Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1 – 7 www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolmodel The maximum sustainable yield of Allee dynamic system Zhen-Shan Lin a,*, Bai-Lian Li b a Department of Geography, Nanjing Normal Uni6ersity, Nanjing 210097, People’s Republic of China b Department of Biology, The Uni6ersity of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131 -1091, USA Received 11 April 2001; received in revised form 19 October 2001; accepted 31 October 2001 Abstract In this study an attempt is made to investigate comprehensively the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of Allee population dynamic system. The results show that: (1) because the net production rate of Allee system is a function of the shape parameter d, all Allee systems which possess different B (B=A/K, here K is the carrying capacity, and A the parameter of Allee effect) are adapted themselves to the environments by controlling their production rate. Allee effect does not change the interaction between the system and environment, but it will reduce the MSY; (2) the MSY of Allee system is approximately one-nineteenth of the height of the allometry curve of body size for all A/K50.01. However when the net production rate R takes the values from 3 to 15, the MSY of Allee system is also approximately 1/19 of the height of the allometry curve of body size for all A/K 50.001. © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Population dynamics; Allee-effect; MSY 1. Introduction Surplus production models for biomass yield have a long, useful history in fishery management (Ricker, 1983). By wedding this management technique to certain results known from the study of body size scaling or allometry (Calder, 1984; Damuth, 1987; Charnov, 1991, 1992, 1993a,b), Charnov (1993a) considered that MSY (in weight) is approximately 1/6 of C, where C is defined by K = CW − 0.75 (here K is the carrying capacity and W the adult body weight), i.e. the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) is independent of body size for mammals. Suppose that population growth is governed by the equation: K− N dN = r mN K dt d where N is the population size (adults per unit area), d is the shape parameter and rm is the maximum intrinsic rate of increase. Let u be the relative population size (N/K), the equation can then be rewritten as: d(NW) = Wrm(1−u)duK=f(u, rm, d) dt * Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (Z.-S. Lin). (1) (2) where d(NW)/dt is the surplus production available for harvesting from a population held at size N. 0304-3800/02/$ - see front matter © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 3 0 4 - 3 8 0 0 ( 0 1 ) 0 0 4 7 9 - 3 Z.-S. Lin, B.-L. Li / Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1–7 2 Letting #f =0 #u one obtains the steady state: or um =1/(1 +d), d =(1 − um)/um (3) and MSY = Wrm(1− um)dumK =f(um, rm, d) (4) Suppose Rm is the net reproduction rate of the steady state, from Fowler’s approximation (Fowler, 1989), um =0.633−0.187y, y =loge(loge Rm) (5) Considering the maximum intrinsic rate of increase rm and the carrying capacity K, the scaling laws (Charnov, 1993a) can be generally shown as following: rm = A3W − 0.25 , K =CW − 0.75 (6) where both C and A3 are the parameters, and A3 = ln Rm , A1 + A2 A2 = h/W A1 = M − 1/W 0.25 , 0.25 , A1 +A2 :2.4 (7) here M − 1 is the mean adult lifespan and h is the age of first reproduction. From Eq. (6) we have rmKW =CA3 (8) height of allometry curve of the production density body size (MSY:C/6), which means that the MSY of non-Allee population system is also independent of the shape parameter d, or the MSY is independent of the internal interaction. Two things account for the results: Charnov used Eq. (3) (which is not a function of body size by Fowler’s rule) to determine the shape parameter, and Eq. (5) to control um. However, the interactions of different species (mammals and others) with the environment are different in a certain local region, the shape parameter d will change with different models, i.e. the MSY is a function of the shape parameter d. So, Charnov’s results (MSY: C/6) are not suitable for all mammals. On the other hand, it is known that an Allee effect can occur in many population systems (Lewis and Kareiva, 1993; Amarasekare, 1998). Wang et al. (1999) set up a competitive dynamics of population subject to an Allee effect and Stephens and Sutherland (1999) showed some consequences of Allee effect on behavior, ecology and conservation. We usually want the maximum sustainable yield of Allee system with the minimum effort. Is MSY of Allee system also independent of the body size for mammals and others? How the MSY depends on the shape parameter d will be shown in Section 2, and some extreme values of Allee population dynamic system will be discussed in the Sections 3 and 4. So, MSY = C(1−um)dum ln Rm/(A1 +A2) (9) The term (1− um)dum ln Rm is almost a constant for Rm in the range 3– 15, which includes all the vertebrates in Fowler’s (1989) data set. The term equals 0.37 at Rm =3 and rises to 0.58 at Rm =15 (Charnov, 1993a,b). This means that for mammals (Rm = 3), MSY : C 0.4 A1 +A2 (10) Estimating A1 +A2 for non-primate (Charnov, 1993a,b; units are kg, year) makes A1 +A2 =2.4 or MSY = 0.17C (: C/6). Thus, Charnov (1993a) found that MSY is approximately 1/6 of the 2. Some extreme values of population growth model at different shape parameters Letting Ym(u)= (1−um)dum (11) Y*= (1− um)dum ln Rm a (12) where Ym(u) shows the effect of environment, and Y *a is the interaction between environment and the mammals population. Some extreme values of the system at different shape parameters are shown in Table 1. From Table 1, we find that the MSY increases with the increase of shape parameter d. Suppose Z.-S. Lin, B.-L. Li / Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1–7 3 there are different species (mammals and others) in a certain local region, because of their different interactions with the environment, the shape Table 1 Some extreme values of population growth model at different shape parameters d um Rm Ym(u) Y *a MSY 0.3 0.5 1 1.5 2 3 0.769 0.667 0.5 0.4 0.333 0.25 1.621 2.302 7.664 32.342 144.64 2329 0.495 0.385 0.25 0.186 0.148 0.105 0.239 0.321 0.509 0.647 0.736 0.814 0.1C:C/10 0.134C: C/7 0.212C: C/5 0.27C: C/4 0.307C:C/3 0.339C: C/3 Fig. 2. The curves ya1, ya2 and ya3 show, respectively, the ya, or MSYm of Allee system insensitive to the maximum net reproductive rate Rm at B= 0.001, 0.01, and 0.1. Table 2 The MSY of Allee population system when d takes an extreme value (Eq. (16)) B Rm ya MSYA 0 0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 4.5 2.8 0.1277 0.12765 0.12759 0.1273 0.1237 0.1046 0.053C:C/19 0.053C:C/19 0.053C:C/19 0.053C:C/19 0.052C:C/19 0.044C:C/23 Table 3 The MSY of Allee population system when net reproduction rate Rm =3 Fig. 1. (a) The relation between the relative population size um and the shape parameter d at the steady state. (b) The relation between the shape parameter d and the net production rate Rm at the steady state. B Rm ya MSYA 0 0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 3 3 3 3 3 3 0.1265 0.1265 0.126 0.1260 0.1234 0.1046 0.053C:C/19 0.053C:C/19 0.0053C:C/19 0.053C:C/19 0.051C:C/20 0.044C:C/23 parameter d will change with the different models. So, the MSY of different species are different, unless they have the same shape character. However, when a species of mammals is at an equilibrium state, d is a constant for the species, then its MSY is a constant. And the further calculation shows that Charnov’s results MSY: C/6 is held Z.-S. Lin, B.-L. Li / Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1–7 4 only when d=0.625 and the population size Nm =umK=0.615K. Fig. 1 shows the relationships um – d (a) and d–Rm (b). When the nonlinear interaction of the system is enhanced, the value of d increases and um decreases (Fig. 1(a)), then the population size Nm = umK is reduced. In order to maintain the ecological equilibrium, the species must increase its net reproduction rate Rm (Fig. 1(b)) so that the weaker increases its net reproduction rate. Because the net reproduction rates of many mammals are less than 145 and greater than 1.6, we consider that power numbers or the shape parameters of the system usually are in the range 0.3 B dB 2 which tallies with the fact (Charnov, 1993b, p. 103). 3. The maximum sustainable yield of Allee system when d takes an extreme value Suppose that population growth with an Allee effect is governed by the equation N dN =Nrm 1− K dt d N −B , K B = A/K (13) i.e. d(NW) =WrmK(1− u)du(u − B) dt (14) When u satisfies the following condition: u 2Am(2+d)−uAm(2+ B +Bd) +B = 0 (15) or Table 4 MSY of Allee population system when Rm = 15 B Rm ya MSYA 0 0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 15 15 15 15 15 15 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.1242 0.1204 0.097 0.052C:C/19 0.052C:C/19 0.052C: C/19 0.052C: C/19 0.050C:C/20 0.04C: C/25 d= (1− uAm)(2uAm − B) uAm(uAm − B) (16) Eq. (14) will possess the largest d(NW)/dt, then the maximum sustainable yield: MSYA = C (1−uAm)duAm(uAm − B)ln Rm A1 + A2 (17) Here Eqs. (5)–(8) are used to deduce Eq. (17). In order to compare with Charnov’s (1993a) results about non-Allee system, we first use Eq. (5) to determine uAm, then Eq. (16) to determine d just as Charnov’s (Charnov, 1993a). Letting y(u)= (1− uAm)duAm(uAm − B) (18) ya=(1−uAm)duAm(uAm − B)ln Rm = y(u)ln Rm (19) Fig. 2 shows the relation between ya and Rm at different B. Comparing with Charnov’s Figure 1 (1993a), some differences between Population Model and Allee Population Model are found: 1. the MSY of Allee population system is also independent of the body size for mammals (and others), and it is less than that of population model; 2. the MSY of non-Allee system monotonically increases with the net production rate, and there is a maximum value in the MSY of Allee system. When the net production rate is greater than the extreme point, the MSY of Allee system will monotonically decrease with the net production rate. Larger B will induce faster decrease in MSY. Tables 2–4 show some MSY values of Allee population dynamic system in different conditions.From Tables 2–4, (1) the MSY of Allee population system is only 1/3 of that of non-Allee system (C/6, Charnov, 1993a); (2) when d takes an extreme value, i.e. d= (1− uAm)(2uAm − B) , uAm(uAm − B) the MSY of Allee system is approximately 1/19 of Z.-S. Lin, B.-L. Li / Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1–7 5 Fig. 3. The relation between effect of environment y(u) and the relative population size u of Allee system; where y(u) is noted as yi (u), and i =1, 2, 3, 4, 5 indicates, respectively, d= 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2, and 3. (a) B =0.1; (b) B =0.01. the height of the allometry curve of population density body size for all B 50.01, and when net reproduction rate Rm takes the values from 3 to 15, the MSY of Allee system is also approximately 1/19 of the height of the allometry curve of population density body size for all B5 0.001. Z.-S. Lin, B.-L. Li / Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1–7 6 4. Some extreme values of Allee system at different shape parameters In Section 3 the maximum sustainable yield of Allee system has been discussed when d takes an extreme value. Where d is determined by uAm (Eq. (16)) which is determined by Rm (Eq. (5)). That means the independent variable of the system is R. However, the MSY is determined by u which is associated with the largest d(NW)/dt. So u is exactly the independent variable of the system. Fig. 3 shows the variations of y(u) with u in different d when B = 0.1 (a) and B = 0.01 (b). According to Fig. 3, Eqs. (5), (15) and (16), some extreme values of Allee system when B = Table 5 Some extreme values of Allee system at different shape parameter when B = 0.1 d um Rm y(u) ya MSYA 0.5 1 1.5 2 3 0.82 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.41 1.445 2.177 3.52 6.89 27 0.25 0.126 0.076 0.05 0.026 0.092 0.098 0.096 0.097 0.086 0.038C:C/26 0.041C: C/24 0.04C: C/24 0.04C: C/24 0.038C:C/28 Table 6 Some extreme values of Allee system at different shape parameter when B =0.01 d um Rm y(u) ya MSYA 0.5 1 1.5 2 3 0.82 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.41 1.445 2.177 3.52 6.89 27 0.282 0.146 0.082 0.061 0.034 0.104 0.114 0.103 0.118 0.112 0.043C:C/23 0.048C: C/21 0.043C: C/23 0.049C: C/20 0.047C:C/21 Table 7 Some extreme values of Allee system at different shape parameter when B =0.001 d um Rm y(u) ya MSYA 0.5 1 1.5 2 3 0.82 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.41 1.445 2.177 3.52 6.89 27 0.285 0.148 0.0829 0.062 0.034 0.105 0.115 0.112 0.12 0.112 0.044C:C/23 0.048C:C/21 0.047C: C/21 0.05C: C/20 0.047C: C/21 Fig. 4. The x axis is Rm, and y axis is d. The curves show the relation, respectively, between the shape parameter d and net production rate Rm (at the steady state) of Allee system when B=0.01, 0.001, and 0.0001. 0.1, 0.01, and 0.001 are shown in Tables 5– 7, respectively. Form Tables 5–7 it is found that: when d is the independent variable about the system, both um and Rm are independent of B, but the MSY is related to B. For any exact d, the MSY of Allee system will increase with the decrease of B. The fact that the net production rate is a function of d shows that all Allee systems possessing different B adapt themselves to the environment by controlling their production rate. Allee effect does not change the interaction between the system and environment, but it will reduce the MSY. Fig. 4 shows the relation between d and R of Allee system when B takes different values. From Fig. 4, three curves of d under different B values (0.0001, 0.001, 0.01) are almost coincident, which means that Allee effect does not change the interaction between the system and environment. 5. Conclusions This paper has discussed the MSY of Allee population dynamic system. The most significant findings are as follows: 1. By calculating and simulating, it is found that the MSY of non-Allee population growth increases with the increase of shape parameter d, and Charnov’s results about MSY: C/6 is held only when d= 0.625. Z.-S. Lin, B.-L. Li / Ecological Modelling 154 (2002) 1–7 2. When the nonlinear interaction of the system is enhanced, the value of the shape parameter d increases and the relative population size um at the steady state decreases, then the population size Nm =umK is reduced. In order to maintain the ecological equilibrium, the species must increase its net reproduction rate Rm. So the weaker always has a big net reproduction rate. 3. Because the net reproduction rates of many mammals are between 145 and 1.6, the power numbers or the shape parameters of the system are in the range 0.3B d B2, which tallies with the fact. 4. Because the net production rate of Allee system is a function of d, all Allee systems which possess different B are adapted themselves to the environment by controlling their production rate. Allee effect does not change the interaction between the system and environment, but it will reduce the MSY. 5. The MSY of Allee system is approximately one-nineteenth of the height of allometry curve of the population density body size for all B50.001. However, when R takes the values from 3 to 15, the MSY of Allee system is also approximately 1/19 of the height of allometry curve of the population density body size for all B5 0.001. So we consider that as the Allee effect relates to populations at low densities it is difficult to see how it can be relevant to the MSY. Acknowledgements This research has been supported in part by 7 Ministry of Science and Technology of China under grant NKPDBS G1998040900-part 1, and US National Foundation under grant DEB-94-11976. References Amarasekare, P., 1998. Allee effects in metapopulation dynamics. Am. Nat. 152, 298 – 302. Calder, W.A., 1984. Size, Function and Life History. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. Charnov, E.L., 1991. Evolution of life history variation among female mammals. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 88, 1134 – 1137. Charnov, E.L., 1992. Allometric aspects of population dynamics: a symmetry approach. Evol. Ecol. 6, 307 – 311. Charnov, E.L., 1993a. Is maximum sustainable yield independent of body size for mammals (and other)? Evol. Ecol. 7, 309 – 311. Charnov, E.L., 1993b. Life History Invariants: Some Exploration of Symmetry in Evolutionary Ecology. Oxford University Press, New York, p. 1 – 158. Damuth, J., 1987. 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