Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Landscape and Urban Planning journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/landurbplan Research paper Does urban vegetation enhance carbon sequestration? Erik Velasco a,∗ , Matthias Roth b , Leslie Norford a , Luisa T. Molina c a Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology (SMART), Center for Environmental Sensing and Modeling (CENSAM), 1 CREATE Way, #09-03 CREATE Tower, Singapore 138602, Singapore b National University of Singapore (NUS), Department of Geography, Singapore, Singapore c Molina Center for Energy and the Environment (MCE2), La Jolla, CA, USA h i g h l i g h t s • • • • • Limited evidence supports the carbon sequestration efficiency of urban vegetation. Net CO2 flux measurements in urban areas suggest a limited greenery sink capacity. Carbon sequestration depends on the characteristics of trees and pervious surfaces. Soil respiration limits the potential of carbon sequestration by vegetation. Greenery contributes −1.4% and 4.4% of the total CO2 flux at two suburban sites. a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 20 March 2015 Received in revised form 16 October 2015 Accepted 5 December 2015 Keywords: Carbon sequestration Urban greenery Urban forestry Greenhouse gas emissions Carbon dioxide Eddy covariance a b s t r a c t Many cities are developing policies to promote greenery as a measure to reduce their net greenhouse gas emissions. Studies suggest that urban forests may represent an important carbon reservoir. However, the potential to directly remove carbon dioxide (CO2 ) from the atmosphere by urban vegetation is still poorly supported by scientific evidence. Current assessments consider only the carbon accumulated by trees and usually neglect the contribution from soil respiration and the emissions associated with greenery management. Studies in mid-latitude cities suggest that the carbon uptake by urban vegetation is small compared to the magnitude of the anthropogenic emissions. To investigate if the typically evergreen vegetation in (sub)tropical cities has a larger potential for carbon sequestration, the CO2 flux data from two residential neighborhoods of Singapore and Mexico City were analyzed. Results suggest that (sub)tropical vegetation may act as either an emission source or sink depending on the species and characteristics of the trees and the amount and conditions of pervious surfaces for soil respiration. The biogenic component (vegetation and soil) was found to be a sink of 1 Mg km−2 day−1 of CO2 in Mexico City, but an emission source of 0.8 Mg day−1 km−2 of CO2 in Singapore. The biogenic contribution to the total CO2 flux represents −1.4% and 4.4% at both sites, respectively. © 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Urban greenery has recently gained popularity as a climate change adaptation/mitigation measure. Many city governments have adopted policies promoting tree-planting, the preservation of urban green spaces, and more recently green architecture (i.e. green roofs and facades). The potential benefits and services provided by greenery to the urban ecosystem from a physical point of view include reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, thermal comfort, improved air quality, energy-use reduction, flood ∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +65 6516 5236; fax: +65 66842118. E-mail address: [email protected] (E. Velasco). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2015.12.003 0169-2046/© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. protection and improved runoff-water quality. From a social perspective, green spaces provide health and a range of recreational and psychological benefits, create environmental awareness and encourage positive actions toward climate change (US-EPA, 2008; Pataki et al., 2011; Demuzere et al., 2014). The social benefits have been relatively well documented. In contrast, some physical benefits are still poorly supported by scientific evidence. For example, there is little data showing the effectiveness of urban vegetation to reduce GHG emissions or concentrations of airborne pollutants. The lack of data and models evaluated with observations, which cover the large variability present among cities in terms of plant species, urban morphology and climate setting, impede a proper assessment of current greenery programs. There is some evidence that vegetation through shading and transpiration can provide 100 E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 local cooling in hot regions, which translates into reduced energy consumption for air conditioning and subsequently urban GHG emissions (e.g., Akbari, 2002). Much less evidence is available to demonstrate the direct removal of carbon dioxide (CO2 ) from the atmosphere by urban vegetation. The few studies available from mostly temperate cities in the US and Europe have estimated the annual carbon sequestration at the scale of the entire city through the application of allometric equations, relationships between biomass (carbon stored) and physical dimensions (e.g., diameter and height) of trees, and predictive growth models applied to tree inventories (e.g., McPherson, Xiao, & Aguaron, 2013). The results suggest that urban trees potentially have an important role in the reduction of the carbon budget of cities. However, these studies have not considered the contribution from soil respiration. Soil CO2 efflux is mainly a result of autotrophic respiration by plant roots and associated microorganisms, and heterotrophic respiration via microbial decomposition of soil organic matter (Hanson, Edwards, Garten, & Andrews, 2000). These two biological sources cannot be disassociated from the CO2 exchange of the aboveground vegetation. A complete assessment of the contribution to carbon sequestration by urban greenery needs to consider both the carbon accumulated by trees and the soil respiration. 2015). Other studies have used measurements from a single tower in combination with a detailed analysis of the land cover in the sensor footprint as it changes with wind direction (e.g., residential dwellings, parks, university campuses) (e.g., Kordowski & Kuttler, 2010; Järvi et al., 2012). Yet other studies have performed source attribution of the measured fluxes using bottom-up approaches (i.e. emission factors and activity data) to estimate the contribution from anthropogenic sources (e.g., vehicular traffic, domestic heating, etc.) in combination with models of the biogenic CO2 flux associated with photosynthesis and ecosystem respiration (e.g., Nemitz, Hargreaves, McDonald, Dorsey, & Fowler, 2002; Soegaard & Møller-Jensen, 2003; Crawford & Christen, 2015). A common result of all these studies carried out in mid-latitude cities is that the net carbon uptake by urban greenery is small compared to the magnitude of the anthropogenic emissions. For example, Crawford and Christen (2015), based on a comprehensive spatial analysis using a high resolution land cover database and empirical models, found that the biogenic component (vegetation and soil) offsets only 1.7% of the total CO2 flux emitted to the atmosphere in a residential neighborhood of Vancouver, Canada. 4. Evaluation of CO2 sequestration by urban vegetation in (sub)tropical cities 2. Direct measurements of the CO2 exchange Carbon dioxide flux measurements by eddy covariance (EC) (i.e. flux towers) have been widely used to investigate the carbon cycle in natural ecosystems, such as forests, crops, grasslands, etc. These micrometeorological measurements include contributions from aboveground vegetation and underground (soil) processes. Observations from over 400 sites indicate that the annual net carbon exchange results from imbalances in the carbon uptake by photosynthesis and release by ecosystem respiration (from vegetation and soil), which scale closely with one another (Baldocchi, 2008). A key finding from this research that is potentially important for urban greenery is that recently disturbed ecosystems tend to lose carbon, unlike old-growth forests that usually act as carbon sinks (e.g., Luyssaert et al., 2008; Stephenson et al., 2014). Since the late nineties the EC method has also been used in urban environments to measure CO2 exchange (Velasco & Roth, 2010). Until now, over 30 urban flux towers have been deployed, mostly in mid-latitude cities located in the northern hemisphere. Instrumentation installed at the top of these towers is able to directly measure the total CO2 exchange (including all major and minor anthropogenic and natural emission sources and sinks) within a sensor footprint that is usually representative of the local scale (i.e. hundreds of meters or similar to the size of a complete neighborhood). Results show that urban areas are generally net sources of CO2 , in some cases with reduced daytime magnitudes during the growing season when anthropogenic emissions are partially offset by photosynthesis, especially in suburban neighborhoods with abundant vegetation (Velasco & Roth, 2010). Only one study conducted in a densely vegetated suburban area of Baltimore has reported an annual net carbon uptake (Crawford, Grimmond, & Christen, 2011). 3. Methods to determine the CO2 flux associated with urban greenery Observations from a single EC flux tower are not sufficient to determine the influence of vegetation on the net neighborhood-scale CO2 flux. A few studies have therefore conducted simultaneous EC flux measurements over neighborhoods with different land cover characteristics within the same metropolitan area (e.g., Coutts, Beringer, & Tapper, 2007; Bergeron & Strachan, 2011; Ramamurthy & Pardyjak, 2011; Ward et al., The potential for carbon sequestration by urban vegetation has yet to be investigated in (sub)tropical cities, which is similar to other aspects of the urban ecology. Tropical and many subtropical forests are usually evergreen and therefore have a larger potential for CO2 assimilation than boreal and temperate forests (Baldocchi, 2008). To investigate whether (sub)tropical urban greenery indeed sequesters more CO2 than its mid-latitude counterparts, respective data from two EC flux towers installed in a residential neighbourhood of Singapore and a commercial/residential neighbourhood of Mexico City (Velasco et al., 2013, 2014), have been analysed. The former is located in a tropical rainforest climate whereas the latter represents a subtropical highland climate (Table 1). 5. Methods Two independent approaches were used to quantify the direct removal of CO2 from the atmosphere by vegetation in the case of Singapore and one in the case of Mexico City. Fig. 1 introduces both approaches. For the residential neighbourhood of Singapore, the first approach was based on the comparison of CO2 fluxes measured directly by EC with emissions estimated by bottom-up approaches. The latter includes contributions from vehicular traffic, household combustion, soil respiration and human breathing. The soil CO2 efflux was estimated using the empirical Q10 model based on van’t Hoff’s equation which assumes that soil respiration responds only to temperature changes in the absence of soil moisture limitations (Mahecha et al., 2010). The biogenic component of the CO2 flux from aboveground vegetation was calculated as the difference between estimated emissions and measured fluxes (see Velasco et al., 2013 for details). A tree survey was conducted for the second approach which estimates the annual CO2 sequestration using allometric equations and an alternative model of the metabolic theory of ecology for tropical forests (Muller-Landau et al., 2006). This model predicts the growth rate of woody trees as a function of their size. Palm trees, banana plants and turfgrass were also included in the survey, but their annual CO2 uptake was obtained from published average annual growth rates. In the case of Mexico City the CO2 flux measured by EC was compared with emissions taken from the gridded local emissions inventory for the footprint covered by the flux tower. After adding the contributions from human and soil respiration, it was found that E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 101 Table 1 Summary of suburban building and vegetation characteristics in the studied neighborhoods of Escandón, Mexico City and Telok Kurau, Singapore. Escandón, Mexico City Telok Kurau, Singapore Climate (Köppen classification) Ambient temperature (◦ C) Mean daily min.—Daily mean—Mean daily max. Annual rainfall (mm) Population density (inhabitants km−2 ) Local climate zonea Subtropical highland (Cwb) 10–16–24 Tropical rainforest (Af) 25–27–32 820 8038 Compact mid-rise 2340 7491 Compact low-rise Fraction of area covered by buildings, other impervious surfaces (roads, sidewalks, etc.) and pervious (green) surfaces. Mean building height and standard deviation (m) Mean albedo and standard deviationb Number of trees (trees km−2 ) Mean tree height and standard deviation (m) Fraction of large trees (DBH ≥ 20 cm)c Species 57%, 37%, 6% 39%, 46%, 15% 9.7 ± 4.6 0.112 ± 0.007 5276 10.4 ± 6.0 64% 97.2% woody trees 2.4% yuccas 0.4% palms 6330 (1725) 9.9 ± 4.0 0.158 ± 0.003 5856 7.3 ± 3.7 37% 60.6% woody trees 34.1% palms 5.3% banana plants 6337 (1727) CO2 (carbon) storage (Mg km−2 ) a b c Following classification proposed by Stewart and Oke (2012). Based upon observations of incoming and outgoing shortwave radiation (K↑ and K↓) when solar elevation was >20◦ . DBH—diameter at breast height. the inventory-based approach over-predicted the observed flux as a consequence of a probable overestimation of the traffic volume for that part of the city. This over-prediction prevented the estimation of the aboveground vegetation flux as the difference between estimated emissions and measured fluxes (see Velasco et al., 2014 for details). The CO2 sequestered by vegetation was obtained by applying biomass allometric equations and a growth predictive model to the trees inventoried within the study domain. The growth prediction model of Peper, McPherson, and Mori (2001a, 2001b) developed for trees in cities located in southern California was selected because of the similarity of the tree species, warm weather and almost year-round growing season in both places. The area covered by turfgrass was negligible. The CO2 flux source attribution for the Mexican neighbourhood was then performed assuming that emissions from anthropogenic sources other than vehicular traffic (i.e. households, light industries, stores and workshops) are properly predicted by the emissions inventory. The traffic contribution was therefore calculated as the difference between the measured EC flux and the predicted emissions from anthropogenic sources (excluding vehicles) plus the contributions from human and soil respiration and CO2 sequestered by vegetation. A previous study also based on EC flux measurements Fig. 1. Methods used to quantify the CO2 uptake by urban vegetation. Method 1 is based on the comparison of CO2 fluxes measured by EC with anthropogenic emissions estimated by bottom-up approaches and soil respiration efflux. This method was only applied in Singapore. Inconsistencies in the vehicular traffic emissions reported for the Mexican neighborhood prevented its application. Method 2 is based on the application of biomass allometric equations and growth prediction models to the trees inventoried within the study neighborhoods. Because of the lack of species-related biomass information for tropical urban trees, the carbon stored in boles and branches by Singapore’s trees was estimated using equations for primary (large trees) and secondary (small trees) tropical forests. Leaf biomass was calculated following the relationship of Chave et al. (2008). For the case of Mexico City, aboveground biomass allometric equations developed for trees in cities from southern California were selected because of the similarity of species and warm weather. The root biomass in both locations was obtained from the model proposed by Cairns, Brown, Helmer, and Baumgardner (1997). A factor of 1.2 was applied to the biomass production results according to Clark et al. (2001) to account for the sequestered carbon that is used for the maintenance, reproduction and defense of the plant instead of biomass production, The CO2 uptake by palm trees, turfgrass and other minor species was obtained from published average annual growth rates. For details see Velasco et al. (2013, 2014), Aguaron and McPherson (2012), Chave et al. (2005), van Breugel, Ransijn, Craven, Bongers, and Hall (2011). 102 E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 Fig. 2. Average diurnal patterns of the energy budget in the residential neighborhoods of Telok Kurau, Singapore ((a)–(c)) and Escandón, Mexico City ((d)–(f)) for the climatological seasons experienced in both cities. The sensible (QH ) and latent (QE ) heats were measured by EC. The four components of the net radiation (Q*) were directly measured in Singapore. The incoming and outgoing shortwave radiation were only measured in Mexico City, the longwave components were estimated using the approach described in Velasco et al. (2011) based on the model of Offerle, Grimmond, and Oke (2003) using cloudiness data from the city airport. For the case of Singapore, the anthropogenic heat (QF ) was previously calculated by Quah and Roth (2012), and the storage heat (Qs ) was therefore calculated as the residual of the sum of Q* and QF and the other two energy components. For the case of Mexico City, no estimation of QF was available and was not included in the computation of Qs . The data presented here covers 21 and 15 months of measurements in Singapore (Oct. 2010–Jun. 2012) and Mexico City (Jun. 2011–Sep. 2012), respectively. determined that the predicted emissions in the two-year preceding emissions inventory were essentially correct (Velasco et al., 2009). With the exception of vehicular traffic, no major changes were reported in the emissions inventory for that period. In cities, the heterogeneous surface and multiple and varied sources/sinks challenge the application of the EC method. However, by selecting a monitoring site with relatively homogenous roughness elements (i.e. buildings and trees) and well-distributed emission sources and sinks, the EC method is an effective alternative to investigate the urban carbon exchange at the local scale. The instrument set-up and data post-processing are very similar to those used in natural ecosystems (Velasco & Roth, 2010). Studies which estimate net ecosystem exchange in forests need to consider CO2 storage changes inside the canopy and apply gap filling procedures during periods when sensors fail or measuring conditions are unfavorable (e.g., rain, strong atmospheric stability) to obtain continuous time series. In densely built-up locations positive sensible heat flux off the warm surfaces and storage heat release at night maintain fully turbulent conditions, reducing the magnitude of CO2 storage in the urban canopy layer to levels well below the intra-day variability of hourly fluxes (Crawford & Christen, 2014). This intraday variability is primarily driven by human causes and is larger than the generally small seasonal variability in (sub)tropical cities; ensemble averages can therefore be computed without a need for gap-filling. Further details about the EC flux measurements used here are available in Velasco et al. (2013, 2014). 5.1. Complementary energy flux observations The instrumentation for measuring CO2 fluxes measures simultaneously fluxes of energy. It is therefore common that studies on the carbon cycle based on flux towers investigate also the E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 103 6. Results and discussion The net CO2 flux measured at both sites by EC is discussed at the beginning of this section. The different diurnal patterns are analyzed as a function of the neighborhoods’ characteristics and human activities. Next, the CO2 flux partitioning according to emission sources and sinks is presented. Emphasis is given to the results of CO2 uptake and soil respiration obtained at both locations to determine the full role of greenery on the urban CO2 flux. The magnitude of the carbon uptake is then compared to that of forests of similar species and climate, and the fate of the carbon stored by urban vegetation is discussed. For a detailed explanation of the anthropogenic emissions and the use of EC flux towers as a climate change mitigation management tool to evaluate the accuracy of bottom-up emission inventories, the reader is referred to Velasco et al. (2013, 2014). 6.1. CO2 exchange Fig. 3. Diurnal variability of CO2 fluxes measured by EC in the residential neighborhoods of Telok Kurau, Singapore (a) and Escandón, Mexico City (b) for different seasons and days of the week. The gray shaded areas represent ± 1 standard deviation from the weekday flux average and gives an indication of the day-to-day variability at every hour of the day. The measurements covered the periods indicated in Fig. 2. energy partitioning. Only small variations were observed in the diurnal patterns of the energy fluxes (Fig. 2) during the climatological seasons experienced in both sites, especially compared to those in temperate cities. The benign climatological conditions in (sub)tropical locations explains the lack of clear seasonal patterns in the energy balance, as well as in the CO2 flux. As shown in Fig. 3, no major seasonal variability was found in the CO2 flux measured in either neighborhood. The differences between the energy components from both sites are explained by their locations and urban morphologies. In addition to the latitude and altitude, the net radiation (Q*) depends also on the cloudiness and atmospheric pollution. The lower latent heat (QE ) in Mexico City is explained by its drier climate; the annual average rainfall is about a third of that in Singapore. The sensible heat (QH ) is the energy component with the smallest difference between both sites, in contrast to the heat stored in the urban surface (Qs ). The storage heat is slightly lower than QH during daytime in the low-rise neighborhood of Singapore studied here, but clearly higher in the neighborhood of Mexico City. This difference responds to the fractions of area covered by buildings and roads, and the characteristics and size of those buildings. The builtup and impervious surfaces represent 94% and 85% of the plan area of those neighborhoods in Mexico City and Singapore. Although the release of heat in the Mexican neighborhood is twice as large as in the Singapore neighborhood, in both cases it is enough to maintain turbulent conditions throughout the night (Velasco et al., 2013,., 2014), as mentioned above. The Mexico City and Singapore neighborhoods are net CO2 sources of 24,500 and 6500 Mg km−2 year−1 , respectively. The abundant commercial activities and heavy traffic present in the Mexico City neighborhood are mainly responsible for the difference compared to the Singapore neighborhood. Clear diurnal patterns of CO2 flux with morning and evening peaks in phase with the rush-hour traffic were observed during weekdays (Singapore and Mexico City) and weekends (Singapore) (Fig. 3) and reveals the importance of vehicular traffic as the main emission source. The diurnal pattern observed in Mexico City is similar to those reported for densely built-up locations and city centers elsewhere (e.g., Matese, Gioli, Vaccari, Zaldei, & Miglietta, 2009; Pawlak, Fortuniak, & Siedlecki, 2011; Liu, Feng, Järvi, & Vesala, 2012) where the CO2 flux is always positive. The pattern on weekdays follows the shape of a large mountain with two small peaks at the beginning and end of the working day. Unlike in Singapore, the weekend CO2 fluxes in Mexico City were clearly lower due to less traffic and anthropogenic activities. The diurnal pattern observed in Singapore resembles the shape of a valley surrounded by two mountains. Similar to suburban neighborhoods with abundant vegetation in mid-latitude cities during the growing season (e.g., Bergeron & Strachan, 2011; Buckley, Mitchell, McHale, & Millard, 2014; Ward et al., 2015), the fluxes become negative around midday, more frequently so during the NE monsoon season. The seasonal variability is due to shifts in the sensor footprint following the prevailing monsoon winds resulting in slightly different CO2 source and sink distributions during the NE and SW monsoon seasons, respectively (Velasco et al., 2013). 6.1.1. Anthropogenic CO2 flux contribution As expected vehicular traffic, including passenger cars, light and heavy good vehicles, buses, motorcycles and taxis, is the main contributor of CO2 to the atmosphere in both neighborhoods as shown in Table 2. The sum of emissions from households, commercial establishments and light industries is the second major contribution category in the neighborhood of Mexico City. The residential nature and reduced number of commercial establishments in the Singapore neighborhood makes human metabolic respiration the second largest source of CO2 while it is the third largest source in the Mexican neighborhood. Although the per capita emission from human breathing represents a tiny fraction of the total flux, the high population density in both neighborhoods (>7000 inhabitants km−2 , see Table 1) makes human respiration an important component to consider. The inflow of people, especially during daytime when the population density decreases significantly in the Singapore neighborhood, explains the difference in the estimated contribution by human breathing between both sites. 104 E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 Table 2 Partitioning of CO2 fluxes during weekdays in the residential neighborhoods of Escandón, Mexico City and Telok Kurau, Singapore. Percentages are contributions of each source/sink to the total flux. Magnitude of biogenic (i.e. vegetation and soil) fluxes is the same on weekdays and weekends. Flux contributor Escandón, Mexico City Telok Kurau, Singapore Vehicular traffic CO2 (carbon) emissions (Mg km−2 day−1 ) 53.2 (14.5) 71.8% 17.8 (4.9) 24.0% 4.15 (1.1) 5.6% −1.5 (−0.4) −2.0% 0.4 (0.1) 0.6% −1.0 (−0.3) −1.4% 74.1 (20.2) 100% 12.8 (3.5) 71.6% 1.3 (0.4) 7.2% 3.0 (0.8) 16.8% −1.4 (−0.4) −7.8% 2.2 (0.6) 12.2% 0.8 (0.2) 4.4% 17.9 (4.9) 100% Point sources and housing CO2 (carbon) emissions (Mg km−2 day−1 )a Human respiration CO2 (carbon) (Mg km−2 day−1 ) Aboveground vegetation CO2 (carbon) uptake (Mg km−2 day−1 )b Soil CO2 (carbon) efflux (Mg km−2 day−1 ) Total biogenic CO2 (carbon) flux (Mg km−2 day−1 )c Total CO2 (carbon) flux (Mg km−2 day−1 ) a Point sources include workshops, restaurants, dry cleaners, bakeries, and any other commercial establishment. Housing emissions are restricted to natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas burning for cooking and water heating in Singapore and Mexico City, respectively. b A negative sign indicates sequestration. c Biogenic flux including contributions from aboveground vegetation and soil respiration. A negative (positive) sign indicates sequestration (emission). Similarly, the lower population density during daytime explains the smaller contribution from households in Singapore. The respective emissions are due to the consumption of fossil fuels (natural gas in Singapore, liquefied petroleum gas in Mexico City) for cooking and water heating. 6.1.2. Biogenic CO2 flux contribution Because of heavy traffic and other intense anthropogenic activities the available vegetation in the neighborhood of Mexico City was unable to significantly offset daytime emissions. In contrast, with essentially the same amount of biomass or carbon storage (Table 1), the much less intense anthropogenic emissions in the suburban neighborhood studied in Singapore were almost counterbalanced by sequestration around noon resulting in a very small net CO2 flux at that time (Fig. 3). The two approaches used to quantify the carbon sequestration in Singapore agree within 2% of each other (510 and 500 Mg km−2 year−1 , respectively) and suggest that aboveground vegetation sequesters 7.8% of the total emitted CO2 (Table 2). The approach based on EC flux measurements and emission estimates using emission factors and activity data yields a net CO2 sequestration rate of 1.4 Mg km−2 day−1 calculated as the difference between the daily uptake by photosynthesis (3.95 Mg km−2 ) and release by plant respiration at night (2.55 Mg km−2 ). However, when soil respiration is included, the biogenic component becomes an emission source accounting for 4.4% of the total CO2 flux to the atmosphere (Table 2). For the neighborhood in Mexico City a CO2 uptake of 1.5 Mg km−2 day−1 (541 Mg km−2 year−1 ) was estimated by allometry, which represents 2.0% of the observed flux by EC. Due to the large extension of impervious surfaces, soil respiration contributes only 0.6%, and the biogenic component takes up only 1.4% of the total CO2 flux (Table 2). Excluding the CO2 flux from the soil, the annual carbon uptake by aboveground vegetation of these two (sub)tropical neighborhoods ranks at the top compared to sequestration rates reported in the literature for urban areas in temperate cities. For example, McPherson et al. (2013) estimated an annual CO2 sequestration of 312 and 95 Mg year−1 for medium to high density residential areas of Sacramento and Los Angeles, California, respectively. Both annual rates are about 60% and 20% of those reported here for Singapore and Mexico City. Although there are more trees per unit area at the Singapore site (by 11%), the Mexico City aboveground vegetation assimilates slightly more CO2 (6%). This is primarily due to the predominance of large woody trees at the latter site, which are capable of sequestering more CO2 . The carbon uptake of palms, which are more common in Singapore, is limited by their small wood specific density, which on average is less than half of that of woody trees. Defining large trees as those with diameter at breast height (DBH) ≥ 20 cm, 18 palms sequester the same amount of CO2 as one large woody tree in the Singapore context (Velasco et al., 2013). Similarly, 23 small trees are needed to replace one large tree in terms of CO2 uptake (Velasco et al., 2013). This is consistent with the finding that ecosystems sequestering the most carbon are usually evergreen mature forests (Baldocchi, 2008). However, when considering the total biogenic CO2 flux, the Singapore site is a net emitter, which is primarily due to its larger (by 2.5 times) proportion of pervious surfaces available for soil respiration. It is important to recall that soil respiration is the main emission source in natural ecosystems (Mahecha et al., 2010). These findings are not surprising given that natural ecosystems can act as emission sources or sinks of carbon depending on their characteristics, age, management regime and climate. Forests that have experienced recent disturbance via logging, fire, drainage or wind-throw are prone to lose carbon by ecosystem respiration (Luyssaert et al., 2007; Baldocchi, 2008). The above results point to a limited or null impact on carbon mitigation by urban greenery when both, carbon sequestration by photosynthesis and respiration by trees and soil are considered. In summary: • In the case of Mexico City, the total biogenic component of the CO2 flux in the studied neighborhood is a sink due to the presence of large woody trees and the absence of pervious surface cover. However, its magnitude is insignificant and does not offset the anthropogenic emissions. • Abundant trees in the neighborhood of Singapore remove a significant fraction of the anthropogenic CO2 emissions by photosynthesis. However, soil efflux from the perennial warm and humid soil in the extensive green areas (e.g. lawns and parks) cancels such carbon uptake, making the biogenic component a net emission source. 6.2. Magnitude of the urban carbon uptake compared to that of forests Synthesis studies from global networks of CO2 flux measurement systems have revealed that a large amount of the terrestrial carbon sequestration is achieved by forests, with the duration of the growing season being one of the main parameters driving E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 the carbon uptake (Luyssaert et al., 2007; Baldocchi, 2008). The tropical and subtropical trees in Singapore and Mexico City have the benefit of being evergreen in addition to often being well irrigated and fertilized. However, their total carbon uptake is small compared to the magnitude of the anthropogenic emissions. Given the lack of data for forests near Mexico City, the mean CO2 uptake of 1393 ± 268 Mg km−2 year−1 reported by Luyssaert et al. (2007) from eight Mediterranean warm evergreen forests is used as a reference because of their similar characteristics, to calculate a forest area which would need to be 16–23 times larger to offset the anthropogenic emissions of the Mexican neighborhood. Similarly, based on the mean CO2 sequestration rate of 1478 ± 374 Mg km−2 year−1 from seven tropical humid evergreen forests reported by the same authors, a forest area 4–6 times larger is needed to assimilate the anthropogenic carbon emitted in the Singapore neighborhood. Considering the entire city and based on the same sequestration rates reported by Luyssaert et al. (2007), a forest between 15 and 18 times the size of Mexico City (1486 km2 , considering only the Federal District) is needed to offset the emission of 30,731 Gg CO2eq (CO2 accounted for 81%) reported for 2012 in the official emissions inventory (SMA-GDF, 2013). For Singapore, a forest area that is 30–50 times larger than the city-state (710 km2 ) is needed to offset the 38,790 Gg CO2eq (CO2 accounted for 97%) reported for 2000 as part of its Second National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (National Environmental Agency (NEA), 2010). 6.3. Fate of the carbon stored by urban greenery Over long timescales the fate of the carbon stored in the urban ecosystem depends on the degree of urban expansion, greenery management and carbon allocation to biomass and soil organic matter. The bulk of carbon is allocated to the production of biomass in foliage, wood and roots. Carbon incorporated into wood has a residence time of years to centuries within living trees, whereas the carbon deposited in the foliage and fine roots has much shorter residence times in the order of months to years (Luyssaert et al., 2007). Each year part of the standing biomass is transferred to the soil as litter and/or removed from the urban ecosystem through pruning and debris collection by the municipal greenery and cleaning service. Intense pruning programs, as well as urban planning decisions where large and mature trees are removed or replaced by young trees, accelerate and enhance the return to the atmosphere of all or part of the carbon that has been accumulated over the years. In some cases, this return occurs as non-respiratory CO2 fluxes (e.g., debris incineration). 6.3.1. Carbon stored by vegetation: Allocation and spatial distribution The vegetation in the Singapore neighborhood stores 1727 Mg C km−2 in woody trees (95.2%), palm trees (2.7%), turfgrass (2.1%) and banana plants (0.004%). Boles and branches account for 83.4% of the carbon stored in woody trees, roots and leaves 15.4% and 1.2%, respectively (Velasco et al., 2013). This carbon allocation in trees is similar to that reported in the literature for tropical forests (e.g., Poorter et al., 2011). Despite the differences in land cover and tree species, the Mexico City neighborhood stores essentially the same amount of carbon per unit of area (1725 Mg C km−2 ). Aboveground vegetation accounts for 77% of the carbon and roots 23%. The contribution from plants other than woody tress is negligible. For instance, yucca plants (Yucca orientalis), the most abundant non-woody species, account for 2.5% of the trees, but store only 0.4% of the total carbon in vegetation (Velasco et al., 2014). The carbon stored by vegetation in the two densely populated (sub)tropical neighborhoods of Singapore and 105 Mexico City is similar to that reported for low density residential areas of US cities, but clearly higher than measured in medium to high density districts (McPherson et al., 2013). As mentioned above, the predominance of large woody trees (64%) in the neighborhood of Mexico City enhances the annual carbon sequestration and the carbon storage in the long term. In the case of Singapore, although large trees represent only 36.8% of all trees, they contain 95.3% of the tree biomass and thus carbon. Fourteen Ahuhuete trees (Taxodium mucronatum) located in a small park within the flux tower footprint of the Mexican neighborhood demonstrate the importance of large/old trees in the urban carbon budget. According to our estimations based on allometric equations and confirmed by local dwellers and archives of the city, the youngest of those trees is no less than 50 years old. Six of them are apparently older than 100 years. True to their high age, these trees contain the highest individual amount of CO2 (7.5 ± 6.4 Mg tree−1 ) and have the largest CO2 sequestration rate (428 ± 183 kg tree−1 year−1 ). Despite representing only 1.4% of all trees, they store and sequester 8.4% and 5.4%, respectively of the total carbon in the neighborhood. On average, their individual mass was equivalent to the mass of 69 small trees (i.e., DBH < 20 cm), and their annual carbon gain was equivalent to that of nearly nine small trees (Velasco et al., 2014). Changes in urbanization can be tracked through the age, size, physical condition, density and spatial distribution of trees. In case of the Mexico City neighbourhood 4% of the actual trees date back from pre-urbanization times (i.e. > 60 years) and 6% were planted during the main urbanization period, 40–60 years ago. The majority of trees, 60%, were planted after the neighbourhood was established between 10 and 40 years ago. The remaining 30% of the trees are younger than 10 years old. In both neighborhoods the trees with the highest carbon stocks and sequestration rates are generally located along the main roads and in public parks. This pattern is more evident in Singapore, where in recent years large trees have been replaced by young trees and palms to make space for new constructions and carparks. In general, the spatial distribution of species depends on who performs the greenery management. Trees in public spaces and along roads are maintained by municipal workers, local dwellers often take care of trees along secondary roads and always of those inside their premises. The variety of species is therefore usually larger along secondary roads and in private lawns. Three of the five most common species in the Mexico City neighborhood correspond to species used for reforestation programs. Evergreen ashes (Fraxius uhdei), box elders (Acer negundo) and quaking aspens (Populus tremuloides) are preferred because of their physical characteristics and resilience and adaptability to the local weather and soil properties. 6.3.2. Carbon in soil The carbon in soil is subject to decomposition by heterotrophic respiration. This process includes decomposition of fresh litter, but also of organic matter accumulated over the years (Luyssaert et al., 2007). In the case of urban ecosystems the role the ubiquitous impervious surfaces play in the soil efflux is not yet clear. Some authors suggest that soils beneath impervious surfaces and next to roadways and buildings are prone to lose their capacity to retain and store carbon as a consequence of direct release to the atmosphere, aqueous losses and severe degradation during construction (e.g., Raciti, Hutyra, & Finzi, 2012). Urban soils are often highly compacted and exposed to abrupt physical and chemical barriers to rooting depth and contamination by construction debris (De Kimpe & Morel, 2000). In contrast, other authors suggest that organic carbon underneath impervious surfaces does not decompose because of the lack of oxygen, and thus old towns may contain important pools of carbon in deep layers (e.g., Churkina, 2012). In urban forests 106 E. Velasco et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 148 (2016) 99–107 the gain or loss of carbon from soil is associated with the climate and greenery management (i.e. fertilization, irrigation, debris collection). Some studies have found that soils in public parks and managed lawns of temperate cities have the capacity to accumulate an important amount of carbon compared to native soils (e.g., Pouyat, Yesilonis, & Nowak, 2006; Pouyat, Yesilonis, & Golubiewski, 2009). Although the carbon content in urban soils can be quite variable, urban forests may represent an important carbon reservoir. In US cities, the amount of belowground carbon is estimated to be 2–4 times larger than the carbon aboveground (Pouyat et al., 2006). So far the carbon storage in soils of (sub)tropical cities has not been assessed. In the case of the Singapore neighborhood the intense soil respiration enhanced by the prevailing warm and humid conditions may inhibit the accumulation of carbon. In the case of the Mexican neighborhood the small extent of pervious surfaces (6%) may not be sufficient to take up a significant amount of organic matter. Clearly, measurements of the organic carbon content are needed to evaluate the carbon storage capacity of these and other cities. 7. Conclusions No method currently exists that can directly evaluate the CO2 uptake by urban greenery. All approaches described herein rely on indirect estimates and are prone to uncertainties (e.g., McHale, Burke, Lefsky, Peper, & McPherson, 2009). However, our studies in two (sub)tropical cities together with those from temperate cities, suggest that the impact of urban vegetation to reduce GHG emissions directly through carbon sequestration is very limited or null. When considering vegetation and soil together, the biogenic component was found to reduce the total CO2 flux in a neighborhood of Mexico City by 1.4%, but add 4.4% extra CO2 in the case of a neighborhood in Singapore. A more complete assessment should include emissions associated with greenery management (i.e. pruning, mowing, watering, fertilizing, debris removing, etc.) which could further offset any carbon reduction (e.g., Townsend-Small & Czimczik, 2010). Climate change mitigation policies based on promoting tree-planting, preservation of green spaces, and green architecture may overestimate their GHG reduction goals if the complete biogenic component (vegetation and soil) and its associated maintenance activities are not properly considered. Although there are many environmental and social benefits to urban greenery, current research points to a limited role as an effective measure to enhance carbon sequestration. Acknowledgements The research in Singapore was supported by the National Research Foundation Singapore through the Singapore MIT Alliance for Research and Technology’s CENSAM research program and a National University of Singapore grant to MR (research grant R109-000-091-112). 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