FACULTY OF M EDIC INE – U NIVERSITY OF P ORTO Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics Introdução à Medicina 2005/2006 A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW OF THE VALIDITY OF ENDOSCOPIC ULTRASOUND IN GASTRIC CARCINOMA STAGING Dourado, M Bastos, J [email protected] [email protected] Leite, M Pereira, MM Marinho, M Bernardes, MJ [email protected] [email protected] Pereira, S Machado, C [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Armas, MI Rego, MT [email protected] [email protected] Faria, MJ Ribeiro, MJ [email protected] [email protected] Adviser: Ribeiro, MD, Adviser’s e-mail: [email protected], Class: Class 15 Abstract Background: Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) may be used for preoperative staging of gastric carcinoma. However, as performance values of EUS given in the literature differ, it is not considered a standard procedure. Aim: To perform a systematic review of the validity of EUS in gastric carcinoma staging, according to the TNM system. Methods: Article search was performed using Medline and Scopus databases. The abstracts and then the full papers of the included articles were retrieved and reviewed independently by two reviewers, according to predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Disagreement between reviewers was solved by consensus. Tables were constructed for study quality assessment, using the STARD checklist, and 2×2 contingency tables were completed for estimation of sensitivities and specificities. Three thresholds were considered in T staging − T1vsT2T3T4, T1T2vsT3T4, T1T2T3vsT4 − and one in N staging − N0vsN+. Forest plots were used to assess studies consistency. Results: Fourteen articles were analyzed. For T staging, T1vsT2T3T4 threshold provided the most consistent and best the pooled sensitivity of 0.96 (95% CI: 0.95-0.97) for a specificity of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.93), whereas T1T2T3vsT4 provided the best pooled specificity of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.98) for a sensitivity of 0.40 (95% CI: 0.35-0.46). For N staging, pooled sensitivity and specificity were, respectively, 0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.80) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72-0.80). Conclusions: EUS has high sensitivity and specificity in detection of early gastric carcinoma (T1) and low sensitivity but high specificity in excluding advanced invasion (T4 and N+). Thus, EUS may have a role in gastric carcinoma staging, namely for early stage detection or in precluding surgery when invasion of major organs is present. Keywords: Gastric carcinoma; TNM staging; Endoscopic ultrasound. Introduction Though the incidence of gastric cancer is declining worldwide, it still remains the second most common cause of cancer-related death in the world. Typically, gastric cancer is asymptomatic when is at an early stage, the majority of patients presenting in advanced stage, with a still very high mortality rate. [1] Staging of gastric cancer is important in designing the strategy of treatment. Early gastric cancer can be treated by minimally invasive therapy, whereas advanced gastric cancer should be treated by surgery and/or chemotherapy. [2] The generally accepted describing method for the extent of cancer is the anatomically based TNM (Tumor, Node, Metastases) staging system, which classifies the cancer as to its local, regional and distant extent. [3] Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) may be used for preoperative staging of gastric carcinoma, namely as it allows the definition of T and N parameters. However, as performance values given in the literature differ, it is not considered a standard procedure. [4] In 2001, Kelly et al. performed a systematic review of EUS performance in gastrooesophageal carcinoma staging. [2] The aim of this study is to perform an updated systematic review of the validity of EUS in gastric carcinoma staging, according to the TNM system. Methods Study design and data sources A systematic review was conducted using Medline and Scopus databases. To retrieve indexed papers on the validity of EUS in gastric carcinoma staging the following query was used based on MeSH terms and on a previously validated query: [5] (((((((((((sensitivity and specificity OR sensitivity and specificity/standards) OR specificity) OR screening) OR false positive) OR false negative) OR accuracy) OR ((((predictive value OR predictive value of tests) OR predictive value of tests/standards) OR predictive values) OR predictive values of tests)) OR ((reference value OR reference values) OR reference values/standards)) OR (((((((((((roc OR roc analyses) OR roc analysis) OR roc and OR roc area) OR roc auc) OR roc characteristics) OR roc curve) OR roc curve method) OR roc curves) OR roc estimated) OR roc evaluation)) OR likelihood ratio) AND human) Field: All Fields, Limits: 10 Years, Humans, MEDLINE 2 AND "Endosonography"[MeSH] AND ("Stomach Neoplasm"[MeSH] AND "Neoplasm Staging"[MeSH]) NOT "Lymphoma"[MeSH] Study selection The abstracts retrieved in the Medline and Scopus search and then the included full papers were reviewed independently by two reviewers, regarding predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria: Inclusion criteria English, French and Spanish written papers considering the validity of EUS versus surgical specimens in patients with gastric carcinoma; Exclusion criteria Papers without explicit reference to TNM classification or that did not supply sufficient information to construct 2x2 contingency tables of results were excluded as well as papers that were not found on MedLine or Scopus databases or at IPO or FMUP libraries. Only abstracts and full papers satisfying the criteria were considered for further analysis. Any disagreement between reviewers was solved by consensus. References lists of each paper included were hand searched. When necessary, namely for the completeness of data to be extracted, the authors of the selected papers were contacted for further information. Data extraction Tables were constructed for data extraction regarding study quality assessment, using the Standards for Reporting of Diagnostic Accuracy (STARD) [6], to extract data related to the number of participants, year of procedure, ultrasound instrument brand and frequency, number of operators (Table 1) and T and N stages (Table 2). Twenty five was considered the best STARD score possible. Statistical Analysis To assess the validity of EUS, two main parameters were analysed: sensitivity and specificity. Sensitivity refers to the proportion of ill individuals whose test is positive. Specificity regards the proportion of non ill individuals whose test is negative. For each paper and for final pooled analysis, three different thresholds were considered for T staging and one threshold for N staging. The first T threshold considered T1 stage a negative diagnosis and the other T2, T3 and T4 stages positive diagnosis. On the second T threshold, both T1 and T2 stages were considered as negative diagnosis, 3 whereas T3 and T4 stages were considered as positive diagnosis. Finally on the third T threshold, only the T4 stage was regarded as a positive diagnosis. For the N staging, N0 stage was considered a negative diagnosis and N+ stages positive diagnosis. Forest plots[7] were drawn to assess the heterogeneity between the studies, using the Meta-Disc® 1.2 software (Figures 1 and 2). The threshold that minimised both understaging and overstaging was considered the most appropriate. Ninety five percent confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated when appropriate. Results Fourteen articles were included and analyzed. Table 1 shows the year of procedure, number of cases, ultrasound instrument features, number of operator and STARD score, for each article included in the study. The median number of participants in each study was 114 with a minimum of 22 and a maximum of 1120. The publication year ranged between 1993 and 2004. The type of instruments varied considerably. The STARD score ranged between 13 and 21. Table 2 and Figures 1 and 2 show the consistency, sensitivities and specificities of EUS in T and N staging of gastric carcinoma for each article considered in the study and final pooled analysis. Considering T1 vs T2 T3 T4, sensitivities were high, varying between 0.88 and 1.00 with a pooled sensitivity of 0.96, whereas specificities varied between 0.50 and 1.00 with a pooled specificity of 0.90. The values were more heterogeneous for specificity. However, heterogeneity was observed for both sensitivity and specificity (p<0.05). Considering T1 T2 vs T3 T4, sensitivities varied between 0.74 and 1.00 with a pooled sensitivity of 0.90, whereas specificities varied between 0.76 and 1.00 with a pooled specificity of 0.92. Heterogeneity was observed for both sensitivity and specificity (p<0.05). Considering T1 T2 T3 vs T4, sensitivities varied between 0.09 and 1.00 with a pooled sensitivity of 0.40, whereas specificities varied between .40 and 1.00. The values were more heterogeneous for sensitivity. However, heterogeneity was observed for both sensitivity and specificity (p<0.05). Considering N staging sensitivities varied between 0.54 and 0.96 with a pooled sensitivity of 0.77, whereas specificities varied between 0.55 and 0.93 with a pooled specificity of 0.76. Heterogeneity was observed for both sensitivity and specificity. In summary, for T staging, T1vsT2T3T4 threshold provided the most consistent and best pooled sensitivity of 0.96 (95% CI: 0.95-0.97) for a specificity of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.93), whereas T1T2T3vsT4 provided the best pooled specificity of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.98) for a sensitivity of 0.40 (95% CI: 0.35-0.46). For N staging, 4 pooled sensitivity and specificity were, respectively, 0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.80) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72-0.80). Table 1. Year of procedure, number of participants, ultrasound instrument features, number of operator and STARD score, for each article included in the study. 5 Table 2. Authors, year of publication, sensitivities and specificities, with 95% confidence intervals, regarding T and N staging of gastric carcinoma using EUS for each article considered in the study. For T staging, three thresholds were considered: T1vsT2T3T4, T1T2vsT3T4 and T1T2T3vsT4. T staging T1 vs T2 T3 T4 N staging T1 T2 vs T3 T4 T1 T2 T3 vs T4 N0 vs N+ Article Sensitivity% (95% CI) Specificity% (95% CI) Sensitivity% (95% CI) Specificity% (95% CI) Sensitivity% (95% CI) Specificity% (95% CI) Sensitivity% (95% CI) Specificity% (95% CI) Dittler, HJ, 1993 [8] 98 (95-99) 96 (78-100) 92 (87-96) 86 (76-93) 70 (50-86) 98 (95-99) 96 (92-99) 55 (46-65) Grimm, H, 1993 [9] 94 (90 – 97) 90 (74-98) 78 (66-87) 96 (90-99) 9 (5-13) 40 (5-85) 87 (77-94) 79 (67-88) Hunerbein, M, 1998 [10] 88 (64-99) 100 (48-100) 80 (44-97) 100 (74-100) - - - - Wang, JY, 1998 [11] 96 (89-99) 68 (48-84) 90 (80-96) 86 (75-94) 53 (29-76) 93 (86-97) 74 73 Fujino,Y 1999 [12] 88 (81-94) 99 (96-100) 93 (86-97) 99 (96-100) 98 (88-100) 100 (99-100) - - Kuntz, C, 1999 [13] 100 (95-100) 100 (66-100) 74 (60-85) 100 (89-100) 100 (54-100) 95 (87-99) 89 (77-96) 82 (63-94) Nakamura, K, 1999 [14] - - - - - - 38 (14-68) 83 (59-96) Schlick, T, 1999 [15] 89 (81-95) 100 (77-100) 90 (79-97) 76 (61-87) 33 (1-91) 99 (94-100) - - Tseng, LJ, 2000 [16] 97 (89-100) 100 (74-100) 100 (91-100) 89 (73-97) 86 (42-100) 94 (85-98) 74 (58-87) 86 (70-95) Willis, S, 2000 [17] 98 (93-100) 57 (29-82) 80 (69-89) 91 (79-98) 76 (55-91) 96 (89-99) 91 (80-97) 84 (72-92) Hunerbein, M, 2003 [18] 98 (88-100) 82 (65-93) 92 (74-99) 96 (87-100) - - - - Xi, WD, 2003 [19] 100 (88-100) 50 (1-99) 96 (78-100) 78 (40-97) 100 (48-100) 89 (71-98) 54 (25-81) 74 (49-91) Hunerbein, M, 2004 [20] 97 (83-100) 78 (52- 94) 100 (79-100) 97 (84-100) - - - - Javaid, G, 2004 [21] 100 (98-100) 81 (62-94) 94 (89-97) 82 (72-90) 73 (58-93) 97 (93-98) 56 (48-63) 93 (84-98) 6 Figure 1. Forest plots of the analysis of sensitivity and specificity of EUS in T staging of gastric carcinoma, for each article included in the study, considering different thresholds: T1vsT+, T1T2vsT3T4 and T4 vsOthers 7 Figure 2. Forest plots of the analysis of sensitivity and specificity of EUS in N staging of gastric carcinoma, for each article included in the study, Discussion EUS for preoperative T and N staging of gastric carcinoma may not yet be used with confidence as performance values given in the literature still differ. [4]. Several reasons have been presented for these discrepancies, namely difficulties in passing ultrasound probes through stenosed lesions, as stated in the systematic review by Kelly et al. [2] Other reasons may be related with the ultrasound instrument, diagnostic technique or threshold values used in the analysis of sensitivity and specificity. In this study, we present an updated systematic review of the validity of EUS in gastric carcinoma staging, according to the TNM system, introducing new aspects in the analysis of this issue. The STARD study quality assessment was used, Forest plots were developed and sensitivity and specificity analysis were performed using all the possible threshold levels for T staging. As other authors, we found lack of some information, less than good quality of many studies and heterogeneity for the values of sensitivity and specificity revealing poor consensus about the validity of EUS. However, analysis of T staging using different thresholds provided new interesting insights. For T staging, T1vsT2T3T4 threshold 8 provided the most consistent and the best pooled sensitivity of 0.96 (95% CI: 0.95-0.97) for a specificity of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.93), whereas T1T2T3vsT4 provided the best pooled specificity of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.98) for a sensitivity of 0.40 (95% CI: 0.350.46). For N staging, pooled sensitivity and specificity were, respectively, 0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.80) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72-0.80). This supports the use of EUS for very early stage detection or in precluding surgery when invasion of major organs is present. This is in agreement with other authors [11,13,19] but our finding of more consistent and valid threshold values between T1vsT2T3T4 and T1T2vsT3T4, for early or late stage detection, respectively, rather than between T1T2vsT3T4, as proposed by others [2] opens new perspectives. Some limitations of our study should be particularly mentioned. Bibliographic search was restricted to the Medline and Scopus and only papers whose abstract were available in these databases were considered for inclusion. However, considering that these are major databases we doubt that a significant number of articles could be obtained extending the search to other databases. Also, a language restriction was made, considering only English, French and Spanish written articles. Yet again, this didn’t seem to be a limitation of the study as only a few papers were excluded, based on this criterion, and so it is most likely to consider that it would not affect the results obtained. Though it may not be considered a limitation of this study, the lack of information about the operator, frequency, instrument used and the year of procedure in many of the papers included constituted a limitation in the analysis carried out in our study as it not allow a conclusive subgroups analysis. References 1- Yasuda K, Nakajima M, Kawai K. Endoscopic diagnosis and treatment of early gastric cancer using endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS). Gastrointest Endosc Clin N Am 1992;2:495-507. 2- Kelly S, Harris KM, Berry E, Hutton J, Roderick P, Cullingworth J, et al. A systematic review of the staging performance of endoscopic ultrasound in gastrooesophageal carcinoma. 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Role of endoscopic ultrasonography in gastric carcinoma. Endoscopy. 1993 Feb;25(2):162-6. 9- Grimm H, Binmoeller KF, Hamper K, Koch J, Henne-Bruns D, Soehendra N. Endosonography for preoperative locoregional staging of esophageal and gastric cancer. Endoscopy. 1993 Mar;25(3):224-30. 10- Hunerbein M, Ghadimi BM, Haensch W, Schlag PM. Transendoscopic ultrasound of esophageal and gastric cancer using miniaturized ultrasound catheter probes. Gastrointest Endosc. 1998 Oct;48(4):371-5. 11- Wang JY, Hsieh JS, Huang YS, Huang CJ, Hou MF, Huang TJ. Endoscopic ultrasonography for preoperative locoregional staging and assessment of resectability in gastric cancer. Clin Imaging. 1998 Sep-Oct;22(5):355-9. 12-Fujino Y, Nagata Y, Ogino K, Watahiki H. Evaluation of endoscopic ultrasonography as an indicator for surgical treatment of gastric cancer. J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 1999 Jun;14(6):540-6. 13- Kuntz C, Herfarth C. Imaging diagnosis for staging of gastric cancer. 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