North American Journal of Fisheries Management 27:369–386, 2007 Ó Copyright by the American Fisheries Society 2007 DOI: 10.1577/M05-212.1 [Article] Changes in Algal Species Composition Affect Juvenile Sockeye Salmon Production at Woss Lake, British Columbia: A Lake Fertilization and Food Web Analysis DONALD J. MCQUEEN* 125 Pirates Lane, Nanaimo, British Columbia V9R 6R1, Canada KIM D. HYATT D. PAUL RANKIN AND Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Pacific Region, Science Branch, Pacific Biological Station, Nanaimo, British Columbia V9R 5K6, Canada CHARLES J. RAMCHARAN Department of Biology, Laurentian University, Ramsey Lake Road, Sudbury, Ontario P3E 2C6, Canada Abstract.—In recent decades, the abundance of sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka in the Nimpkish River watershed (Vancouver Island) has declined by more than 80%. To improve sockeye salmon abundance, one of three Nimpkish nursery lakes (Woss Lake, 13.6 km2) was fertilized; a second (Vernon Lake, 8.4 km2) was maintained as an unmanipulated reference. For 3 years (2000–2002), we assessed changes in phytoplankton, zooplankton, and juvenile sockeye salmon and then used food web analysis to model the fate of fertilizer phosphorus (FP) as it moved up the food web to juvenile sockeye salmon. As the experiment progressed, we found two distinctly different results. During the first 2 years (2000 and 2001), fertilization was associated with higher concentrations of P, chlorophyll, and phytoplankton. However, because most of the algae were inedible diatoms (principally Rhizosolenia eriensis), only 8% of the algal standing stock was available to zooplankton and less than 0.1% of the FP was incorporated into sockeye salmon biomass via limnetic pathways. The result was that juvenile sockeye salmon growth rates in the treated and control lakes were not significantly different. During the third year (2002), a bloom of the diatom Leptocylindrus increased Woss Lake edible algal biomass by a factor of 7; zooplankton production tripled, and juvenile sockeye salmon production increased by 19%. Consequently, Woss Lake juvenile sockeye salmon grew twice as fast as they did in untreated Vernon Lake, and juvenile sockeye salmon fall weights were 50% higher than those recorded before the lake was fertilized. We conclude that for north Pacific coastal lakes, bottom-up effects resulting from changes in phytoplankton species composition can profoundly alter rates of juvenile sockeye salmon production. Regulation of algal species composition through manipulations of fertilizer composition and application timing might be used to reduce blooms of nuisance algae and increase age-0 sockeye salmon yield. Sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka returning to the Nimpkish River watershed on northern Vancouver Island have historically been of great importance to both the ‘Namgis First Nation and the commercial fishery. The Canadian Department of Fisheries (1958) stated that the Nimpkish River fishery was ‘‘second in value only to that of the Fraser in the southern half of the Province.’’ During recent years, the Nimpkish River fishery has been in decline, and the lake fertilization experiment described here is part of a larger Nimpkish River watershed salmon restoration initiative coordinated by the Nimpkish Resource Management Board and the ‘Namgis First Nation (ALBY Systems, Ltd., and Northwest Hydraulic Consultants, Ltd. 2000). * Corresponding author: [email protected] Received December 7, 2005; accepted July 24, 2006 Published online March 29, 2007 Nelson and Edmondson (1955) were the first to propose a theoretical basis for the enhancement of sockeye salmon production through nursery lake fertilization. They suggested that carcasses deposited from returning adults produce nutrients which stimulate the growth of phytoplankton, thus supporting increased production by zooplankton. The result is enhanced food availability for juvenile sockeye salmon, yielding higher in-lake fry growth rates and larger smolts that survive better at sea. This bottom-up or donor control theory is based on two assumptions: (1) larger sockeye salmon smolts from fertilized lakes survive better at sea, thus ensuring increased returns of adults, and (2) in-lake growth rates for juvenile sockeye salmon can be significantly influenced by increased P and N supply. Evidence supporting the first assumption is reasonably strong. Some very early sockeye salmon literature (Barnaby 1944; Foerster 1954; Ricker 1962) demonstrated a positive relationship between sockeye salmon 369 370 MCQUEEN ET AL. smolt length and marine survival, and all recent nursery lake fertilization studies that included estimates of marine survival (Leisure Lake: Kyle 1994 and Koenings and Kyle 1997; Packers Lake: Kyle 1994; Chilko Lake: Bradford et al. 2000) have shown a positive relationship between smolt weight and smolt-to-adult survival. Evidence supporting the second assumption (donor control) is also reasonably strong. Over the past 30 years, the food web literature has verified the general predictability of bottom-up relationships between nutrients and algae, algae and zooplankton, and zooplankton and planktivorous fish (reviewed in McQueen et al. 1986; Koenings and Kyle 1997). A recent review of the sockeye salmon nursery lake fertilization literature (Hyatt et al. 2004b) found that in all cases (23 studies), chlorophyll-a concentrations were higher in fertilized lakes and that in most cases, fertilization was associated with increased zooplankton biomass (17 of 18 studies), smolt weight (17 of 19 studies), and smolt biomass (13 of 15 studies). However, the pelagic food web literature has also featured considerable disagreement about the relative strength of these bottom-up relations in comparison to top-down processes, which tend to reduce bottom-up control (reviewed in Shapiro and Wright 1984; Mehner et al. 2002; Jeppesen et al. 2003). For example, although Hyatt et al. (2004b) found that most nursery lake fertilizations produced larger smolts, unintended and confounding outcomes were also common. Fertilizers that were relatively rich in P (low N: P ratio) promoted blooms of blue-green algae that could not be consumed by zooplankton grazers (Stockner and Hyatt 1984; Stockner and Shortreed 1988; Hardy et al. 1986; Perrin et al. 1986), and the result was minimal increases in zooplankton and fish production. Also, in some cases where zooplankton production was enhanced by fertilization, juvenile sockeye salmon were out-competed for the increased food supply by very large populations of threespine sticklebacks Gasterosteus aculeatus (Hyatt and Stockner 1985; O’Neill 1986; O’Neill and Hyatt 1987; Hyatt et al. 2000) or by populations of the macroinvertebrate Neomysis mercedis, which could consume 5–10 times as much zooplankton as the juvenile sockeye salmon population (Cooper 1988; Cooper et al. 1992; Hyatt et al. 2005). On balance, Hyatt et al. (2004b) suggested that nursery lake fertilization is a technique that has good potential for sockeye salmon population enhancement. However, two questions related to the dynamics of nutrient flow through aquatic ecosystems remain unanswered: (1) what percentage of the P augmented by the addition of fertilizers makes its way up through pelagic food webs to be incorporated into juvenile sockeye salmon, and (2) is this bottom-up transfer large enough to justify the considerable expense involved in fertilizer application and monitoring? Our analysis had two primary objectives. The first was to model the amount of added fertilizer phosphorus (FP) that successfully moved up through the Woss Lake food web to stimulate additional juvenile sockeye salmon production. The second objective was to quantify the increase in sockeye salmon biomass stimulated by known fertilizer additions. During 3 years (2000–2002), we fertilized Woss Lake and maintained nearby Vernon Lake as an unmanipulated reference. We then measured phytoplankton and zooplankton community changes associated with fertilizer addition. We used estimates of zooplankton and sockeye salmon fry production and consumption (along with diet analyses) to model the fate of FP that was initially incorporated by algae and that moved up through the food web to juvenile sockeye salmon. This nutrient flow analysis allowed us to estimate the additional sockeye salmon production that was attributable to fertilizer addition, and detailed speciesspecific data for biomass and density allowed us to evaluate the effects of changing abundances of ‘‘edible’’ algae and zooplankton on annual changes in sockeye salmon production. Study Area Woss and Vernon lakes lie within the Nimpkish River watershed, which is located at the northern end of Vancouver Island, southeast of Port Hardy. The Nimpkish River watershed is the largest on Vancouver Island, draining north into Broughton Strait approximately 10 km southeast of Port McNeill, British Columbia. Woss Lake (Figure 1) has a surface area of 1,366 ha, a maximum depth of 150 m, and a watershed area of 246 km2. The Woss River system produces approximately 25% of the total Nimpkish River sockeye salmon. Vernon Lake (Figure 2) has a surface area of 837 ha, a maximum depth of 102 m, and a watershed area of 306 km2. Vernon Lake and the Sebalhal River produce approximately 20% of total Nimpkish River sockeye salmon (ALBY Systems, Ltd., and Northwest Hydraulic Consultants, Ltd. 2000). Methods Sampling and analysis.—From May to October of each year (2000–2002), total P (TP), NO3 þ NO2, and chlorophyll-a samples were collected from stations 1 and 3 in both Woss Lake (Figure 1) and Vernon Lake (Figure 2). Samples were collected approximately once every 3 weeks between May and October (n ¼ 8 sampling dates in 2000; n ¼ 9 in 2001; n ¼ 8 in 2002). Epilimnetic samples were collected by combining van ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON 371 FIGURE 2.—Left panel: Vernon Lake, British Columbia, limnological sampling stations and transect lines. Sampling stations are designated 1–4; fish acoustic transects are shown as lines across the lake. Right panel: Vernon Lake (837 ha) bathymetry contours (m) are presented. FIGURE 1.—Left panel: Woss Lake, British Columbia, limnological sampling stations and transect lines. Sampling stations are designated 1–4; phosphorus test stations are designated A–H. Fish acoustic transects are shown as lines across the lake. Right panel: Woss Lake (1,366 ha) bathymetry contours (m) are presented. Dorn samples taken from depths of 1, 3, and 5 m. Hypolimnetic samples were taken from a depth of 20 m. All sampling containers were rinsed three times with water from the appropriate lake, station, and depth. Each water sample destined for TP analysis was poured through a 100-lm mesh into 50-mL screw cap test tube that was stored in the dark until analysis. Unfiltered water for NO3 þ NO2 analysis was drawn into a syringe, passed through an acrodisk filter, and injected into a screw cap plastic bottle that was returned to the laboratory and frozen until analysis. Unfiltered water for chlorophyll-a analysis was poured into a 1-L plastic bottle, held in the dark on ice, returned to the laboratory, and filtered (47-mm millipore) at 0.3 atmospheres. The filters were frozen and held in the dark until analysis. Samples were analyzed at the Canadian Department of Fisheries and Oceans (CDFO) Cultus Lake Laboratory using standardized methods described in Stephens and Brandstaetter (1983). Phytoplankton samples were collected from each lake from each of two stations approximately once every 3 weeks between May and October (n ¼ 8 sampling dates in 2000; n ¼ 9 in 2001; n ¼ 8 in 2002) using the epilimnetic sampling methods described for water chemistry. Unfiltered water was placed in 500mL plastic jars and preserved with Lugol’s solution. Laboratory methods are described in Tremel et al. (2001). In brief, samples were counted using the Utermöhl (1958) technique. Taxonomic (genus level) determination followed Bourrelly (1966, 1968, 1970). Individual cells were measured and their biovolume was determined using formulae of basic geometric shapes (Vollenweider 1969; Rott 1981; Hopkins and Standke 1992). Biovolumes were recorded as cubic microns per milliliter (lm3/mL) divided by 1,000, which are equivalent to cubic millimeters per cubic meter; assuming that 1 mm3 equals 1 mg, the units can be expressed as 1 mg/mm3, or 1 lg/L. Qualitative assessment of ‘‘edibility’’ was based on size and digestibility. Single cells or colonies less than 30 lm 372 MCQUEEN ET AL. in width and length were considered edible (Cyr 1998; Cottingham 1999) except for those that were ‘‘digestion resistant.’’ Algae with thick gelatinous sheaths were considered to be digestion resistant, independent of size (Stutzman 1995). Zooplankton samples were collected approximately every 3 weeks (n ¼ 8 sampling dates in 2000; n ¼ 8 in 2001; n ¼ 10 in 2002), spring to fall, at each of four stations in Woss Lake (Figure 1) and three stations in Vernon Lake (Figure 2). A metered (Rigosha and Co., Ltd.; Model 5571), square-mouth (Filion 1991) vertical haul net (30 3 30 cm; 100-lm mesh) was winched at 1 m/s between 25 and 0 m. Samples were preserved in a 4% solution of buffered and sugared formalin and were returned to the laboratory. For each sample, the Rigosha meter values were used to calculate net filtration efficiency. For each date, a composite zooplankton sample was created from the four (Woss Lake) or three (Vernon Lake) zooplankton samples taken from the lake. The composite comprised zooplankton found in equal volumes of lake water taken from each of the sampling stations. These combined samples were identified to species for cladocerans, copepod adults, and copepodids and to suborder for copepod nauplii. Eggs were counted for all individuals of all species. Lengths of all animals were measured using a semiautomated counting and measuring system (Allen et al. 1994). Corrections for contraction due to preservative were applied to the body lengths of Holopedium gibberum (Yan and Mackie 1987) but not other species (Campbell and Chow-Fraser 1995). Animal weights were estimated using length–weight regressions summarized in Girard et al. (2005). In cases when preserved animals were used to develop these regressions, a correction for weight loss in formalin was applied (Giguère et al. 1989). Nighttime juvenile sockeye salmon densities were estimated by using a Simrad EYM 70-KHz sounder deployed over whole-lake transects (Figures 1, 2) and several depth strata. Five surveys per year were conducted in 2000 and 2001; eight surveys were conducted in 2002. Detailed survey methods are described by Hyatt et al. (1984, 2000, 2004a, 2005). Echo counting is frequently confounded by fish schooling behavior during short nights in May–July; therefore, the best estimates were obtained between August and the presmolting period in February. Density estimates were used to determine total numbers of juvenile sockeye salmon found in each lake, and these data were used to estimate sockeye salmon mortality throughout the late-summer, fall, and winter periods. Details regarding transducer design and counting methods are provided by Hyatt et al. (1984), Hyatt and Stockner (1985), and Gjernes et al. (1986). Fish biosamples were collected using a midwater trawl net (2 3 2-m mouth opening, 7.5-m length). Haul depths were based on echo-sounding results. Detailed survey methods are described by Hyatt et al. (1984, 2000, 2004a, 2005). During 2000–2002, we captured 2,003 juvenile sockeye salmon from Woss Lake and 1,128 from Vernon Lake. Sampled fish were used to estimate lengths, weights, and ages. The average length–weight regression for Woss Lake sockeye salmon fry was Weight ðgÞ ¼ 0:00001822 3 ðlength in mmÞ2:85 ; for Vernon Lake fry, the length–weight regression was Weight ¼ 0:00000502 3 ðlengthÞ3:15 : At both Woss and Vernon lakes, we checked for possible size-biased sampling by the trawl net. Juvenile sockeye salmon were trawled from Woss Lake during March 2002 and March 2003 and from Vernon Lake during March 2002. Lengths and weights from these trawl-caught fish were compared with those of smolts trapped during early April of the same years. This type of comparison at other lakes (Hyatt et al. 2004a) has shown that as juvenile sockeye salmon grow larger than 40 mm, increased swimming speeds allow some individuals to avoid capture by trawl nets. In the case of Woss and Vernon lakes, the correction for fish larger than 40 mm was Corrected length ¼ 0:629 3ðlength in the trawlÞ1:125 : Although this correction had a relatively minor effect on mean length, it was applied to all data. Immediately upon capture, juvenile fish destined for stomach content analysis were placed into a 90% solution of ethanol and were subsequently frozen. Prior to analysis, stomachs were removed, contents were washed into a petri dish, and all zooplankton were counted. Stomach content data from 810 stomachs collected over 3 years (2000–2002) were used to estimate the numbers of each prey species consumed by sockeye salmon, and these data were used to parameterize the fish bioenergetics model (described below). Because many of the prey had been damaged during consumption, we estimated individual prey weights from the average weights of each prey taxon found in the zooplankton samples from each sampling date. Individuals smaller than 0.4 mm were excluded from the zooplankton samples used to estimate average prey weights (Beauchamp et al. 2004; Hyatt et al. 2005). ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON Production and consumption analysis.—The goal of production and consumption analysis was to calculate consumption by the fish as a percentage of production by each zooplankton prey species type. When consumption exceeded production, we expected to see the zooplankton population decline, at which point we could assume that the sockeye salmon production capacity of the lake had been reached or exceeded. Species-specific zooplankton production rates were calculated using the egg ratio methods of Borgmann et al. (1984) as modified based on studies by Paloheimo (1974) and Cooley et al. (1986). These methods are described in Hyatt et al. (2005). For each species, we used the production model to calculate the new biomass b produced between sample times t and t þ 1; the new biomass was compared with btþ1 – bt observed in the field. In most cases, calculated production was larger, but occasionally our egg counts were low and calculated production was less than the minimum value derived from field data. In such cases, we used the estimate based on field samples. Calculated rates of zooplankton consumption by age-0 sockeye salmon were based on the bioenergetics model of Kitchell et al. (1974, 1977), as summarized in Hanson et al. (1997). All simulations began on 15 June (the approximate date of the first reliable acoustic density estimates of fish) and ended on 31 October (139 d). Model inputs included vertical fish distribution within the water column, water column temperature, fish length, weight, and diet. Energy densities for the sockeye salmon and the various prey species were entered as joules per gram wet weight. Because Levy (1990) reported various diel migration patterns for juvenile sockeye salmon, we investigated vertical activity in both lakes on 26–27 June 2000, 6–7 August 2000, and 18–19 August 2002. We found that a variable portion of the sockeye salmon population entered the epilimnion at dark and returned to the hypolimnion at dawn. However, on all dates, the population median remained at or just below the thermocline. We therefore assumed that individual fish spent the night moving into and out of the epilimnion. By alternating daily temperatures between epilimnetic and hypolimnetic values, we adapted the Wisconsin model to simulate two diel vertical migration patterns: 12 h day : 12 h night and 8 h day : 16 h night. We also ran the model under the assumption that the fish did not migrate but remained near the metalimnion. We found that consumption rate estimates based on the 12 h : 12 h pattern were about 10% higher than those based on the 8 h : 16 h pattern and that consumption rates based on no migration were intermediate between the two. Because individuals migrated for unknown durations, we used output from the 12 h : 12 h pattern. This may 373 have slightly overestimated food consumption rates, but because summer epilimnetic temperatures in both lakes were low (13–178C) the error was much smaller than that associated with our ability to assess population density. Fertilizer loading and dispersal.—Woss Lake was fertilized for 3 years (2000–2002; Table 1). Vernon Lake was not fertilized and remained the reference lake throughout. The fertilizer had an N : P ratio of 30:1 by atomic weight (13.5:1.0 by mass) and was made from a mix of 28:0:0 (28% N, 0% P, 0% K) and 10:34:0 (10% N, 14.85% P, 0% K). Details regarding fertilizer mix and chemistry are described by Stockner and MacIsaac (1996). With each succeeding year, the fertilizer was applied earlier in the year and the total quantities added were also increased (Table 1). The fertilizers were added twice per week from a boat into the eastern and western sections of the lake. To assess the extent of fertilizer mixing during 2000, Gwa’ni Hatchery staff collected P samples on five dates (26 July and 2, 16, 23, and 30 August) from eight stations in Woss Lake (Figure 1, A–H). All samples were taken at a depth of 3 m at all stations. In addition, stations C and F were sampled at 25-m depth. The P concentrations at the center stations proved to be no higher than those at the edge stations, suggesting that the P mixed completely. Also, because the deep samples always contained less than one-half the P measured in the surface samples, we concluded that most of the fertilizer remained in the epilimnion. Statistics.—Throughout the experiment, data on water chemistry, phytoplankton, and zooplankton were collected from both lakes on the same dates. In all cases, samples collected from different stations were combined (see above) to generate single measures for each variable from each lake on each sampling date. Since there was only one treated lake (Woss Lake) and one untreated reference lake (Vernon Lake), there could be no treatment replication and repeatedmeasures statistics could not be applied. Therefore, to test the null hypothesis that values (e.g., epilimnetic TP concentration) in each lake were not different, we used a modification of the control–impact pair analysis described by Stewart-Oaten et al. (1986). We compared the mean differences between measurements from Woss Lake paired in time with measurements from Vernon Lake. For each variable, the null hypothesis was that the mean difference equaled zero. Throughout, we used log10 transformed data to linearize relationships and reduce variance. We applied Tukey’s onedegree-of-freedom test and the von Neumann ratio test and confirmed additivity (i.e., P . 0.05) and independence (no serial correlation) for TP, chlorophyll a, edible algal biomass, zooplankton biomass, 374 MCQUEEN ET AL. TABLE 1.—Summary of fertilizer loading in Woss Lake, British Columbia, during 2000–2002. Year Start date End date Atomic N : P ratio P (kg/year) Mean areal P load (mgm2wk1) N (kg/year) Kilograms of 10:34:0 Kilograms of 28:0:0 2000 2001 2002 7 Jul 7 May 15 Apr 28 Aug 3 Sep 26 Aug 30:1 30:1 30:1 595 730 975 1.9 2.4 3.2 8,055 9,890 13,210 4,003 4,916 6,566 27,336 33,567 44,833 cladoceran eggs per female, copepod eggs per female, and zooplankton production. In these cases, we tested the null hypothesis for mean differences between the two lakes. Data for total algal biomass were not independent, and data for NO2 þ NO3 were neither additive nor independent. In these two cases, we used graphical or tabular presentation. When time series data were not involved (i.e., sockeye salmon lengths and weights restricted to specific time periods), we used one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA). In all cases, we report two-tail probability values. Fertilizer effects on sockeye salmon production.— One of the study objectives was to estimate the quantity of FP that moved up the food web from algae to zooplankton and into newly produced age-0 sockeye salmon. For each year, we calculated FP uptake and loss over a 139-d period between 15 June and 31 October. We based our calculations on field measurements of FP loading (g/ha per summer), total algal biomass (mm3/m3 or lg wet weight [WW]/L), edible algal biomass (lg WW/L), total zooplankton biomass (lg dry weight [DW]/L), edible zooplankton biomass (lg DW/L), total and edible zooplankton production (lg DWL1d1), and average age-0 sockeye salmon density (number/ha), weight (g WW), and production (g WWha1d1). Based on the assumption that all FP loaded into Woss Lake was taken up by algae and based on the known ratio of edible to total algal biomass, we were able to estimate the percentage of FP that was incorporated into edible algae. Similarly, based on the known ratio of edible to total zooplankton biomass and based on an assumed 15% FP transfer efficiency from edible algae to zooplankton (Sommer 1998), we estimated the quantity and percentage of FP that was incorporated into edible zooplankton. We estimated zooplankton production (g DWha1139 d1 ) using the egg ratio method described above, and we assumed that the P content for zooplankton (based on DW biomass) averaged 1% (Andersen and Hessen 1991; DeMott 1998; Elser et al. 2000). From this, we calculated the quantity of TP (g DWha1139 d1) consumed during production by both total zooplankton and edible zooplankton. This allowed us to estimate the percentage of TP made up of FP that was incorporated by edible zooplankton. From the fish bioenergetics model, we estimated the biomass of edible zooplankton (g DWha1139 d1) consumed by juvenile sockeye salmon, which allowed us to calculate the quantities of TP and FP (g DWha1139 d1) and the percentage FP consumed. Assuming that the P content of sockeye salmon averaged 0.35% based on WW biomass (Larkin and Slaney 1997), we calculated the quantities of TP and FP (g WWha1139 d1) that were incorporated into new sockeye salmon tissue and the quantity of new sockeye salmon production (g WWha1139 d1) that was stimulated by the addition of FP. Error analysis.—The preceding calculations included two error types: those associated with parameter estimation and those associated with measurement. Parameter estimates included ecological efficiency, percentage P in zooplankton, and percentage P in juvenile sockeye salmon. Measurement error involved the estimation of fish density. Ecological efficiency for zooplankton consuming algae is known to vary depending on cell type and on the percentage of algae making up the diets of omnivorous zooplankton species. Published values range from 10% to 30% (i.e., Sommer 1998); we used 15%. Had we chosen the most extreme value (30%), there would have been no change in our estimates of total fish production based on field data, but the amount of FP incorporated into fish would have doubled and the percentage FP incorporated into fish would have changed marginally from 0.14% to 0.27%. Data from several sources (Andersen and Hessen 1991; DeMott 1998; Elser et al. 2000) demonstrate that the percentage P for Daphnia ranges from 0.8% to 1.5%. For diaptomids, the range is 0.45–1.07%; for cyclopoid copepods, it is 0.65–1.35%. Also, variation within the same species ranges from 0.65% to 1.16%; we used 1%. Use of an extreme value, such as 1.5%, would not have changed overall fish production, but the amount of FP incorporated into fish would have declined by 32% and the percentage FP incorporated into fish would have decreased marginally from 0.14% to 0.09%. Based on a study by Larkin and Slaney (1997), the percentage P in juvenile sockeye salmon was assumed to be 0.35% (WW basis). Increasing percentage P in sockeye salmon to the unlikely value of 0.5% would have had no effect on total sockeye ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON salmon production, but the percentage FP incorporated into fish would have increased marginally from 0.14% to 0.19%. In summary, errors associated with parameter estimation had no effect on total fish biomass or production, and minor effects on the percentage of FP incorporated into sockeye salmon. However, errors in parameter estimation could change the contribution of FP to fish growth relative to the contribution made by naturally occurring P. In the most extreme case for 2002, doubling ecological efficiency increased the contribution of FP from 17% to 34%. It should be noted, however, that the effect was symmetrical and that a 50% reduction in ecological efficiency would halve the contribution of FP to fish growth. From this, we concluded that our use of mean parameter values was justified and that resulting errors were probably small and symmetrical. Results Oxygen, Temperature, and Water Chemistry During all 3 years (2000–2002) in both lakes, epilimnetic and hypolimnetic oxygen concentrations gradually declined from spring highs of approximately 12 mg/L to late-summer lows of approximately 9 mg/ L. In both lakes, thermal stratification was established by mid-June and lasted until mid-October. Thermoclines were broad (extending from approximately 15 to 20 m), and temperature changes were small (0.1–0.78C per m). Epilimnetic temperatures were consistently lower in Vernon Lake (maximum ¼ 13–148C) than in Woss Lake (maximum ¼ 15–178C). This difference was probably attributable to a substantial snow field in the mountains surrounding the headwaters of Vernon Lake. On average, TP concentrations were higher in Woss Lake than in Vernon Lake (paired t: df ¼ 21, P , 0.01; Figure 3). Nitrogen concentrations (NO2 þ NO3) were neither additive nor independent and could not be analyzed statistically, but Woss Lake May–October N concentrations averaged 18 lg/L in 2000, 20 lg/L in 2001, and 6 lg/L in 2002 and were always lower than comparable measures from Vernon Lake, which averaged 31 lg/L in 2000, 32 lg/L in 2001, and 25 lg/L in 2002. This was especially true during the third year of the experiment, when loading rates were increased and when Woss Lake N declined rapidly to about 4 lg/L by the end of summer. Chlorophyll a and Phytoplankton Biovolume Chlorophyll-a concentration varied substantially from year to year (Figure 3). In Woss Lake, there was a fall bloom during 2000 and a spring bloom during 2002. Vernon Lake chlorophyll-a concentra- 375 tions were relatively stable. Woss Lake chlorophyll-a concentrations averaged 0.9 lg/L, which was significantly higher than the Vernon Lake average (0.4 lg/L; paired t: df ¼ 21, P , 0.01). Phytoplankton biovolume showed almost exactly the same patterns as chlorophyll a (Figure 3; Table 2). At Woss Lake during 2000, much of the total algal biomass was made up of the diatom Rhizosolenia eriensis (Bacillariophyceae; Figure 4). This diatom is a large, inedible, flattened, cylindrical species measuring approximately 75 3 6 3 4 lm and possessing a long spine at each end. At Woss Lake during 2001, algal abundances were relatively low and a variety of Bacillariophyceae (Tabellaria, Cyclotella, and Asterionella) predominated. At Woss Lake during the spring of 2002, there was a large spring bacillariophyte bloom of Leptocylindrus, a small, edible, extremely fragile, coiled, and flattened cylinder measuring approximately 20 3 8 3 3 lm. At Vernon Lake during 2000–2001, Cyanophyceae were common, whereas Rhizosolenia and Leptocylindrus accounted for no more than 2% of the algal biovolume. At Vernon Lake during 2002, biovolumes were very low (,200 mm3/m3) and blooms were not observed. Overall, Woss Lake had higher algal biovolumes than did Vernon Lake, and much of that extra biomass comprised bacillariophytes (Table 2). During 2000–2001, biovolumes of edible algae were significantly higher in Woss Lake than in Vernon Lake (paired t: df ¼ 22, P ¼ 0.04). Woss Lake seasonal (May–October) averages were higher in all years (Table 2), especially during 2002, when the average edible fraction increased to 727 mm3/m3 (Figure 4) but was only 146 mm3/m3 in Vernon Lake. This was primarily due to the 2002 bloom of Woss Lake Leptocylindrus, which was restricted to May and June, when edible algal biomass equaled 733 mm3/m3 on 06 May, 2,110 mm3/m3 on 27 May, and 2,976 mm3/m3 on 19 June (Figure 4). In Vernon Lake on the same dates, edible algal biovolume was much lower: 133, 177, and 68 mm3/m3, respectively. Zooplankton Biomass, Density, and Egg Counts The Woss Lake pelagic zooplankton community (Figure 5) comprised four species of Daphnia. Daphnia dentifera were common, and the other three (D. ambigua, D. thorata, and D. longirimus) were rare (,1% of biomass). The lake also had two bosminids: Bosmina longirostris was the most common, and B. longispina was rare (,1% of biomass). We found only one cyclopoid copepod (Diacyclops bicuspidatus thomasi) and two calanoid copepods (Skistodiaptomus oregonensis and Epischura nevadensis). Whereas the cladoceran Holopedium gibberum was relatively com- 376 MCQUEEN ET AL. FIGURE 3.—Characteristics of a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake) during 2000–2002. Left panels show epilimnetic total phosphorus (TP) concentration (lg/L), center panels show chlorophyll-a concentration (lg/L), and right panels show total algal biovolume (mm3/m3, or lg wet weight/L). mon, Polyphemus pediculus was relatively rare. In general, the overall between-year pattern at Woss Lake was one of gradual replacement of Daphnia by Bosmina. At Vernon Lake, the zooplankton assemblage was almost identical except that Epischura and Skistodiaptomus were absent and Hesperodiaptomus kenai was present (Figure 5). At Vernon Lake, Diacyclops bicuspidatus thomasi and B. longirostris were the most common species. The 2000–2002 Woss and Vernon Lake total zooplankton biomass averages were not different (paired t: df ¼ 24, P ¼ 0.55). This reflected a reversal in zooplankton biomasses in 2000–2002. During 2000, Vernon Lake biomasses were consistently higher than those in Woss Lake (Figure 5). During 2001, biomasses in the two lakes were approximately equal; during 2002, Woss Lake biomasses were twice as high as those in Vernon Lake (Figure 5). This between-lake TABLE 2.—Average (May–October) phytoplankton algal biovolumes (mm3/m3) for a phorphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake). Column head abbreviations are as follows: Cyanophyceae (Cyano), Dinophyceae (Dino), Cryptophyceae (Crytpo), Chrysophyceae (Chryso), Chlorophyceae (Chloro), Bacillariophyceae (Bacillario). Chloro Bacillario Average algal biovolume (mm3/m3) Average edible algal biovolume (mm3/m3) 1,355 601 1,367 1,676 751 1,476 92 102 727 12 19 98 636 274 172 70 83 146 Year Cyano Dino Crypto Chryso 2000 2001 2002 171 17 1 13 24 30 12 14 16 56 41 54 Woss Lake 70 54 8 2000 2001 2002 540 115 1 7 25 21 12 9 6 34 40 37 Vernon Lake 32 66 3 ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON 377 rates averaged 0.4 lg DWL1d1 in 2000, 0.5 lg DWL1d1 in 2001, and 1.4 lg DWL1d1 in 2002; these values did not significantly differ from the Vernon Lake rates of 0.7 lg DWL1d1 in 2000, 1.2 lg DWL1d1 in 2001, and 0.8 lg DWL1d1 in 2002 (paired t: df ¼ 21, P ¼ 0.83). During the first 2 years of the experiment, total zooplankton production rates were higher in Vernon Lake than in Woss Lake, but during the third year the trend was reversed. The change was especially apparent during the spring of 2002, when Leptocylindrus bloomed in Woss Lake. Total daily zooplankton production in Woss Lake averaged 1.6 lg WWL1d1 on 27 May, 2.3 lg WWL1d1 on 18 June, 4.9 lg WWL1d1 on 9 July, and 0.7 lg WWL1d1 on 30 July, whereas the corresponding averages in Vernon Lake were 1.0, 1.4, 0.4, and 0.2 lg WWL1d1, respectively. During the rest of 2002, total zooplankton production in the two lakes was not different. Sockeye Salmon Fry Density, Length, and Weight FIGURE 4.—Biovolumes (mm3/m3) of edible algae, edible diatoms, and the inedible diatom Rhizosolenia eriensis in Woss Lake, British Columbia, to which fertilizer phosphorus was added during 2000–2002. Note the log scale on the y-axes. difference was especially obvious during the spring of 2002, when Woss Lake edible algal biovolume was high. For example, during 2002, Woss Lake total zooplankton biomass equaled 85 lg DW/L on 18 June, 116 lg/L on 9 July, and 81 lg/L on 30 July. On the same dates, Vernon Lake total zooplankton biomass was only 60, 15, and 14 lg/L, respectively. During 2000–2002, the average number of eggs per cladoceran was significantly higher in Woss Lake (0.9 eggs/female) than in Vernon Lake (0.6 eggs/female; paired t: df ¼ 18, P ¼ 0.02). The difference was particularly notable during the spring of 2002, when the averages in Woss Lake were 1.8 eggs/female on 27 May and 2.0 eggs/female on 18 June. During the same dates at Vernon Lake, the averages were much lower: 0.8 and 0.1 eggs/female, respectively. Egg counts for copepods were not different between the lakes. Total Zooplankton Production Species-specific zooplankton production rates were estimated for each sampling interval within each year for Woss and Vernon lakes. Woss Lake production During 2000, age-0 sockeye salmon in both lakes grew at about equal rates (Figure 6; Table 3). During 2001, Woss Lake fry gained weight earlier in the year and ended the year slightly larger than the Vernon fry. In 2002, Woss Lake age-0 fry grew much more quickly than Vernon Lake fry, and December fry weights were almost twice as large in Woss Lake than in Vernon Lake. Overall, average December weights for Woss Lake age-0 fry increased with each succeeding year (ANOVA: F ¼ 10.8, df ¼ 330, P , 0.001), and those of Vernon Lake fry declined with each succeeding year (ANOVA: F ¼ 16.7, df ¼ 84, P , 0.001). Fish densities in the two lakes were similar (Figure 6), ranging from 600 to 800 juveniles/ha in December. The exception was Woss Lake in 2001, when densities were exceptionally low (200–400 juveniles/ha). Annual mortality between June and December (Table 3) was generally lower in Woss Lake (0–20%) than in Vernon Lake (7–46%). Juvenile Sockeye Salmon Diets and Edible Zooplankton Diet analysis (2000–2002) suggested that age-0 sockeye salmon consumed many prey types, but only four taxonomic groups accounted for more than 95% of the total prey biomass. In Woss Lake (Figure 7), Daphnia (primarily D. dentifera) and Bosmina (primarily B. longirostris) constituted more than 95% of the prey consumed. Epischura nevadensis were also consumed, but in smaller quantities. In Vernon Lake, Daphnia, Bosmina, and Hesperodiaptomus kenai were the main prey types. Comparison of these trends in prey selection with prey availability (Figure 5) 378 MCQUEEN ET AL. FIGURE 5.—Zooplankton biomass (lg dry weight/L) in a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia; left panels) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake; right panels) during 2000–2002. confirmed that the preferred prey (Daphnia and Bosmina) were common in both lakes, especially Woss Lake. However, Diacyclops bicuspidatus thomasi were also very common in the zooplankton samples but seldom appeared in the sockeye salmon diets. Similarly, S. oregonensis were almost never consumed from Woss Lake, and both calanoid and cyclopoid nauplii were common in both lakes but never appeared in the sockeye salmon stomachs. Based on these results, Woss Lake edible zooplankton was defined to include Daphnia, Bosmina, and Epischura nevadensis. Vernon Lake edible zooplankton included Daphnia, Bosmina, and Hesperodiaptomus kenai (Table 4). During 2000–2001, edible zooplankton biomass was higher in Vernon Lake than in Woss Lake. During 2002, the situation was reversed. This substantial between-lake difference was especially obvious in July, immediately after the mid-June peak in edible algae in Woss Lake. For example, during 2002, Woss Lake edible zooplankton biomass totaled 26 lg DW/L on 18 June, 90 lg DW/L on 9 July, and 81 lg DW/L on 30 July. On the same dates, Vernon Lake edible zooplankton biomasses were 22, 2, and 4 lg DW/L, respectively. Edible zooplankton production showed the same pattern. Age-0 Sockeye Salmon Bioenergetics Simulation Input data used in the fish bioenergetics simulation included epilimnetic and hypolimnetic water temperatures, fish weight (Figure 6; Table 3), fish density (Figure 6; Table 3), and sockeye salmon diets (Figure 7). In Woss Lake, average edible zooplankton biomass and production (Table 4) increased with each succeeding year; in Vernon Lake, edible zooplankton biomass and production decreased. The consumption rate (Table 4) was positively associated with fish density (Table 3) and age-0 sockeye salmon growth rate (i.e., December weight; Table 3). Average Woss Lake 379 ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON FIGURE 6.—Seasonal changes in juvenile sockeye salmon weight (g 6 95% CI; left panels) and population density (fish/ha 6 95% CI; right panels) in a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake) during 2000–2002. consumption rate expressed as a percentage of edible zooplankton biomass declined as zooplankton biomass increased. Vernon Lake consumption rates were stable over time (Table 4). Relation between Fertilizer Phosphorus and Production in Woss Lake In Woss Lake during 2002, a bloom of edible algae was associated with higher uptake of FP, and this effect TABLE 3.—Juvenile sockeye salmon fork length (FL), weight (net weight [WW]), and density in a phophorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake) during 2000–2002. Parenthetic values are confidence intervals. Year Dec mean FL (mm) Dec mean WW (g) Jun mean density (fish/ha) 2000 2001 2002 68.8 71.4 72.9 3.2 (0.17) 3.6 (0.11) 3.8 (0.14) 665 (418) 253 (111) 624a (316) 2000 2001 2002 72.8 66.6 55.2 3.8 (0.50) 2.8 (0.15) 1.6 (0.34) 902 (403) 640c (472) 1,069 (474) a b c Sample taken on 5 Mar 2003. Sample taken on 10 Jul 2002. Sample taken on 9 Jul 2001. Dec mean density (fish/ha) Mean density 15 Jun– 31 Oct (fish/ha) Mean WW gain 15 Jun–31 Oct (g) Mortality 15 Jun– 10 Dec (%) Woss Lake 535 (147) 202 (91) 843b (264) 589 331 667 2.02 1.92 2.42 19 20 0 Vernon Lake 485 (126) 597 (169) 747 (262) 599 571 965 2.48 0.79 0.91 46 7 30 380 MCQUEEN ET AL. FIGURE 7.—Mean number (top panels) and mean biomass (lg dry weight [DW]; bottom panels) of zooplankton prey found in stomachs of juvenile sockeye salmon collected from a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake) during 2000–2002. cascaded upward through the entire food web (Table 5). During 2002, total and edible zooplankton biomass values were higher and consumption of edible zooplankton by age-0 sockeye salmon was higher. For 2002, we estimated that the age-0 sockeye salmon biomass stimulated by fertilizer additions was about five times greater than that in 2001 and 10 times greater than that in 2000 (Table 5). These between-year differences were strongly regulated by the quantity of FP incorporated into edible algae, then edible zooplankton, and eventually age-0 sockeye salmon. For example, FP taken up by edible algae was 14.7 times higher during 2002 than during 2000 and that taken up by edible zooplankton was 21.9 times higher. Therefore, even though age-0 sockeye salmon production was only 1.4 times higher during 2002 than during 2000, the proportion of production associated with FP was about 10 times higher. Fertilizer Losses in Woss Lake Throughout the 3-year experiment, there were substantial losses as FP moved through the food web (Table 5). Over the 3 years, 22.8% of the FP added to Woss Lake was incorporated into edible algae. Fertilizer phosphorus incorporated into edible zooplankton averaged 2.6%, and FP incorporated into juvenile sockeye salmon biomass averaged only 0.06%. Based on 2000–2002 averages, 561 g Pha1year1 was added to Woss Lake, and only 381 ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON TABLE 4.—Average (15 Jun–31 Oct) prey consumption (DW ¼ dry weight) by age-0 sockeye salmon as a percentage of edible zooplankton standing stock and production in a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake). For the zooplankton taxa, large tick marks indicate mean annual consumption rates greater than 1.0% of mean annual daily production. Taxona Mean daily consumption Mean daily consumption Mean daily Average edible Mean daily edible as a percent of edible zooplankton bio- zooplankton pro- consumption by as a percent of edible zooplankton production 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 zooplankton biomass Year mass (lg DW/L) duction (lg DW/L) fish (lg DW/L) 2000 2001 2002 9.0 22.4 39.7 0.2247 0.3130 0.6933 0.0380 0.0329 0.0634 Woss Lake 0.42 0.15 0.16 17 11 9 2000 2001 2002 25.4 22.0 15.1 0.6675 0.5591 0.5071 0.0501 0.0348 0.0389 Vernon Lake 0.20 0.16 0.26 8 6 8 a x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x Taxon codes are as follows: (1) Other, (2) Bosmina, (3) Hesperodiaptomus kenai, (4) Skistodiaptomus oregonensis, (5) Diacyclops bicuspidatus thomasi, (6) Daphnia, (7) Epischura nevadensis, (8) Holopedium, (9) Polyphemus. 0.33 g P/ha found its way into new sockeye salmon biomass. The loss was 99.94%. Discussion Throughout the experiment, mean summer (May– October) epilimnetic TP concentration and edible algal biovolume were significantly (P , 0.05) higher in Woss Lake than in Vernon Lake (Figure 8). However, Woss Lake zooplankton biomass and age-0 sockeye salmon December biomass were higher only during 2002, when the diatom Leptocylindrus bloomed at Woss Lake in May and June. During the first 2 years of the experiment, fertilization was associated with relatively minor increases in Woss Lake sockeye salmon production (39 kg/lake in 2000 and 69 kg/lake in 2001; Table 5). During the third year (2002), the estimated amount of sockeye salmon production stimulated by fertilization increased to 380 kg/lake. Some of this year-to-year variability could have been due to chance: the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) TABLE 5.—Fate of fertilizer phosphorus (FP) added to Woss Lake, British Columbia, during 2000–2002. For each year, all averages are calculated over a 139-d period (Jun 15–Oct 31). Symbols and abbreviations are as follows: i ¼ input data from field samples, TP ¼ total phosphorus, WW ¼ wet weight, and DW ¼ dry weight. Study year Variable Units 2000 2001 2002 P loading to Woss Lake (i) Average total algal biomass (i) Average edible algal biomass (i) FP incorporated into edible algae Percent of FP incorporated into edible algae Average total zooplankton biomass (i) Average edible zooplankton biomass (i) FP incorporated into edible zooplankton Percent FP in edible zooplankton biomass Edible zooplankton production (i) TP consumed by edible zooplankton during production Percent P taken up by edible zooplankton that was FP Biomass of edible zooplankton consumed by sockeye salmon (i) TP consumed by sockeye salmon FP consumed by sockeye salmon Percent FP consumed by sockeye salmon Average sockeye salmon density (i) Average sockeye salmon weight (i) Mean (695% CI) sockeye salmon produced (i) TP incorporated by sockeye salmon FP incorporated into sockeye salmon % of incorporated sockeye salmon P that is FP Percent of FP incorporated in sockeye salmon Biomass stimulated by fertilizer Biomass stimulated by fertilizer (lakewide) g/ha per summer lg WW/L lg WW/L gha1139 d1 % g DW/ha (lg DW/L) g DW/ha (lg DW/L) gha1139 d1 % g DWha1139 d1 g/ha per summer % g DWha1139 d1 gha1139 d1 gha1139 d1 % fish/ha over 139 d g WW/139 d g WWha1139 d1 g/ha over 139 d g/ha over 139 d % % gha1139 d1 kglake1139 d1 436 1,676 92 24 5.5 4,325 (17.3) 2,250 (9.0) 1.9 0.43 7,808 78 2.4 1,321 13.2 0.32 0.1 589 2.02 1,190 6 499 4.2 0.10 2.4 0.02 28 39 534 751 102 73 13.6 7,075 (28.3) 5,600 (22.4) 8.6 1.61 10,877 109 7.9 1,143 11.4 0.91 0.2 331 1.92 636 6 324 2.2 0.18 7.9 0.03 50 69 714 1476 727 352 49.3 12,625 (50.5) 9,925 (39.7) 41.5 5.81 24,092 241 17.2 2,203 22.0 3.79 0.5 667 2.42 1,614 6 742 5.6 0.97 17.2 0.14 278 379 382 MCQUEEN ET AL. FIGURE 8.—Chemical and biological characteristics of a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake) during 2000–2002: May–October averages for epilimnetic total phosphorus, phosphorus loaded as fertilizer, total phytoplankton biovolume, edible phytoplankton biovolume, total zooplankton biomass, and edible zooplankton biomass; and December averages (695% CI) for age-0 sockeye salmon weight and biomass. around age-0 sockeye salmon density were relatively high (Figure 6), and this was reflected in the 95% CIs for age-0 production rates (Table 5). However, the variable yields in Woss Lake age-0 sockeye salmon were also regulated by at least three other factors: (1) year-to-year changes in percent edible algae, (2) zooplankton species composition in coastal sockeye salmon nursery lakes, and (3) year-to-year changes in the density of the age-0 sockeye salmon. Changes in the percentage edible algae were strongly determined by the presence or absence of the inedible diatom R. eriensis and the edible diatom Leptocylind- rus. During 2000, a bloom of R. eriensis reduced percent edible algae to 5.5%, and this was associated with the lowest estimated augmentation in sockeye salmon production (38.8 kg/lake). In contrast, during 2002 when R. eriensis was almost absent, Leptocylindrus bloomed, percent edible algae increased to 49.3%, and estimated age-0 sockeye salmon yield was enhanced by 379.4 kg/lake. The Rhizosolenia problem was also noted during several other nursery lake fertilizations in British Columbia. At Mohun Lake, Rhizosolenia densities increased when fertilizer was added (Perrin et al. 1986). At Hobiton Lake, Rhizoso- ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON lenia bloomed when mean summer N : P ratio increased to 129:1 (Hardy et al. 1986). At Kennedy Lake, fertilizers with high N : P ratios stimulated blooms of Rhizosolenia (Stockner and Hyatt 1984; Stockner and Shortreed 1988). At Nimpkish Lake, additions of 15:1 fertilizer stimulated Rhizosolenia blooms; when the fertilizer N : P ratio was reduced to 1:1, Rhizosolenia became less abundant (Stockner and Hyatt 1984). The potential key to Rhizosolenia control is to reduce fertilizer N : P ratios. The obvious disadvantage is that too little N is widely associated with the growth of blue-green algae. The structure of food webs in coastal nursery lakes can also influence the relative percentages of FP incorporated into algae, zooplankton, and fish. Over the 3-year experimental period, Woss Lake ecological efficiency from zooplankton to sockeye salmon averaged less than 1% (Table 5). This is substantially lower than the expected value of approximately 10% (Gulland 1971) and may be partially due to the structure of pelagic food webs found in coastal sockeye salmon nursery lakes. Many coastal Pacific nursery lakes have simple zooplanktonic food webs dominated by Diacyclops bicuspidatus thomasi and S. oregonensis, both of which are too small and fast to be optimum prey for juvenile sockeye salmon. Coastal food webs also frequently lack an abundance of large Daphnia that are more typical of eutrophic interior nursery lakes. Simply put, the zooplankton species composition typically found in coastal nursery lake food webs reduces efficient nutrient transfer from fertilizer up through the food web to juvenile sockeye salmon. The third factor causing year-to-year variability in Woss Lake sockeye salmon production was the density of age-0 fish. During the 1980s and 1990s, before Woss Lake was fertilized, density (acoustic assessments) and length–weight surveys were conducted over 11 years. Densities varied from 500 to 4,000 juveniles/ ha, and fall weights varied inversely from 2.6 to 1.0 g as density increased (Figure 9). During the prefertilization years 1978 and 1979, fall densities were very low (mean ¼ 588 juveniles/ha) and were within the range observed during 2000–2002; also, fall fry weight averaged 2.3 g and estimated net fall fry production approximated 1,291 g/ha. In comparison, during 2000–2002, Woss Lake fall fry density averaged 529 fry/ha, weight averaged 3.5 g, and net production approximated 1,887 g/ha. This production increase averages 31%. At the outset, our stated objectives were to estimate the amount of fertilizer incorporated into juvenile sockeye salmon and the amount of extra juvenile biomass stimulated by the addition of fertilizer and to determine whether increased production was large 383 FIGURE 9.—Relation between sockeye salmon fall fry weight and juvenile density in a phosphorus-fertilized lake (Woss Lake, British Columbia) and an unfertilized reference lake (Vernon Lake) (open circles ¼ Woss Lake during unfertilized years, 1978–1996; closed circles ¼ Woss Lake during whole-lake fertilization, 2000–2002; triangles ¼ Vernon Lake during 2000–2002). enough to justify the expense of fertilizer application. During the years in which fertilization occurred, an average of 23% of FP was incorporated into edible algae, 2.6% was incorporated into edible zooplankton, and 0.06% was incorporated into juvenile sockeye salmon (Table 5). Fertilizer loss was 99.94%. The amount of extra juvenile sockeye salmon biomass stimulated by FP can be estimated in three ways. First, as noted above, within-lake comparisons of historical (1978 and 1979), pre-fertilization data versus production data from 2000–2001 in Woss Lake resulted in an estimated net production increase of 31% (596 gha1year1). Second, the estimated quantity of extra juvenile sockeye salmon stimulated by FP was 29 g/ha in 2000, 50 g/ha in 2001, and 278 g/ha in 2002. This is our most direct production estimate and yields an average increase of 12% (119 gha1139 d1). Third, comparison of the 2000–2002 age-0 sockeye salmon summer production average in Woss Lake (1,146 gha1139 d1) with that of Vernon Lake (937 gha1139 d1; Table 5) yields a between-lake, treatment versus control production increase of 18% (209 gha1139 d1). The average of all three estimates is approximately 300 g/ha per growing season, which represents an average annual lakewide increase of approximately 400 kg of juvenile sockeye salmon biomass stimulated by 40,000 kg fertilizer/year (average loading ¼ 767 kg P/year). Third, during 2000– 2002, the average annual cost of fertilizer plus application in Woss Lake was Can$40,000, which 384 MCQUEEN ET AL. TABLE 6.—Summary of potential sockeye salmon production and net economic benefits associated with the addition of fertilize phosphorus to Woss Lake, British Columbia. Smolt production scenarios are based on estimates reported over 13 years (1978–1996; Hyatt et al. 2004a). Adult returns during prefertilization years (1978–1996) are based on a low average smolt-toadult survival rate of 2.5%. Adult returns during fertilization years (2000–2002) are augmented by 14%, as suggested by Bradford et al. (2000). Net benefits were calculated as the landed value of incremental adult production minus fixed costs of lake treatment, where landed value is assumed to be $10 per fish and fixed costs are estimated to be $40,000 per year. Adult returns Smolt production scenario Number of smolts Pre-fertilization Fertilization Net economic benefit Lowest recorded Average recorded Highest recorded 380,000 1,340,000 5,210,000 9,500 33,500 130,250 10,830 38,190 148,485 26,700 þ6,900 þ142,350 translates to approximately $100/kg of enhanced fry or $3 per enhanced smolt. Proof of whether this high cost is justified really depends on whether larger smolt weights can be associated with increased marine survival. At Woss Lake during 1978–1979 (nonfertilized), fall fry weights averaged 2.3 g; during 2000–2002, (fertilized) fall fry averaged 3.5 g. At Vernon Lake during 2000–2002, fall fry weights averaged 2.7 g. The question is whether a 1.0-g increase in mean smolt weight can significantly affect marine survival. Three published sockeye salmon nursery lake fertilization studies have included measurements of marine survival. At Leisure Lake (Kyle 1994; Koenings and Kyle 1997), smolt weight increased by 112% from 1.7 g during the unfertilized period to 3.7 g during the fertilized period, and smoltto-adult survival increased by 25%. At Packers Lake (Kyle 1994), smolt weight increased by 100% from 5.7 to 100.4 g, and marine survival increased by 43%. At Chilko Lake (Bradford et al. 2000), each 1-g increase in smolt weight was associated with a 14% increase in the adult return rate. Based on these observations, it is reasonable to assume that treatment-induced size increases for Woss Lake smolts are likely to increase the average smolt-toadult survival rate by at least 14%. Consequently, observations of the overall mean and range of Woss Lake smolt production may be used in combination with typical marine survival rates and landed-value estimates for coastal sockeye salmon to determine a possible range of net economic benefits for Woss Lake fertilization (Table 6). These calculations suggest that lake fertilization would probably yield negative net economic benefits (i.e., losses of $26,000) in years at the bottom end of the range of smolt output (i.e., 380,000 fall fry observed in 1978 and 1979), but that the benefits would become positive (minimum benefits of $6,900) if fall fry production remains at or above the overall average of 1.34 million/year (Table 6). Furthermore, 50 years of overfishing and logging- related habitat destruction have apparently reduced total sockeye salmon returns to the Nimpkish River system by at least 80%. Therefore, even modest production increases delivered by lake fertilization at low stock sizes would potentially halt or reverse the long-term stock declines that could provoke future Species-at-Risk Act listings. Acknowledgments We thank Hank Nelson, Bert Svanvik, and their staff at the Gwa’ni Hatchery on the Nimpkish River. We are also grateful for the help we have received from members of the Nimpkish Resource Management Board, especially Mike Berry, Hank Nelson, and Bert Svanvik. Our field crew was headed by Barry Hanslit, and we thank summer staff, including Eric Demers and Leila Sumi. Finally, we are grateful to Margot Stockwell for redrafting Figures 1–6 and to our zooplankton and phytoplankton experts, Stanley Sutey and Elaine Carey. This work was supported by a grant from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada to D.J.M., various CDFO operating grants to K. Hyatt, funds from the ‘Namgis First Nation, and a grant from the Pacific Salmon Endowment Fund to the Nimpkish Resource Management Board. We dedicate this paper to Bertil Svanvik (Wagidis), who suddenly and tragically passed away while leading his team on the soccer field. Bert was a key member of our research team, and he will be sorely missed. References ALBY Systems, Ltd., and Northwest Hydraulic Consultants, Ltd. 2000. Nimpkish watershed restoration program overview assessment of fish habitat and hydrology (volume 1, main report). Canadian Forest Products, Ltd., for Forest Renewal British Columbia, Alert Bay, British Columbia. Allen, G., N. D. Yan, and W. T. Geiling. 1994. ZEBRA2, zooplankton enumeration and biomass routines for APIOS: a semi-automated sample processing system for zooplankton ecologists. Ontario Ministry Environment Report, Dorset. ALGAE EFFECT ON SOCKEYE SALMON Andersen, T., and D. O. Hessen. 1991. 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