REQUEST FOR CEO APPROVAL PROJECT TYPE: Medium-sized Project TYPE OF TRUST FUND:GEF Trust Fund PART I: PROJECT INFORMATION Project Title: ESCO Moldova - Transforming the market for Urban Energy Efficiency in Moldova by introducing Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) Country(ies): Moldova GEF Project ID:1 5157 GEF Agency(ies): UNDP GEF Agency Project ID: 5135 Other Executing Partner(s): Ministry of Environment (MoE) Submission Date: 18 July 2014 Ministry of Economy (MoE) Resubmission Date: Energy Efficiency Fund (EEF) City of Chisinau GEF Focal Area (s): Name of Parent Program (if applicable): For SFM/REDD+ For SGP For PPP Climate Change N/A Project Duration(Months) Project Agency Fee ($): 48 123,500 A. FOCAL AREA STRATEGY FRAMEWORK2 Focal Area Objectives (select) CCM2 Promote market transformation for energy efficiency in industry and building sector Expected FA Outcomes Outcome: Sustainable financing and delivery mechanisms established and operational Expected FA Outputs 2.2 : Investment mobilized Trust Fund GEF TF Grant Amount ($) 1,300,000 Co-financing ($) 7,615,000 2.3: Energy savings achieved GEF TF (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select)(select) (select)(select) (select)(select) (select)(select) (select)(select) Total project costs 1,300,000 7,615,000 B. PROJECT FRAMEWORK Project Objective: The project objective is to create a functioning, sustainable and effective ESCO market in Moldova, scaling up mitigation efforts in the municipal building sector of Chisinau and Moldova in line with the Green Urban Development Plan leading to at least 68,000 tonnes of direct CO2 emission reductions from EPC projects supported by the project and 240,000 tonnes of indirect CO2 emission reductions during the period of project influence. Trust Grant Confirmed Grant Fund Amount CoProject Component Expected Outcomes Expected Outputs Type ($) financing ($) COMPONENT 1 TA 1.1 Green Urban 1.1 Resource GEF TF 51,500 1,310,000 Green Urban Development Plan Mobilization Plan for Development Plan for adopted by City of the Sustainable Energy Chisinau Chisinau and Action Plan (SEAP) additional emission 1 Project ID number will be assigned by GEFSEC. Refer to the Focal Area Results Framework and LDCF/SCCF Framework when completing Table A. 2 GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 1 reduction projects are financed and implemented in Chisinau as a result of the Green Urban Development Plan 1.2 Green Urban Procurement Guide is being utilized by City of Chisinau COMPONENT 2: Creation and Operation of ESCOs TA 2.1 ESCOs are sucessfully investing in energy savings green urban development projects in the building sector using Energy Performance Contracting modality (EPC) GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project for Chisinau is prepared, developing the platform for cooperation between the various Moldovan cities signed up for the EU Covenant of Mayors 1.2 Targets for emission reduction projects are defined and prioritized by the City of Chisinau 1.3 Urban Development Plan for the City of Chisinau is updated and becomes the Green Urban Development Plan 1.4 Green Procurement Guide for the City of Chisinau is developed and adopted. 2.1 Trainings delivered to ESCOs, Chisinau energy managers, and financial institutions towards the EPC modality 2.2 At least 5 ESCOs are in operation using EPC modality. 2.3 Standing working arrangements between the Energy Efficiency Agency (EEA), Chisinau and PMU towards project objectives related to EE savings in the building sector finalised. 2.4. Pre-investment activities (audits, feasibility studies and business plans) are carried out for at least 20 energy saving projects in Chisinau, selected in partnership with the selected ESCO and the City of Chisinau 2.5 ESCOs in Moldova succesfully sign at least 20 energy savings contracts using EPC modality during the lifetime of the project 2.6 At least 20 energy savings projects using ESCO modality are implemented during lifetime of the project GEF TF 150,700 5,135,000 2 COMPONENT 3: ESCO Market Operation including support for financial mechanism development Inv and TA COMPONENT 4: ESCO Market Operation Replication and Dissemination TA 3.1 ESCO Market is operating in Moldova and the Financial Mechanism (Loan Guarantee Fund) is working and available to ESCOs 3.1 Agreement of Loan Guarantee Fund regulations and operations 3.2 Financial Institution Partnership Agreement between UNDP and the Financial Institution 3.3 Financial Partnership and working Agreement with the EEF 3.4 Model EPC 3.5 LGF Management and Accountability Arrangements 3.6 LGF Operations, Monitoring and Reporting 3.7 Exit Strategy and New Regulation Framework GEF TF 4.1 ESCO(s) are designing, financing and successfully implementing energy efficiency projects using EPC modality in at least one (1) other city in Moldova outside of Chisinau 4.1 Training Workshops conducted in other towns and cities in Moldova 4.2 Joint Ventures or Partnership Agreements to implement ESCO activities in at least two (2) other towns/cities in Moldova 4.3 Lessons Learned Study and 10 Case Studies prepared 4.4 End of Project Workshop to disseminate Lessons Learned and Project Results. 4.5 One other city/town in Moldova has developed a Green Urban Development Plan GEF TF 1,010,000 900,000 INV (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) Subtotal Project management Cost (PMC)3 Total project costs 59,550 TA (select) 66,250 10,000 1,228,000 72,000 1,300,000 7,465,000 150,000 7,615,000 C. SOURCES OF CONFIRMED CO-FINANCING FOR THE PROJECT BY SOURCE AND BY NAME ($) 3 PMC should be charged proportionately to focal areas based on focal area project grant amount in Table D below. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 3 Please include letters confirming co-financing for the project with this form National Government National Government Local Government Energy-Efficiency Fund Ministry of Environment City of Chisinau Type of Cofinancing Cash In-kind Cash Others UNDP Moldova Cash Sources of Co-financing Name of Co-financier (source) (select) Total Co-financing Co-financing Amount ($) 1,000,000 40,000 6,425,000 150,000 (select) 7,615,000 TRUST FUND RESOURCES REQUESTED BY AGENCY, FOCAL AREA AND COUNTRY1 GEF Agency Type of Trust Fund (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) Total Grant Resources Focal Area Country Name/ Global Grant Amount (a) (in $) Agency Fee (b)2 Total c=a+b (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) (select) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 In case of a single focal area, single country, single GEF Agency project, and single trust fund project, no need to provide information for this table. PMC amount from Table B should be included proportionately to the focal area amount in this table. 2Indicate fees related to this project. D. CONSULTANTS WORKING FOR TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE COMPONENTS: Component International Consultants National/Local Consultants Grant Amount($) 124,150 149,800 Co-financing ($) 203,000 Project Total ($) 124,150 352,800 E. DOES THE PROJECT INCLUDE A “NON-GRANT” INSTRUMENT?No (If non-grant instruments are used, provide in Annex D an indicative calendar of expected reflows to your Agency and to the GEF/LDCF/SCCF/NPIF Trust Fund). PART II: PROJECT JUSTIFICATION A. DESCRIBE ANY CHANGES IN ALIGNMENT WITH THE PROJECT DESIGN OF THE ORIGINAL PIF4 To efficiently achieve the Project, the PIF encompassed 4 Components: - Component 1: Green Urban Development Plan for Chisinau. Component 2: Creation and Operation of ESCO Moldova as a PPP through an investment of $900,000 transferred to Chisinau. Component 3: ESCO Market Operation incl. support for financial mechanism development. Component 4: ESCO Market Operation - Replication and Dissemination For questions A.1 – A.7 in Part II, if there are no changes since PIF and if not specifically requested in the review sheet at PIF stage, then no need to respond, please enter “NA” after the respective question. 4 GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 4 In the GEF Request for CEO endorsement, Component 2 is renamed Creation and Operation of ESCOs as in the revised project design we are now aiming to support a broader ESCO market development approach as opposed to support for a single company ; a public private partnership (PPP). Evolution of the Concept and Changes in Project Design 1. The project design submitted to the GEF is in line with the PIF approved by the GEF in 2013. Although the objectives and outcomes are the same, the implementation of the proposed project approach differs in regard to the greenhouse gas emissions reduction priority sectors and the way to develop and implement the ESCO business model. In particular, the project now supports a broader ESCO market development approach as opposed to the creation of a single PPP company as originally proposed. The ESCO Moldova project now aims to act as a catalyst to the development of the ESCO market. Instead of supporting a public-private partnership (PPP), component 2 and 3 of the project will now focus on the roll-out of a partnership-oriented loan guarantee fund to support the energy performance contracting (EPC) modality and to overcome the barrier faced by the energy service providers (ESPs) in regard to EE projects financing. In addition, the project will now focus on the residential sector only. The rationale behind these adjustments is as follows: - The 2013 ESCO Moldova PIF defined two priority sectors to reduce the GHG emissions in Moldova: (i) the building sector and (ii) the industrial sector. The residential multi-storey and public buildings sector remains the key priority but the industrial sector has been dropped. Although the PIF identified the industrial sector as a priority sector, the project design team does not recommend an involvement in this sector. The residential sector is the greatest energy consumer (40% of the total final consumption), followed by industry (21%). The economic and structural reforms (1990 to 2010) in the country resulted in substantial reductions of industrial production, which in turn resulted in reduced energy consumption. Even if the energy efficiency of the industrial sector is low, the specific energy consumption in processes is high and the energy losses are substantial, energy efficiency is still not a matter of great concern in industry where energy is often treated as a fixed cost. For instance, in 2007 the energy intensity of industrial production was 0.118 t.c.e./thousand MDL, a number almost half that of 2001. In addition, most of the time, EE investments in the industrial sector are more capital-intensive and risky in terms of energy savings than in the building sector. Taking into consideration these facts and the very limited capacity to mobilize financing through ESCOs, the project design team recommends focusing on the building sector only, with project strategy and activities having been modified accordingly. - The second major adjustment to the project concept outlined in the PIF is related to the set-up of a PPP (publicprivate partnership) to advance the ESCO business model in the municipal sector through the creation of single company. Based on many meetings with key EE players in the private sector, financial institutions and the Chisinau municipal authority, the project design team decided to drop the idea to create a PPP because only the GEF was potentially willing to invest real money in the PPP. The City of Chisinau indicated that they were not in a financial position to invest the required $1.5 million dollars in the PPP as outlined in the PIF, no commercial banks or financial institutions were willing to finance or invest in the PPP, and all private energy services providers met in Moldova affirmed that the PPP concept was not interesting for them taking into consideration a questionable track record of the public sector as a cost-effective investor, company shareholder and business partner. Energy Service Providers (ESPs) are defined as companies which provide services in the energy sector which includes energy savings technologies and consulting services for a few but they do not provide a financing solution. Among the 10 Energy Service Providers met during the project development phase, none of them expressed an interest to embark as a partner on a PPP but all supported the idea of having a loan guarantee fund to make it easier for them to finance energy savings project. In such a situation, based on the recommendation of key players in the private sector and following a broad consultative process with the municipal and government agencies, the project design team adjusted the concept and gave the highest priority to ESCO market development through the existing private ESPs already established in the Moldovan market. The municipality of Chisinau confirmed its agreement to improve energy efficiency in residential and public buildings by investing the money saved from energy savings in EE projects initiated and financed by the private sector (ESCOs). Rather than investing $900 000 in the PPP as mentioned in the PIF, the UNDP/GEF project will support the set-up of a financial mechanism to advance energy efficiency project implementation in accordance with the ESCO business model and the energy performance contract modality. In essence, the revised approach aims to convert existing energy service providers into ESCOs. - Following the ESCO market development objective, rather than investing in the PPP, the recommendation of the project team is to establish up a partnership-oriented Loan Guarantee Fund (LGF) managed by an GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 5 independent financial institution acting as risk-sharing partner. The funds which were to have been earmarked for the PPP in the PIF will now instead be earmarked for the loan guarantee mechanism to be set up by a FI. The recommended approach has the double advantage of giving access to project financing to energy service providers as well as permitting a degree of leverage on the initial deposit (UNDP’s trust bank account) to be negotiated at the stage of the partnership agreement with the selected FI. Additionally, the design of the loan guarantee fund through a partnership agreement should secure the sustainability of the GEF investment even after the end of the project, as the loan guarantee fund can continue to operate after the lifetime of the project. 2. Project outputs are similar in terms of the number of EE projects to be carried out as in the PIF with an estimate of 20 energy savings projects using an ESCO business model. However, the GHG emissions reduction estimates have been reduced from the PIF as more detailed calculations have revealed that early estimates were too optimistic. The PIF estimated a cumulative direct impact of 221 ktons CO2 over a 20 year lifetime. The revised estimate for 20 projects is now 68 ktons cumulative GHG reductions. The difference comes from the investment constraint through the Energy Performance Contract modality. Under the EPC modality only EE projects having short payback periods (PBP) of less than four years can be financed on nascent ESCO markets, mainly because of high interest rates, risk management issues and EPC incremental costs related to M&V as well as the fact that the project is no longer intending to focus on industrial energy-efficiency projects.. Such a limitation primarily comes from the lending institutions who will not be willing to lend to projects with payback periods of longer than 4 years. The appropriate target should be a PBP shorter than 4 years. The commercial banks currently provide loans to their best quality clients at an interest rate of 12%. Such a situation is not favorable to loans longer than 4 years. That constraint has not been taken into consideration at the stage of the PIF preparation. The abatement cost is now estimated to $21 per ton rather than $8 as estimated in the PIF. By taking into consideration the post-project direct impacts (20 additional projects supported by the LGF after the current project timeframe), the total GHG emissions reduction will be 101,6 ktons and, as a result, the related abatement cost will be nearly 13$ per ton avoided. A.1 National strategies and plans or reports and assessments under relevant conventions, if applicable, i.e. NAPAS, NAPs, NBSAPs, national communications, TNAs, NCSAs, NIPs, PRSPs, NPFE, Biennial Update Reports, etc 3. N/A. The consistency of this project with the 2nd National Communications to the UNFCCC and with the commitment of the City of Chisinau under the EU Covenant of Mayors is explained in the PIF. A.2 GEF focal area and/or fund(s) strategies, eligibility criteria and priorities 4. N/A A.3 The GEF Agency’s comparative advantage 5. The project objective fully complies with the comparative advantages matrix approved by the GEF Council, in which UNDP is assigned a leading role for technical assistance and capacity building on climate change as is explained further in the PIF.. the project is fully aligned with UNDP-GEF’s signature program on low emission climate resilient urban and transport infrastructure. 6. The UNDP Country Office in Moldova currently manages a portfolio of over $25 million USD of projects (current annual delivery $7.5 million USD). Dedicated resources include a full time Assistant Resident Representative on Energy and Environment strategically guiding project implementation, monitoring and evaluation as well as an experienced full time Environment and Energy Associate who oversees project implementation on a daily basis supported by a UNDP Moldova Finance and the Operations unit with 12 staff members. In addition, UNDP Moldova is supported by the UNDP Bratislava Regional Service Centre which is responsible for supporting over 30 climate change, renewable energy and energy-efficiency projects in the region. UNDP has significant experience in working in other countries with projects which aim to use the ESCO mechanism to promote additional investment in energy saving projects. A.4 The baseline project and the problem that it seeks to address 7. In the baseline project, it is highly unlikely that energy service providers able to convert themselves into ESCOs which would lead to significant additional investments in energy-efficiency from using an EPC business GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 6 model. The existence of legal/regulatory, institutional, financing, and awareness barriers in Moldova in the residential sector means that the EPC business model is unlikely to take off in the buildings sector in Moldova. Energy Efficiency Law 142 which came into force in Moldova in 2011 defines both ESCOs and EPC but does not on its own create the framework conditions which would enable the creation of ESCOs. There are no sub laws or regulations which would specifically encourage the creation of ESCOs. The buildings sector in Moldova consists predominantly of commercial, government, institutional (kindergartens and schools) and residential (high-rise, multi-level and single unit) buildings. In 2011, the estimated electricity use in the buildings sector amounted to about 1,547 GWh in the whole country. In the Chisinau area the electricity consumption was estimated at 460 GWh for the same year. The same year the total consumption for the heating load was 1,77 mil. Gcal or 2,06 TWh5 for the whole country and 1,41 mil. Gcal or 1,64 TWh for Chisinau area. In 2011 the total energy consumption of the building sector (electricity and heating load) was equivalent to 3,6 TWh for the whole of Moldova and 2,13 TWh for the Chisinau area. 8. 9. The present growth in annual electricity consumption in buildings is expected to continue to significantly contribute to GHG emissions (about 1 176 ktons in 2011) growth if nothing is done to improve energy efficiency. The growth in energy consumption is brought about by an increase in new building constructions (about 1,4% in 2011), inefficient energy utilization and a continuously increasing stock of electrical appliances in new and existing buildings. The total energy resource consumption by Moldovans and commercial sector (including buildings) was 865 ktoe or 10 TWh in 2011 broken down between the energy consumed by the population (82% or 8,23 TWh in 2011) and the energy consumed in commercial, office and institutional sectors (18% or 1,83 TWh in 2011). 10. The CO2 emissions from the building sector (mainly from electricity use and heating) in 2011 in Moldova were about 1,176 ktons. Considering that the growth in electricity and gas consumption in buildings is higher than in other sectors, and the fact that the potential for improvements are substantial in this sector 6, there are strong reasons to address the situation comprehensively through a UNDP project that will facilitate the installation of a widespread application of EE technologies and practices in this sector. 11. The estimation of heat consumption was done based on the following assumptions: 1. In urban areas all inhabited areas of residential buildings are heated. 2. In rural areas only 50% of the inhabited areas of residential buildings are heated. 3. For the data presented in the Energy Balance in 2011 the following assumptions were made: - only 10% of the natural gas consumption was used for heating; - real consumption of wood log was increased 4 times compared to the official data presented by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS); - coal consumption for heating was calculated according to the NBS presented data for 2011. 12. In 2011, according to studies carried out in similar situations (weather and climate), an EE public building in Moldova should have an average energy consumption for heating of 80-100 kWh/M2/yr. In the multi-level residential sector the per unit index should be 60-75 kWh/M2/yr. Based on recent energy audit reports in Moldova the energy consumption for heating can easily be improved: the current energy index for typical multi-level residential buildings is 110-140 kWh/M2/yr (46% potential savings) and 140-180 kWh/M2/yr (44% potential savings) in office/institutional buildings. About 90% (or 72 million M2) of the residential and institutional building stock needs a major retrofit with the aim of implementing basic EE measures: - Wall insulation with mineral wool or EPS (thickness 100 mm), saving potential 50%; Windows replacement, saving potential 14% Implementation of individual heating substation for buildings connected to DHS, savings potential 10% Implementation of new internal heating systems (two pipes, thermostats etc.), savings potential 15%. 13. Most of these multi-level buildings are in Chisinau area. Based on statistics the residential building stock in Moldova and in Chisinau area is expected to increase respectively by 0,6 % and 2.5% a year during the upcoming 20 5 National Bureau of Statistics of Moldova, Energy Balance 2011. The NBS reported figure for the total energy consumption for heating load in the country (in the residential, commercial and public buildings sectors) takes into consideration only the amount of energy delivered to the mentioned sectors’ buildings by district heating companies. However, it must be taken into consideration that a big amount of energy resources for heating load is consumed in individual HOB or homemade stoves, which is not registered in the statistics as a separate figure. 6 There is no reliable and comprehensive data on building average age. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 7 years. Although the current project deals with existing buildings (residential and institutional-public), EE improvements and best practices in energy management should be replicated in most of the retrofitted and new buildings. 14. This project aims to promote green urban development, as the potential for emission savings is largest in the housing and public building sectors that are concentrated in urban centers. In Moldova, there is no city that can currently be described as a “green city”. Urban development is primarily driven by economic considerations and ‘greening’ considerations are yet to be taken appropriately into consideration, although the City of Chisinau has recently signed up for the EU Covenant of Mayors. Most Moldovan cities are increasingly in decay and have outmoded urban infrastructure, deteriorated communal housing, poor planning, and a lack of municipal budget to meet the needs of growing urban populations. All these problems are present in the city of Chisinau. Specifically, ensuring maintenance and communal services for multifamily housing remains a key priority for all cities. The ESCO business model presents a sustainable solution for reducing greenhouse gas emissions while at the same time reducing urban decay and promoting green development. 15. The key barriers that the project intends to address and remove are presented in the table below: Table A4-1 Key Barriers Barriers Legal & Regulatory Barriers Institutional Barriers Financial Barriers Barrier Explained Means of Overcoming Barrier There are legal and regulatory barriers to implementing energy-efficiency measures: there are no specific incentives; tariff regime does not encourage less use; current urban planning does not integrate EE goals. The new EE law will need additional by-laws and regulations to be fully and effectively implemented, in particular with regards to ESCOs. The City of Chisinau has no clear institutional division of responsibilities for green urban planning. The new State Energy Efficiency Authority has no particular focus on urban level measures. The project will address these barriers as part of the green urban development plan for Chisinau focusing on municipal level incentives given that national level work related to green tariffs, energy-efficiency building standards and fuel emission standards are already ongoing. There is a lack of funds available for the green urban development projects and EE projects that the City would like to carry out, as local banks are reluctant to lend for EE measures. The financial institutions have no specific focus on ESCOs and are unfamiliar with the EPC concept/modality. Private Sector Private sector companies with a business model-based Investment around investing in energy efficiency are not yet Barriers established in current environment and there is no previous experience with this model in Moldova. Awareness & There is a lack of information available and/or Knowledge awareness concerning green cities and green urban Barriers development issues. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project The project will work with the City of Chisinau to develop a Green Urban Development Plan (GUDP) where institutional structures and roles will be better defined and a Green Procurement Guide will be prepared and widely distributed. The project aims to overcome financial barriers by converting existing energy service providers into ESCOs. ESCOs will aim to work successfully with the Energy-Efficiency Fund (EEF) on a number of pilot/demo projects (20). The EEF is committed to providing grants in accordance with its new regulation. In addition, a resource mobilization plan will be developed as a component of the GUDP for the City of Chisinau. Most importantly, the Project will set up the appropriate financial mechanism with the aim of providing private ESCOs with a loan guarantee for financing the EE projects in the multi-storey and public building sectors. The project will aim at creating and ‘’operationalizing’’ at least 5 successful private ESCOs to support the City of Chisinau with investments in energy-efficiency and energy performance contracting (EPC). The project design team met with 10 Energy Service Providers interested to embark on the ESCO business model. Seminars and workshops will be held throughout the project to increase awareness on green urban development issues and improve knowledge on the options available to develop green cities with a particular focus on the ESCO business model and replicating the green urban development plan from Chisinau to at least one other town/city in Moldova. 8 16. The concept of an ESCO (‘Energy Service Company’) is well-known in Western Europe and in the United States and has been proven in many cases to work as an effective tool to reduce energy consumption and promote energy-efficiency. It is an especially effective modality in the building sector, where many business opportunities exist. The central idea of this project is therefore to introduce the ESCO concept in Moldova by creating an effective market in Chisinau and lay the basis for a national up-take in all major urban centers in Moldova. Rather than creating new ESCO(s) directly, the project aims to support the establishment of a loan guarantee mechanism that will enable existing energy service providers (ESPs) in Moldova to finance energy savings projects using energy performance contracting (EPC) modality and thereby convert themselves into ESCOs. The project design team promotes using the acronym ESCO rather than ESP because the ESCO concept implies EE project cofinancing as well as an energy performance contract modality. In Moldova, as well as elsewhere, ESPs are engineering or consulting firms providing equipment and technical service and then receivingthe full payment at the EE project commissioning. In other words, the ESCO takes a double risk (financial and technical) while ESP limits its risk to technical issues but not to financial issues. In the municipal sector, where the borrowing capacity is restricted by regulations, the ESCO involvement allows to transfer the investment cost to the annual budget of operations. By doing so, the municipal decision-makers can use the investment budget line for larger projects than simply improving the insulation in roofs and walls. Most importantly, however, such a business model provides a guarantee of performance all over the project payback period and this guarantee should leverage additional investments. For the reasons listed ESCO involvement in the municipal sector as opposed to the traditional energy service provider approach is strongly justified. Business As Usual Scenario 17. Moldova is not starting from scratch in developing an energy-efficiency project financing instrument. The EU Delegation in Moldova has been supporting the Government of Moldova to reform the energy sector and the Energy Efficiency Fund (www.fee.md), established in June 2012. A total of €42.4 million has been allocated during the period 2011-2014 for the energy sector and to facilitate technical improvements related to the operation of the EEF. More than half of this direct budget aims to support EE investments through the Energy Efficiency Fund. The EBRD has made energy efficiency a top priority in Moldova through the Moldovan Sustainable Energy Financing Facility (MOSEFF) which was established in 2009 (www.moseff.org). Other donors are also providing financial support through credit lines for EE investments in Moldova. However, in the business as usual scenario, available financing facilities would be unsuitable to ESCOs as commercial banks, who are managing the MOSEFF, ask for significant guarantees as collateral, hardly convenient to Energy Service Providers due to their lack of assets. As a result, the ESCO business model will never take off in the absence of the proposed financial mechanism (LGF) because energy service providers will not be able to easily finance energy savings projects and will be restricted to implementing projects where the client pays for the investment cost (equipment and services) at the project commissioning. The municipal sector already uses the investment facilities made available by a few international financing institutions (e.g. EBRD) for infrastructure projects and public building major retrofitting projects, including EE components. These projects are capital-intensive and fit in with the objective and interest of international financing institutions while small EE projects are not attractive because of the high transaction costs related to energy audits, project assessment, analysis, and follow-up. For the time being, ESPs core business is related to EE components of big projects financed by the international institutions for which they got the full payment at the commissioning. In the absence of the proposed financial mechanism, ESPs will go on with their current core business and use their working capital to support short term investment (wedge funding over a few months), not on a long-term time horizon as exists with EPC modality. 18. Under the business as usual scenario, the City of Chisinau will be required to finance upfront the energy efficiency investments because the capacity of the City to borrow is quite limited and the city budget is not adequate for the scale of investments that are require. Such a situation where the City cannot easily finance energy savings projects and has very limited capital of its own can last for decades and as a result, there are no substantive activities or investments in EE projects. 19. In addition it is not easy for the City of Chisinau to get co-financing from the EEF because by regulation, the EEF is not allowed to provide project financing if the project beneficiary is not in a position to invest upfront at least 20% of the whole investment cost. Unfortunately, in many cases the City of Chisinau is not able to provide the 20% co-financing that is required. At the end of 2013 the design team noted that the EEF had not signed a single co-financing agreement with the municipality of Chisinau, despite being in operation for over 18 months. Within the UNDP project framework the borrower is the private sector (ESCO) which agreesin principle to invest 20% of the EE project costs at the start of the project through the EPC modality. The total investment cost includes detailed EE project design, equipment supply, installation and supervision, monitoring GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 9 and verification (M&V), training, profit and financing cost. The ESP will finance costs related to M&V (1%), Energy end-users training cost (lump sum), and profit (15%). This constitutes approximately 20% of the investment cost before the financing cost. The EEF indicated its willingness (letter of Commitment) to co-finance investment in EE projects up to 1 million dollars. Therefore, using a loan guarantee fund is likely to be the key to unlocking the ability of the City of Chisinau to work with energy service providers (now ESCOs) and the EEF in order to finance energy savings projects. A.5 Incremental /Additional cost reasoning: 20. As further elaborated in Section 1 (Situation Analysis) of the project document, the government of Moldova has already undertaken several regulatory measures to advance the EE improvements in the building sector. This includes EE Law 142, secondary regulations in regards to Energy Performance Contracts, ESCO regulation and the framework for implementing the reliable Monitoring and Verification systems. EE Law 142 is the linchpin of the legal framework, dealing with 24 conditions to promote ESCO involvement. 21. Key points are summarized as follows: (1) Energy service companies can provide energy services and energy performance contracts if the contract stipulates: a) Primary energy consumption before the energy performance contract is signed; b) The energy savings guaranteed and procedures for achieving them; c) Arrangements for financing the EE project; d) The recovery of investments made by the ESCO or, where appropriate, by third parties. (2) Energy distributors, distribution systems operators and energy suppliers will not undertake any activity that would hinder the development of the energy services market and make other energy efficiency improvement measures. (3) Energy distributors, distribution systems operators, and energy suppliers are obliged by law to provide, directly and / or indirectly through other providers of energy services upon request, energy services to final consumers at competitive prices, to perform competitively and independently priced energy audits and / or measures to improve energy efficiency and promote these audits and measures. 22. In regard to ESCOs development, the Government Decision intends to promote awareness activities and provide information about the establishment of the appropriate legal and institutional framework through activities such as publishing articles and brochures on energy services, organizing training for energy managers in the industrial sector, the introduction and explanation of the management system – ISO 50001, organizing courses on the optimization of steam systems, energy auditors, inspectors energy, energy savings evaluators, etc. 23. In other words, the table is set for further development towards EE investments. However, the private sector, namely the Energy Service Providers and Equipment Suppliers, do not yet implement EE projects by using the energy performance contract (EPC) modality because they cannot support EE investment with their own working capital. In addition, because of the demanding conditions in regard to collateral, EE project financing is not available in practice to the private sector. The Incremental and Cost reasoning makes the proposed project very attractive. In fact, the government has already invested effort, time and money to set up the required framework. As a rule the development of the basic legal/regulatory framework has a significant incremental cost that the proposed project does not need to assume because the work is already done. 24. The proposed project is designed to keep the technical assistance incremental cost relatively low. The technical assistance budget provision (national and international) represents 27% of the total GEF funding. The remaining GEF 73% of funding ($900,000), is granted for establishing a sustainable financial mechanism in the form of a loan guarantee fund. In order to make up for the GEF budget dedicated to TA, the UNDP CO has managed to agree an additional in-cash contribution of $125,000 from the City of Chisinau to cover the cost of 40 energy audits7 at the very earliest stage of the project implementation. From these 40 energy audits, it is estimated that at least 20 energy savings projects will get implemented using the ESCO business model by the ESPs that the project has helped convert into ESCOs. This is a significant support to the project implementation as energy audit reports are a basic requirement to proceed with the selection of the most attractive EE projects. It is imporant to mention that the primary co-financers are the City of Chisinau($6.425 million) and the EEF ($1 million). The private sector will provide co-fiancing of approximatively 20% of the investment before dept7 At this stage the project design team cannot rule on the final number of EA because it depends of the size of the facility. An average cost of 3,000$ per audit is a realistic estimate for 40 EA. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 10 financing cost. Consequently, the commercial bank providing a loan (80%) to ESCO is not a co-financer since the bank will be reimbursed by the ESCO. Similarly, the ESCO will be repaid by the municipality in accordance with the EPC modality within the co-financing commitment ($6.425 million). 25. The Loan Guarantee Fund (LGF) will continue to be operated by the financial institution as a mechanism to enable EPC projects after the current project timeframe. 26. The Energy-Efficiency Fund has indicated that at least $1 million of co-financing will be made available. The City of Chisinau is committed to investing $6.425 million8 from the operating budget spread out over a period of approximately 5 to 10 years, depending of the EE projects PBP. As a result, the in-cash co-financing ratio is nearly 6:1 on the GEF funding. Component-based Incremental Cost Reasoning Component 1 Outcome: Green Urban Development Plan (GUDP) Adopted by City of Chisinau 27. The proposed project invests $51,500 in technical assistance for developing the Green Urban Development Plan. 28. Component 1 focuses on developing the green urban development plan for Chisinau buildings on the existing Urban Development Plan (UDP) in order to add a “green focus” and to place special emphasis on energy efficiency investments in the building sector. Component 1 is important as it will help define: i) the specific areas in which the municipal ESCO will invest; ii) a strategy to finance the necessary investments to achieve the emissions reduction targets established by the City; iii) the development of a ‘Green Procurement Guide,’ whose adoption will ensure that all public tenders meet minimum standards of environmental integrity which includes promoting and encouraging investments in energy-efficiency, and iv) to provide guidelines to other major municipality to implement the same green strategy towards their urban development objectives. The Green Procurement Guide will be prepared with the aim to be readily transferred to other towns and cities of Moldova. 29. Tracking the cost-effectiveness of green measures is not standard practice because the impact is spread out over the very long run. The GUDP will deliver significant health, economic and environmental benefits without compromising affordability which is a challenge which this project aims to meet. In accordance with the project objective, the incremental cost reasoning must focus on investment vs. energy and money savings from the Green Urban Plan implementation through energy-efficiency measures in the building sector. It is expected that the GUDP will result, at the least, in a tangible investment of $1 million by the City of Chisinau over the upcoming 4 years9. If the EE projects cost breakdown structure is similar to EE projects implemented through the LGF, the project design team estimates that at least 5 EE projects will be carried out as a result of the GUDP. The success of the GUDP needs to be measured to the extent that it leads to real and tangible investments as committed. Component 2 Outcome: ESCO Business Model in Moldova is operational 30. The project will invest $150,700 in TA for training and creating the enabling environment to ESCO development. Component 2 is the core TA component of the proposed project. Component 2 aims at strengthening the capacity of Energy Service Providers in order to get involved as ESCOs, and creating EE project opportunities. As a result of Component 2 a series of 20 EE projects will be implemented in the Chisinau area through the EPC modality. Component 2 is the most costly component in term of technical assistance. As a result, the project will help at least 5 existing Energy Services Providers to shift their business concern towards the ESCO business model and implement 20 EE projects, including training of ESP staff members (20), bank credit officers (3 to 5 financial institutions), and building managers (at least 20). The budget provision allocated to that component will have a major impact on the whole project objective. Component 3 Outcome: Financial Mechanism and Financial Support available to ESCOs 31. Although the budget provision for Component 3 is seemingly large with $959,550 allocated, the TA component account for only $59,550. The majority of the funding under this component ($900,000) is allocated to the loan guarantee mechanism which will be provided to a selected financial institution in accordance with UNDP rules and procedures. Under the Component 3, the project will provide the needed international TA to set up the required long-term partnership agreement with the selected FI. The success of the partnership agreement will be measured by the negotiation of the multiplier factor on the GEF/UNDP trust bank account ($900,000). 8 Letter of commitment: EPC repayment: $5 million; Energy Audit $125,000; Various EE project in the building sector ($1 million)in line with the Green Urban development Plan. 9 Letter of Commitment Prodoc, Appendix 8 GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 11 The expected EEF’s co-financing is $1 million as project-based subsidies for supporting the implementation of 20 EE projects in order to shorten the payback period under 4 years. Component 4 Outcome: EPC Projects Replicated in Other Municipalities and Information Disseminated 32. The budget provision for Component 4 is estimated to be $66,250. Cost of MTR and Final evaluation are included in the budget. In practice, the budget provision for drafting 10 Case Studies, holding information dissemination workshops (2), drafting a final project report, and the small-scale replication in another city is estimated at $10,000. The Project Manager will intensively lead and carry out those activities. A.7 Risks, including climate change, potential social and environmental risks that might prevent the project objectives from being achieved, and measures that address these risks: 33. To be successful, the project requires continuing commitment and full engagement of the municipal (Chisinau), private (ESCOs) and financial institutions (Commercial Banks and the EEF) to work collaboratively to implement the Green Urban Development Plan in the building sector. During the project design stage, UNDP met with high level decision makers in the most important financial institutions in Moldova including the EBRD, with many Energy Service Providers (private), and the City of Chisinau. Because of the benefits of the financial mechanism (LGF), which will enable them to disburse loans more easily and with lower risks, and the quality of the project beneficiary (Chisinau), most banks established in Moldova confirmed their interest to embark on the project and provide the needed project financing to ESCOs but expressed some concerns whether under normal conditions energy service providers will be able to provide the necessary guarantees in order to secure the financing required. Banks will make their decision based on the detailed design of the financial mechanism and the related regulation and on an evaluation of project risk. The Project will give the highest priority to jointly draft the LGF regulation10 in coordination with the selected partners, i.e. financial institution(s) and the Energy Efficiency Fund11. The failure of obtaining the support of financial institutions is consequently considered as the main project risk. However, due to the fact that discussions have already been held with these financial institutions who indicated their interest in loan guarantee mechanism, this risk is expected to be moderate. Other project risks are presented in the table below: Table A7-1 Project Risks # Description Type 1. 2. Impact & Probability (NOTE) Lack of interPolitical & Targets institutional Organizational requiring ownership and institutional coco-operation in operational and implementing the cross-sectoral project activities. ownership not met. P=2 I=4 Lack of interest Strategic Low level of EE of the managers compliance and of the quality construction implementation companies and P=3 building I=3 professionals to attend and apply Countermeasures / Mgt response Owner Fostering the co-operation by early engagement of the Project key stakeholders and using the Project Board Board (Steering Committee) as a complementary platform for raising issues requiring institutional co-operation. Furthermore, the institutional ownership and cooperation is further fostered by project’s training and awareness raising activities. The roll-out of the ESCO business model is the key PMU mitigation tool for: 1) involving practitioners at the and stage of the tailed training program included into the EEA. project Component; 2) having a constant quality control by ESCOs and a double check by the PMU and EEA. The project training component starts with the training needs assessment to identify the main drivers 10 Prodoc-Appendix 6 set out the preliminary draft regulation. It is important to mention that by regulation the EEF is not allowed to provide a grant and a loan or a guarantee to the same EE project. Such a regulation rules out the EEF as LGF manager because its involvement as co-financer (grant scheme) is crucial to the ESCO Moldova project. On the other hand, the project design team still recommends transferring the LGF ownership to the EEF at the end of the project timeframe because ownership and LGF management are different. The selected partner financial institution will continue to make the decisions and provide the guarantee regardless of who is the owner of the Trust Account (LGF), i.e. UNDP up to the end of the project and the EEF (on behalf of Government of Moldova) once the project is finished. 11 GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 12 in practice the training provided by the project. . 3. Low Awareness and understanding of the Green Urban Development Plan, amongst decision makers and relevant stakeholders 4. Inadequate Operational and/or noncapacitated human resources and/or lack of financial resources to successfully implement the project and support the mainstreaming of its results. 5. The projected co-financing does not materialize 6. Lack of adequate and reliable market data to facilitate the monitoring of project impact and planning of further policy measures. 7. Inadequate local availability of certified, costeffective construction materials and EE GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project The risk is related to the Green Development Plan. If the municipality does not go further in term of GUDP approval and implementation, EE project initiatives could be slowed down. P=1 I =5 Project not meeting the stated targets. P=3 I =5 guiding the work of practitioners, to test the different training approaches and to demonstrate the common and sustainable benefits of the training sessions, thereby gradually raising the interest among the broader group and developing the training up to the point. To this end, the training of trainers approach is promoted. By drafting the Green Urban Development Plan and City of the Green Procurement Plan, the project supports the Chisinau municipality of Chisinau to enforce key regulations and investments to advance EE measure implementations in the building sector owned and operated by the municipality. Such an approach and a few Case Studies drafted should raise the interest of the private sector as well as other major municipalities in Moldova Open tendering and thorough screening of the candidates (Project Manager, Project Administrative Assistant, International and National Experts, and ESCOs) applying for an assignment of a contract will mitigate that risk. Identification and securing of additional funds to support project activities. UNDP procurement procedures applied in a pragmatic and efficient way (within the allowed limits) to meet the project support requirements in a timely fashion and to ensure the highest professional level of the support provided. Adequate training of the key project staff and their exposure to international experiences and lessons learnt. Project not In addition to co-financing letters which have been meeting the obtained, re-confirming the co-financing stated targets. commitments in-prior starting the project P=2 implementation. Finding other municipalties in I =5 Moldova to co-finance the project. Inadequate Close cooperation with the EEA, local construction information for companies, producers and sellers of different monitoring construction materials and equipment, industry project impact associations and Government entities collecting and for planning related statistical information. new policy The implementation of a tight Monitoring and measures Verification (M&V) protocol is a key tool to get P=4 reliable data and proceed with the constant follow-up I=3 of the EE projects performance. The M&V is a mandatory requirement under the EPC modality. The PMU and EEA will cross-check the reliability of the data by comparing the results from different sources and approaches (e.g. top-down / bottom-up). Lower As a result of the ongoing efforts of the government compliance and to improve energy efficiency of buildings in a few therefore lower facilities in Chisinau area, a relatively good selection impact on of energy efficient building materials and equipment energy savings (such as EE windows, boilers, etc..,) are already P=2 available in the market. According to the feedback UNDP UNDP ESCOs PMU and EEA ESCOs and PMU 13 equipment to meet the revised energy efficiency targets. I=4 from the local stakeholder consultations, the lack of availability of national certified construction materials is not going to present a major bottleneck to improving the energy efficiency of buildings. As with the previous risk, however, the situation will be monitored and further studied during the project implementation, including random tests of some construction materials used in order to verify their compliance with the stated performance. 8 Lack of financing The project The project made a strategic decision by strongly for technical does not meet involving Energy Service Providers, candidate assistance targets in term ESCOs, which are knowledgeable and technically of outputs skilled to deal with EE measures implementation. It is P=2 important to mention that the EE projects I=4 implementation relies on ESP-ESCOs, not on the PMU. However, Outcome 1 related to the Green Urban Development Plan Development (GUDP) needs additional TA to be implemented. The municipality of Chisinau agreed (letter of commitment) to invest 1.3 million dollars in the GUDP implementation (2014-2018), but the lack of capacity available at the municipality level could jeopardized the effective development of activities that will be recommended in the GUDP. In order to mitigate that risk, the project includes Activity 1.2.4 related to fund-raising and resource mobilization through the donor community with the aim of provisioning the needed TA for implementing the GUDP. 9 EnergyThe energy The energy supply cost is out of the control of energy efficiency supply end-users. EE measures in the building sector will sensitivity to (electricity and mainly deal with the heating load (air and water), and variation in gas) cost heating demand is rather price-inelastic. The energy price negative impact inelasticity comes from characteristics of energy as a on EE necessity in a cold country. The risk of a negative investment and impact on EE investments is rated LOW because the costenergy supply cost is currently quite low in Moldova. effectiveness. EE projects carried out in accordance with the EPC modality are not sensitive to variation in energy price P=1 because the per unit money saving (resulting of per I =1 unit energy saving) is agreed by contract (EPC) and remains unchanged until the end of the PBP. NOTE: Probability on a scale from 1 (low) to 5 (high) / Impact on a scale from 1 (low) to 5 (high) PMU and UNDP CO ESCO A.8 Coordination with other relevant GEF financed initiatives 34. The project will co-ordinate with other GEF projects in Moldova and in particular the ongoing UNIDO GEF Energy-Efficiency for the Industrial Sector in Moldova project through sharing of information and organization of joint events. In this regard, at the regional level the project will share information with at least two GEF projects, namely “LGGE Improving Energy Efficiency in Low-Income Households and Regions of Romania’’; and Improving Energy Efficiency in Residential Buildings in Belarus”, currently implemented, and “Belarus Green Cities: Supporting Green Urban Development in Small and Medium Sized Cities in Belarus”. In Ukraine, the Project should share useful information with the new UNDP GEF project namely “Removing Barriers to Increase Investment in Energy-Efficiency in Public Buildings (UNDP).” The basic document for learning from other projects is by sharing the annual progress reports and case studies and in particular sharing experiences in relation to the operation and success of the loan guarantee fund B. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION NOT ADDRESSED AT PIF STAGE: B.1 Describe how the stakeholders will be engaged in project implementation. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 14 35. The roles and responsibilities of central and local public authorities and other players in the field of energy efficiency are summarized in the Table below: Table B1-1 EE institutional framework at the national and local level Public authorities 1 Ministry of Environment 2 Ministry of Economy 3 Energy Efficiency Agency 4 Energy Efficiency Fund (NOTE 1) 5 Ministry of Regional Development and Constructions 6. Local Public Authorities, i.e. District Councils, two Municipal Councils (Chisinau12 and Balti) and other local councils including from the Administrative-Territorial Unit Gagauzia Responsibilities – Roles and Purpose The Ministry of Environment (MoENV) is a key stakeholder since the MoENV is responsible for the climate change policy and programs, national compliance with the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol commitments and for reaching the GHG emissions reduction targets. MoENV is also the GEF and UNFCCC national focal point steering the process of national adaptation and mitigation and has therefore been chosen by the Government of Moldova as the primary Implementing Partner for the project. Ministry of Economy is the central pubic authority empowered to set the state policy priorities in the area of energy efficiency and the main activity directions in the field of energy efficiency for public authorities. The MoE drafted the new regulation related to ESCO development and Energy Performance Contract and in the framework of the present project will further contribute to development of the relevant by-laws and regulations with regards to ESCO operation. The EEA, as an implementation agency, has the responsibility to promote the ESCO mechanism in Moldova. The EEA has been identified as the key technical partner to advance the ESCO Moldova project. The EEA will intensively support the UNDP project in terms of training deliveries, feasibility studies and case studies. The main Government body involved in EE investment established by Government Decision No. 401 of 12 June 2012. Independent government body established with the aim of attracting and managing financial resources to finance and implement energy efficiency and renewable energy projects, in accordance with strategies and programs developed by the Government. The EEF is a key partner and co-financer within the ESCO Moldova project through the provision of grants to ESCOs with the aim of shortening the pay-back period of energy efficiency investments. MRDC’s mission is to develop, promote and implement state policy on regional development, land use planning, architecture, design and construction. The Ministry has the function to develop the legal and regulatory framework necessary to achieve the objectives in the fields of activity bringing it closer to the European standards, especially standards related to EPBD. The Ministry coordinates the implementation of sustainable development principles in urban planning design. Local Public Authorities responsible for the promotion and implementation of state policy in the field of energy efficiency at local level. These LPAs shall appoint an energy manager, aiming at monitoring the implementation of Local Energy Efficiency Programs (LEEPs – three-year programming document) and Local Energy Efficiency Action Plans (annual EE planning document). The Chisinau Municipality, the main project beneficiary and client, is responsible for promotion and implementation of energy efficiency policy and climate change mitigation efforts at the local level leading to reduction of GHG emissions. B.2 Describe the socioeconomic benefits to be delivered by the Project at the national and local levels, including consideration of gender dimensions, and how these will support the achievement of global environment benefits (GEF Trust Fund/NPIF) or adaptation benefits (LDCF/SCCF): 36. 12Chisinău The project will aim to achieve the following socio-economic benefits: includes 35 localities: 1 municipality (with 5 sectors), 6 towns (which include 2 villages), 12 communes (including 14 villages). GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 15 (1) Creating new “green” jobs: The project will promote wide development of the EE technologies and best practices in energy management, leading to the creation of new jobs for designing and monitoring EE projects implemented in accordance with the EPC modality. At least two staff members per ESCO must be hired to carry out the M&V and financial analysis, creating 10 new jobs, in addition to other technology-oriented job developments difficult to estimate at this stage. Additionally, the project will strengthen or develop a new field of expertise in project financing and M&V of EE impacts in the building sector. (2) Improving country’s energy security: With respect to energy used by the country, Moldova currently is heavily dependent on fossil fuels and natural gas exported from Russia. Increased utilization of passive and active EE measures and technologies will help to alleviate this dependence on natural gas from Russia. (3) Economic impacts- Lowering household energy bill and increasing comfort: Energy efficiency is the easiest, most affordable and most cost effective way for families to use energy more wisely and save money on household expenses. Power bills can make up a significant percentage of household expenditure and energy poverty is a significant issue in countries like Moldova. As a result, some households have difficulty paying to heat their homes to a comfortable level. Inadequately heated homes can make occupants more susceptible to a range of health problems. At the end of the payback period the money savings are transferred to the building (or apartment) owner. If all identified EE measures are implemented the potential energy savings are estimated as being 46%. In the public buildings the energy savings estimated at 44% will be transferred to the public authority at the end of the payback period and could be used for implementing additional EE measures or/and improving the upkeep of the building and equipment. (4) The project will illustrate that Moldova can develop and implement its own approach for a better green development in line with EU guidelines and requirements. Local developers, engineers, and consultants can profitably participate in this endeavor. (5) It should be noted that existing level of communities’ involvement in decision-making with regard to EE is still relatively low in Moldova. The GEF Project will facilitate the diaologue between specialists, decision-makers and enenrgy end-users through educational material (Case Studies) and information dissemination workshops. The affected communities in the residential sector will be involved in a decision-making process regarding demonstration projects. They will also be involved in providing input to the secondary legislation and technical standards, the EE energy strategy for a broad and efficient replication of 20 demonrtrations projects in other major cities in Moldova. At the stage of EE projects screening, the PMU and the city of Chisinau will organize and hold round-tables where local communities will be also invited in discussions on new energy performance contracting modality in term of role and responsibility of EE project beneficiaries. B.3 Explain how cost-effectiveness is reflected in the project design: 37. The project aims to leverage the GEF funding ($1.3M) to $7.6 million dollars, a ratio of 6:1. This result can be achieved because 73% of the GEF funding is investment in the Loan Guarantee Fund (UNDP’s Trust account: $900,000). The ESCO investment would generate an internal rate of return of 14% and an average return on investments up to 34%, both indicators proving that this can be an attractive business in Moldova assuming commercial bank interests rates of around 12%. An alternative way (Alternate 1) should be to provide Chisinau with a grant funding scheme corresponding to the same amount for implementing EE projects in the building sector. In such a situation the ESCOs business model cannot take off because of the lack of debt or equity financing capacity and as a result, the whole project will not make sense although the ESPs will make good and non-risky business (BAU) by recovering its investment at the project commissioning. Importantly, the municipal cofinancing commitment ($6.425 million) can come to reality only through the EPC modality because the cofinancing (from the operating budget line allocated to energy supply) is spread on the full PBP to reimburse the EE investment. In other words, without the financial mechanism, the leverage effect on the GEF funding will be about 1.5:1 as a result of the EEF co-financing (up to 50% of the investment cost). There is another alternate way (Alternate 2) to proceed: the GEF grant funding (if any) can be linked to major retrofitting projects initiative in public buildings through the Moldovan Sustainable Energy Financing Facility (MOSEFF) set up by the EBRD. Because of the approval delay for making the financial arrangement and negotiating the loan with the MOSEFF and a commercial bank, the municipality will not be in a position to launch such an EE investment program before 3 years and maybe longer, that is to say nearly out of the current project time horizon. As per alternate 2, the EPC modality cannot be applied because the structure of the project financing (the borrower is the municipality). On GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 16 the other hand, although the ESCO business model does not work, Alternate 2 should have an interesting leverage effect of 5:1on the GEF funding13. 38. At this stage of the project design and accordingly with agreement with the municipality, the final selection of EE projects (sites and buildings) will be based on the result of the energy audits reports. Through its cofinancing, the municipality agreed to carry out 40 energy audits in target buildings, both residential multi-storey and public. The main criteria for selecting EE projects are: i) the payback period based on the ratio savings on cost (as short as possible); ii) the investment cost; and iii) the easiness and reliability of EE measures impact. 39. The UNDP project intends to implement 15 EE projects in the residential sector and 5 projects in public buildings using the ESCO modality. Such a strategy is based on criteria mentioned above; residential sector focus is due to a less intensive -average investment cost than in public buildings. The breakdown between residential and public buildings (currently proposed as 15 residential EE projects and 5 public sector EE projects) will need to be revisited at the start of the project and thefinal decision will need to be based on Energy Efficiency Agency reports concerning the most attractive EE investment opportunities. 40. Based on available data and a survey of some typical buildings, details related to EE projects are provided in tables below. The EE measures considered at this stage are the following: - Roof insulation (EPS 100 mm) Windows replacement Walls insulation (EPS 100 mm) Implementation of efficient heating substation (public buildings) 41. The list of EE measures to be implemented is not only related to projects related to the insulation of walls and roofs. The target remains to reduce the energy consumption per sqm from 110-140 kWh/M2/yr to 60-75 kWh/M2/yr in multi-level residential buildings and from 140-180 kWh/M2/yr to 80-100 kWh/M2/yr in public buildings. Those targets are in accordance with the building energy index for similar buildings in similar climate conditions. GHG emission reduction was estimated accordingly. 42. It is important to recall that the final decision about the selection of projects, technologies and EE measures will be made when the energy audit reports will be submitted at the early stage of the project implementation. The municipality of Chisinau has agreed to pay an amount of $125,000 to carry out 40 energy audits from which it is expected that 20 investment projects will be selected. In accordance with the methodology, the municipality will make the final selection of 20 buildings (sites) by taking into consideration (among others) the payback period, the energy savings and greenhouse gas emission reductions. Some EE measures are more cost-effective than others and the municipality jointly with the PMU and ESCOs, will make the selection in a way that best suits to EPC modality. 13 A major retrofitting project requires an investment of about $5 million. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 17 Table B3-2 Typical multi-story building built in the 60s : 15 similar (bigger or smaller) EE projects should be implemented Unit Average Area Total Average Annual estimated PBP GHG EE measure impl. sq.m or cost energy ES Euro Costs unit Saving with VAT ratio kWh EUR years tons CO2/ year Roof insolation (EPS 100 mm) Window replacements Wall insolation (EPS 100 mm) Implementation of individual heating substation Total MDL / sq.m MDL / sq.m MDL / sq.m MDL / unit 500 372 10 000 4% 8 652 415 25,31 1,83 1 725 281 27 000 14% 30 282 1 452 18,86 6,39 580 1 239 41 000 50% 108 149 5 185 7,83 22,82 146 200 1 8 000 10% 14 708 705 11,71 3,10 161 791 7 757 20 34,14 86 000 Table B3-3 Typical public building built in the 80s: 5 similar (smaller or bigger) projects should be implemented EE measure Unit Average Area Total Average Annual PBP impl.Cost sq.m cost ES ratio estimated ES Euro with VAT or unit kWh EUR years Roof insolation (EPS 100 mm) Window replacements Wall insolation (EPS 100 mm) Implementation of heating substation MD L/ sq. m MD L/ sq. m MD L/ sq. m MD L/ unit TOTAL GHG tons CO2/ year 5 00 1 789 51 000 11% 73 560 3 527 14,33 15,52 1 725 589 57 000 16% 106 996 5 130 11,19 22,58 5 80 2 633 86 000 36% 240 741 11 543 7,47 50,80 338 000 1 19 000 ______ 8% 33 704 ______ 1 616 ______ 11,82 _____ 7,11 ________ 455 001 21 816 9,7 96,01 213 000 A. Direct Emission Reductions 43. By developing the Chisinau Green Urban Development Plan and implementing EE projects in accordance with a new modality, namely the “Energy Performance Contract,” the project will have a significant impact on the GHG emissions reduction. As part of this, the ESCO Moldova project will implement 20 EE projects in the building sector over 4 years. 44. As a result of these activities during the project implementation period of 4 years, direct cumulative greenhouse gas emission reductions totalling 68 ktons of CO2 equivalent will be achieved over the lifetime of the investments of 20 years using the revised GEF methodology for calculating GHG benefits from energy-efficiency projects. In the non-GEF case, the related energy needs would be satisfied by the DHS currently providing thermal energy with a conversion factor of 0.211kton/MWh, based on the predominance of gas fired generation for heating power supply. The estimate is calculated based on the following formula and assumptions: The estimate is calculated based on the following formula and assumptions: GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 18 CO2direct = E * L * C; where • C – CO2 emission factor (DHS), i.e. 0.211tCO2-eq/MWh for DHS systems • L – average useful lifetime of investments, i.e. 20 years; and • E – annual thermal energy supply reduction: 14.6 GWh (or 292 000 MWh on 20 years) CO2direct = 14 600 MWh* 20*0.211tCO2-eq/MWh = 68 KtCO2-eq This leads to cumulative emissions reduction of 68 KtCO2-eq. B. Direct Post-project Emissions Reduction 45. The project activities include providing assistance to the City of Chisinau in various aspects of EE building projects through the implementation of EE measures. Such assistance could be on the conduct of feasibility analyses and replication of building retrofitting design. Based on the Chisinau energy savings target of 20% energy savings in the building sector, it is estimated that a number of additional EE retrofit projects will be carried out by ESCOs provided that the payback periods are 3-4 years or less. These full-sized EPC projects carried out over a period of 6 years after the ESCO MOLDOVA PROJECT completion will be impacted by the GEF/UNDP activity. Such projects would potentially account for at least the same savings per EPC project than the EPC demo projects implemented during the project timeframe. This translates to an annual (average) energy savings of about 14.6 GWh during the period 2025-2038: • C – CO2 emission factor, i.e. 0.211tCO2-eq/MWh for DHS • L – time base considered: 2025-2038: 13 years; • E – annual thermal energy supply reduction: 14.6 GWh (or 190 000 MWh on 13 years). CO2post-direct = 14,600 MWh* 13*0.211tCO2-eq/MWh = 40 KtCO2-eq This leads to cumulative emissions reduction of 40 KtCO2-eq. C. Indirect Emission Reductions (bottom-up) 46. The ESCO MOLDOVA PROJECT helps create the enabling environment and launches a financial support mechanism that will facilitate the widespread application of energy efficiency technologies, techniques and best practices in the building sector of Moldova. The primary targets of the project are the municipal institutional and residential buildings. The capacity development activities and the implementation of the ESCO business model are expected to influence the relevant stakeholder entities in the promotion, support, design and installation, financing, operation and maintenance of EE building (retrofits) projects. 47. The project will also involve interventions that will bring about the necessary institutional, regulatory and financial policies and mechanisms that would enhance the promotion of the applicable and feasible building energy management systems, including energy efficient building services systems, and encourage the target groups in taking on such technologies, techniques and best practices. 48. The transformation of an additional 20% (Chisinau Municipal target: 70 000 M2 a year)) of municipal public buildings from relatively high overall average BEI of 160 kWh/m2/yr to a benchmark BEI level (target) of 90 kWh/m2/yr (a number influenced and induced by the enabling environment established and ESCO business model developed under the ESCO MOLDOVA PROJECT) is expected to bring additional savings in public/office buildings to be EE efficient at a pace of 1% of the municipal building (institutional/office) stock per year from 2018 to 2038. As a result, additional cumulative energy savings should be 1.1 TWh14 and cumulative CO2 emissions avoidance of about 621 ktons (2018-2038) through EE retrofitting of 20% municipal institutional buildings in Chisinau area. 49. The same calculation related to multi-level residential buildings owned and operated by Chisinau (1.1 million M2) which should target a BEI of 67.5 kWh/m2/yr (rather than 125 kWh/M2/yr) will result in cumulative (20182038) energy savings of 0.133 TWh and cumulative CO2 emissions avoidance of about 73 ktons (2018-2038) in accordance with the approved retrofitting target of 20% of multi-level residential buildings owned and operated by Chisinau over the next 20 years. 50. Most of the indirect CO2 reduction can be attributed to the interventions that will carried out during the ESCO Moldova project implementation period because of the enforcement of the GUDP, the establishment and 14 TWh: TeraWh or 1,000 GWh or 1,000,000 MWh GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 19 enforcement of EE building policies and financing mechanisms, market enhancement, and the successful demonstration programs. 51. Assuming a project influence period of 20 years (2018-2038) and based on a “Bottom-up” approach, the indirect CO2 emissions reductions amount to approximately700 ktons. Using a “Top-down” approach, the potential CO2 emissions reductions during the period of project influence (2018-2038) should be adjusted to the appropriate GEF Causality Factor (CF). In this case, the CF used was 0.4, resulting in 240 Ktons rather than 700 ktons. C. DESCRIBE THE BUDGETED M&E PLAN: The project will be monitored through the following M&E activities. The M&E budget is provided in the table C1-1 below. Project start: 52. A Project Inception Workshop will be held within the first 2 months of project start with those with assigned roles in the project organization structure, UNDP country office and where appropriate/feasible regional technical policy and program advisors as well as other stakeholders. The Inception Workshop is crucial to building ownership for the project results and to plan the first year annual work plan. 53. The Inception Workshop should address a number of key issues including: a) Assist all partners to fully understand and take ownership of the project. Detail the roles, support services and complementary responsibilities of UNDP CO and RCU staff vis-a-vis the project team. Discuss the roles, functions, and responsibilities within the project's decision-making structures, including reporting and communication lines, and conflict resolution mechanisms. The Terms of Reference for project staff will be discussed again, if needs be. b) Based on the project results framework and the relevant GEF Tracking Tool if appropriate, the UNDP will finalize the first annual work plan. Review and agree on the indicators, targets and their means of verification, and recheck assumptions and risks. c) Provide a detailed overview of reporting, monitoring and evaluation (M&E) requirements. The Monitoring and Evaluation work plan and budget should be agreed and scheduled. d) Plan and schedule Project Board meetings. Roles and responsibilities of all project organization structures should be clarified and meetings planned. The first Steering Committee meeting should be held within the first 6 months following the inception workshop. 54. An Inception Workshop report is a key reference document and must be prepared and shared with participants to formalize various agreements and plans decided during the meeting. Quarterly Progress made shall be monitored in the UNDP Enhanced Results Based Management Platform. Based on the initial risk analysis submitted, the risk log shall be regularly updated in ATLAS. Risks become critical when the impact and probability are high. Note that for UNDP GEF projects, all financial risks associated with financial instruments such as the Loan Guarantee Fund (Trust Account) is automatically classified as critical on the basis of its innovative nature (high impact and uncertainty due to no previous experience justifies classification as critical). Based on the information recorded in Atlas, a Project Progress Reports (PPR) can be generated in the Executive Snapshot. Other ATLAS logs can be used to monitor issues, lessons learned etc. The use of these functions is a key indicator in the UNDP Executive Balanced Scorecard. Annually 55. Annual Project Review/Project Implementation Reports (APR/PIR): This key report is prepared to monitor progress made since project start and in particular for the previous reporting period (30 June to 1 July). The APR/PIR combines both UNDP and GEF reporting requirements. Progress made toward project objective and project outcomes – each with indicators, baseline data and endof-project targets (cumulative) Project outputs delivered per project outcome (annual). Lesson learned/good practice. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 20 AWP and other expenditure reports Risk and adaptive management ATLAS QPR Portfolio level indicators (i.e. GEF focal area tracking tools) are used by most focal areas on an annual basis as well. Periodic Monitoring through site visits 56. UNDP CO and the UNDP Bratislava Regional Centre will conduct visits to project sites based on the agreed schedule in the project's Inception Report/Annual Work Plan to assess first hand project progress. Other members of the Steering Committee may also join these visits. A Field Visit Report/BTOR will be prepared by the CO and UNDP RCU and will be circulated no more than one month after the visit to the project team and the Project Board members. Mid-term of project cycle 57. The project will undergo an independent Mid-Term Review at the mid-point of project implementation after the project has been under implementation for two full years. The Mid-Term Review will determine progress being made toward the achievement of outcomes and will identifycorrective measures to undertake adaptive management to improve the ability of the project to meet its objectives, as required. The mid-term review will focus on the effectiveness, efficiency and timeliness of project implementation; will highlight issues requiring decisions and actions; and will present initial lessons learned about project design, implementation and management. Findings of this review will be incorporated as recommendations for enhanced implementation during the final half of the project’s term. The organization, terms of reference and timing of the mid-term evaluation will be decided after consultation between the parties to the project document. The Terms of Reference for this Mid-term evaluation will be prepared by the UNDP CO based on guidance from the Regional Coordinating Unit and UNDP-GEF. The management response and the evaluation will be uploaded to UNDP corporate systems. The relevant GEF Focal Area Tracking Tools will also be completed during the mid-term evaluation cycle. End of Project 58. An independent Final Evaluation will take place three months prior to the final Steering Committee meeting and will be undertaken in accordance with UNDP and GEF guidance. The final evaluation will focus on the delivery of the project’s results as initially planned (and as corrected after the mid-term evaluation, if any such correction took place). The final evaluation will look at impact and sustainability of results, including the contribution to capacity development and the achievement of global environmental benefits/goals. The Terms of Reference for this evaluation will be prepared by the UNDP CO based on guidance from the Regional Coordinating Unit and UNDP-GEF. 59. The Terminal Evaluation should also provide recommendations for follow-up activities and requires a management response which should be uploaded to PIMS and to the UNDP Evaluation Office Evaluation Resource Center (ERC). The relevant GEF Focal Area Tracking Tools will also be completed during the final evaluation. 60. During the last three months, the project team will prepare the Project Terminal Report. This comprehensive report will summarize the results achieved (objectives, outcomes, outputs), lessons learned, problems met and areas where results may not have been achieved. It will also lay out recommendations for any further steps that may need to be taken to ensure sustainability and replicability of the project’s results. Learning and knowledge sharing 61. Results from the project will be disseminated within and beyond the project intervention zone through existing information sharing networks and forums. 62. The project will identify and participate, as relevant and appropriate, in scientific, policy-based and/or any other networks, which may be of benefit to project implementation though lessons learned. The project will identify, analyze, and share lessons learned that might be beneficial in the design and implementation of similar projects in the future. Finally, there will be a two-way flow of information between this project and other projects of a similar focus. Table C1-1 M&E workplan and budget Type of M&E Responsible Parties activity GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project Budget US$ Time frame 21 Excluding project team staff time $1,000 Inception Workshop and Report Project Manager UNDP CO, UNDP/GEF Measurement of Means of Verification of project results To be finalized in Inception Phase and Workshop UNDP/GEF RTA/Project Manager will oversee the hiring of specific studies and institutions, and delegate responsibilities to relevant team members Monitoring and Reporting consultant Oversight by Project Manager Project team To be determined as part of the Annual Work Plan's preparation Annually prior to ARR/PIR and to the definition of annual work plans Project manager and team UNDP CO UNDP RTA UNDP EEG Project manager and team None Annually None Mid-term Evaluation $ 20,400 Final Evaluation Project Terminal Report Project manager and team UNDP CO UNDP RCU External Consultants (i.e. evaluation team) Project manager and team, UNDP CO UNDP RCU External Consultants (i.e. evaluation team) Project manager and team UNDP CO local consultant UNDP CO Independent financial auditors UNDP CO UNDP RCU (as appropriate) Government representatives To be determined by Project team and UNDP CO At the mid-point of project implementation. Measurement of Means of Verification for Project Progress on output and implementation ARR/PIR Periodic status/ progress reports Audit Visits to field sites TOTAL indicative COST Excluding project team staff time and UNDP staff and travel expenses, if needs be. Within first two months of project start up Start, mid and end of project (during evaluation cycle) and annually when required. $ 22,000 At least three months before the end of project implementation 0 At least three months before the end of the project $2,000 Annually $8,000 none Included into the regional office fee. US$ 51,400 PART III: APPROVAL/ENDORSEMENT BY GEF OPERATIONAL FOCAL POINT(S) AND GEF AGENCY(IES) GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 22 A. RECORD OF ENDORSEMENT OF GEF OPERATIONAL FOCAL POINT(S) ON BEHALF OF THE GOVERNMENT(S):): (Please attach the Operational Focal Point endorsement letter(s) with this form. For SGP, use this OFP endorsement letter). NAME George Salaru POSITION Minister of Environment, GEF OFP and Convention Focal Point for UNFCCC MINISTRY MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT OF MOLDOVA DATE(MM/dd/yyyy) AUGUST 17, 2012 B. GEF AGENCY(IES) CERTIFICATION This request has been prepared in accordance with GEF/LDCF/SCCF/NPIF policies and procedures and meets the GEF/LDCF/SCCF/NPIF criteria for CEO endorsement/approval of project. Agency Coordinator, Agency Name Signature Date (Month, day, year) July 18, 2014 Adriana Dinu UNDP – GEF Executive Coordinator and Director a.i. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project Project Contact Person John O’Brien Regional Technical Advisor EITT Telephone Email Address +421 259 337 413 [email protected] 23 ANNEX A: PROJECT RESULTS FRAMEWORK (either copy and paste here the framework from the Agency document, or provide reference to the page in the project document where the framework could be found). Project Results Framework This project will contribute to achieving the following Country Programme Outcome as defined in CPD: CP Outcome 3.2 – Low Emission and Resilient Development: Strengthened national policies and capacities enable climate and disaster resilient, low emission economic development and sustainable consumption Country Programme Outcome Indicator: Energy Intensity reduced by 7% till 2017 in comparison with 2010 Primary applicable Key Environment and Sustainable Development Key Result Area (same as that on the cover page, circle one): 1. Mainstreaming environment and energy OR 2. Catalyzing environmental finance OR 3. Promote climate change adaptation OR 4. Expanding access to environmental and energy services for the poor. Applicable GEF Strategic Objective and Program: Climate Change Objective 2: Promote market transformation for energy efficiency in industry and the building sector Applicable GEF Expected Outcomes: CC Objective 2: Sustainable financing and delivery mechanism established and operational Indicator Baseline Targets Source of verification Risks and Assumptions End of Project Project Objective The project objective is to create a functioning, sustainable and effective ESCO market in Moldova, as the basis for scaling up mitigation efforts in the whole municipal building sector in Chisinau and Moldova in line with the Green Urban Development Plan Number of EE projects implemented under the EPC modality and loan guarantee to ESCOs Loan Guarantee Fund is successfully working 0 20 projects financed using EPC modality Project monitoring system and reporting. EE projects completion reports Number of ESCO submitting proposals – – – Loan guarantees of at least $2.7 million USD have been signed with the financial institution managing the Loan Guarantee Fund – Energy Service Providers (ESPs) in Moldova are operating as ESCOs - Feasibility studies prove costeffectiveness of EE projects Required investments are forthcoming through the EEF and the selected commercial bank. Private investors (ESCOs) can get access to project financing from the financial institution and are in a position to invest about 20 to 25% equity of the EE project costs. The Municipal Council is willing to approve the Green Urban Development Plan At least 5 companies in Moldova which previously worked as ESPs now operate as ESCOs (it could also be new companies) - GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 24 Outcome 1: Green Urban Development Plan Adopted by City of Chisinau Outcome 2: ESCO Business Model is operational in Moldova Energy savings and Cumulative direct, post direct and indirect CO2 emissions reduction from the building sector 0 Cumulative (20 years) energy saving of 295 GWh as a result of 20 demo projects (20 Cumulative (2014-2038) Direct: 68 ktonsCO2 Post-project (2014-2038): 40 ktonsCO2 Indirect bottom-up (2018-2038): 240 kton CO2 Total: 381 ktonsCO2 Green Urban Development Plan (GUDP) There is no green urban development plan but Chisinau has already approved the Urban Development Plan Chisinau Green Urban Development Plan approved and the Resource Mobilization Plan is implemented.. The municipal Green Procurement Plan prepared There is no Green Public Procurement guidelines enforced in Chisinau (i) ESPs shift toward the ESCO business model (ii) municipal staff members are capable of implementing EPC projects and evaluate results (iii) Financial institutions are in a position to evaluate EPC projects and ESCO proposal ESCO business model does not exist in Moldova and there are no dedicated trainings in the area for the relevant stakeholders GUDP Report Decision of the municipal council Sustained and consolidated political support and commitment to promote low-carbon development. Public Green Procurement Plan applied by Chisinau. Report and decision Key stakeholders understand the benefits of the greening the policy document and engage in implementation. The donor community is responding and supports the GUDP implementation. 3 target beneficiaries groups and 3 training sessions: - At least 20 ESPs are trained on the ESCO business model - Public Building managers and Maintenance Managers, at least 20 staff are trained on ESCO business model - Financial Institutions (5), including the EEF are trained on the ESCO business model. Training session evaluation reports; Quality of ESCOs’ technical and financial proposals; FIs readiness to analyse and approve (or reject) loan and loan guarantee request GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project ESCOs must agree to attend the training sessions, no fee. EEA agrees to intensively support the project by providing key experts to attend the training sessions and further to serve as trainers in other municipalities. EEA and the municipality express their willingness to work together 25 (i) Long-term agreement between the EEA, Chisinau and PMU Although the EEA is active in the building sector, the EEA did not develop any special acquaintance with the municipal sector to advance EE in the public and residential building sector owned and operated by the municipality. 9 EA have already been carried out by Chisinau Framework Agreement jointly signed by 3 parties Framework Agreement; EEA’s readiness to provide effective, quality and relevant TA. 40 Energy Audits carried out in buildings owned and operated by the municipality Energy Audit Reports The municipality includes a budget provision in its annual budget to outsource a series of 40 EA Short-list of 20 EE projects selected for investment using EPC contracting modality No EE projects are identified yet 20 EE projects selected and documented Joint decision: Chisinau, PMU and EEF EE projects meeting the selection criteria in term of cost, payback and measurable savings Steady stream of payments by Chisinau in line with the EPC modality There are no EE projects using EPC modality currently under implementation in Moldova 20 EE projects are under implementation using EPC modality Quarterly LGF activity reports from the selected financial institution. Project financing available from the financial institution and grants provided by the EEF to shorten the payback period. Documented long-list of EE projects carried out The municipality is in a position to face its obligations in regard to EPC Quarterly payments) EE projects reach on target in term of energy savings and timeliness to carry out quality EE projects. ESCO are in a position to provide the expected co-financing GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 26 Outcome 3: Financial Mechanism is set up and functional, providing financing to ESCOs Reliable and updated data is readily available in regard to actual ESCO Moldova progress UNDP BAU M&E guidelines M&E plan drafted and implemented within 3 months after the project start-up. M&E Plan Quarterly and Annual progress reports The UNDP project monitoring reporting systems and template are appropriate for the purpose of the current project. If needs be the UNDP CO will provide guidelines and guidance to this end Loan Guarantee Fund (LGF) Regulation and Operational Guidelines EE project loan guarantee scheme is already available in its draft version LGF regulation enforced Financial Framework Agreement between the Project (PMU), the municipality, and the Energy Efficiency Fund (EEF): - Number of projects approved by the EEF - Total project-based co-financing (EEF’s grant) The EEF agreed on the principles of the Financial Framework Agreement, but this is not finalized yet LGF Regulation Document negotiated and duly signed by all parties: Chisinau, PMU, UNDP and the financial partner (bank) to be selected through a Request for Proposal Procedure by the PMU and UNDP. Financial Working Agreement dully signed Tripartite joint agreement on the way to manage the LGF bank account is drafted at the earliest stage of the project. The LGF trust bank account belongs to the UNDP up to the end of the project (EOP). The EEF will redesign the grant component to support ESCOs rather than energy users. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project Framework Agreement 27 - 20 Loan Guarantee approvals: (i) 5 in year 1; (ii) 10 in year 2, and (iii) 5 in year 3. - $At least 2.7 million approved (LGF and loans) - There is no target in regard to default of payment. A default of payment means the project investment is not fully repaid. - If the training program has the expected impact in term of EE projects design and financial analysis, the rate of rejection should be very low. No special target. - LGF approval delay should be 1 month if the request does not need improvements. LGF Performance indicators: - number of projects approved by the FI; - Total amount of loans ($) - Total amount of loan guarantees (commitment) - Default of payment: total amount and % - Number of requests rejected by the FI - Duration of the decision making procedure from the LGF request and the final approval Outcome 4: EPC Projects and GUDP replicated in other municipalities and Information shared and disseminated, project M&E carried out. EPC projects are implemented in at least one other city EPC projects were not implemented in Moldova: no case studies or lessons learnt reports were drafted. EPC and ESCO concept (model) start from scratch. - - - - 10 EPC Case Studies identified and made available; One short project video is made available on the EPC projects carried out by the project At least 3 EPC projects are implemented inat least in one other city. At least another city will have developed or started to develop a Green Urban Development Plan GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project LGF quarterly and Annual Activity reports Documents: - EPC projects and GUDP lessons learnt report - Mid-term and Final Project Review reports - Project final report ESCOs are in a position to submit a quality technical project design and comprehensive and reliable financial analysis in accordance with guidelines. ESCO are in a position to co-finance 20% of the whole project cost (out of the financing cost) The selected FI is efficient as expected. EEF provides grants to EE projects At least 1 other city will be willing to develop a GUDP and carry out energyefficiency investment projects using the ESCO business model and EPC modality. 28 ANNEX B: RESPONSES TO PROJECT REVIEWS (from GEF Secretariat and GEF Agencies, and Responses to Comments from Council at work program inclusion and the Convention Secretariat and STAP at PIF). Responses to Comments from GEF Secretariat Review Responses to Comments from GEF Secretariat Review GEF Secretariat Comments Responses Details of at least 20 energy savings projects financed by the ESCO Moldova Table B3-2 provides specific details about the types of projects which could expecte to be implemented with the support of this project. . At the stage of the project design, the UNDP or the municipality cannot make a decision on the number of buildings (i) in the residential sector; (ii) in public buildings because the decision must be made by the municipality based on 40 energy audits reports. EA reports will provide a comprehensive set of information (equipment and specifications-cost- implementing – payback period, etc). Taking into consideration these reports will not be available before the Q2 of the project timeframe, a decision at this stage is irrelevant. For the purpose of the GHG evaluation, the project design team included 15 residential buildings and 5 public buildings. Again, the decision will be made later during year 1 of the project timeframe by the municipality. The municipality, the final selection of EE projects (sites and buildings) will be made based on the result of the energy audits reports. Through its co-financing, the municipality agreed to carry out 40 energy audits in targets buildings both residential multi-storey and public buildings. Main criteria for selecting EE projects are: i) the project-based average payback period based on the ratio savings on cost; ii) the investment cost; and iii) the easiness and reliability of EE measures impact. The UNDP project intends to implement 15 EE projects in the residential sector and 5 projects in public buildings. Such a strategy is based on criteria mentioned above and knowledge that for the same investment ESCOs will get more energy savings in the residential sector than in public buildings. Based on available data and a survey of some typical buildings, details related to EE projects are provided in tables below. The EE measures considered at this stage are the following: - Roof insulation (EPS 100 mm) Windows replacement Walls insulation (EPS 100 mm) Implementation of efficient heating substation (public buildings) - Internal heating system (residential) It is important to understand that the final decision about improvements, technologies and EE measures will be made when the energy audit reports will be submitted at the early stage of the project implementation. Detailed estimation of GHG emissions reduction, including indirect emissions reduction, with applied methodologies and assumptions GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project The project design team evaluated the GHG emissions reduction and the estimated impacts should be as follows: Direct: - 15 residential buildings: the cumulative (2018-2038) GHG emissions reduction is 50.3 ktons CO2; 29 - 5 public buildings, the cumulative GHG reduction is 11.2 ktons CO2 for the same period. Total direct: 68 ktons CO2 The team also evaluated the impact of additional EE project. The project activities include providing assistance to Chisinau City in various aspects of EE building project through the implementation of EE measures. Such assistance could be on the supervision of feasibility analyses and replication of 20 building retrofitting design in accordance with the Chisinau energy savings target of 20% in the building sector. These additional 20 EPC projects carried out over a period of 6 years after the ESCO MOLDOVA PROJECT completion will be impacted by the GEF/UNDP activity. Those projects would potentially account for at least the same savings per EPC project than the EPC demo projects implemented during the project timeframe, that is to say up to 2018. As a result the Post Indirect impact account for 40 ktonCO2 Total Direct and Post Indirect: 101 ktonCO2 The evaluation of Indirect impact as a result of the project influence, and taking into consideration the municipal target of improving 20% of existing buildings over the upcoming 20years, the project influence impact (bottom-up and causality factor of 0.4), the theoretical additional impact is 240 ktonCO2. Based on cumulative Direct impacts (20 EE projects) the abatement cost is: $21 Based on cumulative Direct and Post Direct impacts the abatement cost is: $12.8 Based on cumulative Direct and Post Direct plus the influence impact, the abatement cost is: $3.4 Replication strategy for other cities GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project In regard to the Green Urban Development (GUD) in other cities, the replication strategy for ESCO activities towards the green urban development will be elaborated at the stage of the preparation of the Green Urban Development Plan for Chisinau (Outcome 1). At the stage of the project design, we are not in a position to draft the comprehensive GUDP replication strategy because the first step is to draft the GUDP for Chisinau. Since the GUDP is not yet outlined, the project design team has not been asked to outline the replication strategy for something that does not yet exist. Nevertheless, the project Component 4 encompasses workshops and TA with the aim of replicating the GUDP in at least one other city. Major cities will also attend 2 workshops at the stage of the GUDP preparation for the City of Chisinau. The project design makes the strategic assumption that based on the information shared with the major cities; at least one other city will embark on the GUDP. In regard to replication strategy of EE projects: The project will involve other major cities (TBD) at workshops during the preparation stage of the Chisinau Green Urban Development Plan with the aim of strengthening their capacity to replicate the GUDP at their level. At the stage of the EE projects implementation through the Energy Performance Contact approach, other municipalities will be invited to attend the training session related to the municipal sector. In addition, the project will provide other municipalities with all report or study templates and TA. As a result the project expects that at least 30 1 other major city (TBD) in Moldova will embark on the GUD pattern and EE efficiency improvement with the support of ESCOs ANNEX C: STATUS OF IMPLEMENTATION OF PROJECT PREPARATION ACTIVITIES AND THE USE OF FUNDS15 A. PROVIDE DETAILED FUNDING AMOUNT OF THE PPG ACTIVITIES FINANCING STATUS IN THE TABLE BELOW: PPG Grant Approved at PIF: $ 60,000 Project Preparation Activities Implemented International consultants Local consultants Total GEF/LDCF/SCCF/NPIF Amount ($) Budgeted Amount 40,947 19,053 60,000 Amount Spent To date 25,387 13,165 38,552 Amount Committed 15,560 5,888 21,448 Of the PPG budget of $60,000 all of the funds have been committed as of April 2014. The PPG funds were used to hire a team of four consultants (2 international consultants, 2 national consultants) to work with UNDP to develop the fully fledged UNDP project document and the GEF Request for CEO endorsement over an eight month period from September 2013 to April 2014. Two national consultants worked on legal/regulatory issues related to ESCO operation in Moldova and on baseline data collection as well as playing a leading role in organizing the stakeholder consultations and the outputs of this work were a legal/regulatory report and a baseline data report. Two international consultants worked on the design of the project strategy with the first international consultant and team leader taking the lead role in preparing the UNDP project document and GEF request for CEO endorsement and the second international consultant taking a lead role in designing the public private partnership (PPP) and securing private sector partners for the PPP. Once the decision was taken to focus on a broader ESCO market development approach after it became clear that it was not going to be feasible to establish a PPP , funds were reallocated away from the design of the PPP to the design of the loan guarantee fund and the international consultant team leader provided greater inputs and support for the design of the loan guarantee fund (LGF). 15 If at CEO Endorsement, the PPG activities have not been completed and there is a balance of unspent fund, Agencies can continue undertake the activities up to one year of project start. No later than one year from start of project implementation, Agencies should report this table to the GEF Secretariat on the completion of PPG activities and the amount spent for the activities. GEF5 CEO Endorsement ESCO Moldova Project 31
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