Smarter task assignment or greater effort: what makes a difference in team performance? Burgess, Propper, Ratto, Scholder, Tominey Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 1 Introduction    Two main motivations: Are financial incentives useful in the public sector? Do they have a role to play in public service reform? Compared to theoretical work, relatively little empirical evidence on incentives in organisations, and how they work. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 2 What we do:    Study a pilot scheme of team-based financial incentives in HM Customs & Excise (as was) Use rich and disaggregate dataset based on their personnel records and MIS Research design allows diff-in-diff-in-diff, and allows us to understand in detail how the scheme worked. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 3 What we find:      At team level the incentive scheme did increase performance The incentive structure did raise individual productivity. Managers reallocated efficient workers to the incentivised tasks; this happened disproportionately in one of the treatment teams. This reallocation was the more important contributor to the overall outcome. Why? Maybe career concerns … Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 4 Plan     (Brief) details of the scheme Data Results:  Team level  Worker productivity  Reallocation  Decomposition Conclusions – career concerns? Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 5 UK experience on PRP in the public sector    November 1998 Public Services Productivity Panel. Advise the government of ways of improving the productivity and efficiency of government departments. Programme to improve efficiency and productivity in the public sector. Makinson report (2000). Some directions and particular emphasis on teamwork. Team-based pilot schemes in DWP and HM Customs and Excise. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 6 (Brief) details of the scheme 1      Pilot ran 1 April – 31 Dec 2002, with 12 trials Team-based: team = division, a few offices. Bonus for team as a whole. Pairs of trial teams, plus blind control, with different bonus schemes. We use pair of VAT Assurance divisions, team 1 (154 workers); team 2 (158); and control team (281) Mean potential bonus about 4% salary. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 7 Bonus amount Jobband 2 Jobband 3 Jobband 4 Jobband 5 Jobband 6 Jobband 7 Jobband 8 Jobband 9 Jobband 11 Team 1 Team 2 420 515 550 453* 720 860 970 1145 1520 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 * only observation, however, the person did not work all 275 days, so did not get the total bonus.. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 8 (Brief) details of the scheme 2       Each incentive target was baseline + 5% Aware of multi-task issues, and controlled. Some tasks incentivised, some not. Output split into different activities, different client groups and different outputs 5 targets: 2 on visits (time), 3 on yield (££) Note different production function effects of time and yield. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 9 Activities of VAT Trader groups assurance office Non-trader work Other trader work None-core Unregisterable entity Trader audit work  divided into the following trader groups: Non-VAT Non-trader audit New registration Low risk Medium risk High risk Exceptional risk Large traders Corporate groups Branches Insolvent Deregistered Missing traders No. of audits (time)   - Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 Tax revenue (yield)    - 10 Data 1 Apr 2001 1 Apr 2002 31 Dec 2001     31 Dec 2002 9 months of the scheme, same 9 months before We have records for each worker, in each week, and in each trader group. Outcomes: time allocated by each worker to each trader group (no direct measure of visits), total yield per worker per trader group, positive and negative yield per worker per trader group, and productivity. Focus on continuously employed, front-line staff Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 11 Data 2   Time:  Trader audit is more than half of time  Mean time per worker/week/group is 8 hrs  Mean groups worked on per w/w is 3  Each incentivised group is about 30% of time Yield:  Mean +ve yield per w/w/g is £302k; but median is just £5k  outliers! One obs w/w/g of £280m.  Largest share of +ve yield from exceptional risk TG  Av. –ve yield much smaller, follows same distribution Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 12 Results     Team level Worker productivity Strategic task allocation Decomposition Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 13 Results - Team level     Exploit variation in incentivisation across:  Time  Treatment status  Trader group Diff-in-diff-in-diff, controlling for time effects, team effects and TG effects. Use median for anything involving ££ Short answer: scheme worked in T2 more than T1. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 14 Table 1a For all trader groups Table 1b Table 1c For all incentivised For all non-incentivised Differences between incentivised & pre-incentivised period Differences between incentivised & pre-incentivised period Differences between incentivised & pre-incentivised period Team 1 Team 2 Variable Difference: Total Time 50.5 Total Yield 67193 73441.5 0 Positive Yield 84983 80877 0 Negative Yield 0 0 0 Productivity 137.54 120.13 Variable Total Time 0 Team 1 Team 2 Variable 103.35 41.5 Table 1d Difference-inDifference Diff in diff: C Total Time -3.8 T2-C Variable 9 61.85 Total Time 0 0 0 89.78 9.17 Table 1e Difference-inDifference T1-C Variable 73.89 -1.5 Total Yield 10901 31725 Positive Yield 8370 46550.5 Negative Yield 0 0 Productivity 58.70 C Team Team 1 2 13.5 Total Yield Positive Yield Negative Yield 6406 0 0 6406 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Productivity 58.24 T1-C T2-C Variable T1-C T2-C -2.3 75.40 Total Time 12.4 -14.5 6406 0 6406 0 0 0 Total Yield 67193 73441.5 Positive Yield 84983 80877 Negative Yield 0 0 Total Yield 10901 31725 Positive Yield 8370 46550.5 Negative Yield 0 0 Total Yield Positive Yield Negative Yield Productivity 137.54 120.13 Productivity 49.53 Productivity 58.24 M*(T1-TC) – nonM*(T1-TC) M*(T2-TC) – nonM*(T2-TC) Total Time -14.7 89.89 Total Yield 4495 31725 Positive Yield 1964 46550.5 Negative Yield 0 0 -8.71 80.61 Variable Diff in diff in diff: Productivity -13.4 1.099 Table 1f Difference-inDifference 80.61 Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 C Total Time 0 15 Analysis – Worker level (unit: workertrader group)    Same five outcomes available at w/g level, adding up over 9 months, and differencing Regress: yig  β.Xi  δ.Team i   .Incentiveig  γ.G g Specifications:  With & w/out non-VAT; with & w/out trimming  Treated teams combined (intercept dummies), and each treated team + control separately Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 16 Specification 1 Both teams Team 1 Team 2 Specification 2b Both teams Team 1 Team 2 Specification 3c Both teams Team 1 Team 2 Specification 4d Both teams Team 1 Team 2 Time Yield Positive yield Negative yield Productivity 16.662 (12.538) -4.922 (12.373) 37.894 *** (14.520) 862,226.531 (652,598.418) 136,162.869 (98,686.498) 978,548.109 (860,264.244) 879,553.131 (653,435.097) 145,919.115 (98,767.889) 1,001,806.908 (860,344.116) -17,326.599 (12,221.249) -9,756.246 (7,560.350) -23,258.800 (21,407.965) 382.772 (3,608.746) 239.004 (470.589) 271.321 (408.845) 14.010 (12.902) -4.581 (12.420) 37.937 *** (14.541) 435,750.800 (412,809.891) 47,088.951 (42,239.992) 896,445.946 (860,973.361) 453,579.263 (414,757.543) 57,081.507 (43,773.840) 919,626.879 (860,979.605) -17,828.463 (12,356.234) -9,992.555 (7,575.689) -23,180.933 (21,053.030) 40.633 (144.382) 166.134 (249.878) 58.324 (151.494) 24,517.457*** (5,292.030) 25,815.132*** (7,004.909) 29,781.494*** (6,927.112) 24,629.887*** (5,838.805) 25,696.292*** (7,864.822) 28,954.846*** (7,314.759) -633.594*** (226.192) -562.030** (218.070) -899.411*** (297.831) 28.494 (23.125) 70.981** (32.555) 26.951 (22.341) 22,360.027*** (5,254.457) 25,180.406*** (6,873.621) 28,775.089*** (6,879.612) 22,154.517*** (5,842.350) 25,583.105*** (7,827.547) 28,803.199*** (7,288.997) -585.759** (236.258) -549.367** (219.232) -879.165*** (296.545) 32.439 (23.020) 70.908** (32.484) 27.019 (22.287) a * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% Significant coefficients (5% or better) are in bold. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 17 Worker Effort and yield Specification 4 Team 1 Team 2 Yield Positive yield Negative yield Productivity 25,180.406*** (6,873.621) 28,775.089*** (6,879.612) 25,583.105*** (7,827.547) 28,803.199*** (7,288.997) -549.367** (219.232) -879.165*** (296.545) 70.908** (32.484) 27.019 (22.287) d These are the coefficients on incentivisation OLS on difference in outcome (so implicitly FE). Unit is worker/group per 9-month spell, in £ This specification is trimmed of outliers (top & bottom 5%), and excludes non-VAT outcomes. Other controls: TG effects, team effects, years in grade, age, mean age squared, gender, part-time/full-time worker, job band. Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 18 Summary of results    At team level, treated teams spend more time on all trader groups and recover more yield than the control team. At individual level, the increase in productivity in incentivised trader groups is larger in Team 1 than in Team 2, and statistically significant only for Team 1. Mismatch between individual-level and team-level outcomes:  individual productivity increases more in T1 than in T2.  at team level T2 performs better than T1 Different strategy at team level between the treated teams Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 19 Results – Task Allocation    Identify efficient workers in pre-scheme period as those in top quartile of productivity Consider reallocation across a four way split: incentivised vs non-incentivised tasks, efficient vs non-efficient workers. Is there a significant difference in the reallocation of time on the incentivised and the nonincentivised trader groups by efficient workers and other workers in each team? Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 20 Non-inc Horizontal axis = time on incentivised trader groups Increasing total time Inc Vertical axis = time on nonincentivised trader groups Teams can increase total time on audit, and/or reallocate time between the two types of groups Reallocating fixed time Time allocation Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 21 Non-inc Any point (x, y) derives from: - an overall increase in time of (x – y)/2, and x, y - a net reallocation of (x + y)/2. Inc - The latter is half of the vertical distance between (x, y) and the positively sloped 45o line. -The gross reallocation is twice that, namely the full vertical distance between (x, y) and the positively sloped 45o line Time allocation Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 22 Strategic task allocation: efficient workers Change in time spent on NI_TG T1 29 49 87 Change in time spent on I_TG 276 -89 C T2 -122 Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 23 Individual level difference in time spent per month Efficient workers Others Efficient workers Others All teams Team 1 Team 2 Control team 131.94 56.89 t = 2.98 87.12 35.02 t = 1.50 275.91 98.84 t = 3.46 48.51 45.92 t = 0.06 Significant at 1% Significant at 10% Significant at 1% Not significant All teams Team 1 Team 2 Control team -63.56 26.04 t = -4.30 29.31 54.05 t = -0.741 -122.17 -8.31 t = -2.66 -89.29 28.73 t = -3.75 Significant at 1% Not significant Significant at 1% Significant at 1% Incentivised trader groups Nonincentivised trader groups Reallocation between incentivised and non-incentivised trader groups Efficient workers Others Team X Team Y Team X Team Y All teams Team 1 Team 2 Control team 195.50 30.84 t = 4.56 57.80 -19.03 t = 1.52 398.08 107.15 t = 3.91 137.79 17.18 t = 2.1386 Significant at 1% Significant at 10% Significant at 1% Significant at 5% Team 1 vs. Team 2 Team 1 vs. Team C Team 2 vs. Team C 57.80 398.08 t = -4.25 57.80 137.79 t = -1.13 398.08 137.79 t = 2.92 Significant at 1% Not significant Significant at 1% Team 1 vs. Team 2 Team 1 vs. Team C Team 2 vs. Team C -19.03 107.15 t = -2.96 -19.03 17.18 t = -1.0241 107.15 17.18 t = 2.21 Significant at 1% Not significant Significant at 5% Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 Efficient workers Reallocation of efficient workers Reallocation of other workers 24 Time change per trader group Efficient worker * New registrations Efficient worker * Low risk Efficient worker * Median risk Efficient worker * High risk Efficient worker * Exceptional risk Efficient worker * (999) Large traders Efficient worker * Corporate groups Efficient worker * Branches Efficient worker * Insolvent Efficient worker * Deregistered Efficient worker * Missing traders Team 1 Team 2 -15.001 (21.992) -3.071 (8.022) 14.049 (9.806) -15.169 (20.790) 62.801 ** (25.398) -14.579 (23.095) 0 (0.000) 0.495 (4.063) 9.547 ** (3.865) 3.002 (3.116) 10.339 (6.056) 43.716 * (25.351) -26.502 *** (9.769) -18.213 ** (8.882) -45.998 (29.948) 122.785 *** (42.559) -55.919 (41.144) -9.942 (6.982) 0 (0.000) 4.715 (3.299) 9.241 ** (3.895) -0.232 (2.515) Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 25 Results - Decomposition    How much of the change in a team’s yield is due to increased worker effort, and how much to better deployment of workers? Tijt is time spent by i on group j period t, and yijt is the corresponding productivity Decomposition of total team yield: Y  Y2  Y1   i  T ij 2  Tij1  ij1   j Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 i   ij 2  ij1  Tij 2 j 26 Decomposition of the change in total yield Change in yield due to: Reallocation Increased Effort Total Reallocation as % Increased Effort as % Team 1 Team 2 Control Team 10,500,514 3,445,083 13,945,597 19,785,364 1,378,579 21,163,943 4,330,667 752,514 5,083,181 75.3 % 24.7 % 93.5 % 6.5 % 85.2 % 14.8 % We have taken out the highest single yield datapoint in T2 of £280m Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 27 Conclusions   The incentive scheme:  raised individual yield and productivity  led to the reallocation of efficient workers towards the incentivised tasks.  Reallocation was the more important contributor. Comparing the teams:  The increase in individual yield collected was essentially the same in the two teams.  But T2 engaged in reallocation to a significantly greater degree than T1  T2 hit its targets and collected the bonus.  Why? Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 28   Conclusions 2 Why:  Staff composition: more experience in T2? No. Different managerial strategy prior the scheme? No.  Nature of bonus scheme? No. Intrinsic incentives – career concerns?  Office managers in T2 were younger, and had been in that job band for fewer years.  Division manager in T2 was much younger than in either the control or T1, and had less experience.  Managers in T2 may have been more driven to perform well for longer term career concerns Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 29 Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 30 Managers Profile Job band 9 All Team 1 Team 2 Control gender 0.24 0.10 0.33 0.27 age 50.62 52.90 46.78 51.40 job_band 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 jobband_yrs 4.09 4.60 2.78 4.53 service 27.94 27.70 25.44 29.60 pay 30970.32 30829.90 29558.22 31911.20 gmpay 2526.78 2485.22 2449.04 2601.13 gmpot 2526.78 2485.22 2449.04 2601.13 otm 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 pt 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.13 ptpw 28.33 24.00 . 30.50 sick 0.03 0.00 0.11 0.00 days 271.61 268.90 275.00 . bonus 915.95 1079.40 734.33 . Job band 11 All Team 1 Team 2 Control 0.67 1.00 1.00 0.00 48.00 48.00 40.00 56.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 4.33 5.00 2.00 6.00 28.00 27.00 21.00 36.00 39651.00 38667.00 38279.00 42007.00 3304.25 3222.25 3189.92 3500.58 3304.25 3222.25 3189.92 3500.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 . . . . 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 275.00 275.00 275.00 . 1130.00 1520.00 740.00 . Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 31 The Teams There are 12 teams, consisting of trial sites in RBS and LBG. These are: - VAT Assurance Division, Solent, RBS South - VAT Assurance Division, North East, RBS Central - Excise Assurance, RBS Scotland - Excise Assurance, RBS North - International Trade Assurance, RBS North - International Trade SME Assurance, RBS Scotland - Risk Team (Operational Analysis Division), RBS North - Risk Team, RBS Northern Ireland - National Function – Registration Unit - National Function – Debt Management Unit - National Function - Nation Advice Service - LBG Scotland and Northern Ireland Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 32 Bonus award process Are the obligations/targets in all other areas of the team activity which are not subject of the incentives targets met? No Yes The team qualifies for admission to bonus scheme Does the team meet the baseline target and at least 50% of the stretch on all incentive targets? No Yes Payment of bonus: - 100% bonus if all the incentive targets are met in full - 50% bonus if incentive targets are not met in full but baseline target and at least 50% of the stretch is met on all incentive targets Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 33 Team staff mean characteristics. All staff Continuous frontline staff Overall Team 1 Team 2 Control Overall Team 1 Team 2 Control Gender 0.47 0.39 0.44 0.52 0.44 0.40 0.40 0.50 Age 44.2 45.7 45.4 42.8 44.6 45.0 45.5 43.7 Job band 5.9 6.2 5.9 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.0 Years in job band 3.9 4.0 4.3 3.6 4.2 4.0 4.7 4.1 Years at Customs &Excise 18.1 19.1 19.1 17.1 19.5 19.3 20.0 19.2 Annual pay (£) 20247 20797 20066 20047 20671 20742 20789 20551 Gross monthly pay (£) 1594 1630 1599 1571 1632 1619 1657 1625 Gross monthly pay + overtime (£) 1599 1632 1599 1582 1639 1621 1657 1639 Overtime per month (hours) 0.38 0.16 0.02 0.70 0.44 0.15 0.02 0.88 Part-time marker 0.16 0.16 0.13 0.17 0.16 0.19 0.12 0.16 Part-time hours per week 24.8 24.1 - 25.1 24.7 23.8 - 25.2 Days of sickness 1.1 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 0.8 Days in scheme 260.2 258.8 261.5 - 264.0 262.4 265.6 - - 688 681 - - 695 696 - Potential bonus (£ per person) Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 34 Time series variation in time. 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Total monthly time (hours) 2001m1 2001m7 2002m1 Month Trial Team 1 Control Team 2002m7 2003m1 Trial Team 2 Policy Studies Institute seminar, 26 June 2007 35
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