7 Targets and Indicators 7.1 Overview The Government recognises that it is vitally important for authorities to set robust targets and trajectories relating to local transport. It is expected that second LTPs will report targets and indicators according to the following hierarchy: • Targets for key programme indicators; • Targets for intermediate outcomes; • Targets for contributory outcome indicators; and • Targets for any other outcome or output indicators. The mandatory indicators and our local indicators are summarised in tables 7.1, 7.3, 7.4, 7.5 and 7.7. Table 7.7 lists all the indicators and gives an indication of the shared priorities and Mayors objectives the indicators and targets impact upon. The following paragraphs include a short commentary on how we have developed our targets, starting with a review of our progress towards targets in the first LTP period. 7.2 Progress within First LTP Our achievements within the first LTP were described in Chapters 3 and 5. It is clear from the stated headlines that our investment to date in road safety measures has paid clear dividends in the consistently downward trend in our casualty statistics, particularly in terms of children Killed or Seriously Injured. We have invested significantly in public transport infrastructure improvements, but this has not necessarily delivered a complementary increase in bus patronage, and is a factor that we must address within the second LTP. Similarly, car traffic usage is rising, and we must take action to address this, particularly on our key movement corridors as regeneration takes place within the Tees Valley and pressures on all modes of travel increase. These trends form the starting point for the development of a series of targets and indictors for the second LTP. 7.3 Mandatory Indicators The Off has set a number of mandatory indicators that we are required to monitor throughout the second LTP. These consist of Best Value Performance Indicators (BVPls) ostensibly relating to road condition, footway condition, public transport and casualty reduction, and a number of LTP indicators against which targets must be set. The full list of mandatory indicators against which we set targets is set out in table 7.1 below. The proposed targets and the rationale behind their adoption are discussed in the subsequent paragraphs. Table 7.1 Mandatory Indicators Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Reference BVPI 223 BVPI 224(a) BVPI 224(b) BVPI 187 BVPI 99(x) BVPI 99(y) BVPI 99(z) BVPI 102 BVPI 104 LTP1 (a) LTP1 (b) LTP2 LTP3 LTP4 LTP5 LTP6 LTP7 Definition Principal Road Condition Non-Principal Classified Road Condition Unclassified Road Condition Footway Condition Total Killed and Seriously Injured Casualties Child Killed and Seriously Injured Casualties Total Slight Casualties Public Transport Patronage Bus Satisfaction Accessibility to Major and District Centres Accessibility to lames Cook University Hospital Change in Area Wide Road Traffic Mileage Cycling Trips Mode Share of journeys to School Bus Punctuality Changes in Peak Period Traffic Flows to Urban Centres Congestion 7.4 Road Condition 7.4.1 BVPI 223, 224(a), 224(b) Road Condition BVPI 223, 224 (a), (b) Road Condition relate to the carriageway condition of principal, non-principal classified and unclassified roads and replace BVPI 96, 97(a), (b) and have been measured over a number of years using a number of different methods of measurement. It has not been possible to gauge trends in relation to these indicators due to the variation in measurement, indeed to date there has not been a reliable baseline set. The latest BVPI Guidance requires that both BVPI 223 and BVPI 224 (a) are assessed using TRACS Type Systems. Middlesbrough have recently appointed DCL Ltd to undertake road condition surveys for all Tees Valley Authorities over the next 5 years. A SCANNER system will be utilised to set a reliable baseline against which robust targets can be set and progress measured. It is expected that a baseline for BVPI 223 and BVPI 224(a) will be set in 2006 with the baseline for BVPI 224(b) set in 2007. We are currently reported as being in the top quartile of Unitary Authorities for BVPI 97 (a) and (b), but in the bottom quartile for BVPI 96, though these figures may be skewed by the inherent inaccuracies in the current method of measurement. - (See table 7.2 below) Table 7.2 Road Condition Indicator Principal road condition Non-principal classified road condition Non-principal unclassified road condition Categories 1 & 2 footway condition Best Value Performance Indicator BVPI 96 Value 28.72% Unitary performance quartile bottom BVPI 97a 10.71% top BVPI 97b 7.39% top BVPI 187 22.92% Upper Middle Targets for the new indicators will be set once the survey information has been assessed and baselines set. The targets will be set against the context of an ongoing maintenance backlog. It is anticipated that we will set a 'satisfactory' target that there be no overall deterioration in condition. 7.4.2 BVPI 187 Footway Condition This represents the percentage of the Category 1, 1a and 2 footway network that should be considered for maintenance intervention and is measured using the Detailed Visual Inspection (DVI) method of measurement. A target has been set to have no overall deterioration in condition set against a 2004/2005 baseline of 22.92% of footways exceeding the threshold for deficiencies. This a realistic target given projected levels of capital and revenue expenditure and the need to focus on principal road condition. 7.5 Casualty Reduction Targets BVPI 99(x), (y) and (z) relate to the number of Killed or Seriously Injured (KSI) casualties, Child KSI casualties and Slight casualties, respectively. Currently progress on these indicators shows that the overall number of KSIs target will be difficult to achieve, the number of child casualties is generally on target and that the number of slight casualties is well ahead of the target. It is proposed that "5 year" targets be set against a 2001-2004 baseline for the second LTP with progress monitored using 3 year rolling averages, given the relatively small number of casualties, all in accordance with the current revised guidance. 7.5.1 Total KSI Casualties - BVPI 99(x) This area of casualty reduction has been problematic with progress lagging behind the target trajectory set out in first LTP. Progress has been disappointing even allowing for the fact that year on year volatility in the relatively small number of casualties can skew trends. After a number of challenging years the number of KSIs in 2004 finally provided a measure of convergence with the target trajectory. Early indications for casualties in 2005 indicate a similar number of KSI casualties to 2004. It is to be hoped that this is the sign of a sustained downward trend though we remain realistic as to the statistical significance of a two year reduction in this indicator. Figure 7.1 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory unto 2010, using 3 year rolling averages and a 2001-2004 baseline. 90 Figure 7.1: KSI Casualties - Actual (1999/01 to 2001/04) and Target upto 2010 (20% Reduction) No. of KSI Casualties 80 70 60 Actual 50 Target 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year It is considered that it is not realistic to pursue the “10 year” target of a 40% reduction in KSIs given the inconsistent progress to date. We will therefore pursue a “satisfactory” target to reduce the overall number of KSls by 20% by 2010 using a 2001-2004 baseline. This gives a horizon year target of 59 KSI casualties against a baseline of 74 casualties. This is considered to be a challenging target given progress to date. 7.5.2 Child KSI Casualties - BVPI 99(y) We have made good progress against this indicator since 2001. The actual number of casualties in 2001 and 2004 were at or below the horizon year target of 9 casualties. Clearly the casualty numbers are so low that they can be extremely volatile year on year. Nevertheless there is a clear downward trend inline with that required to meet our horizon year target. We will pursue a target to reduce the number of child KSIs by 25% by 2010 using a 2001-2004 baseline. This gives a horizon year target of 9 child KSI casualties. This remains a very challenging target given the very small number of casualties involved and is slightly more stretching than the corresponding indicator in the first LTP. Figure 7.2 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory upto 2010, using 3 year rolling averages and a 2001-2004 baseline. No. of Child KSI Casualties 18 Figure 7.2: Child KSI Casualties - Actual (1999/01 to 2001/04) and Target upto 2010 (25% Reduction) 16 14 12 Actual 10 Target 8 6 4 2 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 7.5.3 Total Slight Casualties - BVPI 99(z) Excellent progress has been made in terms of slight casualty reduction since 2001. A reduction in the total number has been sustained for a number of years now. Indeed the actual number of slight casualties in 2004 (536) was 14% below the original horizon year target of 623 slight casualties. We will pursue a target to reduce the number of slight casualties by 10% by 2010 using a 2001-2004 baseline. This gives a horizon year target of 500 slight casualties, a reduction of 28% on the original 1994-1998 baseline. This is consequently considered to be a challenging target given the relatively low baseline. Figure 7.3 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory unto 2010, using 3 year rolling averages and a 2001-2004 baseline. Figure 7.3: Slight Casualties - Actual (1999/01 to 2001/04) and Target upto 2010 (10% Reduction) No. of Slight Casualties 650 600 Actual 550 Target 500 450 400 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 7.6.1 Public Transport Patronage - BVPI 102 Bus patronage has been on the decrease in the Tees Valley sub region and the North East as a whole, though it must be borne in mind that these reductions are set against very high levels of usage when compared to other areas of the country. In fact the total number of journeys made in 2004/2005 was 10,888,000 which equates to 78 journeys per head of population per annum, the highest rate in the Tees Valley. Figure 7.4 below shows the progress made since 2001/2002 and the proposed trajectory target. Figure 7.4: Num ber of Bus Passenger Journeys - Actual (2001/05) and Targets upto 2010/11 No. of Bus Passenger Journeys 11,200 11,000 10,800 10,600 10,400 10,200 10,000 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Year Target w ith indicative funding (7% reduction) Actual Though patronage has decreased by 2% over the past 4 years this is below the Tees Valley average and demonstrates that the network and level of service provision has been comparatively stable. We are aware, however, that there have been a number of services deregistered over the past 12 months and that there are likely to be more to follow in the coming 12 months. The patronage loss from these services will be likely to outweigh any patronage gains (predicted at 4%) from the new concessionary fares scheme. It is considered that the numerous infrastructure improvements delivered coupled with improved safety at bus stops and on board buses and improved partnership working with local operators has influenced the relatively slow rate of decline in patronage. The ongoing high level discussions between the bus operators, the Mayor and senior Council officials have demonstrated our commitment to improving public transport provision and has led to common actions to improve provision for passengers. We aim to take forward the findings of the Tees Valley Bus Network Review in partnership with other Tees Valley Authorities, particularly the Boroughs of Stockton-on-Tees and Redcar and Cleveland with whom we share a substantial part of the network. The North East Real Time Information System is in the process of being commissioned and will improve public transport information for the public. In addition, the revised National Concessionary Fares Scheme will offer pensioners free travel after 9.30am and should significantly increase patronage, though this will depend upon the existing cross boundary arrangements with neighbouring authorities being retained. Bus patronage remains a challenging area and will be likely to continue to decline as car ownership increases and bus route coverage shrinks. A target of a 1% reduction per year from a 2003/2004 baseline has been set. This is considered to be challenging but achievable. We hope to achieve this by continuing to invest in infrastructure measures such as the bus real time information system, improved waiting facilities and bus priority measures, improved marketing and branding of services and encouragement to use services through targeted travel planning at key destinations and reducing the cost of public transport for key groups such as the over 60s, 16-19 year olds and people wanting to access work and other key services. There is an opportunity for a step change increase in bus patronage if a major scheme bid for improvements to a number of core and super core routes were supported and the target trajectory would be rebased if this came to fruition. Further details on potential major scheme bids arising from the Tees Valley Bus Network Review are reported in Chapter 8. 7.6.2 Satisfaction with Local Bus Services - BVPI 104 The percentage of bus users satisfied with local bus services increased from 50% in 2000/2001 to 57% in 2003/2004, which will now be used as a baseline. It is proposed to set a 2009/2010 horizon year target of 65°/o and have an interim target of 60% for 2006/2007, which is in line with the target set in the first LTP. This will represent a stepped trajectory, as shown in Figure 7.5 below, as the benefits arising from improvements carried out as part of the Bus Network Review will only have an effect on satisfaction levels towards the end of the second LTP period. Satisfaction with Local Bus Services 70% Figure 7.5: Satisfaction w ith Local Bus Services - Actual (2000/01 and 2003/04) and Targets upto 2009/10 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 Year Target w ith indicative funding Actual 7.7 LTP Indicators 7.7.7 LTP is Access to Major and District Centres These destinations provide a range of services including employment, good quality food retail, health and leisure facilities, libraries, general practitioners etc. 7.7.2 LTP1 b Access to lames Cook University Hospital James Cook University Hospital offers acute hospital care and an accident and emergency service and is a major employment site. The accessibility modelling work required to set a baseline for both these indicators is substantially complete. As expected, the initial Accession output has indicated that the above service destinations are very accessible by public transport with 100% and 99% of the population within 30 minutes of the major/district centres and lames Cook University Hospital, respectively. A target has been set to maintain the current level of accessibility. 7.7.3 LTP2 Area-Wide Road Traffic Flows This will be measured as the change in area-wide vehicle kilometres using data from the National Traffic Census. This indicator is included as a proxy for improvements in air quality and a reduction in green house gas emissions. The data required to set a baseline and target is awaited. 7.7.4 LTP3 Cycling Trips Cycling trips within the first LTP are reported at 4 automatic count sites and indicated that cycle flows had increased by 6.7% by 2004 against a 2001 baseline. This met the interim target of a 4% increase by 2006 and is on target to meet the horizon year target of 8% by 2012. Within the second LTP cycle trips will be measured at 6 automatic count sites. It is proposed to set a target to increase cycle flows by 10% by the horizon year of 2010 against a 2004 baseline. It is considered improvements to the network coupled with Smarter Choices initiatives such as travel planning and travel awareness campaigns will facilitate this increase. Cycling to secondary schools colleges and workplaces will be a particular focus. Figure 7.6 below shows the annualised index for cycle trips where the actual number of trips for 2004 is 82,486 and is represented by 100 in the figure. Cycle Route Usage Annualised Index Figure 7.6: Annualised Index of Actual and Target Cycle Route Usage 2002 - 2010 115% 110% 105% Actual 100% Target 95% 90% 85% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 7.7.5 LTP4 Mode Share of Journeys to School The data required to set a baseline and target for this indicator is not yet available from DfES. We will report trends using existing annual hands up surveys until this information is available though no target is to be set at this stage. 7.7.6 LTP5 Bus Punctuality This will be measured as the percentage of scheduled services between one minute early and five minutes late at a representative number of points throughout the Borough. The baseline for this indicator will be established in 2005/2006 and a target will be set for full submission in March 2006. The baseline and targets will be developed in conjunction with the bus operators as part of the Tees Valley Bus Quality Group. It is expected that we will set a target to achieve 90% punctuality by 2010. A stretched target of 90% punctuality by 2008 may be set if additional funding is forthcoming. SURVEYS TO SET BASELINE CURRENTLY UNDERWAY 7.7.7 LTP6 Changes in Peak Period Traffic Flows to Urban Centres This indicator measures the changes in peak hour traffic flow at the Town Centre Cordon. This cordon has been monitored for a number of years and traffic flow in the peak hours has reduced by 3.2% between 2001/2002 and 2003/2004 which meets our first LTP target of reducing peak hour flows by 3% by 2004/2005. This has been achieved by a combination of measures including better management of traffic, signing improvements, improvements for pedestrians and cyclists and reallocation of road space to buses. It is considered that there is some scope for further reductions but that any reduction in existing movements will be matched by increases due to the extensive development and regeneration proposals in the Town Centre, Middlehaven and the wider North Middlesbrough area. There may, in fact, be an upward pressure depending upon the rate at which development proceeds. Major generators such as the Middlesbrough College proposal could be open as early as 2008 and would be likely to lead to significant crossing of the cordon. We are currently speaking to Tees Valley Regeneration and prospective developers (including the college) to negotiate reduced car parking levels so that more sustainable travel choices can be made. It is therefore proposed to set a target to keep traffic levels at or below the 2003/2004 level of 22,169 vehicles over the entire second LTP period up until the 2010/2011 horizon year. This will represent a straight line, flat trajectory. 7.7.8 LTP7 Congestion Tees Valley Authorities are not required to monitor this indicator. Middlesbrough will nevertheless monitor traffic levels on routes susceptible to congestion to assess growth in demand on these routes. We will also carry out travel time surveys for all modes as part of the roll out of our route management strategy to tackle congestion. These will be reported in future Progress Reports but a target is not proposed. 7.7.9 LTP8 Air Quality Air Quality is monitored at 3 sites throughout the Borough. The evidence is that air quality within the Borough is good consequently there has not been a requirement to declare an Air Quality Management Zone (AQMA). The current trend is towards an improvement in quality therefore it is considered very unlikely that an AQMA will be declared within the lifetime of the second LTP. We will not therefore set a specific target for air quality though monitoring will, of course continue at the existing monitoring stations. 7.8 Intermediate Outcomes This section details those local indicators that are considered to directly support the mandatory indicator outcomes. The supporting text and graphs indicate progress made during the first LTP and the rationale behind the second LTP targets. Table 7.3 below summarises the local indicators that are considered to support the mandatory indicators. Included in the table is a reference to the mandatory indicators that they support. Table 7.3 Intermediate Outcome Indicators Number Reference Definition 18 19 Local 1 Local 2 Rail Patronage Mode Share of Journeys to Work 20 Local 3 21 22 23 Local 4 Local 5 Local 6 Number of Casualties in Disadvantage Communities Number of Child Casualties Number of Vulnerable Road User Casualties Traffic Flow into Town Centres Links to Mandatory Indicators LTPIa, LTP7 LTP1, LTP2, LTP3, LTP6, LTP7 BVP199 BVPI 99 BVP199 LTP2 7.8.1 Local 1 Rail Patronage This is measured as passenger footfall at Middlesbrough Station. Patronage at Middlesbrough Station increased 21.5% between 2001/2002 and 2004/2005. This was despite a reduction in 2002/2003 due to the impact of the Hatfield rail crash and industrial action by ARRIVA Trains Northern. A target has been set to increase rail patronage by 18% by 2010/2011 against a 2004/2005 baseline of 1,121,506. This will be achieved through the existing organic growth supported by travel awareness, travel information, travel planning and marketing activities. The Middlehaven development and wider regeneration of North Middlesbrough will be likely to increase footfall at the station and a more stretching target may be set as and when these developments come to fruition. Figure 7.7 below shows the footfall data from 2001/2002 to 2004/2005 and the target trajectory up to the 2010/2011 horizon year. 1,350,000 Figure 7.7: Rail Passenger Footfall - Actual (2001/05) and Targets upto 2010/11 (18% Increase) Rail Passenger Footfall 1,300,000 1,250,000 1,200,000 1,150,000 1,100,000 1,050,000 1,000,000 950,000 900,000 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Year Target Actual 7.8.2 Local 2 Mode Share of tourneys to Work This will be measured as the percentage of Middlesbrough Council employees travelling to work as a car driver and will be assessed using the Council Travel Plan annual survey. A target was set in LTP1 to reduce the proportion of car drivers by 5% by 2006 from a 65% baseline in 2000. In 2004/2005 the staff travel survey indicated a reduction to 64.5%. Clearly progress has not kept pace with the target trajectory and the LTP1 horizon year target will not be achieved. This target is considered to be aspirational particularly given that car ownership is increasing. For LTP2 the target is to reduce the number of car drivers by 2% from the 2004/2005 baseline. This is seen as being challenging in the context of the rate of growth in car ownership. We will seek to achieve this target by promoting smarter choices whilst continuing to increase parking charges. A Council Travel Plan will identify and seek to remove any institutional barriers to using sustainable travel and hidden incentives that encourage car use. 7.8.3 Local 3 Number of Casualties in Disadvantaged Communities This indicator measures the total number of casualties in 14 of the 15 disadvantaged communities. Overall casualty numbers are to be used rather than just KSIs as they are more statistically relevant and reliable. The remaining disadvantaged community is the Town Centre where the majority of the casualties involve residents of non-disadvantaged areas within the Town and from neighbouring authority areas and further a field. It can be seen that we have been very successful in reducing the incidence of casualties within disadvantaged communities with the number of casualties reducing by 9.7% between 2001 and 2004. This is because the majority of casualty reduction schemes delivered since 2001 have been within or adjacent to disadvantaged communities. In addition, the Road Safety Team spend more resource in these areas. We aim to build on this success by reducing the number of casualties within disadvantaged communities by a further 10% by 2010. This is considered to be a stretching target given the good progress already made. Figure 7.8 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory up to 2010, using 3 year rolling averages and a 2001-2004 baseline. Figure 7.8: Casualties in Disadvantaged Com m unities - Actual (1999/01 to 2001/04) and Target upto 2010 (10% Reduction) 340 No. of Casualties 330 320 310 Actual 300 Target 290 280 270 260 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 7.8.4 Local 4 Number of Child Casualties This indicator measures the total number of child casualties within the Borough and will act as a proxy to BVPI 99(y) Child KSIs. Overall casualty numbers are to be used rather than just KSIs as they are more statistically relevant and reliable. Figure 7.9 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory upto 2010, using 3 year rolling averages and a 2001-2004 baseline. Figure 7.9: Child Casualties - Actual (1999/01 to 2001/04) and Target upto 2010 (10% Reduction) 110 No. of Casualties 105 100 Actual Target 95 90 85 80 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year It can be seen that progress to date has been excellent with casualties having been reduced by 12.1 % between 2001 and 2004. This is a result of casualty reduction initiatives and, to a greater degree, our focus on road safety education and training. We aim to continue this success by reducing the overall number of child casualties by a further 10% by 2010. This is considered to be a challenging target given the good progress already made. 7.8.5 Local 5 Number of Vulnerable Road User Casualties This indicator measures the number of pedestrian, cycle and motorcycle casualties within the Borough. Overall casualty numbers are to be used rather than just KSIs as they are more statistically relevant and reliable. Again progress has been good with casualties down 9.4% between 2001 and 2004. The Council participate in a number of initiatives that assist vulnerable road users such as Kerbcraft pedestrian training, cycle training and motorcycle training. In addition, a number of engineering measures including safer routes to school schemes, school and 20mph zones and cycleway improvements will have benefits for this group of highway users. We aim to further reduce the number of vulnerable road user casualties by 10% by 2010. Figure 7.10 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory upto 2010, using 3 year rolling averages and a 2001-2004 baseline. Figure 7.10: Vulnerable Road User Casualties - Actual (1999/01 to 2001/04) and Target upto 2010 (10% Reduction) No. of Casualties 210 200 Actual 190 Target 180 170 160 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 7.8.6 Local 6 Traffic Flow Into Town Centres This indicator measures the Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT) flow at the Town Centre Cordon and will act as a proxy for LTP6 Peak Period Traffic Flow. Between 2001/2002 and 2003/2004 traffic flows at the cordon reduced by 2% which meets our LTP1 target of reducing AADT flows by 2% by 2004/2005. This has been achieved by a combination of measures including better management of traffic, signing improvements, improvements for pedestrians and cyclists and reallocation of road space to buses. It is considered that there is some scope for further reductions but that any reduction in existing travel patterns will be matched by increases due the extensive development and regeneration proposals in the Town Centre, Middlehaven and the wider North Middlesbrough area. It is therefore proposed to have a target to keep the Town Centre AADT flow to the 2003/2004 level of 268,964 vehicle movements until 2010/2011 using a flat, straight line trajectory. 7.9 Contributory Outcome Indicators This section details those local contributory outcome indicators that are considered to affect the mandatory indicator outcomes. The supporting text and graphs indicate progress made during the first LTP and the rationale behind the second LTP targets. Table 7.4 below summarises the local contributory outcome indicators. Included in the table is a reference to the mandatory indicators that they affect. Table 7.4 Contributory Outcome Indicators Number Reference Definition 24 25 Local 7 Local 8 School Travel Plans Bus Priority 26 27 Local 9 Local 10 Traffic Calmed and 20mph Roads Satisfaction with Personalised Travel Planning Service 28 Local 11 Links to Mandatory Indicators LTP4 BVPI 102, BVPI 104,LTP5 BVPI 99 LTPI,LTP2, LTP3, LTP6,LTP7 LTP1, LTP2, LTP3, LTP6, LTP7 Workplace Travel Plans 7.9.1 Local 7 School Travel Plans This indicator is intended to support LTP4 Mode share of journeys to school and measures the percentage of schools that have developed travel plans. We met our LTP1 commitment to develop school travel plans with 50% of our schools by 2005. Currently, 32 of our 55 schools have adopted travel plans, which equates to 58% of all schools within the Borough. It is proposed to set a target to develop travel plans at 100% of schools willing to participate by 2008, two years ahead of the national DfES target. This will represent a straight line trajectory. There is likely to be a number of new schools or amalgamation of schools developed over coming year as part of the Schools For The Future Initiative and due to the falling school rolls. This will be likely to mean that development of travel plans will go beyond the horizon year but only where replacement schools are developed or where travel patterns to existing schools have been altered by changing catchment areas. Figure 7.17 below shows progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory upto 2010/2017, compared to the national WES target. Figure 7.11: Num ber of Schools w ith Travel Plans - Actual (2001/02 to 2004/05) and Targets upto 2010/11 No. of Schools with Travel Plans 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Year Middlesbrough Council Target DfES Target Actual 7.9.2 Local 8 Bus Priority This indicator will measure the percentage of traffic signal controlled junctions that incorporate bus real time equipment that enables buses to be given priority over other traffic. There are currently 5 junctions within the Borough that incorporate such equipment. These were installed at the request of Arriva North East as be part of the initial phase of the North East Real Time Information project. The roll out of future improvements will reflect the priorities set out in the Bus Network Review and these signal installation improvements will be likely to part of a larger package of measures on specific categories of routes. It is proposed to set a target to incorporate this equipment at 35% of the 48 traffic signal controlled junctions within the Borough by 2010/2011, which equates to 17 junctions. This indicator will report against a baseline of 13 % by 2006. 7.9.3 Local 9 Traffic Calmed and 20mph Roads The development of extensive 20mph zones and traffic calmed routes is considered to be one of the main reasons why casualty levels within the Borough are at an all time low. These schemes are implemented where the potential for casualty savings is at its greatest and therefore offer value for money. They are also considered to be one of the main reasons why there is little difference between casualty rates within disadvantaged areas and non-disadvantaged areas. This is therefore seen as a proxy indicator for BVP199(z) Slight Casualties and the local indicators covering accidents in disadvantaged areas, total child casualties and vulnerable road user casualties. An audit to determine a baseline length of treated routes is currently being conducted by Council staff. The 2004/2005 baseline will express this as a percentage of the overall length of residential roads. 7.9.4 Local 10 Satisfaction with Personalised Travel Planning Service We have just appointed a personalised travel planner to trial this method of encouraging residents to make more sustainable travel choices. Initially the appointee will work with disadvantaged communities giving advice of the travel options available to access key services, such as health, training or employment. The process will include monitoring of performance with one of the main indicators being satisfaction with the service. It is proposed to develop a target to have 75% satisfaction with the service in 2005/2006 rising to 85% by 2010/2011. This will have a straight-line trajectory. 7.9.5 Local 11 Workplace Travel Plans This will measure the percentage of employees working for major employers (>200 employees) covered by travel plans. This was an LTP1 indicator that we did not meet due to the lack of a dedicated workplace travel plan co-ordinator. We have chosen to recommit to this activity and have recently appointed a links to employment travel advisor to assist local businesses with the development of travel plans. It is proposed to set a target to have 60% of staff employed by major employers covered by travel plans by 2010/2011 against a baseline of 28% in 2004/2005. This will have a straight line trajectory. Figure 7.12 below shows the progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory upto 2010/2011. Figure 7.12: Percentage of Em ployees w ith Travel Plans - Actual (2001/02 to 2004/05) and Targets upto 2010/11 % of Employees with Travel Plans 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Year Target Actual 7.10 Other Outcomes and Outputs Indicators This section details those local outcome or output indicators that are considered to influence the mandatory indicator outcomes. The supporting text and graphs indicate progress made during the first LTP and the rationale behind the second LTP targets. Table 7.5 below summarises these outcome and output indicators. Included in the table is a reference to the mandatory indicators that they influence. Table 7.5 Other Outcome and Output Indicators Number Reference Definition 29 30 Local 12 Local 13 CCTV on Buses Low Floor Bus Infrastructure I Links to Mandatory Indicators BVP102, BVP104 BVPI02, BVP104 7.10.1 Local 12 CCTV on Buses This will measure the number of buses operating within the Borough that have had CCTV equipment fitted in partnership with Middlesbrough Council. A total of 59 buses have been fitted with CCTV to date. It is proposed to set a target to have a total of 100 buses fitted by 2010/2011. This target will have a straight line trajectory from a 2005/2006 baseline. The bus operators are strongly in support of this initiative and report that the incidence of violence, abusive and threatening behaviour and criminal damage have reduced. This has obvious benefits for passengers but also helps bus companies in terms of losses due to damage and bogus compensation claims, loss of drivers due to violent incidents or stress caused by the threat of such incidents and loss of vehicles whilst they are being repaired. We are also currently trialing the installation of inconspicuous CCTV equipment within bus shelters in order to reduce the incidence of criminal damage and protect this important resource developed in partnership with Adshel. We do not intend to set a specific target associated with this but will report progress on this activity in future progress reports. 7.10.2 Local 13 Low Floor Bus Infrastructure LTP1 sets a target to provide low floor bus infrastructure on all Green Transport Corridors by 2005. This target has now been met with 184 (27.9%) of the Borough's 660 bus stops converted. It is proposed to set a new target to convert 40% of the Borough's bus stops to be low floor accessible by 2010/2011. Figure 7.13 below shows the progress made since 2001 and the proposed target trajectory upto 2010/2011. Figure 7.13: Percentage of Low Floor Accessible Bus Stops - Actual (2001/02 to 2004/05) and Targets upto 2010/11 60% % of Bus Stops 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Year Actual Target w ith indicative funding 7.11 Quality of Life Indicators The preceding chapters describe the role transport has in delivering sustainable regeneration and how the wealth created can impact on certain measures of Quality of Life within Middlesbrough and the Tees Valley sub-region. Transport improvements can influence and, to a degree, directly affect Quality of Life issues and so reduce the health, employment, educational and economic inequalities between the Town and other areas of the Country. The evolving Accessibility Strategy will identify key interventions required in transport services to reduce social exclusion and improve the quality of peoples lives. We will therefore monitor the Quality of Life indicators listed below. Targets will not be set as it is recognised that transport is just one influence on quality of life outcomes. • Unemployment Rates. • Social exclusion - % of wards within the 10% most deprived. • Mortality rates. • Educational attainment • GDP per capita 7.12 Monitoring The monitoring regime for many of these indicators is already developed having been monitored as part of the LTP1 process. A number of new indicators will rely on annual information from DFT and WES. Agreement has been reached with public transport providers to release information for the appropriate indicators. The level of monitoring will be greatly reduced compared to LTP1. There are a total of 30 indicators proposed compared to in excess of 80 in the first LTP. Many of the indicators are measured for other reasons i.e. BVPls. The proposed monitoring regime will therefore be robust and streamlined. 7.13 Risk Management Table 7.6 below provides a full assessment of risk associated with the above indicators and identifies the main control measures to be employed to manage the risk of non-achievement of targets. Indicator Reference BVPI223,BVPI224(a)B VPI224(b) – Road Condition BVPI187 – Footway Condition Sources and Risk Triggers Reliability of results from new survey monitoring methodology Availability of financial resources to prevent a decline in overall network standard Deterioration of road condition causing personal injury accidents Availability of financial resources to ensure best value through the delivery of high quality sustainable schemes (life costing) Limited revenue funding available to limit decline of footpath condition Deterioration of footpath condition causing personal injury accidents Utility intrusion into footways with poor reinstatement Impacts and Consequences Unreliable survey results, thus poor knowledge base Increased percentage of roads failing to meet satisfactory standard Increase in third party claims Only minimum short term road condition standard met Control Measures BVPI99(x) – Total killed and seriously injured casualties BVPI99(y) – Child killed and seriously injured casualties BVPI99 (z) – Total slight casualties Negative media attention regarding traffic & speed management measures Increase in casualty figures Failure to change driver behaviour Increased percentage of footpaths failing to meet satisfactory standards Increased number of third party claims Minimal standards met, attractiveness of streetscape limited Premature failure of footway structure & reinstatements Lengthy consultation time regarding traffic calming schemes Possible public rejection of traffic safety schemes Higher incidence of casualties Ensuring mechanical measurement methodology is robust/accurate & well understood Early intervention to limit the decline in road condition Adequate resources to be made available to raise the network standard Development of Highways Maintenance Management Plan Early intervention to limit the decline in footpath condition Adequate resources available to raise the network standard Development of Highways Maintenance Management Plan Proper management of Utility works Mix of initiatives to increase road safety, hard and soft measures e.g. traffic safety schemes/ ETP Development of Urban Safety Management Plan Positive media information about casualty reduction measures BVPI102 – Public transport patronage Increased car ownership Reduction in bus usage Reduction in bus service coverage, availability & reliability Reduction in & quality of vehicles Ageing population Increase in crime incidents on the public transport network Negative media information about public transport Declining bus patronage Poor accessibility Increased congestion Raised public perception of crime & fear of crime on the public transport network Poor public perception of public transport overall BVPI104 – Bus Satisfaction Decline in bus satisfaction Increase in crime incidents on the public transport network Negative media information about bus services Increase in age & reduction in vehicle quality Poor perception of buses Raised public perception of crime & fear of crime on the bus network Declining bus usage Implement findings from the bus network review Implementation of the real time information system Improving safety measures on buses & at bus waiting facilities Production of the Accessibility strategy to identify gaps in the provision of public transport Retention of cross boundary arrangements for concessionary fares Positive media information giving facts about benefits of bus travel Implementation of the real time information system Improving safety on buses & at bus waiting facilities Continuing improvements to the bus infrastructure e.g. better bus waiting facilities Analysis of bus satisfaction data to determine trends LTP1(a) – Accessibility to Town and District Centres LTP1 (b) – Accessibility to James Cook University Hospital Increase in car ownership Reduction in the provision of public transport to key destinations New development sites Increased congestion Poorer accessibility to key destinations Limited travel horizons especially for disadvantaged communities Missed hospital appointments Reduced choice for shopping & leisure facilities Reduced access to employment LTP2 – Change in area wide Road traffic mileage Increase in car ownership Increase in traffic flows on key routes and near key regeneration sites LTP3 – Cycling Trips Decrease in number of cycling trips Increased number of trips involving vulnerable road users (Cyclists) Increased congestion Increased pollution & health problems Inactive lifestyle leading to poorer health Negative effects on regeneration initiatives Reduced public transport use Increased congestion and pollution Poorer health Increase in cycling casualties Production of accessibility strategy Improved marketing to promote alternative sustainable forms of travel & travel planning advice Implementation of the real time information system Continue to develop quality partnerships with bus operators Assessment software (Accession) shows currently that there is good accessibility to key destinations Continuation of personalised travel planning service Raising travel awareness through marketing campaigns Continuation of workplace and school travel plans Continuation with improvements to the national cycle routes Promotion of cycling as a healthy form of transport & for recreation Provision of offroad cycling routes to key destinations Improved safety info for cyclists & car users LTP4 – Mode Share of Journeys to School LTP5 – Bus Punctuality LTP6 – Changes in Peak Period Traffic Flows to Urban Centres Increase in journeys to school by car Availability of funding to provide more safe routes to school Amalgamation of schools to bigger sites Parental choice Late or early arrival of buses according to timetable Availability of funding Increase/ decrease in bus bus patronage Dependency upon local bus operators Decrease/ Increase in peak period traffic flows LTP7 – Congestion Increased car ownership Increased pollution Increased road traffic accidents Increased car parking usage Increased risk to other road users Increased congestion, especially at school entrances Children become inactive leading to health problems Large number of pupils due to amalgamation Longer journeys and complicated travel patterns Unreliable bus services Less services available, longer timetable intervals Limited public transport choices Restraint upon regeneration Restraint upon regeneration/ Economic vitality Increased congestion Increased journey times for those travelling to/from work Demand greater than capacity Longer journey times Regeneration and economic vitality may suffer Heavily congested town centre leading to poorer accessibility Increased casualties Continuation of school travel plans Increased marketing relating to sustainable forms of travel Continuation of child pedestrian training Development of more walking bus schemes Continuation of funding for supported bus services Implementation of bus network review, increasing reliability Bus real time information & GPS bus tracking Continuation of monitoring/ improving network capacity Continuation of marketing and publicity increasing travel awareness Further develop the role of traffic management Continuation of monitoring/ improving network capacity Continuation of marketing and publicity increasing travel awareness Further develop the role of traffic management Enhancement of variable message signage
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