Innovational Complementarities and Network Neutrality Johannes M. Bauer and Günter Knieps Michigan State University and University of Freiburg TPRC 43 Arlington, VA, 24-27 September 2015 1 Motivation • FCC net neutrality order and much of policy debate based on assumption that Internet innovation is edge-driven • Most economic models of the effects of net neutrality regulation rely on a specific, wellunderstood but narrow, framework (M/M/1) to model congestion • Paper seeks to broaden analysis to a more general model of interdependent innovation 2 Diversity and heterogeneity of uses Source: Sandvine 2015 3 Continuous network innovation (Download capacity for DSL, cable, and mobile 1988-2015) Source: Bauer & Latzer, forthcoming 4 Interdependent innovation • Innovation – Combination and re-combination of knowledge – Evolutionary search process • Drivers – Opportunities (“adjacent possible”) – Appropriability of rewards – Capabilities • In the ICT system innovation conditions at each layers enable and constrain the innovation conditions at the other layers 5 Framing Internet innovations • Modular core and edge innovations – End-to-end does not per se oppose active traffic management but suggests that preserving low-cost options to innovate on the edges of the network has substantial value – This value is unlocked by keeping the core network services and functions simple and cheap • Network ownership versus ownership at the edge – Considerable advantages in a network architecture in which innovators at the edge do not intervene in the competencies of network operators and vice versa 6 M/M/1 queuing models • Based on Poisson process of arrival rate of service requests • Average waiting time in the priority class differs from average waiting time in the best effort class • Analyzes average waiting time depending on network traffic and transmission capacity • Given the stochastic nature of the Poisson process, deterministic traffic quality guaranties of maximal endto-end response time of any data packet in the top priority class are beyond the M/M/1 framework • Additional investments increase transmission capacity and thereby increase average service 7 All-IP networks • The narrow focus on end-to-end response time of content delivery can and needs to be extended to encompass real time jitter-sensitive applications. • To analyze the full innovation potential at the edge and within all-IP networks and their interplay/complementarities demands a more general approach toward traffic quality. • It requires taking into account not only stochastic traffic quality (e.g. average expected response time) but also deterministic traffic quality in determining maximum response times (D) and maximum jitter (J). 8 Complementary GPTs • Innovations within the Internet are not only driven by applications but can also be stimulated by developments at the network and traffic layers. • The all-IP infrastructure and Generalized DiffServ architecture function as General Purpose Technologies (GPTs) for applications and services. • It is important that the GPTs on the broadband infrastructure level and on the traffic architecture level are open for innovative evolutions. • Mutual feedback effects between applications and network/traffic layers. 9 Generalized DiffServ architecture • Allows implementation of a variety of multipurpose traffic architectures with deterministic and stochastic traffic quality guarantees by creating different traffic classes that can support time- and non-time-sensitive applications. • Traffic quality parameters are not only limited to mean, statistical or probabilistic end-to-end response times but also manage worst case analysis of the network behavior. • Maximum response time guarantee as well as active jitter management for real time applications can be provided. 10 An open innovation space • The Generalized DiffServ architecture contains frameworks and building blocks for a variety of transmission architectures enabling the organization of various traffic class hierarchies. • Basic characteristics of each entrepreneurial selection of the Generalized DiffServ architecture – Application-blindness of the traffic network – Active traffic management – Market driven network neutrality 11 End-to-end connectivity and market-driven network neutrality • QoS differentiation and traffic class pricing in the Generalized DiffServ model do not incentivize ad hoc discrimination of specific applications. • Instead, market-driven network neutrality is realized, where only opportunity costs of traffic qualities are relevant for pricing, irrespective of the specific application. • Multipurpose traffic allocation rules for the total traffic, having impact on all users rather than a particular subset of users. • Transmission capacities are shared among different traffic classes with monotonic declining traffic quality. 12 Complementarity of edge innovations • All IP-infrastructure and Generalized DiffServ architecture function as GPTs for application services. – A large and open set of application services can be provided. – E.g., e-mail services, content delivery as well as timesensitive protocol session dependent, interactive services. • In contrast, vis-à-vis the network application services at the edge do not have the characteristics of a GPT. – E.g., Internet message format standards and the simple mail transport protocol (SMTP), real-time transport protocol for transmission of real-time data and providing QoS feedback. 13 Implications for net neutrality • Overarching framework for the discussion – The net neutrality debate in general and the specific policies adopted in the U.S. use an overly simplified innovation concept. – The underlying innovation model privileges innovations at the application layer but infrastructure innovations are also a driver of innovation. • Implications for net neutrality research – Analytical models rely heavily on M/M/1 queuing model. – Understanding innovational complementarities will require more general congestion models. • Implications for policy design – Innovations at the application layer and at the network layer flourish under different regulatory conditions that require balancing a trade-off. – Improperly designed net neutrality policies may bias innovation efforts in favor of services or infrastructure resulting in lower overall innovation. 14 Recap • Innovation is an evolutionary search process of combination, recombination and selection. • A large variety of innovations at the edge could evolve based on TCP best effort transmission protocols. • Growing diversity and heterogeneity of applications and services implies that network differentiation will become a more important precondition for the vibrancy of the interdependent innovation system. • In technologically dynamic industries with asymmetrically distributed knowledge it is important to allow entrepreneurial choices of for-profit and non-profit actors to experiment freely. • Net neutrality policy as currently specified limits the technological and economic space over which such experiments can take place. 15
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