Exporting status and success in innovation: Evidence from Community Innovation Survey micro data for EU countries Jože Damijan Črt Kostevc Matija Rojec Outline • • • • • • Motivation Key findings Data Estimation strategy Results Where to go from here? Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 3 Motivation • • Growing body of empirical literature that looks at the nexus of trade and innovation activity at the firm level; Both directions of causality received some empirical support • innovation improves exporting performance (Wagner, 1996; Wakelin, 1997, 1998; Ebling and Janz, 1999; Aw et al., 2005, 2009; Girma et al., 2007); • Firms learn to innovate from being present in exporting markets Bratti and Felice (2012), Ghazalian (2012), Damijan, Kostevc, Polanec (2010); Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 4 Motivation • Policy implications are important (stimulate exports to generate innovation or subsidise R&D to improve export participation) Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 5 Key findings • • • systematically positive relationship between export status and successful innovation (strong effect for product innovation, weak for organisational); the impact of exporting is robust to the definition of innovation, i.e. new-to-firm versus new-to-market innovation; while innovation success is, in general, increasing in firm size, we find consistent evidence that exporting performance exerts the strongest effects on innovation in medium-sized firms; Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 6 Key findings (continued) • • we find that the effects of export status, size and market concentration on firms’ innovation performance in the new EU member states to be substantially smaller The effect of FDI on innovation, on the other hand, is larger Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 7 Data Firm-level data on four most recently available waves of Community Innovation Survey (CIS) data: CIS III, CIS IV, CIS 2006 and CIS 2008; • Between 14 and 16 countries surveyed, primarily from CEEC, but also includes EU-15 countries and several non-EU countries; • Data have been annonymized preventing the construction of a panel dataset and leads to other estimation issues; • Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 8 Data Table 1: CIS sample construction Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 9 Data Table 2: Overview of data characteristics Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 10 Data Table 3: Overview of data characteristics wrt size class Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 11 Estimation • • We look at the effect of exporting status on different aspects of innovative activity. Employ the following general econometric specification: P(INNitype =1) = a + b1 expi + b2controlsi + dTi + g I i + hCi + ei • where we control for firm size, market power, for. ownership, absorbtive capacity, in-house and external R&D expenditure, information and co-operation on innovation activities. Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 12 Estimation issues • • • Data quality Factor analysis to extract eigenvalues for sources of innovation information (1) and co-operation (2) Endogeneity (2-stage IV) Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 13 Results • • • • Baseline (probit) on the complete sample New-to-market innovations only Allowing coefficients to vary with size classes CEEC versus rest of EU Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 14 15 16 17 18 Results recap • • • • • Strong correlation between exporting status and success in innovation; The relationship is particularly strong in case of product innovations and in part marketing innovation; Size and foreign ownership matter; In the most general specification R&D has (a quantitatively small) negative effect on the probability to innovate. The effect disappears when new-to-market products are considered; Market concentration in general leads to less innovation Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 19 Results recap (…continued) Medium sized firms (50-250 employees) appear to benefit most from exporting status; • Most effects appear weaker for CEEC countries with exception of the impact of foreign ownership which, for all but product innovations, is significantly stronger than in the remainder of the sample; • IV estimation (not shown) supports the link between exporting and innovation status • Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 20 To-dos • • • • Explore data on cooperation and sources of information further; Further robustness tests; Explain the cross-country differences (sampling, countrycharacteristics,…) Explore information on R&D subsidies and shares of revenue due to innovation Milano, 27-28 February 2013 Institure for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia 21
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