistent with findings in Chapter IV, the institutions GED credential recipients selected were most often two-year schools and institutions with lower tuition and fees than the schools traditional high school graduates chose. Postsecondary tuition and fees seemed to be a core concern. The fact that GED Tests passers received about 20 percent less in financial aid for their first-year studies than traditional high school graduates did is concerning and should be further investigated in future studies. Was this difference due to a lack of GED Tests passers’ familiarity with navigating the postsecondary system and a lack of support services to help them find their way? Did GED Tests passers tend to receive less financial GED Testing Service. (2010). 2009 GED testing program statistical report. Washington, DC: American Council on Education. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s xiv e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y We found that GED credential recipients were similar to traditional high school graduates in gender and ethnic group. Similar proportions of students attended postsecondary education full time and attended a single institution, regardless of educational background. Of postsecondary students who left, both groups most frequently cited personal reasons for leaving. of traditional high school graduates did. GED credential recipients tended to be older, be more often employed full time, and receive less financial aid than traditional high school graduates. GED Tests passers appeared to be generally exposed to a higher number of risk factors during their first year of enrollment than traditional high school graduates were. aid because they tended to enroll in larger, less expensive institutions? Were they cautious about taking on college debt, given their age and employment status? Results on persistence and postsecondary credential attainment showed that while more than a third of GED Tests passers expected—or wanted—to receive a bachelor’s degree when they first enrolled, those who graduated five academic years later ended up with a postsecondary certificate instead. The traditional high school graduates, on the other hand, seemed to follow their self-predicted bachelor’s degree path. Another troubling finding was that about half of GED Tests passers who had enrolled in 2003–04 neither had a postsecondary credential nor were enrolled in postsecondary education as of June 2009, in contrast to about 35 percent of students from the traditional high school graduates group who had neither earned a credential nor were still enrolled by that time. Would increasing the time to degree help identify more postsecondary graduates, keeping in mind that longer enrollment could be a double-edged sword—the positive side being more time to finish successfully, and the negative side being the increased risks to motivation that accompany lengthier enrollments? More attention and further studies should focus on this population of GED Tests passers who exit postsecondary education with no credential. Do these students eventually come back? Were there personal or academic signals that should have functioned as red flags early on and could have been acted upon? e x ec u t i v e s u m m a r y c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s xv chapter I Crossing the Bridge Introduction D o adults without a high school diploma pursue postsecondary education? The presence of nearly 40 million U.S. adults aged 16 and older without a high school credential (American Council on Education [ACE], 2010) indicates that traditionally many have not. However, more than 18 million GED credentials have been awarded in the more than 65 years of the GED testing program. Moreover, before testing, a majority of adults who later passed the GED Tests (65.1 percent in 2009; ACE, 2010) indicated further education as a reason for testing, and 42.9 percent of the 2003 population of GED Tests passers 3 enrolled in postsecondary education by October 2009 (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). The GED credential is now a significant gateway to postsecondary education (Reder, 2007) in America. While the United States continues to recover from an economic recession, the need for adults to be prepared for family-sustaining careers, and the need for employers to have employees with postsecondary education–level skills, is acute for national economic recovery as well as for success of individuals and employers (Council for Advancement of Adult Literacy [CAAL], 2008; Reder, 2007 and 2010; SREB, 2010). To gain those skills, adults can no longer end their educational experiences with a secondary credential (or less). Tyler and Lofstrum (2010) called 3 Data on postsecondary experiences of GED credential recipients are key to ACE’s planning of the GED 21st Century Initiative. Continuing a multiyear study of the effect of the GED credential on postsecondary enrollment, persistence, and completion, this report presents the second-year findings for the 2004 population of GED test-takers—particularly GED Tests passers—and is designed to add to the evidence base. Like the first-year report, this Crossing the Bridge, Year Two report considers the spectrum of postsecondary educational outcomes of adults with GED credentials, from passing the GED Tests through postsecondary graduation. We also recognize the importance of examining the institutional settings in more detail and comparing data on GED credential recipients with data on traditional high school graduates. Therefore, after examining our GED Testing Service data, we are framing the remaining chapters in the context of comparing postsecondary outcomes and institutional settings by educational background. In short, the additional information in this secondyear report focuses on results of postsecondary enrollees, within institutional settings, and by educational background. We begin the report with a literature review in Chapter I. Chapter II presents results on postsecondary enrollment, followed by persistence and graduation in Chapter III, from the 2004 cohort of GED test-takers. In addition to looking at 2004 cohort data, the report presents findings on the postsecondary institutions GED credential recipients attended (Chapter IV) and compares postsecondary outcomes of GED credential recipients with those of traditional high school graduates (Chapter V). The terms GED credential recipient, GED passer, and GED Tests passer are used interchangeably in this report. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 1 c h ap t e r I In order to reach more of the nearly 40 million adults without a high school credential, and to encourage those with GED credentials to continue their education, the American Council on Education is launching the GED 21st Century Initiative. This scalable initiative has three key components: (1) a national preparation program based on a multi-platform, accelerated approach; (2) a new GED assessment aligned with Common Core national standards and that certifies high school equivalency as well as career and college readiness; and (3) a postcredential transition network for successful transition to postsecondary education and career opportunities (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). for further research to “potentially increase the postsecondary education levels of students [with GED credentials] who are currently at the mercy of an economy that offers few routes to economic stability and self-sufficiency for those lacking any postsecondary education” (p. 824). The purpose of this report is to describe which adults with GED credentials pursued postsecondary education, when and where they enrolled, and how they persisted in the context of results for individuals, within institutional settings, and by educational background. For Crossing the Bridge, Year Two—as for the Year One report—we are opting to focus on describing and reporting basic information. Multiple follow-up studies providing a more in-depth look into these topics are planned throughout 2011. Literature Review Postsecondary students with GED credentials may also be considered nontraditional adult learners. According to National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) data, less than 10 percent of beginning postsecondary students in 2003–04 had GED credentials (Berkner & Choy, 2008). However, this study did not estimate the total count of postsecondary students with GED credentials, and it remains unclear what the total percentage of postsecondary students with GED credentials is among all enrollees. The GED credential offers an advantage relative to postsecondary enrollment that high school noncompleters without a credential lack. Berktold, Geis, and Kaufman (1998) disclosed that dropouts who later completed either high school or the GED credential were three times more likely than dropouts earning no credentials to enroll in postsecondary c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t In 2004, 55.7 percent of U.S. high school graduates went directly to college. In 2005, 53.3 percent of two-year postsecondary enrollees and 75.8 percent of four-year postsecondary enrollees returned for a second year of college (NCHEMS, 2009). Individuals with GED credentials need sufficient time after testing to make the decision and prepare to enroll in postsecondary programs (Boudett, Murnane, & Willett, 2000; Reder, 2007) and may delay enrollment (Ou, 2008). Three-tenths of the 2003 cohort of GED Tests passers enrolled by the end of 2003, and twothirds of GED Tests passers enrolled for at least two semesters (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). How quickly did adult students with GED credentials from the 2004 cohort enter postsecondary education, and what were their rates of retention, after either one semester or one year? Enrollment of GED Tests passers in postsecondary education may vary demographically, in terms of age, gender, ethnicity, and other characteristics. In the 2003 cohort of GED Tests passers, younger adults with GED credentials tended to enroll in postsecondary education more often, and females entered postsecondary education more frequently than males, particularly two-year colleges (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). Almeida, Johnson, and Steinberg (2006), using 1988 data from the National Education Longitudinal Study (NELS), reported that African-American dropouts who later earned credentials had significantly lower postsecondary enrollment rates than their white and Hispanic counterparts. They found that only one-third of African-American dropouts with a high school credential participated in postsecondary education programs, while half of white and Hispanic dropouts who later earned credentials enrolled in college. After comparing ethnic composition by educational background in 2003 National Assessment of Adult Literacy (NAAL) data, Reder (2007) saw the GED credential functioning as a potential “gateway” (p. 8) to postsecondary education, and noted cultural and language nuances of educational background as important. Ethnicity was not a predictor of 2003 GED Tests passer postsecondary enrollment or graduation in survival analyses (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 2 c h ap t e r I Postsecondary Enrollment A sizable proportion of nontraditional adult students enrolls in postsecondary education and frequently attends two-year colleges (Lakin, Mullane, & Robinson, 2008; NCHEMS, 2009; Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010; Reder, 2007). A traditional postsecondary student in the United States is considered an adult participating full time in postsecondary education who began college shortly after earning a traditional high school diploma and maintained continuous enrollment through graduation from a postsecondary program. One way to define a nontraditional adult student is by age, that is, adults older than the traditional 18- to 24-year-old college student (Ryu, 2010). In 2005, 39 percent of college students were 25 years or older (Lakin, Mullane, & Robinson, 2008), and 19 percent of 25- to 39-year-old adults with a high school credential were enrolled as college students (NCHEMS, 2009). However, Maralani (2006) found that older adults had a lower participation rate for postsecondary education than younger adults did. education programs. Tyler and Lofstrum (2008) pointed out that non-GED Tests passers may enroll at lower rates because without open-admissions policies, they would be barred from enrolling— which casts a positive relationship between obtaining a GED credential and transitioning to postsecondary education. Guison-Dowdy, 2010)—in the 2004 cohort, would ethnicity relate to enrollment and graduation? Postsecondary enrollment may vary geographically, and its lack is keenly felt in regions of the United States that are struggling economically as well as educationally (SREB, 2010). Bound, Lovenheim, and Turner (2010) noted that 85 percent of college students enrolled in the state where they reside. Similarly, 83 percent of adults in the 2003 cohort of GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education in the state where they passed the GED Tests (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). Would the majority of GED Tests passers from the 2004 cohort enroll in institutions in their state of residence as well? Students who are inadequately prepared at the secondary level, regardless of educational background, tend to need remedial coursework. A need for remedial education not only lengthens the time needed in postsecondary education but can also impact whether an adult student even completes a postsecondary credential, regardless of degree type (Chimka, ReedRhoads, & Barker, 2007; Duke & Ganzglass, 2007; Reder, 2007; Wirt, et al., 2004). How extensively do adults with GED credentials require remedial education (CAAL, 2008; Duke & Ganzglass, 2007)? A substantial percentage of adult students who attended public two-year colleges, regardless of educational background, took remedial coursework at the turn of the 21st century (Wirt, et al., 2004). Understanding how GED credential recipients, who most frequently attend public two-year institutions (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010), compare with traditional high school graduates in remedial course taking, both at the individual and institutional levels, is of great consequence. Does a crucial initial time period determine college student retention? Researchers also found that few postsecondary enrollees with GED credentials complete the first year of postsecondary education (Duke & Ganzglass, 2007; Patterson, Song, & Zhang, 2009; c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t A short-term certificate program or a single year in another type of postsecondary program may benefit students. Bloom (2010) pointed to research that indicated a substantial increase in earnings for adults earning an occupational certificate, in contrast to adult students dropping out of college with no postsecondary credential. Kane and Rouse (1995) found that completing a single year of college credits significantly increased hourly wages and annual earnings by 4 to 7 percent. Murnane, Willett, and Boudett (1999) confirmed that earnings that were received after an additional year of college increased in the range of 5.2 to 10.8 percent. Understanding length of enrollment as well as degree type of GED credential recipients is a first step to estimating how economically beneficial short-term postsecondary experiences are. Other researchers found that demographic and academic achievement variables are related to college students’ retention (Chimka, Reed-Rhoads, & Barker, 2007; Murtaugh, Burns, & Schuster, 1999). A number of characteristics—including nontraditional age, parental status, full-time employment, and their own self-expectations—could put adults with GED credentials at risk of dropping out (Reder, 2007). Postsecondary attendance rate, whether full time or part time, may be an important indicator of persistence for adults with GED credentials (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010; Reder, 2007). c h ap t e r I Postsecondary Persistence The literature debates how closely related secondary preparation, family characteristics such as income and parental education, and student characteristics are to whether and when students complete a postsecondary credential (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner; 2010; Chimka, Reed-Rhoads, & Barker, 2007; Horn, 2006; Murtaugh, Burns, & Schuster, 1999; Reder, 2007; Tinto, Russo, & Kadel, 1994). Tyler, 2003). In addition, Tinto, Russo, and Kadel (1994) reported that 25 percent of college students overall dropped out of school after their first year. Institutional characteristics, such as institutional selectivity and available resources per student, may also be associated with time to degree, according to Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner (2010). Their recent report raises questions that could easily apply to adult students with GED credentials, relevant to the role of open admissions, college costs (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010), and financial aid. Postsecondary Graduation In our Crossing the Bridge, Year One report we noted a low graduation rate (nearly 12 percent) for postsecondary students within a seven-year time period after they passed the GED Tests. The report raised the point that many adult students with GED credentials may not have graduated yet, even though by design the study allowed seven years to elapse for each annual cohort (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & GuisonDowdy, 2010). Time to graduation, also known as time to degree, for beginning students from any G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 3 educational background has gradually increased, particularly for public two-year institutions (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner, 2010). Since the Student Rightto-Know (SRTK) Act was enacted in 1990, NCES studies of college graduation rates have allowed six years for a student to attain a four-year degree, or completion within 150 percent of expected time to degree (Horn, 2006 and 2010; NPEC, 2010). Using the 150 percent expectation for time to degree, the 2008 U.S. four-year (bachelor’s degree) college graduation rate was 54.7 percent and the two-year (associate degree) college graduation rate was 22 percent (Horn, 2010). Differing graduation rates were reported by gender and ethnicity (NPEC, 2010). Other researchers have found that various barriers prevented GED Tests passers from being successful in postsecondary education. These barriers may include: a perception that college is too difficult or not for everyone (Behal, 1983), a lack of skills to succeed in college (Reder, 2007), or strong negative life experiences that interfere with persistence or prevent completion (Tyler & Lofstrum, 2008). Other barriers could reflect practicalities such as fulltime work, financial need, or family responsibilities (Reder, 2007; Tyler, 2003). Summary Our review of the literature assisted us in determining the focus for the study as well as its methodology. Adults with GED credentials represent a small but substantial proportion of nontraditional adult students. The GED credential offers an advantage relative to postsecondary enrollment that high school non-completers without a credential lack. The need for sufficient time after testing for individuals with GED credentials to enroll in postsecondary programs must be acknowledged in any consideration of enrollment time periods and retention rates. Enrollment of GED Tests passers in postsecondary c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t The literature has much to offer about persistence and completion as it debates how closely related secondary preparation, family characteristics such as income and parental education, and student characteristics are to whether and when postsecondary students complete a credential. Understanding how GED credential recipients compare with traditional high school graduates in remedial course taking is of great consequence. Identifying length of enrollment, as well as degree type, of GED credential recipients is a first step to estimating how economically beneficial short-term postsecondary experiences are. A number of characteristics—including nontraditional age, parental status, full-time employment, and selfexpectations—could put adults with GED credentials at risk of dropping out of college. Postsecondary attendance rates, whether full time or part time, may also be an important indicator of persistence. Institutional characteristics, such as institutional selectivity and available resources per student, may also be associated with time to degree. METHODOLOGY Data In this Crossing the Bridge, Year Two report we examine postsecondary outcomes of U.S. GED Tests candidates from the second cohort during the 2004 calendar year, as we did with the first cohort from 2003. The 2004 cohort of candidates includes all examinees who took the GED Tests in 2004, regardless of whether they completed the GED Tests—that is, they may have started in 2004 and completed in a later year. The 2004 cohort includes adults who passed the GED Tests in 2004 in the United States (GED Tests passers) as well as adults who tested but did not pass the GED Tests in 2004 or in later years (non-passers). In addition, we define subgroups reflecting key demographic groups for further analysis. Our analysis of postsecondary outcomes focuses on enrollment, persistence, and postsecondary credential completion. We matched 2004 data on 575,061 adults from the GED Testing Service International Database (IDB) with postsecondary enrollment and completion records as of October 2010 from the National Student Clearinghouse (NSC), a nonprofit organization established in the early 1990s to serve the higher G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 4 c h ap t e r I Allowing twice as much time to elapse for completion of a postsecondary credential as the expected traditional program length—such as four years for an associate degree or eight years for a bachelor’s degree—is becoming normal, following passage of the 2008 Higher Education Opportunity Act (Horn, 2010). Beginning in 2009–10, data have been collected on degree completion within 200 percent of expected time (Horn, 2010; NPEC, 2010). Using the 200 percent rate, the 2008 U.S. four-year (bachelor’s degree) college graduation rate was 58.3 percent and the two-year (associate degree) college graduation rate was 28.4 percent. education may vary demographically, in terms of age, gender, ethnicity, and other characteristics. GED Tests passers in different geographical areas may enroll at different rates. education community. NSC serves as a repository for data from approximately 3,300 postsecondary institutions and holds records for 92 percent of the total postsecondary student enrollment in the nation. Using IDB and NSC data, we matched 203,623 adults who enrolled in postsecondary programs between 2004 and October 2010. Of the 409,444 GED Tests passers, 175,382 were matched as postsecondary enrollees. Analyses We conducted descriptive analyses, comparisons with institutional data from the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), an institutional postsecondary database from the National Center for Educational Statistics (NCES/IPEDS, 2004), and comparisons with traditional high school graduate data from the national Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study (NCES/BPS, 2004). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Our data source for comparisons by educational background was the NCES Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study (BPS). We used data from BPS (NCES/BPS, 2004) to generate specific cross-tabulated reports. We employed these data to make descriptive comparisons by educational background. Additional information about data sources, research questions, and our methodology is provided in more detail in individual chapters. For further explanation of our methodology, the reader is referred to the Crossing the Bridge, Year One report, available in PDF at www.GEDtest.org. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s c h ap t e r I Because research indicates that most GED candidates enter two-year (or shorter) postsecondary programs, we believed that six full calendar years was sufficient time to examine enrollment and persistence rates in programs of up to two years. For example, a 2004 GED Tests candidate whose data we analyzed in 2010 might enroll in a postsecondary program between 2004 and October 2010. We also included data from IPEDS (NCES/IPEDS, 2004) in our study to explain institutional charac teristics and services in the postsecondary institutions that GED Tests passers attended. These data come from “a system of interrelated surveys conducted annually by the U.S. Department’s National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). IPEDS gathers infor mation from every college, university, and technical and vocational institution that participates in the fed eral student financial aid programs. IPEDS provides basic data needed to describe—and analyze trends in—postsecondary education in the United States in terms of the numbers of students enrolled, staff employed, dollars expended, and degrees earned” (NCES/IPEDS, 2004). 5 chapter II Transitions to Postsecondary Education M ore than 400,000 high school dropouts complete their secondary education by passing the GED Tests each year. Without any doubt, many of the thousands of GED Tests passers have both ability and aspiration for a postsecondary education. How did GED Tests passers’ journeys from GED credential to postsecondary education go? Did they pursue their educational dreams after GED testing? GED Testing Service published a first-year report from a longitudinal study of GED credential recipients and their postsecondary education outcomes (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010), which reported on the 2003 cohort of GED Tests passers’ transitions to postsecondary education. Following that initial report, this second-year study provides a national snapshot of 2004 GED Tests passers’ transitions to postsecondary education. The chapter is composed of four major sections: 1. What are the percentages of the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers and non-passers who enrolled in postsecondary education? 2. Who transitioned to postsecondary education? Within this section, we describe demographic, academic, and social characteristics of 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education. Furthermore, we explore how postsecondary education enrollment rates for GED Tests passers varied by key demographic, academic, and social variables. c h ap t e r II The major purpose of this chapter is to present an overview of the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers’ transitions to postsecondary education, through basic descriptive statistics. It provides a comprehensive picture of who, when, and where the 2004 GED Tests passers transitioned to postsecondary education, as a reference tool for policy makers, adult educators, and GED testing centers that are interested in detailed information on GED Tests passers’ postsecondary education experience in the United States. 3. When did 2004 GED Tests passers transition to postsecondary education after GED testing? 4. Where did 2004 GED Tests passers enroll in postsecondary education? In addition, we report the Key Findings for Chapter II: • The 2004 cohort included 575,061 GED Tests candidates. • GED Tests passers from the 2004 cohort enrolled in postsecondary education at more than twice the rate (42.8 percent) of non-passers (17.1 percent), which replicated results for the 2003 cohort. • A GED credential may provide an important bridge for dropouts to access postsecondary education. • African-American and Hispanic GED Tests passers were no less likely to enroll in postsecondary education than were white GED Tests passers. • The postsecondary enrollment rate decreased as GED Tests passers’ age increased. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t • Higher GED Tests battery scores seemed to relate positively to GED Tests passers’ tendency to transition to postsecondary education. • GED Tests passers’ stated goal at the time of GED testing might be a good indicator of whether they would enroll in postsecondary education after passing the GED Tests. • More than two-thirds of 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled in a postsecondary institution did so within the first three years after passing the GED Tests. • Approximately 40 percent enrolled for full-time attendance and 31.8 percent for half-time attendance for their first semester of postsecondary education. The attendance status at enrollment seems related to postsecondary enrollees’ later successes. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 6 tABle 2.1 postsecondary enrollment Status of the 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers and Non-passers (2004–10) total 2004 cohort GeD tests passers and Nonpassers Number 2004 cohort GeD tests passers 2004 cohort GeD tests Non-passers selected the demographic characteristics of gender, ethnicity, age group, primary language, and years out of school. Academic characteristics related to the variables of GED Tests battery score, whether individuals took Official GED Practice Tests, and highest education level. Social characteristics were variables of educational and employment reasons for testing and employment status. Number percent Number percent postsecondary enrollees Non-enrollees 203,623 175,382 42.8 28,241 17.1 371,438 234,062 57.2 137,376 83.0 Overall 575,061 409,444 100.0 165,617 100.0 2004 cohort’s initial enrollment status and types of institutions they attended for the first semester. POSTSECONDARY ENROLLMENT OF GED TESTS PASSERS AND NON-PASSERS The 2004 cohort includes 575,061 GED Tests candidates, with 71.2 percent GED Tests passers and 28.8 percent non-passers.4 The emphasis of this report is on postsecondary outcomes of GED credential recipients. Therefore, the remaining sections of Chapter II focus on GED credential recipients’ transitions to postsecondary education. GED non-passers who enrolled in postsecondary education were excluded from analysis. WHO TRANSITIONED TO POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION? The percentages of male (50.8 percent) and female (49.2 percent) GED Tests passers were about the same for 2004 enrollees. In comparison, non-enrollees were more frequently male (62.5 percent) than female (37.5 percent). For median age, 2004 enrollees were just one year younger (20 years old) than non-enrollees (21 years old). However, differences of distributions of age groups between 2004 enrollees and non-enrollees appeared, as shown in Table 2.2. Approximately 79 percent of enrollees were between 16 and 24 years old, and 14.6 percent were 25 to 34 years old. Only 6.4 percent were older than 35 years. For nonenrollees, 67.4 percent were 16 to 24 years old and 13.1 percent were older than 35 years. c h ap t e r II Table 2.1 compares postsecondary enrollment percentages of GED Tests passers with those of GED Tests non-passers. As shown in the table, the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education at more than twice the rate (42.8 percent) of non-passers (17.1 percent), which was consistent with the 2003 cohort (Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). Demographic Characteristics Table 2.2 (on page 8) presents demographic characteristics for 2004 GED Tests passers by their postsecondary enrollment status. In keeping with the median age, 2004 enrollees tended to have left school more recently than nonenrollees did. The median number of years since leaving K–12 was two and four years for enrollees and non-enrollees, respectively. As shown in Table 2.2, the distributions for ethnicity and primary language were similar between postsecondary enrollees and non-enrollees. White was the largest ethnic group for both enrollees and non-enrollees. Adults whose primary language was English represented about 94 percent of both groups. Characteristics of GED Tests Passers Who Enrolled in Postsecondary Education About 43 percent of 2004 GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education (and 57 percent did not) by October 2010. Were there any major differences in terms of demographic, social, and academic characteristics between those who enrolled and did not enroll in postsecondary education? This study 4 GED Tests non-passers here refers to those who had not passed the GED Tests in 2004. Some of them may have passed the GED Tests through retesting from 2005 to 2010. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 7 tABle 2.2 Demographic characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who enrolled and Did Not enroll in postsecondary education 2004 cohort GeD tests passers Who enrolled (N=175,382) Demographic characteristics Number Gender: Male Female age Group (in 2004): 16–24 Years Old 25–34 Years Old 35 Years and Older age in 2004 (Median) ethnic Group: Hispanic African American White American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander primary Language: English Language Other Than English Years Since Leaving K–12 System (Median) Notes: Missing Missing Missing Missing n n n n for for for for percent 2004 cohort GeD tests passers Who Did Not enroll (N=234,062) Number percent 86,128 83,393 50.8 49.2 140,646 84,299 62.5 37.5 138,470 25,619 11,153 20 years old 79.0 14.6 6.4 157,440 45,582 30,666 21 years old 67.4 19.5 13.1 28,375 27,677 95,521 3,508 3,552 1,103 17.8 17.3 59.8 2.2 2.2 0.7 42,089 30,783 130,146 6,121 2,473 1,407 19.8 14.5 61.1 2.9 1.2 0.7 140,294 8,087 2 years 94.6 5.5 184,580 13,189 4 years 93.3 6.7 gender=14,978. ethnic group=36,654. primary language=63,294. age group=514. c h ap t e r II Academic Characteristics Table 2.3 exhibits basic academic characteristics, including highest grade completed, taking Official GED Practice Tests, and GED Tests performance. Enrollees had a higher proportion of GED Tests passers who completed 11th and 12th grade (43.1 percent) compared with non-enrollees (36.5 percent). Fewer 2004 GED Tests passers who transitioned to postsecondary education (63.8 percent) reported taking the Official GED Practice Tests compared with non-enrollees (70.2 percent). GED Tests average battery scores were divided into quintile groups to compare enrollees’ and non-enrollees’ GED Tests performance. A quintile group is defined as a subset of adjacent scores in tABle 2.3 academic characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who enrolled and Did Not enroll in postsecondary education academic characteristics highest Grade completed: 8th Grade (or below) 9th Grade 10th Grade 11th Grade 12th Grade took the Official GeD practice tests GeD tests Battery Mean Score: Below 20th Percentile (450–480) 20–40th Percentile (481–510) 40–60th Percentile (511–542) 60–80th Percentile (543–586) Above 80th Percentile (587–800) 2004 cohort GeD tests passers Who enrolled (N=175,382) Number percent 2004 cohort GeD tests passers Who Did Not enroll (N=234,062) Number percent 12,783 24,392 44,429 57,852 17,666 97,322 8.1 13.9 25.3 33.0 10.1 63.8 23,688 40,124 60,506 69,034 16,369 143,860 11.3 17.1 25.9 29.5 7.0 70.2 32,131 31,948 32,780 35,570 42,953 18.3 18.2 18.7 20.3 24.5 53,073 50,529 47,163 44,417 38,880 22.7 21.6 20.2 19.0 16.6 Notes: Missing n for taking the Official GED Practice Tests=51,851. Missing n for highest grade completed=42,621. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 8 tABle 2.4 Social characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who enrolled and Who Did Not enroll in postsecondary education Social characteristics reasons for GeD testing:1 Enroll in Trade/Technical College Enter Two-year College Enter Four-year College Skills Certification Get First Job Get Better Job Employer Requirement Public Assistance Requirement Role Model for Family Personal Satisfaction employment/Student Status at GeD testing: Employed Part-time Employed Full-time Unemployed Full-time Student Part-time Student 1 2004 cohort GeD tests passers Who enrolled (N=175,382) 2004 cohort GeD tests passers Who Did Not enroll (N=234,062) Number percent Number percent 28,864 54,058 45,113 11,546 10,017 53,310 10,350 2,178 27,660 75,046 16.5 30.8 25.7 6.6 5.7 30.4 5.9 1.2 15.8 42.8 45,048 47,035 30,451 18,570 15,090 84,101 18,887 2,864 44,417 115,527 19.3 20.1 13.0 7.9 6.5 35.9 8.1 1.2 19.0 49.4 23,440 40,566 50,843 19,207 14,816 13.4 23.1 29.0 11.0 8.5 23,405 53,741 67,084 24,127 19,060 10.0 23.0 28.7 10.3 8.1 Reasons for testing were not mutually exclusive; GED Tests candidates could select more than one educational reason. Social Characteristics We examined how enrollees were distinguished from non-enrollees in terms of social characteristics through their reported reasons for GED testing and employment status at GED testing. As shown in Table 2.4, 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education more frequently indicated c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t an educational reason for testing (that is, entering a two-year or four-year college) than non-enrollees. Enrollees and non-enrollees reported similar employment status—unemployed or employed part time or full time—at the time of testing. Postsecondary Enrollment Rates by Characteristics of GED Tests Passers Our analysis of 2004 GED Tests passers showed that there were no major differences between enrollees and non-enrollees in terms of demographic, academic, and social characteristics. The distribution for many variables displayed similar patterns for enrollees and non-enrollees. After exploring primary characteristics for 2004 GED Tests passers by their postsecondary enrollment status, we proceeded to investigate enrollment rates disaggregated by demographic, academic, and social status. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 9 c h ap t e r II a distribution representing 20 percent of a sample or a population. A quintile score is a raw score corresponding to the 20th, 40th, 60th, or 80th percentile score. For 2004 GED Tests passers, quintile scores of 480, 510, 542, and 586 represented the 20th, 40th, 60th, and 80th percentile GED Tests scores, which ranged from 450 to 800. According to Table 2.3, enrollees had a higher percentage of GED Tests passers who scored above the 80th percentile (24.5 percent) compared to non-enrollees (16.6 percent). figuRe 2.1 postsecondary education enrollment rates of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Demographic characteristic Age Group Gender FIGURE 2.1 38.0% Male 49.7% Female 46.8% 16–24 Years Old 25–34 Years Old 36.0% 35 Years and Older 26.7% Primary Language Ethnic Group Hispanic 40.3% African American 47.3% White American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/ Pacific Islander English Language Other Than English 42.3% 36.4% 59.0% 43.9% 43.2% 38.0% 0 20 30 Percent 40 50 60 70 (N=409,444) n n n n for for for for gender=14,978. age group=514. ethnic group=36,654. primary language=63,294. Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates by Demographic Status Overall, 42.8 percent of the 2004 GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education by October 2010. Figure 2.1 displays enrollment rates by gender, age group, ethnicity, and primary language. Female GED Tests passers (49.7 percent) had a higher enrollment rate compared to their male counterparts (38 percent). No significant differences in enrollment rates for 2004 GED Tests passers occurred among ethnic groups, with the exception of Asians (59 percent), who had a higher rate of enrollment than other ethnic groups. Contrary to the findings of Almeida, Johnson, and Steinberg (2006), our data indicated that AfricanAmerican and Hispanic GED Tests passers were no less likely to enroll in postsecondary education than whites. In fact, African-American GED Tests passers (47.3 percent) had a higher enrollment rate compared with Hispanic (40.3 percent) and white GED Tests passers (42.3 percent), as shown in Figure 2.1. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t c h ap t e r II Notes: Missing Missing Missing Missing 10 The enrollment rate decreased as GED Tests passers’ age increased. 2004 GED Tests passers between 16 and 24 years old had the highest enrollment rate, at 46.8 percent, compared with all other age groups. The least likely to enroll in postsecondary education were GED Tests passers aged 35 and older, with an enrollment rate of 26.7 percent. Based on primary language status, GED Tests passers whose primary language was English had a similar enrollment rate to those who primarily spoke other languages. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 10 figuRe 2.2 postsecondary education enrollment rates of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by academic characteristic FIGURE 2.2 GED Tests Battery Score Official GED Practice Tests (OPT) Highest Grade Completed 8th Grade (or below) 39.3% 37.8% 9th Grade 42.3% 10th Grade 45.6% 11th Grade 51.9% 12th Grade 40.4% Took OPT Below 20th Percentile (450–480) 20–40th Percentile (481–510) 40–60th Percentile (511–542) 60–80th Percentile (543–586) Above 80th Percentile (587–800) 37.7% 38.7% 41.0% 44.5% 52.5% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percent (N=409,444) Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates by Academic Status GED Tests passers who obtained a higher level of secondary education were more likely to enroll in postsecondary education, as shown in Figure 2.2. The enrollment rate for GED Tests passers who completed 12th grade was 51.9 percent. In contrast, less than 40 percent of GED Tests passers whose highest education level was below 9th grade transitioned to postsecondary education after passing the GED Tests. Approximately 40 percent of GED Tests passers who took Official GED Practice Tests enrolled in postsecondary education. The higher the scores group of GED Tests passers was, the higher the enrollment rate would be. Close to 53 percent of GED Tests passers in the highest GED Tests scores group (above the 80th percentile group) enrolled in postsecondary education, while about 38 percent of those in the lowest scores group (below the 20th percentile group) transitioned to postsecondary education. they follow through and actually pursue their educational goals after earning the credential. More than half (53.5 percent) of 2004 GED Tests passers who indicated “enter two-year college” and 59.7 percent who indicated “enter four-year college” as reasons for testing later enrolled; these rates were much higher than the approximately 39 percent enrollment rate of those who reported employment reasons or interest in trade/technical programs as reasons for testing, as shown in Figure 2.3 (on page 12). These statistics suggested that GED credential recipients with the goal of enrolling in a two-year or four-year college when testing were more likely to actually do so, compared with GED credential recipients who did not state these goals. In regard to employment status at GED testing, there were not many differences for enrollment rate among different employment categories. GED credential recipients who worked part time when GED testing had a higher percentage (50 percent) of enrolling in postsecondary education than those who were employed full time (43 percent) and those who were unemployed (43.1 percent). Postsecondary Education Enrollment Rates by Social Status A frequent concern about GED credential recipients who state educational reasons for testing is whether c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 11 c h ap t e r II Notes: Missing n for taking Official GED Practice Tests=51,851. Missing n for highest grade completed=42,621. figuRe 2.3 postsecondary education enrollment rates of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Social characteristic FIGURE 2.3 Enroll in Trade/Technical College 39.1% Reasons for GED Testing1 Enter Two-year College 53.5% Enter Four-year College 59.7% Skill Certification 38.3% Get First Job 39.9% Get Better Job 35.7% Employer Requirement 38.8% Public Assistance Requirement 43.2% Role Model for Family 38.4% Employment/Student Status at GED Testing Personal Satisfaction 39.4% Employed Part-time 50.0% Employed Full-time 43.0% Unemployed 43.1% Full-time Student 44.3% Part-time Student 43.7% 10 20 30 40 50 60 c h ap t e r II 0 70 Percent (N=409,444) 1 Reasons for testing are not mutually exclusive; GED Tests candidates could select more than one educational reason. TIME TO TRANSITION TO POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION AND INITIAL ENROLLMENT STATUS How long did it take for 2004 GED Tests passers to transition to postsecondary education after passing the GED Tests? Our data analysis showed that the decision to enroll in postsecondary education after GED testing was generally not immediate, but it tended to occur within three years of passing the tests. More than two-thirds of 2004 GED Tests passers (69.3 percent) who enrolled in a postsecondary institution did so within the first three years after passing the GED Tests (2004, 2005, or 2006) as shown in Table 2.5. The median number of months from completion of the GED Tests through enrollment in postsecondary education was 15, with a range of one to 80 months, and a standard deviation of 22.4. After initial decreases through the fourth year, annual enrollment rates remained steady between 6 to 8 percent annually through 2010. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t tABle 2.5 postsecondary enrollment of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Year: 2004–10 Year 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in Year Number percent 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 52,506 48,269 20,570 14,623 13,270 13,993 11,817 30.0 27.6 11.8 8.4 7.6 8.0 6.8 Overall 175,048 100.0 Note: Missing n=334. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 12 figuRe 2.4 FIGURE 2.4 postsecondary enrollment Status of 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers for First Semester Less-than Half-time Student 16.9% Withdrawn 11.0% Full-time Student 40.2% (76.5 percent) who passed the GED Tests initially enrolled in colleges that offer programs of two years or less; 22.9 percent attended four-year institutions initially. Less than 1 percent chose colleges that offer programs of less than two years. In addition, the vast majority of GED Tests passers (87.3 percent) enrolled in public institutions and 12.7 percent registered at private institutions. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION Half-time Student 31.8% Notes: Total number of 2004 cohort of GED passers who enrolled in postsecondary education was 175,382. Less than 0.05 percent of GED Tests passers were deceased during the time of study. Missing n=45,387. WHERE AND IN WHAT TYPES OF POSTSECONDARY INSTITUTIONS DID 2004 GED TESTS PASSERS ENROLL? Policy makers and institutional leaders often are interested in whether prospective students come to their institutions from within the state or from outside the state. Our data showed that the vast majority of GED Tests passers (83.3 percent) enrolled in institutions in the state in which they passed the GED Tests. Only 16.7 percent left the state to enroll in a college or university. Much literature (e.g., NCHEMS, 2009; Patterson, Song, Zhang, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010; Reder, 2007) has revealed that GED Tests passers usually enroll in two-year institutions. The same pattern was detected in our data. More than three-quarters of students c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Who Transitioned to Postsecondary Education? About 43 percent of 2004 GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education. Among all postsecondary enrollees, we found that enrollment rates varied by passers’ demographic, academic, and social status. First, an interesting finding was that AfricanAmerican and Hispanic GED Tests passers were no less likely to enroll in postsecondary education than were whites. The enrollment rates were 40.3, 47.3, and 42.3 percent for Hispanic, African-American, and white ethnic groups, respectively. African Americans had the highest enrollment rate among these three groups. These rates were contradictory to research findings of Almeida, Johnson, and Steinberg (2006), which concluded that black dropouts who earned high school–equivalent credentials had significant G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 13 c h ap t e r II What was the initial postsecondary enrollment status of 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled for the first semester? As displayed in Figure 2.4, 40.2 percent of GED Tests passers who enrolled in a college or university opted for full-time attendance for their first semester of postsecondary education. Approximately one-third (31.8 percent) enrolled on a half-time basis, and 16.9 percent enrolled less than half time. About 11 percent withdrew from their institutions during the first semester. Enrollment Rates for GED Tests Passers and Non-passers GED Tests passers from the 2004 cohort enrolled in postsecondary education at more than twice the rate (42.8 percent) of non-passers (17.1 percent), which replicated results for the 2003 cohort. Also, the findings echoed similar results from previous research. Berktold, Geis, and Kaufman (1998) disclosed that dropouts who either later completed high school or the GED Tests were three times more likely than uncredentialed dropouts to enroll in postsecondary education programs. Tyler and Lofstrum (2008) pointed out that non-passers may enroll at lower rates because without open-admissions policies, they would be barred from enrolling—which cast a positive relationship between obtaining a GED credential and transitioning to postsecondary education. The findings suggest that a GED credential functions as a significant bridge to dropouts’ postsecondary goals. The GED credential provides an important pathway for dropouts to get access to postsecondary education. Encouraging more high school dropouts to complete their secondary education by passing the GED Tests might be the first step to start their journey of pursuing postsecondary education. lower postsecondary enrollment rates compared with white and Hispanic dropouts. Second, we found that the enrollment rate decreased as GED Tests passers’ age increased. The youngest age group (16 to 24 years old) had the highest enrollment rate of 46.8 percent, while the oldest age group (35 years and older) had the lowest enrollment rate of 26.7 percent. The finding was in line with what had been previously reported in other literature. Maralani (2006) also found that older adults had a lower participation rate in postsecondary education. Older adults are more likely to face barriers to further education while working full time or raising families (Reder, 2007; Tyler, 2003) compared to younger ones. Adult educators may benefit from a better understanding of difficulties or barriers preventing more mature learners from entering postsecondary education. Finally, GED Tests passers’ goal commitment at the time of GED testing might be a good indicator of c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Time to Transition to Postsecondary Education and Initial Enrollment Status GED credential recipients may not follow up on their postsecondary education goals immediately after passing the GED Tests. More than two-thirds of 2004 passers who enrolled in a postsecondary institution did so within the first three years. Do adults with GED credentials need additional time to prepare emotionally, financially, or organizationally for postsecondary work? This finding indicated that allowing enough time to elapse before expecting entry into postsecondary programs is important (Boudett, Murnane, & Willett, 2000; Ou, 2008; Reder, 2007). Approximately 40 percent of GED credential recipients enrolled for full-time attendance and 31.8 percent for half-time attendance for their first semester of postsecondary education. The attendance status at enrollment seems related to postsecondary enrollees’ successes. Less than half of GED postsecondary enrollees enrolled for full-time attendance, which might relate, at least in part, to the low graduation rates for GED postsecondary enrollees. More studies need to examine details of GED Tests passers’ postsecondary education experiences, including their financial status, credits taken for each year, their academic performance, and relationship with peers and instructors. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 14 c h ap t e r II GED Tests passers’ secondary education level and GED testing performance seemed to be related with their postsecondary enrollment. About 52 percent of GED Tests passers whose highest education level was 12th grade enrolled in postsecondary education, compared to 39.3 percent for those who completed 8th grade or lower. The finding denoted that staying longer in secondary education might positively relate to entering postsecondary education. Also, a positive relationship was detected between GED testing performance and postsecondary enrollment. The postsecondary enrollment rate increased from 37.7 percent to 52.5 percent across the five quintile groups. Higher GED Tests battery scores seemed to increase GED Tests passers’ tendency to transition to postsecondary education. Adult educators who work with potential GED candidates must encourage them to prepare thoroughly for the GED Tests and structure learning with a focus on transition so that GED credential recipients are better prepared for postsecondary academic learning. whether they would enroll in postsecondary education after passing the GED Tests. More than half (53.5 percent) of 2004 GED Tests passers who indicated “enter two-year college” and 59.7 percent of 2004 GED Tests passers who reported “enter fouryear college” as reasons for testing later enrolled. Based on this result, the education world needs to continue to advocate for postsecondary education for all learners and help them realize the importance of getting a postsecondary credential. Adult educators could help GED Tests takers identify their goals for postsecondary education and explore possible options of access to postsecondary education. chapter III Persistence and Degree Attainment in Postsecondary Education I n this chapter we look at the postsecondary experiences of GED Tests passers after they have transitioned into postsecondary education, focusing on their persistence and postsecondary credential attainment. After we examined the general patterns of GED Tests passers’ persistence and postsecondary credential attainment in postsecondary education, one question remained: Did GED Tests passers differ from one another in terms of demographic, academic, and social characteristics based on their persistence and postsecondary credential attainment status? Therefore, basic statistics were calculated for passers based on their persistence status. Two sets of descriptive statistics were reported: (1) We described demographic, academic, and social characteristics of two groups, single-semester and multiple-semester enrollees; and (2) we compared characteristics of GED credential Key Findings for Chapter III: • Approximately two-thirds of 2004 GED Tests passers (67.2 percent) who enrolled maintained enrollment for two or more semesters. • The total number of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education peaked in 2005. • The first-semester to second-semester retention rate for GED postsecondary enrollees was 50.7 percent; in contrast, the first-year to second-year retention rate was much lower, about 29 percent. • Only 11.6 percent of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education successfully obtained a postsecondary credential by October 2010. • Older passers had the highest graduation rate compared with the other two age groups. • GED Tests passers whose highest grade level completed was 12th grade had the highest graduation rate compared to those whose highest completed grade levels were lower. • GED Tests passers whose tests scores were in the 80th percentile had the highest graduation rate among percentile groups. • About 26 percent of postsecondary enrollees with GED credentials were still working toward a postsecondary credential in 2010 and hadn’t graduated yet; during this period of study, 62 percent were no longer enrolled. • More females earned advanced postsecondary credentials than males; about 62 percent of associate degree holders were female. • Hispanic and African-American GED Tests passers did not have a lower postsecondary graduation rate than white passers. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 15 c h ap t e r III First, we examined the overall persistence and postsecondary credential attainment patterns of the 2004 cohort of GED postsecondary enrollees, as of October 2010. By looking at longitudinal enrollment records of GED Tests passers, we were able to track their postsecondary enrollment six years after passing the GED Tests. We reported the first-semester to second-semester and the first-year to second-year retention rates to provide important indicators for GED Tests passers’ persistence in postsecondary education. Then graduation rates were calculated as measures of postsecondary credential attainment of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education as of October 2010. Graduation rates by demographic, academic, and social subgroups were compared to examine how individual characteristics play a role in postsecondary credential attainment for GED Tests passers. recipients who successfully obtained a postsecondary credential with those who hadn’t as of October 2010, disaggregated by whether they enrolled in a single semester or multiple semesters. tABle 3.1 Last, we focused on GED Tests passers who had successfully obtained a postsecondary credential by October 2010. Are there any unique characteristics that allow GED postsecondary graduates to achieve their postsecondary education goals after dropping out of secondary education? Moreover, we distinguished graduates by types of degree title. Characteristics were compared among graduates who had a diploma/certificate, associate degree, or bachelor’s degree. Semester Semester Number 1/1/04–6/30/04 7/1/04–12/31/04 1/1/05–6/30/05 7/1/05–12/31/05 1/1/06–6/30/06 7/1/06–12/31/06 1/1/07–6/30/07 7/1/07–12/31/07 1/1/08–6/30/08 7/1/08–12/31/08 1/1/09–6/30/09 7/1/09–12/31/09 1/1/10–6/30/10 7/1/10–12/31/10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 postsecondary enrollment of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Semester: 2004–10 POSTSECONDARY PERSISTENCE PATTERNS 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in Semester1 Number percent 13,995 40,809 52,216 50,152 46,641 41,584 40,006 37,847 37,789 36,484 37,799 38,895 40,671 34,672 8.0 23.3 29.8 28.6 26.6 23.7 22.8 21.6 21.5 20.8 21.6 22.2 23.2 19.8 Percentages do not sum to 100 percent as the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers could be enrolled in multiple semesters. Note: Because data were collected in September 2010, the semester labeled 7/1/10–12/31/10 is lower than actual enrollment counts. 1 Table 3.1 shows the number of 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled in each of 14 semesters from 2004 to 2010. (Note that enrollment in a semester includes not only beginning enrollment but also later semester enrollments, and that 2004 GED Tests passers had to have a valid beginning and ending enrollment date to be included.) Figure 3.1 provides a c h ap t e r III figuRe 3.1 postsecondary education enrollment of the 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers, by Semester: 2004–10 FIGURE 3.1 60,000 52,216 50,152 50,000 46,641 41,584 40,809 40,006 37,847 Number Enrolled 40,000 37,789 36,484 40,671 38,895 37,799 34,672 30,000 20,000 13,995 10,000 0 2/ /3 31 0/ /1 10 9 –1 10 1/ 7/ 10 1/ 1/ –1 09 1/ 7/ –6 2/ /3 31 0/ /0 09 8 09 1/ 1/ –1 08 1/ 7/ –6 2/ /3 31 0/ /0 08 7 08 1/ 1/ –1 07 1/ 7/ –6 2/ /3 31 0/ /0 07 6 07 1/ 1/ –1 06 1/ 7/ –6 2/ /3 31 0/ /0 06 5 06 1/ 1/ 7/ 1/ 05 –1 –6 2/ /3 31 0/ /0 05 4 –6 05 1/ 1/ –1 04 1/ 7/ 1/ 1/ 04 –6 2/ /3 31 0/ /0 04 0 Semester Note: Because data were collected in September 2010, the semester labeled 7/1/10–12/31/10 is lower than actual enrollment costs. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 16 graphic display of Table 3.1 data. Enrollment peaked at more than 52,200 in 2005, gradually decreased to more than 41,500 through 2006, and remained steady around 37,000 for several years, with slight increases in 2009 and 2010. Of the 2004 GED Tests passers who transitioned to postsecondary education, about 65 percent of them enrolled for only one or two semesters. The median number of semesters enrolled was two, ranging from one to 14 semesters. More than half of GED Tests passers (52.6 percent) who made the transition to postsecondary education therefore maintained no more than one year of college enrollment, which might allow them to finish a short-term certificate or diploma program. Table 3.2 displays the total number of semesters enrolled for 2004 GED Tests passers. Approximately 35 percent of GED postsecondary enrollees maintained at least four semesters of enrollment. Retention Rates Retention rates commonly measure the percentage of freshmen who re-enroll the next academic year as sophomores. The primary reason that retention rates, along with graduation rates, are important is that retention rates are perceived as indicators of academic quality and student success. Postsecondary education literature has demonstrated that the first-year to second-year retention rate is critical for postsecondary credential attainment. For GED Tests passers, most might aim at earning a short-term certificate or diploma, which does not require multiple-semester enrollment. Therefore, we provided two types of persistence rates. One was the first-year to second-year retention rate, which was in line with other postsecondary research. The other was the first-semester to second-semester retention rate, which was applicable to the majority of postsecondary enrollees with GED credentials. Figure 3.2 (on page 18) displays the first-semester to second-semester and -year rates. Overall, half (50.7 percent) of 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled continued from the first semester they c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t postsecondary enrollment of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by total Number of Semesters enrolled: 2004–10 total Number of 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled Semesters enrolled Number percent 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 52,962 31,950 20,283 14,345 10,400 7,829 6,140 5,225 4,145 3,329 2,581 1,536 857 154 32.8 19.8 12.5 8.9 6.4 4.8 3.8 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 Overall 161,736 100.0 Note: Missing n=13,646. enrolled to the next consecutive semester, regardless of their graduation status. The first-semester to second-semester retention rate was 81.1 percent for GED postsecondary graduates. Of those who enrolled in at least two semesters, 75.4 percent continued their study consecutively from the first semester to the second semester. The remaining 24.6 percent left after their first semester but enrolled in a later semester. We also found that 86.8 percent of multiple-semester enrollees who successfully obtained a postsecondary credential continued from their first semester to their second semester, as presented in Figure 3.2. For the first-year to second-year retention rate, we found that 28.7 percent of all GED postsecondary enrollees continued directly from their first year to the second year, which was much lower than the first-semester to second-semester retention rate (50.7 percent). The first-year to second-year rate for GED postsecondary graduates (67.9 percent) stood in glaring contrast to that of GED postsecondary enrollees (28.7 percent), which indicated that if a GED postsecondary enrollee could make it through the second year of college, the probability of graduation would be much higher. Looking only at multiplesemester enrollees, 42.7 percent successfully finished their first year of college and continued to their sophomore year. And the first-year to second-year retention rate for multiple-semester enrollees who graduated was 72.6 percent. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 17 c h ap t e r III Among all 2004 passers who enrolled in postsecondary education, 32.8 percent of them registered for only one semester and about two-thirds maintained at least two semesters’ enrollment. Based on their total number of semesters enrolled, we divided GED Tests passers into two groups: (1) single-semester enrollees and (2) multiple-semester enrollees. tABle 3.2 figuRe 3.2 First-semester to Second-semester retention rates and First-year to Second-year retention rates of 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers, by Multiple-Semester enrollment Status and Graduation Status FIGURE 3.2 First-semester to Second-semester Graduation Rate First-year to Second-year Retention Rate 100 90 86.8% 81.1% 80 75.4% 72.6% 67.9% 70 Percent 60 50 50.7% 42.7% 40 30 28.7% 20 10 0 All 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Who Graduated from Postsecondary Education (N=20,299) Graduation Rates Of all 175,382 GED Tests passers who transitioned to postsecondary education, 20,299 of them successfully obtained a postsecondary credential, approximately 11.6 percent.5 Of 20,299 graduates, 1,321 (6.5 percent) completed single-semester programs, and 18,978 (93.5 percent) graduated with a multiplesemester postsecondary credential. Furthermore, we continued to examine graduation rates by key demographic, academic, and social groups. The demographic, academic, and social groups were defined the same as in Chapter II (see pages 5, 7, and 8 for definitions). For demographic variables, female GED Tests passers had a slightly higher graduation rate (13.4 percent) than that of males (10.5 percent), as shown in Figure 3.3 (on page 19). A linear increasing pattern for graduation rates was detected for age group; 5 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in Multiple Semesters (N=117,139) 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in Multiple Semesters Who Graduated (N=19,274) the older the GED Tests passers were, the higher their graduation rates were. The oldest age group (35 years and older) had the highest graduation rate (20.0 percent) among the age groups, which was almost twice that of the 16- to 24-year-old age group (10.5 percent). Hispanic (10.8 percent) and AfricanAmerican GED Tests passers (11.1 percent) did not differ from white GED Tests passers in regards to postsecondary education gradation rates. Asian GED Tests passers had the highest graduation rate (20.0 percent) among all ethnic groups. It was interesting to note that GED Tests passers whose primary language was not English had a higher graduation rate (19.0 percent) than those reporting English as their primary language (11.5 percent). GED Tests passers whose highest secondary grade level completed was 12th grade graduated from postsecondary education at almost twice the rate of the rest of GED Tests passers, as shown in Figure 3.4 National Student Clearinghouse indicated that graduation may be underreported by some postsecondary institutions. However, only 2 percent of institutions in our dataset had more than 50 GED Tests passers as students (a number at which we could reasonably expect at least some graduates) yet reported no graduates. Therefore, we concluded that any graduation underreporting was likely random and limited in scope. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 18 c h ap t e r III All 2004 Cohort of GED Tests Passers Enrolled in Postsecondary Education (N=175,382) figuRe 3.3 postsecondary education Graduation rates, by Demographic characteristics of 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers Who enrolled, as of October 2010 FIGURE 3.3 Age Group Gender Male 10.5% Female 13.4% 16–24 Years Old 10.5% 25–34 Years Old 16.0% 35 Years and Older 20.0% Primary Language Ethnic Group Hispanic 10.8% African American 11.1% White American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/ Pacific Islander English Language Other Than English 12.5% 9.8% 20.0% 10.8% 11.5% 19.0% 0 5 10 15 20 25 Percent (N=175,382) n n n n for for for for gender=5,860. age group=140. ethnic group=15,634. primary language=27,001. figuRe 3.4 postsecondary education Graduation rates, by academic characteristics of 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers Who enrolled, as of October 2010 FIGURE 3.4 Highest Grade Completed 8th Grade (or below) 10.8% 10.1% 9th Grade 10th Grade 10.4% 11th Grade 10.9% GED Tests Battery Score Official GED Practice Tests (OPT) 12th Grade 20.5% Took OPT 11.0% Did Not Take OPT 13.5% Below 20th Percentile (450–480) 20–40th Percentile (481–510) 40–60th Percentile (511–542) 60–80th Percentile (543–586) Above 80th Percentile (587–800) 9.9% 9.6% 10.7% 11.9% 17.3% 0 5 10 15 20 25 Percent Notes: Missing n for taking Official GED Practice Tests=22,767. Missing n for highest grade completed=18,269. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t (N=175,382) G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 19 c h ap t e r III Notes: Missing Missing Missing Missing Dropout Rates Dropouts were defined as 2004 GED Tests passers who made a transition to postsecondary education but have not obtained any postsecondary credential as of October 2010 and haven’t enrolled during 2010. We found that 26 percent of GED postsecondary enrollees were still taking courses in 2010 and about 12 percent had earned a postsecondary credential by October 2010. Therefore, we concluded that the dropout rate was 62 percent. (on page 19). For GED Tests passers who reported their highest grade level as 11th grade and lower, there were no differences in graduation rates. Surprisingly, GED Tests passers who took the Official GED Practice Tests had a slightly lower graduation rate (11 percent) than those not taking the Official GED Practice Tests (13.5 percent). GED Tests passers whose scores were above the 80th percentile had the highest graduation rate compared to the rest of passers. Graduation rates for the 20th, 40th, and 60th percentile groups were similar. The results suggested that there might be a certain skill level as a threshold associated with whether a GED credential recipient later graduates from postsecondary education. Transfer Rates Approximately three-fourths (74.8 percent) of 2004 GED Tests passers remained in the same postsecondary institution where they initially enrolled. The remaining fourth (25.2 percent) transferred to another institution. Therefore, we concluded that the transfer rate was 25.2 percent. Some transfer was associated with movement to a college or university offering Figure 3.5 displays postsecondary education graduation rates by reasons for testing and employment status. No major differences of graduation rates were observed based on different educational and employment reasons for testing. figuRe 3.5 postsecondary education Graduation rates, by Social characteristics of 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers Who enrolled, as of October 2010 Enroll in Trade/Technical College 12.9% Enter Two-year College 12.4% Reasons for GED Testing1 Enter Four-year College 12.8% Skill Certification 10.9% Get First Job 9.2% Get Better Job 10.8% Employer Requirement 10.0% Public Assistance Requirement 10.1% Role Model for Family 10.6% Personal Satisfaction Employment/Student Status at GED Testing c h ap t e r III FIGURE 3.5 10.8% Employed Part-time 13.1% Employed Full-time 12.7% Unemployed 10.0% Full-time Student 14.8% Part-time Student 12.3% 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Percent (N=175,382) 1 Reasons for testing are not mutually exclusive; GED Tests candidates could select more than one educational reason. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 20 advanced coursework; other transfer was lateral. More information on student transfer is presented in Chapter V. COMPARING CHARACTERISTICS OF SINGLESEMESTER AND MULTIPLE-SEMESTER ENROLLEES’ POSTSECONDARY PERSISTENCE PATTERNS About one-third of GED Tests passers enrolled for only one semester and two-thirds maintained enrollment for two or more semesters. To identify characteristics of GED postsecondary enrollees who enrolled for a single semester and those who registered for multiple semesters, we compared the distributions of key variables within each demographic, academic, and social group, as displayed in Table 3.3, Table 3.4 (on page 22), and Table 3.5 (on page 22), respectively. Academic Characteristics Nearly 51 percent of multiple-semester enrollees and 44.4 percent of single-semester enrollees completed at least 11th grade. Also, there were more passers whose GED Tests scores were above the 60th percentile enrolled for multiple semesters (42.8 percent) compared with those registering for only one semester (34.6 percent). These percentages suggested a positive association between higher levels of secondary skills and longer postsecondary involvement. c h ap t e r III Demographic Characteristics GED Tests passers who enrolled for a single semester did not differ from those who enrolled for multiple semesters in terms of ethnicity, primary language, and years out of high school. For both groups, the vast majority of GED Tests passers (about 79 percent) were 16 to 24 years old in 2004. White passers made up approximately 60 percent of both groups. More than 90 percent of GED Tests passers reported English as their primary language, regardless of the number of their total semesters of enrollment. The only difference was the distribution of gender. We found that the single semester group had a higher percentage of male GED Tests passers, whereas the multiple semester group had a larger proportion of female passers tABle 3.3 Demographic characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester or in Multiple Semesters: 2004–10 Demographic characteristics Gender: Male Female age in 2004 (Median) age Group in 2004: 16–24 Years Old 25–34 Years Old 35 Years and Older ethnic Group: Hispanic African American White American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander primary Language: English Language Other Than English Years Since Leaving K–12 System (Median) 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester (N=52,926) 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in Multiple Semesters (N=108,774) Number Number percent percent 29,350 21,800 19 years old 57.4 42.6 49,254 56,032 19 years old 46.8 53.2 42,104 7,523 3,283 79.6 14.2 6.2 85,558 16,072 7,066 78.7 14.8 6.5 8,564 8,347 29,071 1,210 723 349 17.7 17.3 60.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 17,521 16,952 59,413 1,959 2,648 684 17.7 17.1 59.9 2.0 2.7 0.7 43,197 1,952 2 years 95.7 4.3 86,444 5,722 2 years 93.8 6.2 Notes: Percentages reflect sample sizes with missing data already excluded. Missing n for gender=5,300. Missing n for age group=130. Missing n for ethnic group=14,283. Missing n for primary language=24,421. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 21 tABle 3.4 academic characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester or in Multiple Semesters: 2004–10 academic characteristics 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester (N=52,926) took the Official GeD practice tests highest Grade completed : 8th Grade (or below) 9th Grade 10th Grade 11th Grade 12th Grade GeD tests Battery Mean Score: Below 20th Percentile (450–480) 20–40th Percentile (481–510) 40–60th Percentile (511–542) 60–80th Percentile (543–586) Above 80th Percentile (587–800) 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in Multiple Semesters (N=108,774) Number percent Number percent 30,946 64.0 58,231 61.4 4,480 8,012 14,020 17,052 4,216 9.4 16.8 29.3 35.7 8.8 7,134 14,102 26,694 36,791 12,611 7.3 14.5 27.4 37.8 13.0 11,969 11,426 11,260 10,242 8,065 22.6 21.6 21.3 19.4 15.2 20,884 19,802 21,482 22,133 24,473 19.2 18.2 19.7 20.3 22.5 Notes: Percentages reflect sample sizes with missing data already excluded. Missing n for taking the Official GED Practice Tests=20,932. Missing n for highest grade completed=16,624. tABle 3.5 Social characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester or in Multiple Semesters: 2004–10 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in Multiple Semesters (N=108,774) Number percent Number percent 9,635 14,967 11,086 3,899 3,383 17,921 3,572 757 8,946 24,115 18.2 28.2 20.9 7.4 6.4 32.7 6.7 1.4 16.9 45.5 16,689 35,501 31,274 6,646 5,753 31,716 5,870 1,236 16,382 44,898 15.3 32.6 28.8 6.1 5.3 29.2 5.4 1.1 15.1 41.3 6,289 11,632 16,407 5,972 4,375 11.9 22.0 31.0 11.3 8.3 15,681 26,204 30,225 11,690 9,382 14.4 24.1 27.8 10.8 8.6 reasons for GeD testing:1 Enroll in Trade/Technical College Enter Two-year College Enter Four-year College Skills Certification Get First Job Get Better Job Employer Requirement Public Assistance Requirement Role Model for Family Personal Satisfaction employment/Student Status at GeD testing: Employed Part-time Employed Full-time Unemployed Full-time Student Part-time Student c h ap t e r III Social characteristics 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester (N=52,926) Note: Percentages reflect sample sizes with missing data already excluded. 1 Reasons for testing were not mutually exclusive; GED Tests candidates could select more than one educational reason. Social Characteristics Single-semester and multiple-semester enrollees indicated similar patterns in reasons for testing. An exception was that more multiple-semester enrollees (28.8 percent) reported entering a four-year college as a reason for testing compared with those of single-semester enrollees (20.9 percent). At the time of GED testing, employment statuses were similar for both groups. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Overall, we concluded that there were no major differences in terms of demographic, academic, and social characteristics at the time of GED testing between GED Tests passers who enrolled for one semester and those who maintained at least two semesters of enrollment. Exceptions occurred for females, GED Tests passers with higher grade level completion or skill levels, and those with a goal of G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 22 entering a four-year college, who tended to enroll for multiple semesters. COMPARING CHARACTERISTICS OF SINGLESEMESTER AND MULTIPLE-SEMESTER ENROLLEES’ POSTSECONDARY PERSISTENCE PATTERNS BY GRADUATION STATUS Single-semester Completers and Non-completers More male GED Tests passers enrolled in only one semester compared with females, regardless of their completion status. By age, though the youngest age group (16- to 24-year-olds) was the largest group for both completing and non-completing singlesemester enrollees, the percentage distributions of the three age groups varied from completers to noncompleters. The percentage of the oldest age group (35 years and older) among completers (12.4 percent) was twice that of non-completers (6.1 percent). Also, we observed that the percentage of the 25- to 34-year-old age group increased from 14 percent for non-completers to 24.5 percent for completers. The median number of years out of high school for completers was five years, which was higher than that of non-completers (two years). No major differences between completers and non-completers were detected for ethnicity or primary language. As we examined whether there were differences between completers and non-completers in terms of academic and social characteristics, we found that both groups were similar to each other within singlesemester enrollees. Similarities included their highest grade level completed, GED Tests performance, c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Multiple-semester Completers and Non-completers In contrast to single-semester enrollees, more females with GED credentials enrolled for multiple semesters and completed a postsecondary credential. Our single-semester analysis revealed that older GED Tests passers were proportionately more likely to complete postsecondary education. The same pattern was detected for multiple-semester completers and noncompleters. The percentage of completers among the 35 years and older age group (10.5 percent) was almost twice that of non-completers (5.7 percent). Meanwhile, the median number of years since leaving high school was four years for completers, which was higher than that for non-completers (two years). In regard to their academic characteristics, the percentage of GED Tests passers with the highest grade level completed as 12th grade was almost twice as high for completers (20.3 percent) than for non-completers (11.4 percent). Also, there were more GED Tests passers whose GED Tests scores were above the 80th percentile for completers (30 percent), compared with non-completers (20.9 percent). The positive association between higher levels of secondary skills and longer-term postsecondary involvement that we noted earlier is even stronger for multiplesemester completers than non-completers. CHARACTERISTICS OF GED POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION GRADUATES BASED ON TYPES OF DEGREE In this section, we focus on GED Tests passers who successfully graduated from postsecondary education. What was the highest postsecondary credential that they obtained as of October 2010? What were their majors? What were the demographic, academic, and social characteristics of GED Tests passers with different types of postsecondary education? Four types of postsecondary credentials were identified for GED Tests passers. Figure 3.6 (on page 25) presents postsecondary credential titles of 2004 GED Tests passers who graduated from postsecondary education. Approximately 40 percent of all postsecondary credentials were associate degrees. About one-third of postsecondary credentials were certificates (31.7 percent) and another one-fourth were bachelor’s degrees (26.3 percent). An additional 347 GED Tests passers earned an advanced credential G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 23 c h ap t e r III In addition to comparing characteristics of singlesemester and multiple-semester enrollees, we examined whether there were differences between groups based on their graduation status. We questioned whether those who completed had different characteristics from those who did not, and more specifically, at what point—either through further enrollment or through completion—characteristics were likely to change, if at all. As a result, four groups were selected for analysis: (1) single-semester enrollees who did not complete their postsecondary education; (2) single-semester enrollees who completed postsecondary education; (3) multiple-semester enrollees who did not complete postsecondary education; and (4) multiple-semester enrollees who completed their postsecondary education. Table 3.6 (on page 24) displays details of comparisons for the four groups. reasons for testing, and employment status at time of GED testing. The only contrast for single-semester enrollees was for age group, as noted above. tABle 3.6 characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester or Multiple Semesters, by postsecondary program completion Status: 2004–10 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in a Single Semester characteristics Without completing (N=48,525) Number percent 28,573 21,270 22 years old 57.3 42.7 41,271 7,200 3,119 80.0 14.0 6.1 8,392 8,106 28,297 1,177 706 342 completing (N=1,205) Number 777 530 24 years old Without completing (N=97,919) percent Number percent completing (N=19,274) Number percent 59.5 40.6 41,423 45,614 22 years old 47.5 52.5 8,041 10,418 24 years old 43.6 56.4 833 323 164 63.1 24.5 12.4 72,234 12,434 5,075 80.5 13.8 5.7 13,324 3,649 1,991 70.3 19.2 10.5 17.9 17.2 60.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 171 241 774 33 17 7 13.8 19.4 62.2 2.7 1.4 0.6 14,734 14,229 48,530 1,660 1,970 574 18.0 17.4 59.4 2.0 2.4 0.7 2,787 2,723 10,083 299 678 110 16.0 15.6 62.3 1.7 3.9 0.6 42,077 1,891 2 years 95.7 4.3 1,120 61 5 years 94.8 5.2 71,287 4,277 2 years 94.4 5.6 14,617 1,445 4 years 91.0 9.0 30,174 67.4 772 67.8 48,589 62.1 9,642 58.2 4,361 7,813 13,693 16,649 4,061 9.4 16.8 29.4 35.8 8.7 119 199 327 403 155 9.9 16.5 27.2 33.5 12.9 5,909 11,899 22,551 31,005 9,216 7.3 14.8 28.0 38.5 11.4 1,225 2,203 4,143 5,786 3,395 7.3 13.2 24.7 34.5 20.3 11,657 11,134 10,958 10,005 7,887 22.6 21.6 21.2 19.4 15.3 312 292 302 237 178 23.6 22.1 22.9 17.9 13.5 17,731 16,905 18,077 18,307 18,776 19.8 18.8 20.1 20.4 20.9 3,153 2,897 3,405 3,826 5,697 16.6 15.3 17.9 20.2 30.0 9,290 14,656 10,909 3,791 3,307 16,816 3,463 728 8,703 23,463 18.0 28.4 21.1 7.3 6.4 32.6 6.7 1.4 16.9 45.4 345 311 177 108 76 475 109 29 243 652 26.1 23.5 13.4 8.2 5.8 36.0 8.3 2.2 18.4 49.4 13,454 29,245 25,789 5,560 4,936 26,578 4,987 1,055 13,797 37,699 15.0 32.6 28.7 6.2 5.5 29.6 5.6 1.2 15.4 42.0 3,235 6,256 5,485 1,086 817 5,138 883 181 2,585 7,199 17.1 33.0 28.9 5.7 4.3 27.1 4.7 1.0 13.6 37.9 6,148 11,297 16,021 11.9 21.9 31.0 141 335 386 10.7 25.4 29.2 12,805 21,490 25,690 14.3 23.9 28.6 2,876 4,714 4,565 15.2 24.8 24.1 c h ap t e r III DeMOGraphIc characterIStIcS Gender: Male Female age in 2004 (Median) age Group in 2004: 16–24 Years Old 25–34 Years Old 35 Years and Older ethnic Group: Hispanic African American White American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander primary Language: English Language Other Than English Years Since Leaving K–12 System (Median) acaDeMIc characterIStIcS took the Official GeD practice tests highest Grade completed: 8th Grade (or below) 9th Grade 10th Grade 11th Grade 12th Grade GeD tests Battery Mean Score: Below 20th Percentile (450–480) 20–40th Percentile (481–510) 40–60th Percentile (511–542) 60–80th Percentile (543–586) Above 80th Percentile (587–800) SOcIaL characterIStIcS reasons for GeD testing: 1 Enroll in Trade/Technical College Enter Two-year College Enter Four-year College Skills Certification Get First Job Get Better Job Employer Requirement Public Assistance Requirement Role Model for Family Personal Satisfaction employment/Student Status at GeD testing: Employed Part-time Employed Full-time Unemployed 2004 cohort of GeD tests passers enrolled in Multiple Semesters Notes: Percentages reflect sample sizes with missing data already excluded. For single-semester enrollees: Missing n for gender=1,812. Missing n for age group=52. Missing n for ethnic group=4,694. Missing n for primary language=7,813. For multiple-semester enrollees: Missing n for gender=3,488. Missing n for age group=78. Missing n for ethnic group=9,589. Missing n for primary language=16,608. For single-semester enrollees: Missing n for taking the Official GED Practice Tests=7,019. Missing n for highest grade completed=5,182. For multiple-semester enrollees: Missing n for taking the Official GED Practice Tests=13,913. Missing n for highest grade completed=11,442. 1 Reasons for testing were not mutually exclusive; GED Tests candidates could select more than one educational reason. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 24 figuRe 3.6 highest postsecondary education Degrees of 2004 cohort GeD ® tests passers WhoFIGURE Graduated, 3.6 as of October 2010 Bachelor’s Degree 26.3% Master’s Degree or Above 2.3% Certificate 31.7% beyond a bachelor’s degree, accounting for 2.3 percent. For the following section, descriptive statistics were not provided for GED Tests passers with master’s degree and higher credentials because of the small proportion. Demographic Characteristics by Types of Degree Male and female GED Tests passers were equally likely to obtain a certificate, as presented in Table 3.7. However, more females earned higherlevel postsecondary credentials. Approximately 62 percent of associate degree holders were female, as well as 53.4 percent of bachelor’s degree holders. Associate Degree 39.7% Notes: Missing n for degree type=5,146. Total number of 2004 cohort GED tests passers who graduated =20,299. tABle 3.7 Demographic characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who Graduated, by Degree type Degree type Demographic characteristics Gender: Male Female age in 2004 (Median) age Group in 2004: 16–24 Years Old 25–34 Years Old 35 Years and Older ethnic Group: Hispanic African American White American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander primary Language: English Language Other Than English Years Since Leaving K–12 System (Median) certificate associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Number percent Number percent Number percent 2,403 2,353 21 years old 50.5 49.5 2,224 3,603 20 years old 38.2 61.8 1,802 2,064 19 years old 46.6 53.4 3,152 1,090 562 65.6 22.7 11.7 4,100 1,196 711 68.3 19.9 11.8 3,224 510 250 80.9 12.8 6.3 569 891 2,836 80 86 24 12.7 19.9 63.2 1.8 1.9 0.5 992 839 3,276 110 273 43 17.9 15.2 59.2 2.0 4.9 0.8 604 419 2,371 43 217 18 16.5 11.4 64.6 1.2 5.9 0.5 4,113 264 4 years 94.0 6.0 4,345 562 3 years 88.6 11.5 2,960 363 2 years 89.1 10.9 Notes: Percentages reflect sample sizes with missing data already excluded. Missing n for gender=5,300. Missing n for ethnic group=14,283. Missing n for primary language=24,421. Missing n for age group=130. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 25 c h ap t e r III Younger adults with GED credentials tended to earn higher degree types, whereas older adults tended to complete shorter-term programs. The average age of GED Tests passers in 2004 was 21, 20, and 19 years old, respectively, for graduates with a certificate, an associate, and a bachelor’s degree. The proportion of the 16- to 24-year-old age group increased from a postsecondary certificate (65.6 percent) to higher-level credentials (80.9 percent for bachelor’s degrees). In contrast, fewer GED Tests passers who were 35 years and older obtained a bachelor’s degree. The percentage having a certificate or associate degree for the age group of 35 years and older was almost twice that of graduates with a bachelor’s degree. Shorter-term postsecondary programs may offer a faster way to increase mature GED Tests passers’ chances of getting better pay or entry to a new career path. The ethnic distributions showed similar patterns for the three types of postsecondary credentials. White GED Tests passers were the biggest group across three types of postsecondary credentials, about 60 percent. African-American GED Tests passers had proportionately higher rates for certificates (19.9 percent) and lower rates for bachelor’s degrees (11.4 percent). GED Tests passers with a primary language other than English had higher percentages for an associate (11.5 percent) and bachelor’s degree (10.9 percent) than that for a certificate (6 percent). Academic Characteristics by Types of Degree Table 3.8 provides percentage distributions of key academic variables by types of degree. Our data analysis indicated that highest grade level completed seemed to be related to types of postsecondary credential that GED Tests passers obtained. As displayed in Table 3.8, 16.2 percent of GED Tests passers with 12th grade as the highest grade level completed earned a certificate, and 21 percent and 26.5 percent, respectively, earned associate and bachelor’s degrees. GED testing performance, as a proxy for secondary skills, might also be associated with the type of postsecondary credential that GED Tests passers earned. For bachelor’s degree holders, more than one-third (34.9 percent) scored above the 80th percentile, which was more than four times the rate for graduates with a certificate (8 percent). On the contrary, more than half of certificate holders (52.9 percent) had GED Tests scores at the 40th percentile or lower, versus 26.9 percent for bachelor’s degree. Also worth noting was that the percentages of GED Tests passers taking the Official GED Practice Tests 6 (OPT) decreased from those earning a certificate (66.5 percent) to those earning a bachelor’s degree (50.4 percent). Taking the OPT was more prevalent among certificate holders than any other postsecondary credential type. Those earning higher-level c h ap t e r III tABle 3.8 academic characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who Graduated, by Degree type Degree type academic characteristics Official the GeD practice tests (Opt): Took the OPT Did Not Take the OPT highest Grade completed: 8th Grade (or below) 9th Grade 10th Grade 11th Grade 12th Grade GeD tests Battery Mean Score: Below 20th Percentile (450–480) 20–40th Percentile (481–510) 40–60th Percentile (511–542) 60–80th Percentile (543–586) Above 80th Percentile (587–800) certificate associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Number percent Number percent Number percent 2,809 1,413 66.5 33.5 3,007 2,238 57.3 42.7 1,793 1,764 50.4 49.6 388 665 1,168 1,443 708 8.9 15.2 26.7 33.0 16.2 346 623 1,295 1,829 1,087 6.7 12.0 25.0 35.3 21.0 209 371 748 1,244 926 6.0 10.6 21.4 35.6 26.5 1,398 1,142 1,076 807 386 29.1 23.8 22.4 16.8 8.0 1,052 1,053 1,221 1,374 1,311 17.5 17.5 20.3 22.9 21.8 542 530 677 847 1,390 13.6 13.3 17.0 21.3 34.9 Notes: Percentages reflect sample sizes with missing data already excluded. Missing n for gender=5,300. Missing n for ethnic group=14,283. Missing n for primary language=24,421. Missing n for age group=130. 6 The OPT are required by jurisdictional or test center policy in a growing number of jurisdictions. This analysis did not control for policy requirements. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 26 tABle 3.9 Social characteristics of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who Graduated, by Degree type Degree type Social characteristics reasons for GeD testing1: Enroll in Trade/Technical College Enter Two-year College Enter Four-year College Skill Certification Get First Job Get Better Job Employer Requirement Public Assistance Requirement Role Model for Family Personal Satisfaction employment/Student Status at GeD testing: Employed Part-time Employed Full-time Unemployed Full-time Student Part-time Student 1 certificate associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Number percent Number percent Number percent 1,331 1,464 774 381 273 1,655 306 82 827 2,182 27.7 30.4 16.1 7.9 5.7 34.4 6.4 1.7 17.2 45.4 782 2,339 1,833 315 238 1,537 268 45 831 2,252 13.0 38.9 30.5 5.2 4.0 25.6 4.5 0.8 13.8 37.5 297 1,037 1,836 157 141 719 157 24 356 1,221 7.5 26.0 46.1 3.9 3.5 18.0 3.9 0.6 8.9 30.6 587 1,209 1,406 595 441 12.2 25.1 29.2 12.4 9.2 889 1,590 1,381 729 510 14.8 26.5 23.0 12.1 8.5 752 894 707 797 358 18.9 22.4 17.7 20.0 9.0 Reasons for testing were not mutually exclusive; GED Tests candidates could select more than one educational reason. have responded to a need to find work by opting for short-term postsecondary programs that could help them meet the need quickly. Social Characteristics by Types of Degree The percentages of GED Tests passers reporting different reasons for testing were about the same across the three types of postsecondary credentials, except for reasons of enrolling in trade/technical school, entering a two-year or four-year college, and getting a better job (See Table 3.9). It seemed that passers followed their initial plan along their postsecondary education pathways. More GED Tests passers who earned a postsecondary certificate indicated enrolling in trade/technical programs, compared with those earning associate and bachelor’s degrees. Forty-six percent of bachelor’s degree holders chose reasons for testing as entering a four-year college. When taking the GED Tests, a higher percentage (34.4 percent) of later postsecondary graduates with a certificate reported reasons of getting a better job compared with associate (25.6 percent) and bachelor’s degree holders (18 percent). Majors of Graduates Next we looked at postsecondary majors of 2004 passers. Majors were available only for those who had completed their postsecondary program. We categorized majors according to the Occupational Outlook Handbook: 2010–2011, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (2009). Table 3.10 displays the most five common postsecondary majors of graduates according to the Occupational Outlook Handbook categories, disaggregated by types of degree. In terms of employment status, GED Tests passers who were employed part time when testing tended to earn bachelor’s degrees more frequently (18.9 percent) than certificates (12.2 percent). Those who were unemployed when taking the GED Tests eventually earned a certificate (29.2 percent) or associate degree (23 percent) more often than a bachelor’s degree (17.7 percent). Unemployed test-takers may c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t tABle 3.10 Most common postsecondary Majors of 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers Who Graduated, by Degree type Degree type certificate associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Major Nurse Assistant/Aide Nursing Business Computer Information Systems Phlebotomy Liberal Arts/Liberal Studies Nursing General Studies Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Education Psychology Management Business Administration English Biology G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 27 c h ap t e r III postsecondary credentials may already have had skill levels high enough to take GED Tests without first entering adult education programs or attempting the OPT. The majors most often chosen were in the categories of professional occupations, service occupations, or management and business. For graduates with a certificate, the most popular major was nurse assistant/aide. For associate degree holders, nursing and liberal arts were the most often chosen majors. Psychology and management were the most popular majors for bachelor’s degree graduates. Further study of majors of graduates is planned. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION Persistence and Degree Attainment • Approximately two-thirds of 2004 GED Tests passers (67.2 percent) who enrolled maintained enrollment for two or more semesters. The median number of semesters enrolled was two, ranging from one to 14 semesters. tests scores were in the 80th percentile had the highest graduation rate. • We found about 26 percent of GED postsecondary enrollees still taking courses in 2010, and about 12 percent of all GED postsecondary enrollees had earned a postsecondary credential by October 2010. Therefore, we concluded that the dropout rate was 62 percent. Single-semester Enrollees and Multiple-semester Enrollees • About one-third of GED Tests passers enrolled in only one semester, and two-thirds enrolled in multiple semesters. • Only 11.6 percent of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education successfully obtained a postsecondary credential by October 2010. Of all graduates, 1,321 (6.5 percent) completed single-semester programs, and 18,978 (93.5 percent) graduated with a postsecondary credential requiring multiple semesters. • The percentage of the oldest age group who became postsecondary completers was almost twice that of non-completers, regardless of the total number of semesters enrolled. The finding was in line with the analysis of graduation rates. Older GED Tests passers were more likely to graduate from postsecondary education. • Generally speaking, graduation rates did not vary significantly based on GED Tests passers’ demographic, academic, and social characteristics. Some subgroups did have a higher graduation rate. For example, the oldest GED Tests passers had the highest graduation rate compared with the other two age groups. Also, Hispanic and AfricanAmerican passers did not have a lower graduation rate than white passers. GED Tests passers with 12th grade as the highest grade level completed had the highest graduation rate compared to those who completed lower grades. GED testing performance seemed to be related to passers’ postsecondary graduation rate. GED Tests passers whose • For multiple-semester enrollees, highest grade level completed and GED testing performance seemed to be related to GED Tests passers’ graduation status. The percentage of GED Tests passers with 12th grade as the highest grade level completed who became postsecondary completers was almost twice that of non-completers. Also, there were more passers with tests scores above the 80th percentile for completers compared with non-completers. • The total number of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education peaked in 2005, about one year after GED candidates passed their GED Tests. After 2007, enrollment remained steady. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 28 c h ap t e r III • The first-semester to second-semester retention rate for GED postsecondary enrollees was 50.7 percent. In contrast, the first-year to second-year retention rate was much lower, about 29 percent. • GED Tests passers who enrolled in a single semester did not differ from those who enrolled in multiple semesters in terms of demographic, academic, and social characteristics. Several exceptions were observed: (1) More male GED Tests passers enrolled in a single semester than females, though in contrast, more females enrolled in multiple semesters; (2) more GED Tests passers whose highest secondary grade level completed was 11th grade and higher enrolled in multiple semesters; and (3) GED Tests passers whose GED Tests battery scores were above the 80th percentile had a higher percentage of multiple-semester enrollees. GED Postsecondary Graduates • More females earned advanced postsecondary credentials than males. About 62 percent of associate degree holders were female. • Though the youngest age group (16 to 24 years old) had the largest proportion among all other age groups across the three postsecondary credential types (certificate, associate, and bachelor’s), a pattern was noticed that proportionately more of the younger GED Tests passers had an advanced postsecondary credential compared with older passers. The findings for the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers were consistent with those of the 2003 cohort. Though most GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education maintained about two semesters of enrollment, the economic value of this one year could still be important based on other research studies. Kane and Rouse (1995) found that completing a single year of college credits increased hourly wages and annual earnings by 4 to 7 percent. Murnane, Willet, and Boudett (1999) confirmed that earnings resulting from an additional year of college increased, ranging from 5.2 percent to 10.8 percent. Modest increases in earnings could be a benefit for the majority of GED Tests passers in our study who participated in multiple semesters of postsecondary education. Only half of GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education could make it through from their first semester to a second semester without stopping out a semester, which indicated that the first semester plays an important role in GED Tests passers’ persistence in postsecondary education. Moreover, the first-year to second-year retention rate was even lower, which suggested that the majority of passers started to have doubts about their postsecondary education at a very early stage and left c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t The postsecondary dropout rate was 62 percent for the 2004 cohort. What caused the high dropout rate of GED credential recipients who had already displayed educational resilience by passing the GED Tests and enrolling in postsecondary education? What barriers prevented GED Tests passers from being successful in postsecondary education? These barriers may include a perception that college is too difficult or not for everyone (Behal, 1983), a lack of skills to succeed in college (Reder, 2007), or strong negative life experiences that interfere with persistence or prevent completion (Tyler & Loftstrum, 2008). More qualitative studies are needed to uncover the dynamics of GED credential recipients and their postsecondary experiences. A final concern from the results of Chapter III was the mere 12 percent of postsecondary enrollees with GED credentials who eventually earned a postsecondary credential. We observed that those with higher skill levels—whether demonstrated through high GED Tests scores, through not needing the OPT, or through completion of 12th grade—graduated from postsecondary education programs more frequently. However, it remains essential that higher education develop a better understanding of how to prepare and support those GED Tests passers with lower skill levels to not only transition and persist for more than one semester, but also complete their postsecondary education. The same holds true for males or young GED Tests passers. Do they need more support from their institutions or other sources to complete (Reder, 2007)? Do they need more time to finish, as well as support (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner; 2010)? This better understanding would benefit not only those who do not persist, but also the remaining quarter of GED Tests passers who are still working toward a postsecondary credential and have not graduated yet. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 29 c h ap t e r III • Highest grade level and GED testing performance seemed to be related to types of postsecondary credential that GED Tests passers obtained from postsecondary education. Sixteen percent of GED Tests passers with 12th grade as the highest grade level completed earned the postsecondary credential title of certificate, and 21 percent and 26.5 percent earned associate and bachelor’s degrees, respectively. For bachelor’s degree holders, more than one-third of them (34.9 percent) had GED Tests scores above the 80th percentile, which was more than four times that of 80th percentile passers earning a certificate (8 percent). soon after they had a taste of postsecondary education. What happened after GED credential recipients made the transition to postsecondary education that prevented them from completing, particularly in their first semester? What were those barriers that prevented GED credential recipients from successfully completing postsecondary education? Further research studies should be designated to investigate details of GED Tests passers’ postsecondary experience, including their course-taking behaviors, academic performance, and financial situation. chapter IV Postsecondary Institutions POSTSECONDARY INSTITUTIONS IN WHICH GED TESTS PASSERS FIRST ENROLLED T o many GED Tests passers, starting postsecondary education may be a challenge. One of the first tasks necessary to beginning a postsecondary education is selecting an institution to attend. Compared with traditional high school graduates, GED credential recipients may have initially chosen very different institutions when they started their postsecondary education. This chapter aims to describe the characteristics of the postsecondary institutions that the 2004 cohort of the GED credential recipients first chose when they enrolled in postsecondary education. We extracted the 2005 IPEDS data (NCES/IPEDS, 2005) to describe institutional characteristics, as 2005 is the peak year in which GED Tests passers enrolled in postsecondary education after they passed the GED Tests. We were able to link the institutions in the NSC data with the IPEDS data through a commonly used institution code assigned by the Office of Postsecondary Education (OPEID Number). The data from IPEDS allow us to describe institutional characteristics; student characteristics, admission, retention, and graduation; and special learning opportunities and services offered in the postsecondary institutions in which GED credential recipients first enrolled.In total, the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers attended 2,451 institutions 7 between 2004 and October 2010, Key Findings for Chapter IV: • The postsecondary institutions that GED Tests passers tended to choose were large, inexpensive, public two-year colleges. • At the GED 50-plus institutions, 83.7 percent had open admissions policies, almost doubling the percentage of the non-GED institutions with such policies. • GED 50-plus institutions were more likely to offer occupational programs, adult basic education programs, distance learning opportunities, remedial services, and on-campus daycare for students’ children. • More than 80 percent of the GED Tests passers enrolled in an institution that was located in the same state where they passed the GED Tests, i.e., in their home state. • The gender and ethnicity distribution at the GED 50-plus institutions was comparable to those at the non-GED institutions. • The student-to-faculty ratio was higher at the GED 50-plus institutions, and the percentage of students receiving financial aid was lower at the GED 50-plus institutions. • Student retention rates and graduation rates at the GED 50-plus institutions were lower than those at the non-GED institutions. This number is slightly lower than the number of institutions in the raw data matched back from the National Student Clearinghouse because we combined some branch campus data to main campuses to be consistent with IPEDS reporting. 7 c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 30 c h ap t e r IV We extracted data from the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) to describe characteristics of those institutions in which GED Tests passers enrolled. IPEDS is a system of interrelated surveys conducted annually by the U.S. Department of Education’s National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) to gather information from every college, university, and technical and vocational institution that participates in the federal student financial aid programs. The completion of all IPEDS surveys is mandatory for institutions that participate in or are applicants for participation in any federal student financial aid program (such as Pell Grants and federal student loans). More than 6,700 institutions complete IPEDS surveys each year. as shown in Table 4.1. Among these institutions 1,371 are four-year and 1,032 are two-year institutions, representing about half of all IPEDS four-year and two-year institutions. Compared with all IPEDS institutions, in which 72.2 percent are two-year or four-year colleges, the institutions in which GED Tests passers first enrolled are nearly all two-year and four-year colleges (98 percent). Because very few institutions that the 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled in are less-than-two-year institutions, the following analyses in this chapter will mainly focus on the two-year and four-year institutions, making the comparison between the institutions where GED Tests passers first enrolled and other IPEDS institutions more meaningful. presenting some general information on the institutions’ sector and geographic location, our analysis focused on comparing the characteristics of the postsecondary institutions that 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled in (here after referred to as GED 50-plus institutions) with those that the 2004 GED Tests passers did not choose (hereafter referred to as non-GED institutions). Institutional Characteristics Institution Sector Table 4.1 presents the institution sector of all IPEDS institutions, of all institutions that 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled in, and of the GED 50-plus institutions. A further examination of the number of 2004 GED Tests passers enrolled per institution found 897 institutions in which 50 or more GED Tests passers first enrolled during the period from 2004 to 2010. The enrollees at these institutions represented over 89 percent of all GED Tests passer enrollees. The concentration of GED Tests passer enrollment at these institutions, which are about 37 percent of all the institutions that GED Tests passers first enrolled in, provided a good opportunity to study what kind of institutions most attract GED Tests passers when they start postsecondary education. Therefore, after c h ap t e r IV Among the two-year and four-year GED 50-plus institutions, 81.8 percent are public two-year institutions, 11 percent are public four-year institutions, and 4.3 percent are private, for-profit four-year institutions. This distribution suggests that the institution choice for the majority of the GED Tests passers is mainly concentrated in public institutions, especially two-year colleges. tABle 4.1 Sector of postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 Sector of postsecondary Institution Four-year or above and two-year Institutions Four-year or Above Institutions Public Private Not-for-profit Private For-profit Two-year Institutions Public Private Not-for-profit Private For-profit Subtotal Less-than-two-year Institutions (public and private) Sector Unknown Overall 1 all IpeDS Institutions all Institutions into Which GeD tests passers First enrolled GeD 50-plus Institutions Number percent Number percent Number 653 1,627 417 2,697 13.2 32.8 8.4 54.4 526 723 122 1,371 21.9 30.1 5.1 57.1 98 14 38 150 11.0 1.6 4.3 16.8 1,187 233 844 2,264 4,961 72.2% 1,807 26.3% 100 1.5% 23.9 4.7 17.0 45.6 100.0 910 40 82 1,032 2,403 98.0% 37 1.5% 11 0.4% 37.9 1.7 3.4 42.9 100.0 731 1 12 744 894 99.7% 1 0.1% 2 0.2% 81.8 0.1 1.3 83.2 100.0 6,868 2,451 897 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% percent Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 31 tABle 4.2 regional Distribution of postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 region (States) New england (ct, Me, Ma, Nh, rI, Vt) Mideast (De, Dc, MD, NJ, NY, pa) Great Lakes (IL, IN, MI, Oh, WI) plains (Ia, KS, MN, MO, Ne, ND, SD) Southeast (aL, ar, FL, Ga, KY, La, MS, Nc, Sc, tN, Va, WV) Southwest (aZ, NM, OK, tX) rocky Mountains (cO, ID, Mt, Ut, WY) Far West (aK, ca, hI, NV, Or, Wa) 1 all IpeDS Institutions all Institutions into Which GeD tests passers First enrolled Number percent Number 432 1,171 1,026 635 1,629 707 241 987 6.3 17.1 15.0 9.3 23.8 10.3 3.5 14.4 164 406 345 260 629 215 84 316 GeD 50-plus Institutions percent Number 6.8 16.8 14.3 10.7 26.0 8.9 3.5 13.1 percent 39 97 136 76 273 92 37 146 4.4 10.8 15.2 8.5 30.5 10.3 4.1 16.3 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). tABle 4.3 enrollment and tuition at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution enrollment Size and tuition Institutions reporting Information Mean Number private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 98 98 98 52 52 51 729 729 730 13 13 13 892 892 892 Institutions reporting Information Mean Number 13,726 10,715 $4,575 5,875 4,623 $13,184 7,521 4,448 $2,062 1,146 1,065 $12,166 8,014 5,097 $3,122 122 122 75 1,158 1,158 803 255 255 188 923 923 466 2,458 2,458 1,532 2,825 2,313 $6,357 1,111 971 $14,139 1,444 902 $2,147 333 305 $10,281 938 781 $11,113 c h ap t e r IV public Four-year Total Enrollment (Number) Full-time Equivalent Enrollment (Number) Tuition and Fees ($) Total Enrollment (Number) Full-time Equivalent Enrollment (Number) Tuition and Fees ($) Total Enrollment (Number) Full-time Equivalent Enrollment (Number) Tuition and Fees ($) Total Enrollment (Number) Full-time Equivalent Enrollment (Number) Tuition and Fees ($) Total Enrollment (Number) Full-time Equivalent Enrollment (Number) Tuition and Fees ($) Non-GeD Institutions Note: Statistics on enrollment are for fall 2005; statistics on tuition and fees are for 2005–06. 1 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). Geographic Location As described in Chapter II, a majority (83.3 percent) of the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers first enrolled in a postsecondary institution in the same state where they passed the GED Tests; only 16.7 percent first enrolled in a college out of the state. The geographic distribution of the postsecondary institutions where the 2004 cohort of GED Tests passers first enrolled is similar to the distribution of all IPEDS institutions by region, as shown in Table 4.2. Twenty-six percent of the institutions in which the GED Tests passers first enrolled were in the Southeast, and 16.8 percent were in the Mideast. Other concentrated percentages were in the Great Lakes area, the Plains, and the Far West. A further examination of the GED 50-plus institutions c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t showed that the regional distribution of these institutions is also consistent with that of all IPEDS institutions, except that the percentage of the GED 50-plus institutions in the Southeast was higher at 30.5 percent, while the percentage of these institutions in the Mideast was lower at 10.8 percent. This consistency suggests that the institutions in which the GED Tests passers first enrolled when they started postsecondary education are generally representative of all IPEDS institutions in terms of geographic distribution. Enrollment Size and Tuition The average student enrollment and tuition cost of the GED 50-plus institutions and the non-GED institutions are summarized in Table 4.3. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 32 private two-year colleges, among which the number of the GED 50-plus institutions was only 13. The average student enrollment at the GED 50-plus institutions was 8,014, which is significantly higher than 938, the average enrollment size of the nonGED institutions. The average tuition and fees at the GED 50-plus institutions were $3,122, which is significantly lower than $11,113, the average tuition and fees at the non-GED institutions. Selected Instructional/Program Offering and Special Learning Opportunities Table 4.4 lists the availability of selected educational program offering and special learning opportunities at the institutions. Among all four-year and twoyear GED 50-plus institutions, 89.7 percent offered occupational programs, 81.8 percent offered adult basic education, 96.9 percent offered distance learning opportunities, and 47.1 percent offered weekend or evening college. These percentages are all much higher than those of the non-GED institutions. Given that the institutions that the GED Tests passers most frequently attended were public two-year colleges, it is not surprising that the overall average student enrollment and tuitions at the GED 50-plus institutions were close to those of the public twoyear colleges in general (7,521 students and $2,062, respectively). The overall average student enrollment and tuitions at the non-GED institutions were mostly determined by those of private four-year and twoyear colleges. Even for public two-year institutions, the GED 50-plus institutions tended to offer adult basic education (92.3 percent), distance learning (98.8 percent), and weekend or evening college (47.3 percent) more frequently than the non-GED institutions (68.6 percent, 67.2 percent, and 16.2 percent, respectively). This distribution suggests that GED Tests passers tend to enroll in those institutions that provide adult basic education and flexible educational programs. Table 4.3 also shows that, for every type of institution, the student enrollment size of the GED 50-plus colleges was significantly larger than that of the non-GED institutions; and that the tuition costs at the GED 50-plus institutions were lower than those of the non-GED institutions, with the exception of c h ap t e r IV tABle 4.4 Selected Instructional/program Offering and Special Learning Opportunities at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution public Four-year private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 1 Instructional/program Offering and Special Learning Opportunities Occupational Program Adult Basic Education Distance Learning Opportunities Weekend/Evening College Occupational Program Adult Basic Education Distance Learning Opportunities Weekend/Evening College Occupational Program Adult Basic Education Distance Learning Opportunities Weekend/Evening College Occupational Program Adult Basic Education Distance Learning Opportunities Weekend/Evening College Occupational Program Adult Basic Education Distance Learning Opportunities Weekend/Evening College Institutions reporting Information Non-GeD Institutions program provided (Number) Number percent 98 98 98 98 52 52 52 52 730 730 730 730 13 13 13 13 893 893 893 893 62 53 92 53 10 2 46 21 722 674 721 345 7 1 6 2 801 730 865 421 63.3 54.1 93.9 54.1 19.2 3.9 88.5 40.4 98.9 92.3 98.8 47.3 53.9 7.7 46.2 15.4 89.7 81.8 96.9 47.1 Institutions reporting Information (Number) 123 123 123 123 1,172 1,172 1,172 1,172 271 271 271 271 929 929 929 929 2,495 2,495 2,495 2,495 program provided Number 38 6 84 16 243 17 487 230 255 186 182 44 722 23 104 126 1,258 232 857 416 percent 30.9 4.9 68.3 13.0 20.7 1.5 41.6 19.6 94.1 68.6 67.2 16.2 77.7 2.5 11.2 13.6 50.4 9.3 34.4 16.7 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 33 Student Demographics and Financial Aid The ethnicity and gender distribution at postsecondary institutions by GED Tests passer enrollment size is presented in Table 4.5. At the GED 50-plus institutions, an average of 64.8 percent of fall 2005 students were white, 14.1 percent were black, and 9.9 percent were Hispanic; 58.6 percent of the students were women. These percentages were comparable to those of the non-GED institutions, with differences of less than three percentage points in each gender or ethnic group. At public two-year institutions, the ethnicity distribution within these two institutional groups was also close, while the percentage of women students (59.9 percent) enrolled at the GED 50-plus institutions was higher than that at the non-GED institutions (54.8 percent). Table 4.6 (on page 35) presents the age distribution of the undergraduates at the postsecondary institutions by GED Tests passer enrollment size. Overall, at the GED 50-plus institutions, the median percentage for the undergraduates who were younger than 20 years was 27.8 percent, and the median percentages for those who were 20 to 24 years old, 25 to 29 years old, and 30 years or older were 30.1 percent, 12.3 percent, and 27.9 percent, respectively. At the non-GED institutions, the median percentage for the undergraduates who were younger than 20 years was 18.6 percent, and the median percentages for those who were 20 to 24 years old, 25 to 29 years old, and 30 years or older were 34.5 percent, 15.8 percent, and 26.6 percent, respectively. This age distribution suggests that the GED 50-plus institutions had a higher percentage of undergraduates under the age of 20, compared with the non-GED institutions. However, for both public four-year and private four-year institutions, a higher percentage of undergraduates under the age of 20 enrolled at the non-GED institutions. This implies that more students enrolled at these institutions shortly after graduating from high school. The age distribution of undergraduates at postsecondary institutions by full-time or part-time enrollment status is also displayed in Table 4.6, which follows similar patterns as the age distribution of all students across the GED 50-plus institutions and Gender and ethnicity Distribution at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution ethnicity/Gender Institutions reporting Information Mean percent Number public Four-year private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 1 White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Women White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Women White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Women White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Women White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Women 98 98 98 98 98 52 52 52 52 52 729 729 729 729 729 13 13 13 13 13 892 892 892 892 892 Non-GeD Institutions Institutions reporting Information Mean percent Number 67.8 11.7 8.5 3.1 57.9 56.9 19.0 9.8 2.7 45.5 65.1 13.8 10.0 4.1 59.9 53.5 27.2 11.2 1.9 41.0 64.8 14.1 9.9 3.9 58.6 122 122 122 122 122 1,158 1,158 1,158 1,158 1,158 255 255 255 255 255 923 923 923 923 923 2,458 2,458 2,458 2,458 2,458 72.4 6.5 5.6 6.2 53.4 62.2 12.3 6.1 4.9 53.2 62.5 16.8 7.6 1.8 54.8 61.5 18.1 9.7 3.3 73.2 62.5 14.6 7.6 4.0 60.9 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 34 c h ap t e r IV tABle 4.5 tABle 4.6 Undergraduates’ age Distribution at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 and attendance Status GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution public Four-year private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 1 age Group Younger Than 20 20–24 Years Old 25–29 Years Old 30 Years and Older Younger Than 20 20–24 Years Old 25–29 Years Old 30 Years and Older Younger Than 20 20–24 Years Old 25–29 Years Old 30 Years and Older Younger Than 20 20–24 Years Old 25–29 Years Old 30 Years and Older Younger Than 20 20–24 Years Old 25–29 Years Old 30 Years and Older Non-GeD Institutions attendance Status attendance Status Institutions Institutions Full-time part-time reporting all Full-time part-time reporting all Students Students Information Students Students Students Information Students (Number) (Median percent) (Median percent) (Median percent) 98 98 98 98 50 52 52 52 729 729 729 729 13 13 13 13 890 892 892 892 27.6 41.4 11.9 16.9 13.8 34.8 20.4 27.9 28.5 29.2 12.2 29.0 14.6 39.0 21.7 24.5 27.8 30.1 12.3 27.9 33.6 46.9 9.7 9.5 16.9 37.2 19.5 23.8 39.9 34.1 9.7 14.6 16.2 39.6 20.5 23.7 38.1 35.2 9.9 14.4 12.3 27.8 17.7 37.1 5.6 26.0 21.9 43.2 19.3 25.8 14.4 38.6 4.5 40.5 23.7 29.2 17.6 26.2 14.8 38.5 (Number) 95 102 102 96 817 876 842 829 250 253 253 253 875 919 910 902 2,037 2,150 2,107 2,080 (Median percent) (Median percent) (Median percent) 31.6 40.6 9.7 17.8 21.5 39.5 13.3 23.3 23.3 26.4 13.9 30.9 14.2 34.0 18.4 27.5 18.6 34.5 15.8 26.6 36.2 46.4 7.9 7.6 25.4 43.6 12.4 15.4 23.2 30.1 14.3 25.9 15.0 34.2 18.2 26.2 20.8 36.2 15.5 22.8 9.2 25.0 16.2 42.8 6.1 24.6 16.0 44.7 19.9 20.3 13.0 36.5 5.5 28.0 20.0 37.5 7.8 24.9 16.7 40.6 non-GED institutions. The ages of part-time undergraduates tended to be older than those of full-time undergraduates. Table 4.7 (on page 36) summarizes statistics on student financial aid at the postsecondary institutions by GED Tests passer enrollment. Overall, at the GED 50-plus institutions, 66.4 percent of all students received at least one type of financial aid, including federal grant, state or local grant, institutional grant, or student loan aid. This percentage is lower that that of the non-GED institutions, which is 76.4 percent. Further, at the GED 50-plus institutions, less than a quarter of the students (22.5 percent) received student loans, and the average student loan amount was $3,030. Both percentage and loan amount at the 50-plus institutions were lower than those at the non-GED institutions, where nearly half (49.4 percent) of the students received student loan aid, and the average student loan amount ($4,690) was about 50 percent higher than that of the GED 50-plus institutions. The lower percentage of the students receiving any kind of financial aid or student loan and the lower average student loan amount at the GED 50-plus c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t c h ap t e r IV Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). institutions may be the result of the shorter, less expensive programs at these institutions, thus fewer students would need financial assistance than their peers at the non-GED institutions. Postsecondary Admission, Retention, and Graduation Rate Whether a postsecondary institution has an open admissions policy is an important factor in GED Tests passers’ decision to enroll (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner, 2010; Tyler & Lofstrum, 2008; Patterson, Zhang, Song, & Guison-Dowdy, 2010). The open admissions policy statistics are presented in Table 4.8 (on page 36). At the GED 50-plus institutions, 83.7 percent had open admissions policies; at the non-GED institutions, only 43.2 percent had open admissions policies. More than 95 percent of the public two-year GED 50-plus institutions had open admissions policies. Statistics on college acceptance rates can also be informative. The acceptance rate—calculated by the number of admissions granted divided by the total number of applicants—shows how competitive an institution can be. However, in the IPEDS system only G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 35 tABle 4.7 Student Financial aid at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution Institutions reporting Information Financial aid Mean private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 1 Students Received Any Financial Aid (Percent) Students Received Student Loan Aid (Percent) Amount of Student Loan Aid Received ($) Students Received Any Financial Aid (Percent) Students Received Student Loan Aid (Percent) Amount of Student Loan Aid Received ($) Students Received Any Financial Aid (Percent) Students Received Student Loan Aid (Percent) Amount of Student Loan Aid Received ($) Students Received Any Financial Aid (Percent) Students Received Student Loan Aid (Percent) Amount of Student Loan Aid Received ($) Students Received Any Financial Aid (Percent) Students Received Student Loan Aid (Percent) Amount of Student Loan Aid Received ($) Institutions reporting Information Mean Number Number public Four-year Non-GeD Institutions 98 98 98 51 51 51 729 729 598 13 13 12 891 891 759 78.3 40.5 $3,535 85.7 70.5 $5,825 63.1 15.9 $2,646 88.1 71.7 $6,143 66.4 22.5 $3,030 77 77 68 817 817 653 247 247 85 887 887 736 2,028 2,028 1,542 75.0 51.4 $3,685 75.3 51.7 $4,995 70.1 11.4 $3,119 70.1 57.8 $4,694 76.4 49.4 $4,690 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). c h ap t e r IV tABle 4.8 Institutions with Open admissions policies for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution Institutions reporting Information (Number) Non-GeD Institutions Institutions with Open admissions policy Number percent Institutions reporting Information (Number) Institutions with Open admissions policy Number percent public Four-year 98 33 33.7 123 19 15.5 private Four-year 52 10 19.2 1,172 270 23.0 public two-year 730 699 95.8 271 253 93.4 private two-year Overall 1 13 5 38.5 929 535 57.6 893 747 83.7 2,495 1,077 43.2 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). institutions that do not allow open admissions reported data on the number of applications received and admissions granted for postsecondary credential-seeking entering students. As only a small number of GED 50-plus institutions did not have an open admissions policy, we did not compare the acceptance rates of the entering students between the institution groups by GED Tests passers enrollment size. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t We then further examined the retention rates and graduation rates at the GED 50-plus institutions and the non-GED institutions. The retention rate was calculated as the percentage of the fall cohort from the prior year that re-enrolled at the institution as either full- or part-time students in the following year. The graduation rate was calculated as the percentage of a cohort of first-time, full-time postsecondary G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 36 tABle 4.9 Student retention and Graduation rates at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution retention and Graduation rates Institutions reporting Information Median percent Number public Four-year private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 1 Retention Rate of Full-time Students Retention Rate of Part-time Students Graduation Rate Retention Rate of Full-time Students Retention Rate of Part-time Students Graduation Rate Retention Rate of Full-time Students Retention Rate of Part-time Students Graduation Rate Retention Rate of Full-time Students Retention Rate of Part-time Students Graduation Rate Retention Rate of Full-time Students Retention Rate of Part-time Students Graduation Rate 89 89 89 41 41 41 726 726 726 10 10 10 866 866 866 Institutions reporting Information Median percent Number 66.0 42.0 32.0 64.0 44.0 41.0 58.0 40.0 23.0 64.0 46.0 34.5 59.0 41.0 25.0 40 40 40 276 276 276 225 225 225 285 285 285 826 826 826 64.5 43.5 36.0 64.0 48.0 46.0 57.0 43.0 36.0 70.0 66.0 55.0 64.0 50.0 47.0 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). At the GED 50-plus institutions, the median full-time retention rate was 59 percent, the median parttime retention rate was 41 percent, and the median graduation rate for the most recent IPEDS cohort was 25 percent; all these percentages are lower than those of the non-GED institutions. At the GED 50-plus public two-year colleges where GED Tests passers most frequently chose to enroll, even though the full-time and part-time retention rates were comparable with those at the non-GED public two-year institutions, the median graduation rate (23 percent) was still much lower than that of the non-GED public two-year institutions (36 percent). Selected Services Whether a postsecondary institution offers certain services to accommodate a candidate’s needs or schedule may also be an important factor when a candidate chooses to enroll in that institution. Table 4.10 (on page 38) presents the availability of selected services at the postsecondary institutions by the 2004 GED Tests passer enrollment status. At the GED 50-plus institutions, 97.9 percent provided remedial services, 99.9 percent provided academic or career counseling services, 95.1 percent provided employment services for students, 89.8 percent provided placement services for completers, and 59.7 percent provided on-campus daycare for students’ children. All these percentages are higher than those at the non-GED institutions—particularly in terms of the availability of remedial services (51.1 percent), employment services for students (64.1 percent), and on-campus daycare (8.9 percent). This difference seemed to imply that the institutions that were better able to accommodate the GED Tests passers’ academic needs (by providing remedial services), foster their eagerness to improve their career perspective (by providing employment services), and support their family needs (by providing on-campus daycare for students’ children) tended to attract larger numbers of GED Tests passers. Instructional Staff Table 4.11 (on page 38) presents the average number of instructional staff and the student-to-faculty ratio8 at the postsecondary institutions by GED Tests passer enrollment size. The average number of fulltime–equivalent instruction, research, and public service staff at the GED 50-plus institutions was 270, The student-to-faculty ratio was calculated by the number of full-time–equivalent students divided by the number of full-time– equivalent instruction, research, and public service faculty members. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 37 c h ap t e r IV credential-seeking students who completed their studies within 150 percent of normal time (Horn, 2006 and 2010; NPEC, 2010). The results are summarized in Table 4.9. 8 Non-GeD Institutions tABle 4.10 Selected Services at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution public Four-year private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall Institutions reporting Information Remedial Services Academic/Career Counseling Services Employment Services for Students Placement Services for Completers On-campus Day Care for Students' Children Remedial Services Academic/Career Counseling Services Employment Services for Students Placement Services for Completers On-campus Day Care for Students' Children Remedial Services Academic/Career Counseling Services Employment Services for Students Placement Services for Completers On-campus Day Care for Students' Children Remedial Services Academic/Career Counseling Services Employment Services for Students Placement Services for Completers On-campus Day Care for Students' Children Remedial Services Academic/Career Counseling Services Employment Services for Students Placement Services for Completers On-campus Day Care for Students' Children Service provided (Number) Number percent 98 98 98 98 98 52 52 52 52 52 730 730 730 730 730 13 13 13 13 13 893 893 893 893 893 86 98 97 96 63 47 51 50 46 1 730 730 690 647 469 11 13 12 13 0 874 892 849 802 533 87.8 100.0 99.0 98.0 64.3 90.4 98.1 96.2 88.5 1.9 100.0 100.0 94.5 88.6 64.3 84.6 100.0 92.3 100.0 0.0 97.9 99.9 95.1 89.8 59.7 Institutions reporting Information Service provided (Number) Number percent 123 123 123 123 123 1,172 1,172 1,172 1,172 1,172 271 271 271 271 271 929 929 929 929 929 2,495 2,495 2,495 2,495 2,495 63 117 97 99 37 640 1,076 743 709 86 260 270 189 227 70 312 767 569 762 28 1,275 2,230 1,598 1,797 221 51.2 95.1 78.9 80.5 30.1 54.6 91.8 63.4 60.5 7.3 95.9 99.6 69.7 83.8 25.8 33.6 82.6 61.3 82.0 3.0 51.1 89.4 64.1 72.0 8.9 c h ap t e r IV 1 Services Non-GeD Institutions Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). tABle 4.11 Instructional Staff and Student-Faculty ratio at the postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 GeD 50-plus Institutions Sector of Institution Instructional Staff/Student-Faculty ratio Institutions reporting Information Mean Number public Four-year private Four-year public two-year private two-year Overall 1 Full-time Equivalent Instructional/Research and Public Service Staff (Number) Student-to-Faculty Ratio Full-time Equivalent Instructional/Research and Public Service Staff (Number) Student-to-Faculty Ratio Full-time Equivalent Instructional/Research and Public Service Staff (Number) Student-to-Faculty Ratio Full-time Equivalent Instructional/Research and Public Service Staff (Number) Student-to-Faculty Ratio Full-time Equivalent Instructional/Research and Public Service Staff (Number) Student-to-Faculty Ratio Non-GeD Institutions Institutions reporting Information Mean Number 98 634.4 115 98 18.4 115 305.6 13.4 52 183.3 1,122 80.7 17.1 52 27.3 1,122 729 231.2 249 62.1 729 19.6 249 14.2 13 49.5 919 15.9 13 23.0 919 19.9 892 270.0 2,405 64.8 892 20.0 2,405 17.7 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 38 considerably larger than a mean of 64.8 at the nonGED institutions. However, the average student-tofaculty ratio of 20.0 at the GED 50-plus institutions was higher than that of the non-GED institutions (17.7), which might be associated with the larger student enrollment size and lower tuition costs at the GED 50-plus institutions. DISCUSSION In this chapter we focused our analysis on the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled when they started postsecondary education (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions). More precisely, we compared their institutional characteristics with those of the institutions in which the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the non-GED institutions), in order to better profile the institutions that most attracted the GED Tests passers when they first enrolled in postsecondary education. We found that, among the GED 50-plus postsecondary institutions, 81.8 percent were public two-year institutions. The average student enrollment size at these institutions was considerably larger, and the average tuition and fees at these institutions was much lower than that of the non-GED institutions. In addition, at the GED 50-plus institutions, 83.7 percent had open admissions policies, almost doubling the percentage of non-GED institutions with such a policy. GED 50-plus institutions were also more likely to offer occupational programs, adult basic education programs, distance learning opportunities, c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t top 10 postsecondary Institutions for 2004 cohort of GeD ® tests passers, by Institutional category 1 Institution Name State University of phoenix–phoenix hohokam campus portland community college Miami Dade college Broward college Florida State college at Jacksonville college of Southern Nevada Western International University Milwaukee area technical college St. petersburg college central New Mexico community college Arizona Oregon Florida Florida Florida Nevada Arizona Wisconsin Florida New Mexico GeD tests passers enrollment Size (Number) 1 6,359 1,279 959 891 874 831 824 747 740 700 Institutional categories consist of: the postsecondary institutions in which 50 or more 2004 GED Tests passers first enrolled (i.e., the GED 50-plus institutions) and the institutions where the 2004 GED Tests passers did not first choose to enroll (i.e., the Non-GED institutions). remedial services, and on-campus daycare for students’ children. However, the student retention rates and graduation rates at the GED 50-plus institutions were lower than those at the non-GED institutions; particularly for graduation rates—the GED 50-plus institutions had significantly lower graduation rates when compared to the non-GED institutions. Our findings suggest that the postsecondary institutions that GED Tests passers tended to choose were large, inexpensive, public two-year colleges. The relatively wide availability of adult basic education programs and remedial services at these institutions may have helped transition the GED Tests passers into postsecondary education. These institutions also offer more flexibility and support, such as distance learning opportunities and on-campus daycare, to accommodate the students’ needs. However, without further individual-level study on the GED Tests passers’ decision-making process, we were not able to know for sure if these factors played a key role in the GED Tests passers’ decision when they made their first choices of postsecondary institutions. As mentioned earlier, more than 80 percent of the GED Tests passers enrolled in an institution that was located in the same state where they passed the GED Tests, i.e., in their home state. This finding was very close to the percentage reported in Bound, Lovenheim, and Turner (2010). Did the GED Tests passers just enroll in an institution merely for convenience? Particularly for those who prepared for the GED Tests through a community college, would it be logical or convenient for them to stay in the same college to earn their postsecondary credential? G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 39 c h ap t e r IV Top 10 Institutions by 2004 GED Tests Passer Enrollment Which colleges were the most popular among the 2004 GED Tests passers who enrolled in postsecondary education? Table 4.12 lists the top 10 institutions by 2004 GED Tests passer enrollment size when they first started postsecondary education. The most popular institution was University of Phoenix, which offers most programs online (so is not exclusive to Arizona) and was chosen by over 6,300 GED Tests passers in the 2004 cohort when they first enrolled in postsecondary education. The other nine institutions were mostly state or local campuses that first enrolled between 700 and 1,300 GED Tests passers in the 2004 cohort. Four of them are based in Florida; the remaining five are based in Oregon, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, and New Mexico, respectively. tABle 4.12 We also noticed that the gender and ethnicity distribution at the GED 50-plus institutions was comparable with that at the non-GED institutions. Did these factors play any role in the GED Tests passers’ choice of postsecondary institutions? How much do gender, ethnicity, and age distribution at an institution affect the choices of a GED Tests passer who might have a different demographic background from the main student body at that institution? In addition, the student-to-faculty ratio was higher at the GED 50-plus institutions, and the percentage of students receiving financial aid was lower at the GED 50-plus institutions. How much does the availability of financial aid and of the institution faculty affect GED Tests passers’ choices of institutions? Further, except for retention rates and graduation rates, we found very few indicators of the institutions’ education quality. Despite the shorter, twoyear education programs and the support services provided, the GED 50-plus institutions still face the challenge of retaining and graduating their students. We had no information on how effectively these institutions, whether GED 50-plus or non-GED, served students with GED credentials, individually or collectively. However, determining what can be done at the GED 50-plus institutions, or in public two-year colleges in general, to help all students graduate is an important and urgent education policy issue. Finally, a limitation of this chapter is that we examined the characteristics only of the institutions in which the GED Tests passers first enrolled, not the institutions from which the GED Tests passers graduated. Given that the postsecondary graduation rate for the GED Tests passers was low and that convenience might play a role in the GED Tests passers’ enrollment decisions, it is critical to study the kinds of institutional characteristics or services that may help GED Tests passers graduate. We plan to conduct a follow-up study examining the relationship between institutional characteristics and the GED Tests passers’ graduation status. c h ap t e r IV c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 40 chapter V GED Credential Recipients’ and Traditional High School Graduates’ Backgrounds and Postsecondary Experiences I n Chapter V, our longitudinal comparison of background and postsecondary experiences and outcomes of GED credential recipients with those of traditional high school graduates employs a different methodological approach and dataset from previous chapters in this report. The purpose of this comparison is to expand on the insights into the GED Tests passer population (from Chapters II and III) and the institutions they attended (from Chapter IV) in contrast to the population of traditional high school graduates. Findings presented in Chapter V are expanded upon in two separate 2011 papers (Guison-Dowdy & Patterson, in press). These forthcoming papers explore in greater detail the postsecondary experiences and outcomes of GED credential recipients and of traditional high school graduates, and also provide results disaggregated by key demographic subgroups. Key Findings for Chapter V: • GED Tests passers received about 20 percent less in financial aid for their first-year studies than did traditional high school graduates. • About the same proportion of GED credential recipients and traditional high school graduates received remedial or developmental instruction during their first year of postsecondary education. • Enrollees from both educational background groups experienced stability in the number of institutions attended—unlike the stereotype of GED Tests passers as a fickle and mobile population. • Among enrollees with one or more years between high school graduation or passing the GED Tests and their first year in postsecondary education, traditional high school graduates waited longer to enroll in postsecondary education than did GED Tests passers. • A great majority of GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates alike had zero stopout during their first two years. • GED Tests passers were generally older when they first enrolled in postsecondary education and their parents had a lower level of education than those of traditional high school graduates. • The educational expectations of GED Tests passers in 2003–04 appeared somewhat lower compared with those of traditional high school graduates; more than a third of GED Tests passers wanted a bachelor’s degree when they first enrolled, but earned a postsecondary certificate. The traditional high school graduates, on the other hand, seemed to follow their self-predicted bachelor’s degree path. • GED Tests passers in general appeared to be exposed to a higher number of risk factors during their first year of enrollment than traditional high school graduates were. • Private situations and financial struggles that enrollees experienced after first enrolling, rather than academic problems, were reported as the main reasons for leaving the postsecondary system for both educational background groups. • About half of GED Tests passers and 35 percent of traditional high school graduates who had enrolled in 2003–04 neither earned a postsecondary credential nor were enrolled in postsecondary education as of June 2009. • More than two-thirds of enrollees in both groups worked on at least a part-time basis and a majority attended classes full time during their freshman year. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 41 c h ap t e r V • First-time enrollees, whether GED Tests passers or traditional high school graduates, were more frequently female and white. Data Source: BPS:04/09 The data used in Chapter V are from the 2004/2009 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study,9 a large-scale, longitudinal study sponsored by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) of the U.S. Department of Education. This study follows a nationally representative cohort of freshmen from the year they first enrolled into the postsecondary system and aims at capturing their postsecondary experiences, aspirations, and transition to the workforce. The great majority of students in the BPS:04/09 cohort first enrolled during the 2003–04 academic year, while GED credential recipients from the IDB/NSC dataset could have enrolled at any point between the time they passed the GED Tests and 2010. Methodology, Sample, and Research Questions Of the students interviewed in 2003–04, about 8 percent (representing about 298,200 students) had a GED credential and 88 percent (representing about 3,357,300 students) had a traditional high school diploma, and were included in the sample for Chapter V analyses. Chapter V explores four focal research questions: 1. Given the unique secondary school experiences and life challenges of GED credential recipients, are their demographic and background characteristics different from those of traditional high school graduates? 2. Wherewithal—that is, the necessary means and resources—during the first year of enrollment 9 3. Do GED credential recipients select postsecondary institutions that differ from those attended by traditional high school graduates? 4. How do the postsecondary experiences and outcomes of GED credential recipients compare with those of traditional high school graduates? Demographic and Background Characteristics of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background Demographic and background information for GED credential recipients and traditional high school graduates are displayed in Table 5.1 (on page 43). Characteristics of postsecondary enrollees in these tables include gender, age at enrollment, ethnicity, and parents’ highest level of education. c h ap t e r V We presented and analyzed BPS data in Chapter V from the U.S. Department of Education’s Datalab system. We reported tables and figures for both groups of GED credential recipients and traditional high school graduates and indicated estimates, relative standard errors (RSE) percent of estimates, and weighted sample sizes. The relative standard error (RSE) percent, which is associated with the standard error statistic, is used to assess the reliability of each estimate within a given sample for use in producing confidence intervals. The higher the RSE percent, the lower the reliability of the sample estimate, and vice versa. being an important component of future success in postsecondary education, how do GED credential recipients compare with traditional high school graduates in terms of years to enrollment, employment status, degree expectations at enrollment, and risk of postsecondary dropout? What specific assets and characteristics could potentially contribute to—or impede—enrollees’ postsecondary experiences and outcomes? Gender A larger percentage of freshmen from both the GED credential recipients group (about 60 percent) and the traditional high school graduates group (about 58 percent) were female (see Table 5.1). Age at Enrollment GED Tests passers from the BPS:04/06 dataset tended to be older than their high school graduate counterparts when they first entered postsecondary education (see Table 5.1). The median age of first-time enrollees from that cohort as of December 31, 2003, was 18 years old for high school graduates and 24 years old for GED Tests passers. Nearly 46 percent of GED credential recipients from the BPS:04/06 dataset were between 16 and 23 years old when they first enrolled in postsecondary education, whereas almost 83 percent of high school graduates belonged to that same age group. Additionally, more than half (54.1 percent) of GED Tests passers from Percentages for some variables from the BPS:04/06 data wave might differ slightly from those for the BPS:04/09 data wave, due to a small attrition rate across all three waves of data collection. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 42 tABle 5.1 Gender, age, ethnic Group, and parents’ highest Level of education of Beginning postsecondary Students Who enrolled in 2003–04, by educational Background educational Background Demographic characteristics GeD credential recipients traditional high School Graduates 39.9 (5.0) 60.1 (3.4) 42.5 (1.5) 57.5 (1.1) 15.4 (9.6) 8.2 (13.4) 22.3 (7.3) 22.4 (7.4) 31.7 (5.7) 46.0 (1.7) 25.2 (1.9) 11.4 (4.2) 6.3 (6.0) 11.2 (4.2) 18.4 (9.0) 16.7 (11.2) 61.0 (4.0) 1.9 ! (46.8) 2.0 (26.1) 0.04 !! (104.4) 15.0 (4.5) 13.6 (5.7) 66.1 (1.6) 0.6 (16.0) 4.3 (6.3) 0.4 (24.3) 17.9 (9.8) 35.2 (5.2) 4.7 (21.0) 14.3 (9.5) 19.4 (10.2) 8.4 (14.0) 6.7 (4.9) 27.6 (2.2) 4.0 (5.6) 15.7 (2.8) 27.3 (2.0) 18.8 (2.5) (percent) (rSe percent) Gender: Male Female age at entry Into postsecondary, as of 12/31/2003: 15–18 Years1 19 Years 20–23 Years 24–29 Years 30 Years and Older ethnic Group:2 Hispanic/Latino Black/African American White American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander parents' highest Level of education:3 Did Not Complete High School High School Diploma or Equivalent Vocational or Technical Training Associate Degree or Less Than Two Years of College Bachelor's Degree or Two or More Years of College But No Degree Master's Degree or Above (percent) (rSe percent) the BPS:04/06 dataset were 24 years of age or older, while the corresponding percentage for traditional high school graduates was low, at 17.5 percent. Ethnic Origin As reflected in Table 5.1, a majority of first-time enrollees from the BPS:04/06 dataset were white, for both GED Tests passers (61 percent) and high school graduates (66.1 percent). Parents’ Highest Level of Education As indicated in Table 5.1, parents of first-time enrollees most often completed high school or its equivalent for both GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates (35.2 percent and 27.6 percent, respectively). Furthermore, about 42 percent of GED c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t c h ap t e r V Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 2003–04 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, First Follow-up (BPS:04/06). RSE=Relative Standard Error. !=Interpret data with caution. Relative standard error (RSE) between 30 and 50 percent. !!=Interpret data with caution. Relative standard error (RSE) > 50 percent. 1 The first age category included 15 year-old high school students. GED Tests passers by definition must be at least age 16. 2 “Other” and “Two or More Ethnicities” were included in the “Non-White” category. 3 Parents' highest level of education was based on the highest level of education attained by either parent. Notes: Weighted sample sizes for gender and age: GED credential recipients n=298,200 and traditional high school graduates n=3,357,300. Weighted sample sizes for ethnicity: GED credential recipients n=282,600 and traditional high school graduates n=3,224,800. Weighted sample sizes for parents' highest level of education: GED credential recipients n=279,000 and traditional high school graduates n=3,284,400. Tests passers’ parents attended college, with or without attaining a postsecondary credential, which was the case for nearly 62 percent of traditional high school graduates’ parents. More than twice as many parents (17.9 percent) of GED credential recipients who enrolled in postsecondary education did not finish high school, compared with parents of traditional high school graduates who enrolled in postsecondary education (6.7 percent). Wherewithal of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background Another research question in Chapter V considers the wherewithal of postsecondary enrollees. In other words, specific assets and characteristics that could potentially contribute to—or impede—enrollees’ G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 43 postsecondary experiences and outcomes were selected from BPS:04/06 variables. These variables were employment status, years to enrollment, student financial aid, highest degree expected, and risk index at enrollment. expected to receive up to a bachelor’s degree (including postsecondary certificates); while a majority (54.4 percent) of traditional high school graduates aimed at completing at least a master’s degree. Employment Status in 2003–04 Nearly as many GED Tests passers (32.5 percent) as high school graduates (30.9 percent) did not have a job during the first year they enrolled in postsecondary education. However, more than a third (35.9 percent) of GED credential recipients held full-time employment, versus 22.4 percent of traditional high school graduates. A higher percentage of traditional high school graduates (46.7 percent) worked part time while enrolled in postsecondary education. Risk Index in 2003–04 Risk index in 2003–04 is a composite made of seven variables that could negatively affect students’ postsecondary experiences and outcomes: time to enrollment, no traditional high school diploma, part-time enrollment, financial independence, having dependents, being a single parent, and working full time while enrolled. For example, if an enrollee accumulated five of the above criteria (up to a maximum of seven), he or she was identified as having a risk index of five. The assumption is that the higher the risk index, the higher the threat of dropout from postsecondary education. We note that by definition, all GED credential recipients have a risk index of at least one, as not having a high school diploma is one of the seven variables in the composite index. Student Financial Aid Received in 2003–04 For those students who received financial assistance (from any state, federal, institutional, and other funding sources, and of any type, such as grants, scholarships, loans, work-study, and assistantships) during the first year they enrolled in postsecondary education, the mean dollar amount received was $7,677 for high school graduates and $6,071 for GED Tests passers. In other words, GED Tests passers received about 20 percent less in financial aid for their first-year studies than traditional high school graduates did. Highest Degree Expected in 2003–04 As shown in Table 5.2, as of 2004, more than twice as many GED Tests passers (10.4 percent) as high school graduates (4 percent) expected to go only as far as receiving a certificate—which involves a short-term enrollment in the postsecondary system. Additionally, 61.6 percent of GED Tests passers (versus 44.6 percent of traditional high school graduates) c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Exactly half (50 percent) of traditional high school graduates had a risk index of zero in 2003–04 and, as expected, no GED credential recipients had a zero risk index. GED Tests passers appeared to be generally exposed to a higher number of risk factors than traditional high school graduates were. Overall, c h ap t e r V Years to Enrollment The mean number of years to enrollment was calculated using the year of the student’s high school graduation or the year of the student’s passing the GED Tests and their first year enrolled in postsecondary education. The mean number of years to enrollment for all enrollees, regardless of whether they waited or not before enrolling, was 3.3 years for traditional high school graduates and 5.9 years for GED credential recipients. The mean number of years for GED credential recipients to enroll in postsecondary education—for those enrollees who waited at least one year—was 8.5 years, versus 10.1 years for traditional high school graduates. tABle 5.2 highest Degree ever expected by Beginning postsecondary Students Who enrolled in 2003–04, by educational Background highest Degree Student ever expected (as of 2004) No Degree or certificate certificate associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Master's Degree or post-Ba/ post-Ma certificate Doctoral Degree or Firstprofessional Degree educational Background GeD credential recipients (percent) (rSe percent) traditional high School Graduates (percent) (rSe percent) 1.5 ! (32.4) 10.4 (8.6) 17.2 (9.2) 34.0 (5.4) 1.0 (13.5) 4.0 (6.3) 8.9 (4.8) 31.7 (1.8) 26.9 (6.6) 36.7 (1.5) 10.0 (10.8) 17.7 (2.6) Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 2003–04 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, First Follow-up (BPS:04/06). RSE=Relative Standard Error. !=Interpret data with caution. Relative standard error (RSE) between 30 and 50 percent. Note: Weighted sample sizes: GED credential recipients n=298,200 and traditional high school graduates n=3,357,300. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 44 Level of First Institution Attended While 82.9 percent of GED credential recipients first attended an institution of two years or less in 2003– 04, only 53.2 percent of the traditional high school graduates did so. This result for GED Tests passers is in keeping with findings from Chapter II. On the other hand, about 17 percent of GED Tests passers and 47 percent of traditional high school graduates first attended four-year institutions. about 89 percent of GED Tests passers experienced at least one other risk factor in addition to not having a high school diploma. GED credential recipients tended to have a risk index of five (24.4 percent) or four (19.9 percent), while traditional graduates tended to have a risk factor of zero (50 percent) or one (18.5 percent). First Postsecondary Institution Attended, by Educational Background Tuition and Fees of First Institution Attended The mean cost for tuition and fees at the first institution attended was more than 30 percent lower for GED credential recipients ($3,877) than for high school graduates ($5,768), at least in part because the former tended to attend public two-year-or-less institutions. Following our examination of institutional settings in Chapter IV, we also questioned whether GED credential recipients and traditional high school graduates first attended postsecondary institutions that were different in nature because of the varying backgrounds and wherewithal that each group exhibited. This section addresses that question further using BPS:04/06 data. Information covers level, region, and tuition and fees of first institution attended. Region of First Institution Attended As highlighted in Figure 5.1, high percentages of both GED credential recipients (44.5 percent) and figuRe 5.1 educational Background of Beginning postsecondary Students, by region 1 of Institution Where First enrolled in 2003–04 GED Credential Recipients (n=297,000)* c h ap t e r V FIGURE 5.1 Traditional High School Graduates (n=3,312,800)* 22.5% Western Region 20.2% 24.6% Midwestern Region 19.9% 35.2% Southern Region 44.5% 17.7% Northeastern Region 15.4% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Percent Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 2003–04 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, First Follow-up (BPS:04/06). * Weighted sample sizes. 1 U.S. regional classification from the Census Bureau. The Northeastern region consists of: CT, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, and VT. The Midwestern region consists of: IL, IN, IA, KS, MI, MN, MO, NE, ND, OH, SD, and WI. The Southern region consists of: AL, AR, DE, DC, FL, GA, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA, and WV. The Western region consists of: AK, AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, and WY. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 45 tABle 5.3 First-year remedial or Developmental courses taken by Beginning postsecondary Students Who enrolled in 2003–04, by educational Background remedial or Developmental courses educational Background took any remedial or Developmental course Writing Study Skills reading english Mathematics (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) GeD credential recipients traditional high School Graduates 19.5 (8.1) 7.1 (16.1) 2.9 ! (31.5) 5.6 (4.2) 6.6 (4.7) 16.6 (2.8) 20.9 (2.2) 8.0 (3.9) 2.3 (6.9) 6.5 (18.4) 6.0 (16.7) 15.7 (9.7) Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 2003–04 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, First Follow-up (BPS:04/06). RSE=Relative Standard Error. !=Interpret data with caution. Relative standard error (RSE) falls between 30 and 50 percent. Note: Weighted sample sizes: GED credential recipients n=298,200 and traditional high school graduates n=3,357,300. Postsecondary Experiences and Outcomes, by Educational Background The final research question for Chapter V relates to the postsecondary experiences and outcomes of firsttime postsecondary enrollees at different points in time (first year of enrollment, three years after enrolling, and five years after enrolling) during the course of their involvement in the postsecondary system. Information analyzed in this section includes attendance intensity, remedial course taking, and major pursued during their first year. We also analyzed the number of institutions attended and the number of transfers through 2006 and 2009, number of stopouts through 2006, persistence and postsecondary credential attainment after five years of enrollment, and reasons for leaving postsecondary education in 2004 and in 2006. Attendance Intensity in 2003–04 A majority of GED credential recipients (58.2 percent) and of traditional high school graduates (69.4 percent) attended school exclusively full time during the first year that they were enrolled, although GED Tests passers tended to do so less c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t often, as illustrated by the 10 percentage-point difference between the two groups. Yet, as highlighted before, GED Tests passers tended to hold a full-time job during their freshman year (35.9 percent) while a lower percentage of traditional high school graduates (22.4 percent) did so. Moreover, nearly 50 percent of GED credential recipients worked full time while also attending college full time during the first year they enrolled, about the same as traditional high school graduates. Remedial Courses in 2003–04 As reflected in Table 5.3, about the same percentage of GED credential recipients (19.5 percent) and of traditional high school graduates (20.9 percent) received remedial or developmental instruction during the first year they enrolled into postsecondary education. More precisely, comparable percentages of GED Tests passers and of traditional high school graduates sought remedial instruction in writing and reading, study skills, English, and mathematics. Number of Institutions Attended Through 2006 and 2009 The great majority of GED credential recipients (85.3 percent) and of traditional high school graduates (75 percent) attended only one institution during their first two academic years, that is, until the end of the 2006 academic year. When we examined the number of institutions that 2003–04 enrollees attended through 2009, it appeared that both educational background groups remained relatively stable compared with the statistic as of 2006—although GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 46 c h ap t e r V of traditional high school graduates (35.2 percent) first enrolled in a postsecondary institution located in the Southern region, with more GED Tests passers enrolling in this region compared with traditional high school graduates. Lower percentages of both GED Tests passers and high school graduates (between around 15 percent and 17 percent) were enrolled in institutions from the Northeastern region. tABle 5.4 persistence and highest Degree/certificate attained for Beginning postsecondary Students First enrolled in 2003–04, by educational Background: 2009 persistence Status (as of June 2009) educational Background GeD credential recipients traditional high School Graduates received Degree/ certificate, Still enrolled received Degree/ certificate, Not enrolled (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) highest Degree/certificate attained1 (as of June 2009) Did Not receive Did Not receive Degree/ Degree/ certificate, certificate, Still enrolled Not enrolled (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) certificate associate Degree Bachelor's Degree (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) 8.1 (12.9) 25.9 (7.0) 16.5 (10.8) 49.5 (4.7) 61.0 (6.3) 31.2 (11.8) 7.8 (26.6) 5.0 (5.4) 45.8 (1.6) 14.9 (4.1) 34.3 (2.0) 16.1 (4.7) 18.1 (4.0) 65.7 (1.2) Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 2003–04 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, Second Follow-up (BPS:04/09). RSE=Relative Standard Error. 1 Highest degree/certificate ever attained was reported only for students who did attain a certificate or degree by June 2009 regardless of whether they were still enrolled in postsecondary or not as of June 2009. Notes: Weighted sample sizes for persistence status: GED credential recipients n=271,300 and traditional high school graduates n=3,304,800. Weighted sample sizes for degree attainment: GED credential recipients n=92,159 and traditional high school graduates n=1,678,393. Number of Stopouts Through 2006 NCES defines a stopout as a break in enrollment of five or more consecutive months. It may not be accurate to say that a student definitely dropped out, when he or she might come back and finish later; dropout students themselves might consider they have simply stopped out and will decide to re-enroll at a later time. About 81 percent of GED Tests passers and 84 percent of high school graduates had zero stopout episodes from enrollment in 2003–04 through 2006, while nearly 18 percent of GED credential recipients and 16 percent of traditional high school graduates experienced one stopout episode. Persistence and Degree Attainment Through 2009 As displayed in Table 5.4, among students who had enrolled in 2003–04, 34 percent of GED Tests passers and 50.8 percent of traditional high school graduates received a postsecondary credential by June 2009. Using this information as a proxy of the postsecondary graduation rate, we calculated that more than half of traditional high school graduates and nearly a third of GED credential recipients from the 2003–04 c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t cohort of beginning postsecondary students had graduated five full academic years after first enrolling, regardless of whether they were still enrolled or not by June 2009. Furthermore, nearly half of GED credential recipients (49.5 percent) were not enrolled as of June 2009 and had not received a postsecondary credential, whereas a somewhat comparable proportion of traditional high school graduates (45.8 percent) had already received their postsecondary credential but were no longer enrolled in postsecondary education. Relating to specific highest postsecondary credentials that graduates received as of June 2009, regardless of whether they were still enrolled in postsecondary education or not, GED credential recipients were more inclined overall to complete a certificate (61.0 percent), and traditional high school graduates, a bachelor’s degree (65.7 percent). Major Pursued During the First Year of Enrollment About one-third of all enrollees, regardless of their educational background (33.2 percent of GED Tests passers and 32.3 percent of traditional high school graduates), were not in a degree program or had no declared major the first year they attended college. GED credential recipients’ most pursued major was in health (17.5 percent) while that of traditional high school graduates was in humanities, education, or social/behavioral sciences (18.5 percent combined). G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 47 c h ap t e r V both had expectedly higher mobility in later semesters compared with their first two years of postsecondary education. More precisely, nearly 67 percent of GED Tests passers and 60 percent of high school graduates attended only one institution through 2009. Reasons for Leaving Postsecondary Education in 2004 and in 2006 As shown in Table 5.5, no large differences existed between GED credential recipients and traditional high school graduates and no major cross-sectional gaps were found between 2004 and 2006 data collection waves in relation to student reasons for leaving the postsecondary system. Personal factors were the single most reported reason, and nearly half of all leavers selected this reason in 2004 and 2006. With no less than 27 percent of GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates selecting that cause in 2004, financial reasons were the second most often specified reasons for leaving, while in 2006 the second most often reported reason for GED Tests passers was family responsibilities. Discussion In future studies that further examine the postsecondary experiences and outcomes of GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates, it would be worth comparing postsecondary education enrollees’ backgrounds and demographics with those of students in the secondary system, in order to identify whether postsecondary transitions vary for some subpopulations. Wherewithal of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background GED Tests passers appeared to be generally exposed to a higher number of risk factors during their first year of enrollment than traditional high school graduates were. For example, while about the same proportions of GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates were employed during the first year they enrolled in postsecondary education, more GED credential recipients than traditional high school graduates held full-time positions. Even with flexible scheduling or careful sequencing of coursework, this tABle 5.5 reasons for Leaving postsecondary education of Students First enrolled in 2003–04 reported in 2004 and in 2006, by educational Background reasons for Leaving postsecondary in 2004 and in 2006 reasons for Leaving postsecondary education1 personal reasons Other reason(s) Financial reasons (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) reaSONS FOr LeaVING pOStSecONDarY eDUcatION (2004) GED Credential 44.7 (8.3) 31.8 (12.0) 27.9 (13.1) Recipients Traditional High School 54.5 (3.3) 23.2 (5.4) 30.8 (5.7) Graduates reaSONS FOr LeaVING pOStSecONDarY eDUcatION (2006) GED Credential 52.7 (7.4) 20.1 (14.2) 18.6 (13.7) Recipients Traditional High School 48.2 (3.1) 22.7 (5.4) 22.7 (5.8) Graduates Family Dissatisfied With responsibilities the program Scheduling problems academic problems Finished Desired called for classes Military Service (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) (percent) (rSe percent) 25.2 (14.3) 20.1 (15.6) 8.7 (24.5) 6.8 (20.2) 3.8 ! (39.8) 21.0 (6.3) 16.1 (8.2) 8.3 (11.5) 14.0 (10.1) 3.6 (17.9) 21.1 (14.5) 10.3 (17.3) 17.6 (13.7) 11.1 ! (30.8) 8.1 (25.6) 0.5 !! (90.4) 13.2 (7.0) 13.5 (9.4) 15.4 (8.1) 9.6 (13.9) 5.3 (11.5) 2.8 (15.4) Information not collected in 2004 Information not collected in 2004 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 2003-04 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, First Follow-up (BPS:04/06). RSE=Relative Standard Error. !=Interpret data with caution. Relative standard error (RSE) falls between 30 and 50 percent. !!=Interpret data with caution. Relative standard error (RSE) > 50 percent. 1 Interviewees could select as many reasons as applied. Notes: Weighted sample sizes (2004): GED credential recipients n=75,600 and traditional high school graduates n=501,800. Weighted sample sizes (2006): GED credential recipients n=101,600 and traditional high school graduates n=612,200. c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 48 c h ap t e r V Demographic and Background Characteristics of First-time Postsecondary Enrollees, by Educational Background When we examined demographic and background characteristics, it was interesting to find that firsttime enrollees, regardless of educational background, tended to be female and white. However, GED Tests passers were inclined to be older when they first enrolled in postsecondary education and their parents had lower levels of education than parents of traditional high school graduates. employment status could put them at a disadvantage compared with enrollees who did not work or worked part time and who could therefore spend more time studying. Investigating postsecondary education outcomes for enrollees who worked full time while enrolled, compared with those who did not, could provide more insight into these initial findings. Among enrollees with one or more years between high school graduation or passing the GED Tests and their first year in postsecondary education, traditional high school graduates waited longer to enroll in postsecondary education than GED Tests passers did. This finding might be indicative of the role of the GED credential as a springboard to further education. More precisely, 65.1 percent of all U.S. passers stated in 2009 that they took the GED Tests for educational reasons; specifically, 31.6 percent and 22.9 percent reported that they wanted to enroll in a two-year or four-year college, respectively.10 It is a concern that GED Tests passers received about 20 percent less in financial aid for their firstyear studies than traditional high school graduates did, and this point should be further investigated in future studies. Was this difference due to a lack of passers’ familiarity with how to navigate the postsecondary system and a lack of support services to help them find their way? Did GED Tests passers tend to receive less financial aid because they tended to enroll in larger, less expensive institutions, as described in Chapter IV? Were they cautious about First Postsecondary Institution Attended, by Educational Background Postsecondary education tuition and fees seemed to be a core concern for GED Tests passers. As an illustration, GED credential recipients who pursued mid- or long-term degree plans appeared to consider the cost of their education carefully, as they enrolled in institutions with lower tuition and fees compared with their high school graduate counterparts. Vigilant institutional communication and counseling about tuition assistance should aim to address this mid- and long-term disconnect. Postsecondary Experiences and Outcomes, by Educational Background Enrollees from both educational background groups experienced stability in the number of institutions attended—a contrast to the grim, widespread portrait of GED Tests passers being a fickle and mobile population. Several findings attested to the determination and the motivation of postsecondary students regardless of their educational background, keeping in mind that more than two-thirds of enrollees in both groups worked at least on a part-time basis and that a majority attended classes full-time during their freshman year. A great majority of GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates alike had zero stopout during their first two years. However, it would be valuable to look at the number of stopout episodes through 2009 and not through 2006 only in order to better appreciate the full scope of the stopout episodes. Unfortunately, no such information was collected for the third wave of BPS:04/09. Private situations and financial struggles that enrollees experienced after first enrolling seemed at the core of leaving the postsecondary system for both GED Tests passers and traditional high school graduates. Academic problems were not among the main reasons that leavers reported. However, it would be worth investigating what encompasses personal and other reasons, those two being somewhat blanket categories that deserve more investigation. Increased social support and financial assistance—which would both necessitate leveraged funding—appear to be American Council on Education (ACE). (2010). 2009 GED testing program statistical report. Washington, DC: Author. 10 c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 49 c h ap t e r V The educational expectations of GED Tests passers in 2003–04 seemed somewhat lower than those of traditional high school graduates. That could be explained by the fact that a substantial portion of GED credential recipients were working and were slightly older—perhaps in charge of a family that they needed to sustain. They may have expected to further their education but could not afford to stay in school for too long, therefore choosing a shorter route to advance their skills in order to improve their value on the labor market, compared with traditional high school graduates. Alternatively, psychological attributes, such as comfort level with postsecondary studies, self-efficacy, locus of control, or self-confidence, could also contribute to educational expectations. Becoming academically confident may require setting a series of educational goals—do GED credential recipients tend to set final educational expectations from the beginning? taking on college debt, given their age and employment status? essential to prevent students at large from leaving the postsecondary system, and consequently warrant more attention from postsecondary institutional administrators. Comparable proportions of GED credential recipients and traditional high school graduates received remedial or developmental instruction during the first year that they enrolled in postsecondary education. This finding calls for more investigation, as the general public traditionally sees GED Tests passers as demonstrating lower levels of knowledge and skills than traditional high school graduates. How were GED Tests passers oriented toward these classes—in terms of assessment and, subsequently, placement? The outcome of developmental instruction also deserves further investigation. Are first-year retention rates and graduation rates comparable when both educational background groups received remedial education— given the multi-layered structure of developmental education and additional costs associated with taking non-credit-bearing courses? c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 50 c h ap t e r V Results on persistence and postsecondary credential attainment showed that while more than a third of GED Tests passers expected—or wanted—to receive a bachelor’s degree when they first enrolled, those who graduated five academic years later tended to end up with a postsecondary certificate—a shorter route to improving their skills. The traditional high school graduates, on the other hand, seemed to follow their self-predicted bachelor’s degree path, yet many of those who expected a master’s degree or higher settled instead (or maybe temporarily) for an undergraduate degree. Another worrisome finding was that about half of GED Tests passers who had enrolled in 2003–04 neither had a postsecondary credential nor were enrolled in postsecondary education as of June 2009, whereas this was the case for only about 35 percent of students from the traditional high school graduates group. Would increasing the time to degree help identify more postsecondary graduates, keeping in mind that longer enrollment could be a double-edged sword—the positive side being more time to finish successfully, and the negative side being the increased risks to motivation that accompany lengthier enrollments? More attention and further studies should focus on this population of GED Tests passers who exit postsecondary education with no credential. Do these students eventually come back? Were there personal or academic signals that should have functioned as red flags early on and could have been acted on? Conclusion T he purpose of this report is to describe which adults with GED credentials pursued postsecondary education, when and where they enrolled, and how they persisted, in the context of results for individuals, within institutional settings, and by educational background. For Crossing the Bridge, Year Two—as for the Year One report—we describe and report basic information. Multiple follow-up studies providing a more indepth look into these topics for the 2004 cohort are planned throughout 2011. Consistent with findings in Chapter IV, the institutions GED credential recipients in the BPS study selected were most often two-year institutions, with lower tuition and fees than those institutions traditional high school graduates chose. Postsecondary tuition and fees seemed to be a core concern for GED Tests passers. Thus, it is concerning that GED Tests passers received about 20 percent less in c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t Findings presented in Chapter V are expanded upon in two separate 2011 GED Testing Service papers (Guison-Dowdy & Patterson, in press). These papers explore in greater detail the postsecondary experiences and outcomes of GED credential recipients and of traditional high school graduates, and also provide results disaggregated by key demographic subgroups. More qualitative studies are needed to uncover the dynamics of GED credential recipients and their postsecondary experiences. Studies should examine details of GED Tests passers’ postsecondary education experiences, including their financial status, credits taken each year, academic performance, and relationship with peers and instructors. Further studies should also focus qualitatively on the population of GED Tests passers who exit postsecondary education with no credential. Were there personal or academic signals that could have been acted on? Or have these students simply stopped out during the study period—and may eventually come back? A GED Testing Service companion study, Perceptions and Pathways, is investigating qualitatively how adults with GED credentials proceed along the path from secondary to postsecondary education; a preliminary report is planned for late 2011. G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s 51 co n c l u s i o n Given that the postsecondary graduation rate for the GED Tests passers was low and that convenience might play a role in the GED Tests passers’ enrollment decisions, it is critical to study what kind of institutional characteristics or services are important to help the GED Tests passers graduate. We plan to conduct a follow-up study examining the relationship between institutional characteristics and the GED Tests passers’ graduation status. 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Appendix Enrollment and Graduation Rates for GED Tests Passers, by State: 2004 Cohort 2004 Cohort of GED ® Tests Passers Who Enrolled Into Postsecondary Education and Who Graduated, by State State U.S. Total 2004 GED Passers Who Were PSE Enrollees 2004 GED Passers Who Were PSE Graduates (N) (N) (%) (N) (%) 7,347 1,673 9,745 6,153 27,476 9,099 2,896 464 561 27,568 18,385 1,338 3,074 14,003 10,794 3,940 4,120 9,892 7,879 2,266 5,418 7,157 10,178 6,349 6,573 8,512 2,083 2,230 3,793 1,469 6,420 4,404 25,328 12,647 990 15,065 7,079 7,385 13,321 1,244 5,640 1,438 10,690 34,589 4,934 619 11,523 11,326 3,608 7,431 1,328 3,102 685 2,848 2,375 12,879 4,034 1,005 131 198 11,584 9,641 579 1,308 8,372 4,654 1,969 1,724 4,186 2,201 707 2,074 3,171 4,353 2,935 3,033 3,702 795 1,157 1,730 562 2,802 2,366 10,747 6,331 321 6,180 2,481 3,960 4,548 598 2,647 418 3,501 12,389 2,044 222 4,802 6,008 1,170 3,641 512 42.2 40.9 29.2 38.6 46.9 44.3 34.7 28.2 35.3 42.0 52.4 43.3 42.6 59.8 43.1 50.0 41.8 42.3 27.9 31.2 38.3 44.3 42.8 46.2 46.1 43.5 38.2 51.9 45.6 38.3 43.6 53.7 42.4 50.1 32.4 41.0 35.0 53.6 34.1 48.1 46.9 29.1 32.8 35.8 41.4 35.9 41.7 53.0 32.4 49.0 38.6 310 42 338 249 1,206 481 111 21 15 1,566 2,083 87 144 1,031 434 245 173 532 167 66 193 398 339 457 352 409 97 136 92 86 348 290 1,425 1,010 53 472 164 479 638 74 280 66 346 1,136 158 28 598 785 87 545 51 10.0 6.1 11.9 10.5 9.4 11.9 11.0 16.0 7.6 13.5 21.6 15.0 11.0 12.3 9.3 12.4 10.0 12.7 7.6 9.3 9.3 12.6 7.8 15.6 11.6 11.0 12.2 11.8 5.3 15.3 12.4 12.3 13.3 16.0 16.5 7.6 6.6 12.1 14.0 12.4 10.6 15.8 9.9 9.2 7.7 12.6 12.5 13.1 7.4 15.0 10.0 368,675 156,983 42.8 18,641 11.9 c r o s s i n g t h e b r i dge , y ea r t w o r epo r t G E D ® c r ede n t i a l s a n d po s t s eco n da r y o u t co m e s r e f e r e n ce s Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming 2004 GED Passers 54 www.GEDtest.org
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