Defra SP1305 (CTE 1024) Studies to inform policy development with regard to soil degradation: Subproject A: Cost curve for mitigation of soil compaction Paul Hallett, Bedru Balana and Willie Towers The James Hutton Institute, Invergowrie, Dundee, DD2 5DA [email protected] Andrew Moxey Pareto Consulting, 29 Redford Avenue, Edinburgh, EH13 0BX [email protected] Tim Chamen CTF Europe, Church Cottage, Church Road, Maulden, Bedford, MK45 2AU [email protected] Total Defra SubProject Costs: £33034 Start Date: 01/04/2011 Submission Date: 30 March, 2012 End Date: 31/03/2012 Table of Contents Executive Summary................................................................................................................................. 3 List of Acronyms ...................................................................................................................................... 5 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 6 Review of Hard Data on Soil Compaction – Impacts, Mitigation and Avoidance ................................... 7 Soil Compaction in England and Wales............................................................................................... 8 Cost benefit analysis of soil compaction and its mitigation ............................................................... 8 Yield Penalty.................................................................................................................................... 9 Fertiliser Demand.......................................................................................................................... 15 Cultivation Energy ......................................................................................................................... 16 Water ............................................................................................................................................ 18 Environmental Costs ..................................................................................................................... 19 Grazing Systems ............................................................................................................................ 20 Mitigation, Confinement and Avoidance .......................................................................................... 21 Low Ground Pressure Tyres .......................................................................................................... 22 The effectiveness and cost of different compaction mitigation measures ...................................... 23 Subsoiling ...................................................................................................................................... 23 Auto-drive GNSS farming machinery ............................................................................................ 25 Use of lighter machines ................................................................................................................ 25 Organic matter sequestration ....................................................................................................... 25 Controlled Traffic .......................................................................................................................... 26 Grazing: Stocking Rates and Timing .............................................................................................. 28 Overview of Available Hard Data ...................................................................................................... 30 Industry and Farm Specific Economic Information ............................................................................... 31 Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 31 Compaction mitigation ..................................................................................................................... 32 Costs and returns for mitigation measures ...................................................................................... 35 Subsoiling ...................................................................................................................................... 35 Improved timeliness due to subsoiling ......................................................................................... 35 Loss of soil and nutrients .................................................................................................................. 37 Tramlines........................................................................................................................................... 38 Headlands ......................................................................................................................................... 38 Reduced cost of subsequent cultivations ......................................................................................... 39 Summary of subsoiling return on investment .................................................................................. 40 1 Deeper cultivations ........................................................................................................................... 41 Summary of deeper cultivation effects............................................................................................. 42 Low ground pressure tyres ............................................................................................................... 42 Summary of low ground pressure effects ..................................................................................... 43 Controlled traffic ............................................................................................................................... 44 Consequential benefits ................................................................................................................. 45 Summary of controlled traffic returns on investment .................................................................. 46 Satellite guidance and auto-steer ..................................................................................................... 46 Summary of recommendations for compaction mitigation and management .................................... 46 Mitigation...................................................................................................................................... 46 Management ................................................................................................................................. 46 Development of Economic Cost Curves ................................................................................................ 48 Recap of cost categories ............................................................................................................... 50 A winter wheat example ............................................................................................................... 51 Baseline yields, compaction penalties & mitigation effects ......................................................... 52 Diesel usage .................................................................................................................................. 55 Nutrient losses .............................................................................................................................. 59 Illustrative Cost curves ...................................................................................................................... 60 Wheat............................................................................................................................................ 60 Potatoes ........................................................................................................................................ 64 Onions ........................................................................................................................................... 68 Discussion.......................................................................................................................................... 73 Soil compaction and climate change ................................................................................................ 73 Policy support for mitigating soil compaction .................................................................................. 74 References ........................................................................................................................................ 76 APPENDIX .............................................................................................................................................. 85 2 Executive Summary The project brought together a team of soil scientists, agricultural engineers and economists to collate, analyse and discuss the economics of mitigating soil compaction in England and Wales. It focussed first on operational costs, where the most definitive data are available. This includes the costs associated with remediation/alleviation strategies such as sub-soiling. Next it considered the costs of limiting the occurrence of compaction by limiting or avoiding it through the adoption of new technologies. The social costs of soil compaction, through direct impacts at the farm gate on yields and inputs, and indirectly on ecosystem services provided by soil were incorporated into indicative cost-curves to assess the value of different approaches. Factors considered are the influence of soil, farm management practice and novel approaches that are either in use or being developed. Current trends in increasing machinery weight, new evidence of subsoil compaction, the uptake of Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) and the shift towards reduced tillage were investigated. Hard data were collected mainly from refereed scientific literature since the information could be trusted to be robust. Some supplemental information from government and institute reports was also collated. A large amount of information on soil compaction mitigation and minimisation was found in the scientific literature, with over 130 articles cited, but little of this considered economic costs and benefits. Moreover, reported results were often highly context-specific. In controlled soil compaction experiments, yield losses of up to 60% were found if entire field plots were compacted by high stress machinery. However, these experiments represented extreme conditions atypical of conventional farming operations. Yield losses of 10-25% were more commonly found, with large differences found between subsequent years due to climate and between sites due to soil type. Other major direct economic threats of soil compaction on arable farms included increased fuel, fertiliser and water use, as well as equipment wear and labour costs. Sub-soiling is the most commonly used mitigation strategy, but research found it to be ineffective at restoring yield other than for spring sown crops. Various studies, however, demonstrated a natural resilience to topsoil compaction within about 5 years. Soils were not resilient, however, to subsoil compaction, with a permanent 10% yield penalty reported. Economic data for compaction caused by grazing was minimal. Fourteen different farms representing a range of soil types and typologies were assessed directly to determine soil compaction mitigation strategies used in practice and their economic cost. In addition, industry data on the cost of machinery or compaction reducing technologies such as low ground pressure tyres were collated. A lack of relevant data on grazing systems precluded detailed analysis of compaction under grassland, meaning that the focus remained on arable systems. Illustrative cost-curves for the mitigation of soil compaction selected enterprises (wheat, potatoes and onions) in England and Wales were generated. These relied on a combination of hard and grey data, including information gleaned from farm visits and direct consultation with industry. Precise quantification of compaction impacts is difficult and the cost-curves necessarily invoke a number of assumptions: for example, baseline effects on yields, fuel usage and nutrient losses attributable to compaction and to the net effect of mitigation actions in countering such problems. Results are sensitive to variation in these assumptions, but some general conclusions can be drawn. 3 First, the higher the yield, fuel and nutrient losses attributable to compaction, the greater the likelihood that any given mitigation option will be cost-effective, even more so if prevailing input and output prices are high. Second, the greater the efficacy of any given option at countering negative effects, the greater the likelihood of it being cost-effective - again more so if output and/or input prices are high. Third, in many cases (but not all, and dependent on assumptions), the net on-farm cost of mitigation is negative. This means that there are win-win possibilities for improving enterprise profitability whilst simultaneously reducing environmental loadings. Fourth, alleviating compaction tends to be more costly than avoiding it in the first place. Hence options such as low ground pressure tyres or CTF are likely to be more cost-effective than options such as untargeted sub-soiling. Although plausible, the validity of these general conclusions and the applicability of them to specific farm-situations could be tested by further empirical research. In particular, impacts on both profitability and environmental loadings are highly sensitive to assumed nutrient losses attributable to compaction. Given that nutrient losses are dependent on a number of factors, including weather conditions, fertiliser application rates and other management practices, further investigation is merited. Similarly, although the sensitivity of results is less severe, variation in fuel usage across different soil types would also benefit from further investigation. However, despite data gaps, the cost-curves are sufficiently robust to support the main points revealed by the literature and industry opinion. In particular, compaction imposes on-site and offsite costs that can be reduced through management actions. The apparent low adoption rate for some options may indicate barriers to uptake such as a lack of awareness or confidence amongst farmers - suggesting behavioural change research already underway for other GHG and diffuse pollution mitigation options could usefully be extended to include soil compaction issues. 4 List of Acronyms ATV – All Terrain Vehicle C– Carbon CAP – Common Agricultural Policy CTF – Controlled Traffic Farming CY – Clay d– Depth D– Draught Force FBS – UK Farm Business Survey FGM – Farm Gross Margins GHG – Greenhouse Gas GM – Gross Margin GNSS – Global Navigation Satellite Systems LGP – Low Ground Pressure SCL – Sandy Clay Loam SL – Sandy Loam w– Soil Moisture Content WFD – Water Framework Directive WUE – Water Use Efficiency ƿ– Soil Density 5 Introduction Agricultural soil compaction occurs where, for example, excessive contact pressure from heavy machinery or repeated livestock trampling, causes vertical and/or horizontal deformation of the soil structure. This leads to lower porosity and connectivity within the soil, inhibiting root penetration, water uptake and overall plant development; pest and disease risks can also increase. These changes can impact directly on both the quantity and quality of crop and grassland yields achieved, representing a relatively clear negative (i.e. cost) influence on agricultural productivity. However, productivity losses may also occur less obviously through greater usage of and strain upon other farm resources. For example, greater energy and labour requirements for impeded cultivation of compacted soils, greater wear and tear (depreciation) on farm machinery worked harder and/or more often, and greater use of other inputs (e.g. seeds, fertilisers, sprays) to counteract depressed yields. Compaction’s influence on water logging can also affect field access, hindering the timeliness and thus effectiveness of field operations. Examples include delayed sowing, sub-optimal chemical applications and excessive peak-loading of machinery and labour. Such effects are felt primarily on-site, by farmers experiencing compaction problems. However, some other effects may also be experienced off-site as externalities, particularly non-point pollution. For example, both directly from the soil and indirectly through fossil fuel energy usage. Additionally, compaction and its management can influence levels of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions as well as surface water runoff and consequently soil and nutrient losses to watercourses. Measures to combat soil compaction are thus of interest since they potentially offer agricultural productivity and environmental gains, although their relative attractiveness need to be established empirically. That is, they will require adjustments to farming practices and such adjustments may incur costs as well as conveying benefits. Moreover, since both the incidence and impact of compaction are likely to vary across different types of soil, weather conditions, enterprises and farming systems, the balance between different management strategies is likely to vary depending on local circumstances. This report presents an attempt to construct illustrative cost-curves for the alleviation and avoidance of soil compaction specific to a range of soil types and farming operations in England and Wales. The cost-curves, and the supporting discussion of their creation and assumptions, are intended to guide the development and implementation of policies by Defra related to soil degradation. Direct costs at the farm gate and environmental loadings are considered. New technological shifts and trends towards lower input tillage systems have been incorporated to ensure that the information remains relevant in coming years. The sources of information used to populate the cost-curves were hard data reported in peer reviewed papers, grey data from government and industry reports and direct consultation with farmers and the agricultural engineering industry. A literature review on the causes, impacts and mitigation of soil compaction, which is presented in this final report, identified the extent of the problem and the key parameters needed to provide a robust economic analysis. Expert judgement was necessary so we brought together a team of soil scientists, agricultural engineers and economists. We focussed first on operational costs, where the most definitive data 6 are available. This included the costs associated with remediation strategies such as sub-soiling. Next we considered the costs of avoiding or confining soil compaction through the adoption of new technologies. The cost-effectiveness of management options through direct impacts at the farm gate on yields and inputs, and indirectly on nutrient loadings and GHG emissions were incorporated into indicative cost-curves to assess the value of different approaches. Objectives 1. To assemble information on the costs of remediating soil compaction, including a discussion of the knock-on costs from soil structural damage to ecosystem services. 2. To assemble costs of soil compaction avoidance and mitigation through new technologies and the better timing of field operations/grazing activity. 3. To develop cost curves of avoidance and remediation strategies to soil compaction. 4. To discuss costs and benefits of compaction avoidance or remediation in the development of policy including effective incentives to the farming community. 5. To consider the implications of future climate scenarios to the implementation of policies to address the threat, avoidance and remediation of soil compaction. Review of Hard Data on Soil Compaction – Impacts, Mitigation and Avoidance The primary source of hard data is scientific literature published in refereed manuscripts or institute reports (e.g. Schjønning et al., 2009; Glenket al. 2010; Görlach et al. 2004). We consider the relevance of the information to current production systems, so for arable some older literature will be less relevant because of shifts in machinery size and tillage implements. The situation differs with regard to livestock production as animal numbers and size do not vary over time in the same way. Our search of the literature has shown that assembling the costs and benefits of soil compaction mitigation and avoidance approaches presents a great challenge. Economic data on soil compaction are scarce, despite pleas by Soane and van Ouwerkerk (1995) over 15 years ago for researchers to begin to assemble this vital information. To some extent the on-site and off-site threats of soil compaction are appreciated for England and Wales (Bateman et al., 2011; Batey, 2009; Ball et al. 2000) although compared to many other European countries quantitative data are less available (van den Akker et al., 2003). These factors make it difficult to perform more than an indicative economic assessment based on existing degradation and mitigation strategies employed in England and Wales. Nevertheless, some illustrative examples will be possible. Some information from controlled field experiments exists for the on-site impact of compaction mitigation strategies on yield, fertiliser inputs and fuel use (e.g. Lipiec et al., 2003; O’Sullivan and Simota, 1995). We can use these with supplemental industry data on the cost of the equipment for mitigating soil compaction including sub-soiling and the added draft power required for conventional surface cultivation. The search of hard data has also identified missing information that needs to be collected on case-study farms, predicted from semi-quantitative models (e.g. power usage for subsoiling) or based on expert judgement. 7 We begin with an overview of the potential direct and indirect (e.g. environmental) costs of compaction. Mitigation strategies are also reviewed. This information provides the framework that we present to generate the Soil Compaction Mitigation Cost Curves. Although more robust costcurves could be generated with quantitative farm-level analysis, it requires greater modelling sophistication than enterprise-level analysis. Given the sparse data available, enterprise level analysis has been adopted. Illustrative curves are presented for winter wheat, potatoes and onions. Soil Compaction in England and Wales Recent review articles (Batey, 2009; Greenwood et al., 1997) and government reports (Schjønning et al., 2009; Dobbie et al., 2011) provide a detailed overview of the causes of soil compaction, the threat soil compaction poses to farming and the environment and the effectiveness of a range of mitigation strategies. In arable and grazing systems, compaction occurs if the stress imposed by traffic causes irreversible damage to soil pores. Damage includes both the compression and shearing of the soil pore structure, so simple indices such as changes in soil bulk density often provide a poor indicator of compaction damage (O'Sullivan et al., 1999). As the strength of soil is heavily dependent on water content, wet soils are far more susceptible to compaction than dry soils. A general rule of thumb is to prohibit traffic when soils are wetter than field capacity, although this may not account for conditions in the subsoil. Land managers appreciate the threat of soil compaction, particularly given trends towards increased machinery weight, rising fuel costs and adoption of reduced tillage systems in the arable sector. This was reflected in the survey carried out by the Royal Agricultural Society (RASE, 2012) which revealed that approaching 20% of farmers in both the arable and livestock sectors recognised soil compaction as more than of little concern. The predicted likelihood and experience (RASE, 2012) of more erratic weather conditions may make it more difficult for land managers to time operations to avoid compaction. Increased production demand on the land resource in coming years, which will be needed to feed a growing population and driven in the UK by shifts in commodity prices, is a social driver that may influence compaction and its mitigation. Environmental factors due to climate change or social factors due to food demands, however, are beyond the scope of our analysis or the search of hard literature. Cost benefit analysis of soil compaction and its mitigation Before it is possible to assess the economic benefits of soil compaction mitigation strategies, the economic penalty of soil compaction to farm income is required. Various economic on-farm losses can be considered including yield penalties, fertilizer requirements and land access. Off-site environmental costs are also important, but much more difficult to ascertain. If untreated, a compacted soil imposes both higher production costs and lower revenue receipts on an enterprise. Lower revenues reflect lower yields due to, for example, poorer germination rates and crop growth but also possibly poorer crop quality. Higher costs reflect additional inputs such as greater fertiliser use to counter compaction-induced losses plus greater fuel use due to the higher energy requirements of pulling implements through compacted soil. However, it is important to note that not all production activities (and thus costs) are affected by compaction The negative effect is most pronounced on compacted soil where no action is taken to counter the compaction. Alleviating compaction through, for example, sub-soiling improves the situation but 8 still typically incurs some losses relative to avoiding compaction in the first place. Seeking to avoid causing compaction through, for example, CTF or the use of low ground pressure tyres limits the incidence and/or severity of compaction in the first place and tends to offer both superior yields and lower production costs. For example, wheat yields on a clayey soil under an avoidance strategy such as Controlled Traffic Farming can be 5% higher than under an alleviated strategy such as sub-soiling which in turn can be 2.5% higher than under a no-action strategy (see later sections for discussion of data source). Equally, energy requirements on a compacted soil can be 50% or more than on a noncompacted soil. Figure 1 below (not to scale) illustrates this general pattern. Lower revenue Gross Margin Lower revenue Gross Margin Higher costs Gross Margin £/ha Higher costs Production costs Production costs Production costs Avoided compaction e.g. CTF Alleviated compaction e.g. sub-soiling Compacted soil i.e. no management Figure 1 - Stylised comparison of the effect on gross margin of different compaction management strategies Yield Penalty Yield may decrease in compacted soils because of (1) increased mechanical impedance for roots, (2) decreased aeration and (3) decreased water storage in soil (da Silva & Kay 1996). Waterlogging is directly related to compaction (Douglas & Crawford 1998). It has negative impacts on plant production, often resulting in crop failures in agriculture (Wairiu et al. 1993) and limits access to land by grazing animals. Although numerous sources of data exist that demonstrate decreased yield caused by soil compaction, the experimental treatments employed often create a bias that limit the use of the data for economic cost curves. Many compaction experiments wheel large parts of fields to induce compacted vs. non-compacted treatments. Crop responses from regions of higher soil moisture are up to 15% reduction in yields from wheel traffic. Eriksson et al. (1974) reported estimates that cereal yields in Sweden would be increased by 6% in the absence of compaction, although research from elsewhere (Koch et al., 2008) reported no response in wheat yield following sugar beet harvesting and ploughing. Various studies employ different depths and intensities of cultivation, which have different cost and timeliness aspects associated with them. Arguably the best data available come from a collaborative project involving seven countries in northern Europe and North America (Håkansson, 1994). These experiments wheeled entire plots on one occasion with loads of either 10 Mg on single axles (5 Mg wheel load) or 16 Mg on tandem axles, with tyre inflation of 250-300 kPa. All fields (both compacted and controls) were subsequently ploughed to 20-25 cm using lighter machinery, thus limiting the usefulness of the data for economic cost curves that incorporate reduced tillage systems. Yield data 9 collected from this collaborative project showed large variability due primarily to climatic conditions either in a growing season or when the compaction stress was applied (Håkansson and Reeder, 1994). These experiments also examined the length of time required for crop yields to recover following compaction. Compaction of deep subsoil was found to be relatively long term that continued to influence crop yields even after 10 years of recovery. Shallower compaction to the plough layer (0-25 cm), however, was short-term with yields recovering to previous levels within 5 years (Figure 2). Figure 2 – Recovery of crop yield over time following compaction at different levels in the profile. Paired plots of compacted versus non-compacted treatments were compared at a range of sites across a number of countries (Håkansson and Reeder, 1994). Further analysis of crop response to soil compaction in Sweden was conducted by Håkansson (2005). He used the results of 21 trials in Sweden carried out between 1963 and 1992 representing 259 location years. Wheel loads of around 2 Mg, which are modest by today’s standards, were applied just before autumn ploughing. However, the intensity of traffic was high (350 Mgkm ha-1) compared with conventional practice because the traffic was applied uniformly across the whole plot width. Following the ploughing operation only light vehicles with low ground pressure tyres were used consistently across all the regional sites, the bulked results of which are shown in Figure 3. These clearly show that traffic effects were not mediated by the ploughing operation and that yields took nearly 4 years to restore to the non-treatment level. In parallel with these trials were others imposing a lower intensity (120 Mgkm ha-1), where the yield losses were about one third of those from the higher intensity trial, suggesting that the effect was influenced by traffic intensity. 10 Figure 3.Mean crop yield relative to no treatment compaction (100) from a series of 21 long-term trials in Sweden. A. Mean relative yield in the compacted plots. B. Yields from year 4 to year 8 as a function of soil clay content. C. Yields following termination of treatment traffic (Year 0 last treatment) (after Håkansson, 2005) Figure 4 shows the effect of soil type on the yield of combinable crops subjected to a range of standard random compaction levels compared with zero traffic. These data were taken from around 25 different research papers quoted by Chamen (2011). Although not definitive, these provide some indication of distinct yield responses from different soil types. Figure 4. Reduction in yield of combinable crops grown under random compared with zero traffic on clays (19), loams (8) and silts (3) (Chamen, 2011). The numbers in brackets are the number of farms sampled. Yield reductions for different crops were also reviewed by Håkansson (2005). These were plotted in terms of degree of compactness, which is based on soil density found in the field versus a density induced by a large compacting stress applied in the laboratory. A degree of compactness of 100 simulates traffic from very heavy machinery. Håkansson’s (2005) analysis shows a relatively higher degree of compaction being optimal for cereal crops but a lower level for oilseed rape (Figure 5). A more recent study in England applied ‘light’ (1 pass) and ‘heavy’ (8 passes) compaction stresses to soils with different textures and then sowed the fields with wheat (Gregory et al., 2007). The yield reduction due to ‘heavy’ soil compaction in a sandy loam soil was almost 50%, whereas for a clay soil the yield was not changed by applying ‘heavy’ compaction stresses (Figure 6). The authors attributed the results found for the clay soil on the buoyancy effect of pore water. 11 Using any of the data presented thus far to predict yield penalties will be influenced by the uncertainty of climate, soil type, soil cultivation practice and the crop grown. A more deterministic prediction of the yield penalty caused by soil compaction could be inferred from other properties. Further research in England by Whalley et al. (2008) found that the yield of wheat was related to soil strength, as induced by soil compaction. Pedotransfer equations exist to predict soil strength that include the influence of soil type and machinery/livestock (Horn and Fleige, 2003). At present these models still require considerable refinement to provide reasonable predictions of soil strength and they have not been parameterised for the soils in England and Wales. Expert models of soil susceptibility to compaction (Jones et al., 2003) could perhaps be adapted as well to make predictions of yield penalties from soil compaction on a wide range of soil types. Developing either approach would require considerable research investment. Figure 5. Share of trials on different crops with estimated yield reductions (%) relative to the maximum yield for an individual trial with varying degrees of compactness in the plough layer (after Håkansson, 2005). Figure 6. Grain yield following no (grey), light (large diagonals) and heavy (small diagonals) compaction on sandy loam, SL, sandy clay loam, SCL and clay, CY soils (Gregory et al., 2007). As shown earlier in the study of Håkansson and Reeder (1994), soils have an inherent resilience to soil compaction, particularly in the topsoil. Given the limitations imposed by the experimental conditions used to induce compaction in the studies reported thus far (i.e. subsoil compaction, light and heavy compaction) another approach could be to compare yields between trafficked and nontrafficked soils. Non-trafficked soils are possible through the use of controlled traffic systems, which will be reviewed in greater detail as a potential mitigation strategy. Table 1 summarises yield data for a wide range of non-trafficked experiments that have been conducted in paired experiments that contain trafficked plots. 12 Table 1: Overview of literature comparing crop yield on trafficked versus non-trafficked plots. A range of soil types, crops and countries are presented. Crop Cereals Barley Yield Soil % of nonInformation trafficked Profile: clay, 87-110 loam, sandy loam, loam Subsoil: sandy 62-81 loam Country Reference England, NL, Scot., Germany Chamen et al., 1992b England Wheat 85 Profile: clay England Spring barley 86 Profile: clay England Wheat 79 Profile: clay England Wheat Barley Profile: silt loam Profile: sandy 100+ clay loam 100 Spring barley 84 Profile: gley2 Spring osr 80 Profile: gley2 Winter barley Wheat Barley Oilseed rape Wheat Maize Soybean Wheat Cereals Cereals & grain legumes Wheat Wheat England Scotland Pollard & Elliott, 1978 Chamen et al., 1992a Chamen et al., 1994 Chamen & Longstaff, 1995 Graham et al., 1986 Campbell et al., 1986 Scotland Dickson & Ritchie, 1996b 74 69 Raised beds: sands, loams 75 Australia Hamilton et al. 2003 83 Profile: clay 79 loams 84 USA Voorhees et al., 1985 93 Profile: loam Netherlands Lamers et al., 1986 Profile: clay loam 80 Subsoil: clay Australia Radford & Yule, 2003 Profile: Red Brown earth Australia Sedaghatpour et al., 1995 87 Profile: gley2 69 89 100 Profile: clay 84 Profile: fine sand Australia South Africa 13 Radford et al., 2000 Bennie & Botha, 1986 Crop Cereals Cereals Oats Barley & peas Wheat Oilseed rape Spring cereals Cereals Yield Soil % of nonInformation trafficked Profile: 87-95 various Profile: 77–122 various 71 Profile: clay 77-100 Subsoil: silt loam 100 Profile: sodic 53 clay 79-84 Profile: clays 88 Profile: clay Country Reference Ukraine Medvedev et al., 2002 Poland Lipiec, 2002 Sweden McAfee et al., 1989 USA Hammel, 1994 Australia Chan et al., 2006 Sweden Australia Håkansson et al., 1985 Tullberg et al., 2001 Taking the data from Chamen (2011), the response of different crops to trafficked and non-trafficked conditions can to some extent be isolated, as indicated in Figure 7. The number of data points is highly variable but provide an indication of the robustness of the trends. Crop quality is another factor that will influence the economic return to farmers. Batey (2009) suggested that soil compaction can have a major impact on crop uniformity, particularly for high value crops such as salad potatoes, beetroot, leeks and carrots. Given stringent demands for quality in many high value crops, this will have major implications. The greater potential economic returns for these crops provide greater incentive to adopt mitigation strategies. There is very limited information on yield loss associated with poaching. Patto et al (1978) reported various studies but conclude that there was little quantitative evidence that dry matter yield or utilised outputs are reduced by grazing. The more recent DEFRA project BD 2304 report provided little new evidence and actually focussed on environmental impacts such as those on birds, diffuse pollution and biodiversity other than yield loss. 14 40 Barley (4) 35 Yield increase, % Oats (5) 30 Peas (1) 25 Sugar beet (1) Wheat (13) 20 Onions (1) 15 Maize (13) Potatoes (4) 10 Forage grass (4) 5 0 Figure 7. Yield increase attributed to non-trafficked compared with conventionally trafficked soils (number of research reports from which data derived) (from Chamen, 2011) Fertiliser Demand A decreased spreading of roots in compacted soils can result in less access to nutrients (Miransari et al. 2009, Wolkowski, 1990). Microbial processes occurring in compacted, waterlogged soils can also dramatically reduce the amount of nitrogen available to plants (Boone and Veen, 1994). Douglas and Crawford (1993) demonstrated the combined implications of soil compaction and applied N on crop production in Scotland. This is also illustrated in Figure 8 which shows that more nitrogen is required to obtain the same crop yield in compacted than in non-compacted soils. Wolkowski (1990) found large differences in the uptake of nutrients by crops induced by compaction. The loss of nitrogen through denitrification tended to increase with reduced tillage and was exacerbated by compaction that caused anaerobic conditions when soils are moist. Phosphorus uptake in fertilised soil ranged from 100% in a non-compacted control with a bulk density of 1.4 Mg m-3 to 62% in a compacted soil with a bulk density of 1.7 Mg m-3. Decreased rooting induced by compaction caused this drop in uptake. If compaction causes a significant reduction in aeration, nitrogen availability may decrease because of denitrification while potassium uptake may be constrained if respiration within the root is reduced. 15 Figure 8.The relationship between the amount of N applied and crop yield under different compaction regimes. A compacted soil (i.e. 1.55 Mg m-3) may require more N to obtain similar yield to a non-compacted soil (i.e. 1.30 Mg m-3). From (Soane & van Ouwerkerk 1995). Cultivation Energy Energy levels for cultivation differ widely between soil types and with soil moisture content for a given soil type. Soil related differences are illustrated in the work of Patterson et al. (1980) who produced data for cereal crop establishment over a number of years from three different soils, the principal components of which are listed in Table 2 together with energy requirements per unit volume of soil moved. Table 2. Soil descriptions and cultivation energy requirements for cereal crop establishment of the three soils used by Patterson et al. (1980). Description Soil series Parent material Soil texture Particle size distribution Sand Silt Clay Carbonate Organic Cultivation energy requirements Depth of work, mm Energy, kJ m-3 Site 1 Hanslope Chalky boulder clay clay loam Site 2 Batcombe Plateau drift silty loam Site 3 Wicken Gault clay loam 25.0 25.1 45.9 19.1 5.5 12.1 51.4 28.5 3.3 1.8 27.2 21.4 51.4 9.8 3.9 220 117 130 103 110 108 220 145 105 205 130 105 56 75 74 146 108 122 In terms of soil type related compaction effects on these soils, some data can be elicited from penetration resistance measured by a range of authors (Abu-Hamdeh, 2003; Blackwell et al., 1985; Braunack et al., 2006; Canarache et al., 1984; Chamen & Audsley, 1983; Chamen et al., 1990; Chamen et al., 1990; Hansen, 1996; Jorajuria et al., 1997; Pagliai, 2003; Pangnakorn et al., 2003; Radford & Yule, 2003; Stenitzer & Murer, 2003; Steward & Vyn, 1994; Yavuzcan, 2000; Zhang, 2006). Figure 9 shows the range of increase in penetration resistance on trafficked compared with non16 trafficked soils based on data from these papers. Considering these in relation to those in Table 2, although clays have the greatest energy requirement for cultivation, the percentage increase in strength (penetration resistance) with compaction on these soils appears to be the least. It also appears that there is no obvious direct relationship between penetration resistance and cultivation energy requirement. Lamers et al. (1986) working in the Netherlands on loam and clay soils reported a 25% reduction in draught in the absence of compaction. Dickson & Campbell (1990) compared conventional and zero traffic systems over a period of four years on a clay loam in Scotland. They found that for both direct drilling and ploughing, conventional traffic increased draught forces by 17%. Dickson & Ritchie (1996a) comparing conventional and zero traffic systems for a rotation of spring barley, spring oilseed rape and potatoes for five years on a gley soil in Scotland, measured substantial differences in draught forces and power requirements. Nominal depth of cultivation for all treatments was 25 cm, but for the cereal crops with zero traffic, this was reduced to 20 cm. The conventional system on average required 92% more draught than zero traffic and 82% and 90% more power for primary and secondary tillage respectively. Tullberg (2003) concluded that approximately half the total power output of a conventional tractor used in a random traffic system can be dissipated in the process of compaction and de-compaction of its own wheel tracks. In contrast, draught differences in dry conditions were not detectable. Figure 9. The effect of soil type on the increase in penetration resistance on trafficked compared with non-trafficked soil Chamen et al. (1990, 1992a) working on an Evesham series clay soil in England and comparing conventional and zero traffic reported a 60% reduction in draught and energy for shallow ploughing (10 cm) and a 20% reduction in draught for conventional ploughing (20 cm), both in the absence of traffic. Also recorded was an 84% reduction in the energy needed to establish wheat, both as a result of changing from traffic to no traffic and shallow tillage to no tillage and without loss in yield. Chamen et al. (1992b) in summarising coordinated projects on the effects of different traffic systems across northern Europe in the early 1980s reported that zero traffic reduced energy demands within cereal rotations by 29–87%. Following a longer period without traffic on the Evesham soil, Chamen & 17 Longstaff (1995) reported a 37% reduction in draught when ploughing 20 cm deep. However, they also reported one instance when the draught requirement for shallow tillage was higher on the nontrafficked compared with the trafficked plots. This was with a tine cultivator and may possibly be explained by fundamentally different processes in soil failure. On the non-trafficked soil the implement was working in a moist fine tilth where the tines were causing a stirring action, whereas on the trafficked soil, the operation was dominated by fracture of aggregates from within the soil mass. Mouazen (2002) provided a possible explanation for this, albeit in a sandy loam rather than a clay soil. Cohesion was found to increase in loose soil when the samples underwent contraction due to shearing forces and conditions in the friable clay may have been similar. Working deeper in the profile on the same soil, Chamen and Cavalli (1994) reported an 18% reduction in the draught of a mole plough working at 0.55 m depth on plots non-trafficked for four years compared with conventionally trafficked plots. As controlled traffic practitioners, Boydell & Boydell (2003) report savings in power during their soil cultivation operations and suggest the possibility of downsizing their tractors. Spoor (1997) on a similar energy theme shows just how much extra pull is needed when hauling trailers across differently managed land. Compared with conventional practice, he found working from a permanent traffic lane reduced rolling resistance by between 24% and 30% depending on soil type. Literature on the specific effect of soil compaction on the wear of soil engaging implements is scarce. In randomly compacted soils it is generally accepted that “points” behind implement or tractor wheels wear out more rapidly. This was confirmed by Owsiak (1999) who observed that the wear of spring tine points was 40–100% higher in sandy loam soil compared with clay soil, and that wear within a tractor wheel track was 17–40% higher than outside the track. Fielke et al. (1993) reported 55-73% reduction in wear rate when bulk density had been reduced by a previous pass but also by 40-50% just due to a change in bulk density from one year to the next. Richardson (1967) also suggests that wear on a particular implement is subject to the strength of the soil causing abrasion. Water Compaction can cause a combined impact of decreased water storage, through the loss of soil porosity, and decreased root proliferation, through an increase in soil strength (Whitmore et al., 2010). This has potential implications to how efficiently farming operations use water and the demands for irrigation. Radford (2001a) compared the water use efficiency (WUE, yield per unit of evapotranspiration) of maize in a vertisol compacted by either a 6 Mg or 10 Mg axle load. The greater axle load decreased WUE from 14.3 to 9.7 kg ha-1 compared to the smaller axle load. Chamen (2011) reviewed numerous articles on the impact of soil compaction on WUE and infiltration rates. Infiltration increased by 84% to 400% in the absence of wheel compaction, with increased plant available water also found. In wet conditions, compaction mitigation or avoidance could decrease the risk of flooding, whereas in dry conditions it could decrease the risk of drought. Drought is influenced by both the ability of soil to capture water (infiltration rate) and store water in its pores (plant available water). With subsoil compaction caused by 4 to 5 Mg machinery, hydraulic conductivity at 0.4-0.5 m depth can decrease by as much as 98% in clays, loams and organic soils. For a sandy loam soil the subsoil compacts under much smaller loads. 18 Much of the available data, however, was from drier climates. There are some data available for England and Wales that can provide indicative information for the development of costs curves for soil compaction mitigation. Processes such as subsoiling to increase infiltration rates, for instance, could potentially have very large off-site benefits in terms of flood risk reduction. However, quantification of this is difficult and the literature is largely qualitative and/or anecdotal. Environmental Costs Figure 10 illustrates various environmental costs associated with soil compaction. Although a tractor is shown, the illustration is also appropriate for grazing systems, and the major drivers that induce environmental costs are reviewed below. Greenhouse Gases Nitrogen can be lost as N2O emissions, with this greenhouse gas presenting a significant environmental cost. There are Figure 10. A conceptual diagram from Soane & van Ouwerkerk 1995; and Lipiec et al. 2003 that shows the numerous papers that report the effect various implications of soil compaction to the of soil compaction on nitrous oxide (N2O) environment. This diagram omits the potential negative emissions (Sitaula et al., 2000; Ball et al., implications to crop productivity. 1999a, 1999b, 2008; Vermeulen & Mosquera, 2009, Hansen et al., 2008). Poor aeration in compacted soils was identified in all these studies as the underlying cause of increased emissions. Dobbie and Smith (2003) determined that the key factors affecting N2O emissions from agricultural soils were water filled pore space, temperature and NO3—_N content. Milne et al. (2011) using a landscape-scale transect in Eastern England also found that nitrate and water-filled pore space are the key soil properties for predicting nitrous oxide emissions, but only at this and not on a field scale. In one study comparing soil normally trafficked by vehicles to another that was non-trafficked soil, Vermeulen and Mosquera (2009) measured a 2050% decrease in N2O emissions in the absence of traffic suggesting that specific soil management inputs that have the potential to affect water-filled pore space may have an impact at the field scale. Soil Biodiveristy In a review on the impact of soil compaction on biodiversity, Beylich et al. (2010) concluded that, “due to the high variability of experimental situations and conditions in the evaluated papers, especially in papers describing field investigations, no general effect of soil compaction (on soil biota and biological processes) was found”. Moreover, putting an economic value on soil biodiversity could be highly subjective and not based on a thorough understanding of the function of the plethora of microbial species living in soil. Soil biodiversity will therefore not be considered in our analysis. 19 Grazing Systems Although in the review above, aspects of grazing systems are covered in the costs of soil compaction to production and the environment, there are aspects of the damage to soil caused by livestock and mitigation strategies that need to be dealt with separately to agricultural land under crops. There is a paucity of information on this subject, particularly with regard to the production of cost curves, and the few notes below are taken largely from Patto et al. (1978). It provides a concise summary of the problem. The more recent DEFRA project from 2007 ‘Scoping study to assess soil compaction affecting upland and lowland grassland in England and Wales’ carried out by Cranfield University offers some remediation measures that have been included in the Solutions section below. Definition: Poaching is the penetration of the soil surface by the hooves of grazing animals, causing damage to the sward and deformation of the soil (Patto et al., 1978) (Fig. 11). Causes and Susceptibility: Poaching (compaction and plastic deformation) results from the complex interaction between a number of factors including: The type and number of grazing animals The climate, principally the frequency, duration and intensity of rainfall and evaporation The plant cover and grass species The soil strength, controlled by texture, structure, pore space and hydraulic conductivity Interactions between these, principally the role of plants in determining soil strength and soil/climate interactions in determining soil water content Fig. 11 Example of poaching, Damage is primarily restricted to the upper surface layer (0-10 exacerbated by cattle cm; MAFF, 1970; Scholefield et al., 1985; Greenwood et al., running down the slope 1997) and in this respect differs from compaction resulting from vehicle passes which often extends into the subsoil which is then much more difficult to rectify. This is an important difference when assessing damage to soil quality and the measures and their costs required to rectify the damage. In essence, poaching is caused by the co-incidence of an inappropriate number of animals grazing a sward at a time when the soil is in a condition that cannot sustain that number. All soils are susceptible to poaching although Patto et al. (1978) identified the spring and autumn periods where the probability was highest; these are the periods when the soil is either drying from or wetting to field capacity and when farmers might be more likely to try and get a few days extra outdoor grazing. Incidence Recent work (Final report DEFRA project BD2304 ‘Scoping study to assess soil compaction affecting upland and lowland grassland in England and Wales’) has recognised the dearth of information on the occurrence of soil compaction generally, and in particular, that caused by grazing animals. To quote: ‘Available data on the severity of soil compaction is extremely scarce’; ‘Surprisingly little is 20 known about the extent and severity of soil compaction and its impacts on the vital functions (ecosystem services) supported by soil’. To fill, partially at least, this knowledge gap, there have been two mapping exercises to identify i) the susceptibility to poaching (Patto et al. 1978) and ii) the risk of poaching (Final report DEFRA project BD2304, 2007). The earlier study identified three classes: high, variable and low. The classes were based on the assessed hydraulic conductivity of different soils and average annual rainfall in different parts of England and Wales. The entire rural land mass was assessed, irrespective of whether the land use was intensive grazing or not. Approximately half was assessed as having variable susceptibility with the other two classes making up about a quarter each. There were marked regional variations between the drier parts of eastern England and the wetter and cooler areas such as the NW and Wales. The more recent study benefited from the advent of GIS and database technology and focussed on those areas where the agricultural land use was more than 40% grassland. It also integrated the inherent vulnerability of different soils with actual stocking densities to achieve a qualitative risk assessment of soil compaction. Most grassland areas were assessed as having a moderate or high risk of poaching with very little in the low class. There were some interesting contrasts with the earlier study, for example, much of Wales was classified as having a variable susceptibility to poaching in the 1978 study whereas in 2007, the same area was assessed as having a low vulnerability. Even with the high stocking rates, the risk was assessed as medium. A very limited amount of ground truthing was carried out and showed that in broad terms the data indicate a correlation between vulnerability and actual degradation insofar as low vulnerability soils were found to have predominantly low levels of actual degradation and, conversely, high vulnerability soils were linked to the highest proportion of high degradation sites. However the authors stress caution insofar that the lack of information on the nature and intensity of management systems and grazing at the actual sites visited is a source of uncertainty that limits the scope for analysis of the survey results. Mitigation, Confinement and Avoidance Soil compaction mitigation strategies incur cost due to the direct costs of, for example, subsoiling, investment in new equipment, decreasing or altering the timing of traffic of equipment or livestock, changes in cropping/grazing system and a range of other possible practices. There is a strong influence of soil type on the incurred costs, but data are sparse or only possible to generate using empirical models. One example is the fuel use required to subsoil on different soils. Complete shifts in production approaches may also be employed to alleviate or avoid soil compaction. Low ground pressure tyres are now commonplace on arable farms, enabling machinery access over a wider range of weather conditions. Alleged decreases in topsoil compaction from low ground pressure tyres, however, may be offset by the greater threat of subsoil compaction from higher loads and as farmers can access land during wetter conditions. Already, large shifts towards GPS auto-steered machinery could have very positive implications but the return on investment for smaller farms is still poor. Decision support tools can also advise livestock farmers about controlling field access or building mitigation strategies into areas with high intensity traffic. 21 Low Ground Pressure Tyres Low ground pressure is an avoidance measure aimed at reducing the stresses applied to soils. As will have been elicited from the research, this measure is only effective for topsoils in the case of tyres and possibly only for subsoils in the case of tracked vehicles (Ansorge & Godwin, 2007 and 2008). In the 1980s, Chamen et al. (1990) compared a low ground pressure (LGP) system with conventional practice and with a “zero” traffic regime. The LGP system employed tyres inflated to around one third of the pressure of conventional practice (50 kPa to 80 kPa) but after four years there was no conclusive evidence that the lower pressures had either increased yields or reduced tillage inputs. In contrast, Graham et al. (1986) recorded a 6-7% increase in wheat yield due to low ground pressure traffic compared with conventional and zero traffic on a silt loam soil. In more extensive trials some time later Chamen et al., (1992) using reduced ground pressure systems, also recorded a 3% increase in yield but the systems were only considered practicable for wheel loads of up to 5 Mg. Additionally, there was a small increase in shallow tillage (100 mm) draught caused (it was presumed) by the more extensive area tracked by the low ground pressure system. Dickson and Ritchie (1998) measured the yields of winter and spring barley, spring oilseed rape and potatoes in the presence of reduced ground pressure traffic where tyre inflation pressures ranged from 30 kPa to 120 kPa. Compared with conventional practice with pressures ranging from 80 kPa to 250 kPa, there was no measurable difference in yields from these crops under the low pressure system. Pagliai (2003) compared rubber tracks with tyres using modest loads (c. 1 Mg) and concluded that the tracks tended to confine compaction to the surface layers as did Blunden et al. (1994). Ansorge and Godwin (2007) working with much higher loads (12 Mg) came to a similar conclusion. There has also been research and debate on the relationship between ground pressure, wheel or track load and the attenuation of stresses with depth. Lamandé and Schjønning’s recent research (2011a) supports that of Söhne (1953) suggesting that stresses in the topsoil rise with contact pressures whereas those at depth increase with load. For example, they found that the maximum stress at 0.3 m depth in a silty clay loam (Stagnic Luvisol, FAO, 1988) was related to the mean ground pressure, while the stress at 0.9 m depth closely correlated with wheel load. Disparities in measured and predicted stresses according to the Söhne (1953) model were considered to be due to differences in strength of the frequently tilled topsoil, suggesting soils of this nature may have to be treated as a two-layer system. In this respect, Lamandé and Schjønning (2011b) measured the effects of loosening the topsoil to around 200 mm depth by ploughing. This led to a more even stress distribution at the tyre-soil interface but little attenuation of the peak stresses to 0.3 m depth. However, the Söhne model tended to underestimate stresses in the subsoil for both the recently ploughed condition and the soil which had not been cultivated for 18 months. This research does not stand in isolation; it is supported by the work of Smith & Dickson (1990), Taylor & Burt (1987), Lamandé et al. (2007) and Arvidsson & Keller (2007) and as such has significant implications in terms of mitigation measures. In terms of root crop responses to a low ground pressure system in which maximum tyre inflation pressures did not exceed 80 kPa (40 kPa in the spring), Vermeulen and Klooster (1992) found that it provided around a 4% increase and was about half the potential of zero traffic. 22 Vermeulen & Perdok (1994) suggested that a low ground pressure system used with a high proportion of sugar beet, potatoes and onions, returned only a marginal improvement in farm profit compared with conventional practice. As this improvement was largely associated with increased yields, they considered that profitability would be more satisfactory in vegetable production owing to the higher value of the produce. Eradat Oskoui et al. (1994) determined from a survey that the cost of tyres was exponentially related to their width and based on yield responses, that farms of around 200 ha or more were needed to justify their cost. Stranks (2006) provides more information on the effect of reduced inflation pressure on rolling resistance, rut depth and depth to which compaction occurs. His studies suggested a significant reduction in rolling resistance and fuel use as a result of using lower pressure tyres. For a multi-axle machine, fuel cost per hectare could be halved by increasing tyre size from 700 mm to 800 mm with a reduction in inflation pressure from 220 kPa to 160 kPa. The effectiveness and cost of different compaction mitigation measures Subsoiling Definition of subsoil Traditionally the subsoil is often defined as the depth at which there is a transition in soil texture and frequently colour, denoting both a change in organic matter content as well as the proportions of different minerals. In a more recent definition Alakukku et al. (2003) suggest this is not so much defined by a change in texture, rather that it is closely associated with tillage and traffic. In their paper on prevention strategies for traffic-induced subsoil compaction, Alakukku et al. (2003) divided the subsoil into two distinct layers, namely: Pan layer. This is a layer of varying thickness immediately below the annually cultivated layer created either by implements or wheels, or both. It may or may not be loosened on a regular basis. Unloosened subsoil. This is the layer that normally remains undisturbed by tillage other than during drainage operations such as trenching and mole ploughing. Loosening of this layer is often considered to be undesirable due to its potential to make the soil more vulnerable to further compaction. In many cases it would also be uneconomic due to the high forces and costs involved. It may be seen therefore that the deeper the cultivations traditionally carried out, the greater must be the depth of subsoiling to address a problem with the pan layer, particularly if tractors are driving in the furrow during ploughing. Extent and effectiveness of subsoiling as a mitigation measure According to an ADAS survey (ADAS, 1996) to determine the nature of cultivation practices in England, nearly 90% of the 868 analysed respondents subsoiled their land with a frequency of between 1 and 6 years with a trimmed mean of 4 years. Of those that did subsoil, the lowest percentages were those on loams (72%) and any soil containing chalk (68%). Most subsoiled the whole field and the majority (76%) at depths of between 310 and 500 mm. Marks & Soane (1987) assessed crop yield responses to subsoil loosening on a wide range of soils including sands, loams and silty clay loams but not clays. Soil loosening to 450 mm depth was of a rigorous nature with virtually complete loosening of the profile to operating depth. Most responses were confined to spring sown crops and at the 25 sites assessed in this category, six showed a 23 positive response in the range 1.5% to 9.4% but four resulted in a negative response in the range 5.7% to 11.7%. Of the 17 winter crop sites, none provided a positive response while four resulted in decreased yields (5.8 – 15.1%). Crucially no mention is made of post loosening operations that would allow estimation of the re-compaction effect prior to crop sowing. Chamen (2011) similarly found no response from winter wheat on a sandy loam soil despite no further traffic following loosening to around 350 mm depth. This was also the case on a clay soil except yields were reduced compared with a long term non-trafficked condition. In terms of soil conditions, responses at both sites were generally beneficial, with reduced soil strength and increased water infiltration as a result of deep loosening, but only with no subsequent traffic. On the sandy loam site, just two tractor passes were sufficient to return the soil to a stronger state than its original condition. Olesen & Munkholm (2007) assessed the effect of subsoiling on a loamy sand and sandy loam in an organic farming rotation including a grass-clover mix, wheat, lupin and barley. Other than where organic manure was added post subsoiling, yield responses were often negative and particularly so for wheat following a wet winter. The authors suggested that subsoil loosening was not an effective measure for ameliorating subsoil compaction. Recognising the lack of effectiveness of these rigorous subsoiling operations, Spoor et al. (2003) recommended creating fissures or cracks through compacted zones to restore rooting and drainage, rather than massive disruption, which they considered most inappropriate. Subsoiling should be a case of “fissuring without loosening” to allow the bearing capacity of the soil to be maintained. It was also recommended that this operation, which would use conventional but judiciously set equipment, should be carried out as late as possible in any sequence of field operations. Not only would this minimise the traffic running over the soil immediately after loosening, it would also allow the longest period for soil settlement and stabilization, preferably in the presence of a vigorously rooting crop. Chamen (2011) demonstrated that subsoiling without further traffic enhanced infiltration on both a sandy loam and a clay soil, and on the clay, by a factor of 1.7. Allen & Musick (2001) reported a similar effect on infiltration in irrigated furrows, which was increased by around 28% due to subsoiling, but this was reduced to no net effect by subsequent traffic. Said (2003) investigating various tillage tools on sandy loam, sandy clay loam and clay loam soils determined that a subsoiler increased total porosity and macropores as well as the vertical flow of water in the profile. It would appear therefore that subsoil loosening can be beneficial but only when extreme care is exercised. Firstly to avoid preferential flow (and therefore sediment transport) and secondly with subsequent traffic to avoid recompaction. Cost of subsoiling Nix (2010) suggests that the average farmer’s cost for subsoiling is £49 ha-1 while contractor’s charges average £56.10 ha-1. As will be seen from the above definition, this cost will vary significantly depending on the depth of operation. Manuwa (2009) determined that tillage draught increased exponentially with depth according to an equation of the following form: D = aebd (1) where a and b are coefficients of the exponential function. Specific coefficients determined by Manuwa (2009) for a sandy clay loam soil at 11.5% moisture content in a soil bin were: 24 D = 82.991e0.0091d (2) for a 50 mm wide flat plate at a rake angle of 90 degrees travelling at 2.5 m s-1. Mouazen et al. (2006) further developing their model described in Mouazen et al. (2003) considered that the draught force (D) on a simple deep loosening tine could be predicted from soil bulk density (ƿ), moisture content (w) and depth (d). Rearranging their equation in terms of draught force gives the following relationship: D = 3.16ƿ3 -21.36w + 73.93d2 (3) From these data it can be seen that draught forces are dominated by depth of operation and soil bulk density, with both having an exponential effect on force as they increase. Increase in moisture content however has the opposite effect but too high a level endangers the effectiveness of tillage aimed at deep loosening (Spoor & Godwin, 1978). Auto-drive GNSS farming machinery In a given year, 95% of an agricultural field can experience at least one wheel pass (Kroulik et al. 2009). Using a one pass cultivation system, such as minimum tillage with auto-steer, the amount can reduce to 45% and to less than 20% if direct drilling is used. Use of lighter machines Using lighter machines has often been proposed as a mitigation measure for soil over-compaction. However, research is not fully supportive of the effectiveness of using lighter vehicles. Jorajuria et al. (1997) compared two tractors having an equal contact pressure but one with a mass of 4.2 Mg and the other just 2.3 Mg. For a given number of passes, the heavier tractor always produced greater increases in bulk density, but the lighter tractor was capable of causing just as much compaction with additional passes. Voorhees et al. (1986) drew a similar conclusion about the load on a wheel and went on to suggest that its damaging effects may not be mediated by decreasing surface pressures or even over-winter freezing to a depth of 70 cm. Botta et al. (2006) also found that multiple passes with a lighter tractor (1 Mg maximum wheel load) had serious consequences in direct drilled topsoil, rendering it unsuitable for seedling emergence. With 10 – 12 passes of this tractor, compaction effects (increases in penetration resistance and bulk density) reached to 600 mm depth in the same profile. Present day economics and labour availability are also against using smaller machines, other than those that might be achieved with robotics that might use very light machines working slowly but without direct labour constraints.. Organic matter sequestration There are numerous data to support the premise that adding organic matter to soils helps to protect them from compaction. Diaz-Zorita & Grosso (2000) for example found that the susceptibility of soils to compaction was reduced when organic carbon levels were elevated, regardless of soil textural class in the range loamy sand and loam to silty loam. Kumar et al. (2009) came to a similar conclusion for both sands and clays suggesting that there is a different level of organic matter in these soils that could achieve a target maximum bulk density. 25 The effectiveness of different methods of adding organic matter is however either very variable or unproven. Powlson et al. (2011) for example seem to dispel the widely held assumption that straw incorporation will improve organic matter levels, at least in terms of timescales of anything less than ten years. Similarly, Powlson et al. (2012) identified potential increases in nitrous oxide emissions as a result of reduced tillage. The use of green manures or cover crops to increase soil organic carbon has similarly not been proven or perhaps well researched, but Cuttle et al. (2003) conclude that turnover of young organic matter is vital for optimal aggregate stability. Azeez (2009) concludes that organic farming, which regularly uses green manures, has the potential to increase soil organic carbon by 28% in Northern Europe and by 20% globally. Although this sequestration is finite, the author argues that the next 20 years are the critical period when this sequestration will be required. An added benefit of increased organic matter in soils is the greater availability of nutrients released through bacterial and other processes. In many cases this has led to a reduction in the use of the three principal nutrients, N, P & K (Cuttle et al., 2003). Controlled Traffic This technique confines all traffic compaction to the least possible area of permanent traffic lanes. This definition prescribes neither the tillage to be employed nor the area of the traffic lanes, which are decided by the practitioner and the constraints under which they are operating. However, these aspects impinge heavily on the economics which will be determined by: the cost and timescale of conversion to CTF; the running costs of the CTF system; the return in terms of sustained crop yields. Taking the last of these factors first, crop income will depend upon: yield from the non-trafficked beds; yield from the cropped traffic lanes. Work by Chamen & Audsley (1993) considered all these aspects other than the cost and timescale for conversion to CTF. In their definitive study of a rotation of wheat, barley, beans and oilseed rape (OSR) using the Silsoe Arable Farm model (Audsley, 1981), detailed account was taken of the rates of work, timeliness of operations, energy inputs and the transmission efficiencies of the different machinery involved, including both conventional and gantry tractors. The 6 m tractor-based nonplough CTF system (with extra costs of £57 ha-1 for chemical weed control) was found to be £18 ha-1 less profitable than conventional plough-based practice on medium soil, but £25 ha-1 more profitable than the same comparison on heavy soil. Gaffney & Wilson (2003) in their comprehensive desk-top study used a steady state analysis technique to calculate long-term average costs and returns for four different systems based on a five-year rotation in Australia. They included some of the implementation costs and considered reductions in field efficiency for the CTF systems as well as testing yield effects and input savings. Their cautious estimate of the benefit of changing to CTF based on a 3 m track gauge for all equipment was AU$32 ha-1 (£19 ha-1 at March 2011 prices). Kingwell & Fuchsbichler (2011) carried out a similar but whole-farm modelling approach to assess the profitability and role of CTF based on a 2000 ha dryland farm in Western Australia. However, results are very specific to the regional cropping systems, which contain a high element of pasture to 26 support sheep within what is otherwise a combinable cropping scenario. The model also divides crop responses to CTF according to soil types, with averages of +5% for sandy soils, +7% for duplex soils (loams over clays) and +9% for clays. Figure 12 shows that mean values of data collected from around the world (Chamen, 2011) do not wholly support these averages so some closer analysis will be needed if they are to be applied to conditions in England and Wales. In their work, Kingwell & Fuchsbichler (2011) found that CTF increased the profitability on a light soil farm by 53% and by 43% on a heavy soil farm. Although the greater profitability of CTF for cropping shifted the whole farm into this rotation, constraining cropping to 1571 ha as for the non-CTF farm only reduced profit by 1.8%. Much of the additional profit with CTF was due to yield improvements and cost savings. To a large extent the reduction in operating costs was associated with overlap savings brought about by the adoption of a ±2 cm GNSS compared with physical markers. Casual labour costs were also reduced by around 17% during harvesting operations because the auto-steer system allowed cheaper labour to be hired. These results are almost certainly an over-estimate of the increase in profitability but the authors reduced the advantages of CTF by 50% and still realised an increase in profitability of 23%. There are also a number of key points that this study did not address. Firstly it appears that yield benefits were not corrected for the non-cropped traffic lanes which are a feature of Australian CTF systems. Secondly, although mention was made of reduced draught of implements due to CTF, this doesn’t seem to have been included in the modelling. Thirdly, overlap savings have all been attributed to CTF whereas most of these gains are possible with less expensive GNSS systems that should now be part of best practice. In our analyses, all these factors will be taken into account. Figure 12. Percentage reduction in crop yields due to conventional traffic on different soil types (left columns, combinable crop responses, right column, root crop responses on loam soils) Interestingly, the authors consider in detail the constraints to CTF adoption because of the relatively slow uptake of a technology that would appear to deliver such large and tangible benefits. Those which might apply in England and Wales include the high entry cost and the fact that there are often long intervals between machinery replacements on farms and the relative complexity of ensuring proper matching of axle and implement widths. The cost factor is less likely to be an issue in European conditions because harvester and tractor axle widths are not generally matched (Stewart 27 et al., 1998). The added costs are therefore mostly associated with the auto-steer systems, which can generally be justified outside of a move to CTF. A further factor is an inability to trial CTF alongside traditional practice without committing to complete conversion. Without such detailed comparisons, it is difficult for the farmer to discern whether the modest yield benefits are actually attributable to CTF (Galambosova et al., 2010). Credible and reliable sources of information on CTF may also be an impediment as is the complexity of GNSS which suffer from an incompatibility between providers. Grazing: Stocking Rates and Timing Solutions Catto et al (1978) identified the installation of soil drainage schemes as a possible intervention to reduce or minimise soil poaching. This reflects the time of the study and remains a potential mitigation measure, if an unlikely one within today’s economic constraints. The more recent work (DEFRA 2007) identified a number of potential mitigation options within a range of different support schemes available at the time (Table 3). These are listed below: Table 3. Potential mitigation strategies for soil compaction from grazing systems (DEFRA, 2007) Scheme Code Option Type Ancient trees in intensively managed grass field Crop establishment by direct drilling (non-rotational) Maintaining high water levels to protect archaeology Influence Restricted access to trees reduces soil compaction Reduced impact of machinery use in wet weather HLS HC6 HLS HD6 HLS HD8 HLS HJ3, HJ4 Arable reversion to grassland Preventing erosion or run-off from HJ6 intensively managed improved Seasonal livestock removal on HJ7 grassland with no input restrictions EB1-EB3 OB1-OB3 HB12 Hedge management EE4-EE6 OE4-OE6 Restricted vehicle access along HE4-HE6 Buffer strips in intensive grasslands boundaries HLS HLS ELS OELS HLS ELS OELS HLS ELS OELS HLS ELS OELS HLS ELS OELS HLS ELS OELS HLS EJ1, EM1 OJ1, OM1 HJ1, HM1 EK1 OK1 HK1 EK2, EK3 OK2, OK3 HK2, HK3 EK5 OK5 Restricted access reduces poaching Reduced soil compaction, erosion and run-off Reduced soil compaction, erosion and run-off Restricted livestock access reduces poaching Reduced cutting frequency and therefore vehicle movement along hedgerow Soil protection Reduced soil compaction, erosion and run-off Take field corners out of management Reduced machinery activity (agrochemical application, cultivation) Permanent grasslands with (very) low inputs Reduced machinery activity (agrochemical application, cultivation) Mixed stocking Reduced poaching 28 The DEFRA 2007 report also identified potential remediation measures that could be incorporated into DEFRA’s Environmental Stewardship scheme. These are, extracted directly from the report: Match machine operations to the nature and condition of the soil: This is a major management tool for preventing soil compaction and reducing unnecessary traffic especially on wet soils, for example, by using umbilical systems to spread slurry in spring (Van den Akker & Schjønning, 2004). Adjust tyres, inflation pressures and loads: Soil stresses in the subsoil can be decreased by decreasing tyre inflation pressures, wheel loads and rut depths and by using wider, larger and more flexible tyres. For sustainable soil management only field traffic with wheel loads lower than the carrying capacity of the subsoil can be allowed (Van den Akker & Schjønning, 2004) Loosening of soil: Moderate compaction of surface layers may be eliminated by shallow loosening of the soil when the soil is dry enough. More severe cases may require ploughing and re-seeding. The use of slotting to improve grassland soil conditions and yield on shallow soil compaction has been shown to work well by Davies et al. (1989). However, Douglas et al. (1995) suggest that slotting may be less effective on grassland where compaction extends throughout the depth of the topsoil. Guidelines to prevent compaction occurring: It is difficult to generalise about dates for operations or specific stocking rates, therefore, the best approach to guidance should be similar to “if the tractor wheel or hoof sinks by more than x cm on average, then stop the operation” – such guidelines would obviously need a period of development, but the principle of leaving an informed decision to the operator rather than trying to set a list of general prescriptions is likely to be the best approach. An example of this is that schemes currently require some operations such as hay making to be conducted each year for a certain level of grazing. However in a year like 2007 which was wetter than average, the manager should have the option not to follow the prescription on the basis of potential damage to soil, without risking a penalty. Maintenance of good surface drainage: One of the most effective measures to increase soil strength is by improving drainage. Improving soil drainage will both reduce the risk of compaction and extend the time frame over which the land can be used as pasture or driven on. This can be as simple as clearing out ditches or installing subsurface drainage. In heavier clay loam soils shallow moling below the depth of compaction may be possible. The current HLS guidelines appear to discourage drainage work, (HK6 stipulates “no new drainage”) but maintenance of good surface drainage infrastructure is also important in many ways for biodiversity. It should therefore be actively encouraged by the ES schemes because it is also beneficial in terms of preventing compaction and therefore a win-win situation. In the RASE study (RASE, 2012) 75% of the 17% respondents identifying drainage problems had identified crop or livestock management challenges as a result and particularly those in the North West, North East and East Midlands. Biodiversity monitoring and responsive management: If an area of a field begins to lose its plant diversity as a result of heavy trafficking, then a plan should be developed to limit the damage either by reducing the traffic, or failing that to restrict it to a defined area. Adaptive management where compaction has occurred: If soil wetness is being managed under an HLS scheme, it would be necessary to offset the lowered hydraulic conductivity of the soil either with closer-spaced grips or similar features or via tighter control of water levels in water courses (particularly relevant to grazing marsh options). 29 Reduce or prevent treading damage: Suggested strategies for reducing or preventing treading damage include: reducing treading intensity (Drewry, 2003; Drewry & Paton, 2000), excluding animals (Greenwood et al., 1998; Stephenson & Veigel, 1987), removing animals for several rotations and using the pasture for silage (Drewry & Paton, 2000), when soils are wet, the numbers of livestock per unit area or the time spent on the field should be reduced, reducing stocking densities by either increasing grassland area or reducing livestock numbers (Mulholland & Fullen, 1991). The use of slatted flooring for either indoor or outdoor use can be a means of removing sheep from fields when soils become vulnerable. These raised flooring systems can accommodate between 0.7 and 0.9 sheep per square metre with a cost of around £45 per head for the flooring materials. These systems make it easier to manage sheep during lambing and those using the system have claimed higher stocking rates as a result of less over-winter soil damage and greater pasture productivity in the spring. Use of plant species: Plants with desirable rooting characteristics can enhance the structure of soils (e.g. Macleod et al. (in press)) Use water management to encourage soil shrink-swelling leading to re-structuring: e.g. Spoor, 2000 Remediation of diffuse pollution from compacted grasslands: This can be tackled using 3 approaches: controlling sources, restricting pathways and/or protecting potential receptors. We had hoped to use data from Defra project BD5001 that is investigating different mitigation strategies to decrease the impact of compaction on grasslands. However, the first set of reports from this project were not available as they were awaiting final edits from Defra before being released. Overview of Available Hard Data We found a large amount of evidence on the threat posed by soil compaction and the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. Climate, soil type and farm typology were large drivers of the threat of soil compaction to farm gate income through losses in yield or grazing access. Mitigation strategies also vary considerably in effectiveness depending on the extent and depth of compaction, climate and soil type. To some extent top soils with adequate levels of organic matter have a natural resilience to compaction whose repair takes several years, whereas subsoil compaction persists and causes a long-term yield penalty. Sub-soiling was reviewed to be less effective than perceived by many farmers other than when used on highly degraded soils or when no further traffic in anticipated for an extended period. Force of habit is probably responsible for continuation of non-targetted sub-soiling as a long-standing practice, with farmers unaware of its ineffectiveness and cost. Environmental costs and benefits (in terms of changes to environmental loadings) of soil compaction were more difficult to ascertain. No clear evidence of an impact on biodiversity could be found. Greenhouse gas emissions are likely to increase as a result of soil compaction, as are nutrient losses and run-off due to poor infiltration and decreased water holding capacity. 30 Industry and Farm Specific Economic Information Introduction The aim of the work reported in this section was to elicit as much information as possible from the industry, (mostly farmers), to determine on-farm strategy and costs associated with soil compaction mitigation, management or taking no action. To a large extent this involved visiting farms, most of which were a cross-section of those who have or are converting to controlled traffic farming. These farmers in particular are aware of soil compaction issues and therefore have a clearer picture than most about its cost and inconvenience to them. Of these farms, those on the soils identified in Table 1 were targeted but where these were unavailable, contacts were established and visits made to enable us to fill these gaps. Additionally, observations of farming practice in some regions were used as an adjunct or alternative to more detailed information. Table 5 lists the farms visited together with typology information (see also Appendix). Farm types are based on those listed in Table 4 while “area” is the area of land predominantly under the farm’s control. Table 4. Land use and farm typologies targeted in the study Farm type (and crop) Cereals (winter wheat) Location Soil code and dominant soil type 711r, typical stagnogley soil Extensive soil unit in Eastern England General cropping (potatoes) Lincolnshire/Norfolk/Cambridgeshire 851a, clayey humic alluvial gley soil Cereals (spring barley) Hampshire/Yorkshire Dairy (primarily grass (75%), remainder crops and ley) Grazing livestock (Lowland) (primarily Cornwall/Devon/Wales 343h, brown rendzinas over chalk Extensive unit in Southern England, local occurrences elsewhere including east Yorkshire 541j typical brown earths Extensive in SW England and Wales 541j typical brown earths Extensive in SW Lincolnshire/ Norfolk Cornwall/Devon/Wales 31 Main soil features Sandy clay loam or clay loam surface horizon, subsoil becomes more clayey with depth. Poorly drained. Silty clay topsoil, silty clay or clay subsoil Although classified as a groundwater gley, the water table is highly managed through pumping and ditchers and drainage is classified as well drained Silty clay loam calcareous topsoil (20cm) overlying bedded chalk at 40 cms Well drained Clay loam topsoil overlying clay loam subsoil. Well drained Clay loam topsoil overlying clay loam subsoil. Well drained permanent grass (85%)) Horticulture – Onions England and Wales Farm identified – soil type and coverage to be determined. Compaction mitigation Mitigation has the meaning of both alleviation and lessening. On the cross section of farms we visited, alleviation generally consisted of deeper than normal tillage, sometimes with specialist machines such as subsoilers, but also with conventional cultivators used at a greater depth. Table 5. Farms visited together with enterprise type, location and soil features Farm ID Ll Bd1 Ox1 Bd2 Gw Ox2 Hu Ha1 Ha2 Nf1 Su So Nf2 Ng Farm type Area, ha Cereals WW 1085 General 950 cropping Cereals WW 3300 Cereals WW 1175 Grazing/livestock 245 Cereals WW 500 General 850 cropping Cereals WW 900 Cereals WW 1200 Cereals WW 240 Cereals WW Grazing/livestock Cereals WW Cereals WW 760 1400 Location Lincolnshire Bedfordshire Soil code 711r 541(A) Main soil features As in Table 7 Ditto Oxfordshire Bedfordshire Gwynedd Oxfordshire Huntingdonshire 541j/616c Ditto Ditto Ditto Ditto Ditto Hampshire Hampshire Norfolk Suffolk Somerset 343h 343h 711r 711r 813e 851a Ditto Ditto Ditto Ditto Stoneless mostly reddish clayey affected by groundwater. Flat land, risk of flooding Norfolk 711r As in Table 7 Nottinghamshire 813b/572f Ditto In terms of mitigation meaning “lessening” we learned of subtle measures as well as those more commonly used. The latter included the lowering of pressures under vehicles through the use of rubber tracks or by using specialist low ground pressure or high quality tyres. Rubber tracks were stated by one farming company not to have the anticipated mitigation benefits and it is now looking at other means. A subtle strategy was associated with livestock and involved removing animals from the land at the onset of cooler and wetter conditions. Although this is commonly practised with cattle, farmers are now finding benefits from bringing sheep onto open or covered yards at the farmstead (http://www.stackyard.com/news/2008/03/jennifer/02_bateson.html). This change has resulted in more grass in the spring for both grazing and silage, reflected also in quicker lamb growth and a small increase in flock size. Winter feeding is easier with less machinery impact on the land. Equally, lambing can be better managed and is less time consuming. Increasing soil organic matter was another effective compaction alleviation measure brought about by longer term grass leys (5 years plus). In these conditions, compaction by cattle was much less noticeable, as were the tracks of machinery. However, where barley had been introduced for just 32 one year and grass was in the early stages of re-establishment, there was much greater evidence of compaction. Lessening of compaction has also resulted from the introduction of new technology in the form of “all terrain vehicles” (ATVs). In the past, farmers often used tractors to inspect their livestock, with consequential damage. The ATV is much lighter with relatively low pressure tyres thus reducing the potential for damage. A further subtle strategy lies in timing and better and more flexible equipment. Timing is all about good management that has every machine and material in place for all operations on the farm well ahead of when they are required. Having machines that perform as and when required relies on good and timely maintenance as well as attention to detail. Good management releases more time for field operations which can then be carried out in more favourable conditions. All the farms visited undertook some compaction mitigation measures. These are outlined in Table 6 together with an indication of their cost or cost base and potential return on investment. Particularly important in these calculations is the proportion of land on which these measures are taken. This was not always easy to ascertain mostly because the proportion varied from year to year in response to prevailing conditions. One compaction mitigation measure which is perhaps overlooked is mouldboard ploughing. Ploughing is undertaken for a variety of reasons one of which is to relieve compaction in the topsoil, but only a proportion of the cost can be attributed to this and the return on this proportion of the investment might be the generally higher level of yield achieved by plough-based systems (Patterson et al., 1980). Contractor’s charges for ploughing range from £49 - £55 ha-1 and farmer’s costs from £54 - £70 ha-1 (Nix, 2010) so an approximate 6% increase in yield of wheat for example, would be needed to justify ploughing on a compaction mitigation basis. 33 Table 6. Compaction mitigation measures undertaken on the farms visited and estimated costs and returns (see also Appendix Table 1A) Aspect Machinery Livestock Action Subsoiling Cost £56 ha-1 (Nix, 2010) Subsoiling tramlines £6 ha-1 based on 24 m tramlines Deeper cultivations Low ground pressure tyres D = 3.16ƿ3 -21.36w + 73.93d2 (see Milestone 3 report) [Use Vermeulen & Perdok, 1994 guideline pressures to estimate cost – 1.6-2.4 bar compared with 0.8 bar] Rubber tracks 45% extra cost compared with wheeled tractor (Nix, 2010) ATV in place of tractor Winter housing £8000 Extended grass leys Management Machinery maintenance Materials stocking Maintain status quo Building or yard infrastructure, manure disposal, drainage installation Cash crop foregone Return on investment Improved timeliness, reduced loss of soil and nutrients, possible yield improvement Improved ease and effectiveness of ploughing, no yield loss in tramlines Yield improvement, reduced loss of soil and nutrients Determine typical LGP versus conventional system cost versus 6% yield increase for spring crops (Vermeulen & Perdok, 1994). Less tracked area, greater pulling power, improved field access Improved labour efficiency, less loss of yield Extra labour over winter Improved productivity and stocking rate, potentially improved nutrient uptake Difference in cash crop foregone and extra concentrate bought in Improved timeliness and productivity Interest on capital invested Loss of yield, poor field access, loss of soil and nutrients Improved timeliness and productivity No investment but yield foregone 34 Costs and returns for mitigation measures The farm visits and investigations have provided a reasonable overview of the measures many farmers take to combat the effects of soil compaction and some costs were elicited from these visits. However, as was recognised in the project proposal, there is a great deal of uncertainty as to their national application. For this reason, the costs and indeed the returns will be assessed in more detail based on the measures identified in Table 6. Subsoiling First, although no farms visited could place a monetary return against the cost of subsoiling, anecdotal evidence, particularly from headlands, was that areas of water logging had been reduced as a result of subsoiling and there was less visual evidence of poor crop growth. This is perhaps where practice and research data diverge in that subsoiling trials will almost certainly not have been placed on the equivalent of field headlands. Some credence must therefore be placed on grower reports of poor winter and spring crop performance on these areas even though research failed to identify any consistent yield improvement as a result of subsoiling. The practice of subsoiling is firmly entrenched in the arable sector but the depth of operation has lessened compared with the ADAS survey of 1996 (ADAS, 1996). Now, claimed depths of operation rarely exceed 350 mm, whereas in the mid 1990s the range was between 310 mm and 500 mm. In addition, subsoiling has become more targeted, with concentration on tramlines and field headlands. Also of particular relevance is the practice of one pass subsoiling and sowing of oilseed rape. In effect, this is a deep loosening operation which is not immediately compromised by machinery compaction because the only subsequent wheeling in the crop is in the tramlines. Chan et al. (2006) report an 18% increase in yield of oilseed rape with this technique compared with sowing traditionally without loosening. Improved timeliness due to subsoiling The benefit of improved timeliness due to subsoiling is unlikely to apply every year or on every soil but in a wet season, could be the difference between getting a crop established or not. In general, the benefit can be measured in terms of crop yield from sowing more crop at the optimum time. This was found to be the case by Dickson and Ritchie (1996) when they compared the performance of different traffic systems. They found an advantage of 3-4 days but only for secondary cultivations, particularly those carried out in the spring, and only for the zero compared with reduced pressure and conventional traffic. Predicting actual returns will be based on soil type, crop and weather. The effect of sowing dates on the yield of different crops is contained in the data associated with the Silsoe Arable Farm Model (Audsley, 1981), examples of which are listed in Table 7. Spink et al. (2000) identified a 6% reduction in wheat yield for crop sown between the 8th and 21st October rather than earlier, which is line with the data from Audsley (1981). 35 Table 7. Timeliness yield penalties for different crops sown during different time periods (taken from Audsley, 1981) Time period Yield loss for planting and harvesting in the given time periods, % Wheat Oilseed rape Spring barley Potatoes Sowing 1–14 Jan 15–28 Jan 29 Jan–11 Feb 12–25 Feb 26 Feb–11 Mar 12–25 Mar 26 Mar–8 Apr 9–22 Apr 23 Apr–6 May 16–19 July 30 Jul–12 Aug 13–26 Aug 27 Aug–9 Sept 10–23 Sept 24 Sept–7 Oct 8–21 Oct 22 Oct–4 Nov 5–18 Nov 19 Nov–2 Dec 3–16 Dec 17–31 Dec Harvest Sowing Harvest Sowing Harvest 2 0 1 3 7 12 18 2 0 5 9 11 13 15 16 0 2 4 6 1 0 0 1 2 Sowing Harvest 5 0 5 15 Sugar beet Sowing Harvest 0 1 5 11 0 10 20 30 0 2 4 0 0 5 10 5 2 0 0 4 8 12 As Audsley (1981) points out however, it can be more profitable to incur large timeliness penalties if less labour is required or the crop is highly profitable, even if harvested late. Such farm-scale detail is outside the scope of this project, but the yield data do provide a basis upon which delayed sowing (the most likely soil structure effect) can be estimated. Of these, spring sown crops are the most likely to be impacted and a two week delay for spring barley is a reduction of 1%, while that for potatoes is 5%. As mentioned earlier, delays will only happen occasionally, but weather data could provide an estimation of their frequency. Figure 13 shows that spring periods of extreme wetness are relatively rare. 36 Figure 13. The ten wettest months in Bedfordshire since 2000 shown in mm total rainfall. (Source: Clifton Weather, http://www.cliftonweather.co.uk/index.html) Those spring months when rainfall was 30% or more above the ten year average in a relatively dry area are more common, as shown in Table 8. This will have an impact on the timing of the cultivation for and sowing of spring crops. Table 8. Spring months in Bedfordshire when rainfall was 30% above the 10 average Year Month Monthly 10 year 30% above average, mm average, mm 2000 April 34 95 2001 February 41 73 March 32 64 April 34 61 2008 March 32 73 These data are similar from arable areas further west in the country and suggest that on a national scale, improved timeliness due to subsoiling will be confined to extreme events but these events are becoming more common. Loss of soil and nutrients There are rather few data to support the premise that subsoiling reduces run-off and erosion, principally because rapid re-compaction of the soil has occurred due to subsequent traffic. Putting a monetary value on subsoiling is therefore difficult and can only be estimated. Certainly the effects are transient and only likely to last for the first 12 months after loosening and only likely to be of any measurable benefit on soils with a propensity for erosion, such as the South Downs. On soils of this nature, Evans (2002) isolated different crops in terms of percentage occurrence of erosion and volumes of eroded soil, as indicated in Table 9. Table 9. Erosion occurrence under different crops as a proportion of total erosion and volume of soil eroded. Crop Occurrence, % Mean volume of soil eroded, m3 ha-1 Winter cereals 42.8 1.85 Spring cereals 11.5 1.75 Oilseed rape 1.5 1.92 37 Evans (personal communication, Feb. 2012) also makes the observation that infiltration effects are not significant if soils are already saturated. Evans (2005) found in the 1980s that about half the erosion was in autumn sown crops and occurred when soils were saturated. In a later study Evans (2011) further refined this to around three-quarters of the erosion and runoff being when soils were saturated, meaning that around 25% occurred at other times. Frequency of saturation and duration are closely linked to drainage efficiency which is influenced by soil structure as well as many other factors. In this respect although subsoiling may improve hydraulic conductivity (Chamen, 2011), this may encourage transport of chemicals directly into the field drains. The ideal may therefore be an undisturbed soil profile with many interconnected but tortuous paths to the field drains. Such a profile might be anticipated with a non-compacted, little cultivated condition but quantification of differences in losses between these conditions and most traditional practice cannot be estimated without closely targeted research. Tramlines Tramline subsoiling is normally carried out to avoid the risk of yield loss because the new tramlines will not be in the same place. A conservative estimate of losses in these strips would be 10% and the most common tramline spacing is 24 m. With each track having a width of around 0.4 m, this equates to 3.3% of the field and the net cost would be around £3 ha-1 and yield benefit just 0.3%. Loosening tramlines may also be a precursor to ploughing. This eases the problem of excessive draught and plough stability created as the machine passes through these highly compacted strips at an angle. There may be some benefit in terms of seedbed conditions, but probably not measurable in terms of final crop yield. Headlands To estimate the return on investment in subsoiling headlands, there must be an assumption of avoidance of yield depression, and an estimate of 5% would not seem unreasonable. Headlands however take up a varying proportion of fields depending on their extent and field sizes. Figure 14 shows the relationship between field size and headland area, assuming different headland widths based on the size of equipment likely to be associated with different field sizes. These data relate to irregular fields that have headlands on all four sides, whereas rectangular or square fields tend to have headlands only at each end. From the “worst case” data shown in Figure 14, we can calculate the net field response to headland subsoiling. With field sizes from 2 ha to 100 ha, assuming 5% yield depression avoidance, net responses only range from 0.4% for the largest fields to 1.6% for the smallest. If 10% avoidance is assumed on the headland, these figures rise to 0.7% and 3.1% respectively. Data from Graves et al. (personal communication, 2012) suggest a more modest average of 5.4% headland area exposed to compaction based on a 12 ha average field size. This would indicate a further reduction in the effectiveness of subsoiling as a mitigation measure. 38 Figure 14. Headland area as percentage of field size assuming 12 m and 24 m headlands on all four sides. Reduced cost of subsequent cultivations Subsoiling not only loosens deeper in the profile but also reduces the strength of topsoil layers. This was clearly demonstrated by Chamen (2011) and is an accepted outcome of subsoiling. What is less clear is the effect of subsoiling on the draught requirement of subsequent operations, for example ploughing or non-inversion tillage. A key requirement is to relate implement draught to penetration resistance. Lapen et al. (2002) measured plough draught in relation to soil conditions on a clay loam, the results of which are shown in Figure 15. The clearest correlation seems to be between plough draught and penetration resistance in the 0 – 0.15 m depth layer, as might be expected with a consistent plough operating depth of 0.12 m. However, Figure 16 shows that these particular data when more closely analysed exhibit little or no correlation and cannot therefore form any basis upon which draught predictions can be made. An additional and opposing factor is the increase in rolling resistance that occurs on loosened soil. This could counteract any benefit from the looser conditions in terms of draught but is unlikely to also counter a reduction in depth of operation due to the magnitude of saving in this respect. 39 Figure 15. Map of plough draught and soil variables with the plough working at 0.12 m deep on a clay loam soil (after Lapen et al., 2002) Figure 16. Plot of plough draught working at 0.12 m depth against average penetration resistance in the 0–0.15 m depth profile. (After Lapen et al., 2002) Summary of subsoiling return on investment 1. Yield depression avoidance. a. Tramlines. 0.3% yield benefit across the farm 40 b. Headland remediation. 0.5% to 1.6% yield benefit for fields from 2 -20 ha and 0.5% to 0.4% for fields of 20 – 100 ha and applying to 50% of the farmed area. 2. Timeliness. a. Only likely to have a significant impact on spring sown crops. i. Cereals 1% net improvement in yield ii. Potatoes, 5% yield improvement 3. Soil hydraulic properties a. Reduction in soil and nutrient losses. Unable to quantify 4. Reduced cost of subsequent cultivations a. Faster ploughing. No definitive data b. Shallower overall tillage. See next section which provides a conservative estimate for this situation Deeper cultivations The assumption here is that farmers cultivate to around 250 mm depth to take out seedbed compaction rather than a maximum of 100 mm, which indicates that they have no concern of compaction. The cost of this in terms of implement draught can be calculated from the equation identified by Mouazen & Ramon ( 2002). This requires the key soil parameters of bulk density (ƿ) and moisture content at the time of cultivation (w). D = 1.6734ƿ3 -21.36w + 73.93d2 Taking soil parameters from Chamen (2011), the effect on draught of these two different depths of operation on a sandy loam and on a clay soil are shown in Table 10. These show that there is likely to be an increase of 90% on the sandy loam when the depth of operation increases from 0.1m to 0.25 m and a 120% increase on the clay soil. Table 10. Change in predicted draught force with depth on a sandy loam soil. Soil texture Depth of work, m Bulk density, Mg m-3 Moisture content, g g-1 Draught, kN/m Sandy loam 0.1 0.25 0.35 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.15 0.16 0.17 2.1 11.9 12.3 Draught increase compared with 0.1 m, % 229 486 These data are supported by a simple cost calculator that suggests more than double the cost when the depth of operation is increased from around 0.1 m to 0.25 m. Similarly, carefully monitored costs from a benchmarked farm (Ward, personal communication, 2011) suggested an increase of £13/ha, namely from £12/ha to £25/ha with this same level of depth increase. These data are further supported by those of Patterson et al. (1980) who compared the draught of ploughing at around 220 mm compared with 110 mm depth on three different soils over a period of six years. Energy requirements were consistently doubled on a clay loam, a silty loam and a silty clay loam soil with this increase in depth of operation. A return on the investment in deeper cultivations is difficult to quantify. Research (Chamen, 2011, Patterson et al., 1980) showed no consistent evidence of a yield benefit from deeper cultivations and the main anecdotal evidence from farms is a reduction in the amount of surface water. In many 41 cases this comparison is between farms that plough with much secondary cultivation, compared with those that expend 75kW/m width in cultivation passes that require only a cultivator drill and rolls to establish the crop. Field access and therefore timeliness is likely to be the main return on investment. This could be exacerbated by differences in crop growth due to water-logged conditions following sowing, but again are difficult to quantify. Summary of deeper cultivation effects 1. £13/ha additional cost 2. Tentative 2% increase in yield for both winter and spring sown combinable crops Low ground pressure tyres To determine the cost of operating a commercial1 reduced pressure system compared with the original equipment fitted to the machinery, the base specification of a number of tractors was compared with the best available tyres for that configuration. These differences are shown in Table 11 and indicate a modest increase in cost across the power range of 2.6%-3.6% of the tractor price. Return on this investment is likely to be realised in a number of ways, not all of which reduce compaction. The first thing to note is that the greater contact area of these tyres reduce rutting. By implication, reduced rutting means lower pressures in the soil but also spread over a wider area and particularly width. Where shallow tillage is employed, this extra width (20-25%) can result in a marginal increase in tillage energy rather than the reverse (Chamen et al., 1990). When the soil is moist lower pressure tyres can improve field access but may increase the risk of compaction. Most of the tyres listed in Table 11 allow inflation pressures as low as 0.8 bar (Vermeulen & Perdock, 1994; Michelin Tyre plc, 2010) with a load of around 5 Mg but with the largest tractor these pressures had risen to 1.0 and 1.4 bar for the rear and front wheels respectively showing that Table 11. - Additional cost of wheels and/or tyres to equip new tractors which allow inflation pressures of around 0.8 bar when in the field and on the road. Axle Nominal engine Standard tyre Optional Additional cost power, kW size lower Tyres, £ % of base tractor pressure tyre price size Front 420/85R30 600/65R30 980 155 Rear 20.8R42 710/70R38 2032 2.6 Front 540/65R34 600/70R30 1636 195 Rear 650/85R38 800/70R38 3703 3.6 Front 600/70R30 600/70R30 1988 270 Rear 650/85R38 800/70R38 3553 3.0 pressures are already being compromised to achieve transmission of this power. Similarly, on combine harvesters loads are such that even with 1050/50R32 tyres, the pressure required to support 10 Mg is around 2 bar and many harvesters have wheel loads in excess of this. Similarly with twin-axle grain trailers, there is not enough physical room to fit tyres that will reduce pressures below around 1.6 bar. From this analysis, low ground pressure systems that maintain pressures of around 1 bar are only possible across all operations on farms operating with smaller machinery. In 1 Commercial In this context means a system that complies with all road legislation and tyre manufacturer’s recommendations for loads and speeds. (Michelin Tyre plc) 42 wheel load terms this relates to around 2.5 Mg for haulage trailers and around 7 Mg for harvesters. In the case of grain harvesters, this would make them around 4 m wide in their road mode. Another option is rubber track systems. These don’t universally reduce topsoil compaction but can be relied upon to protect subsoils (Ansorge & Godwin, 2007 & 2008; Chamen, 2011). Retro-fitting tracks on tractors may cost £40,000 while original equipment on a 265 kW tracked tractor for example carries a list price premium of around 25% compared with the equivalent wheeled tractor of around 425 kW. In monetary terms, this is around £50,000 at 2011 prices. The price differential for combine harvesters is less because the tracks do not need to provide high tractive loads and the additional cost generally equates to around 10-15% of the purchase price of the machine. Translating these additional capital costs into a cost per hectare has been estimated from an average annual use for tractors, which according to Nix (2010) is 500 hours. Estimating an average work rate for all operations is difficult, but if the main crop establishment operations are assessed, an average of 0.75 ha h-1 would not seem unreasonable. For the tracked tractor, a 10% increase in work rate has been assumed to allow for differences in slip when operating. Depreciation for tractors of this size is based on 10 years useful life with 30% of their initial value being retained at the end of this period, during which annual repair costs have been 4% of the initial price (Nix, 2010). Table 12 provides an overview of these data and the estimated additional cost per hectare for a low ground pressure option. In reality, if the farmer wishes to run a rubber tracked tractor as part of this strategy, then a wheeled, albeit smaller tractor, is likely to be needed alongside it. Thus, the additional operating costs are likely to be in the region of £21 ha-1 for the tracked tractor combination and £3.58 ha-1 (£1.22 + £2.36) for a complete wheeled tractor system. In terms of return on investment, this will revolve primarily around additional yield. Research data suggest that this could be around 3% across different crops and soils. With average yields of around 8 Mg ha-1 and wheat price of £120 Mg-1, this equates to a return of £29 ha-1 and net benefit of £8 ha-1 for the tracked system and around £25 ha-1 for the wheel-based system. However, these yield and machinery load data relate to around 20 years ago with loads that did not exceed 5 Mg. Today many vehicles impose double that load with unknown effects on subsoils. Table 12. Additional costs per hectare for operating with low ground pressure equipment compared with standard machines, assuming 500 hours annual use over 375 ha, ten years life, 30% resale value, 4% of initial price repair costs and 5% interest on capital. Tractors 155 kW 195 kW 270 kW 425 kW 265 kW rubber track List price, £ Standar LGP d 113,793 116,640 146,601 152,153 186,032 191,573 169,000 220,000 Extra cost per annum Depreciation Repairs, ,£ £ 200 114 389 222 388 221 3570 2040 Summary of low ground pressure effects Assuming maximum wheel loads of around 5 Mg: 1. Yield improvement approximately 3% across a range of crops 2. Additional costs ranging from around £4 ha-1 to £21 ha-1. 43 Interest, £ 142 278 277 2550 Additional cost, £/ha 1.22 2.37 2.36 19.80 Controlled traffic There are a great deal of data from research and practice in different parts of the world that report significant benefits of conversion to controlled traffic farming, a system that confines all field traffic to the least possible area of permanent traffic lanes. These include yield increases alongside lower production costs and benefits to the environment. There is nothing controversial about minimising the area extent of machinery compaction; the crucial questions are; is it practical, sustainable and cost effective? Operating costs and returns Presently there are 25 farms in the UK that have adopted this technique or are on the road to adoption, these representing an area of around 12,000 ha. Most have been in the system for no more than two years, so data are still limited. Detailed information from one of these farms was used to calculate farm gross margins (FGM). These are the sum of the crop gross margins less rotational losses, timeliness losses for drilling and harvesting, labour, and machinery costs including fuel and repairs. This is equivalent to profit before deduction of fixed costs such as rent, office etc. Results suggest machinery cost savings of £178/ha and an overall reduction in costs of £43/ha. Similarly, this farm increased its profit margin by £75/ha (8%) without allowing for any potential crop yield increase. If predicted net field yield responses are included in this wheat/oilseed rape rotation, farm profit increased by 17% compared with traditional practice, representing an additional £87/ha due to increased crop yields. On a similar sized farm, initial calculations suggest a £12/ha lowering in machinery costs when it was converted to controlled traffic. These and the previous data are supported by an anecdotal report of cost savings of £100/ha with a 2000 ha farming operation. Assessing on-farm yield responses to controlled traffic has not proved possible because all farms have converted all their fields, meaning that no rigorous comparisons with conventional management are possible. Predictions must therefore be based on research results which are best calculated from the data shown in Figure 17. In practice an 8% increase in the yield of wheat on the non-trafficked beds will resolve into a 4% increase when a yield reduction in the cropped permanent traffic lanes has been accounted for. Figure 18 provides a possible scenario based on an 8% yield increase in the non-trafficked beds and different levels of yield reduction in the cropped permanent traffic lanes. 44 Figure 17. Percent increase in crop yield of different crops grown on non-trafficked compared with randomly trafficked soil (Chamen, 2011). Figure 18. Predicted net field yield of wheat for different trafficked areas within a controlled traffic system. Prediction based on chemical application tramlines at 24 m and different levels of yield reduction in the cropped traffic lanes compared with conventional practice. Consequential benefits Timeliness benefits are likely to be similar to those identified due to sub-soiling but in this case are derived from fewer inputs and extended field access due to firm traffic lanes and improved drainage on the non-trafficked beds. The return on more efficient utilisation of fertiliser is accounted for on the profit level in terms of yield but there will also be an environmental benefit “for the greater good” in terms of reduced diffuse pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. 45 Summary of controlled traffic returns on investment 1. Net yield increases in the range 5 – 15 % depending upon crops, other than grass, included in Figure 17. 2. Lowering of production costs in the range £10 - £40/ha, including no need for deeper cultivations costing around £25/ha 3. Consequential benefits resulting in improved timeliness valued at; a. 1% yield increase for spring barley b. 5% yield increase for potatoes Satellite guidance and auto-steer With traditional production systems the overlap between machinery passes in the field is governed by the skill and concentration of the driver. With tillage equipment, overlaps average 10%, meaning that 10% more of the land is run on than actually necessary. With drilling this percentage is lower because physical markers are used to provide guidance to the driver, but overlaps still range from 14% (Kroulik et al., 2009). High-level guidance and auto-steer systems cut these overlaps to well under 1% for all operations. The outcome of a 10% reduction in trafficked area (improvement in efficiency) in terms of fuel saving is around £0.7/ha but in compaction terms is difficult to quantify. This is because it is a different 10% for every tillage pass so a net reduction of just 5% might be more applicable; the return on this would be further fuel saving due to the smaller area extent of compaction. Chamen (2011) identified different draught savings according to depth of operation, suggesting an average saving of around 30% at 150 mm depth of operation in non-trafficked compared with trafficked soil. As the draught component of any tillage operation contributes about 75% to the fuel being used, the net saving in fuel per hectare for this depth of work would be 30% x 5% x 75% = c. 1%. An operation of this nature carried out at 8 km/h uses around 18 litre/ha of diesel2, which at today’s price of £0.65/litre equates to £11.50/ha. A 1% saving on this is just £0.11/ha. Summary of recommendations for compaction mitigation and management Mitigation 1. There is a good case for avoiding immediate trafficking following subsoiling and the benefits of this are demonstrated where oilseed rape sowing is combined with deeper cultivation. 2. An improvement in some soil hydraulic properties by subsoiling can be maintained despite immediate trafficking but these are unlikely to remain for more than one season. 3. Maintaining areas without traffic can give measurable benefits for at least four years. Subsoiling has been shown to avoid yield losses where extremes of compaction have been alleviated, such as on headlands, but there is little research evidence to suggest yield improvement where subsoiling is used in less extreme conditions. To some extent, this is considered to be due to subsequent rapid re-compaction from random trafficking. Management 1. Plough “on the land” with tracked vehicles followed by lighter vehicles on tracks or tyres, the latter having inflation pressures of around 0.8 bar. Similarly harvesters should be equipped 2 Ward Cultivation Solutions (http://www.wcs-farming.co.uk/) 46 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. with good quality tracks or tyres at the lowest pressure possible conducive with practical limitations. On land ploughing can be facilitated more easily with RTK auto-steer. Avoid running on newly loosened soil. If this is unavoidable leave as long as possible and use low pressures (c. 0.8 bar) and light vehicles. Consider sowing crops in combination with deep loosening rather than deep loosening followed by further cultivation and/or sowing. Consider adopting a controlled traffic farming system to confine all wheels or tracks to the least possible area of permanent traffic lanes. This is also facilitated by RTK auto-steer. Manage intermediate cropped traffic lanes to minimise crop yield losses. Consider auto-steer systems as a means of cutting down on the extra compaction caused by overlaps. Consider stock removal from vulnerable soils over-winter. This has the added advantage of easier management and potentially higher stocking rate due to better grass recovery. Only re-seed leys when a downturn in production efficiency can be clearly identified. Forage production is significantly curtailed by trafficking, both from immediate physical damage and due to compaction. Low ground pressure and/or controlled traffic should be considered. When re-seeding, minimise tillage to reduce organic matter oxidation and consider alternatives to tillage. Maximise organic matter content of soils by all available means taking account of nitrate loadings and any heavy metals which might be present in imported materials. 47 Development of Economic Cost Curves Measures to combat soil compaction are of interest since they potentially offer agricultural productivity and environmental gains, although their relative attractiveness need to be established empirically. That is, they will require adjustments to farming practices and such adjustments may incur costs as well as conveying benefits. Moreover, since both the incidence and impact of compaction are likely to vary across different types of soil, weather conditions, enterprises and farming systems, the balance between different management strategies is likely to vary depending on local circumstances. Such management strategies may, with some overlaps, be viewed as falling into three categories (Table 13, also Figure 1 earlier). First, compaction could simply be accepted as an inevitable (or unacknowledged) consequence of agricultural activities with no attempt made to address problems associated with it. Costs would thus relate mainly to on-site yield reductions and additional input usage, plus off-site environmental damage. Second, once encountered, attempts could be made to alleviate compaction. For example, the use of sub-soiling to mechanically and quickly reduce compaction or the use of alternative rotational practices to restore soil structure more gradually. Equally, the effects of compaction could be countered through adjustments to other aspects of farming practices within a given system. For example, increasing the use of fertilisers and irrigation to maintain yields, or the use of buffer strips to contain surface runoff. Alleviation costs would thus relate to the additional effort (training, labour, energy) and materials (machinery, chemicals) required, to be weighed against the benefits of avoiding some yield losses and some environmental damage. Third, awareness of compaction effects could prompt attempts to avoid or mitigate compaction occurring in the first place rather than adapting to its presence. This could involve the temporary (or permanent) cessation of agriculture on susceptible soils through the postponement (or abandonment) of particular livestock grazing and of cropping activities in favour of fallowing the land, diverting it to another enterprise or delaying the start of the enterprise (e.g. later turning-out of livestock or later planting). Although the costs of such land use change in terms of agricultural production foregone in the current year could be high, higher yields and lower environmental damage might be achieved in subsequent years. More generally, a flexible approach to the timing of activities and indeed the choice of agricultural land use - taking account of soil conditions – might be cost effective. Equally, alternative technological solutions could be deployed. For example, low pressure tyres, minimum tillage, zero grazing and controlled traffic farming (CTF) may all offer routes to managing compaction more effectively. However, in all instances, the investment and operational costs of altering farming systems need to be weighed against likely yield gains and reduced environmental damage. 48 Table 13: Possible compaction management strategies and example options Strategy Example Options Description Comments Endure compaction Depressed yields (and thus under conventional lower farm revenue) and management. higher environmental damage. No action Alleviation Sub-soiling, ploughing. Avoidance Low pressure tyres CTF deeper Attempt to reduce degree of compaction and/or counteract negative impacts through discrete management actions. Reduction in yield losses and environmental damage likely, but magnitude and duration of reduction may be limited whilst management actions incur costs. Sub-soiling without subsequent traffic management frequently futile in terms of crop yields. Attempt to avoid compaction and thus avoid negative impacts through management flexibility and/or wider changes to farming systems. Reduction in yield losses and environmental damage likely, but time profile of costs and benefits arising from systemwide changes may be uneven. Consideration of the costs and benefits of different strategies and of specific management options may be envisaged at different levels of economic aggregation. Initially, a focus at the enterpriselevel (e.g. winter wheat, potatoes, onions) may be appropriate since a pre-requisite for any further analysis is a sound technical understanding of how the type, intensity and ordering of particular management operations interact with compaction to affect yields, operational costs and environmental loadings. Enterprise-level analysis can be conducted relatively easily through partial budgeting and gross-margin analysis, drawing on standard farm management data supplemented by experimental and survey data to characterise farm operations. Given that the efficacy and duration of alleviation and avoidance measures are likely to vary over time, care needs to be taken to consider the time profile both of costs incurred (e.g. initial capital investment) and benefits achieved (e.g. rising, stable or declining yields), entailing the use of techniques such as financial discount rates or pay-back periods. However, an increase in the relative profitability of a given enterprise may lead to that enterprise expanding at the expense of another. Similarly, rotational patterns may be affected by the degree of compaction and its management. Hence a farm-level (e.g. cereals, general cropping, dairying) focus may extend analysis of costs and benefits by allowing for substitution possibilities and interdependencies between enterprises and their resource allocations. Similarly, assessment of 49 environmental loadings may be more accurate if account is taken of adjustments to whole farming systems rather than enterprises in isolation. Quantitative farm-level analysis requires greater modelling sophistication than enterprise-level analysis, typically involving parameterisation of interlinkages between different resources, operations and enterprises over time (e.g. a season or a rotation) plus an optimisation algorithm to maximise an objective function (e.g. farm profitability) by choosing between different enterprises and resource allocations. Finally, at the sectoral or national-level, aggregate changes to resource allocations across competing enterprises (and farm types) will have market effects in terms of the relative prices of inputs and outputs. For example, an expansion in the production of wheat for milling may lower its price yet raise the price of feed wheat – and such changes may have feedback effects on resource allocations. Quantitative assessment of such inter-linkages and possible feedback effects requires a market-level focus, typically through either a partial or (preferably) general equilibrium model that simulates market dynamics and production responses. Unsurprisingly, market-level analysis requires considerable volumes of data (plus a number of simplifying assumptions) to capture the complexity of market operations. For example, the demand for different commodities and the scope for substitution between different supplies of a given commodity (e.g. domestic and international) and between different commodities (e.g. different animal feedstuffs). A market-level analysis would also require information on the current distribution (both structurally by farm type and spatially by soil type) of compaction and farm practices plus the likely distribution and uptake of alternative compaction strategies. Unfortunately, notwithstanding clear evidence (see earlier sections of this report) on the existence of compaction problems, basic information on the incidence and effects of soil compaction plus on the distribution of current compaction management is insufficient to support formal market-level analysis. Similarly, in the absence of information on how a wide range of enterprises are each affected by compaction and how their inter-relationships might be altered by alternative compaction management, the scope for quantitative farm-level modelling and thus estimation of uptake rates is somewhat limited. Hence the enterprise-level is an appropriate starting-point for any quantitative analysis. Recap of cost categories Soil compaction inhibits plant growth, leading to lower crop yields. Compaction also exacerbates nutrient losses, including nitrogen leached into water and emitted as N20 to air. In addition, compacted soils are harder to pull tillage implements through meaning that cultivation operations consume greater quantities of fuel than would otherwise be required. All of these effects impact on farm productivity and financial returns. For example, lower yields equate to lower revenues whilst nutrient losses and increased fuel usage impose higher costs. At the same time, nutrient losses and higher fuel usage also impose off-farm environmental costs in terms of water pollution and green house gas emissions. Management responses to soil compaction offer the possibility of partially or wholly mitigating these negative effects, either through alleviating compaction once it has occurred or avoiding causing compaction in the first place. However, such management options themselves incur costs that need to be considered alongside any reductions in negative impacts arising from compaction. 50 Attempting to quantify the cost-effectiveness of different management options in addressing the various negative impacts of compaction requires several specific pieces of information regarding the effects of both compaction and the efficacy of management options in addressing these effects. Moreover, it is desirable to differentiate effects and management efficacy across different circumstances. Unfortunately, notwithstanding general consensus in the literature and amongst experts regarding the nature of compaction effects and their mitigation, detailed data sufficient to differentiate across different soil types or weather conditions, or indeed across different farming systems and managerial abilities, remain scarce. Consequently, attempting to estimate cost-effectiveness, even for purely illustrative purposes, requires deploying a number of assumptions. The following sections outline briefly the main assumptions used and the sensitivity of final results to variation in the assumptions. Although cost curves are presented for potatoes and onions, only the winter wheat example is presented in detail here since the same process was followed for each, and the same issue arise for each. A winter wheat example Wheat is the dominant cereal crop in England and Wales, accounting for around 1.8m ha of the 2.5m ha under cereals (AHDB HGCA planting survey 2011)3. Within this, autumn sown “winter” wheat is most common since it achieves higher yields than spring sown varieties. Yields vary slightly between years, locations (i.e. soil types), position within a crop rotation and whether the grain is intended for milling or animal feed purposes. The extent of wheat production means that a variety of soils are covered, both heavy and light. Although the operational practicalities of winter wheat production will vary across different farms, locations and years. A stylised plan is shown in Table 14: Table 14 – Typical winter wheat field operations over the year for rigourous non-inversion tillage. Month Operation October November March April Cultivation and drilling Weed and aphid control Fertiliser top-dressing Fertiliser top-dressing Weed control May Weed and disease control June Disease control August Harvesting Seed rates are typically around 175 kg/ha and nitrogen applications around 200 kg/ha. Machinery used can vary greatly, partly depending on soil type, but tractor power of 0.75 kW/ha to 1.4kW/ha (Nix, 2010: p191) implies typical tractor power requirements of around 75kW to 140kW.4 3 http://www.hgca.com/document.aspx?fn=load&media_id=7077&publicationId=100 Estimated on basis that average cereal area on cereal farms is c.140ha (inferred from Defra’S census on-line tables) and wheat accounts for 70% of this. Nix (2011, p191) reports average power of 107kw for current tractor sales. 4 51 This list suggests a relatively large number of field operations and the potential risk of significant compaction. However, quantifying this and estimating the impact of alternative management responses necessarily invokes a number of assumptions and some uncertainty. Baseline yields, compaction penalties & mitigation effects Reflecting differences in site conditions and management, yields of winter wheat vary spatially across farms and also over time. However, site conditions and management regimes are seldom recorded routinely alongside reported yields, meaning that parameterising yield variation to soil type is not easy. For the purposes of this exercise, baseline yields for winter wheat on different soil types have been taken from a parallel Defra project on the costs of soil degradation. Specifically, yields per hectare of 10.2t, 9.0t, 7.7t and 8.0t have been assumed for, respectively, clay, silt, sand and peat soils (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012). These are assumed to be achieved under a conventional farming system using typical levels of inputs as outlined in, for example, Nix (2011). Variation in management practices and input intensity across different soils has not been considered. Against these assumed baseline yields, compaction – if not addressed – is assumed to impose a per hectare yield penalty of 2.5% on clay and 2.0% on other soil types. This is based on a conservative interpretation of the literature and findings from the farm visits, and allows for higher pro rata penalties on compacted areas within a field but lower pro rata losses on uncompacted areas. The baseline yields and yield penalties give per hectare output losses below the baseline of 0.26t, 0.18t, 0.15t and 0.16t respectively on clay, silt, sand and peat. Both baseline yields and percentage yield penalties might be expected to vary with, for example, weather conditions so Table 15 shows how such variation could alter output losses. Higher baseline yields and/or higher percentage penalties imply higher physical output losses. Table 15 - Physical yield loss under different baseline yields and different percentage penalties5. Crudely, clay soils will lie to the right of the Table, silts and peat in the middle, and sands to the left – although local conditions and variable weather will also play a role. Yield penalty (% of baseline) 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 1.0 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 2.5 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.25 5.0 0.35 0.38 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.50 Baseline yield (t/ha) 5 This Table and other Tables in this section show the effect of varying one or two baseline parameter values whilst holding all others constant. 52 7.5 0.53 0.56 0.60 0.64 0.68 0.71 0.75 10 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Note: Defra statistics show a rising trend for wheat yields over time, but with year-on-year variation. http://archive.defra.gov.uk/evidence/statistics/foodfarm/enviro/observatory/indicators/b/b11_data.htm Farm Business Survey data also show year-on-year variation, but also geographical variation between c.7t/ha and c.10t/ha http://www.farmbusinesssurvey.co.uk/databuilder/ In turn, the value of a given physical output loss will also depend on the prevailing market price for wheat. Here, a value of £118/t has been assumed – but Table 16 shows how different combinations of physical output loss and market prices affect the value of lost output. Higher yield penalties and/or higher prices imply greater lost output value. Prices can vary considerably, as described in the footnote on Table 16. As a globally-traded commodity, market prices for wheat can fluctuate from year-to-year. For example, prices spiked notably in 2008 having been considerably lower in earlier years. However, prices received by farmers will also be influenced by other factors including the quality and volume of grain produced and marketing arrangements such as spot selling, forward contracting and storage. Table 16 - Revenue loss (£/ha) for given physical yield loss and output price values (or equivalently the revenue gain for overcoming the yield penalty) Yield penalty (t/ha) Output price (£/t) 60 90 120 150 180 210 0.10 6 9 12 15 18 21 0.25 15 22.5 30 37.5 45 52.5 0.50 30 45 60 75 90 105 0.75 45 67.5 90 112.5 135 157.5 1.00 60 90 120 150 180 210 Note: Defra statistics show that wheat prices have varied by more than +/-100% around the current price of £120/t over the period 1984 to 2008, http://www.defra.gov.uk/statistics/foodfarm/farmgate/agripriceindex/ .The efficacy of management responses in terms of mitigating yield (and thus output) losses may be expected to vary across different management options, but also with respect to site conditions and managerial ability. However, in the absence of detailed data on such variation, efficacy has simply been assumed to be 100% for most options, meaning that the entire yield penalty is negated and the baseline yield is achieved. Only sub-soiling was assumed to be less than 100% effective at 84% on clay and 80% on other soils. Again, these assumptions are based on interpretations of the literature and findings from field visits. Lower efficacy due to, for example, technical weaknesses with mitigation options or poor implementation would lead to less of the yield penalty being negated. Tables 17 & 18 show how different efficacy rates could affect physical and financial outcomes. 53 Separately, the literature and findings from the farm visits suggest that some management options offer yield gains in excess of simply negating the yield penalty attributed to compaction. That is, some options achieve yields above the baseline by going further than alleviation measures in limiting compaction. Specifically, both low ground pressure tyres and tracks are assumed to achieve yields 3% above the baseline and CTF is assumed to achieve yields 5% above the baseline. Such additional productivity gains are also partially attributable to broader efficiency improvements that go beyond simply addressing compaction and are important since they affect the relative cost-effectiveness of options. Maintaining low ground pressure with tyres is feasible for loads of up to around 7 Mg, with modest additional costs, but above this, tracks must be resorted to, with tracked tractor equivalents costing around 25% more than their wheeled counterparts. Tracks for harvesters on the other hand, which do not need to deliver high levels of traction, have a cost differential of between +10-15%. Variation across soils, other than in the baseline yields, has not been considered, but Table 16 shows how different yield gains (i.e. yield penalties avoided) lead to different changes in the value of output gained, whilst Table 17 extends this to show how different base conditions and mitigation efficacy could affect other losses too. Environmental loadings associated with different levels of mitigation efficiency are shown in Table 18. K saving P saving N saving Diesel saving Yield gain Table 17 - Example physical and financial penalties avoided on different soil types under different assumed levels of mitigation efficacy. Efficacy 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% Clay 65 130 195 260 4.08 8.15 12.23 16.30 3.89 7.77 11.66 15.54 1.05 2.10 3.15 4.20 0.95 1.89 2.84 3.78 Physical units (kg/ha) Sand Silt 45 38 90 75 135 113 180 150 2.63 1.18 5.25 2.35 7.88 3.53 10.50 4.70 2.14 0.39 4.27 0.78 6.41 1.17 8.55 1.55 0.58 0.11 1.16 0.21 1.73 0.32 2.31 0.42 0.52 0.09 1.04 0.19 1.56 0.28 2.08 0.38 54 Peat 40 80 120 160 1.18 2.35 3.53 4.70 3.89 7.77 11.66 15.54 1.05 2.10 3.15 4.20 0.95 1.89 2.84 3.78 Clay 7.67 15.34 23.01 30.68 2.85 5.71 8.56 11.41 2.41 4.82 7.23 9.63 0.71 1.43 2.14 2.86 0.51 1.02 1.53 2.04 Financial value (£/ha) Sand Silt 5.31 4.43 10.62 8.85 15.93 13.28 21.24 17.70 1.84 0.82 3.68 1.65 5.51 2.47 7.35 3.29 1.32 0.24 2.65 0.48 3.97 0.72 5.30 0.96 0.39 0.07 0.79 0.14 1.18 0.21 1.57 0.29 0.28 0.05 0.56 0.10 0.84 0.15 1.12 0.20 Peat 4.72 9.44 14.16 18.88 0.82 1.65 2.47 3.29 2.41 4.82 7.23 9.63 0.71 1.43 2.14 2.86 0.51 1.02 1.53 2.04 CO2e from diesel CO2e from N20 Nitrogen Leached Table 18 - Example reductions in environmental loadings (kg/ha) on different soil types under different assumed levels of mitigation efficacy. Efficacy 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% Clay 1.32 2.64 3.96 5.28 48.17 96.35 144.52 192.70 11.00 22.01 33.01 44.01 Sand 0.73 1.45 2.18 2.91 26.50 52.99 79.49 105.98 7.09 14.18 21.26 28.35 Silt 0.13 0.26 0.40 0.53 4.82 9.63 14.45 19.27 3.17 6.35 9.52 12.69 Peat 1.32 2.64 3.96 5.28 48.17 96.35 144.52 192.70 3.17 6.35 9.52 12.69 The net cost of a management option is calculated as the value of any yield gains and reduced input (i.e. nutrients and fuel) usage less any additional expenditure incurred by the management option. In some cases (e.g. sub-soiling, deeper ploughing, stubble cultivating) additional expenditure was based on Nix (2011) but adjusted for different soils on the basis of estimated differences in diesel usage (see below). Diesel usage UK farming systems are highly dependent on fossil fuels, and diesel usage for field operations represents a significant on-farm cost whilst GHG emissions from diesel usage6 also represent a significant off-farm cost. Diesel usage for any given field operation is likely to vary with a number of factors including soil type and soil conditions, but also size and age of tractor plus operator skill. For example, larger and/or poorly maintained machinery tends to be less fuel efficient whilst style (e.g. depth, speed) and accuracy (e.g. degree of overlap between passes) of driver operation can also influence fuel consumption. Accounting for such variation is impossible without detailed farm-level information, but indicative figures in Nix (2011) suggest that a 120HP tractor consumes around 18l of diesel per hour whilst an 180HP tractor consumes around 25l per hour. Nix (2011) also gives indicative figures for how long particular field operations should take. For a conventional wheat system, field operations likely to be affected by compaction (e.g. ploughing) are expected to take around 1.4 hours (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012). Diesel is costed at £0.70 per litre (current price, March 2012) and is assumed to generate 2.7 kg CO2e per litre consumed on-farm.7 6 A Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) perspective would also encompass the GHG emissions associated with the production and transportation of diesel prior to its use on-farm, but a narrower on-farm perspective is adopted here. 7 A Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) perspective would also encompass the GHG emissions associated with the production and transportation of diesel prior to its use on-farm, but a narrower on-farm perspective is adopted here. Values of 2.6 to 2.8 are generally cited in carbon calculations, although (again) there is likely to 55 Given that clay soils dominate wheat production (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012) it is assumed here that the Nix-based figures will relate to clays. However, different soils impose different draught requirements and operations on clay will have higher fuel consumption than on silt or sand. Although variation in power requirements will also be affected by other factors, it assumed here that the relative fuel consumption figures are 1 for clay, 0.8 for silt and 0.6 for sand and peat. These differentials are based on limited information gleaned from the literature8 but give some plausible variation in fuel consumption across heavy and light soils. This variation in fuel consumption was also used to adjust Nix (2011) cost figures to reflect soil type differences for some mitigation options. Compaction will increase the power and thus fuel required to pull implements through the soil. As with overall fuel usage, estimating the additional consumption attributable to compaction is hindered by the number of possible confounding factors and a lack of data. Nevertheless, additional fuel usage is assumed here to be +87% on clays, +60% on silt and +29% on sand and peat (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012). If it is assumed that the estimated fuel usage figures above include the effects of compaction, this implies that mitigating compaction could lower fuel usage relative to those figures. The assumed effectiveness of mitigation options in terms of overcoming yield penalties attributable to compaction were specified above as 100% for most options. However, the effectiveness in terms of lowering fuel usage will not necessarily be the same for a number of reasons. First, even if soil density is reduced through the mitigation action, other problems may arise that require further action and fuel usage. For example, sub-soiling may bring clods to the surface requiring additional subsequent tillage activities such as heavy “pressing” and thus further diesel usage. Second, mitigation activities themselves may require additional diesel that partially or wholly offsets any savings from easier subsequent tillage operations. For example, sub-soiling is a discrete additional activity and, deeper ploughing requires more energy than standard depth ploughing. On this basis, and in the absence of reliable data, it is assumed here that only CTF offers a net saving on diesel usage and that all other options are neutral in this regard. . That is, all other options neither increase nor decrease diesel usage.9 In terms of diesel use for low compared with conventional pressure systems there are counter arguments. On the one hand shallow compaction (most important in terms of tillage energy) is increased slightly due to wider tyres impacting a larger area. In the example costs shown in Table 11, tyre widths on average increase by 17%, while rolling resistance is reduced by only about 10% due to the lower pressure (Stranks, 2006). Where track systems are involved in traction operations, a 10% reduction in slip is almost countered by higher transmission losses (Zoz et al., 1999). The fuel use has therefore not been changed for low pressure systems compared with conventional practice. By contrast, on the basis of evidence in the literature be some variation across different vintages, conditions and sizes of tractor. For example, see http://www.carbontrust.co.uk/cut-carbon-reduce-costs/calculate/carbon-footprinting/pages/conversionfactors.aspx or http://archive.defra.gov.uk/environment/business/reporting/pdf/envrpgas-annexes.pdf 8 For example, http://unctc.unctad.org/data/e83iia4b.pdf and http://ec.europa.eu/energy/renewables/transparency_platform/doc/article_19_2/19_2_denmark_en.pdf 9 For some options, such as sub-soiling or deeper ploughing, it is possible to use the same approach as outlined above to estimate discrete additional diesel usage arising from the mitigation option. However, since this is not possible for all options and the effect on subsequent activities’ diesel usage is difficult to specify, it is simpler to assume no net change. 56 and from farm visits, CTF is assumed to eliminate the additional diesel usage attributable to compaction. In fact, by reducing the number of field operations undertaken and achieving more efficient use of machinery, CTF probably offers fuel savings in excess of this but such further savings are not included in this analysis. Tables 19 & 20 show how the various fuel usage assumptions interact. To show how relaxing this assumption could affect results, Tables 19 & 20 show how the various fuel usage assumptions interact - confiming the earlier observation that GHG emissions are dominated by N2O. 57 Uncompacted Compacted Table 19 - : Variation in diesel usage (litres) under different assumed hourly consumption rates and work rates, with and without compaction 1.0 Clay 1.5 2.0 1.0 Hours per ha Silt 1.5 15 15.0 22.5 30.0 12.0 18.0 20 20.0 30.0 40.0 16.0 25 25.0 37.5 50.0 30 30.0 45.0 15 8.0 20 Litres per hour 1.0 Sand or Peat 1.5 2.0 24.0 9.0 13.5 18.0 24.0 32.0 12.0 18.0 24.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 15.0 22.5 30.0 60.0 24.0 36.0 48.0 18.0 27.0 36.0 14.1 23.3 6.4 11.3 18.6 4.8 8.4 14.0 10.7 18.8 31.0 8.6 15.0 24.8 6.4 11.3 18.6 25 13.4 23.4 38.8 10.7 18.8 31.0 8.0 14.1 23.3 30 16.0 28.1 46.5 12.8 22.5 37.2 9.6 16.9 27.9 2.0 Table 20 - Variation in CO2 emissions (kg/ha) from diesel usage under different assumed hourly consumption rates and work rates, with and without compaction Uncompacted Compacted Litres per hour 1.0 Clay 1.5 2.0 1.0 Hours per ha Silt 1.5 2.0 1.0 Sand or Peat 1.5 2.0 15 40.5 60.8 81.0 32.4 48.6 64.8 24.3 36.5 48.6 20 54.0 81.0 108.0 43.2 64.8 86.4 32.4 48.6 64.8 25 67.5 101.3 135.0 54.0 81.0 108.0 40.5 60.8 81.0 30 81.0 121.5 162.0 64.8 97.2 129.6 48.6 72.9 97.2 15 21.7 38.0 62.8 17.3 30.4 50.2 13.0 22.8 37.7 20 28.9 50.6 83.7 23.1 40.5 67.0 17.3 30.4 50.2 25 36.1 63.3 104.7 28.9 50.6 83.7 21.7 38.0 62.8 30 43.3 75.9 125.6 34.7 60.8 100.5 26.0 45.6 75.3 58 Nutrient losses Compaction exacerbates nutrient losses through, for example, inhibiting uptake by the crop and facilitating leaching and denitrification. Such nutrient losses impose off-farm environmental costs in the form of water pollution and GHG emissions but also impose on-farm productivity costs in terms of the value of lost nutrients. Lost nutrients are valued at cost to the farmer of £0.62/kg N, £0.68/kg P and £0.52/kg K (Nix, 2011). Mitigating compaction therefore offers the possibility of both improving on-farm productivity and reducing environmental loadings. However, nutrient losses are highly variable over time and across sites due to, for example, weather conditions, the nature of nutrient applications (e.g. timing, intensity and form) and management practices. For the purposes of this exercise, nutrient losses attributable to compaction have been assumed to be 20% on clays, 11% on silt, 2% on sand and 20% on peat (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012). For the assumed baseline nutrient application rates, this equates to per hectare losses of N of 15.54 kg on clays and peat, 8.55 kg on silt and 1.55kg on sand. Of the total N losses, 34% is assumed to be leached and 4% emitted as N 20 (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012). N2O GHG emissions are multiplied by 310 to convert to CO2e. 10 Significantly, the relative GWP weighting of N2O means that it dominates estimates of CO2e arising from compaction and mitigation here – implying that improved estimation of fuel usage estimates would be of less analytical GHG emission value than improved estimates of nutrient losses. Table 21 - Illustrative variation of leached N (kg/ha) under different assumed N applications rates, rates of N loss from compacted soil and compacted area within a field. Nutrient loss rate 2% 2% 2% 5% 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% 20% 20% 20% 50% 50% 50% Compacted area 37% 42% 47% 37% 42% 47% 37% 42% 47% 37% 42% 47% 37% 42% 47% 150 0.38 0.43 0.48 0.94 1.07 1.20 1.89 2.14 2.40 3.77 4.28 4.79 9.44 10.71 11.99 N application rate (kg/ha) 175 200 225 0.44 0.50 0.57 0.50 0.57 0.64 0.56 0.64 0.72 1.10 1.26 1.42 1.25 1.43 1.61 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.20 2.52 2.83 2.50 2.86 3.21 2.80 3.20 3.60 4.40 5.03 5.66 5.00 5.71 6.43 5.59 6.39 7.19 11.01 12.58 14.15 12.50 14.28 16.07 13.98 15.98 17.98 10 250 0.63 0.71 0.80 1.57 1.79 2.00 3.15 3.57 4.00 6.29 7.14 7.99 15.73 17.85 19.98 As with diesel usage, an LCA perspective would also account for the GHG emissions generated in the production and transportation of nitrogen prior to application on farm, but a narrower on-farm perspective is adopted here. 59 Table 22 - Illustrative variation of CO2e (kg/ha) of N20 emitted under different assumed N applications rates, rates of N loss from compacted soil and compacted area within a field. N application rate (kg/ha) Nutrient Compacted loss rate area 150 175 200 225 250 2% 37% 13.76 16.06 18.35 20.65 22.94 2% 42% 15.62 18.23 20.83 23.44 26.04 2% 47% 17.48 20.40 23.31 26.23 29.14 5% 37% 34.41 40.15 45.88 51.62 57.35 5% 42% 39.06 45.57 52.08 58.59 65.10 5% 47% 43.71 51.00 58.28 65.57 72.85 10% 37% 68.82 80.29 91.76 103.23 114.70 10% 42% 78.12 91.14 104.16 117.18 130.20 10% 47% 87.42 101.99 116.56 131.13 145.70 20% 37% 137.64 160.58 183.52 206.46 229.40 20% 42% 156.24 182.28 208.32 234.36 260.40 20% 47% 174.84 203.98 233.12 262.26 291.40 50% 37% 344.10 401.45 458.80 516.15 573.50 50% 42% 390.60 455.70 520.80 585.90 651.00 50% 47% 437.10 509.95 582.80 655.65 728.50 The effectiveness of mitigation options in terms of reducing nutrient losses is likely to depend on a number of factors. For example, whether mitigation activities alone overcome water-logging problems and whether other changes are made to the nature of nutrient applications. However, for simplicity, the effectiveness assumed in relation to overcoming yield penalties attributable to compaction is also assumed to relate to nutrient losses. Hence, with the exception of sub-soiling, all options are assumed to eliminate the estimated nutrient losses. However, unlike for yields, no allowance is made for further possible productivity gains that may arise. That is, nutrient savings are capped at the estimated nutrient losses attributable to compaction. Tables 21 &22 present some variation around these assumptions. Illustrative Cost curves Using the assumptions outline above, illustrative cost curves were constructed first for winter wheat as an enterprise for which relatively good data are available. These curves were then modified slightly to consider potatoes and onions as other crops affected by compaction. Although the precise figures presented may be subject to considerable uncertainty, the broad patterns revealed are informative. Wheat For wheat, the changes in gross margin achieved under different management options are shown in Table 23. Although sub-soiling and ploughing are assumed optimistically to counter any yield loss attributable to compaction, they incur additional operational costs that outweigh the gain in yield revenue and savings in nutrient losses achieved. Hence they have a negative impact on enterprise gross margin. The ineffectiveness of non-targetted subsoiling does not appear to be appreciated by farmers, as evident from its widespread use. Assuming a lower (and more realistic) level of efficacy, 60 the effect on gross margins would be even worse. By contrast, by limiting additional operational costs and only addressing areas of concern rather than entire fields, targeted sub-soiling has a positive effect on gross margin – apart from on sand where the effect is more or less neutral. Assuming a lower level of efficacy would weaken this result, but the option would still rank higher than non-targeted sub-soiling or ploughing. However, avoidance options of using low ground pressure tyres, tracked vehicles or Controlled Traffic Farming (CTF) all deliver superior gross margin gains. This is essentially due to achieving higher yields and thus higher revenues – although savings on nutrients and (for CTF) diesel also play a role. The performance gap widens if alleviation options are assumed to be less than 100% effective. In all cases, the “best” results relate to clayey soils since these are characterised by worse compaction problems. Avoidance options outdo alleviation options by virtue of having lower option costs, higher ouput gains and for CTF only further fuel savings. Table 23 - Changes (£/ha) in wheat output, inputs and gross margin under alternative options Type Management option £/ha change Alleviation Sub-soiling (general) Alleviation Alleviation Avoidance Avoidance Avoidance Sub-soiling (targeted) Plough Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Option cost Clay £56.10 Silt £51.90 Sand £47.70 Peat £47.70 Input saving £12.49 £6.87 £1.25 £12.49 Output gain £30.09 £21.24 £18.17 £18.88 GM change Option cost -£13.52 £23.56 -£23.79 £21.80 -£28.28 £20.03 -£16.33 £20.03 Input saving £12.49 £6.87 £1.25 £12.49 Output gain £30.09 £21.24 £18.17 £18.88 GM change Option cost £19.02 £54.90 £6.31 £46.50 -£0.61 £38.10 £11.34 £38.10 Input saving £12.49 £6.87 £1.25 £12.49 Output gain £30.09 £21.24 £18.17 £18.88 GM change Option cost -£12.32 £3.58 -£18.39 £3.58 -£18.68 £3.58 -£6.73 £3.58 Input saving £12.49 £6.87 £1.25 £12.49 Output gain £66.20 £53.10 £45.43 £47.20 GM change Option cost £75.11 £21.00 £56.39 £21.00 £43.10 £21.00 £56.11 £21.00 Input saving £12.49 £6.87 £1.25 £12.49 Output gain £66.20 £53.10 £45.43 £47.20 GM change £57.69 £38.97 £25.68 £38.69 Option cost Input saving £0.00 £23.90 £0.00 £14.22 £0.00 £4.54 £0.00 £15.78 Output gain £90.27 £74.34 £63.60 £66.08 GM change £114.17 £88.56 £68.14 £81.86 Note: Assuming 100% alleviation of yield penalties and nutrient losses, with further yield gains under avoidance options plus fuel savings under only CTF. Hence differences in GM changes are driven mainly by relative changes to output values and the respective option costs. 61 Table 24 and Figure 19 show how changes in gross margin translate into the cost per kg of nitrogen not leached. That is, reducing compaction leads to less leaching of nitrogen but the cost of achieving this reduction depends on how the management option causing it has also affected enterprise profitability. All options reduce the level of leaching but since they have different effects on gross margin, the cost per kg not leached does vary. Specifically, general sub-soiling and ploughing incur costs per kg not leached whilst all other options (except targeted sub-soiling on sand) combine lower leaching with higher profitability – meaning that they offer win-win possibilities for farmers and for the environment. Lower efficacy assumptions weaken these results, but the avoidance options still dominate. The results for sand are influenced strongly by the low level of leaching attributable to compaction, which produces extreme results per kg. Table 24 - Cost per kg N leaching avoided from compaction mitigation under winter wheat Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Plough Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Clay £3 -£4 £2 -£14 -£11 -£22 62 £/kg N not leached Silt Sand £8 £54 -£2 £1 £6 £35 -£19 -£82 -£13 -£49 -£30 -£129 Peat £3 -£2 £1 -£11 -£7 -£15 Cost per kg leaching avoided £100.00 £50.00 Clay £0.00 Silt Sand -£50.00 Peat -£100.00 -£150.00 Figure 19: Cost per kg N leaching avoided from compaction mitigation under winter wheat Table 25 and Figure 20 show how changes in gross margin translate into the cost per kg of CO2e not emitted. Emissions are reduced by lowering net diesel use and by reducing N2O emissions. Although the volume of the latter is relatively small, its high GWP weighting means that it dominates the GHG emissions here. Again, results on sand fluctuate between extremes due to the relatively low level of emissions involved. Not all options reduce GHG emissions, notably sub-soiling and ploughing on sand and ploughing on silt. This reflects lower levels of emissions to start with meaning that savings are relatively modest whilst the extra diesel used by additional field operations more than offsets these. Again, N2O dominates estimates of CO2e arising from compaction and mitigation. On other soils, general subsoiling and ploughing do reduce overall emissions, but their impact on enterprise gross margin means that there is a cost per t. By contrast, low ground pressure tyres, tracked vehicles and CTF all have strongly negative costs per t. Hence, again, there is scope for win-win options for farm profitability and environmental quality. Table 25 - Cost per t CO2e not emitted from compaction mitigation under winter wheat Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Plough Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF £/t CO2e not emitted Clay Silt Sand £121 £578 -£120 -£80 £401 -£390 -£532 -£2,237 -£299 -£368 -£1,333 -£482 -£659 -£2,132 63 Peat £113 -£66 £70 -£291 -£201 -£399 Cost per t CO2e avoided £1,000.00 £500.00 £0.00 Clay -£500.00 Silt Sand -£1,000.00 Peat -£1,500.00 -£2,000.00 -£2,500.00 Figure 20: Cost per t CO2e avoided from compaction mitigation under winter wheat Using estimates of wheat areas on each soil type (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012), the GHG emission figures can be aggregated crudely to the national level. Table 26 below shows this. Table 26 - Total GHG reductions from compaction mitigation under winter wheat Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Plough Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Clay 145.3 206.4 39.9 250.6 250.6 307.8 kt CO2e not emitted Silt Sand 10.3 0 19.6 0 0 0 26.4 5.9 26.4 5.9 33.5 9.7 Peat 3.6 4.3 2.4 4.8 4.8 5.1 The potential savings is greatest on clays due to their dominance of the wheat area but also greater susceptibility to compaction. Conversely, the potential savings are least on sand due to its low area. Importantly, since each management option is addressing the same compaction problem, total savings cannot be summed down a column. That is, unlike mitigation cost curves produced elsewhere where different sources of GHG emissions are being tackled by different mitigation options, the options considered here are not additive in nature – once compaction on a given parcel of land has been addressed, the same savings cannot be achieved again by another means. Potatoes For potatoes, the changes in gross margin achieved under different management options are shown in Table 27. With the exception of deep inversion tillage, all management options achieve improved gross margins – essentially because then yields and yield gains are higher than for wheat. In the case of sub-soiling, additional operational costs are more than outweighed by the gain in revenue and savings in nutrient losses achieved. In the case of deep inversion tillage, no yield gains are 64 assumed and only a modest saving on fuel usage. However, avoidance options still outperform alleviation options. Assuming a lower level of efficacy would weaken this result, but the options would still rank higher than sub-soiling or deep non-inversion. In all cases, the “best” results relate to peat soils since these are characterised by the highest baseline yields and thus greatest changes in yield revenues. Table 27 - Changes (£/ha) in potato output, inputs and gross margin under alternative options Type Management option £/ha change Alleviation Sub-soiling (general) Alleviation Alleviation Avoidance Avoidance Avoidance Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep non-inversion Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Option cost Clay £56.10 Silt £51.90 Sand £47.70 Peat £47.70 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £1,102.50 £1,012.50 £922.50 £1,170.00 GM change £1,062.63 £969.53 £876.42 £1,138.53 Option cost £23.56 £21.80 £20.03 £20.03 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £1,102.50 £1,012.50 £922.50 £1,170.00 GM change £1,095.17 £999.63 £904.09 £1,166.20 Option cost £33.30 £30.50 £27.70 £27.70 Input saving £2.94 £1.89 £0.98 £0.84 Output gain £0.00 £0.00 £0.00 £0.00 GM change -£30.36 -£28.61 -£26.72 -£26.86 Option cost £3.58 £3.58 £3.58 £3.58 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £1,323.00 £1,215.00 £1,107.00 £1,404.00 GM change £1,335.65 £1,220.35 £1,105.04 £1,416.65 Option cost £21.00 £21.00 £21.00 £21.00 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £1,323.00 £1,215.00 £1,107.00 £1,404.00 GM change £1,318.23 £1,202.93 £1,087.62 £1,399.23 Option cost Input saving £0.00 £75.03 £0.00 £46.73 £0.00 £21.22 £0.00 £33.03 Output gain £1,470.00 £1,350.00 £1,230.00 £1,560.00 £1,545.03 £1,396.73 £1,251.22 £1,593.03 GM change Note: Assuming 100% alleviation of yield penalties and nutrient losses, with further yield gains under avoidance options plus fuel savings under only CTF. Hence differences in GM changes are driven mainly by relative changes to output values and the respective option costs. Table 28 and Figure 21 show how changes in gross margin translate into the cost per kg of nitrogen not leached. That is, reducing compaction leads to less leaching of nitrogen but the cost of achieving this reduction depends on how the management option causing it has also affected enterprise profitability. All options apart from deep inversion tillage reduce the level of leaching but since they have different effects on gross margin, the cost per kg not leached does vary. As with wheat, there are win-win possibilities for farmers and for the environment. Lower efficacy assumptions weaken these results, but the avoidance options still rank higher. The results for sand 65 are influenced strongly by the low level of leaching attributable to compaction, which produces extreme results per kg. Table 28 - Cost per kg N leaching avoided from compaction mitigation under potatoes Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep non-inversion Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF £/kg N not leached Clay Silt Sand -£207 -£343 -£1,705 -£213 -£354 -£1,759 Peat -£221 -£227 -£260 -£256 -£301 -£276 -£272 -£310 66 -£432 -£425 -£494 -£2,150 -£2,116 -£2,434 Cost per kg leaching avoided £0 -£500 Clay -£1,000 Silt -£1,500 Sand -£2,000 Peat -£2,500 -£3,000 Figure 21 - Cost per kg N leaching avoided from compaction mitigation under potatoes Table 29 and Figure 22 show how changes in gross margin translate into the cost per kg of CO2e not emitted. Emissions are reduced by lowering net diesel use and by reducing N2O emissions. Although the volume of the latter is relatively small, its high GWP weighting means that it dominates the GHG emissions here. Again, results on sand fluctuate between extremes due to the relatively low level of emissions involved. Not all options reduce GHG emissions, notably sub-soiling on sand and deep inversion tillage on all soils (due to assuming no effect on yields and therefore N20 emissions). This reflects lower levels of emissions to start with meaning that savings are relatively modest whilst the extra diesel used by additional field operations more than offsets these. However, emission reductions are achieved on all other soils and on sand by other options. Indeed all costs are strongly negative. Hence, again, there is scope for win-win options for farm profitability and environmental quality. Table 29 - Cost per t CO2e not emitted from compaction mitigation under potatoes Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep non-inversion Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Clay £/t CO2e not emitted Silt Sand Peat -£9,979 -£25,302 -£8,197 -£7,136 -£13,170 -£6,980 -£7,124 -£11,834 -£58,939 -£7,556 -£7,031 -£11,665 -£58,010 -£7,463 -£3,729 -£5,611 -£13,262 -£6,314 67 Cost per t CO2e avoided £0 -£10,000 -£20,000 Clay -£30,000 Silt -£40,000 Sand Peat -£50,000 -£60,000 -£70,000 Figure 22 - Cost per t CO2e avoided from compaction mitigation under potatoes Using estimates of potato areas on each soil type (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012), the GHG emission figures can be aggregated crudely to the national level. Table 30 below shows this. Table 30 - Total GHG reductions from compaction mitigation under potatoes Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep inversion tillage Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Clay 5.5 8.0 0.0 9.7 9.7 21.5 kt CO2e not emitted Silt Sand 1.2 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 0.8 3.3 0.8 7.9 3.8 Peat 0.8 1.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 1.4 As with wheat, the potential savings is greatest on clays due to their dominance of the potato area but also greater susceptibility to compaction – but the totals are less than for wheat since wheat occupies a much greater area. Again it is important to note that since each management option is addressing the same compaction problem, total savings cannot be summed down a column. That is, unlike mitigation cost curves produced elsewhere where different sources of GHG emissions are being tackled by different mitigation options, the options considered here are not additive in nature – once compaction on a given parcel of land has been addressed, the same savings cannot be achieved again by another means. Onions For onions, the changes in gross margin achieved under different management options are shown in Table 31. Although not as impressive as for potatoes, all management options (apart from deep 68 inversion tillage) achieve improved gross margins – essentially because the yields and yield gains are higher than for wheat. In the case of sub-soiling, additional operational costs are more than outweighed by the gain in revenue and savings in nutrient losses achieved. In the case of deep inversion tillage, no yield effect is assumed and only a modest reduction in diesel usage. However, avoidance options still outperform alleviation options. Assuming a lower level of efficacy would weaken this result, but the options would still rank higher than sub-soiling or deep non-inversion. In all cases, the “best” results relate to peat soils since these are characterised by the highest baseline yields and thus greatest changes in yield revenues. Table 31 - Changes (£/ha) in onion output, inputs and gross margin under alternative options Type Management option £/ha change Alleviation Sub-soiling (general) Alleviation Alleviation Avoidance Avoidance Avoidance Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep non-inversion Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Option cost Clay £56.10 Silt £51.90 Sand £47.70 Peat £47.70 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £600.00 £600.00 £600.00 £720.00 GM change £560.13 £557.03 £553.92 £688.53 Option cost £23.56 £21.80 £20.03 £20.03 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £600.00 £600.00 £600.00 £720.00 GM change £592.67 £587.13 £581.59 £716.20 Option cost £33.30 £30.50 £27.70 £27.70 Input saving £1.30 £0.77 £0.63 £0.35 Output gain £0.00 £0.00 £0.00 £0.00 GM change -£32.01 -£29.73 -£27.07 -£27.35 Option cost £3.58 £3.58 £3.58 £3.58 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £720.00 £720.00 £720.00 £864.00 GM change £732.65 £725.35 £718.04 £876.65 Option cost £21.00 £21.00 £21.00 £21.00 Input saving £16.23 £8.93 £1.62 £16.23 Output gain £720.00 £720.00 £720.00 £864.00 GM change £715.23 £707.93 £700.62 £859.23 Option cost Input saving £0.00 £42.13 £0.00 £24.33 £0.00 £14.22 £0.00 £23.23 Output gain £800.00 £800.00 £800.00 £960.00 £842.13 £824.33 £814.22 £983.23 GM change Note: Assuming 100% alleviation of yield penalties and nutrient losses, with further yield gains under avoidance options plus fuel savings under only CTF. Hence differences in GM changes are driven mainly by relative changes to output values and the respective option costs. Table 32 and Figure 22 show how changes in gross margin translate into the cost per kg of nitrogen not leached. That is, reducing compaction leads to less leaching of nitrogen but the cost of achieving this reduction depends on how the management option causing it has also affected enterprise profitability. All options apart from deep inversion tillage reduce the level of leaching but since they have different effects on gross margin, the cost per kg not leached does vary – but all are negative, 69 meaning that they offer win-win possibilities for farmers and for the environment. Lower efficacy assumptions weaken these results, but the avoidance options still dominate. The results for sand are influenced strongly by the low level of leaching attributable to compaction, which produces extreme results per kg. Table 32 - Cost per kg N leaching avoided from compaction mitigation under onions Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep non-inversion Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF £/kg N not leached Clay Silt Sand -£109 -£197 -£1,078 -£115 -£208 -£1,131 Peat -£134 -£139 -£143 -£139 -£164 -£171 -£167 -£191 70 -£257 -£250 -£292 -£1,397 -£1,363 -£1,584 Cost per kg leaching avoided £0 -£200 -£400 -£600 Clay -£800 Silt -£1,000 Sand -£1,200 Peat -£1,400 -£1,600 -£1,800 Figure 23: Cost per kg N leaching avoided from compaction mitigation under onions Table 33 and Figure 23 show how changes in gross margin translate into the cost per kg of CO2e not emitted. Emissions are reduced by lowering net diesel use and by reducing N2O emissions. Although the volume of the latter is relatively small, its high GWP weighting means that it dominates the GHG emissions here. Again, results on sand fluctuate between extremes due to the relatively low level of emissions involved. Not all options reduce GHG emissions, notably sub-soiling and deep non-inversion on all soils. For sand, this reflects lower levels of emissions to start with meaning that savings are relatively modest whilst the extra diesel used by additional field operations more than offsets these. For deep noninversion tillage it reflects the assumed absence of any yield gains and thus any reduction in nutrient losses, including N2O emissions. However, emission reductions are achieved on all other soils and on sand by other options. Indeed all costs are strongly negative.11 Hence, again, there is scope for winwin options for farm profitability and environmental quality. Table 33 - Cost per t CO2e not emitted from compaction mitigation under onions Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep non-inversion Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF £/t CO2e not emitted Clay Silt Sand Peat -£5,260 -£14,537 -£4,957 -£3,862 -£7,735 -£4,287 -£3,908 -£7,034 -£38,298 -£4,676 -£3,815 -£6,865 -£37,369 -£4,583 -£2,930 -£5,072 -£12,090 -£4,584 11 The magnitude of cost savings per unit of emission avoided is affected by both the volume of emissions saved and the gain in Gross Margin, leading to some very high per unit values when the volumes are relatively low. Interpretation of results may be easier if it is accepted that environmental loadings can be reduced at no net cost to farm profitability and the significance of different options is judged in terms of their potential impact on aggregate emission savings. 71 Cost per t CO2e avoided £0 -£5,000 -£10,000 -£15,000 Clay -£20,000 Silt -£25,000 Sand -£30,000 Peat -£35,000 -£40,000 -£45,000 Figure 24 - Cost per t CO2e avoided from compaction mitigation under onions Using estimates of onion areas on each soil type (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012), the GHG emission figures can be aggregated crudely to the national level. Table 34 below shows this. Table 34 - Total GHG reductions from compaction mitigation under onions Management option Sub-soiling (general) Sub-soiling (targeted) Deep inversion tillage Low ground pressure tyres Tracked tractors CTF Clay 1.9 2.7 0.0 3.3 3.3 5.0 kt CO2e not emitted Silt Sand 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.2 1.2 0.8 Peat 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 As with wheat, the potential savings is greatest on clays due to their dominance of the onion area but also greater susceptibility to compaction – but the totals are less than for wheat since wheat occupies a much greater area. Again it is important to note that since each management option is addressing the same compaction problem, total savings cannot be summed down a column. That is, unlike mitigation cost curves produced elsewhere where different sources of GHG emissions are being tackled by different mitigation options, the options considered here are not additive in nature – once compaction on a given parcel of land has been addressed, the same savings cannot be achieved again by another means 72 Discussion Despite a general consensus in the literature and amongst experts regarding the qualitative nature of compaction effects and mitigation options, detailed data sufficient to differentiate across different soil types or weather conditions, or indeed across different farming systems and managerial abilities, remain scarce. Consequently, attempting to estimate cost-effectiveness, even for purely illustrative purposes, requires deploying a number of assumptions. Hence, inter alia, it is necessary to specify the negative effects of compaction in terms of lower crop yields, higher fuel usage and nutrient losses. Equally, to determine the cost-effectiveness of different management responses to compaction, it is necessary to specify the efficacy of management in counteracting each of the negative effects. Assumed values for such parameters are subject to considerable uncertainty given acknowledged variation in site conditions both spatially and over time. Such uncertainties are amplified by variation in market prices for inputs and outputs. Nevertheless, it is possible to draw some general conclusions about the cost-effectiveness of mitigation options. First, the higher the yield, fuel and nutrient losses attributable to compaction, the greater the likelihood that any given mitigation option will be cost-effective, even more so if prevailing input and output prices are high. Second, the greater the efficacy of any given option at countering negative effects, the greater the likelihood of it being cost-effective - again more so if the negative effects imposed significant costs. Third, due to additional operational costs, alleviating compaction tends to be more costly than avoiding it in the first place. Hence options such as low ground pressure tyres or CTF are likely to be more cost-effective than options such as untargeted sub-soiling. Indeed, options such as CTF appear to deliver significant productivity gains at negative net on-farm cost – in which case adoption would simultaneously improve farm profitability and reduce environmental loadings. The validity of these general conclusions and the applicability of them to specific farm-situations could be tested by further empirical research. If options such as CTF do indeed offer win-win situations, apparently low uptake rates may indicate barriers to adoption such as a lack of awareness or confidence amongst farmers - suggesting behavioural change research already underway for other GHG mitigation options could usefully be extended to include soil compaction issues. Soil compaction and climate change Agriculture is both a contributor to climate change and subject to the impacts of climate change. Soil compaction on farms also displays this dual relationship with climate change. First, compaction risks and thus the need for management adaptations to address on-farm productivity may be affected by changing climatic conditions. In particular, although the type and condition of a soil affects the potential for compaction, all soils are more prone to compaction if wet. Specifically, compaction risks are highest when soil water content is at or above field capacity. Conversely, soils are more resistant to compaction under drier conditions. Consequently compaction risks and impacts identified in this report may increase or decrease depending on shifts in expected rainfall patterns. Although subject to some uncertainty, climate 73 change projections12 suggest that mean winter rainfall will probably be higher than currently whilst mean summer rainfall will be lower. This may suggest higher compaction risks in Spring and Autumn when planting operations are most likely, but lower compaction risks during harvesting periods. Given that compaction often occurs with the first few passes of heavy machinery, reduced summer risks are unlikely to offset higher winter risks. However, compaction risks will remain highly context-specific in terms of local soil types, weather conditions and management systems. Second, through impacts both on fuel consumption and on nutrient losses, soil compaction contributes to GHG emissions from agriculture. Precise quantification of this contribution is difficult, but it is unlikely to be trivial (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012). Moreover, given challenging targets for reducing GHG emissions, all GHG sources are subject to scrutiny. On the basis of the findings presented in this report, mitigation of GHG emissions attributable to soil compaction is both technically feasible and economically cost-effective. That is, with some exceptions, most management options deliver reductions in GHG emissions – mainly through reducing N2O losses from the soil rather than fuel savings, although avoiding compaction on large areas has the potential to reduce both. The precise estimates of cost-effectiveness are subject to considerable uncertainty and are sensitive to underlying assumptions, but the estimated aggregate GHG emission savings of up to around 350kt CO 2e from winter wheat production equate to around 0.7% of total agricultural emissions, 13 implying perhaps 1-2% across all arable enterprises. Moreover, unlike many other agricultural GHG mitigation options (Moran et al., 2008), the private net cost to farmers of adopting management that reduces emissions is negative. That is, there are win-win possibilities for simultaneously improving farm profits and reducing GHG emissions. If such management options are not being adopted, if compaction remains unaddressed, then options for policy support may need to be reviewed. Policy support for mitigating soil compaction The effects of soil compaction feed into several policy areas, including enhancing agricultural efficiency, reducing diffuse water pollution and combating climate change. Although this project explored technical and cost-effectiveness aspects of mitigation rather than policy measures, some general observations can be made. A wide range of policy mechanisms are available, but may be characterised broadly as incentivising, obliging or urging land managers to alter their activities – as carrots, sticks and sermons (Bemelmans-Videc et al., 2007). More detailed classifications break these down further into, for example: grants and subsidies or tax breaks; prescriptive and proscriptive regulatory controls, licenses and permits; and information provision, training and capacity building (Gunningham & 12 13 For example, see http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/content/view/1311/499/ See http://www.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/pb13622-ghg-emission-projections.pdf 74 Grabosky, 1998; Goulder & Parry, 2008). Each has advantages and disadvantages, although in practice some combination of individual policy measures is typically used. In cases where win-win opportunities for improving farm profitability and environmental quality are not being adopted, lack of adoption may reflect constraints on land managers’ behaviour arising from a lack of awareness or incorrect information and/or social considerations such as household or peer group approval on changing farming practices and systems. As such, further incentives in the form of grants and subsidies are unlikely to be effective at encouraging adoption since they do not address the root cause of the lack of uptake. Equally, regulatory controls may be resisted and – whilst possibly effective – may incur significant costs for land managers and administrative bodies ((Pannell, 2008; Barnes et al, 2009). Hence attention is directed increasingly towards facilitating behaviour change14 through supporting land managers by providing information and building (social) capacity. For example through, publicity campaigns, simple indicators of risk & success, provision of advice or training, demonstration projects and forums for discussion (Pannel & Vanclay, 2011). Such approaches may be merited in the case of soil compaction given the range of ecosystem functions impacted. However, support for encouraging the spread of best practice in mitigating soil compaction cannot operate in a policy vacuum. That is, agriculture is already subject to considerable policy interventions. For example, perhaps most notably, through the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) but also via regulatory measures such as the Water Framework Directive (WFD). Reforms to the CAP are currently out to consultation, but soil compaction issues could potentially be addressed through both Pillar I and Pillar II measures. For example, through inclusion in crosscompliance or GAEC, or via RDR measures aimed at improving competitiveness or agri-environment measures. 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To provide reliable cost-curves related to soil compaction mitigation, a subset of farm typologies and soil types for England and Wales were selected (Table A1). These met the following criteria: 1. Good coverage of agricultural land including geographic spread. 2. Major crop and grazing systems. Addition of potatoes as a root crop because of the unique soil cultivation and harvesting operations. 3. Inclusion of major soil types with a wide range of soil textures. 4. Availability of economic data, including overlap with economic analysis on farm done specifically for this project. Major drivers that can be assessed based on this subset include (i) influence of soil texture and drainage, (ii) cropping/grazing practice and (iii) mitigation practices. Given the poor availability of economic data on soil compaction and scope of this project, we opted for a smaller number of farm typologies than other economic studies (e.g. DP-ALL - WQ0106). However, we feel that our approach provides reliable data on which to formulate policy with less risk of uncertainty due to the adoption of biophysical models and optimisation routines to estimate costs. Table A1: Land use – Soil Typologies Farm type (and crop) Cereals (winter wheat) Location Soil code and dominant soil type 711r, typical stagnogley soil Extensive soil unit in Eastern England General cropping (potatoes) Lincolnshire/Norfolk/Cambridgeshire 851a, clayey humic alluvial gley soil Lincolnshire/ Norfolk 15 Main soil features Sandy clay loam or clay loam surface horizon, subsoil becomes more clayey with depth. Poorly drained. Silty clay topsoil, silty clay or clay subsoil Although classified as a groundwater gley, the water table is highly managed through pumping and ditchers and Farm Business Survey (FBS) data is subject to confidentially restrictions and can be used once permission is obtained from Defra. 85 Cereals (spring barley) Hampshire/Yorkshire Dairy (primarily grass (75%), remainder crops and ley) Grazing livestock (Lowland) (primarily permanent grass (85%)) Horticulture – Onions Cornwall/Devon/Wales 343h, brown rendzinas over chalk Extensive unit in Southern England, local occurrences elsewhere including east Yorkshire 541j typical brown earths Extensive in SW England and Wales 541j typical brown earths Extensive in SW England and Wales Cornwall/Devon/Wales Norfolk 541a brown earths. drainage is classified as well drained Silty clay loam calcareous topsoil (20cm) overlying bedded chalk at 40 cms Well drained Clay loam topsoil overlying clay loam subsoil. Well drained Clay loam topsoil overlying clay loam subsoil. Well drained Well-drained coarse loamy and sandy soils over sand or sandstone Table A1 has been compiled based on an assessment of the overlap between different farming systems, crop types and soils. Where possible, map units and soil types that are spatially extensive have been selected on the premise that the results of the cost curves will be relevant and applicable more widely. We have found realistic scenarios of soil type versus cropping practices for which it is possible to generate case studies from direct interaction with land managers. This proved straightforward with winter cereals and grazing livestock (lowland). Spring barley is a less widely grown crop but DEFRA statistics at county level and information from the 1: 250 000 scale soil bulletins indicate a reasonable match between this map unit and areas where spring barley is a more extensively grown crop. Potatoes account for only 2.6% of all cropped land in England, so matching with extensive soil types is more problematic. Here therefore DEFRA statistics guided us to areas where they are grown more extensively and the relevant soil bulletin provided some detail on soil types. Horticulture posed the same problem but data can be obtained directly from producers using different technologies to manage or remediate the effects of soil compaction. 86 Appendix A2: Mitigation measures taken on individual farms and their estimated costs and returns Farm ID Ll Mitigation measure Estimated cost Estimated return Controlled traffic % area to which applied 100 -£12/ha Subsoiling Deep cultivations Deep cultivations 80 20 50% £56/ha £38/ha £38/ha Bd2 Subsoiling Converting to CTF 50 100 £52/ha £0 Gw Livestock housing overwinter Longer maintenance of leys Subsoiling Subsoiling Controlled traffic 90 100 Slatted yards Cash crop yield foregone 1 40 100 £56/ha £56/ha £-15/ha Subsoiling tramlines and some headlands Deep cultivations Subsoiling Medium depth cults Subsoiling Subsoiling Loosening below plough sole Subsoiling Controlled traffic 100 £3/ha Yield improvement and lower operating costs Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield and improved drainage 10% yield increase in OSR 6% yield increase, ?% reduction in costs Higher stocking rate, quicker finishing of lambs Less poaching and better grass yields Avoidance of wet areas Maintenance of yield Reduced inputs, increased yields 0.3% yield benefit Bd1 75 25 25 15 10 20 15 £38/ha £56/ha £30/ha £56/ha £56/ha £4/ha £56/ha Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield Maintenance of yield 100 £-43/ha £75/ha Ox1 Ox2 Hu Ha1 Ha2 Nf1 Su So Nf2 Ng 87 Appendix A3: Summary of general agricultural data sources. Data collected routinely under, for instance, the June Agricultural Census, the Farm Structure Survey, the Survey of Farm Production Methods, the Survey of Farming Practices, the Survey of Fertiliser Practice, the Pesticide Usage Survey and the Farm Business Survey, all provide useful contextual information. However, most of them deal individually with only one dimension of interest (e.g. land cover rather than management; specific management activities but not their spatial distribution) and differences in their spatial and structural coverage and reporting hinder combining them other than in an ad hoc manner. In particular, although some management information is provided, the level of detail is typically insufficient to identify how management practices vary spatially & temporally (i.e. by environmental conditions) and structurally (i.e. by farm size and type.) That is, neither the local (contextual) situation of farms nor the timing and intensity of all management operations are recorded in detail. Consequently specification of, for example, the power and type of machinery used, the sequence and timing of field operations or within-season responsiveness to changes often has to be taken from industry sources, experimental data and expert opinion - with aggregate patterns then inferred crudely from these in conjunction with the official data sources noted above. Data Source Description Comment Agricultural census Physical land cover and livestock numbers, by geographical area but also by farm size and type. Sometimes machinery too. No management information. Vague geo-referencing, although interpolation to grid-squares has been performed and overlaying with biophysical data could generate approximate cover x soil x weather combinations. EU Farm structure survey. http://www.defra.gov.uk/statistics/foodfa rm/enviro/observatory/crosscompliance/eu-farm-structure-survey/ Data on labour usage and age/gender/skill profile. Not really relevant. Farm Practices Survey http://www.defra.gov.uk/statistics/foodfa rm/enviro/farmpractice/ Data on (general) cultivation techniques and rotational practices. Not by crop or farm type, nor spatial distribution. EU Survey of production methods Data on tillage methods, soil conservation, manure storage and treatment and irrigation. Possibly machinery. Evolving from structure survey and will include geo-referencing. Survey of fertiliser practice http://www.defra.gov.uk/statistics/files/d efra-stats-foodfarm-environ- Fertiliser application rates by crop and farm type. Good information on averages, including timings. Some http://www.defra.gov.uk/statistics/foodfa rm/landuselivestock/junesurvey/junesurve yresults/ 88 information on variation. Not linked to soil type. fertiliserpractice-2010.pdf Pesticide usage survey http://fera.defra.gov.uk/plants/pesticideU sage/fullReports.cfm Detailed information on total and average chemical usage, by crop type. Not by farm type. Limited spatial information. Farm Business Survey (inc. occasional Special Studies) http://www.farmbusinesssurvey.co.uk/ind ex.html Detailed financial performance data for individual (but anonymised) or average farms by type & size. Little physical data i.e. on yields, input quantities or biophysical conditions. Vague georeferencing. Nix Farm Management Pocketbook Stylised management and performance data. Based on industry sources/expert opinion. Averages with some performance variation. No geo-referencing. 89 Appendix A4: Excel extracts for winter wheat, as an example – see spreadsheets for more detail16 Winter wheat assumptions Prices, input levels and emission factors Price £/t 118 Diesel £/l 0.7 N £/kg 0.62 P £/kg 0.68 K £/kg 0.54 Diesel l/havariable N kg/ha 185 P kg/ha 50 K kg/ha 45 CO2e/l CO2e/kg 2.7 (NB. Not on an LCA basis) 310 (NB. Not on an LCA basis) Baseline outputs & diesel usage Base yield (t/ha) Clay 10.2 Silt 9 Sand 7.7 Peat 8 Comment App F Table E4 Compacted area proportion 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 App H Table 5a 0.26 2.5% £30.09 £11.41 16.3 1 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 0.18 2.0% £21.24 £7.35 10.5 0.8 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 0.15 2.0% £18.17 £3.29 4.7 0.6 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 0.16 2.0% £18.88 £3.29 4.7 0.6 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 Yield penalty (t/ha) Yield penalty % per ha Yield penalty (£/ha) Extra diesel use (£/ha) Extra diesel use (l/ha) Relative power requirements N loss (£/ha) N loss (kg/ha) of which leached of which as N 20 P loss (£/ha) P loss (kg/ha) K loss (£/ha) K loss (kg/ha) #1 #2 #3 Table A4.1 16 Own estimates (Tim Chamen) Own estimates (Tim Chamen) @ assumed output price See note #1 See note #2 See note #3 Inferred as 34% of N lost, using App H Table 8 Inferred as 4% of N lost, using App H Table 8 See note #3 See note #3 Diesel use for field operations affected by compaction is assumed to be around 35l/ha on clay, 28l/ha on silt (=0.8 of clay) and 21l/ha on sand or peat (=0.6 of clay). For an uncompacted soil, the equivalent figures are 18.7l, 17.5l & 16.3l respectively. The differences give extra diesel usage attributable to compaction. Relative power requirements are taken as clay =1, silt = 0.8, sand and peat = 0.6. These can be used to estimat differences in fuel usage, but then also for variation in operational costs across soil types i.e. difference in fuel usage * unit fuel price. Nutrient losses will vary with from of application, other management actions, soil type and weather. However, Appendix H Table 9 suggests that losses attributable to compaction are (as a % of total applications) 20% on clay, 11%, 2% on sand and 20% on peat. Comments citing (e.g.) App F Table E4 refer to as-yet-unpublished Defra report on soil degradation (pers. comm., Anil Graves, Cranfield University, 2012) 90 Table A4.2 Sub-soiling (general) Nix (£/ha) £56.10 #1 Diesel use Efficacy Yield Diesel Nutrient 30 1 0 1 Clay Base yield (t/ha) 10.2 Compaction yield penalty t/ha 0.26 Compaction yield penalty % per ha 2.5% Compaction penalty avoided % ha 2.5% relative to penalty 100.0% Additional Yield gain t/ha 0.00 Overall output value gain £/ha £30.09 Additional diesel usage (#1) 30.0 Cost £/ha (inc. Diesel) £56.10 Subsequent diesel reduction l/ha 0.00 Subsequent diesel reduction £/ha £0.00 N loss avoided £/ha £9.63 N loss avoided kg/ha 15.54 of which not leached 5.28 0.62 of which not as N 20 Silt 9 0.18 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £21.24 24.0 £51.90 0.00 £0.00 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 Sand 7.7 0.15 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £18.17 18.0 £47.70 0.00 £0.00 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 Peat 8 0.16 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £18.88 18.0 £47.70 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 Comment From baseline tab From baseline tab From baseline tab P loss avoided £/ha P loss avoided kg/ha K loss avoided £/ha K loss avoided kg/ha Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/ha) Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/t) Impact on gross margin £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 -41.18 -4.58 -£23.79 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 29.33 3.81 -£28.28 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -144.10 -18.01 -£16.33 Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -111.70 -10.95 -£13.52 Own estimate (Tim Chamen) Needed for GHG calculations Adjusted for diesel usage difference Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Additional diesel. Sub-soiling is a discrete additional field operation that requires additional fuel. Although the cost of this is subsumed within the contractor's charge, the extra fuel usage is needed for GHG emission estimates. Estimated as 30l (for an hour of a 200hp tractor) on clay, adjusted for diesel usage relativities (see baseline tab) 91 Table A4.3 Sub-soiling (targetted, 42% of general) Nix (£/ha) £23.56 Diesel Clay 10.2 0.26 2.5% 2.5% 100.0% 0.00 £30.09 12.6 £23.56 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 of which not as N 20 Base yield (t/ha) Compaction yield penalty t/ha Compaction yield penalty % per ha Compaction penalty avoided % ha relative to penalty Additional Yield gain t/ha Overall output value gain £/ha Additional diesel usage (#1) Cost £/ha (inc. Diesel) Subsequent diesel reduction l/ha Subsequent diesel reduction £/ha N loss avoided £/ha N loss avoided kg/ha of which not leached P loss avoided £/ha P loss avoided kg/ha K loss avoided £/ha K loss avoided kg/ha Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/ha) Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/t) Impact on gross margin #1 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -158.68 -15.56 £19.02 Efficacy Yield Diesel Nutrient 12.6 1 0 1 Silt 9 0.18 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £21.24 10.1 £21.80 0.00 £0.00 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 Sand 7.7 0.15 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £18.17 7.6 £20.03 0.00 £0.00 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 Peat 8 0.16 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £18.88 7.6 £20.03 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 Comment From baseline tab From baseline tab From baseline tab £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 -78.77 -8.75 £6.31 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 1.14 0.15 -£0.61 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -172.28 -21.54 £11.34 Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Own estimate (Tim Chamen) Needed for GHG calculations Adjusted for diesel usage difference Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Additional diesel. Sub-soiling is a discrete additional field operation that requires additional fuel. Although the cost of this is subsumed within the contractor's charge, the extra fuel usage is needed for GHG emission estimates. Estimated as 30l (for an hour of a 200hp tractor) for clay, adjusted for diesel usage relativities (see baseline tab) 92 Table A4.4 Plough #1 £54.90 Diesel Clay 10.2 0.26 2.5% 2.5% 100.0% 0.00 £30.09 60.0 £54.90 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 of which not as N 20 Base yield (t/ha) Compaction yield penalty t/ha Compaction yield penalty % per ha Compaction penalty avoided % ha relative to penalty Additional Yield gain t/ha Overall output value gain £/ha Additional diesel usage (#1) Cost £/ha (inc. Diesel) Subsequent diesel reduction l/ha Subsequent diesel reduction £/ha N loss avoided £/ha N loss avoided kg/ha of which not leached P loss avoided £/ha P loss avoided kg/ha K loss avoided £/ha K loss avoided kg/ha Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/ha) Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/t) Impact on gross margin #1 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -30.70 -3.01 -£12.32 Efficacy Yield Diesel Nutrient 60 1 0 1 Silt 9 0.18 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £21.24 48.0 £46.50 0.00 £0.00 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 Sand 7.7 0.15 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £18.17 36.0 £38.10 0.00 £0.00 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 Peat 8 0.16 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.00 £18.88 36.0 £38.10 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 Comment From baseline tab From baseline tab From baseline tab £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 23.62 2.62 -£18.39 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 77.93 10.12 -£18.68 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -95.50 -11.94 -£6.73 Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Own estimate (Tim Chamen) Needed for GHG calculations Adjusted for diesel usage difference Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Estimate from Tim Chamen, relative to cost of normal ploughing. Diesel usage assumption as per sub-soiling. 93 Table A4.5 Low ground pressure tyres Efficacy Yield Diesel Nutrient #1 £3.58 Clay 10.2 0.26 2.5% 2.5% 100.0% 0.31 £66.20 0.0 £3.58 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 of which not as N 20 Base yield (t/ha) Compaction yield penalty t/ha Compaction yield penalty % per ha Compaction penalty avoided % ha relative to penalty Additional Yield gain t/ha Overall output value gain £/ha Additional diesel usage Cost £/ha (excl. Diesel) #1 Subsequent diesel reduction l/ha Subsequent diesel reduction £/ha N loss avoided £/ha N loss avoided kg/ha of which not leached P loss avoided £/ha P loss avoided kg/ha K loss avoided £/ha K loss avoided kg/ha Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/ha) Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/t) Impact on gross margin #1 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -192.70 -18.34 £75.11 1 0 1 Silt 9 0.18 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.27 £53.10 0.0 £3.58 0.00 £0.00 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 Sand 7.7 0.15 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.23 £45.43 0.0 £3.58 0.00 £0.00 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 Peat 8 0.16 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.24 £47.20 0.0 £3.58 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 Comment From baseline tab From baseline tab From baseline tab £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 -105.98 -11.43 £56.39 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 -19.27 -2.43 £43.10 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -192.70 -23.39 £56.11 Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Own estimate (Tim Chamen) Needed for GHG calculations Not Adjusted using diesal usage relativities (see baseline tab) Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Estimate from Tim Chamen, on basis of capital cost and assumed annual usage Diesel used is assumed to cancel out diesel savings elsewhere, so not net change. 94 Table A4.6 Tracked tractors Efficacy Yield Diesel Nutrient #1 £21.00 Clay 10.2 0.26 2.5% 2.5% 100.0% 0.31 £66.20 0.0 £21.00 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 of which not as N 20 Base yield (t/ha) Compaction yield penalty t/ha Compaction yield penalty % per ha Compaction penalty avoided % ha relative to penalty Additional Yield gain t/ha Overall output value gain £/ha Additional diesel usage Cost £/ha (excl. Diesel) #1 Subsequent diesel reduction l/ha Subsequent diesel reduction £/ha N loss avoided £/ha N loss avoided kg/ha of which not leached P loss avoided £/ha P loss avoided kg/ha K loss avoided £/ha K loss avoided kg/ha Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/ha) Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/t) Impact on gross margin #1 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -192.70 -18.34 £57.69 1 0 1 Silt 9 0.18 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.27 £53.10 0.0 £21.00 0.00 £0.00 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 Sand 7.7 0.15 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.23 £45.43 0.0 £21.00 0.00 £0.00 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 Peat 8 0.16 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.24 £47.20 0.0 £21.00 0.00 £0.00 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 Comment From baseline tab From baseline tab From baseline tab Own estimate (Tim Chamen) £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 -105.98 -11.43 £38.97 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 -19.27 -2.43 £25.68 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -192.70 -23.39 £38.69 Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Own estimate (Tim Chamen) Needed for GHG calculations Not Adjusted using diesal usage relativities (see baseline tab) Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Estimate from Tim Chamen, on basis of capital cost and assumed annual usage Diesel used is assumed to cancel out diesel savings elsewhere, so not net change. 95 Table A4.7 CTF Efficacy Yield Diesel Nutrient #1 £0.00 Clay 10.2 0.26 2.5% 2.5% 100.0% 0.51 £90.27 0.0 £0.00 16.30 £11.41 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 of which not as N 20 Base yield (t/ha) Compaction yield penalty t/ha Compaction yield penalty % per ha Compaction penalty avoided % ha relative to penalty Additional Yield gain t/ha Overall output value gain £/ha Additional diesel usage Cost £/ha (inc. Diesel) #1 Subsequent diesel reduction l/ha Subsequent diesel reduction £/ha N loss avoided £/ha N loss avoided kg/ha of which not leached P loss avoided £/ha P loss avoided kg/ha K loss avoided £/ha K loss avoided kg/ha Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/ha) Net impact on CO2e emissions (kg/t) Impact on gross margin #1 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -236.71 -22.10 £114.17 1 1 1 Silt 9 0.18 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.45 £74.34 0.0 £0.00 10.50 £7.35 £5.30 8.55 2.91 0.34 Sand 7.7 0.15 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.39 £63.60 0.0 £0.00 4.70 £3.29 £0.96 1.55 0.53 0.06 Peat 8 0.16 2.0% 2.0% 100.0% 0.40 £66.08 0.0 £0.00 4.70 £3.29 £9.63 15.54 5.28 0.62 Comment From baseline tab From baseline tab From baseline tab Own estimate (Tim Chamen) £1.57 2.31 £1.12 2.08 -134.33 -14.22 £88.56 £0.29 0.42 £0.20 0.38 -31.96 -3.95 £68.14 £2.86 4.20 £2.04 3.78 -205.39 -24.45 £81.86 Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Own estimate (Tim Chamen) Needed for GHG calculations Not Adjusted using diesal usage relativities (see baseline tab) Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Assuming same % avoidance as for yield penalty, capped by baseline Estimate from Tim Chamen, on basis that capital cost is no different to that for conventional equipment if replaced under normal replacment cycle 96
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