Temas Públicos www.lyd.org- Email:[email protected] Nº 745 - 21 de Octubre de 2005 Nº 745 - October 21st 2005 ISSN 0717-1528 ISSN 0717-1528 Market Concentration and the Economic Model In recent days, alarm has been expressed about the increased concentration of the Chilean economy and the negative repercussions that this could have. is possible to find highly efficient concentrated markets. The really worrying aspect, which affect small and medium-sized companies above all, are It has been stated that it is necessary to the barriers, often bureaucratic and regulatory reform the economic model and this is promotthat prevent and complicate the entry of new ing inequality by encouraging players into a market. These barrithe development of monopoers reduce the competitiveness of lies to the detriment of small our economy. Public policies ought The degree of and medium-sized compato be designed to reduce such barcompetition in an industry riers. nies. This is worrying as one does not measure the degree of competition in an industry by the number of players that participate in it. One cannot infer that increased market concentration in a certain industry means less competition. cannot be measured by the number of participants in a Market Concentration: A certain market. Market concentration is one of the Global Phenomenon necessary conditions for the existence of the monopoly or In the first place, we should a less competitive market note that this cycle of mergers and but it is not sufficient. increased market concentration underway in the Chilean economy is part of a global process. Market concentration is one of the necessary conditions for the existence of a monopoly or a less competitive market but it is not sufficient. What really reduces competition is the existence of barriers that impede the entry of a larger number of players. In the United States at the end of the nineteen nineties, for example, four supermarket chains controlled 74%of the market in the 94 largest cities1. Why has market concentration increased? The process of market concentration responds to a need within an industry for companies to achieve an optimum size. In fact, economies open to international competition require larger companies that can compete and survive in a global economy. As a consequence, it In this En estaedition: edición: Possible reasons include: • To develop economies of scale and of scope. An increase in size can lead to cost savings that occur through increased produc- Marketde Concentration and theEconómico Economic Model Concentración Empresas y Modelo The Creation of New Regions – from the Municipalities Creación de Nuevas Regiones, LeccionesLessons de las Comunas 1 Cuadro Nº 1 Posición en el Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 País Estados Unidos Alemania Gran Bretaña Japón Francia Suiza Holanda Italia N° empresas Grandes 48 10 9 8 8 6 6 5 GDP per cápita (US$) 35.750 27.100 26.150 26.940 26.900 30.010 29.100 26.430 Fuente: Informe CIEN junio 2005. " ¿Necesita Chile más Empresas Grandes?" tion (economies of scale) or that occur or become available by offering goods and services together (economies of scope). The CIEN study concluded that the number of large companies in our country remains low, given Chile’s per capita income. In consequence, the level of market concentration in our country remains low, relative to the rest of the world. It also concluded that the number of large companies (as categorized by the Forbes Ranking) needs to increase if we want to increase Chile’s per capita income to around US$17,000 a year. ¿Does increased market concentration reduce competition? • To achieve the minimum efficient size required in the industry. The rise of globalization means companies have to compete internationally and not just within their own countries. In order to succeed, they may require a minimum size that allows them to achieve the resulting economies of scale and of scope. This should lead to lower costs and lower prices for consumers. No. Competition should not be measured by the number of players that participate in the market but according to the existence of free movement into the market. A market is not necessarily more competitive if the number of competitors is higher. It is more competitive if there are no barriers which prevent new players entering the market and if there is a higher number of substitutes for the product. This ensures that those that offer the product in question cannot charge prices much higher than those charged by the competition or than the marginal cost of production over the long term. A study by CIEN2 showed that the one hundred largest companies in the 2000 Forbes Ranking were found in eight countries which had an average per capita income of US$28,5473 and all belonged to the OECD. Meanwhile, the 1,000 largest companies in this ranking were distributed between 43 countries, among them Chile (which was home to just one of the 1.000 largest companies). Within this group, 43 countries had an average per capita income of US$20,027, more than double Chile´s per capita income (US$9,820 a year) (See Table N° 1). Does increased market competition impede market competition? 2 charge less or because their product is superior. Graph N° 1 INDICE DE MARGEN GLOBAL 1,20 1,00 0,80 IPC/IPM 0,60 Seen from another point of view, greater market concentration and larger companies are necessary to achieve more efficient production, by taking advantage of economies of scale and allowing them to save costs and to pass on these benefits to the consumers. 19 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 20 00 20 02 20 04 0,40 Source: By the author. If increased market concentration is punished, companies could be penalized for operating more efficiently. The most recent empiric evidence supports this alternate hypothesis. Two theories exist in economic literature that attempt to explain the relationship between market concentration and competition in an industry. On one side, the Structure – Conduct – Performance theory (Collusion Hypothesis), which was widely accepted in the nineteen sixties, proposes that if an industry is highly concentrated, there are just a few or just one company with a very large market share, competition will be weaker in the market as these companies will control the market to the detriment of consumers. This theory began to be questioned in the nineteen seventies and little empiric evidence has been found to support the theory. The alternative hypothesis is known as the Hypothesis of superior efficiency put forward by Harold Demsetz at the beginnings of the nineteen seventies. This suggests that it is normal that in all industries some companies are more efficient than others, because they use better technology or produce a better product. These companies tend to dominate the market because they can If they have a cost advantage, charging a lower price means they can enjoy a higher profits margin. In consequence, increased market concentration and profits are the result of a cost advantage not due to monopolistic behavior. In consequence, it is not clear that a direct relation exists between increased market competition and reduced competition. On the Graph N° 2 Profitability of Sector (1997-2005) Source: IPOM September 2005, Central Bank of Chile 3 contrary, two companies with equal or high participation (around 70%) that operate in different markets can have more or less market power depending on other characteristics, such as: entry barriers to the market, the price elasticity of their rivals and the price elasticity of the industry’s or the company’s demand. direct margins calculated by the Central Bank of Chile5. This is the result of the high degree of competition that exists between a few players and which has benefited consumers. This is especially true in the case of the country´s supermarkets. Increased competition has led to lower prices while the sector’s profitability has The case of Chile fallen to just 9% (from more than 23% in 1997)6. (see graph N° 2). This is a return on Numerous mergers have occurred in profits that should considered normal for this our country in recent years. Sectors including sector and which has resulted in lower prices airlines, pharmaceuticals, bankfor consumers. They should ing, retail, etc have all underbe considered as the main gone some form of concentraOne of the criticisms that beneficiaries of this increased tion. has been made of the Chilean competition. economic model is that it It is noteworthy that in difEmpiric evidence in the case encourages greater market ferent sectors one or a handful of Chile does not allow us concentration, harming the of companies enjoy large market conclude that an inverse reladevelopment of small and shares. For example, in the tionship exists between marmedium-sized businesses. banking sector, three banks conket concentration and compeThis is a mistake. The problem trol more half of the market, in tition. On the contrary, in the is rather than barriers telecommunications, one combanking sector, for example, pany controls 75% of the market; complicate and slow the entry we see that the levels of conof new players into the among the chains of pharmacentration in our country are cies, three companies control market. This affects small and relatively low. around a third of the market medium-sized companies to a greater degree. each; the country´s two largest The study by Levine7 supermarket chains compete (2000), using data from 66 with each other and control more countries for the period 1980 to 1995 showed than half the market, etc. that there was no relationship between the degree of concentration in the banking sector and Is this a sign of reduced competition in negative results in terms of the development of the Chilean economy? This does not appear to the banking sector, the degree of competition be the case. On the contrary, on a global level, within the industry, the integrity of the political we can see that the margins charged to conand legal systems, economic growth and the sumers have not increased although the cost fragility of the banking sector. Meanwhile other index has risen. In fact, if we look at the evolustudies show that Chile’s banking sector is not tion of the global margin index for the Chilean considered as highly concentrated, according economy (see graph N° 1), we can see that to international standards. Three largest banks these have fallen in recent years. This means control 41.9% of the sector’s assets (following that the companies have become more effithe fusion of the Santander and Santiago cient as they have not passed these increased banks); this is significantly lower than the avercosts onto in consumers in the form of higher age of 68% in the sample taken (see table N° prices4. The same trend can be seen in the in2). 4 cessive profits. The problem in our country is that barriers exist that complicate and slow the entry of new players into the market. According to a study by CIEN8 Chilean companies take twice as long to complete the required bureaucratic procedures to begin operating. They must spend four times as much as their international competitors just to begin operating. They must carry out twice as many bureaucratic procedures. Table N° 2 CONCENTRATION IN EUROPEAN BANKING (Market share of the three largest banks Austria 74.7% 83.2% Belgium 85.3% Switzerland Germany 54.1% Denmark 75.0% Spain 50.8% France 46.0% United Kingdom 52.9% Greece 83.5% 67.3% Ireland Italy 37.4% Netherlands 83.3% Norway 86.5% Portugal 49.7% Sweden 92.6% AVERAGE Chile (1) Chile (2) In fact, the results of the study show that companies in Chile must assume costs equivalent to 10.2% of gross national income and require around a month to complete the necessary procedures (of which there are around 8). In the United States, meanwhile, the cost is just 0.6% of gross national income and the procedures (just 2) take three days to be completed. 68.2% 33.3% 41.9% (1) Market Concentration in Chile to January 2000. Meanwhile, World Bank studies show that in those countries with a large number of large companies the difference in wages paid by large and small companies for the same sort of work are smaller. In more developed countries with more large companies, the differences in wages (between large and small countries) is around 35% while in developing companies with a smaller number of large companies the differences in wages (between small and large companies) for the same kind of work is around 50%. (2) After the merger of the Santiago and Santander banks. Source: Vergara y Asociados Ltda. "Market Concentration And Free Competition in Chilean Banking Sector", May 2000. We should also remember that should a company abuse its dominant market position, it will have to face the Free Competition Court, an independent and technically competent institution that protects free competition in the markets. Another step would be to make the National Economic Regulator independent of the government in power. Conclusions Market Concentration and Small and Medium-sized Companies This phenomenon of mergers and increased concentration in the Chilean economy should not be seen as something negative. This is the result of an economy that is integrated into a globalized world and is a sign of competition. In order to compete in a globalized world, Chilean companies need to achieve an optimum size to take advantage of economies of scale and to be able to compete with the rest of the world. What should concern is how to ensure that small and medium-sized companies can also participate in the national One of the criticisms that has been made of the increased market concentration is that it harms the development of small and mediumsized businesses. This is a mistake. In a competitive market, the principle threat to anyone who wants to abuse their dominant position is the entry of new players, attracted by this company’s ex- 5 and global economies. This will require us to reduce entry barriers, many which are bureaucratic and regulatory in nature, that prevent and hinder the entrance of new small actors into markets. These reduce the competitiveness of our economy and it is these which need to be modified, not the Chilean economic system or model. 1 Sources: Enfoques, El Mercurio, Sunday, October 16th 2005. 2 See CIEN Report (Business and Economics Research Center), June 2005. “Does Chile Need More Big Companies?” 3 Per capita GDP adjusted for PPP. 4 On average, the IPC has varied by 7.5% each year during the period 1990 to 2004. IPM has averaged 7.7% over the same period. Clearly there is an upward trend in the IPM between 1999 and 2003 and a downward trend in the IPC from 1998 onwards. 5 See the Monetary Policy Report for September 2005, page 60. The Central Bank of Chile. 6 See the Monetary Policy Report for September 2005, page 48. The Central Bank of Chile. 7 See Ross Levine, Bank Concentration: Chile and International Comparisons, Central Bank of Chile, Working Papers, N°62, January 2000 8 See CIEN Report, July 2005. “Chilean small and medium-sized companies take twice as long to start a business as the foreign competition.”. 6
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