Active consumers and economic performance for the Danish Consumer Council and the Danish Competition and Consumer Authority CEBR – Centre for Economic and Business Research Literature review written by Peter Møllgaard [email protected] with the assistance of Morten Eskild Friehling 15 May 2011 Executive summary 1 Executive summary Background The Danish Consumer Council and the Danish Competition and Consumer Authority have asked CEBR for a study of existing literature on the relationship between consumer and competition policy and productivity, growth and welfare. The aim has been an empirical and policy oriented survey focusing mainly on supplier switching and transparency, although more traditional types of consumer protection that affect consumers’ behavior at the time of trading are also treated. The literature survey maps the channels through which consumers affect economic performance; identifies the most obvious instruments for consumer and competition policy; and gives examples on the effect of consumers on economic performance. Introduction Active and competent consumers are a prerequisite for effective competition in a market. If consumers do not react on price or quality, then there is not much reason for suppliers to strive to deliver goods with a reasonable relationship between quality and price. Given the right circumstances, consumers may affect price and quality significantly. The report offers examples that show that by leaving unexploited price differences of up to 60 per cent on identical goods, British consumers miss out on gains corresponding to around GBP 200 million in the markets for music and consumer electronics. Contrary to this, American consumers of life insurance have gained around USD 165 million per year on price reductions of around 10 per cent that resulted from the use of price comparison websites. Consumers also have effect on the quality of goods and services. In the U.S., hygiene control and labeling of restaurants have resulted in consumers choosing better restaurants and a drop in the number of food poisoning incidents of 20 per cent. Contrariwise, it is also well 1 Executive summary documented that if firms are not allowed to compete by advertising nutritional content then quality is reduced: goods become more unhealthy. Consumers are willing to pay more for products of documented quality. They are, for example, willing to pay about 15 per cent more for certain products with eco labeling. However, the report also shows that it is a difficult and complex task to ensure the precise mix of incentives and regulation that can release this large potential. There are a number of obstacles, and the design of consumer policy instruments is decisive for whether they contribute to the activation of consumers in the end. There are three major reasons why consumers do not always act as expected: Search costs, switching costs and bounded rationality. Search costs are pecuniary, psychological and physical obstacles to consumer search. Prices in markets with search costs may be excessive without triggering a reaction from consumers. The larger the fraction of well-informed consumers is, the lower will the price be, so consumer policy should aim to inform as much and as inexpensively as possible. Switching costs are the psychological, pecuniary or physical costs that are related to switching to a new supplier and that the consumer does not have to incur if she stays with her current supplier. This may also mean that the price can be set way too high because the supplier has an installed base of loyal customers to skim. Consumer policy should aim at reducing artificial switching costs as much as possible. Bounded rationality occurs in market where products or contractual conditions are so complex that consumers have a hard time to assess what the trade really implies. It is, for example, reasonable to assume that the consumer cannot assess how often different types of insurance events occur when signing an insurance policy because it requires data and computations that are difficult to comprehend for the normal consumer. In this case, consumer policy should aim at protecting the consumer against abuse. 2 Executive summary The survey identifies three major types of consumer policy instruments to activate consumers and to overcome the three major obstacles (search costs, bounded rationality and switching costs): A. Information gathering and comparison aim in particular at lowering search costs; B. Help to make informed choices at the time of purchase aims in particular at mitigating the effects of consumers’ bounded rationality; and C. Help at switching supplier aims in particular at reducing switching costs. The three types of instruments often affect more than one of the three challenges simultaneously. Gathering and comparing information Gathering and comparing information have as a primary goal to reduce search costs. The instruments can be divided into three categories: 1. Price comparison websites that in principle may make it easy for consumers to identify the best purchase. It is a challenge that consumers do not always choose the best buy suggested by a website; that consumers often do not use websites/search engines as actively as they could; and that firms may manipulate (some) websites in various ways. For these reasons it is important a) that consumers are free to determine how results are sorted and ranked; b) that there is access to a website that is independent of suppliers; and c) that consumers find websites natural and easy to use. 2. Standardization of price information is an attempt to reduce the complexity of information comparison by ensuring that list prices follow a common structure. An example is the use of Annual Percentage Rate (APR) in connection with the pricing of credit. The challenges are that standardization may be circumvented by offering several versions of a product or by (not) including add-ons. A solution could be to insist that the price should include all common elements and services, i.e. that the price is all inclusive. Such all-inclusive prices are best 3 Executive summary when extra fees are compulsory and identical across all consumers. 3. Information about and regulation of quality make it possible for consumers to make informed choices. The requirement that restaurants display the result of public hygiene inspection at restaurants leads to better quality (hygiene) because quality becomes a part of competition. Helping consumers make informed choices at the point of sale Help at making informed choices at the time when consumers make their purchasing decision aims primarily at preventing suppliers’ abuse of consumers’ bounded rationality. These instruments give consumers the possibility of either making informed choices or of correcting their mistakes at a later point in time. The literature identifies three groups of instruments that may limit abuse of bounded consumer rationality: 4. Binding offers with a certain minimum duration provide consumers with time to search for more information and to give the purchase decision extra consideration. 5. In-store price comparisons require that consumers get access to information about rivals’ prices at the point of sale. This increases competition and gives the consumer knowledge of whether further search would pay off. The challenge is that it may be difficult to ensure that the information is correct. This could possibly be solved by requiring legally that the supplier must provide correct information that is up to date. 6. Cooling-off periods give consumers a right to cancel a contract or to return a product and get a refund from the supplier during a given period. This limits the possibility for abuse of the consumer at the time of purchase. The challenge is that cooling-off periods may undertake unnecessary give risks consumers (moral incentives hazard) and to that consumers may underestimate the costs of returning a product. For these reasons it is important a) that cooling-off periods are of sufficient duration to allow consumers to gain experience with the product, b) that consumers are reminded 4 Executive summary of the expiry of the cooling-off period and c) that it is simple to return the product. Instruments that may help consumers switch suppliers Helping consumers to switch suppliers contributes to lowering switching costs. Switching costs give suppliers power over those consumers who are already customers (the ”installed base”) and this may lead to higher prices and to the exclusion of rivals. The literature identifies three main groups of instruments that make it easier for consumers to switch supplier: 7. Cancellation rights allow consumers to terminate a contract with a given notice so she can be released from her contractual obligations and switch to a better offer. The challenge is that the supplier may enter long-term contracts that entail bargains up front with the expectation of “ripping off” consumers later. An example is the “financing” of a free mobile phone through the price of use (phone and/or text). Cancellation rights work best when conditions are easy to comprehend and when consumers are aware of and willing to switch to better offers. 8. Product attribute portability (e.g. number portability) is the possibility of transferring one or more product attributes from one supplier to its rival. This lowers switching costs. The challenge is that portability has to be rather immediate in order that consumers find it attractive. This can be done by standardizing the attributes that are to be transferred. 9. Consumer information portability aims at breaking the current supplier’s monopoly on detailed information about consumers. This informational advantage implies that competing suppliers cannot tailor offers to a given consumer. Challenges are that information may be coded differently by different suppliers (and thus difficult to exchange) and that the information also can be abused which could make consumers reluctant to release the data for exchange. The challenges may be met by standardizing the information and by asking a third party to collect and give access to the data. 5 Executive summary Examples of consumers’ role in relation to economic performance The report goes through three examples of how consumers may make a difference for competition and efficient use of resources in order to render the literature survey and the discussion of policy instruments concrete. The three examples are retail markets for electricity, the market for home and personal protection insurance, and the use of labeling. Consumers and the liberalization of electricity market Since 2003, Danish consumers and small businesses have been allowed to change supplier of electricity, but only relatively few consumers have actually exploited this possibility in Denmark relative to consumers in Norway, Sweden and Great Britain. This is due to a series of factors: In Norway and Sweden, households have much larger electricity consumption due to the more common use of electric heating in these countries. In Great Britain, British Gas has been allowed to bundle contracts of electricity and gas and this practice increases the value of switching due to ’dual fuel’ discounts and also due to the fact that British Gas is recognized as a reliable supplier by many consumers. In Denmark the default supplier is the company with a supply obligation and this default system contributes to the slow switching behavior. Consumers could be made more active and competition would improve by a better price comparison site, the introduction of a Data Hub and the use of smart meters in combination with dynamic tariffs. A good price comparison site which lowers search costs already exists (elpristavlen.dk). This site may be improved if it could be used directly to contract with a (new) supplier. This would require that the comparison site get access to information on consumers, e.g. through a Data Hub, see below. Distribution system operators and suppliers of electricity possess a lot of information on consumers of electricity. These basic data are used to pay for the electricity consumers receive and for payable tariffs. Standardization and sharing of basic consumer data in a Data Hub could precipitate supplier switching. The Data Hub should be available 6 Executive summary to all interested parties. This would make it possible for default suppliers’ rivals to give consumers concrete, tailored offers based on each individual consumer’s basic data. Smart meters allow hourly readings of consumers’ electricity consumption and would make it possible for consumers to react to electricity prices to a higher degree. This may in and of itself increase the price awareness of consumers but today it is only about 20 per cent of the price consumers pay that vary with the wholesale price of electricity. Consumers will be motivated to react to prices if dynamic tariffs are introduced. Such dynamic tariffs are high when the wholesale price is high and low when it is low. Besides encouraging consumers to be active participants in the competitive process, an added advantage is that consumers’ electricity consumption will at the same instance be more sustainable. Consumers and home and personal protection insurance Insurance markets may be opaque to consumers because insurances are complex products and because insurance policies are often written in a legal language. Family Basic Insurance II (Familiens Basisforsikring II, BF II) is an attempt to design a standard policy that contains home and personal protection with family public liability extension. In principle this standardization increases comparability across different insurance companies but in reality BF II is offered with a number of different add-ons and these may complicate comparisons because policies are not identical at the end. Many insurance companies offer to collect all insurances of a consumer or a household against a discount. This increases both search costs and switching costs for each product. Many Family Basic Insurances are sold through labor unions, others through banks. There is a price comparison site, www.forsikringsguiden.dk, allowing consumers to compare insurance policies and prices. This site decreases search costs. Switching costs may be lowered through a shortening of the cancellation notice which often is rather long (up to a year if cancellation is to be free). Another way of reducing switching costs is 7 Executive summary through insurance brokers – provided they are independent of insurance companies and used correctly. Active consumers and labeling Labeling is used to give consumers the possibility to make active choices in markets in which suppliers or producers know much more about the product than consumers do. Labeling helps consumers sort different products and may be thought of as an information system. There are two types of labeling: A label that is awarded as a result of a certification based on a number of criteria for what the product or the service is allowed to contain, e.g. the Danish Ø label for organic food, the Nordic Swan or the EU eco-label for environmental criteria or the E label for ethical online trade. The other type is “informative labeling” that objectively list product characteristics and content. In Denmark such labeling is governed by the Danish Institute for Informative Labeling. Labeling often has a positive effect on consumers. However, consumers react differently to the same information: First-time purchasers are for example more likely to use labeling actively. In general, the effect of labeling depends on whether the label is worthy of trust and comprehensible. Trustworthiness may be achieved through the involvement of public institutions in the certification processes. Consumer trust of ecolabeling increases with the degree of public control of the labeling process for example. Comprehensibility of the labeling may be achieved through simplicity: the label should summarize as few well-defined characteristics as possible. Multi-dimensional labeling may confuse many consumers. 8
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