Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 483 The business case for Equal Opportunities: An econometric investigation Rebecca Riley, Hilary Metcalf and John Forth A report of research carried out by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research on behalf of the Department for Work and Pensions © Crown Copyright 2007. Published for the Department for Work and Pensions under licence from the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office. Application for reproduction should be made in writing to The Copyright Unit, Her Majesty’s Stationery Office, St Clements House, 2-16 Colegate, Norwich NR3 1BQ. First Published 2008. ISBN 978 1 84712 349 7 Views expressed in this report are not necessarily those of the Department for Work and Pensions or any other Government Department. Contents Contents Acknowledgements.......................................................................................... vii The Authors......................................................................................................viii Abbreviations..................................................................................................... ix Summary............................................................................................................1 1 Introduction..................................................................................................5 1.1 Background........................................................................................5 1.1.1 Diversity Management versus Equal Opportunities . .............6 1.1.2 Research evidence on the aggregate effects on business ....... performance........................................................................6 1.2 The aims and scope of the study.........................................................8 1.3 Key issues...........................................................................................9 1.4 Limitations of the study....................................................................10 1.5 The structure of the report................................................................11 2 Equal Opportunities policies and practices...................................................13 2.1 Introduction......................................................................................13 2.2 Equal Opportunities policies, practices and effectiveness...................13 2.3 Measures of Equal Opportunities policies and practices.....................15 2.4 2.3.1 Introduction.......................................................................15 2.3.2 Individual and conglomerate variables................................16 2.3.3 Variable choice for the study..............................................17 2.3.4 Selection process................................................................21 Factors affecting the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies .........22 iii iv Contents 3 The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices.............25 3.1 Introduction . ...................................................................................25 3.2 Potential business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices...........................................................................................26 3.3 3.2.1 Improved recruitment.........................................................28 3.2.2 Enhanced staff utilisation: matching employees and jobs....28 3.2.3 Enhanced staff utilisation: family-friendly working ................. practices.............................................................................29 3.2.4 Morale and employee commitment....................................29 3.2.5 Greater employee diversity.................................................30 3.2.6 Shareholder approval.........................................................31 The costs of implementing Equal Opportunities policies and practices........................................................................31 4 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004.......................................................................35 4.1 The basic identification problem.......................................................35 4.2 Identification strategy.......................................................................36 4.3 Modelling business performance.......................................................38 4.4 4.5 4.3.1 Measuring business performance in WERS 2004.................38 4.3.2 Estimating models of business outcomes in WERS 2004.....41 Modelling treatment selection..........................................................46 4.4.1 Models of Equal Opportunities...........................................46 4.4.2 Instrumental variables.........................................................51 Summary..........................................................................................52 5 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004...................................................53 5.1 Sample correlations between Equal Opportunities and business performance................................................................53 5.2 Estimates of the effects of Equal Opportunities on business performance..................................................................58 5.2.1 Workplace performance and Equal Opportunities policies . ......................................................58 Contents 5.2.2 Workplace performance and Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices ...................................64 5.2.3 Workplace performance and Equal Opportunities practices concerning ethnic background . ..........................71 5.2.4 Workplace performance and family-friendly practices ........75 6 Summary and conclusions...........................................................................87 6.1 Introduction......................................................................................87 6.2 Linkages between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance...........................................87 6.3 Limitations of the evaluation of the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance using WERS 2004.........................................................88 6.4 Evidence of the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance using WERS 2004.......................89 6.5 Policy implications.............................................................................90 6.6 6.5.1 Regulation..........................................................................90 6.5.2 Changing the net costs: subsidies and penalties..................90 Further research................................................................................91 Appendix A The possible routes to business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices.............................................93 Appendix B Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices...............................................................................95 Appendix C Notes to Tables 5.2-5.8..............................................................103 References......................................................................................................105 List of tables Table 2.1 Table 4.1 Table 4.2 Table 4.3 Table 5.1 Table 5.2 Equal Opportunities policy and practice variables analysed and their incidence......................................................................21 The incidence of Equal Opportunities policies and practices in UK workplaces..........................................................40 Models of business performance.................................................43 Models of Equal Opportunities selection......................................47 Difference in business performance between establishments with and without Equal Opportunities policies/practices...............55 Estimated workplace performance effects of having a formal written policy on Equal Opportunities or managing diversity........61 vi Contents Table 5.3 Table 5.4 Table 5.5 Table 5.6 Table 5.7 Table 5.8 Table B.1 Table B.2 Table B.3 Table B.4 Estimated workplace performance effects of reviewing promotion procedures or relative pay rates to identify indirect discrimination..................................................................65 Estimated workplace performance effects of measuring the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies in the workplace.......68 Estimated workplace performance effects of reviewing recruitment or promotion procedures or relative pay rates to identify indirect discrimination on the grounds of ethnic background.......................................................................72 Estimated workplace performance effects of working time arrangements that include working from home in normal working hours.................................................................76 Estimated workplace performance effects of arrangements where time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave....................................................................80 Estimated workplace performance effects of arrangements where time off for childcare is usually taken as special or parental paid leave..................................................................84 Presence of Equal Opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workplace characteristics.............96 Presence of Equal Opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workforce compositions..............98 Presence of Equal Opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workplace performance outcome.................................................................99 Presence of equal opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workplace intermediate outcome...............................................................101 List of figures Figure 2.1 Figure 3.1 Some potential routes to business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies.........................................................14 Potential business benefits of effective Equal Opportunities policies .................................................................27 Acknowledgements Acknowledgements This research was funded by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP). We would like to acknowledge the support of Anthony Johnson and Liz Such who managed this study for the DWP and of Lucy Stokes and Helen Bewley of the Workplace Employee Relations Survey (WERS) Information and Advisory Service. We are also grateful for John Purcell’s comments and helpful discussion with James Mitchell. We acknowledge the Department of Trade and Industry, the Economic and Social Research Council, the Advisory, Conciliation and Arbitration Service and the Policy Studies Institute as the originators of the 2004 Workplace Employment Relations Survey data, and the Data Archive at the University of Essex as the distributor of the data. The National Centre for Social Research was commissioned to conduct the survey fieldwork on behalf of the sponsors. None of these organisations bears any responsibility for the analysis and interpretations of the data here. vii viii The Authors The Authors Rebecca Riley is a Research Fellow at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. Her research covers a variety of topics in applied labour economics. She has undertaken several policy evaluation studies for government departments. Hilary Metcalf is a Senior Research Fellow at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. She specialises in employment and social policy. Her main research interests are in employers’ roles in affecting disadvantage in the labour market and policies to address disadvantage. John Forth is a Research Fellow at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. He works on a range of labour market issues, but has a particular interest in the study of employment relations, with his work in this area having included contributions to the design and analysis of the Workplace Employment Relations Surveys (WERS). Abbreviations Abbreviations ABI Annual Business Inquiry ATT Average Treatment effect on the Treated HRM Human Resource Management WERS 1998 The 1998 Workplace Employee Relations Survey WERS 2004 The 2004 Workplace Employment Relations Survey ix Summary Summary Aims and objectives The main aim of the study was to try to identify whether Equal Opportunities policies and practices affect business performance and, specifically, whether such policies and practices affect productivity or profits. The study aimed to: • map out, conceptually, the relationship between business performance and Equal Opportunities policies and practices; • explore how the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on productivity and profits might be identified; • evaluate the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on productivity and profits. An important aspect of the study was to assess not only the links between Equal Opportunities policies and practices but to try to assess, as far as possible, the causal impacts of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Methods The analysis was conducted using the Workplace Employment Relations Survey 2004 (WERS 2004), the latest in a series of matched employer/employee datasets. The WERS series (and data linked to these) was the only British dataset which provided the necessary data on Equal Opportunities policies and practices, other management practices, productivity and profitability. The latest surveys not only offered the most recent data for investigating the link but also a greater range of data than previously. The study examined a range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices: formal, written Equal Opportunities policies (not informal); monitoring and reviewing practices; formal assessment and modifications of workplace accessibility for disabled people; flexible working arrangements; and leave (above the statutory Summary minimum) for family responsibilities. Full analysis of the business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices was confined to seven policies and practices. The selection meant that the study covered practices directed at race and gender equality in more detail, although the study does relate to all equality groups. Two types of productivity and profits measures were examined: objective (accounts-based) measures of labour productivity and profitability and subjective measures of productivity and profitability (these were the managerial respondents’ assessments of the establishments’ performance relative to the industry average). The subjective measures were used because objective data was available for only a small number of cases in WERS. A key issue for the analysis was causality. It cannot be assumed that if establishments with Equal Opportunities policies and practices have higher productivity or profits, that the former causes the latter. It is feasible that causality goes in the opposite direction: that higher productivity or profits enable establishments to introduce Equal Opportunities policies and practices (or increase the likelihood that they do so). It is also possible that some other factor results in both better business performance and the take-up of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Two main approaches were used to evaluate the effect of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on productivity and profits: multivariate regression analysis with instrumental variables and matched comparison analysis. Understanding the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business The relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance is complex: • Policies and practices vary in the degree to which they are implemented and affect equality of opportunity; and so in the extent to which they could affect business performance (Section 2.2). • Policies and practices incur costs, as well as benefits; the net benefit to an organisation may be positive or negative, depending on the Equal Opportunities practice, the organisation’s characteristics and its circumstances (Chapter 3). • The route by which an Equal Opportunities policy or practice in an organisation might affect business performance may be direct or indirect, affecting a set of intermediate outcomes en route (Chapter 3). • There is no reason to assume that different types of Equal Opportunities policies and practices have the same effects on business performance or even that the same type of Equal Opportunities policy has the same effect in different business and organisational contexts (Chapter 3). Thus, some employers may derive business benefits from Equal Opportunities policies and practices, whilst others may not. Summary Main findings Evidence of the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance using WERS 2004 (Chapter 5) It is difficult to argue that the business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices are large and widespread amongst the establishments who implement these. However, we cannot rule out that certain Equal Opportunities practices may be associated with enhanced workplace productivity: • There are some statistically significant relationships between subjective business performance and Equal Opportunities policies but these are unlikely to reflect the causal impacts of policy. • The evidence in the data for either a large or widespread impact, positive or negative, of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices on business productivity or profits is not strong. • To the extent there are any positive effects on business productivity or profits of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices these are more likely to arise in larger establishments. • There is some, but limited, evidence to suggest there are positive effects of some family-friendly practices on business productivity and profits. To the extent there are positive productivity (profit) effects these are more likely to arise in smaller (larger) establishments. • The evidence does not support the notion that Equal Opportunities policies and practices place disproportionate burdens on business. In other words, Equal Opportunities policies and practices do not appear to cost the private sector profits. • There is no evidence that Equal Opportunities policies and practices result in a net cost (or benefit) to employers in aggregate (i.e. on average). However, it is likely that some employers will derive net benefits from implementing Equal Opportunities policies and practices and others will see a net cost. Limitations of the evaluation of the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance using WERS 2004 The following limitations on the study should be borne in mind: • The evaluation of policy is restricted to formal, written policies; this is likely to obscure the effect of Equal Opportunities policies on business performance (Section 2.3). • The four outcome measures used (subjective and objective measures for both productivity and profits) either have small sample sizes (the objective measures) or are potentially unreliable (the subjective measures). Thus, the objective measures are less likely to identify performance effects, whilst the subjective measures suffer from reduced reliability of the findings (Section 4.3.1) Summary • The complexities of the linkages between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance, combined with data limitations, reduced the likelihood of identifying accurately the effects of these policies and practices (Chapters 2, 3, 4 and 5). • Sample sizes in WERS 2004 are relatively small and this problem is accentuated by the need to look at sub-samples of the data, due to measurement issues and the correlation of policy with other factors affecting business outcomes. For example, Equal Opportunities policies and practices are highly coincident with workplace size and other factors that are correlated with business performance such that subset analysis is to be preferred (Chapter 5). Implications for policy and further research (Chapter 6) Equality of opportunity in the labour market may bring economic and social benefits. Notably, it can increase the supply of labour and improve the efficiency with which human resources are used, reducing labour costs and raising aggregate income. It may also help to reduce social inequalities. Individuals, society at large and individual businesses may all share in these benefits. At the same time, the evidence presented in this report suggests that, on average, individual employers do not necessarily gain (nor lose) from implementing policies and practices to promote equality of opportunity. The implication is that there is likely to be a difference between the private (individual business) and public (society) costs and benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. In this situation, leaving decisions to implement Equal Opportunities policies and practices entirely to individual businesses (i.e. to the free market) is liable to result in fewer policies and practices than would be best for society. Addressing this market failure might lead to an increase in economic and social well-being. Two standard measures to address market failure could be useful: regulation and changing the net costs to employers, either through subsidies or penalties. Regulation may require employers to undertake certain practices (e.g. equality training, monitoring and reviewing, equality audits). Subsidies could be given for specific practices and could be tailored to reach those more likely to encounter business costs rather than benefits of these practices (although close identification of this would be difficult). Penalties could be introduced through contract compliance, although this would only affect employers who supply or contract to the public sector. The complexity of the route from Equal Opportunities policies and practices to business performance made the identification of business benefits difficult. Understanding of the linkage could be enhanced through research examining shorter linkages, particularly from Equal Opportunities policies and practices to the effect on equality in the workplace and the effect of policies and practices on intermediate business outcomes, for example, morale. Which includes individual businesses. Introduction 1 Introduction 1.1 Background Equality of opportunity in the labour market may have economic, as well as social, benefits. Notably, it can increase the supply of labour and improve the efficiency with which human resources are used, reducing labour costs and raising aggregate income. However, whilst all businesses can benefit from these macroeconomic effects, this need not mean that any individual employer would benefit from improving equality in their own organisation: they may benefit from the wider effects of others increasing equality but the costs of contributing to this improvement may outweigh the returns to their own actions. This report focuses on the net change in business performance associated with an employer’s own actions. In the early 1990s, there was a shift away from moral and social justice arguments for Equal Opportunities to an emphasis on business self-interest (Dickens, 1998). Encouraged by Government policy, a substantial literature has built up extolling the business benefits of Equal Opportunities. It is claimed, for example, that greater equality of opportunity within a particular business can reduce labour shortages, improve employee commitment and morale, reduce turnover and increase sales. Qualitative research shows that a range of benefits do occur but the evidence suggests that benefits to a specific organisation are contingent on that organisation’s characteristics and circumstances. At the same time, providing equality of opportunity incurs administrative, management and training costs (for example, costs of enhanced leave arrangements, recruitment process costs, additional training, increased management and monitoring) and may have other disbenefits (for example, reduced morale and commitment in the previously advantaged group). It is, therefore, unclear, a priori, whether an individual organisation will benefit from providing equality of opportunity. It is also unclear, Equal Opportunities is used, variously elsewhere, to refer to equality of opportunity in respect of gender alone or in respect of a range of characteristics (gender, ethnicity, age, etc.). Throughout this report we use it in its wider sense. Introduction therefore, whether, on average, organisations benefit from their own steps to improve Equal Opportunities. 1.1.1 Diversity Management versus Equal Opportunities Before proceeding any further it is helpful to bear in mind that Equal Opportunities are not synonymous with Diversity Management. Kirton and Greene neatly juxtapose definitions of Equal Opportunities policies and Diversity Management to highlight the differences: ‘An Equal Opportunities policy can be defined as “a commitment to engage in employment practices and procedures which do not discriminate, and which provide equality between individuals of different groups or sex to achieve full, productive and freely chosen employment“ (Lean Lim, 1996: 34). Whereas, the concept of ‘managing diversity’ is generally seen as “proactively capitalizing on the different skills, qualities and viewpoints that a diverse workforce has to offer“ (EOR, 1999a: 14).’ Kirton and Greene (2000: 178-9) The essential difference is that Equal Opportunities is, as stated, about treating people equally, whereas Diversity Management aims for a diverse workforce. The latter may require treating some groups more favourably, if, for example, those groups are under-represented in the labour market. (Note that Equal Opportunities may also lead to differential treatment between groups, but this reflects differences in needs and previous treatment between groups and is aimed at levelling the playing field.) Thus, whilst, in practice, Diversity Management will tend to encompass Equal Opportunities principles and practices (and so stay within the law), the basic concept differs and, except where the required diversity reflects the labour market, will conflict. 1.1.2 Research evidence on the aggregate effects on business performance A small number of studies have tried to address the question of benefits to business in aggregate. These have examined the relationship between Equal Opportunities policies, Equal Opportunities practices and family-friendly practices and various aspects of business performance. Others have looked at intermediate outcomes (such as the effects on employee commitment and employees’ perceptions of fairness of treatment) which may feed in to improved business performance. Equal Opportunities and business performance Pérotin and Robinson (2000) found that in workplaces with a formal, written Equal Opportunities policy, managers tended to perceive their labour productivity as relatively high compared to similar workplaces without a policy, after controlling for other factors. But, they also found that perceived levels of relative productivity This is not to deny that employers may benefit from whole economy effects. Introduction were lower in those establishments with an extensive range of monitoring and review practices that supported Equal Opportunities. They suggested that this latter result may illustrate short-term disruption arising from the introduction of Equal Opportunities practices or adverse reactions from previously-advantaged groups. Using a composite indicator of the strength of Equal Opportunities policies, Dex, Smith and Winter (2001) found no association with business performance measures, apart from with labour turnover which was higher amongst those workplaces with stronger Equal Opportunities policies. Gray (2002) found negative, positive and insignificant associations between business performance and a range of Equal Opportunities practices. Forth and Rincon-Aznar (2007) focused on Equal Opportunities with respect to gender and examined links with perceived productivity and profits. Their analysis had mixed results. They did not identify convincing links between policy and productivity or profits, but found a negative correlation between productivity and monitoring, as did Pérotin and Robinson (2000). Dex, Smith and Winter (2001) and Gray (2002) examined a range of business performance measures (e.g. productivity, financial performance, quality, sales and labour turnover). Both found correlations (mainly positive) between a range of family-friendly practices and performance measures. Note that in the four studies discussed above, productivity and financial performance are measured as managers’ subjective view of their establishment’s productivity or profits compared with similar establishments. It is not clear whether these findings on the relationship between Equal Opportunities and subjective measures of business performance extend to the relationship between Equal Opportunities and objective measures of business performance. Equal Opportunities and employee commitment Dex and Smith (2001) found a positive association between access to familyfriendly practices and commitment in the private sector but no association in the public sector. Forth and Rincon-Aznar (2007) examined the effects of a range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on the commitment of each equality group separately (e.g. women, men, ethnic minorities). They found no relationship between having a written Equal Opportunities policy and commitment indicators, a positive association between Equal Opportunities support practices (i.e. collecting statistics or reviewing procedures) and commitment indicators but only for traditionally advantaged groups and ethnic minorities. Whilst special recruitment procedures were negatively associated with commitment indictors for employees from disadvantaged groups. With this range of findings, it is difficult to conclude that commitment and Equal Opportunities are positively correlated. Objective measures were available for too small a sample in WERS 1998. Introduction Equal Opportunities and perceived fairness Forth and Rincon-Aznar (2007) also considered the effect of a range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on perceived fairness (which may affect morale and commitment). Their findings were mixed and some perverse, leading to no real conclusions about the relationship, whilst Bryson (2000) found no relationship between a workplace having a formal, written equal opportunities policy and employees’ perceptions of fair treatment. These studies seem to lend some support for the hypothesis that Equal Opportunities in general, and family-friendly practices in particular, improve business performance. However, the variation in findings for different Equal Opportunities policies and practices and different performance measures reduces confidence in this conclusion. Moreover, the methods used identify association and not causality. It is plausible that Equal Opportunities practices are a consequence of good business performance rather than vice versa (because good performance provides the resources to implement Equal Opportunities practices). It is also possible that other factors result in both Equal Opportunities policies and practices and better business performance. It is, thus, important to try to address the issue of causality. 1.2 The aims and scope of the study The main aim of the study was to try to identify whether Equal Opportunities policies and practices affect business performance and, specifically, whether such policies and practices affect productivity or profits. The study was to: • map out, conceptually, the relationship between business performance and Equal Opportunities policies and practices; • explore how the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance (namely, on productivity and profits) might be identified, taking into account, as far as possible, potential reverse causality; • evaluate the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance (namely, on productivity and profits). ‘Equal Opportunities practices’ were defined as those activities which were commonly aimed at improving equality of opportunity, rather than more general practices which might also have this effect. Examples of the former included Equal Opportunities monitoring and family-friendly practices. Introduction The analysis was to be conducted using the Workplace Employment Relations Survey 2004 (WERS 2004), the latest in a series of matched employer/employee datasets. The WERS series (and data linked to these) was the only British dataset which provided the necessary data on Equal Opportunities policies and practices, other management practices, productivity and profitability. The latest surveys, WERS 2004, not only offered the most recent data for investigating the link, but also a greater range of data than previously. For the first time, WERS 2004, through the introduction of a financial performance questionnaire and the linking with the Annual Business Inquiry (ABI), provided objective (accounts-based) data on labour productivity and profitability. Previous studies of the business benefits of Equal Opportunities used earlier versions of WERS which only provided subjective measures of productivity and profitability (these were the managerial respondent’s assessment of the establishment’s performance relative to the industry average). A potential problem with the new objective data was that the number of establishments in the sample with comparable linked productivity and profits data was relatively small at around 650 (Forth and McNabb, 2007). This could potentially cause problems in identifying business performance effects. Moreover, WERS 2004 provided data on a larger range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices than previously and so offered the opportunity for more effective measures of Equal Opportunities policies. The postcode information in WERS 2004 also allowed the linking with local area characteristics data. This enabled modelling to take into account local labour market characteristics which could impinge on the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business benefits, for example, unemployment rates (affecting labour shortages) and the ethnic composition of the labour force, which is of relevance to Equal Opportunities with respect to race. 1.3 Key issues A quantitative investigation of the relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and productivity and profits is complex. Department of Trade and Industry (2005) Workplace Employment Relations Survey: Cross-Section, 2004 [computer file]. 2nd ed. Colchester: The Data Archive [distributor], April 2007. SN: 5294. WERS 2004 covers all but the smallest workplaces in Great Britain. It covers both private and public sectors and almost all areas of industry. The principal unit of analysis is the establishment or workplace. A workplace is defined as comprising the activities of a single employer at a single set of premises. Around 2,300 workplaces took part in the 2004 Cross-section Survey. The response rate for the Cross-section’s main management interview was 64 per cent. 10 Introduction A key challenge is identifying causality. Suppose organisations with Equal Opportunities policies have higher productivity. This may be because: • Equal Opportunities policies improve productivity (i.e. Equal Opportunities policies cause higher productivity); • higher productivity allows organisations to adopt Equal Opportunities policies (i.e. higher productivity causes the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies); • other factors which tend to be found where there are Equal Opportunities policies, improve productivity (i.e. there is no causal link between Equal Opportunities policies and productivity) (e.g. high commitment management practices, and not Equal Opportunities practices, may improve productivity and both types of practice tend to be found in the same organisations). The analytical techniques should try to throw as much light on causality as possible. This requires factors which might be associated with the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices (as well as other factors which affect productivity) to be identified. A second difficulty arises from the likelihood that Equal Opportunities policies and practices are merely part of a package of human resource policies and practices, elements of which may be substitutes for each other, as well as acting independently or jointly to affect productivity and profits. This can make it difficult to identify the effect of Equal Opportunities on business performance (e.g. if Equal Opportunities and high commitment management practices were always observed together and never separately) and raises questions about which interactions should, if possible, be taken into account in the analysis. The problems of modelling interdependence are exacerbated by measurement problems: survey data is limited in the extent to which it can capture the nature of a policy or practice. The quality and effectiveness of each policy and practice will vary across organisations. For example, it is well known that Equal Opportunities policies range between merely a statement with no influence on the organisation (the ‘empty shell’) to those driving a wide range of equality practices. Thus, each Equal Opportunities policy or practice will differ between organisations and have varying effects. Whilst these problems can be addressed to some extent, a large degree of uncertainty remains in designing an appropriate model and which data to use. These problems are further magnified by the range of other factors which affect productivity and profits and which, similarly, may interact with Equal Opportunities policies and practices. 1.4 Limitations of the study It is worth highlighting a number of limitations of the study at this stage. These are discussed in more detail within the report. Introduction • The study examined Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Practices related to both formal and informal practices. However, the policies examined were formal, written policies (whether an establishment had a formal written Equal Opportunities policy and to which groups this referred). Some establishments will have similar informal policies. The exclusion of informal policies will reduce the extent to which effects of the policy can be identified (see Chapter 2). • The effect on profits and productivity of a selection of Equal Opportunities policies and practices were analysed. Where policies and practices did not apply to all equality groups, they related to family-friendly practices or race and so the study may be seen as exploring gender and race equality policies and practices to a greater extent than policies and practices specific to other groups (see Chapter 2). • The linkages between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance are complex. Combined with data limitations, this reduced the likelihood of identifying effects (see Chapters 2 and 3). • The data on business performance (productivity and profits) was problematic. Robust performance data, based on accounting information, was available for only a small subset of the sample. The sample size reduced the likelihood of identifying performance effects. A subjective measure of performance was also available (namely, the WERS 2004 management respondent’s subjective evaluation of productivity and financial performance in the workplace benchmarked against the industry). However, a subjective assessment of relative business performance is prone to error, thus reducing the reliability of any findings. For these reasons, the analysis used all four measures and the findings were interpreted jointly (see Section 4.3.1). 1.5 The structure of the report The next chapter focuses on Equal Opportunities policies and practices: what they are, the variables used in the analysis and what influences their adoption. Chapter 3 discusses how Equal Opportunities policies and practices might affect business performance and refers to the limited quantitative evidence available. Chapter 4 explains our approach to modelling the impact of Equal Opportunities on business performance. The results are presented in Chapter 5. Chapter 6 summarises our findings and presents our conclusions. 11 Equal Opportunities policies and practices 2 Equal Opportunities policies and practices 2.1 Introduction There are a wide range of policies and practices which could be seen as promoting equality of opportunity in employment, not all of which are necessarily directed at equality (e.g. fairness policies, dignity policies, flexitime). Obviously, not all are covered in Workplace Employment Relations Survey 2004 (WERS 2004) but, nevertheless, the potential number of policies and practices which could be examined is large given the breadth and depth of the WERS 2004 questionnaires. This chapter explains our choice of variables for analysis and their construction in the models. First, we discuss the issues of quality and effectiveness of policies. Section 2.3 describes the types of policies and practices which could be used in the model and their various merits, and the variables used in the analysis. Finally, Section 2.4 discusses the factors affecting the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. 2.2 Equal Opportunities policies, practices and effectiveness The starting point for the study was the question whether Equal Opportunities policies affected business performance. However, the quality of policies varies, from those which are ineffectual statements to policies which drive (or are indicative of a drive for) measures to address equality of opportunity. Moreover, there is evidence of variation in implementation of Equal Opportunities policies (Sanglin-Grant, 2002; Noon and Hoque, 2004). There is also evidence of a lack of effectiveness of Equal Opportunities policies (Sanglin-Grant, 2005; Virdee and Grint, 1994), although in relation to ethnicity, Equal Opportunities policies may be related to more equal treatment (Noon and Hoque, 2001). It is unclear whether this lack of effectiveness is a reflection of poor implementation (i.e. 13 14 Equal Opportunities policies and practices Equal Opportunities policies do not amount to practices that address equality of opportunity) or genuine policy ineffectiveness (i.e. measures to address equality of opportunity do not affect business performance). While the effect of the presence of Equal Opportunities policies is of interest, it is also important to consider the quality of the policy, otherwise we will incorrectly estimate the effect of the policy on business performance. This can be done in a number of ways: Firstly, the content of the policy may be treated as an indicator of its quality. Secondly, Equal Opportunities practices or actual equality of opportunity may be treated as proxies for the quality of Equal Opportunities policy (i.e. practices are assumed to be indicative of the quality of the policy or greater equality is assumed to be indicative of a higher quality policy). Alternatively, one can drop these assumptions and simply examine the effect of specific practices or actual equality of opportunity on business performance. It was decided that the study should focus on Equal Opportunities policies and on practices and not actual equality of opportunity. In part, this was because equality of opportunity could only be measured using rather limited proxies (e.g. change in the percentage of managers who were female, Fernie and Gray, 2002; employees’ perceptions of how well managers understand the need for work-life balance). Also, the study’s aim was to reveal the effect of Equal Opportunities policy and practice on business performance and not to try to disentangle the complexities of the extent to which diversity outcomes were reflected in profitability and productivity. Figure 2.1 Some potential routes to business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies e.g. customer loyalty e.g. commitment Equal Opportunity policies Equal Opportunity practices Business benefits Equality of opportunity The diagram shows only a few routes. See Chapter 3 for a full discussion of the linkages between Equal Opportunities and business performance and Appendix A for a fuller diagrammatic representation. Equal Opportunities policies and practices Before moving to the nature of benefits in the following chapter, it should be noted that, even without effective implementation, Equal Opportunities policies may yield performance benefits or costs. This may occur, for example, either because knowledge of the policy affects the behaviour of those outside the organisation (e.g. customers or shareholders) or because it acts as a signal to employees and potential employees that they will be treated equally and so change their behaviour (e.g. leading to an increase in applications for jobs from discriminated against groups; or, conversely, enhancing behaviours leading to promotion; or leading to a reduction in applications for jobs from those groups that are not normally discriminated against if a statement of Equal Opportunities is perceived as ‘positive’ discrimination) (Figure 2.1). 2.3 Measures of Equal Opportunities policies and practices 2.3.1 Introduction There are a large number of Equal Opportunities variables in WERS 2004. The variables selected were based on management respondents’ assessment of practice. Two types of choices over the policy and practice measures to be assessed needed to be made: the type of policies and practices to be included and the way in which the variable should be constructed. Our choice was guided by the following criteria: 1 despite the evidence suggesting lack of effectiveness of Equal Opportunities policies per se, policy should be analysed, because the initial question was whether Equal Opportunities policies affected business performance; 2 a range of types of practices should be assessed, as costs and benefits will vary with types of practice; 3 the policies and practices should be limited to those explicitly aimed at Equal Opportunities and to family-friendly practices; 4 the Department for Work and Pensions‘ (DWP’s) particular interest in race equality in this study; and 5 the assumed strength or effectiveness of the practice (its ‘quality’). The first three criteria led us to focus on Equal Opportunities policy, Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices, family-friendly practices (leave and flexible working) and measures directed at disabled access. The fourth criteria led us to develop measures of Equal Opportunities practices directly concerned with equality of race. The fifth criteria determined which practices were chosen. For example, practices designed to counter discrimination on the grounds of age or sexual orientation were taken to indicate stronger commitment to Equal Opportunities (higher quality practices) than equivalent practices designed to counter discrimination on the grounds of gender. Our exact choices within this range are described below. 15 16 Equal Opportunities policies and practices 2.3.2 Individual and conglomerate variables The WERS 2004 Equal Opportunities policy and practice variables may be used individually or used to create conglomerate variables. There are good arguments for the latter: that, jointly, policies and practices may be better indicators of the quality or effectiveness of the Equal Opportunities policy or that policies and practices are complementary and so work jointly (Ross and Schneider, 1992; Jewson et al., 1995; and Kandola,1998). Equally, some practices may be substitutes for each other (e.g. the provision of childcare versus childcare vouchers or the availability of job-sharing versus flexible working) and individual practices do not, therefore, capture what is being offered. However, operationalising this using quantitative datasets is problematic. This is because quantitative datasets cannot include full details of all relevant information required to adequately take into account complementarity and substitutability. Separately, conglomerate variables can complicate policy interpretation. There are numerous ways in which both individual and conglomerate variables indicating the presence and strength of Equal Opportunities policies and practices can be constructed using WERS 2004. Previous research into the effectiveness and business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies does not provide guidance as to a set of best policy measures and indeed, a variety of measures are likely to be equally informative. Approaches to constructing composite variables include the creation of categorical variables based on the number of practices within a given group. These categorical variables have been either dichotomous, indicating that any of a number of practices exist or none exist (e.g. Noon and Hoque, 2004), or multivalue, where the number of practices are further classified to indicate the strength of policy (e.g. Forth and Rincon-Aznar, 2007). Another approach is the creation of ‘continuous’ composite variables constructed through summing the number of practices within a given group or through principal components analysis (e.g. Nadeem and Metcalf, 2007). Our approach was in the first instance to consider whether each policy or practice of interest had substitutes. If it did, then a conglomerate variable was required and this was created as a dichotomous variable indicating the existence of any of the relevant practices or none. If it did not, then a simple dichotomous variable indicating the existence or non-existence of the particular practice was constructed. Next, a judgment was made on the strength of implementation of Equal Opportunities policy indicated by these dichotomous variables. For example, monitoring was considered to indicate greater implementation than no monitoring but monitoring progression was considered to indicate greater implementation than general monitoring. Equal Opportunities policies and practices 2.3.3 Variable choice for the study The following details the variables used in the study. Equal Opportunities policies WERS 2004 has two measures of Equal Opportunities policies: the existence of a formal written policy on Equal Opportunities or managing diversity and whether the policy mentions specific groups (and, if so, which of the following: sex/gender, race, religion or belief, marital status, disability, age, sexual orientation, trade union membership, other). Mentioning specific groups has been taken to indicate greater commitment to equality but we have not encountered any evidence on this. We would hypothesise, however, that mentioning groups which were not covered by antidiscrimination legislation might indicate greater commitment to equality and hence, a more effective Equal Opportunities policy. At the time of the WERS 2004 survey, discrimination on the grounds of age and sexual orientation were legal and so naming these groups in an Equal Opportunities policy may be indicative of a stronger policy commitment. Therefore, in the study, three policy variables were examined: 1 Formal written policy on Equal Opportunities. 2 Formal written policy on Equal Opportunities explicitly mentions equality of treatment or discrimination on the grounds of sex, race, religion or belief, marital status, disability, age, sexual orientation, trade union membership, or other type of discrimination. 3 Formal written policy on Equal Opportunities explicitly mentions equality of treatment or discrimination on the grounds of age or sexual orientation. Monitoring and reviewing Monitoring and reviewing are essential aspects of effective policy implementation. As such they should provide an indicator of policy quality. However, monitoring practice (and interpretation of its meaning) varies: some organisations merely collect data, whilst others collect data, analyse it and act on the findings. Therefore, a major consideration in the selection of monitoring and reviewing variables was the quality of the practice. WERS collects information on whether an establishment: • tries to measure the effects of their Equal Opportunities policy; • monitors: recruitment and selection; promotions; and, for each type of monitoring, whether this is done by gender, ethnic background, disability and age; and • reviews procedures for indirect discrimination in respect of recruitment and selection; promotions; pay; and, for each type of reviewing, whether this is done by gender, ethnic background, disability and age. 17 18 Equal Opportunities policies and practices We would hypothesise that trying to measure the effects of their Equal Opportunities policy is a very strong indicator of commitment, and so indicative of policy effectiveness and quality, as this practice is both difficult and rare (Table 2.1). We would also assume that reviewing procedures for indirect discrimination would indicate greater commitment than monitoring (given the differing quality of monitoring). What is reviewed may also indicate quality. As with Equal Opportunities policy, we would expect that monitoring or reviewing factors not covered by legislation (in this case, age) would indicate greater commitment to equality. Finally, monitoring recruitment is a more common practice than reviewing pay or promotion and so reviewing the latter two may indicate greater commitment. Therefore, the following monitoring and reviewing practices were assessed: 4 Trying to measure effects of Equal Opportunities policies. 5 Monitoring of recruitment or promotions by gender, disability, ethnic background or age (i.e. any monitoring). 6 Reviewing of recruitment or promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by gender, disability, ethnic background or age (i.e. any reviewing). 7 Monitoring of promotions by gender, disability, ethnic background or age (a potentially strong monitoring measure). 8 Reviewing of promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by gender, disability, ethnic background or age (a potentially strong reviewing measure). 9 Monitoring of recruitment or promotions by age (a potentially strong monitoring measure). 10Reviewing of recruitment or promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by age (a potentially strong reviewing measure). In addition, because of the Department’s particular interest in ethnicity in relation to this study, we also assessed: 11Monitoring of recruitment or promotions by ethnic background (i.e. any monitoring by ethnicity). 12Reviewing of recruitment or promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by ethnic background (i.e. any reviewing by ethnicity). Disability specific measures WERS 2004 collects information on whether the establishment has assessed access for disabled people and, if so, whether assessment had resulted in action to improve accessibility. Equal Opportunities policies and practices These might, at first, appear to be good indicators of the quality of an Equal Opportunities policy (at least in respect of disability). However, they may be more an indicator of external stimuli for change (a response to a disabled person being employed or a disability new to the organisation being presented) or to physical circumstances (the building is poorly equipped for a given disability). Thus establishments with disabled-unfriendly premises might score higher than those with modern, disabled-friendly premises, irrespective of the quality of the Equal Opportunities policy. Moreover, establishments with relatively good Equal Opportunities policies may need to make assessments and adjustments less often as provision may already be good. For these reasons, although these two variables were included in the initial analyses, they were not included in the more detailed analyses. 13Formal assessment of workplace accessibility for disabled. 14Formal assessment of workplace accessibility for disabled and adjustments made. Family-friendly practices Family-friendly employment practices may be seen as an indicator of the quality of Equal Opportunities policies, at least in respect of gender. WERS 2004 collects information on a range of family-friendly practices, including flexible working practices and leave related to family responsibilities. In respect of flexible working practices, employers are asked whether any of the following ‘family-friendly’ practices are available to employees: working at, or from, home in normal working hours (termed ‘home working’ below), able to reduce working hours, able to increase working hours, job sharing, flexitime, ability to change shift patterns, compressed hours (e.g. a nine-day fortnight, 4½ day week) and night working. We excluded night working and compressed hours from the analysis because these were not family-friendly, per se. Ability to change shift pattern was excluded on the grounds that it was only applicable to some workplaces. Flexitime (which, undoubtedly, can contribute to equality of opportunity) was excluded because it is instigated for a variety of reasons and so is a poor indicator of Equal Opportunities commitment. This left three practices: homeworking, employees able to reduce or increase working hours and job sharing. To recognise possible substitutability, a composite dichotomous variable was created taking the value of 1 if any of these practices were present and 0 otherwise. In addition, homeworking on its own was analysed. Changed hours and job sharing are both flexible hours arrangements and may be Flexible working practices can be useful to other groups, particularly some disabled workers and some older workers. However, the main driver for their introduction is to support mothers and so their existence is an indicator of strength of Equal Opportunities with respect to gender rather than towards other groups. 19 20 Equal Opportunities policies and practices viewed as close substitutes. Homeworking is less obviously a substitute for these flexible hours arrangements. 15Any of three flexible working arrangements for some employees (homeworking, changed hours or job sharing). 16Homeworking during normal hours available to some employees. In respect of leave related to family responsibilities, WERS 2004 identifies the extent to which maternity leave is paid; the arrangements for time off for fathers of new-born children; the arrangements for emergency leave for family responsibilities; and the arrangements for other time off to look after children. The types of arrangements identified include whether this is discretionary, paid or part of annual leave, etc. To us, allowing time off and the arrangements made did not seem to be a good discriminator of commitment to the quality of Equal Opportunities policies, with the exception of when leave was paid. Therefore, the following variables were analysed: 17Special paid leave for family emergencies. 18Paid leave to look after children (in addition to maternity, paternity and time off for emergencies). 19Leave arrangements to support working parents beyond the statutory minimum (i.e. paid leave for emergencies; paid leave for childcare; paid paternity leave; and maternity leave paid above the statutory minimum). The last was a dichotomous variable indicating whether any or none of these practices existed. The Equal Opportunities policy and practice variables analysed and their incidence are summarised in Table 2.1. Descriptive statistics on the incidence of policies and practices by establishment characteristics are given in Table B.1 to Table B.4. Equal Opportunities policies and practices Table 2.1 Equal Opportunities policy and practice variables analysed and their incidence 1 Formal written policy on Equal Opportunities or Managing Diversity, 66 per cent. 2 Formal written policy on Equal Opportunities explicitly mentions equality of treatment or discrimination on the grounds of sex, race, religion or belief, marital status, disability, age, sexual orientation, trade union membership or other type of discrimination, 65 per cent. 3 Formal written policy on Equal Opportunities explicitly mentions equality of treatment or discrimination on the grounds of age or sexual orientation, 49 per cent. 4 Tried to measure effects of Equal Opportunities policies, eight per cent. 5 Monitoring of recruitment or promotions by gender, disability, ethnic background or age, 27 per cent. 6 Reviewing of recruitment or promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by gender, disability, ethnic background or age, 22 per cent. 7 Monitoring of promotions by gender, disability, ethnic background or age, nine per cent. 8 Reviewing of promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by gender, disability, ethnic background or age, 13 per cent. 9 Monitoring of recruitment or promotions by age, 19 per cent. 10 Reviewing of recruitment or promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by age, 17 per cent. 11 Monitoring of recruitment or promotions by ethnic background, 20 per cent. 12 Reviewing of recruitment or promotions or relative pay to identify indirect discrimination by ethnic background, 18 per cent. 13 Formal assessment of workplace accessibility for disabled, 47 per cent. 14 Formal assessment of workplace accessibility for disabled and adjustments made, 17 per cent. 15 Flexible working arrangements for some employees (homeworking, changed hours or job sharing), 74 per cent. 16 Homeworking during normal hours available to some employees, 25 per cent. 17 Special paid leave for family emergencies, 47 per cent. 18 Paid leave to look after children (in addition to maternity, paternity and time off for emergencies), 23 per cent. 19 Paid leave arrangements to support working parents beyond the statutory minimum (i.e. paid leave for emergencies; paid leave for childcare; paid paternity leave; and maternity leave paid above the statutory minimum), 79 per cent. Percentage gives incidence by establishment. Base: all workplaces; figures are weighted and based on responses from 2,295 managers. Source: WERS 2004. Variables in bold are those for which results are given in this report and were subject to analysis beyond the exploratory analysis. 2.3.4 Selection process Initially, analysis was conducted on the link between each of the policy and practice variables listed in Table 2.1 and a range of business performance measures (our measures of business performance are discussed in Chapter 4). This suggested 21 22 Equal Opportunities policies and practices that the relationship was complex (given the range of results and the sensitivity of results to the estimation sample, business performance measure and model specification) and it was clear that more thorough modelling would be required if confidence might be placed in the findings. The size of the study did not permit all selected Equal Opportunities variables to be subject to further analysis and only seven were selected. The selection criteria were similar to our initial criteria (Section 2.1): First, we wished to continue to include the range of types of policies and practices (policy, monitoring and reviewing, flexible working practices and special leave practices). Unfortunately, for the reasons given in Section 2.3.3, the measures targeted at disabled people could not be included in this range. Secondly, we wished to focus on practices which were hypothesised to indicate stronger commitment to Equal Opportunities. Thirdly, we wished to include a practice relating to ethnicity, due to the DWP’s specific interest in this study. Selection was not based on the extent to which the initial analysis had identified any link with business benefits. Practices 15 and 19 (flexible working arrangements and paid leave arrangements to support working parents, respectively) were dropped because of their high incidence, which made them less suitable for analysis. Our inclusion of policy variable 1 (the existence of a formal policy on Equal Opportunities), rather than a stronger policy, despite the high incidence, was due to the initial interest of the study, namely, whether Equal Opportunities policies led to business benefits. 2.4 Factors affecting the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies In analysing the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies on business performance, rather than the associations between Equal Opportunities policies and business performance, we need to consider the factors which affect the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices and whether these may also affect business performance. Nadeem and Metcalf (unpublished) provide a useful overview of the application of management theory to understanding the adoption of work-life policies. The following summarises this, drawing out the implications for Equal Opportunities more generally. Institutional theory Institutional theory ‘suggests that organisations’ environments make social and cultural demands in addition to technical and economic ones, and that organisations align with these demands of their environment to improve legitimacy and increase survival capabilities (Meyer and Rowan, 1977; Powell, 1991)‘ (Nadeem and Metcalf, unpublished). One possible implication of this is that larger organisations The high incidence of the policies and practices meant that quality of the controls was lowered. Equal Opportunities policies and practices (which are under greater pressure because of their higher profile) are more likely to meet social norms (including legislation) and that ‘groups’ (e.g. industries, sectors, locality, etc.) tend to behave similarly due to within-group pressure. In respect of Equal Opportunities policies and practices, this would mean that larger organisations are more likely to adopt them and that adoption will differ by sector and industry. Empirical findings are in line with institutional theory, in that size, sector, locality and managerial awareness of other’s practices have all been found to be associated with having Equal Opportunities and work-life policies (see, for example, Noon and Hoque, 2004; Nadeem and Metcalf, 2007; Fernie and Gray, 2002; Wood et al., 2003; Dex and Smith, 2001; Dex and Smith, 2002). Resource dependent theory Resource dependent theory ‘helps identify an organisation’s needed resources, and suggests that to be effective, managers need to understand the demands and expectations of the stakeholders that control critical supplies, products and services to the organisation and must adjust its activities to ensure the continued support of these stakeholders‘ (Nadeem and Metcalf, unpublished). An implication is that an organisation’s policies and practices will be tailored to meet the needs of its larger (or more important) employee groups. This will also be affected by the power of the group. Thus, the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices would increase with the relative size of the discriminated groups (employed or in the labour market) and also with such groups’ power (e.g. their skill level and seniority). Moreover, suppliers and purchasers should be taken into account. Thus, those supplying to the public sector or to minority groups, might be more likely to have Equal Opportunities policies and practices. In respect of more general Equal Opportunities policies and practices, there is evidence to suggest that unionisation may be associated with the adoption of policies (Fernie and Gray, 2002; Noon and Hoque, 2004). However, evidence linking employee pressure based on measures of the relative size of disadvantaged groups, has been more mixed: Noon and Hoque (2004) found race equality policies to be more common in organisations with a relatively large ethnic minority workforce (although, of course, the direction of causality could go the other way), but no positive link in respect of other groups. Earlier, Fernie and Gray (2002), in respect of gender, found limited evidence. Other empirical findings in relation to resource dependent theory explaining the introduction of work-life policies are mixed (see Nadeem and Metcalf, 2007). Finally, family-friendly practices are highly correlated with some hard and soft Human Resource Management (HRM) policies whereas Equal Opportunities policies and practices have been shown to be weakly correlated with these (Fernie and Gray, 2002). The high correlation is problematic for this study, as Dickens (1998) has identified how many HRM policies may act against gender equality. 23 24 Equal Opportunities policies and practices Strategic or rational choice theory Strategic or rational choice theory emphasises how managers’ perceptions, interpretations and attitudes affect organisational actions. Thus, individual managers’ views are expected to be important predictors of the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Again, the evidence on an association between managers’ attitudes and work-life policies is mixed (e.g. Wood et al., 2003; Dex and Smith, 2001; Dex and Smith, 2002; Wood, 1999). Even if the evidence was stronger, it does not necessarily point to a causal impact from managers’ perceptions to the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies. In other words, it may equally suggest that the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies (or organisational norms) influences managers’ attitudes, rather than vice versa. These three theories put forward some of the factors which might lead to the adoption of Equal Opportunities policies. However, the empirical evidence in relation to each theory is fairly weak. Moreover, it is clear that reverse causality could explain some of the correlations found (in particular in relation to managerial attitudes and the use of high commitment human resource approaches). The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices 3 The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices 3.1 Introduction There are many ways in which Equal Opportunities policies and practices may affect business performance. For example, they may improve staff commitment and so reduce turnover and absenteeism and increase output, hence reducing staff costs and productivity and thus, also improving profits; they may ease recruitment shortages and hence, cut recruitment costs and improve the quality of the workforce, hence improving productivity and profits. At the same time, they may add to administrative and training costs and thus, reduce profits. In order to model the effect of Equal Opportunities on business performance, one needs to understand these routes and how they may be affected by the characteristics of the organisation and its circumstances. In this chapter, potential effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices are described, together with the ways in which these may feed through into business performance. The scope of the study did not include a review of qualitative research into business benefits of Equal Opportunities and the mapping does not refer to this literature. Undoubtedly, some of the benefits owe their identification below to previous qualitative research. Otherwise their identification, the routes through to business performance and the consideration of mitigating factors is based on consideration of first principles of how organisations work and the knowledge of the researchers developed over many years of research into organisations. However, reference to quantitative evidence is made where it is available and relevant. The chapter first considers the potential benefits of equality of opportunity in an organisation and directly associated costs. The costs of achieving greater equality (i.e. the implementation costs of Equal Opportunities policies and practices) and more general costs are discussed in the following section. As well as discussing 25 26 The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices Equal Opportunities policies and practices and equality of opportunity, familyfriendly practices are explicitly discussed. This is because these have a wider range of costs and benefits than most other Equal Opportunities policies and practices. 3.2 Potential business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices Successful Equal Opportunities policies (i.e. which increase equality of opportunity and reduce discrimination) and Equal Opportunities practices may lead to business benefits through a number of intermediate outcomes: • improved recruitment; • improved staff utilisation: matching employees to jobs; • improved morale and employee commitment; • greater employee diversity; • customer approval. Each of these is discussed below. Figure 3.1 summarises the potential benefits indicating whether they feed through to productivity and labour costs or to sales and hence, to profits. For each benefit, the figure shows whether these may be gained from Equal Opportunities policies and practices generally or from family-friendly practices in particular. Equal Opportunities policies and practices Increased customer loyalty Greater understanding of diverse cultures The high incidence of the policies and practices meant that quality of the controls was lowered More effective utilisation of staff Improved quality of recruits and easier recruitment Lower labour turnover Lower absenteeism Greater flexibility Greater employee effort Improved teamworking Product development and marketing appropriate to diverse groups More effective personal contact with customers/ clients - Figure 3.1 Potential business benefits of effective Equal Opportunities policies Increased sales - Lower labour costs - Increased sales - Increased output/person The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices 27 28 The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices 3.2.1 Improved recruitment Discrimination in recruitment reduces the pool of workers from which an organisation draws and means that suitable candidates are rejected (or do not apply). It is assumed, therefore, that discrimination results in a poorer match between recruits’ competence and job requirements. This mismatch would grow with the tightness of the labour market and, in tight labour markets, discrimination is assumed to result in recruitment difficulties and skill shortages. Moreover, it is assumed that in a discriminatory labour market, the organisation which does not discriminate is able to recruit higher quality workers (from those groups discriminated against). Lack of discrimination may lead to an increase in the number of applicants and should lead to a larger pool of candidates who are regarded as suitable. Offering family-friendly practices and making special provision for minority groups is also likely to increase the number of applicants from those groups seeking these benefits. This would be beneficial in a tight labour market, but may incur additional costs when the labour market is slack (dealing with a larger number of applicants than is necessary to obtain a suitable recruit). Benefits are also dependent on the relevant labour pool containing members of the discriminated against group (i.e. having appropriate skills). If it does, reducing discrimination should result in improved labour quality. If it does not, improving Equal Opportunities would have no effect. At the same time, given discrimination in the labour market, offering equality of opportunity could lower labour costs, through increasing the employment of groups whose wages were less than the value of their marginal product (Barrington and Troske, 2001, referring to Becker, 1971). The recruitment benefit of equality of opportunity is based on two underlying assumptions: that recruiters are good at recruiting ‘the best for the job’ and that employee performance is closely aligned to the criteria used for their selection. If these do not hold (and it is not clear that they do), the quality of recruits may not be affected by discrimination. Therefore, it is not clear whether the net result of equality of opportunity policies and practices increasing the number of applicants would necessarily be of benefit to the organisation. 3.2.2 Enhanced staff utilisation: matching employees and jobs Lack of discrimination in provision of training and development opportunities and allocating staff to specific jobs (including promotion) is assumed to result in better utilisation of staff resources. As with recruitment, this relies on the assumption of appropriate selection criteria. However, we would expect selection more often to be effective in identifying appropriate existing staff than for recruitment, as selectors have much greater knowledge of the existing, rather than the potential, employees. However, this will vary with the selection process and the extent to which those familiar with the employee are involved. The actual benefit to an organisation will depend on the extent to which there is discretion over work allocation and the extent (and importance) of development The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices and promotion. In organisations where there is little allocation discretion and little promotion and development, the potential benefits of Equal Opportunities policies in terms of matching employees and jobs are likely to be less pronounced. 3.2.3 Enhanced staff utilisation: family-friendly working practices Some family-friendly flexible working practices, such as flexitime, jobsharing and part-time working may enhance staff utilisation if they are implemented (by either staff or managers) with an eye on the workload. Qualitative research shows that these can introduce an added flexibility to meet varying workloads even where the practices are designed to assist employees with family responsibilities. However, many such practices also incur costs (see Section 3.3) and so the net benefit will depend on the pattern of work and the extent to which implementation actually addresses work needs. 3.2.4 Morale and employee commitment Equality of opportunity, Equal Opportunities practices and family-friendly working practices are purported to improve employee morale and commitment and therefore, to provide business benefits. Good morale and commitment have been associated with: • lower levels of stress and psychosomatic illness and increased psychological well-being; • lower staff turnover; • fewer grievances; • higher job performance, increased work quality and greater ‘organisational citizenship’ (extra-role behaviours); • lower absenteeism. See Lee et al., 2000; Meyer et al., 2002, Thorsteinson, 2003; Wright and Bonett, 2002; Riketta, 2002; Rhoades and Eisenberger, 2002; Judge et al., 2001. It seems likely that equality of opportunity would enhance the morale and commitment of members of those groups which tend to be discriminated against and family-friendly practices would raise the morale and commitment of those who can take advantage of the practices. However, the morale effects on those who tend to benefit from discrimination is less clear and equality of opportunity could, in fact, have a negative effect. Certainly, in respect of family-friendly practices, there is some qualitative evidence of resentment from employees who do not use (or do not need) such practices, either because they believe that the practices increase their own workload or because they consider them conferring favourable treatment on others. The impact on the business may therefore depend on the composition of the workforce, with benefits increasing, the higher is the percentage of employees who come from discriminated against groups or who 29 30 The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices need the family-friendly practices. The net effect in an organisation may be positive or negative. The extent of benefit to the organisation due to morale improvements will vary with the different characteristics of businesses. For example, reductions in staff turnover will be beneficial if turnover is too high, but may result in costs if it becomes too low (for example, in organisations where labour demand fluctuates and voluntary resignations help match to periods of lower demand); the extent to which job performance may improve will depend on the nature of the job. Where production costs are low, the benefits may be minimal (Liff and Cameron, 1997: 41). 3.2.5 Greater employee diversity Equality of opportunity may increase the diversity of the workforce if the labour market includes groups previously discriminated against. Increased diversity has been purported to bring three types of benefits: customer approval, better service to diverse customer groups and greater innovation. Customer approval is assumed to enhance sales. It is supposed to be derived through diversity in two ways: Firstly, it is assumed that customers support equality and disapprove of discrimination and therefore, tend to approve more of organisations with a diverse workforce (and so are more likely to buy from the organisation). However, it cannot be assumed that customers support equality or that support influences custom. Therefore, whether an organisation achieves this benefit from diversity depends on the composition of its (potential) custom. Secondly, it is assumed that customers wish to see (or to be served by) a workforce which includes people like them (i.e. ethnic minorities wish to see ethnic minority employees, women, female employees, etc.; this tends to be a benefit cited by retail organisations, amongst others). This benefit can only be derived from visible staff and applies to visible diversity groups e.g. it is most clear for gender and age, it will often be clear for some ethnic and religious groups and for some forms of disability (e.g. wheelchair users are visible as disabled but those with Multiple Sclerosis may not be visible as disabled). There is little evidence to support the assumption that customers approve of diversity. Barrington and Troske (2001) refer to a case reported in Navarro (1988) where a barbeque sauce manufacturer lost the majority of its largest retailers (who provided up to half its sales revenue) following a campaign about the founder’s racist statements. Better understanding of a diverse customer/client base (e.g. understanding of different cultures, needs and preferences) is assumed to stem from greater diversity and to enhance sales and service. This may be manifested through more effective personal contact with customers/clients, product development appropriate to diverse groups and marketing appropriate to diverse groups (see, for example, Osborne, 2000). The employment of staff with minority languages enables employees to communicate with customers in their preferred language. Whether such benefits are derived depends on the nature of the business and the composition of customers. The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices Diversity is also purported to increase innovation. Different cultural backgrounds (which may derive, for example, from ethnicity, religion, nationality, gender, sexual orientation) produce different experiences, attitudes and approaches. It is therefore assumed that the range of ideas increases with diversity. This may affect management and organisation approaches, product development, approaches to marketing and publicity and approaches to support services and resourcing. For example, different groups may present different ways of working (e.g. co-operative, individualistic, combative; for an overview of evidence see Anderson with Metcalf, 2003). At the same time, greater employee diversity may have costs in respect of employee relations. It may reduce effective team working because of differences in how individuals interact and hostility from prejudiced employees and increase communication difficulties (Lang, 1986). At worst it may result in harassment, antagonism and resentment, with consequent management costs, cultural diversity training costs, costs associated with reductions in morale and, potentially, legal costs. Whether diversity, where it results from equality of opportunity, results in net benefits or costs will vary with the organisation and the context within which it operates. In a study of the aggregate effects of diversity of business performance in the US, Barrington and Troske (2001) found that, in aggregate, diversity was either positively associated with productivity or there was no significant relationship between diversity and productivity. They concluded that establishments employing a more diverse workforce are no less productive than establishments that employ a more homogeneous workforce. However, like the studies of Equal Opportunities and business performance, this study only examined associations and did not attempt to address causality. 3.2.6 Shareholder approval Finally, just as diversity may meet with customer approval, knowledge of the existence of an Equal Opportunities policy or equality itself may result in share buyers’ approval. Certainly, Wright, et al. (1995) found that companies recognised by the U.S. Department of Labor for having an exemplary affirmative action program experienced an increase in stock price immediately after the announcement, which may have arisen because of an increase in expected future sales or because of a publicity effect. 3.3 The costs of implementing Equal Opportunities policies and practices The implementation of Equal Opportunities policies and practices entail costs. As for any policies and practices, Equal Opportunities policies and practices incur development costs and continuing costs of training and dissemination. In addition, some practices have other types of costs. Examples are given overleaf for some of the main aspects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices: 31 32 The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices • Fair processes for recruitment, appraisal and promotion: vacancy advertising costs, time to conduct selection fairly (including appraisees’ time). • Equal Opportunities monitoring costs: collection of data and its analysis. • Homeworking: may reduce managers’ control and so increase costs (Riley and Weaver, 1997, and Baruch, 2000 referred to in Gray, 2002). • Job-sharing and part-time working: additional costs due to more employees to do the same amount of work (e.g. training, communication, managing), hand-over costs (for job-sharing), loss of quality and efficiency due to handover; at the same time, the organisation may benefit from a wider range of skills and greater deployment flexibility. • Family-friendly leave arrangements: cost of paid leave, replacement costs (including recruitment and training), overtime costs, loss of production (when no replacement), additional demands on other staff affecting morale and production, management time (especially for leave at short notice); at the same time, organisations may benefit from lower turnover amongst those potentially needing time off and so reduced recruitment and training costs. The effects will differ depending on the extent to which leave is predictable, whether it is paid or not and its length. • Specialist provision: to cater for a diverse workforce, e.g. disability-friendly washroom facilities. • Raised awareness of discrimination: Equal Opportunities policies should raise awareness of discrimination. However, amongst discriminated against groups and those who care about equality, unless employees are confident that discrimination is being dealt with, morale may be reduced and grievances and disputes increased. Thus, costs of Equal Opportunities policies may be higher unless effectiveness is high. As with potential benefits, the actual costs of Equal Opportunities policies and practices will vary with the characteristics of the organisation and its circumstances. For example, those with pre-existing highly structured human resource policies and practices will already have the systems for implementation of policies and practices and their costs will be lower. Skills needs and production processes will affect the costs of some practices. The complexity of this can be illustrated in relation to family-friendly leave provision. Costs will tend to decrease the easier it is to provide coverage (i.e. when job skills are common or where staffing capacity allows) or where production is more flexible (i.e. the more able the organisation is to time- (or location-) shift work or to sub-contract. It may be reasonable to assume that low skilled jobs tend to be easier to cover or sub-contract and the larger each occupational group, the easier coverage may be. However, higher skilled jobs may be easier to rearrange demands. Lean organisations may find it more difficult to cover leave. The business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices Costs may also be affected by the extent to which a practice is used. Again, considering family-friendly leave arrangements, coverage costs would rise with the number of staff absent. Moreover, the degree of familiarity with the practice will affect administrative and management costs, including administrative economies of scale. For some practices, it seems likely that administrative costs would initially rise, then decline with use (e.g. extensive use of maternity leave may enable returners to be fitted back in with greater ease). However, very high use is liable to be more costly. 33 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4.1 The basic identification problem Given the data available in Workplace Employment Relations Survey 2004 (WERS 2004) it is possible to examine the associations between different indicators of Equal Opportunities, as discussed in Chapter 2, and business performance (productivity and profits), although there are a number of measurement issues that arise. Our objective is not only to consider the links and correlations between Equal Opportunities and business performance but also to consider the feasibility of moving further towards establishing the effect of Equal Opportunities on business performance using WERS 2004. The difficulty in identifying the causal effect of Equal Opportunities on business performance, measurement issues aside, arises because of the potentially circular relationship between Equal Opportunities and business performance. For example, Equal Opportunities may enhance productivity and productive workplaces may be more likely to adopt Equal Opportunities. This problem is not unique in policy analysis and indeed, in any analysis that attempts to establish causal relationships. Simple regression techniques will only identify the impact effect of Equal Opportunities on business performance if the presence of Equal Opportunities policies and practices are independent of business performance given the other determinants of business performance included in the regression. In other words, to establish causality, Equal Opportunities policies and practices must be exogenous to business performance, conditional on the other determinants of business performance that are taken into account. 35 36 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 If the relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance is circular, as described above, Equal Opportunities policies and practices are endogenous rather than exogenous to business performance. This situation may arise for two reasons: First, productivity may actually cause the adoption of Equal Opportunities. Second, Equal Opportunities may be correlated with other factors that influence business performance. The second problem of other factors that coincide with Equal Opportunities and that affect business performance may be dealt with by including these factors in the regression model. However, this strategy can only be successful if it is possible to identify from theory and measure in the data all the factors that may coincide with Equal Opportunities and that affect business performance. Separately, the correlation between Equal Opportunities and other factors that determine business performance needs to be imperfect so that it is possible to differentiate between the two. In practice it is usually necessary to adopt other methods than simple regression techniques to detect causal impacts rather than correlations in the data, the latter of which can only tell us about the associations between Equal Opportunities and business performance. 4.2 Identification strategy Here we outline how we proceed to try and identify the impacts of Equal Opportunities on business performance using WERS 2004 and handle the issue of endogeneity (the results are reported in Section 5.2). We start by exploring the links between Equal Opportunities and business performance using standard regression analysis. As discussed already, problems that arise in this model are that we may have omitted from the model some variables which are correlated with our measure of Equal Opportunities (the ‘treatment’ indicator) and our measure of business performance (the ‘outcome’ variable) or that Equal Opportunities policies are genuinely caused by business performance. In either case the estimated effect of Equal Opportunities on business performance resulting from the simple regression model will be a biased estimate of the true policy effect. A standard way forward in this situation is to use ‘instrumental variables’ to help identify the true policy effect (see e.g. Greene, 1993). Suitable ‘instruments’ need to be strongly correlated with Equal Opportunities but uncorrelated, or at least only weakly correlated, with business performance. In other words they need to be good predictors of whether or not workplaces have Equal Opportunities policies and practices, but poor predictors of workplace productivity and profits.10 In Section 4.4.2 we identify potential instrumental variables. The way in which instrumental variables techniques are implemented depends on the nature of 10 Furthermore, suitable instruments need to be based on theory. The fact that we may find a variable that satisfies certain statistical criteria is not sufficient in itself. Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 the policy and outcome variables of interest.11 In estimating the effects of Equal Opportunities on business performance (Chapter 5) we make use of these instruments in a simultaneous equation system where business performance and Equal Opportunities are both assumed to be endogenously determined. In practice instrumental variables analysis is complicated because of the difficulty in finding suitable instruments. Furthermore, the results are typically very sensitive to the particular instruments used. Propensity score matching is another technique used for identifying treatment or policy effects (see e.g. Caliendo and Kopeinig, 2005). The benefit of this approach over instrumental variables techniques is that we do not need good instruments. However, propensity score matching does not allow us to control for unobservable determinants of both business performance and Equal Opportunities. It is generally preferable to standard regression techniques, particularly when we have rich information on the covariates of the outcome variable of interest and the policy, as is the case in the current exercise. One important advantage of propensity score matching is that we are able to reduce the sample to restrict our attention only to those establishments for which we have good control establishments, i.e. we are able to compare organisations that are similar in most respects other than in their adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. In contrast, in standard regression analysis we rely on the functional form of the model to compare establishments with Equal Opportunities to those without. Estimates of the effects of Equal Opportunities on business performance based on propensity score matching are likely to identify causal impacts if indeed we have sufficient establishments from which to construct the control group, if we can balance key covariates of business performance between those establishments that operate these practices and those that do not and if we can measure the important covariates of both business performance and Equal Opportunities. Finally, we assess the links between Equal Opportunities and business performance for large establishments (establishments with 50 employees or more). The reason for this is twofold: First, we find that the incidence of Equal Opportunities is very much correlated with establishment size, as is business performance. Second, we might expect the effect of Equal Opportunities to vary by establishment size, possibly because of differences in implementation. For example, in small establishments the costs of these practices might be relatively large in comparison to large establishments where costs are more easily absorbed. Also, in larger establishments a human resource department will typically be responsible for the implementation of these practices; unlike in small establishments which may not have a post designated to human resource issues. 11 In particular, the method of implementation depends on whether these variables are discrete or continuous. 37 38 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4.3 Modelling business performance In this section we discuss how we model business performance in WERS 2004. In Chapter 5 we augment the models shown here with measures of Equal Opportunities policies and practices, under different assumptions about the endogeneity or exogeneity of these policies and practices. Later, these models also help us select covariates to include in estimating the propensity score. First, we discuss measures of productivity and profits available in WERS 2004. Second, we discuss our estimation approach and the adequacy of observable determinants of business performance for the current purposes. 4.3.1 Measuring business performance in WERS 2004 Measures of business performance in the WERS 2004 Management Questionnaire include the respondent’s (usually the human resource manager or the owner) subjective evaluation of productivity and financial performance in the workplace benchmarked against the industry. Subjective performance is recorded on a five-point scale (A lot below, Below, Average, Better, A lot better) relative to the respondent’s perception of the performance of other establishments in their industry. In reality, few establishments report performance a lot below average, so we treat replies ‘A lot below’ and ‘Below’ average as similar. Approximately half of establishments report average, or below average, performance; the other half report above average performance. In modelling financial performance we found that models explaining variation in this dichotomous performance indicator performed better than models explaining variation in the four-category indicator. There are a number of issues in relation to these performance measures: First, since performance is measured subjectively, rather than measured on hard facts or objective data, one might question how well these data measure true performance. Second, performance is benchmarked against the industry, which is not defined and which is likely to be interpreted differently by different respondents. Third, it is not obvious that all respondents will interpret workplace ‘productivity’ or ‘financial performance’ similarly. Regarding financial performance we are able to separate out those respondents who interpret financial performance as profits (rather than turnover, costs, or something else), which reduces the sample of private sector workplaces by approximately a third. For workplaces responding to the Financial Performance Questionnaire in WERS 2004 we also have estimates of turnover, labour costs and other costs, making it possible to derive measures of gross value added and profits. Such data items can also be obtained for some workplaces by linking their records, via the InterDepartmental Business register, to the Annual Business Inquiry (ABI). These data are discussed in Forth and McNabb (2007). Here we use their derivations applied to the April 2007 WERS 2004 release. We also estimate new sample weights as described in Forth and McNabb (2007). These business performance measures (which we refer to as objective measures in what follows) are much to be preferred to the subjective performance measures, were it not for the significantly reduced Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 sample for which these data items are available. We have subjective measures of productivity for more than 1,500 private sector workplaces in WERS 2004. The objective measure is available for less than 500 workplaces. All else being equal this means that we are much less likely to pick up statistically significant effects with these data. We evaluate the impacts of Equal Opportunities for workplaces in the private sector only on the grounds that public sector workplaces are less likely to measure performance accurately or similarly to workplaces in the traded sector. Table 4.1 illustrates the incidence of the seven different indicators of Equal Opportunities and practices on which we focus in the samples for which we have subjective performance data and separately in the sample for which we have objective measures of performance. We also show the incidence of Equal Opportunities in large establishments, which we analyse separately as discussed above. Equal Opportunities are more prevalent in the public sector and in large workplaces, indeed the presence of a formal written policy on Equal Opportunities or managing diversity is near universal in public sector and large establishments. The incidence of Equal Opportunities in the sample of private sector workplaces for which we have subjective performance data is similar, but not identical, to the incidence of Equal Opportunities in the sample of private sector workplaces for which we have objective performance data. Furthermore, the weighting scheme used appears to have some impact on the results. 39 8 The impacts of Equal Opportunities policies in the workplace are measured 47 23 Time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave Time of childcare is usually taken as special or paid parental leave (other than maternity and paternity leave and emergency leave) 43 75 34 46 20 42 23 14 6 11 62 Percentage of private sector workplaces 27 49 39 25 13 21 90 22 38 18 13 6 11 64 26 40 19 15 5 12 69 Percentage of private sector workplaces included in the financial performance sample (prof. weights) Notes: Figures are weighted and based on responses from 1,706 managers in private sector workplaces, 906 managers in large (50 employees or more) private sector workplaces, 589 managers in public sector workplaces and 461 (productivity weights) and 465 (profit weights) managers in private sector workplaces included in the financial performance sample. Source: WERS 2004. 25 18 For some employees working time arrangements include working at or from home in normal working hours Family-friendly practices Recruitment or promotion procedures or relative pay rates are reviewed to identify indirect discrimination by ethnic background 25 31 93 Percentage of public sector workplaces Equal Opportunities practices concerning ethnic background 14 66 Promotion procedures or relative pay rates are reviewed to identify indirect discrimination by gender, ethnic background, disability or age Equal Opportunities practices The workplace, or the organisation of which it is a part, has a formal written policy on equal opportunities or managing diversity Equal Opportunities policies Percentage of all workplaces Percentage of private sector workplaces with 50 employees or more Percentage of private sector workplaces included in the financial performance sample (prod. weights) The incidence of Equal Opportunities policies and practices in UK workplaces Policy or practice Table 4.1 40 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4.3.2 Estimating models of business outcomes in WERS 2004 Factors affecting business outcomes directly and which we can measure using WERS 2004 include workplace characteristics (industry group, region, size of establishment and/or organisation, culture of ownership, age), employee characteristics (skill composition of the work force, gender and ethnic and age composition of the workforce), market characteristics (state of the market, competitiveness of the industry, trading in the international versus local market), industrial relations and human resources (trade union representation, participation in control, participation in returns)12, and job-related factors (training, independence in work, part-time incidence). In terms of the determinants of business performance in theory, one of the most obvious determinants of productivity that we cannot capture in WERS 2004 is the ratio of capital to labour. In and of itself there is no specific reason to expect the capital to labour ratio to be correlated with Equal Opportunities, and hence this does not pose a problem in the evaluation of the effects on business performance of these policies and practices. In practice many of the variables mentioned above, and others, are often included in models of business performance whether or not they are statistically significant. We have started our modelling with many of the standard variables, as described previously, but narrowed these down to those which appear to explain variation in the outcome variable best. Note that there are a number of factors that may influence business performance and that may be regarded as intermediate outcome variables in the current evaluation exercise, i.e. they are influenced by Equal Opportunities policies and practices. These are excluded in the outcome models here, so that we do not mask any potential policy effects. For example, if Equal Opportunities practices affect business performance exclusively through employee commitment, we will clearly find no effect of Equal Opportunities if we include employee commitment in the business performance model. At the same time, it is important that we include the determinants of these intermediate outcomes in the business performance model, so that, once we get to the evaluation stage in the next section, the estimated Equal Opportunities effect does not pick up the effect of these intermediate outcome variables on business performance, other than where these occur through Equal Opportunities. Based on the discussion in Chapters 2 and 3, key intermediate outcomes include the gender and ethnic minority composition of the establishment’s workforce and employee commitment, and in the profits model one might also reasonably argue that productivity is an intermediate outcome. We exclude these factors from our models of business performance, but include 12 The ‘participation in control’ variable is a composite variable constructed using factor analysis of three variables measuring the extent of briefing between managers and employees, joint consultative committees, and quality circles. The ‘participation in returns’ variable is a composite variable constructed using factor analysis of three variables measuring the extent of performance-related pay, profit-related pay and employee share schemes. 41 42 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 exogenous determinants of these factors such as the gender or ethnic minority composition of industry employment, the ethnic minority composition of the local population, industrial relations and Human Resource Management (HRM) factors.13 Table 4.2 reports our models of business performance. We show models of productivity and profits measured by the subjective (first two columns) and objective (last two columns) data respectively. Subjective performance is modelled as a probit. Objective performance is modelled as a linear regression of logged performance. All models capture the influences of industrial relations and HRM factors (e.g. union presence is always negatively correlated with business performance, regardless of how this is measured), influences on employee characteristics (e.g. the share of industry employment from an ethnic minority background appears to have a large and significant negative effect on the subjective productivity performance indicator, which probably reflects the sorting of disadvantaged groups in the labour market into low paying sectors), market conditions and competitiveness (e.g. a declining or turbulent market typically has an adverse effect on business performance), skills and basic establishment characteristics (e.g. large establishments tend to perform better than equivalent smaller establishments, although large organisations seem to have lower productivity than equivalent smaller organisations), although the way in which these are represented varies across models and was determined by statistical significance. The models are reasonably specified. Interestingly, we are better able to explain variation in the objective measures of business performance than in the subjective measures of business performance. This is not entirely due to differences in outcome measures, but is also explained by differences in the sample of workplaces. Thus, we are better able to explain variation in the subjective measures of performance on the sample for which we have objective data than on the larger sample for which we have subjective measures of performance. 13 The gender and ethnic minority composition of industry employment is derived from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and linked to WERS 2004 via the Standard Industrial Classification. The ethnic minority composition of the local population is derived from the Census and is linked to the WERS 2004 via postcodes. -.053 .006 Share of industry employment from ethnic minority background Share of industry employment that is female Share of TTWA population from ethnic minority background Influences on employee characteristics (.016) (.013) (.169) .050 -.053 .004 -.026 .249 .041 Independence in work (.281) .045 Culture of head office: other non-UK .042 Participation in control (.051) -.042 Coeff. .319 .077 Participation in returns (.251) p-value (.150) (.326) (.088) (.035) (.120) (.311) (.361) (.578) p-value Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (profits) Culture of head office: USA -.065 Coeff. Union presence Industrial Relations and HRM Independent variables Subjective indicator of above average productivity performance Models of business performance Dependent variable Table 4.2 -.003 .247 .259 .088 -.106 Coeff. (.087) (.002) (.021) (.023) (.022) p-value Log gross value added per employee -.004 .173 .173 -.031 .074 -.066 Coeff. Continued (.011) (.005) (.036) (.077) (.007) (.052) p-value Log profits per employee Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 43 Continued Coeff. -.073 -.122 State of the market: mature State of the market: declining or turbulent (.071) -.094 .002 -.002 (.233) (.049) (.496) Coeff. Share of employees age 1621 (.003) -.098 -.134 -.049 p-value (.070) (.381) (.042) p-value Log gross value added per employee -.001 .004 (.075) (.028) (.210) (.009) (.129) Coeff. Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (profits) Share of employees in routine unskilled occupations Share of employees in managerial/professional occupations Skills Trading in the international market .122 .149 Extent to which demand depends on quality: high State of the market: mature, declining or turbulent .091 Extent to which demand depends on quality: medium p-value Subjective indicator of above average productivity performance Market conditions and competitiveness Independent variables Dependent variable Table 4.2 .002 -.089 Coeff. Continued (.050) (.022) p-value Log profits per employee 44 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued 1,402 Sample (unweighted) -.223 853 0.081 (.073) (.027) (.137) (.081) (.458) p-value -.051 -.252 Coeff. 461 0.377 (.337) (.000) p-value Log gross value added per employee -.049 -.050 Coeff. 465 0.378 (.190) (.237) p-value Log profits per employee Notes: Estimation takes into account survey weights; subjective (objective) performance modelled as a probit (linear regression); probit coefficients shown as marginal effects; independent variables include major Standard Industrial Classification indicators and a constant term; participation in returns variable constructed from factor analysis of indicators of performance-related pay, profit-related pay, employee share schemes; participation in control variable constructed from factor analysis of indicators of briefing between managers and workers, joint consultative committees, and quality circles; independence in work variable constructed from factor analysis of indicators of the extent of variety in work, discretion in work, control over pace of work, and design of work; sample includes private sector trading establishments; sample for subjective financial performance includes only those establishments who regard financial performance as profits. Source: WERS 2004. 0.084 R-squared (pseudo for probit models) Young establishment Share of employees working part-time -.121 Organisation size: 100 employees or more .166 .095 .053 Establishment size: 50 employees or more (.032) -.228 Coeff. Ownership: predominantly foreign (.282) p-value Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (profits) -.083 Coeff. Subjective indicator of above average productivity performance Ownership: partly foreign Establishment characteristics Independent variables Dependent variable Table 4.2 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 45 46 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4.4 Modelling treatment selection Here we discuss the empirical determinants of Equal Opportunities policies and practices or ‘treatment selection’, where the particular Equal Opportunities policy or practice is the ‘treatment’ and ‘selection’ refers to whether or not workplaces operate such policies and practices. The purpose of this is to assess which factors appear to be important covariates of both business performance outcomes and Equal Opportunities policies and practices. This provides us with guidance as to which variables are important to include in modelling the propensity score. We also assess which factors appear to explain the presence of Equal Opportunities policies and practices, but which do not help explain business performance in and of themselves. These variables are used as instrumental variables when we assume in the evaluation exercise in Chapter 5 that Equal Opportunities policies and practices are endogenously determined. 4.4.1 Models of Equal Opportunities We model the workplace presence of each of seven measures of Equal Opportunities policies and practices using a probit model. In Table 4.3 we report these models estimated on the sample of private sector workplaces for which we have subjective performance measures of productivity. We list the variables included in estimation in terms of whether (A in Table 4.3) or not (B and C in Table 4.3) they determine subjective productivity performance, i.e. whether or not they are included in the model in the first column of Table 4.2. The factors that are not included in the model of subjective productivity performance, but that are included in the models of treatment selection here in Table 4.3, are statistically independent of subjective productivity performance. Many of the variables that influence subjective productivity performance appear also to determine the probability of having in place different Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Industrial relations and HRM factors are significant covariates, much as we might expect given the discussion in Chapters 2 and 3. The share of ethnic minority employees and female employees in the industry have a statistically significant effect on the presence of review procedures and home working, but not on other indicators of Equal Opportunities. Market conditions and competitiveness factors are in many instances statistically significant covariates. The skill composition of establishments’ workforce determines the incidence of home working. Both the size of the establishment and the size of the organisation appear to be important explanatory factors of the incidence of several Equal Opportunities policies and practices here. In comparison to similar but small organisations, large organisations are more likely to have a formal written Equal Opportunities policy and are more likely to adopt review procedures to identify discrimination in general and to identify discrimination in relation to ethnic background. Larger organisations appear to be less likely to facilitate home working than smaller organisations, but larger establishments appear to be more likely to facilitate home working than smaller establishments. .146 .151 -.013 Participation in returns Participation in control Independence in work .008 -.001 Share of ethnic minority employees in the industry Share of female employees in the industry Influences on employee characteristics .068 Coeff. Union presence Industrial Relations and Human Resource Management A. Determinants of subjective productivity performance Independent variables (.677) (.768) (.657) (.002) (.001) (.305) pvalue Formal written policy .000 .013 .021 .027 .027 -.019 Coeff. (.898) (.062) (.030) (.100) (.110) (.366) pvalue Review procedures -.000 .002 .004 .021 -.010 .042 Coeff. (.458) (.540) (.451) (.006) (.234) (.002) pvalue Equal Opportunities impact measurement Models of Equal Opportunities selection Dependent variable (Equal Opportunities treatment indicator) Table 4.3 .001 .001 .019 .034 -.017 .020 Coeff. (.184) (.887) (.191) (.051) (.369) (.440) pvalue Review procedures concerning ethnic background -.005 .033 .066 .049 .054 -.011 Coeff. (.003) (.018) (.001) (.069) (.045) (.777) pvalue Home working .001 .013 .085 .049 .082 -.008 Coeff. (.724) (.511) (.002) (.198) (.031) (.887) pvalue Special paid leave for family emergencies (.412) (.368) (.025) (.116) (.278) (.976) pvalue Continued .001 .012 .044 .041 .027 -.001 Coeff. Additional paid leave for childcare Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 47 Continued -.059 .014 -.052 -.148 Extent to which demand depends on quality: high State of the market: mature State of the market: declining or turbulent Trading in the international market .001 .003 Share of employees in managerial/professional occupations Share of employees age 16-21 Skills -.103 Coeff. (.074) (.690) (.070) (.361) (.813) (.325) (.095) pvalue Formal written policy Extent to which demand depends on quality: medium Market conditions and competitiveness Independent variables Dependent variable (Equal Opportunities treatment indicator) Table 4.3 -.000 -.000 .013 .051 .048 -.004 -.002 Coeff. (.328) (.470) (.628) (.041) (.094) (.850) (.914) pvalue Review procedures -.000 .000 -.021 .009 -.011 .010 -.008 Coeff. (.584) (.686) (.037) (.396) (.368) (.331) (.465) pvalue Equal Opportunities impact measurement -.001 .000 -.014 -.006 .031 .007 .015 Coeff. (.218) (.737) (.635) (.796) (.289) (.782) (.561) pvalue Review procedures concerning ethnic background -.003 .003 .031 -.095 -.108 -.065 -.015 Coeff. (.039) (.000) (.537) (.007) (.002) (.073) (.699) pvalue Home working -.002 -.001 .007 .073 .036 -.127 -.131 Coeff. (.147) (.530) (.921) (.173) (.513) (.017) (.016) pvalue Special paid leave for family emergencies (.150) (.354) (.236) (.342) (.146) (.265) (.865) pvalue Continued -.001 -.001 .068 -.034 .059 -.043 .007 Coeff. Additional paid leave for childcare 48 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued .380 Organisation size: 100 employees or more .254 -.130 -.148 Culture of head office: USA Culture of head office: other non-UK Young establishment B. Additional determinants of objective productivity performance or profits .097 Coeff. (.025) (.332) (.138) (.000) (.104) pvalue Formal written policy Establishment size: 50 employees or more Establishment characteristics Independent variables Dependent variable (Equal Opportunities treatment indicator) Table 4.3 -.011 -.061 .079 .076 .012 Coeff. (.687) (.000) (.130) (.001) (.582) pvalue Review procedures .012 -.024 .125 .010 .006 Coeff. (.449) (.047) (.001) (.407) (.612) pvalue Equal Opportunities impact measurement .091 -.058 .040 .072 .025 Coeff. (.045) (.005) (.415) (.005) (.331) pvalue Review procedures concerning ethnic background .025 -.021 .054 -.151 .270 Coeff. (.628) (.721) (.478) (.000) (.000) pvalue Home working -.004 .086 .070 .038 -.037 Coeff. (.955) (.395) (.485) (.481) (.452) pvalue Special paid leave for family emergencies (.812) (.000) (.199) (.178) (.599) pvalue Continued -.010 -.141 .111 .052 .018 Coeff. Additional paid leave for childcare Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 49 Continued (.001) (.000) (.588) (.391) (.911) pvalue 1,516 .184 .107 -.010 .001 -.000 Coeff. Review procedures (.007) (.360) (.918) (.023) pvalue 1,516 .228 .031 .009 -.000 .001 Coeff. EO impact measurement (.000) (.220) (.125) (.070) pvalue 1,516 .223 .125 .025 .004 .002 Coeff. Review procedures concerning ethnic background (.394) (.024) (.018) (.558) pvalue 1,516 .278 .031 -.071 .008 -.001 Coeff. Home working (.372) (.338) (.503) (.791) pvalue 1,516 .094 .045 .044 -.003 .001 Coeff. Special paid leave for family emergencies (.449) (.125) (.539) (.765) pvalue 1,516 .100 .026 .049 .002 -.001 Coeff. Additional paid leave for childcare Notes: Estimation takes into account survey weights; probit coefficients shown as marginal effects; independent variables include major Standard Industrial Classification indicators and a constant term; participation in returns variable constructed from factor analysis of indicators of performance-related pay, profit-related pay, employee share schemes; participation in control variable constructed from factor analysis of indicators of briefing between managers and workers, joint consultative committees, and quality circles; independence in work variable constructed from factor analysis of indicators of the extent of variety in work, discretion in work, control over pace of work, and design of work; sample includes private sector trading establishments. Source: WERS 2004. 1,471 .175 Human resource manager/ owner qualified in personnel management (.011) .358 .118 Human resource manager/ owner is female (.122) Sample (unweighted) .010 Share of employees with a disability (.895) pvalue Pseudo R-squared -.000 Coeff. Formal written policy Share of TTWA population from ethnic minority background C. Independent of productivity performance Independent variables Dependent variable (Equal Opportunities treatment indicator) Table 4.3 50 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4.4.2 Instrumental variables Next we look at the variables included in modelling treatment selection that are unrelated to subjective productivity performance (B and C in Table 4.3). To the extent that this set of variables explains the presence of Equal Opportunities policies and practices we can use them as instrumental variables to aid identification of causal impacts, assuming that the correlation with Equal Opportunities and their independence of business outcomes is justified on theoretical grounds. Both the gender and occupational training of the human resource manager are important determinants of whether or not establishments have formal written policies on Equal Opportunities. The latter is also an important determinant of review procedures concerning Equal Opportunities and other general Equal Opportunities practices. The culture of the head office is also an important determinant of the presence of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. These policies are more likely to be adopted in workplaces where the culture of the head office is US-influenced; and less likely to be adopted in workplaces where the culture of the head office is non-UK and non-US. The share of employees with a disability is an important covariate of home working, as is the gender of the human resource manager or establishment owner, although the sign of the latter effect is perhaps surprising if we consider that home working is a familyfriendly policy that promotes equality on the basis of gender. The share of the population in the local Travel-to-Work Area from an ethnic minority background is an important determinant of the workplace incidence of measuring the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and the incidence of review procedures to identify indirect discrimination on the basis of ethnic background. None of these variables influence subjective productivity performance in the model illustrated in Table 4.2. Thus, for most of our treatment indicators we have several potential instrumental variables.14 We note that in terms of the variables discussed here, the incidence of family-friendly practices measured by special paid leave for family emergencies or additional paid leave for childcare, is least well explained. In particular, we do not have many strong covariates of these treatment indicators that are independent of business performance. In other words, we do not have strong instrumental variables for these two treatment indicators, limiting our ability to identify the causal impacts of these policies. 14 We repeat this modelling exercise to identify potential instrumental variables for each Equal Opportunities indicator separately for the different measures of business performance. 51 52 Identifying the effect of Equal Opportunities on business outcomes using WERS 2004 4.5 Summary To summarise, identifying the causal impact of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance is complicated by the possibility that high performance workplaces may be more likely to adopt these policies and practices. To deal with this potential endogeneity problem we use instrumental variables and propensity score methods to assess the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance. In the first instance we need to model business performance. WERS 2004 offers both subjective and objective measures of workplace productivity and financial performance. The subjective measures are prone to a number of measurement problems. The objective measures are only available for a small sample of workplaces. Each of these business performance indicators can be reasonably explained by the additional information available in WERS 2004. However, there remains significant unexplained variation in workplace performance, which we cannot account for with the information available. The adoption of Equal Opportunities policies and practices depends on many of the same factors that determine business performance. We are able to construct instrumental variables for several indicators of Equal Opportunities. We do not have good instrumental variables for all family-friendly policies, which makes it more difficult to identify the causal impacts of these on business performance. Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 5 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 5.1 Sample correlations between Equal Opportunities and business performance Before discussing the results of our econometric analysis of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes and the extent to which these are likely to identify causal impacts, it is instructive to look at the simple correlations in the data between Equal Opportunities and business performance. Table 5.1 shows the mean differences in business performance between establishments with and without Equal Opportunities policies/practices. These are cross-tabulations of the data and should not be interpreted as the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance: correlation, not causation, is reported. Our estimates of the impact of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance are reported in a separate section (Section 5.2 and Tables 5.2-5.8). In Table 5.1 a positive (negative) number implies that establishments with a particular Equal Opportunities policy or practice are more (less) likely to have higher productivity or profits than establishments without such a policy. We show these cross-tabulations for the three different samples included in our analysis: private sector workplaces, private sector workplaces with 50 employees or more and private sector workplaces included in the Financial Performance Questionnaire. In the latter, business performance is measured by the objective data on productivity and profits per employee. 53 54 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Interestingly, the differences in business performance by treatment status are large in the subjective data in comparison to the objective data, although these data are not directly comparable as they have completely different scales/metrics. Also, the correlation of differences in profits with differences in productivity across treatment status is positive in the objective data, i.e. if, on average, workplaces with a particular Equal Opportunities practice are more (less) productive, they are also more (less) profitable. The correlation of differences in profits with differences in productivity varies across treatment status in the subjective performance data. These factors point to the limitations of using measures of perceptions of business performance when modelling the relationship between Equal Opportunities and productivity and profits. Now consider in turn the four sets of Equal Opportunities policies and practices that we analyse: formal policies; monitoring and reviewing practices; practices concerning ethnic background; and family-friendly practices. Looking at Equal Opportunities policies, workplaces with formal written policies on Equal Opportunities or managing diversity are significantly less likely to report above average productivity. For those workplaces with formal policies, the percentage reporting above average productivity is 11.2 percentage points less than for those workplaces without formal written policies. For the sake of comparison between productivity and profit effects, Table 5.1 also shows the difference in the proportion of workplaces reporting above average productivity for the sample of firms that interpret financial performance as profits. The tendency for workplaces with formal written policies on Equal Opportunities to report relatively poor productivity performance, as measured by the subjective indicator, is at least as strong in this sample. This negative association between Equal Opportunities policies and productivity performance is not always apparent for larger workplaces and does not appear amongst private sector workplaces in the Financial Performance Questionnaire where productivity is measured objectively. In all the samples in Table 5.1, workplaces with formal written policies on Equal Opportunities are likely to be more profitable than workplaces without, although the difference is never statistically significant. -.007 -.039 The impacts of Equal Opportunities policies in the workplace are measured -.112** Promotion procedures or relative pay rates are reviewed to identify indirect discrimination by gender, ethnic background, disability or age Equal Opportunities practices The workplace, or the organisation of which it is a part, has a formal written policy on equal opportunities or managing diversity Equal Opportunities policies (all) .015 -.092 -.138** (including in profit sample) Difference in proportion reporting above average productivity .066 .058 .054 Difference in proportion reporting above average profits Private sector workplaces .014 -.028 -.023 (all) -.029 .009 .026 (including in profit sample) Difference in proportion reporting above average productivity Private sector workplaces included in the financial performance sample .120* .104 .121 -.08 .03 .07 Continued -.06 .01 .04 Difference in proportion Difference reporting in log gross Difference in above average value added log profits profits per employee per employee Private sector workplaces with 50 employees or more Difference in business performance between establishments with and without Equal Opportunities policies/practices Policy or practice Table 5.1 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 55 Continued -.090* Time off for childcare is usually taken as special or paid parental leave (other than maternity and paternity leave and emergency leave) -.034 .107** .097 -.045 .059 .043 .005 .134* Difference in proportion reporting above average profits -.010 -.086* -.038 .040 (all) -.041 -.078 -.073 .056 (including in profit sample) Difference in proportion reporting above average productivity Private sector workplaces included in the financial performance sample .095 .009 -.017 .109* .07 .06 .08 -.00 .09 .05 .10 -.02 Difference in proportion Difference reporting in log gross Difference in above average value added log profits profits per employee per employee Private sector workplaces with 50 employees or more Notes: *** indicates statistically significant at the one per cent level; ** indicates statistically significant at the five per cent level; * indicates statistically significant at the ten per cent level; point estimates and standard errors take into account survey weights; estimated productivity differentials in the ‘including in profit sample’ are shown for direct comparison to estimated profit differentials (this sample is filtered on the variable KERFIS=1). Source: WERS 2004. .062 .100** .013 (all) (including in profit sample) Difference in proportion reporting above average productivity Private sector workplaces Time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave For some employees working time arrangements include working at, or from, home in normal working hours Family-friendly practices Recruitment or promotion procedures or relative pay rates are reviewed to identify indirect discrimination by ethnic background Equal Opportunities practices concerning ethnic background Policy or practice Table 5.1 56 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 The correlations in the data between our two measures of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices and business performance are also wideranging. On both treatment indicators it appears that Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices are associated with relatively poor productivity performance in the full sample of private sector workplaces. For large workplaces and for workplaces included in the profit sample, this is only the case for review procedures to identify indirect discrimination. For large workplaces in the profit sample and for workplaces in the financial performance sample this is only the case for our other indicator of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices. None of these differences in productivity outcomes are significant. It also appears that workplaces with Equal opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices, as measured here, are more likely to report above-average profits. Amongst larger workplaces this difference in performance is statistically significant. Workplaces with review procedures concerning ethnic background are more likely to report above average profits. Amongst workplaces with such procedures, the percentage reporting above-average productivity is 13.4 percentage points higher than amongst workplaces where there are no such procedures. Amongst large workplaces the difference is 10.9 percentage points. These differences are statistically significant, but do not appear in the financial performance sample where profits are measured from the objective data. Amongst private sector workplaces with family-friendly practices such as home working and special paid leave for family emergencies, both profits and productivity are higher than in private sector workplaces without these practices. This is regardless of whether performance is measured on the subjective or objective data. Amongst large workplaces this relationship is reversed. Workplaces where time off for childcare is usually taken as special paid or parental paid leave are more likely to report average or below average productivity than workplaces without these practices, but this relationship does not appear when productivity is measured by gross value added. Workplaces with these family-friendly leave practices are more likely to report above-average profits. The picture of the relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance that emerges from these cross-tabulations of the data is very mixed. At one level this might be expected given the range of practices we consider, as discussed in Chapter 2. However, the mixed picture also arises because of differences across samples and business performance measures, if anything, suggestive of a complex relationship between Equal Opportunities and business performance. 57 58 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 5.2 Estimates of the effects of Equal Opportunities on business performance The tables in the following sections of this chapter provide estimates of the effects on workplace performance of having in place Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Here we provide a brief explanation of the layout of these. Further details of the individual statistical models are provided in Appendix C. Each table (Tables 5.2-5.8) gives estimates for one particular measure of Equal Opportunities policy or practice (treatment indicator). The text accompanying the tables (in Sections 5.2.1-5.2.4) gives our interpretation of these results and is divided into four sections, reflecting the four different sets of Equal Opportunities measures. The upper (lower) half of each table gives estimates of the effect of Equal Opportunities on business productivity (profits). For each business outcome (productivity or profits) each table shows three sets of results, distinguished by outcome measure and sample. The first of these is the subjective indicator of business performance derived from the Workplace Employment Relations Survey (WERS 2004) Management Questionnaire, equal to one if business performance is reported to be above average and zero otherwise, and the second of these is the natural logarithm of gross value added per employee or profits per employee derived from the WERS 2004 Financial Performance Questionnaire linked to the Annual Respondents Database. The last set of results refers to the subjective performance indicator, where the sample is restricted to workplaces with 50 employees or more. All results represent estimates of the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT), i.e. the average effect of having in place a particular Equal Opportunities policy or practice amongst those who have these in place, under different identifying assumptions, i.e. different assumptions about the nature of endogeneity and the way this is dealt with. In the case of the subjective performance outcome measure, the ATT measures the percentage point difference in the probability of reporting above-average performance associated with having in place a particular Equal Opportunities policy or practice. In the case of the objective performance outcome measure the ATT measures the per cent difference in outcomes (gross value added or profits per head) associated with having in place a particular Equal Opportunities policy or practice. We report in brackets the probability that the ATT is zero based on the standard error and central estimate of the ATT. 5.2.1 Workplace performance and Equal Opportunities policies Table 5.2 reports estimates of the workplace performance effects of having a written policy on Equal Opportunities or managing diversity. The simple probit model of subjective productivity performance that assumes treatment is exogenously determined is suggestive of a negative and statistically significant Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and workplace productivity [.141 (.016)].15 This echoes the findings in the raw data illustrated in Table 5.1. The ATT based on the propensity score estimates show a similar picture [-.131 (.001); .093 (.001)], but there are two reasons in particular why we would be reluctant to interpret these propensity score estimates (and equally the simple probit/exogenous treatment estimate) as evidence of a causal impact from Equal Opportunities policies to productivity. First, because a large proportion of establishments have written policies on Equal Opportunities, there are relatively few establishments against which to benchmark the treated. The few workplaces without policies are repeatedly used to compare against the broad range of workplaces that have written Equal Opportunities policies. Second, although the mean propensity score is similar between the matched sample of the treated (establishments with formal written policies) and the non-treated (establishments without formal written policies), other important covariates are not balanced between the two groups. Most importantly, establishment size remains significantly different between the treated and non-treated in the matched sample. Indeed, once we focus on large establishments only, the propensity score estimates no longer suggest a clear negative correlation between productivity and Equal Opportunities policies [.055 (.159); -.053 (.083)]. These issues suggest that both the propensity score estimates and the estimates derived under the assumption that the policy is exogenous, are biased estimates of the true impact of Equal Opportunities policies on business performance. In particular, once we allow for the possibility that Equal Opportunities policies are endogenously determined, there does not appear to be any statistically significant impact of Equal Opportunities policies on workplace productivity, as measured by the subjective performance indicator [-.040 (.775)].16 Looking at gross value added per employee, there is similarly no discernable statistically significant impact of Equal Opportunities policies on productivity, much as suggested by the comparison of means in the raw data. In conclusion, the analysis discussed so far does not point to any impact of having a formal written Equal Opportunities policy on workplace productivity. Turning to the lower half of Table 5.2, the simple probit model of subjective financial performance, assuming treatment is exogenously determined, shows no statistically significant relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and financial performance [-.017 (.809)]. The estimated ATT based on propensity score matching is suggestive of a positive and significant impact of Equal Opportunities on financial performance [.092 (.037); .098 (.004)]. As before, we 15 16 We report the [estimated effect (p-value)] to facilitate cross reference to the tables of results. Although the correlation of unobservables in the endogenous treatment model does not appear to be statistically different from zero judging by the reported Wald test [-.104 (.726)], this is not a particularly strong test of exogeneity. Given the problems discussed in relation to the other estimates, the endogenous treatment model provides the more prudent estimate of the impact of Equal Opportunities policy on business performance. 59 60 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 have reservations about interpreting these effects as causal due to the availability of relatively few workplaces that do not have Equal Opportunities policies and due to the imbalance of important covariates in the matched sample. However, a statistically significant effect remains in the propensity score based estimates once we focus on large establishments only [.166 (.001); .140 (.000)]. But, we note the deterioration in the overall quality of the matched sample as given by the widening of the difference in the mean propensity score between the treated and non-treated. Indeed, there are few large establishments that do not have formal written Equal Opportunities policies. Furthermore, it is questionable whether we are able to control adequately for significant determinants of business outcomes for large establishments, i.e. much of the variation in the performance of large firms remains unexplained. Using instrumental variables to help identify causal impacts, the ‘endogenous treatment’ model shows a positive effect of Equal Opportunities policies on the subjective measure of profits [.139 (.233)], but this effect is not statistically significant at conventional levels and is not supported by the endogenous treatment model estimated on the objective profits data [-.064 (.247)]. In conclusion, the analysis here does not support either a positive or a negative effect of Equal Opportunities policies on business’ profits. To summarise, some of the statistical models estimated here are suggestive of statistically significant relationships between subjective business performance and Equal Opportunities policies. However, without further evidence, given the statistical issues in identifying causal impacts discussed here and taking into account the range of evidence in Table 5.2, it is unlikely that these relationships in the data reflect the causal impacts of policy. Finally, as discussed in Chapter 2, we note that the indicator of Equal Opportunities used here is relatively weak, i.e. it does not necessarily reflect the presence of Equal Opportunities practices. This is yet a reason for being wary of interpreting sometimes large and statistically significant differences in business performance in Table 5.2 as the results of Equal Opportunities policies. (.541) (.930) .002 (.374) -.064 Endogenous treatment .019 (.693) -.016 (.001) -.093 Exogenous treatment Propensity score estimates Linear regression Log gross value added per employee (.001) (.775) -.040 Endogenous treatment -.131 (.016) -.141 Exogenous treatment Propensity score estimates Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .497 .367 Nontreated .701 .767 Nontreated .704 .769 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 306 306 1051 1051 Match sample .173 -.104 Continued (.390) (.726) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimated workplace performance effects of having a formal written policy on Equal Opportunities or managing diversity Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.2 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 61 Continued (.037) (.004) .098 (.233) .139 Endogenous treatment .092 (.809) -.017 (.083) -.053 Exogenous treatment Propensity score estimates Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.159) (.019) -.143 (small workplaces) .055 (.293) -.117 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Propensity score estimates Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.2 K NN K NN Match method .350 .753 Nontreated .736 .910 Nontreated .741 .913 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 636 636 560 559 Match sample -.368 Continued (.186) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 62 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.001) (.000) .140 (.778) -.021 (small workplaces) .166 (.672) .060 (.812) Exogenous treatment Propensity score estimates Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.087) .004 (.247) -.064 Endogenous treatment .047 (.506) -.017 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Propensity score estimates Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.2 K NN K NN Match method .603 .535 Nontreated .901 .700 Nontreated .909 .704 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 288 288 304 304 Match sample .267 (.281) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 63 64 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 5.2.2 Workplace performance and Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices Table 5.3 reports estimates of the workplace performance effects of reviewing promotion procedures or relative pay rates to identify indirect discrimination. Table 5.4 reports estimates of the workplace performance effects associated with measuring the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies in the workplace. Both are intended to be indicators of Equal Opportunities policy and practice in general. Looking first at the results in Table 5.3 regarding subjective measures of business performance, the different models in which treatment is assumed exogenous show no statistically significant relationship between Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices and business performance. In the instrumental variables analysis (endogenous treatment) of review procedures the estimated ATT for productivity is positive and statistically significant [.026 (.033)]. In this model the correlation of unobservable determinants of both treatment and outcomes is negative and, although not significant at conventional levels, probably needs to be accounted for [-.599 (.159)]. In other words it casts more doubt on the model in which treatment is assumed exogenous. This positive relationship between productivity and review procedures to identify indirect discrimination is not supported by the analysis of the gross value added data, where if anything, the relationship between performance and Equal Opportunities appears negative [-.085 (.444)], although we note the very small sample available for analysis. Before considering the results for large workplaces we note that in Table 5.4, measuring Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices by whether or not workplaces evaluate the impacts of their Equal Opportunities policies, we consistently find no evidence of a statistically significant relationship or effect of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices on business performance. Some estimates of the ATT for large firms based on propensity score matching in Tables 5.3 and 5.4 are suggestive of a positive and significant effect of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices on business performance. However, we are cautious in interpreting this evidence as conclusive given the small sample on which the analysis is based and the difficulty, given the data available, in controlling adequately for the determinants of business performance in large establishments. To summarise, the evidence in the data for either a large or widespread impact, positive or negative, of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices on business productivity or profits is not strong. To the extent there are any positive effects the data suggest these are more likely to arise in larger establishments. (.182) (.194) -.071 (.444) (.094) -.140 -.085 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates -.115 (.649) .027 Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log gross value added per employee (.538) (.033) (.845) .051 .026 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates -.013 Exogenous treatment Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .080 .097 Nontreated .314 .194 Nontreated .319 .194 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 69 69 303 302 Match sample -.087 -.599 Continued (.673) (.159) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimated workplace performance effects of reviewing promotion procedures or relative pay rates to identify indirect discrimination Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.3 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 65 Continued (.309) (.827) .018 (.193) (.836) .094 .015 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates -.020 (.141) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.128) .088 (.827) (.931) .134 -.017 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .006 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.3 K NN K NN Match method .076 .174 Nontreated .212 .345 Nontreated .212 .347 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 154 154 224 224 Match sample -.446 Continued (.193) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 66 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.012) (.015) .148 (.686) (.257) .233 -.047 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .098 (.369) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.214) .025 (.640) (.190) .059 -.061 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates -.084 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.3 K NN K NN Match method .142 .075 Nontreated .335 .435 Nontreated .337 .444 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 113 112 75 75 Match sample -.100 (.796) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 67 Propensity score estimates (.843) (.662) .078 (.766) -.036 -.069 Endogenous treatment (.789) (.899) .009 .023 (.864) (.771) -.002 .018 (.490) -.051 Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log gross value added per employee Propensity score estimates Endogenous treatment Exogenous treatment Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .059 .052 Nontreated .118 .141 Nontreated .120 .141 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 46 46 197 197 Match sample .282 .011 Continued (.560) (.976) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimated workplace performance effects of measuring the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies in the workplace Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.4 68 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.764) (.429) .076 (.988) (.578) .039 -.001 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates .062 (.218) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.024) .087 (.507) (.839) .178 -.060 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates -.020 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.4 K NN K NN Match method .036 .120 Nontreated .104 .196 Nontreated .104 .197 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 98 98 147 147 Match sample .151 Continued (.977) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 69 Continued (.361) (.037) .138 (.715) (.299) .105 .052 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .097 (.583) .077 Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.649) .067 (.899) -.020 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates (.507) .045 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.4 K NN K NN Match method .107 .047 Nontreated .251 .090 Nontreated .253 .091 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 77 77 47 47 Match sample .280 (.181) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 70 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 5.2.3 Workplace performance and Equal Opportunities practices concerning ethnic background Table 5.5 reports our findings regarding the effects on workplace performance of reviewing recruitment or promotion procedures, or relative pay rates, to identify indirect discrimination on the grounds of ethnic background. Estimates of the ATT are generally positive, but statistically no different from zero, with the exception of the ATT estimated from the objective performance data using linear regression methods, where estimates of the ATT are negative, again not statistically significant. The regularity in the sign of the estimated ATT and the estimates derived from the propensity score models both point to the possibility that there is a positive effect of these practices on business performance. The propensity score estimates are in some instances nearly significant at the ten per cent level [.130 (.119); .122 (.110)] and in others (in the objective profits data [.121 (.046); .081 (.053)] and kernel matching estimates for large establishments [.159 (.002); .168 (.003)]) statistically significant at conventional levels (although, judging by the poor quality of the match indicated by the difference between the mean propensity score of the nontreated (.347) and the treated (.362) in the matched sample, the propensity score estimates on the objective profits data are questionable). Taken together, there is little evidence in the data to suggest either a strong or widespread effect of Equal Opportunities practices concerning ethnic background on business performance. At the same time, it is difficult on the basis of these results to rule out entirely the potential existence of some positive impact from these practices on business performance in large establishments. 71 Propensity score estimates (.123) (.600) .043 (.348) .160 -.110 Endogenous treatment (.935) (.245) .064 -.007 (.119) (.444) .018 .130 (.558) .037 Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log gross value added per employee Propensity score estimates Endogenous treatment Exogenous treatment Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .112 .116 Nontreated .328 .236 Nontreated .329 .236 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 80 80 344 344 Match sample .297 -.288 Continued (.101) (.492) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimated workplace performance effects of reviewing recruitment or promotion procedures or relative pay rates to identify indirect discrimination on the grounds of ethnic background Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.5 72 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.240) (.110) .122 (.742) (.210) .164 .006 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates .115 (.002) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.112) .043 (.629) (.479) .097 .035 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .046 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.5 K NN K NN Match method .079 .209 Nontreated .187 .362 Nontreated .188 .363 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 169 168 249 249 Match sample -.032 Continued (.955) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 73 Continued (.137) (.003) .168 (.312) (.127) .140 .113 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .121 (.314) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.705) .081 (.314) (.705) .121 -.098 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates .026 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.5 K NN K NN Match method .174 .112 Nontreated .322 .347 Nontreated .324 .362 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 128 128 83 83 Match sample .307 (.082) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 74 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 5.2.4 Workplace performance and family-friendly practices Tables 5.6-5.8 show our estimates of the workplace performance effects of three different indicators of family-friendly practices: working time arrangements include working from home in normal working hours; time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave; time off for childcare is usually taken as special or parental paid leave. In Table 5.6, where the treatment indicates the presence of working time arrangements that include working from home in normal working hours, the sign of the estimated ATT on productivity is consistently positive in the subjective and objective performance models, similar to the findings in the raw data illustrated in Table 5.1. The ATT effect estimated using propensity score methods is significantly different from zero in some cases. When we break the sample into small and large establishments, we find some evidence of a statistically significant negative impact on productivity of working from home in larger establishments. In contrast, the effect of facilitating these family-friendly practices appears to be largely unrelated to business profits, although there is some evidence of a positive effect on profits in large establishments. 75 Propensity score estimates (.076) (.220) .065 (.640) .159 .027 Endogenous treatment (.383) (.080) .075 .047 (.546) (.809) .011 .032 (.594) .030 Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log gross value added per employee Propensity score estimates Endogenous treatment Exogenous treatment Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .143 .166 Nontreated .330 .456 Nontreated .335 .458 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 158 158 489 489 Match sample .037 -.023 Continued (.729) (.955) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimated workplace performance effects of working time arrangements that include working from home in normal working hours Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.6 76 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.950) (.665) -.023 (.917) (.521) .005 -.006 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates .045 (.118) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.082) -.071 (.415) (.151) -.100 .053 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates -.093 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.6 K NN K NN Match method .191 .287 Nontreated .411 .535 Nontreated .414 .540 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 294 294 346 346 Match sample .113 Continued (.801) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 77 Continued (.061) (.188) .069 (.511) (.997) .161 .052 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .000 (.638) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.126) .014 (.428) (.503) .071 .075 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates .037 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.6 K NN K NN Match method .284 .122 Nontreated .523 .472 Nontreated .526 .478 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 182 182 162 162 Match sample -.186 (.480) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 78 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 In Table 5.7 we report estimates of the effect of arrangements where time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave. Looking at the effects of these practices on subjective productivity performance they appear positive and in some cases statistically significant. The estimated ATT is positive in the probit model where treatment is assumed exogenous and close to being significant at the 10 per cent level [.074 (.110)]. Once we allow for endogeneity of the treatment, the ATT rises substantially and becomes very significant statistically [.254 (.000)]. This result needs to be interpreted with caution given the lack of instrumental variables for this particular treatment indicator, as discussed in Section 4.4. However, the need to take into account endogeneity is illustrated by the estimated correlation of unobservable determinants of productivity and these practices [-.986 (.059)]. The propensity score estimates are also positive and in the case of kernel matching statistically significant at the five per cent level [.075 (.023)]. However, this positive relationship between family-friendly practices and workplace productivity is not supported by the models estimated on the objective data. Given the results reported for large establishments, any significant productivity effects are more likely to be observed in smaller establishments. There does not appear to be any particularly strong relationship between arrangements where time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave and business profits, although the propensity score estimates of the effect on profits per employee [.054 (.081); .042 (.296)] may be suggestive of a positive link. 79 Propensity score estimates (.762) (.411) .033 (.747) -.021 -.027 Endogenous treatment (.987) (.023) .075 -.001 (.398) (.000) .254 .038 (.110) .074 Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log gross value added per employee Propensity score estimates Endogenous treatment Exogenous treatment Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .296 .374 Nontreated .507 .494 Nontreated .509 .494 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 200 200 684 684 Match sample .097 -.986 Continued (.650) (.059) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimated workplace performance effects of arrangements where time off for family emergencies is usually taken as special paid leave Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.7 80 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.420) (.470) .031 (.221) (.614) .049 .146 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates .029 (.843) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.497) .042 (.072) (.199) -.008 .092 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates -.075 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.7 K NN K NN Match method .367 .432 Nontreated .471 .500 Nontreated .472 .501 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 381 381 395 395 Match sample -.530 Continued (.385) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 81 Continued (.304) (.638) .026 (.529) (.376) .075 .040 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates -.066 (.296) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.081) .042 (.980) (.703) .054 -.002 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates -.014 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.7 K NN K NN Match method .371 .282 Nontreated .474 .579 Nontreated .476 .583 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 222 222 203 203 Match sample -.029 (.922) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 82 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 In Table 5.8 we illustrate the effect on workplace performance of arrangements where time off for childcare is usually taken as special paid or paid parental leave, other than maternity and paternity leave and time off for emergencies. The simple probit model of subjective productivity performance that assumes treatment is exogenously determined gives a negative and statistically significant estimate of the ATT. Estimates of the ATT based on the propensity score model are also negative, but are not significant at conventional levels. The negative effect in the ‘exogenous treatment’ model is not found in the ‘endogenous treatment’ model [.046 (.558)], nor is it found in the models estimated on the objective data, suggesting we should not rush to conclude that these practices reduce workplace productivity. To the extent that there is a negative effect of these practices on workplace productivity, the results for large and small establishments suggest this arises in small establishments. The estimated ATT on profits is insignificantly different from zero, except when profits are measured by the subjective performance indicator and treatment is assumed endogenous [.055 (.000)], and in large establishments [.194 (.034); .106 (.056)]. We note that lack of good instrumental variables for this treatment indicator, as discussed in Section 4.4, suggests that the results from the ‘endogenous treatment’ model should be interpreted with caution. 83 Propensity score estimates (.429) (.111) .089 (.844) .102 -.022 Endogenous treatment (.171) (.171) -.064 .054 (.164) (.558) .046 -.096 (.022) -.127 Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log gross value added per employee Propensity score estimates Endogenous treatment Exogenous treatment Probit Estimated effect (pvalue) K NN K NN Match method .163 .175 Nontreated .371 .270 Nontreated .373 .270 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of Estimated workplace performance effects of arrangements where time off for childcare is usually taken as special or parental paid leave Subjective indicator of above average productivity Table 5.8 118 118 366 366 Match sample .185 -.559 Continued (.480) (.547) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 84 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Continued (.715) (.883) .009 (.000) (.824) -.032 .055 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates -.016 (.123) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance (.570) .076 (.025) (.621) .037 -.142 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates -.030 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average productivity – workplaces with 50 employees or more Table 5.8 K NN K NN Match method .142 .256 Nontreated .257 .323 Nontreated .258 .324 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 197 197 236 235 Match sample -.853 Continued (.429) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 85 Continued (.034) (.056) .106 (.792) (.837) .194 -.022 (small workplaces) Propensity score estimates .017 (.227) .061 Exogenous treatment Probit Subjective indicator of above average financial performance – workplaces with 50 employees or more (.939) .004 (.350) -.092 Endogenous treatment Propensity score estimates (.227) .036 Estimated effect (pvalue) Exogenous treatment Linear regression Log profits per employee Table 5.8 K NN K NN Match method .229 .156 Nontreated .352 .579 Nontreated .354 .583 Treated Matched sample Mean propensity score of 133 133 122 122 Match sample .482 (.173) Correlation of unobservables (Chisq probability that zero) 86 Estimates of the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business outcomes using WERS 2004 Summary and conclusions 6 Summary and conclusions 6.1 Introduction This study has tried to address the relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business benefits in all its complexity. It has described the processes by which Equal Opportunities policies and practices might affect business performance. It has analysed the extent to which a range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices affect profits and profitability for employers in aggregate and for certain subsets (by size and sector). This chapter highlights the main findings of the study, draws out implications for policy and identifies areas for further research. 6.2 Linkages between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance The relationship between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance is complex. The complexity mainly arises from the range of routes by which an Equal Opportunities policy or practice in an organisation might affect business performance. Routes may be direct or indirect, affecting one or more sets of intermediate outcomes en route. Moreover, Equal Opportunities policies and practices incur costs, as well as benefits. Complexity in identifying the business performance effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices also results from differences in the extent to which they are implemented and to which they are effective for equality. Nominally similar policies or practices in two different organisations may, in reality, differ extensively. At the extreme, there are ‘empty-shell’ policies, where an Equal Opportunities policy is merely a statement. Therefore, even nominally similar policies and practices will have differing effects on business performance. Business performance effects depend not only on the Equal Opportunities policies and practices but also on other factors affecting the establishment. Net benefits to an organisation may be positive or negative, depending on the Equal Opportunities practice, the organisation’s characteristics and its circumstances. There is no reason 87 88 Summary and conclusions to assume that different types of Equal Opportunities policies and practices have the same effects on business performance. Nor is there reason to assume that the same type of Equal Opportunities policy or practice has the same effect in different business and organisational contexts. 6.3 Limitations of the evaluation of the impacts of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance using WERS 2004 The study was able to examine the performance effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices in considerable depth but the study also has significant limitations and it is important to bear these in mind. These stemmed primarily from data limitations, in respect of variables and sample sizes, exacerbated by the pattern of implementation of policies and practices. The data collected through the Workplace Employment Relations Survey 2004 (WERS 2004) includes rich information on Equal Opportunities policies and practices and provides a useful tool for assessing the relationship between Equal Opportunities and business performance but there are a number of issues that make it difficult to draw robust conclusions about these linkages. Robust performance measures (i.e. productivity and profit measures based on accounts data) are only available for a small subset of the WERS 2004 sample. This reduced the likelihood of identifying performance effects. For the full sample, subjective measures of performance (namely, the WERS 2004 management respondent’s subjective evaluation of productivity and financial performance in the workplace benchmarked against the industry) were used. However, these subjective assessments are prone to measurement error, thus reducing the reliability of the findings. Whilst the study examined the effect of a range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices, this was still limited. In respect of Equal Opportunities policies, using WERS 2004 only formal, written policies can be assessed. The exclusion of informal (or unwritten) Equal Opportunities policies is likely to lead to an underestimate of the magnitude of the effect of Equal Opportunities policies on business performance. In respect of Equal Opportunities practices, budget as well as data constraints meant that whilst a number of generic policies and practices were explored, there was some concentration on gender and race equality practices. Sample sizes in WERS 2004 are relatively small, reducing the likelihood of identifying performance effects. This problem was accentuated by the need to look at subsamples of the data, due to measurement issues and the correlation of policy with other factors affecting business outcomes. For example, Equal Opportunities policies and practices are highly coincident with workplace size and other factors that are correlated with business performance such that subset analysis is to be preferred. Summary and conclusions The complexity of the linkages between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business performance (differences in implementation and the range of routes by which performance effects might occur) increases the need for detailed high quality data. WERS 2004 provides some of the most extensive data for our purposes, but, as a survey covering a wide range of issues, it could not capture all the data useful to this evaluation. Moreover, as a cross-sectional dataset, our ability to control for unobserved differences between establishments was reduced. Both of these issues reduce the likelihood of identifying the performance effects of policy accurately. 6.4 Evidence of the effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on business performance using WERS 2004 It is difficult to argue that the business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices are large and widespread amongst the establishments which implement these. However, we cannot rule out that certain Equal Opportunities practices may be associated with enhanced workplace productivity. • There are some statistically significant relationships between subjective business performance and Equal Opportunities policies, but these are unlikely to reflect the causal impacts of policy. • The evidence in the data for either a large or widespread impact, positive or negative, of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices on business productivity or profits is not strong. • To the extent there are any positive effects on business productivity or profits of Equal Opportunities monitoring and reviewing practices, these are more likely to arise in larger establishments. • There is some, but limited, evidence to suggest there are positive effects of some family-friendly practices on business productivity and profits. To the extent there are positive productivity (profit) effects these are more likely to arise in smaller (larger) establishments. • The evidence does not support the notion that Equal Opportunities policies and practices place disproportionate burdens on business. In other words, Equal Opportunities policies and practices do not appear to cost the private sector profits. • There is no evidence that Equal Opportunities policies and practices result in a net cost (or benefit) to employers in aggregate (i.e. on average). However, it is likely that some employers will derive net benefits from implementing Equal Opportunities policies and practices and others will see a net cost. 89 90 Summary and conclusions 6.5 Policy implications Equality of opportunity in the labour market may bring economic and social benefits. Notably, it can increase the supply of labour and improve the efficiency with which human resources are used, reducing labour costs and raising aggregate income. It may also help to reduce social inequalities. Individuals, society at large, and individual businesses may all share in these benefits. At the same time, the evidence presented in this report, suggests that, on average, individual employers do not necessarily gain (nor lose) from implementing policies and practices to promote equality of opportunity. The implication is that there is likely to be a difference between the private and public costs and benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Addressing this market failure might lead to an increase in economic and social well-being. Two standard measures to address market failure could be useful: regulation and changing the net costs to employers, either through subsidies or penalties. 6.5.1 Regulation Currently, regulation requires employers not to discriminate in employment with respect to six equality groups (by gender, race and ethnicity, faith and belief, disability, sexual orientation and age below the age of 65). In addition, there are statutory requirements in respect of family-friendly working practices and leave (e.g. maternity and paternity leave) and the requirement to make reasonable adjustments in respect of disabled employees. Regulatory requirements are greater for the public sector, with public sector employers required to promote equality (in respect of certain equality groups) and to publish a Race Equality Scheme. Some parts of the public sector have further equality reporting requirements. Equality could be enhanced through expanding the range of Equal Opportunities policies and practices required. This could include, for example, requiring employers to monitor and review policies and practices by equality group, requiring equality audits and requiring publication of monitoring data. Extending rights to flexible working and time off would be a second approach, as would requiring Equal Opportunities training. Other approaches would be to strengthen the antidiscrimination legislation, for example, to allow group actions. 6.5.2 Changing the net costs: subsidies and penalties The second approach is to bring the private and public costs and benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices closer together. This could be done either through subsidising employers for implementing policies and practices or raising the cost of non-implementation. The latter could be done through contract compliance, i.e. requiring Government (or public sector) sub-contractors to have certain Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Both approaches are already used in the public sector. For example, there has been a long-standing policy of subsidy of maternity leave payments, whilst some public sector organisations require evidence (or statements) of equality of opportunity. Subsidies or penalties could be tied to specific or general policies and practices. Summary and conclusions Subsidy would encounter the problem of deadweight, i.e. subsidies would go to employers who would have implemented policies and practices without the subsidy, as well as to those who would have not. This could be reduced by directing subsidies towards those employers for whom the Equal Opportunities policies and practices would have a net cost (and away from those where there would be a net benefit). The evidence from this study provides weak support for targeting subsidies at smaller establishments for implementing monitoring and reviewing practices and some family-friendly practices. The contract compliance approach may be useful but has the obvious limitation that it would only apply to sub-contractors and suppliers to the public sector. 6.6 Further research An overriding concern in conducting this study has been the complexity of the linkages between Equal Opportunities policies and practices and business outcomes. Although not strictly essential to the derivation of business benefits, there is the expectation that policies and practices affect equality. However, this assumption has not yet been proven. We identified a large number of routes by which Equal Opportunities policies and practices might affect profits and productivity. However, which of these routes are important is not known. Moreover, the likely range of linkages, combined with data limitations, will have reduced the potential for detecting effects. These difficulties suggest two important areas for further research: First, research into the impact of Equal Opportunities policies and practices on equality in the workplace would be useful: whether policies and practices appeared to make a difference and, if so, which and to whom. Secondly, further evidence on the extent and nature of business benefits would be useful and could be gained through examining intermediate effects of Equal Opportunities policies and practices. Because intermediate outcomes are (by definition) closer in the causal chain to the policies and practices, effects, if any, are more likely to be identified. Given the potential routes hypothesised and data availability, investigating the effect on morale, in particular, would be useful. Both aspects would be useful for policy: the first helping to identify where Government emphasis for employer action would be most useful and the second increasing the knowledge of business benefits developed in this study. 91 Appendices – The possible routes to business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices Appendix A The possible routes to business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices 93 Part-time, jobshare, etc Flexible working practices including Family-friendly practices Human Resources Management approach Labour skills Absence staff turnover industrial relations Labour market composition and tightness Production quality Production efficiency Employee diversity Commitment/morale Equality of Opportunity/ Equal Opportunities practices Unionisation Capital Establishment age Labour costs Product Size Industry Financial performance productivity 94 Appendices – The possible routes to business benefits of Equal Opportunities policies and practices Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices Appendix B Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 95 81 90 95 95 96 25-49 employees 50-99 employees 100-199 employees 200-499 employees 500 or more employees 82 Part of a larger organization 39 81 93 94 Less than 100 100 to less than 1,000 1,000 to less than 10,000 10,000 or more Size of organization 37 Stand-alone workplace Organization status 63 10-24 employees 66 (1) 85 84 66 30 70 28 93 89 88 82 65 53 56 (2) Policy 75 75 58 24 62 23 89 83 79 69 56 48 49 (3) 18 10 12 3 11 3 36 24 19 13 12 8 8 (4) 39 36 36 17 33 16 66 54 49 35 34 25 27 (5) 38 28 31 11 27 11 56 51 43 31 28 20 22 (6) 19 13 10 4 12 4 32 23 19 14 12 8 9 (7) 26 19 19 6 18 6 40 33 27 20 16 11 13 (8) 27 23 27 14 23 13 44 33 30 24 22 18 19 (9) 31 19 23 9 21 9 35 30 30 24 20 16 17 (10) Equal Opportunities monitoring practices 37 32 26 7 27 7 63 50 44 32 25 19 20 (11) 33 25 26 8 23 8 51 43 36 26 24 16 18 (12) Ethnicity practices 64 56 50 35 54 33 72 62 65 64 56 42 47 (13) 24 22 22 9 21 8 56 40 34 35 24 16 17 (14) Disability practices 90 82 79 62 80 61 98 95 89 90 80 73 74 (15) 18 22 26 29 22 30 65 41 40 37 28 21 25 (16) 60 56 45 38 51 39 70 56 55 59 49 46 47 (17) 88 88 81 71 84 69 94 87 81 90 79 77 79 (19) Continued 32 34 18 15 26 15 41 31 38 33 27 21 23 (18) Family-friendly working practices Presence of Equal Opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workplace characteristics Workplace size All workplaces Table B.1 96 Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 93 Public 96 54 61 49 61 94 67 100 96 85 77 Electricity, gas and water Construction Wholesale and retail Hotels and restaurants Transport and communication Financial services Other business services Public administration Education Health Other community services 73 75 82 87 55 84 54 38 49 49 96 27 86 51 (2) 65 71 71 81 45 75 44 32 44 38 93 22 80 44 (3) 13 18 9 35 7 14 12 3 3 8 24 2 24 6 (4) 41 46 49 67 17 38 33 21 18 23 70 15 60 22 (5) 40 37 37 56 17 38 16 12 13 20 62 9 47 18 (6) 16 20 18 38 6 18 5 7 4 2 19 4 28 6 (7) 24 25 19 40 11 24 6 10 9 7 33 5 31 11 (8) 27 33 28 42 10 29 21 18 14 20 47 12 40 16 (9) 33 28 26 40 10 32 11 11 12 19 50 4 34 14 (10) Equal Opportunities monitoring practices Base: All workplaces; figures are weighted and based on responses from 2,295 managers. 39 Manufacturing Industry 62 Private (1) Policy Continued Sector of ownership Table B.1 35 38 45 67 14 36 26 6 10 14 68 5 57 14 (11) 34 34 35 56 12 36 12 5 10 14 60 7 46 14 (12) Ethnicity practices 61 66 77 88 55 48 27 36 39 24 70 28 75 42 (13) 24 30 47 48 15 12 12 10 11 11 42 5 42 13 (14) Disability practices 81 89 90 93 79 92 79 76 67 50 98 49 89 71 (15) 31 34 37 44 42 24 20 7 10 27 69 28 34 23 (16) 64 53 71 56 49 75 58 15 39 45 64 38 75 42 (17) 32 27 51 33 19 49 18 10 16 28 38 14 43 20 (18) 86 80 98 96 84 93 90 56 79 68 100 65 98 76 (19) Family-friendly working practices Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 97 73 Mostly women (over half) at workplace 66 74 26%-74% 75% or more 83 10% or more 73 5% or more 70 25% or more 58 25% or more 49 58 58 52 57 53 72 48 65 57 42 63 56 (2) 42 51 54 44 54 46 66 41 58 51 33 56 49 (3) 7 5 3 9 10 7 16 5 10 9 5 10 8 (4) 28 19 17 30 34 25 33 23 33 26 20 32 27 (5) 18 18 14 22 36 19 30 18 29 20 14 27 22 (6) 9 8 3 11 11 8 16 6 13 9 4 12 9 (7) 10 12 8 14 24 12 20 10 18 13 8 17 13 (8) 19 16 14 20 24 18 23 17 24 19 15 23 19 (9) 14 13 11 17 24 15 23 14 24 15 11 22 17 (10) Equal Opportunities monitoring practices Base: All workplaces; figures are weighted and based on responses from 2,295 managers. 68 None Employees aged 50 or over 62 None Employees aged 16 to 21 64 None Disabled employees 59 None Ethnic minority employees 56 25% or less Female employees 66 (1) Policy 21 13 9 23 29 17 29 15 28 19 11 26 20 (11) 15 13 10 19 34 15 28 14 25 17 10 23 18 (12) Ethnicity practices 44 44 42 47 61 44 46 44 58 47 31 55 47 (13) 17 15 13 18 27 14 19 13 23 17 8 22 17 (14) Disability practices 70 80 77 72 82 71 87 67 83 80 52 84 74 (15) 23 20 8 30 40 22 25 22 17 33 22 22 25 (16) 47 40 32 53 46 46 48 44 48 50 39 47 47 (17) 26 14 18 24 31 21 27 20 27 24 15 26 23 (18) 78 73 73 81 81 78 79 77 81 82 71 80 79 (19) Family-friendly working practices Presence of Equal Opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workforce compositions All workplaces Table B.2 98 Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 64 69 Average for industry Below average 62 71 82 Better than average for industry Average for industry Below average A lot better than average for industry 62 66 Better than average for industry Managerial assessment of workplace labour productivity 75 A lot better than average for industry 66 (1) 66 62 52 48 61 54 57 62 56 (2) Policy 59 54 45 41 54 47 49 53 49 (3) 6 10 7 8 9 8 7 10 8 (4) 24 28 27 27 24 26 26 34 27 (5) 17 22 23 18 19 20 22 23 22 (6) 5 11 8 5 8 8 9 10 9 (7) 12 15 14 13 11 12 14 17 13 (8) 20 20 19 21 20 18 19 25 19 (9) 10 18 17 16 13 16 16 19 17 (10) Equal Opportunities monitoring practices 16 20 21 19 17 20 19 25 20 (11) 12 19 19 14 13 17 18 18 18 (12) Ethnicity practices 54 46 45 52 40 46 43 62 47 (13) 19 13 18 21 9 15 19 20 17 (14) Disability practices 81 71 73 82 69 71 77 81 74 (15) 13 22 25 39 25 25 24 26 25 (16) 38 47 49 47 32 50 46 49 47 (17) 84 82 79 80 74 81 81 79 79 (19) Continued 29 26 20 18 14 26 21 24 23 (18) Family-friendly working practices Presence of Equal Opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workplace performance outcome Managerial assessment of workplace financial performance All workplaces Table B.3 Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 99 64 76 66 Better than average for industry Average for industry Below average 65 63 54 54 (2) Policy 44 55 47 46 (3) 7 9 8 6 (4) 27 28 28 22 (5) 8 26 22 18 (6) 2 9 10 6 (7) 2 19 13 11 (8) 21 21 19 17 (9) 7 19 17 15 (10) Equal Opportunities monitoring practices Base: All workplaces; figures are weighted and based on responses from 2,295 managers. 64 A lot better than average for industry (1) Continued Managerial assessment of workplace product/ service quality Table B.3 27 23 20 16 (11) 8 19 18 15 (12) Ethnicity practices 36 53 44 46 (13) 16 23 12 20 (14) Disability practices 69 74 71 77 (15) 12 23 24 26 (16) 45 53 45 47 (17) 26 21 21 27 (18) 67 79 79 81 (19) Family-friendly working practices 100 Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 72 Above average for industry 62 70 70 Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree 52 59 54 60 64 57 56 (2) 42 54 46 53 57 52 49 (3) 5 9 8 8 11 10 8 (4) 23 32 26 26 31 30 27 (5) 19 20 23 18 26 25 22 (6) 6 10 11 6 13 13 9 (7) 14 13 15 9 17 15 13 (8) 18 21 20 18 23 20 19 (9) 14 15 19 13 21 20 17 (10) Equal Opportunities monitoring practices Base: All workplaces; figures are weighted and based on responses from 2,295 managers. 74 Strongly agree Employees fully committed to values of organization (managers’ assessment) 70 Not above average 66 (1) Policy 19 23 19 20 24 23 20 (11) 14 17 19 16 22 21 18 (12) Ethnicity practices 39 44 46 53 46 46 47 (13) 15 16 14 24 17 17 17 (14) Disability practices 71 77 70 81 74 81 74 (15) 13 21 24 34 23 23 25 (16) 33 45 47 49 53 43 47 (17) 20 18 23 25 27 22 23 (18) 69 78 79 82 83 77 79 (19) Family-friendly working practices Presence of equal opportunities policies and/or practices (percentage of workplaces), by workplace intermediate outcome Ranking of absenteeism by industry All workplaces Table B.4 Appendices – Descriptive statistics on Equal Opportunities policies and practices 101 Appendices – Notes to Tables 5.2-5.8 Appendix C Notes to Tables 5.2-5.8 For the full sample results, i.e. all private sector workplaces for which we have non-missing values of a particular outcome and treatment measure, we show the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) estimated from three types of model distinguished by the identification assumptions assumed and the way in which we control for observables. In the first type of model we augment a model of business performance with the relevant treatment indicator. The basic outcome models used in this exercise (excluding treatment indicators), for both subjective and objective profits and productivity, are discussed in Section 4.3 and reported in Table 4.2. In these models treatment is assumed to be exogenous, given the other determinants of business performance included as controls. In the tables here these results are labelled ‘exogenous treatment’. In the second type of model treatment is assumed to be endogenously determined and these results are labelled ‘endogenous treatment’. These results are obtained by estimating jointly the determinants of business performance and the probability of having a particular Equal Opportunities policy or practice in place. In other words, we estimate jointly one of the outcome models in Table 4.2, augmented with the relevant treatment indicator, and one of the selection models in Table 4.3, estimated on the sample in question and including the determinants of the particular performance indicator (except industry dummies) and the additional determinants of treatment selection that do not appear to influence outcomes as discussed above. We also report the estimated correlation between the error terms in these two equations, i.e. the correlation of unobservable influences on both business performance and treatment selection and the estimated probability that given the model specified, this correlation is no different from zero. A zero correlation between unobservable influences on business outcomes and treatment selection may suggest that the Equal Opportunities policy or treatment is exogenous to the particular business performance measure, although the power of this test as a test of exogeneity is not very strong. Finally we report estimates of the ATT from comparison of outcomes between a matched sample of workplaces that operate a particular Equal Opportunities 103 104 Appendices – Notes to Tables 5.2-5.8 policy or practice and comparable workplaces that do not operate such policies or practices. Matching is conducted on estimates of the propensity score, and these are derived as the predicted values of treatment selection. The propensity score model is estimated separately for the sample in question (for example, the sample of private sector firms who interpret financial performance as profits or the sample of firms for which we have objective measures of productivity per employee), which varies by outcome measure and whether or not we restrict our attention to large workplaces only. We include as determinants of the propensity score all the determinants of business performance included in the models in Table 4.2. We report propensity score estimates of the ATT using two different matching techniques, to get an idea of the sensitivity of our results, as indicated in the column denoted ’Match method’: single nearest neighbour matching with replacement (NN) and kernel matching (K). The kernel matching uses the Epanechnikov kernel. Both the nearest neighbour and kernel matching are implemented using the ‘psmatch2’ commands available for STATA (Leuven and Sianesi, 2003). The size of the matched sample available for the ATT estimates derived using propensity score matching refers only to the treated and should not be directly compared to the sample size available for estimating the ’exogenous treatment’ models (reported in Table 4.2). It is also reduced (but this is a smaller influence) by the imposition of common support. The average propensity score of the matched sample (treated and non-treated) are reported for the models using single nearest neighbour matching, and give an indication of the accuracy of the match. For comparison, and indicating the importance of controlling for observable covariates of outcomes and selection, we also show the propensity score of unmatched nonparticipants. The standard errors underlying the reported p-values of the ATT estimates take into account the sampling structure of Workplace Employment Relations Survey 2004 (WERS 2004). However, they do not take into account the stratification of the sample, which means that the p-values are relatively conservative. Note that the standard errors of the ATT estimate derived using propensity score matching are approximate and do not take into account that the propensity score is estimated. One common method of adjusting for this is to bootstrap estimates of the standard errors, but it is questionable whether this is valid (Abadie and Imbens, 2006). For the sample of large (50 employees or more) workplaces we report only estimates of the ATT from the ’exogenous treatment’ model and the results obtained using propensity score matching. In the ’exogenous treatment’ model we allow the treatment indicator to vary across establishment size and we report the resulting estimates of the ATT for large as well as small workplaces. To implement the equivalent ’endogenous treatment’ model we would need three equations, further complicating the analysis, and we avoid this. 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