Risk management

Software Engineering
Muhammad Fahad Khan
[email protected]
University Of Engineering & Technology
Taxila,Pakistan
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Today’s Class
Project management(Ch 05)
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Objectives
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To explain the main tasks undertaken by project
managers
To introduce software project management and to
describe its distinctive characteristics
To discuss project planning and the planning process
To show how graphical schedule representations are
used by project management
To discuss the notion of risks and the risk management
process
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Topics covered
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Management activities
Project planning
Project scheduling
Risk management
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What is Project Management?
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Software project management
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Concerned with activities involved in ensuring
that software is delivered on time and on
schedule and in accordance with the
requirements of the organisations developing the
software
Project management is needed because software
development is always subject to budget and schedule
constraints that are set by the organisation developing
the software.
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Project Management & Product Delivery
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Software management distinctions
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The product is intangible.
The product is uniquely flexible.
Software engineering is not recognized as an
engineering discipline with the same status as
mechanical, electrical engineering, etc.
The software development process is not
standardised.
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Management activities
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Proposal writing.
Project planning and scheduling.
Project costing.
Project monitoring and reviews.
Personnel selection and evaluation.
Report writing and presentations.
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Project staffing
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May not be possible to appoint the ideal people to work
on a project
 Project budget may not allow for the use of highlypaid staff.
 Staff with the appropriate experience may not be
available.
 An organisation may wish to develop employee skills
on a software project.
Managers have to work within these constraints
especially when there are shortages of trained staff.ppo
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Activity organization
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Activities in a project should be organised to produce tangible
outputs for management to judge progress.
Milestones are the end-point of a process activity.
Deliverables are project results delivered to customers.
The waterfall process allows for the straightforward definition
of progress milestones.
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Process to get Milestones
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Project scheduling
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Split project into tasks and estimate time and resources
required to complete each task.
Organize tasks concurrently to make optimal
use of workforce.
Minimize task dependencies to avoid delays
caused by one task waiting for another to complete.
Dependent on project managers intuition and experience.
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Scheduling problems
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Estimating the difficulty of problems and
hence the cost of developing a solution is
hard.
Productivity is not proportional to the
number of people working on a task.
Adding people to a late project makes it
later because of communication
overheads.
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Summary
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Bar charts and activity networks
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Graphical notations used to illustrate the project
schedule.
Show project breakdown into tasks. Tasks should not be
too small. They should take about a week or two.
Activity charts show task dependencies and the the
critical path.
Bar charts show schedule against calendar time.
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Task durations and dependencies
Activity
Duration (da ys)
Dependencies
T1
8
T2
15
T3
15
T4
10
T5
10
T2, T4 (M2)
T6
5
T1, T2 (M3)
T7
20
T1 (M1)
T8
25
T4 (M5)
T9
15
T3, T6 (M4)
T10
15
T5, T7 (M7)
T1 (M1)
T11
7
T9 (M6)
T12
10
T11 (M8)
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Activity network
8 day s
1 4 /7 /0 3
15 da y s
M1
T3
T9
T1
5 day s
4 /8/03
T6
M4
2 5 /7 /0 3
4 /7 /0 3
start
15 da y s
M3
2 5 /8/03
M6
7 day s
2 0 day s
15 day s
T7
T2
25 /7 /0 3
10 da y s
M2
T4
T 11
10 day s
T5
5 /9/03
11 /8/03
M7
T 10
1 8 /7 /0 3
M8
15 da y s
10 da ys
T 12
M5
2 5 day s
Finish
T8
19 /9/03
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Activity timeline
4 /7
11 /7
18 /7
2 5 /7
1 /8
8 /8
1 5 /8
22 /8
2 9 /8
5 /9
12 /9
1 9 /9
Start
T4
T1
T2
M1
T7
T3
M5
T8
M3
M2
T6
T5
M4
T9
M7
T 10
M6
T 11
M8
T 12
Finish
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Staff allocation
4 /7
Fred
1 1 /7
18 /7
2 5 /7
1 /8
8 /8
15 /8
2 2 /8
2 9 /8
5 /9
1 2 /9
19 /9
T4
T8
T 11
T 12
Jane
T1
T3
T9
An ne
T2
T6
Jim
M ary
T 10
T7
T5
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Risk management
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Risk management is concerned with identifying risks
and drawing up plans to minimise their effect on a
project.
A risk is a probability that some adverse circumstance
will occur
 Project risks affect schedule or resources
 Product risks affect the quality or performance of the
software being developed
 Business risks affect the organisation developing the
software
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Software risks
Risk
Affects
Description
Staff turnover
Project
Experienced staff will leave the project before it is finished.
Management change
Project
There will be a change of organisational management with
different priorities.
Hardware unavailability
Project
Hardware that is essential for the project will not be
delivered on schedule.
Requirements change
Project and
product
There will be a larger numb er of changes to the
requirements than anticipated.
Specification delays
Project and
product
Specifications of essential interfaces are not available on
schedule
Size underestimate
Project and
product
The size of the system has been underestimated.
CASE t ool underperformance
Product
CASE t ools which support the project do not perform as
anticipated
Technology change
Business
The underlying technology on which the system is b uilt is
superseded by new technology.
Product comp etition
Business
A competitive product is marketed before the system is
completed.
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Type of Risk
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Current Risks
Emerging Risks
Future Risks
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The risk management process
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Risk identification
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Risk analysis
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Assess the likelihood and consequences of these risks
Risk planning
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Identify project, product and business risks
Draw up plans to avoid or minimise the effects of the risk
Risk monitoring
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Monitor the risks throughout the project
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The risk management process
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Risk identification
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Technology risks
People risks
Organisational risks
Requirements risks
Estimation risks
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Risks and risk types
Risk type
Possibl e risks
Techno logy
The da tabase used in the system canno t process as many transactions per second
as exp ected.
Software componen ts that shou ld be reus ed contain defects that limit their
func tiona li ty.
People
It is im possible to recruit staff wit h the skill s required.
Key staff are ill and unava il able at criti cal tim es.
Requi red training for staff is not availa ble.
Organ isationa l
The o rgan isation is restructured so that diff erent manag ement are respons ible for
the project.
Organ isationa l f inancial problems force reduc tions in the project budge t.
Tools
The cod e gen erated by CASE tools is i neffi cient.
CASE tools canno t be integrated.
Requi rements
Changes to requirements that require major design rewo rk are proposed .
Customers fail to unde rstand the im pact of requirements change s.
Estim ation
The tim e requir ed to deve lop the software is unde restim ated.
The rate of defect repair is und erestim ated.
The size o f t he software is unde restim ated.
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Risk analysis
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Assess probability and seriousness of each
risk.
Probability may be very low, low,
moderate, high or very high.
Risk effects might be serious, tolerable or
insignificant.
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Risk planning
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Consider each risk and develop a strategy to manage
that risk.
Avoidance strategies
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Minimisation strategies
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The probability that the risk will arise is reduced;
The impact of the risk on the project or product will be reduced;
Contingency plans
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If the risk arises, contingency plans are plans to deal with that risk;
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Risk monitoring
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Assess each identified risks regularly to decide whether
or not it is becoming less or more probable.
Also assess whether the effects of the risk have changed.
Each key risk should be discussed at management
progress meetings.
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Key points
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Good project management is essential for project
success.
The intangible nature of software causes problems for
management.
Managers have diverse roles but their most significant
activities are planning, estimating and scheduling.
Planning and estimating are iterative processes
which continue throughout the course of a
project.
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Key points
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A project milestone is a predictable state where a formal
report of progress is presented to management.
Project scheduling involves preparing various graphical
representations showing project activities, their
durations and staffing.
Risk management is concerned with identifying risks
which may affect the project and planning to ensure that
these risks do not develop into major threats.
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Question & Review session
For any query feel free to contact [email protected]
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