TVTC Impact Fee Update
Nexus Study
presented to
Tri-Valley Transportation Commission (TVTC)
presented by
Christopher Wornum, Cambridge Systematics, Inc.
January 30, 2008
Agenda
1.
Nexus process
2.
Impacts of growth
3.
Final projects
4.
Nexus findings
5.
Maximum fee rates
6.
Next steps
1
How a Nexus is Calculated
Four Basic Steps
Step 2
Step 3
LOS A
LOS A
LOS A
LOS A
LOS B
LOS B
LOS B
LOS B
LOS C
LOS C
Step 1
LOS C
Step 4
LOS C
Future
No Project
Existing
Conditions
LOS D
Future
No LOS
Project
D
Future
No LOS
Project
D
Existing LOS
Existing LOS
Existing LOS
LOS E
LOS E
LOS E
LOS F
Mitigating
Improvements
LOS F
LOS E
LOS F
LOS F
LOS D
Existing LOS
New development funds up to its share
of needed capacity
Through trips
Existing population &
employment
and current V/C ratio
Total traffic
reduced by
through trips
Net new traffic
impacts on congestion
without improvements
2
Travel Demand from New Development
Average AM/PM Peak Hour Trip Ends, 2007 to 2030
Average AM/PM
Peak Hour
Trips
350,000
321,446
300,000
98,066
44%
250,000
223,357
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2030
2007
3
Tri-Valley Average Change in Congestion
Vehicle Hours of Delay for Local Traffic (2005 and 2030)
45
Morning Peak Hour
40,058
40
Thousands of Vehicle Hours of delay
Evening Peak Hour
38,715
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
5,092
4,505
0
2005
AM
2030 no
Project PM
2005
PM
4
2030 no
Project AM
Previous TVTDF Projects (Appendix A)
Millions of 2008 Dollars
Project
1. I-580/I-680 Interchange (southbound to eastbound)
2. Route 84 Expressway I-580 to I-680
3. Isabel Route 84/I-580 Interchange
4. I-680 Auxiliary Lanes
5. West Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station
6. I-580 HOV Lane Eastbound
7. I-580 HOV Lane Westbound
8. I-680 HOV Lanes, SR 84 to Top of Sunol Grade
9. I-580/Foothill/San Ramon Road Interchange
10. I-680/Alcosta Interchange
11. Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1
12. Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2
13. Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1
14. Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2
15. Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit
Total
5
Total Cost
$337
$180
$47
$162
$165
$1
$16
$32
$23
$26
$20
$1,009
Unfunded Cost
$222
$15
$38
$8
$20
$1
$11
$32
$4
$26
$12
$389
Proposed TVTDF Projects (Appendix B)
Millions of 2008 Dollars
Project
Total Cost
Unfunded Cost
1.
I-580/I-680 interchange (westbound to southbound)
$705
$700
2.
5th eastbound lane on I-580: Santa Rita to Vasco Rd.
$131
$131
3.
I-580/First St. interchange modification
$30
$4
4.
I-580/Vasco Rd. interchange modification
$51
$15
5.
I-580/Greenville Rd. interchange modification
$35
$8
6.
Jack London Boulevard extension
$28
$4
7.
El Charro Road Extension
$19
$5
8.
Camino Tassajara widening: E. Blackhawk Dr to Cty line
$49
$45
9.
Danville Blvd/Stone Valley Rd I-680 Interchange
$3
$3
10.
I-680 SB HOV lane Gap Closure, North Main to Livorna
$55
$37
11.
I-680 Express Bus/HOV On- and Off-Ramps
$80
$47
12.
I-680 Transit Corridor Improvements
$100
$100
$1,286
$1,098
Total
6
Proposed TVTDF Projects
(Millions of 2006 Dollars)
$1,600
$1,500
$1,487 Million
$1,400
Appendix A
$389 Million
$1,300
$1,200
Millions of 2006 Dollars
$1,100
Appendix B
$1,000
$900
$1,098 Million
$800
$808 Million
Appendix B
$700
$188 Million
$600
Appendix A
$500
$620 Million
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
Funded
(Millions)
Unfunded
7
(Millions)
Tri-Valley Average Change in Congestion
Vehicle Hours of Delay for Local Traffic (2005 and 2030)
45
Morning Peak Hour
40,058
40
Thousands of Vehicle Hours of delay
Evening Peak Hour
35
38,715
32,890
31,062
30
25
20
15
10
5
5,092
4,505
0
2005
AM
2030 no
Project PM
2030 with
Project AM
2005
PM
8
2030 no
Project AM
2030 with
Project PM
TVTC Transportation Development Fees
Existing Fees (2007 Dollars)
$4,000
$3,390
Fees by Land Use Type
$3,500
$2,500
$2,000
$2,290
$1,888
$1,500
$1,270
$1,200
$1,000
$500
$0
Single Family
Multi-Family
Retail per
1,000 sq. ft.
9
Office per 1,000
sq. ft.
Industrial per
1,000 sq. ft.
TVTC Transportation Development Fees
Maximum Residential Fee Rates (2007 Dollars)
$13,000
$12,238
$12,000
Rate per Dwelling Unit
$11,000
$10,000
$9,000
$8,430
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
Single Family
Multi-Family
10
TVTC Transportation Development Fees
Maximum Commercial Fee Rates (2007 Dollars)
$26
$24
$22.71
$22
$20.80
Rate per square foot
$20
$18
$16
$13.60
$14
$12.10
$12
$10
$8
$6
$4
$2
$0
Retail per
square foot
Office per 1,000
square foot
11
Industrial per
square foot
Other per
square foot
Contra Costa Transportation Development Fees
Comparison Across Four Subregions
$16,000
$15,000
Fee per Single Family Home
$14,000
$12,000
$12,238
$10,000
$8,000
$6,000
$4,718
$4,000
$3,038
$2,595
$2,000
SCC Subregional
$1,101
SCC Regional
$0
Tri-Valley
Western
Contra Costa
1. Southern contra Costa fee program includes the cities of
Danville, San Ramon, and the unincorproated area of SCC
Lamorinda
12
Southern CC1
East County
Single Family Home Price in 1995 and 2006
Average Price for a Single Family Home
$1
$972,193
$864,353
$800
$804,103
$781,771
$686,201
$600
$400
$432,173
$309,829
$312,228
$313,753
Pleasanton
Livermore
$221,997
$200
$12,238
Fee
$0
Danville
San Ramon
Dublin
13