Isotopes in Land-surface Parameterisations : the IPILPS Proposal A. Henderson-Sellers1, P. Aggarwal2, D. Noone3 and A. J. Pitman4 Approved “In Principle” by GLASS 27 August 2003 Aim The land surface processes project within GEWEX, the GEWEX Land–Atmosphere System Study (GLASS), aims to improve the representation of the energy and water fluxes and cycles in large scale weather and climate models. Within GLASS, PILPS - the Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes - operates the off-line land-atmosphere intercomparisons. The aim of the IPILPS initiative is to contribute to an international intercomparison of current state-of-the-art isotope parameterization efforts in coupled climate, atmospheric and earth system models by promoting comparison among land-surface schemes that incorporate isotopic representation under the auspices of GLASS. Motivation Since the mid twentieth century the isotopic composition of water and carbon dioxide stored in various archives (e.g. ice cores, ground water, biomass) has been recognized as being of value in the study of changes in the atmosphere, hydrosphere and climate on timescales from glacial-interglacial (Petit et al., 1999) to extreme weather variations (Lawrence & Gedzelman, 2003). Such changes in local to global processes play a crucial role in forcing both past and future variability of the overall Earth system. The interpretation of isotopic variations in terms of system variability and change is currently handicapped by the lack of agreed and validated isotopic earth system model components among which are the land-surface schemes employed in geophysical and biogeochemical models (e.g. Henderson-Sellers et al., 2002). Isotopic data exist but, so far, there has been no tuning of models to these data. However, as databases become more prevalent, schemes will be tested against, and tuned to fit, isotopic measurements. There is therefore some urgency in establishing an international intercomparison as soon as feasible. Importance of the Land-surface The continental surface is the locus of mankind’s habitation including dwellings, food production and fresh water harvesting. Improving understanding & model predictive capability at the landatmosphere interface is a critically important goal of both WCRP (primarily through GLASS) and IGBP (through the Integrated Land Ecosystem – Atmosphere Processes Study, ILEAPS). Measuring and simulating the isotopic composition of water within the hydrological cycle of coupled, climate, atmospheric and earth system models may help to overcome the deficit of observationally-validated component simulations. Isotopic investigations of the 18O/16O and/or 2H/1H ratios demonstrated the recycling of water in large river basins (Salati et al., 1979) and motivated the world’s first tropical deforestation simulation (Henderson-Sellers & Gornitz, 1984). River routing parameterization schemes may now be testable using river-based isotopic measurements being coordinated by the International Atomic Energy Agency (e.g. Gibson et al., 2002). The macroscopic interpretation of biophysical laws established at the molecular level is not unique and as a consequence the land-surface simulation community will always be faced with a large variety of models. These will differ in the scales that are explicitly represented and those which are treated by conceptual representations of varying complexity. That intercomparison of off-line simulations is of value in this diverse environment has been repeatedly demonstrated by GLASS/PILPS – e.g. distributed hydrological applications (Lettenmaier and Bowling, 2002); cryospheric simulation (e.g. Luo et al., 2003) and biological parameterization of carbon (e.g. Viovy, 2002). Carbon isotopes are beginning to deliver value as measures of biogeochemical processes (e.g. differentiating C3 and C4 photosynthesis). They can also be used to trace carbon flow through and collection in various environmental pools (Riley et al., 2002). Importantly, carbon isotopes distinguish IPILPS Proposal AH-S (August 2003) 1 between terrestrial and oceanic fluxes of CO2 and can reveal details of soil decomposition, volatile and dissolved organic compounds. Vegetation has been shown to affect the oxygen isotopic composition of atmospheric CO2 (Farquhar et al., 1993). Finally, many palaeoclimatic reconstructions interpreting changes in archived isotopic records in terms of past conditions, especially temperature, fail to recognize the complexity of isotopic systems. More complete interpretive methods based on derived global maps of past isotopic partitioning, however, require detailed and valid parameterization of the surface-air interface (Dansgaard et al,. 1969, cf. Petit et al,. 1999). Goals It is timely to instigate a MIP focused on isotopic parameterization of the land-atmosphere interface. IPILPS will build on the detailed knowledge and experience generated since the early 1990s in PILPS (e.g. Pitman et al., 1999) and honed more recently within GLASS (e.g. Viovy, 2002) to contribute a careful evaluation of land-surface schemes incorporating isotopes. The first initiative will focus on stable isotopes of water and those of carbon. We plan a robust investigation of specific model characteristics, or parameterizations, by comparing the results of several different land-surface schemes run under identical boundary conditions. Figure 1 Measurements of the isotopic concentration of oxygen 18 (18O) and deuterium (D) in water vapour and precipitation at Belem, Brazil (1.43ºS, 48.48ºW). Daily isotopic concentrations are shown as “delta” values where is (R/Rstandard-1) x 1000. Implementation Plan There is a persuasive case for first examining three ‘typical’ environments: tropical forest, arid grassland and a frozen soil/snow regime and three characteristic groups of land-surface schemes IPILPS Proposal AH-S (August 2003) 2 (Henderson-Sellers et al., 2003). This is because important isotopic characteristics differ significantly in these situations: the tropical near-isothermal conditions allow probing of the Rayleigh formulation; arid soils reveal ‘pulses’ of isotopically characterized water flows; and, as the solid phases of water do not exchange isotopes with the atmosphere, snow & frozen soil water offer isotopically differentiable characteristics in a strongly seasonal regime (Gibson & Edwards 2002). We plan to test the proposed experimental framework using one (or two) LSSs incorporating isotopes. Preliminary results from the first test experiments using one LSS, ISOLSM (Riley et al., 2002) demonstrate that near-surface continental parameters of importance to the large-scale water cycle are affected differently in different climate regimes (Figure 2). Figure 2: Isotopic concentration of simulated water stores in ISOLSM. Results are spatial averages over North America (45o-80oN), Siberia (45o-170oE, 45o-80oN), Equatorial Amazon (30oS-10oN) and Australia. Isotopic concentrations are shown as “delta” values where is (R/Rstandard-1)x1000 (after Noone et al., 2003) Two steps need to be completed before a general call for participation in this GLASS/PILPS MIP: 1. confirmation of the experimental plan; and 2. quality control of the available isotopic data (preferably new data not already used or previously available to modelling groups). Under the Global Network for Isotopes in Rivers (GNIR) initiative of the IAEA, Pradeep Aggarwal, advises that the following novel data can be made available to GLASS: Amazon surface air vapour, rivers, groundwater and precipitation – Figure 1.; Friedman et al. –USA Great Basin; Gibson et al. – IPILPS Proposal AH-S (August 2003) 3 Canadian Arctic; and Stone et al. - Murray Darling, Australia. Primary quality control of these data will be undertaken by IAEA although it may be valuable to workshop (~3 days hosted by IAEA/PILPS/GLASS) existing observational data in support of the IPILPS. This could involve a small number of experts on biogeochemical isotope modelling (e.g. Inez Fung and David Schimmel), oceans & ice core modellers (e.g. David Rind and Jean Jouzel) and hydrologists and/or climate modellers interested in river basin water isotopes (e.g. Mike Bosilovich and Kit Szeto). Timeline (draft) 1. August 2004: Approval by GLASS Panel 2. October/November 2004: Data availability and quality control confirmation 3. November/December 2004: Experimental framework agreement 4. January/February 2005: Call for participation to all current & past PILPS and AMIP II DSP 12 members 5. April/May 2005; First workshop and analysis 6. December 2005: Publication Links AMIP II – Diagnostic Subproject 12 (refer -Tom Phillips, PCMDI, LLNL) SIMPLE: “Stable Water Isotope Modelling Intercomparison Initiative” (refer - Martin Werner, MPI, Jena) CCSM: new isotope working group initiative (refer - Natalie Mahowald, ACD, NCAR) Global Network for Isotopes in Rivers (GNIR) initiative (refer - Pradeep Aggarwal, IAEA). References Bowling, Laura C. Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Bart Nijssen, Jan Polcher, Randal D. Koster and Dag Lohmann, 2003, Simulation of high-latitude hydrological processes in the Torne–Kalix basin: PILPS Phase 2(e): 3: Equivalent model representation and sensitivity experiments, Glob. Plant. Chng., 38, (1-2), 55-71 Dansgaard W., Johnsen S.I., Moller, J., Langway C.C. Jr., 1969, One thousand centuries of climatic record from Camp Century on the Greenland ice sheet, Science, 166, 377-381 Farquhar, G.D., Lloyd, J., Taylor, J.A., Syverston, L.B., Hubick K.T, Wong S. and Ehleringer, J.R., 1993, Vegetation effects on the isotopic composition of the atmospheric CO 2, Nature, 363, 439-443 Gibson, J.J., Aggarwal, P., Hogan, J., Kendall, C., Martinelli, L. A., Stichler, W., Rank, D., Goni I., Choudury M., Gat, J., Bhattacharya, S., Sugimoto, A., Fekete B., Pietroniro A., Maurer T., Panarello H., Stone D., Seyler P., Maurice-Bourgoin L. and Herzceg A., 2002, Isotope studies in large river basins: a new global research focus, EOS, 83, No 52, 613-617 Gibson, J. J. and. Edwards, T. W. D, 2002, Regional water balance trends and evaporationtranspiration partitioning from a stable isotope survey of lakes in northern Canada, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 16, (2), 10, 1029/2001GB001839 Henderson-Sellers, A. and V. Gornitz, 1984, Possible climatic impacts of land cover transformations, with particular emphasis on tropical deforestation. Clim. Change, 6, 231-258 Henderson-Sellers, A., McGuffie, K. and Zhang, H., 2002, Stable isotopes as validation tools for global climate model predictions of the impact of Amazonian deforestation, Journal of Climate, 15, 2664-2677 Henderson-Sellers, A. Irannejad, P. McGuffie K. and Pitman, A. J., 2003, Predicting land-surface climates – better skill or moving targets?, Geophys. Res Lett. 30, (14), 1777, doi:10.1029/2003GL017387 IPILPS Proposal AH-S (August 2003) 4 Lawrence, J.R. and Gedzelman, S.D. (2003) Tropical ice core isotopes: do they reflect changes in storm activity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, No.2, 44-1 to 44-4, 10.1029/2002GL015906 Lettenmaier D.P. and Bowling L.C., 2002, Report of the ACSYS/GEWEX PILPS 2(e) Stage 1 Arctic Hydrological Model Intercomparisons Study Workshop, WCRP Informal Reports no 15/2001, WMO, Geneva Luo, L., Robock, A., Vinnikov, K.Y., Schlosser, C.A., Slater, A.G., Boone, A., Braden, H., Cox, P., de Rosnay, P., Dickinson, R.E., Dai, Y.-J., Duan, Q., Entin, J., Etchevers, P., Henderson-Sellers, A., Gedney, N., Gusev, Y.M., Habets, F., Kim, J., Kowalczyk, E., Mitchell, K., Nasonova, O.N., Noilhan, J., Pitman, A.J., Schaake, J., Shmakin, A.B., Smirnova, T.G., Verseghy, D., Wetzel, P., Xue, Y., Yang, Z.-L. and Zeng, Q.C., 2003, Effects of frozen soil on soil temperature, spring infiltration, and runoff: results from the PILPS 2(d) experiment at Valdai, Russia, J. Hydrometeorology, 4, 334-351 Petit J.R. et al. 1999, Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica, Nature, 399, 429–436 Pitman, A.J., Henderson-Sellers, A., Desborough, C.E., Yang, Z.-L., Abramopoulos, F., Boone, A., Dickinson, R.E., Gedney, N., Koster, R., Kowalczyk, E., Lettenmaier, D., Liang, X., Mahfouf, J.-F., Noilhan, J., Polcher, J., Qu, W., Robock, A., Rosenzweig, C., Schlosser, C.A., Shmakin, A.B., Smith, J., Suarez, M., Verseghy, D., Wetzel, P., Wood, E. and Xue, Y., 1999, Key results and implications from phase 1(c) of the Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface parameterization schemes, Climate Dynamics, 15, 673-684 Noone, D., C. Still and W. Riley, 2002: A global biophysical model of 18O in terrestrial water and CO2 fluxes. Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, Report No. 32, H. Ritchie, Ed., World Meteorological Organization, 4.19-4.20 Riley, W. J.,. Still, C. J. Torn, M. S and J. A. Berry, 2002, A mechanistic model of H218O and C18OO fluxes between ecosystems and the atmosphere: model description and sensitivity analyses Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 16, (4), 1095, doi:10.1029/2002GB001878 Salti E., Dall’ollio, A., Matsui, E. and Gat J.R., 1979, recycling of water in the Amazon Basin: an isotopic study, Wat. Res. Res., 15, 1250-1258 Viovy, N., 2002, Description of the tokyo.ac.jp/GLASS/Doc/2002/pilpsc1-galss.pdf PILPS C-1 experiment, http://hydro.iis.u- 1 Contact Ann Henderson-Sellers, ANSTO Environment Currently Visiting NCAR CGD and CIRES / NSIDC, Boulder, Colorado, USA [email protected] 2-4 Sponsors Pradeep Aggarwal, Isotope Hydrology Section, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria [email protected] David Noone Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USA Andrew Pitman Integrated Land Ecosystem – Atmosphere Processes Study (ILEAPS) member, Professor of Physical Geography, Macquarie University, North Ryde, Australia IPILPS Proposal AH-S (August 2003) 5
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