Land atmosphere coupling in the RACMO West-Africa simulations Bart van den Hurk Erik van Meijgaard Presented by Geert Lenderink ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Status runs • Model used: RACMO cy31 (≈ EC-Earth configuration, European RT2b/RT3 simulations) – old (shallower) soil scheme (TESSEL) – different convection • ERA40/Interim run – 1986 – 1988: ERA40 – 1989 – 2005: ERA-Interim – 2006 – 2007: ERA-Interim currently running (until?) • ECHAM5r3 – (almost) finished (at time of leave 2047) ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Science questions • Does RACMO reproduce precipitation climate well? • Which areas expose strong land influence on precipitation variability on monthly timescales? • Is this interaction explained by local atmospheric processes? ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Seasonal patterns of precipitation 1986 – 2005 ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Reproduction of precipitation • CRU TS3 monthly precipitation • Mean land area 15S-25N, 15E-30E ERA40 > ERA-Interim discard 1986 – 1988 ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Anomaly correlation modelled-observed precipitation 1989 – 2005 Poor reconstruction local processes in soil/atmosphere of importance ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Where is land effective in changing precipitation? • Criteria (After Dirmeyer et al, 2008): 1. Surface perspective: Evaporation sensitive to soil moisture • significant +corr. E and soil moisture 2. Atmospheric perspective: moisture recycling depends on local moisture supply • significant +corr. recycling ratio and soil moisture * Recycling ratio: “Lagrangian” algorithm that accumulates evaporation in upstream grid points, and measures E/q within L km radius (100 < L < 1000 km) ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Recycling ratio L = 200km ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Recycling ratio L = 500km Length scale unimportant for spatial structure ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Area of significant correlation Evap – soil moisture anomaly E controlled by soil moisture except in convective rainfall areas (where E is energy limited) ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Area of significant correlation recycling – soil moisture • + correlation: recycling senses local moisture supply In the retreat area of the wet season (wet dry transition) In the landward part of the monsoon area ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Soil memory* in areas with both positive correlations Interesting areas where land-atm interaction may affect precipitation on indicated time scale *autocorrelation time scale ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession Science questions – Conclusions • Does RACMO reproduce precipitation climate well? – mean climate yes, but free interior leaves many degrees of freedom for local processes • Which areas expose strong land influence on precipitation variability on monthly timescales? – at wet dry transitions • Is this interaction explained by local atmospheric processes? – work in progress – [email protected] ENSEMBLES/RT3 worksession
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