BUSINESS & ECONOMICS SOCIETY
INTERNATIONAL
Theme
International Business (IBE-15)
Topic
World of Exports:
A Review of Global & Regional Developments
Venue & Date
Rydes Lakehand Resort, Queenstown, New Zealand
Presentation by
Prof. Dr. Khawaja Amjad Saeed
Professor Emeritus & Founder Principal, Hailey College of Banking & Finance, University of the
Punjab, Lahore Pakistan (2003----), Member Governing Council, International Federation of
Accountants (IFAC), New York (1997-2000), President, South Asian Federation of Accountants (SAFA)
(1997), President, Institute of Cost and Management Accountants of Pakistan (1997-2000), President,
Association of Management Development Institutions of South Asia (AMDISA) (1993-96), Pro ViceChancellor University of the Punjab, Lahore (1994-1996), Founder Director, Institute of Business
Administration (IBA), University of the Punjab, Lahore (1973-1996), Senior Faculty Member, Hailey
College of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Lahore (1965-73) and senior Faculty Member, Hailey
College of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Lahore-Pakistan. Email: [email protected] 1
PRESENTATION FRAME
1.
2.
3.
4.
ABSTRACT
PRELUDE
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
CONSTITUENTS
Part I: A Review of Global Exports
- 2001-2010: Time Series
- Top Twelve Leaders: 2010
- Frequency Table: 2010
Part II: A Review of Regional Export Trends
- G-8: 2010
- NAFTA: 2010
- D-8: 2010
- SAARC: 2010
2
PRESENTATION FRAME
5.
Part III: Recent Trends of Global Exports 2010
CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDATIONS
3
1.
2.
3.
ABSTRACT
- Quantum Jump
for Job Creation
- Break Through Strategy
PRELUDE
- Export Led Growth
- Success Stories
Far East
- Eaesternization
REVIEW OF Literature
- Five Sources
4
4: PART I: A REVIEW OF GLOBAL EXPORTS
2001-2010 Time: Series
Year
US $ T
Index
Normal
Rolling
2010
12.49
202
100
2009
12.47
202
77
2008
16.13
262
116
2007
13.90
226
115
2006
12.06
196
116
2005
10.39
169
114
2004
9.12
148
122
2003
7.48
121
116
2002
6.46
105
105
2001
6.16
100
100
SOURCE: EXTRACTED FROM: VARIOUS: WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORTS, 1999 TO 2012.
5
4: PART I: A REVIEW OF GLOBAL EXPORTS
TOP TWELVE LEADERS: 2010
Country
US $ T
Share in Global Exports %
1. China (including Hong Kong)
1.53
12
2. Germany
1.13
9
3. US
1.06
8
4. Japan
0.58
5
5. Netherlands
0.50
4
6. France
0.49
4
7. Italy
0.41
3
8. Belgium
0.37
3
9. Korea, Republic
0.36
3
10. UK
0.35
3
11. Canada
0.32
3
12. Russian Federation
0.30
2
Total
SOURCE: EXTRACTED FROM
: WORL DEVELOPMENT
REPORT 2012, PP59
400-401.
7.40
6
4: PART I: A REVIEW OF GLOBAL EXPORTS
Frequency Table: 2010
S. No.
Group
Number
%
US $ T
%
U.S $ Billion
1.
1,000 and
above
3
2
4.26
34
2.
400-600
4
3
1.98
16
3.
300-400
5
4
1.70
14
4.
200-300
3
2
0.72
6
5.
100-200
16
12
2.30
18
Sub-Total
31
23
10.96
88
Less Than US $
100b
100
77
1.53
12
131
100
12.49
100
6.
Total
SOURCE: COMPUTED FROM: WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2012, PP 400-401.
7
4: PART II: A REVIEW OF REGIONAL EXPORT TRENDS
G-8: 2010
S. No.
Country
US $ T
Share in Global
Exports %
1.
Germany
1.13
9
2.
US
1.06
8
3.
Japan
0.58
5
4.
France
0.49
4
5.
Italy
0.41
3
6.
UK
0.35
3
7.
Canada
0.32
3
8.
Russian Federation
0.30
2
4.64
37
Total
Percentage of Global Exports
37
SOURCE: EXTRACTED FROM: WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2012, PP 400-401.
8
4: PART II: A REVIEW OF REGIONAL EXPORT TRENDS
NAFTA: 2010
S. No.
Country
US $ T
Percentage
of Global Exports
of NAFTA
1.
US
1.06
9
66
2.
Canada
0.32
3
20
3.
Mexico
0.23
1
14
1.61
13
100
Total
Percentage of Global
Exports
12.89
SOURCE: EXTRACTED FROM: WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2012, PP 400-401.
9
4: PART II: A REVIEW OF REGIONAL EXPORT TRENDS
D-8: 2010
S. No.
Country
US $B
%
1.
Malaysia
157
28
2.
Indonesia
120
21
3.
Turkey
102
18
4.
Iran
78
14
457
81
Sub-Total
5.
Nigeria
53
9
6.
Egypt
21
4
7.
Pakistan
18
3
8.
Bangladesh
15
3
107
19
564
100
Total
Percentage of Global Exports
5.00
SOURCE: EXTRACTED FROM: WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2011, PP 400-401.
10
4: PART II: A REVIEW OF REGIONAL EXPORT TRENDS
SAARC: 2010
S. No.
Country
US $ B
%
1.
India
163
80
2.
Pakistan
18
9
3.
Bangladesh
15
7
4.
Sri Lanka
7
3
5.
Nepal
1
1
41
20
Sub Total
6.
Bhutan
-
-
7.
Maldives
-
-
8.
Afghanistan
-
-
204
100
Total
Percentage of Global Exports
1.63
SOURCE: EXTRACTED FROM: WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2012, PP 400-401.
11
4: PART III: RECENT TRENDS OF GLOBAL EXPORTS 2010
5. Conclusion & Recommendations
- Strategy
- Stakeholders
- Pareto Law
- G-8
- NAFTA
- D-8
- SAARC
- 2010 Trends