* + Temperature Influence on Phytoplankton Community Growth Rates Elliot Sherman and Prof. Keith Moore University of California, Irvine Email: [email protected] Abstract To predict how marine phytoplankton will respond to warming oceans, we need to understand the relation between temperature and growth rate. The Q10 factor describes how metabolic/growth rates change with a 10 oC temperature change. The standard Q10 of ~2.0 often used in ecosystem models may not be an accurate predictor of phytoplankton community growth rates. A global database of phytoplankton growth and grazing estimates from the dilution method of Landry and Hasset (1982) was compiled and then analyzed to examine the temperature-growth relationship. Our analysis shows that a Q10 of ~1.5 best represents community phytoplankton growth rates in the ocean. This Q10 is significantly different than the standard Q10 value of ~2.0. We compare these observations with output from an ocean biogeochemical model that includes explicit phytoplankton functional groups. Figure 2 Spatial plot showing the observational growth rates on the ocean model grid. Figure 3 BEC Model temperature as a function of observed temperature. Figure 7 Observed growth rates plotted as a function of nitrate concentrations. Model Description Figure 8 Observed growth rates plotted as a function of latitude. Discussion The Biogeochemical Elemental Cycling (BEC) model is a coupled ocean biogeochemical/ecosystem model, which runs within the NCAR CCSM3 (Moore et al., 2004). Ocean circulation is simulated with CCSM Parallel Ocean Program circulation module in coarse resolution (3.6° longitude and 0.9°-2.0° latitude) (Collins et al., 2006; Yeager et al., 2006). A new, more realistic sedimentary source of dissolved iron is also included in these simulations (Moore and Braucher, 2008). For the results shown here phytoplankton growth rates are controlled by a temperature function with Q10 = 2.0. The maximum growth rate is reduced according to this temperature function multiplied by functions accounting for light and nutrient limitation of growth. Small Phytoplankton Coccolithophores Diazotrophs Diatoms Phaeocystis C, N, Fe, P, Chl C, N, Fe, P, Si, Chl C, N, Fe, P, Chl C, N, Fe, P, CaCO3, Chl Zooplankton Nitrate C, N, Fe, P Ammonium Small Detritus DOM Phosphate Figure 4 Observed growth rates plotted as a function of temperature. Lower light blue line shows best fit trend, which gives a Q10 factor of 1.5. Purple line shows best fit with a prescribed Q10 of 2.0. Figure 5 BEC Model predicted growth rates plotted as a function of temperature. Lines as in Figure 4. Results Our evaluation of the Q10 effect has brought new insight on community phytoplankton growth rates. Our research suggests that a Q10 much lower than 2.0 is being exhibited in ocean waters. Although our sampling sites were not as uniformly distributed as we would have liked, it did include sites all over the oceans (Figure 2). An accurate representation of the Q10 affect on phytoplankton growth rates is important for ecosystem models that predict how global warming will influence marine ecosystems and biogeochemical cycling. As global warming continues to take effect on our planet, it is vital that we have the most accurate information possible. The Q10 of 1.5 approximates the maximum growth rates across all temperatures in the observations (Figure 4). However, the model predicted rates are lower than expected at high temperatures, given the assumed Q10 of 2.0 in the model (Figure 5). This is due to strong nutrient limitation of growth in warm waters in the model. The fact that such a decrease at high temperatures is not seen in the observational data suggests that across all temperatures, the ambient phytoplankton community is growing at relatively high growth rates (not strongly nutrient limited). C, N, Fe, P Sinking Particulates C, N, Fe, P, Si, CaCO3 Silicate Figure 1. Structure of the BEC marine ecosystem model. Evaluating the Q10 Effect on Phytoplankton Community Growth An extensive database of over 800 phytoplankton community growth and grazing rates, estimated from dilution experiments, was compiled to provide a reference for evaluating the Q10 factor in the oceans (Figure 2). This work builds on an earlier compilation by Calbet and Landry (2004). This observational data is plotted as a function of environmental factors such as temperature. Six variables were examined: chlorophyll, grazing/growth, grazing, growth, nitrate and temperature. Some field studies did not report the ambient sea surface temperature (SST). For the studies that did report temperature, it was highly correlated with the SST predicted by the BEC model (Figure 3). Thus, we substitute the model predicted monthly temperature for studies that did not report temperature. The graphs of observed and BEC Model estimated growth rates versus observed temperature can be used to better interpret and refine the appropriate Q10 for use in the BEC Model. We fit a growth vs. temperature line to the observations that includes a temperature function multiplied by a reference growth rate at 30 oC. We optimized both the reference growth rate and the Q10 factor by minimizing the rms difference. We also fit a line with an assumed Q10 factor of 2.0 to both the observational data and to output from the BEC model extracted at the same locations, depth, and month as the field data. Our findings show that there is a strong positive correlation between growth rates and ambient temperature (Figure 4 and 6) as theorized previously (Eppley, 1972; Brown et al., 2004). However, our findings show that a Q10 factor of ~1.5 is a better fit to the observations than a value of ~2.0. The Q10 of 1.5 was the best fit to all the data and also approximated the upper bound of growth rates (light blue lines in Figure 4) compared with a Q10 of 2.0 (purple line). Somewhat surprisingly, our results suggest no correlation between ambient nitrate concentration and growth rates (Figure 7). A negative relationship was found between growth rate and latitude. Growth rates tended to decrease as latitude increased (Figure 8). This can be explained with the positive relationship exhibited by temperature and growth rate. Acknowledgements This work was supported by NSF grants OCE-0928204 and ARC-0902045 to J.K. Moore. We would like to thank all the researchers who performed the field experiments measuring growth and grazing rates, and provided this data, either directly to us or through publications. References Growth v.s. Temperature 1.2 1 Growth (/day) Iron 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 -3-0 0-3 3-6 6-9 9-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-24 Temperature (C) Figure 6 Observed phytoplankton community growth rates binned by ocean temperature. 24-27 27-30 Brown, James, James Gillooly, Andrew Allen, Van Savage, and Geoffrey West. "Toward a Metabolic Theory of Ecology." Ecology 85.7 (2004): 1771-789. Calbet, A, and M.R. Landry, 2004. Phytoplankton growth, microzooplankton grazing, and carbon cycling in marine systems. Limnol. Oceanogr., 49: 51-57. Collins W. D., Blackmon M. and Bitz C. M., et al., J. Climate, 19(2006), pp. 2122–2143. Eppley, Richard W. "Temperature and Phytoplankton Growth in the Sea." Fishery Bulletin 70 (1972): 1063-085. Landry, M. R., and R. P. Hassett. "Estimating the Grazing Impact of Marine Micro-zooplankton." Marine Biology 67 (1982): 283-88. Moore J. K. and Braucher O., Biogeosciences, 5(2008), pp. 631-656. Moore J. K., Doney S. C., and Lindsay K., Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles, 18(2004), GB4028, doi:10.1029/2004GB002220. Yeager S.G., Shields C.A., Large W.G., et al. J. Climate, 19(2006), pp. 2545-2566.
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