Overview for the Big Sky Carbon Partnership for Western Regional Air Partnership meeting April 5, 2006 Dr. Susan Capalbo, Director Big Sky Carbon Sequestration Partnership Montana State University What is Carbon Sequestration? Capture and storage of CO2 and other Greenhouse Gases that would otherwise be emitted to the atmosphere Capture can occur: – at the point of emission – when absorbed from air Storage locations include: – underground reservoirs – dissolved in deep oceans – converted to solid material – trees, grasses, soils, or algae Sequestration = Stabilization Could account for >60% of reduction gap in 2050 7 Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnerships Plains Big Sky West Coast Southwest Illinois Basin Midwest Southeast A Growing Case for Carbon Sequestration GCCI goal to lower GHG intensity – 18% improvement by 2012 CO2 Regulation at state, regional, National levels – Mandatory CO2 requirements in MA, NH, OR – Other states and regions considering action – Recent legislation introduced by Sen. Hagel (3 bills, inc. S.388-voluntary) and Senator Byrd (S.745) Renewed emphasis on U.S. coal – Electric power generation – Feedstock for hydrogen economy – FutureGen Carbon Sequestration provides a means to achieve economic growth and environmental goals Criteria for Successful Technologies to Sequester Carbon Be effective and cost-competitive Provide stable long-term storag Be acceptable to the public …and the challenges of carbon sequestration Cost of cutting carbon emissions is immediate, but the benefits are deferred and thinly spread GHG buildups are a global “externality,” not regional Absence of non-voluntary carbon emissions reduction policy or mandate Connecting public anxiety about climate change with willingness to pay The Big Sky Partnership Region Contains Substantial Energy Resources Nearly 40% of total U.S. coal reserves are in the Big Sky region Huge water resources to support hydroelectric power Many areas of high potential to support wind power Natural gas reserves may also be tapped in the future Nuclear power – part of the energy mix Biomass and bioenergy alternatives, ethanol options Canadian heavy oils, tar sands Overview Partnership Goal: Develop infrastructure to support and enable future carbon sequestration field tests and deployment (regional orientation) Coalitions that represent regional interests and serve as driving force for carbon sequestration projects Phase I: 2003-2005 scoping/screening effort Phase II: (i) Deployment of sequestration field validations and (ii) economic assessments of sequestration options and opportunities for CO2 emission offsets Context: “Wealth of sinks, wealth for future energy supplies” Examining geological and terrestrial sinks Energy security, economic growth Potential for new energy generation using coal, natural gas, and other biofuels/renewables Marriage of good science-based technologies with good economics Composition of Partnership Research Institutions (universities, labs, others) – including MSU, SDSMT, UI, UWYO, ISU, BSU, PNWD/PNNL, LANL, INL State, federal agencies (includes USDA, USGS, NASA) Industry members including major power producers Carbon trading entities (NCOC) Outreach Education partners, including Governors’ office in WY, MT, WA Tribal Nations and Councils International Collaborators (includes Canada, Norway, India) Partners Partners are collaborating to lay foundation for efficient and environmentally sound sequestration opportunities Partner Contributions: – sharing data, infrastructure and expertise – involvement in pilot projects and scaling up activities – providing matching funds for Energy Forums and pilot activities – involvement in outreach/education activities – serve on Partnership Advisory and Technical Committees Partner Benefits: – access to regional and national level developments with respect to geological and terrestrial sequestration and other strategies to reduce and/or offset CO2 emissions – access to restricted data and info on regional sources, sequestration options, economic analysis, and regulatory assessments – involvement with regional energy and policy assessments – opportunity to help design sequestration strategies that “work” for industry and the region – connections with DOE and regional Carbon programs Organization of the Partnership Two focal areas: geological and terrestrial sequestration opportunities Five technical teams: – Carbon atlas/GIS – Geological pilots, including MMV – Terrestrial pilots, including MMV & carbon markets – Economic and risk analysis – Education, outreach, regulatory compliance issues Building the Geological Carbon Atlas Compiled data from 117,304 active wells in WY and MT Developed GIS model to calculate sequestration volumes (based on depth, temperature, pressure, density, and thickness) Characterized sequestration volumes for 283 formations in 57 plays ! Muddy Sandstone 3307 A ! ! ! ! ! A Billings ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! !! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Montana ! ! ! ! ! ! Wyoming ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! 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Developed maps of each formation within all plays ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Sheridan ! ! A A A A! A Rapid City A Displays the surfaces of the Earth within the boundaries of the Province 33 and the two potential formations for carbon sequestration within the Play 3307: Newcastle (blue) and Muddy (green). ! Casper Note: All depths and sequestration volumes are based on wells within Wyoming and Montana only. ! North ! ! 0 Legend Elevation (ft) High: 1670 A Coal Plants ! Cities Pipelines Carbon Dioxide Crude Oil Low: -12388 Natural Gas The surface and thickness of the Muddy Sandstone as interpolated from well data. A Processing Product Wells (poi nts disp laye d with 1/2 mil e dia meter) #### #### #### #### #### #### #### #### De pth 0 8 00 13 00 18 00 23 00 28 00 33 00 38 00 15 30 60 (m) Cost ($) V olume - 800 - 130 0 251 ,23 4 - 180 0 374 ,79 8 - 230 0 559 ,13 3 - 280 0 834 ,12 8 - 330 0 1,244 ,37 2 - 380 0 1,856 ,38 6 - 430 0 2,769 ,40 2 90 (MMT) 0.00 133.37 510.10 681.98 393.17 339.51 262.73 105.40 120 Miles A B illings!A ¯ A Col strip! Montana Wyoming ! Sheridan A AAA A! A A Province ! State boundary A Casper A A A Carbon Atlas: Geologic Sinks Building the Terrestrial Carbon Atlas Used Century Model to examine terrestrial carbon flux (based on climate, soil, land use) Evaluated management scenarios for continuous grassland and conventionallytilled cropland Estimated current annual soil carbon fluxes in Big Sky states Summary Data for Carbon Atlas Served by Big Sky Data Type Description GHG Sources Emission point locations Yes GHG Inventory State-level source & sink emission summaries Yes GHG Livestock County-level livestock emission summaries Yes Terrestrial Sinks Actual/potential soil sink estimates (CENTURY) Yes Soil SSURGO/STATSGO & Soil Texture Grids Yes Climate Monthly precipitation/temperature 1900– present Yes Climate Divisions NCDC climate division boundaries Yes Ag Management Cropland areas (various tillage/rangeland) Yes Political State/County Boundaries Yes Infrastructure Transportation/Pipelines/Powerlines Geologic Sinks Oil/Gas Provinces & Plays Yes Wells Oil & Gas wells Yes Partial Infrastructure data layers such as gas pipelines are not served due to homeland security issues. Geologic Sequestration Potential Evaluate the geologic sequestration potential regional sedimentary and volcanic basins – Favorable and worthy of further consideration – Unfavorable – Insufficient information to classify Identify potential pilot-scale sequestration site(s) Geological Sequestration Efforts – Phase II Demonstration projects – basalt/mafic pilot scale injection (form solid phase carbonates) – carbonate aquifer assessment (develop carbonate alkalinity) – deep coal bed exchange (separate and sequester from flue gasses) Transfer results to the Nation – national mafic/basalt atlas Basalts and Sequestration Significant basalt formations in the region – 164,000 km2 – Columbia River Basalt Group – 64,000 km2 – Snake River Plain Chemical makeup favorable for mineralization reactions Deeper aquifers contain non-potable water Large Basalt Provinces and Power Plants in the United States Columbia River Basin: Sequestration Example 164,000 km2 of the Pacific Northwest 15% porosity 10 interflow zones Hydrostatic pressure 100 atmospheres Storage capacity of more than 100 Gt of CO2 100 years of U.S. Carbon emissions Supercritical CO2 Pressure Cell Experiments with Columbia River Basalt 1800 Reactor 1 Reactor 3 CO2 Pressure, psi 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 Test Terminated Calcite Precipitation 600 Confirmed by XRD Repressurized to1456 psi 400 Rocky Coulee Basalt 200 Coarse grain (0.85 to 2.0 mm) T=~100°C 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Time, days Long-term experiments showing transition from calcite to ankerite, Ca(Fe, Mg, Mn)(CO3)2 Basalt Field Pilot • 3000 MT of CO2 transported by rail from refinery • Utilize existing deep well infrastructure to minimize drilling costs for injection and monitoring • Target is Grande Ronde basalt formation (1100 m depth) • Post injection core sampling to verify mineralization reactions • Validate supercomputer simulations of CO2 dispersion, dissolution, and trapping in basalt using suite of geophysical, hydrologic, and tracer methods 16 Supercomputer Simulation of CO2 Injection in Grande Ronde Basalt Flood Basalts Cover More Than 1 Million km2 of the Earth’s Surface Conclusions: Sequestration in Basalts Large basalts providences globally distributed economic opportunity costs of Using basalts are minimal Conducive mineralogy for sequestration Rapid conversion of CO2 to carbonate High porosity and permeability Five largest basalt provinces could sequester 10,000 years of world CO2 emissions Big question: how does this compare to costs of other sequestration and mitigation options Pilot Demonstration: Carbonate Petroleum Reservoir Regionally abundant carbonate rocks (dolomites and limestones) are highly reactive with CO2 CaMg[CO3]2 + 2CO2 + 2H2O Ca2+ + Mg2+ + 4HCO3 Reactions should result in permeability and porosity increases Depth to Top of Madison Formation • EOR opportunities in the Region – High oil/gas prices make EOR attractive – Source of CO2? IGCC? – Infrastructure to transport pipelines Pilot Design: Enhanced Coal Bed Sequestration 0.024 250 Powder River basin coal Recent work shows Powder River basin coals can adsorb twice as much CO2 as Uinta basin coals 200 Strain, D L/L 0.016 Uinta basin coal 100 0.008 50 0.004 Study various gas injection strategies – Economic evaluation – Reservoir simulation 0 0.000 0 200 400 600 CO2 pressure, psia 800 1000 6000 Simulation case Begin future injection (1 Jan 2002) Continuous CO2 Cyclic CO2/mix (N2-CO2) Continuous mix (N2-CO2) Historical data 4000 Mcfd Begin historical N2 injection (1 Feb 1998) 2000 End historical data (30 Apr 2001) Date 1/1/20 1/1/16 1/1/18 1/1/14 1/1/12 1/1/10 1/1/08 1/1/06 1/1/04 1/1/02 1/1/00 1/1/98 1/1/96 1/1/94 1/1/92 1/1/90 1/1/88 1/1/86 0 1/1/84 Attention will be given to impact of coal swelling on permeability changes 150 0.012 Adsorbed CO2, mL/g 0.020 Terrestrial Sequestration Efforts • market – based storage and verification protocols Terrestrial Pilots and Activities: cropland forestland rangeland field test sites and design carbon portfolios in conjunction with industry, tribal members, and landowners Phase II Carbon Market Efforts Implement pilot forestry, agroforestry, and cropland carbon sequestration projects in conjunction with landowners, and national and international carbon trading companies All pilot projects will be marketed through Nat Source via CCX and/or other emerging markets Two 12,500 ton portfolios (tribal & private landowners) Seating a Technical Standards Committee for the purpose of setting project standards for the portfolio projects Components of an Economic/Risk Assessment Framework Economic input on cost (from private sector) Legal and regulatory issues Monitoring, Measurement and Verification Common units for comparison – spatial, temporal metrics End product – regional supply curve(s) for Carbon Regional Carbon Supply Curve Price ($/hectare/year) Supply Price Geological Forestry Geologic Crop soils Forestry Carbon (MMT) Importance of Phase II Economic Component Critical to addressing the feasibility of scaling up of the sequestration activities Useful for addressing long term financial viability of power plants under carbon-constrained scenarios Used to address tradeoffs among alternative sequestration options Phase II Public Outreach & Education Activities Energy Future Coalition Annual Energy Forum & Report State Legislative Symposia Partnership Recognition/Media Network National Outreach Working Group Capacity Building Susan M. Capalbo, Director Montana State University [email protected] Big Sky Partnership Office Angie Solvie – Program Administration [email protected] Office: 406-994-3755 Bob Smith, Associate Director University of Idaho [email protected] Pamela Tomski, Associate Director EnTech Strategies [email protected]
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